5:05 Kempton Tips

Still a maiden but has run well in defeat recently, making the frame on a regular basis. Has run well on the Polytrack the last two tries and could finally get on the scoresheet this afternoon.

The Jack Jones-trained, Hector Crouch-ridden Montu is a 3yo Without Parole gelding who should be seen in a better light now handicapping. He has reportedly been working very nicely at home, and connections are hopeful of a big run off what could be a low mark of just 50.

A very open-looking handicap where a chance is taken with Lapidarist, who at 12/1 looks great value. He has got better with each run and has dropped to a good mark. He was staying on nicely into third last time out in a stronger-looking race.

She is a half-sister to three all-weather winners: Aird, Reyaadah Star, and Daaris. Those wins were at longer distances, but she will attempt a longer trip, so the greater emphasis on stamina should suit her.

Fallacious Promise enters this Class 6 race with numbers that suggest he still has much to prove. Comparing his recent Top Speed (TS) and Racing Post Rating (RPR) figures reveals a trend of stagnation. His best time is a 24, achieved just three weeks ago at Wolverhampton. While this is an improvement over his debut, it remains significantly behind the race favorites, such as Karakula Dancer and Hove Ranger, who post higher numbers. This will be his first time running the mile (1m) at Kempton. His three previous all-weather starts were over 7 furlongs; the increase in distance is questionable, as his speed ratings suggest he lacks stamina in the closing stages.

Nando's Pride is coming handicapping after three done-the-pack runs. While the latest was a distant 20L away fourth in a C3, there's a drop to C6 today and just a nudge out of the handicap. I think he can be involved at the end of this one. EW 4P