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+1732 profit on Horse Racing in the last year
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These opening contests at this year's Festival have thrown up some very strange results, I've stared at this for longer than I've wanted (or intended to) of course I've a few scribbled in there are 28 horses to look at but I'm tentatively settling on Liz Doyle's 6 year old Gelding CAPPUCINO who disappointed last time out (@Wexford) when dropping massively in class but if you look at the company he's been keeping - you'd like to think he has one at this level in the locker, So why do 'think' he has a chance this time around? Well we get a nice 7lbs shaved off thanks to jockey Barry Stone (who caught my eye at Cheltenham winning on DAILY PRESENT) who has a 40% place strike rate the past fortnight & 66.67% place strike rate here the past year (45.45% -5 years). This Son of WESTERNER won by 4 lengths here in October (Maiden) & 'Should' have the ground he wants to run his front running style. If this lad gets to run his race (now much lighter) he 'could' be hard to peg back. 6 places in this minefield let's see how we do.
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Peter Fahy's 9 year old Gelding TUCKMILL is currently trading at a whopping 50/1 which is crazy (In my humble opinion) when you look at this lads last two runs over the tall timber. This Son of COURT CAVE won on Chase Handicap Debut @Down Royal (16f Good/Yielding) then followed this up with a decent crack @Leopardstown on Boxing Day (17f Good/Yielding) finish just 1 length off Winner AN PEAN DEARG who went on to win a big contest at the Leopardstown Festival, This charge was just a shoulder of THE KING OF PRS who went on to win a Grade 3 contest & also had CANAL END in behind him. A return back to the tall timber looks an obvious positive, The break of 108 days off doesn't overly Worry me with this lad winning off a longer break previously (292 days). Jockey Jake Coen sheds 3lbs off this already feather lite charge. 6 places on offer at Current big odds for a selection that has more than held his own against some of the bigger sharks in this pool.
Profits calculated to a 10 point stake.
Value Rating is based on comparing the odds of a selection to the theoretical probability of winning based on the percentage of tips for it.
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