Niffler Football Tips
66% strike rate on Football in the last year
- Annual Profit
- 33
- Annual Strike Rate
- 66 %
- 30 Days Profit
- -
- 7 Days Profit
- -
12 Months Profit Trend
Sep 24 - Sep 25
- Highest ProfitMay 25
- 5.4
- Lowest ProfitJun 25
- -2.1
Daily Profit
Last 23 Days
- Highest ProfitSep 28
- -
- Lowest ProfitSep 28
- -
Niffler’s Tips
1 Oct Tips
Experts are OLBG tipsters with high strike rates, current month or 6 month profitability for a particular sport.
Value Rating is based on comparing the odds of a selection to the theoretical probability of winning based on the percentage of tips for it.
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Atletico Mineiro sit 14th with 28 points, scoring 22 goals and conceding 26 in 23 matches, while Juventude are 17th with 22 points, scoring 20 and conceding 46 in 24 games. Atletico Mineiro have slightly better form and the home advantage at Arena MRV today.
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Qarabag are 10th in their UEFA Champions League group with 3 goals scored and 2 conceded in 1 match, showing decent attacking at home. FC Copenhagen are 19th with 2 goals scored and 2 conceded, struggling to control possession away with just 36% stats. Qarabag to win as home advantage and slightly higher attacking results give them the edge here.
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For Union Saint Gilloise vs Newcastle United, USG are 5th in their group with 3 goals scored and 1 conceded in 1 match, showing solid defensive control and effective attacking at home. Newcastle are struggling in the group, 26th overall, scoring just 1 and conceding 2, with limited possession away at only 36%. Union Saint Gilloise to win as they have a home advantage and sharper attacking players.
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For Norwich City vs West Bromwich Albion, I see this as a tight game with a slight edge to West Brom. Norwich have been inconsistent at home, scoring 1.4 goals per game but only keeping one clean sheet, while West Brom have a stronger defensive record and slightly better form overall. Expect Norwich to try to control the ball and attack, but West Brom could frustrate them and strike on the counter.
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Altrincham are struggling at 18th with four wins from twelve games and a -4 goal difference, while Tamworth sit 10th with five wins from twelve games and a -2 goal difference. Tamworth’s more consistent form and higher league position suggest they have the edge here
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For Carlisle United vs Hartlepool United, Carlisle are in better form, sitting 4th with seven wins from twelve games and a +7 goal difference. Hartlepool are 8th with mixed results and a +6 goal difference. Carlisle’s attack has been more consistent, especially at home, and they should control possession and create the better chances. Carlisle United to win.
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For York City vs Scunthorpe United, this looks very evenly matched. York are 6th with five wins from ten games and a strong goal difference of +13, while Scunthorpe are 5th with six wins and +10. Both sides have been solid defensively, conceding under one goal per game, and results says tight contests. Expect a competitive game with chances at both ends, possibly a cagey midfield battle. My take is the draw.
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For Boston United vs Forest Green Rovers, Boston sit 17th with three wins from eleven games and a -5 goal difference, while Forest Green lead the league with eight wins from twelve games and a +14 goal difference. Forest Green have the clear form and quality advantage.
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Brackley Town have a slight edge at home, sitting 11th with four wins from eleven games and a +1 goal difference. Wealdstone are 13th with four wins from twelve games and a neutral goal difference. Both teams have inconsistent recent form, so it could be tight, but Brackley’s home advantage may give them the edge.
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Rochdale are clearly the stronger side, sitting 2nd with nine wins from ten games and a +17 goal difference. Halifax are mid-table, 9th, with a negative goal difference and mixed form. Rochdale have been dominant at home and on the road and should control possession and create the better chances here.
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For Millwall vs Coventry City. Coventry look strong on paper, sitting 2nd in the Championship and scoring 2.6 goals per game with solid possession. Millwall are 10th, scoring under 1 goal per game and relying on a low-possession defensive setup. I expect Millwall to defend deep and hit on counters, but Coventry's attacking quality should cause them problems.
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Looking at Portsmouth vs Watford, I lean slightly toward a Portsmouth win. Portsmouth are mid-table and have shown a bit more consistency at home, ranking 13th with 0.7 goals per game but three clean sheets. They tend to defend reasonably well at Fratton Park. Watford sit 21st, scoring slightly more per game but with a leaky defense and no clean sheets. Their away form has been poor. Expect Portsmouth to try to control possession from the start and defend solidly, with Watford pushing for chances but vulnerable on the counter.
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Arsenal scored 2 goals in their first group game, and Olympiacos have been defensively shaky, conceding in European matches. With Arsenal dominating at home and Olympiacos likely to push forward at some point, a 3+ goal outcome is likely today.
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For Arsenal vs Olympiacos FC, Arsenal are in strong form at home, ranking 7th in the group with 2 goals scored and none conceded in their opening match, controlling 62% possession. Olympiacos are struggling, ranked 21st, yet holding 69% possession in their last match but failing to score. Arsenal win here.
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QPR look the stronger side at home, sitting 9th with 1.6 goals per game and a slightly better defensive record. Oxford are struggling near the bottom, scoring 1.3 per game but conceding heavily and failing to keep clean sheets. Expect QPR to control possession and create most chances, with Oxford likely to defend deep and try counters. My take is a QPR win.
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For Mirassol vs Red Bull Bragantino, Mirassol sit 4th with 42 points, scoring 41 and conceding 24 in 24 matches, showing solid home form at Estadio Jose Maria de Campos Maia. Bragantino are 9th with 31 points, scoring 29 and conceding 35, struggling away and have been inconsistent recently. Mirassol to win.
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For Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama, Palmeiras are 3rd with 49 points, scoring 36 goals and conceding 18 in 22 matches, while Vasco sit 13th with 30 points, scoring 38 but conceding 35 in 25 games. Palmeiras have strong home form at Allianz Parque and a solid defensive record. Prediction, Palmeiras to win
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Sport sit 20th with 14 points, struggling at home with 16 goals scored and 29 conceded in 23 matches. Fluminense are 8th with 31 points, scoring 26 and conceding 35. They do have inconsistent away form but slightly better attacking threats, so Fluminense to win here.
Profits calculated to a 10 point stake.
Value Rating is based on comparing the odds of a selection to the theoretical probability of winning based on the percentage of tips for it.