david37

Profit is the aim and the first principles applied to all my selections are time, class, weight, trainer and jockey ratings. Everyone has their own systems and methods regarding betting. My own approach, which has evolved over many years, means I won't take a price below 2/1 under any circumstances. The reason is simple. Most of my methods involve a minimum strike rate of 30% overall. Horses below 2/1, even the winners, will only erode the profit over time. Sometimes I will tip/back a favourite - if it is 3/1 or 7/2 say, but as time goes on it becomes clear: there are many, many more bad favourites than good ones. Those wily bookies will often make a horse favourite and create the illusion that it has been heavily backed. Have fun and take care.

Estimated Prizes
this month

£10

Estimated Prize money
this month

david37's Tips History

20 June 2025

19:38 7:38 Goodwood

Organ

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.40

Win

120

Looking for the treble and he seemed to stay the trip very well last time at Haydock. This is a much different track and that would be the only concern.

18:10 6:10 Royal Ascot

Mr Lightside

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

Halved in price this morning so some optimism in the camp. He has struggled in some good class races but now back in handicap company can get involved froma very good draw.

Realign

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

He may not have beaten much at Salisbury but he could have given them a furlong head-start. Top yard, top rider and the only colt in the field sired by the mighty Blue Point.

17:40 5:40 Down Royal

Billie Be Quick

Daily Racing

50 WINNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 4.00 used instead of 3.25 takenBOG

@4.00

Win

150

Top weight and top rate from a yard in good form and may have been a bit unlucky last time. Good claiming rider who will be keen to capitalise in the absence of the stable jockey.

17:35 5:35 Royal Ascot

Green Storm

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

The rider has found it a bit tougher on the turf this year and his championship aspirations may have been somewhat deferred. He still looks likely to be a truely top jockey though and this one, from a yard that has a rich history of success, looks set to go well with some good time figures and a run in the Derby behind him.

Nightwalker

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@13.00

Lose

-50

Down the field in the Derby and it is unusual for Gosden to run a horse so soon afterwards. That is a clear indicator that the horse is very well and if he runs like the rest of the team this week, looks sure to make his presence felt.

17:00 5:00 Royal Ascot

Betty Clover

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@12.00

Lose

-50

A small yard it may be but, the trainer has already been in the winner's enclosure this week. This one comes out top on the clock and has a good draw. Prominent in the market and top rider booked.

Cartwheel

Daily Racing

25 EW

@67.00

Lose

-50

Like many others, she is making her handicap debut. Some have group form, including the fav so, although unlikely to win, she can get placed with luck in running from an excellent draw. Tabiti is the logical fav but the form of the yard this week has been disappointing.

16:35 4:35 Down Royal

The Right One

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@11.00

Lose

-50

Has the best of the weight rates and sure to leap forward from the promising debut run. It is a dark field but the price is fair.

16:20 4:20 Royal Ascot

Falakeyah

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

She is highly strung but a real power-pack. It may be a master stroke by the trainer to drop her back in trip where the stronger pace should be ideal. Only her third race and the Sky is the limit.

Simmering

Daily Racing

25 EW

@51.00

Lose

-50

A rag today but she didn't run her race at The Curragh and her third in the Newmarket 1000 Guineas puts her in with definnite place prospects.

15:40 3:40 Royal Ascot

Hand Of God

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@8.00

Lose

-50

The stable has historically played a steady hand in the big handicaps and this one has won here over 10f and looked like the extra distance would not be a problem.

Mutaawid

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 13.00 used instead of 11.00 takenBOG

@13.00

Win

The stable has peaked for the big week and has done little wrong since the new riding arrangements. No change here with Crowley the retained Shadwell rider and this track will suit better than Epsom.

15:23 3:23 Redcar

Padishakh

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@3.25

Lose

-50

Plenty support this morning and back on fast ground. Top on time and weight measures and just luck in running required.

15:05 3:05 Royal Ascot

Jonquil

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.00

Lose

-50

Easy winner of the Greenham then split Henri Matisse and Camille Pissarro in the French Guineas which also looks a good renewal of that race.

Shadow Of Light

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.62

Lose

-50

The first two in the betting bring classic form to the table and it is difficult to look beyond them, especially as both are well drawn. This one was third behind Ruling Court and Field Of Gold in the 2000 Gns and that form is well and truly franked this week.

14:30 2:30 Royal Ascot

Green Sense

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.00

Lose

-50

She finished in front of the fav at Naas and that is Group 3 form. Has the benefit of two runs now and both selections should be ok with the draw.

Signora

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.75

Lose

-50

Venetian Sun would be a consideration but for the low draw. Unless the course executive have done some very fancy watering last night, the low draws on the straight course may as well have stayed at home if, results from the last three days are a guide. This one is short but clearly classy and will have improved a stone from first run.

19 June 2025

20:40 8:40 Lingfield

Dubai Treasure

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.75

Win

137

Has to give plenty of weight but the trainer knows his way around that particular maze. Sure to be fit enough and the stable has had a Royal Ascot winner today.

19:50 7:50 Wetherby

Cosmos Raj

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@5.00

Lose

-50

This is his tenth run this year but seems to be in very good heart. Badly drawn and a claimer is engaged so plenty negatives too. Still on a wining mark and stable in hot form.

18:10 6:10 Royal Ascot

English Oak

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@7.00

Lose

-50

Well backed and won this easily last year. Not done much since but he has been well supported again and now only one point higher, it has the look of a plan. The two other Wathnan runners could go well so hopefully James has got on the right one today.

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Spangled Mac

Daily Racing

25 EW

@101.00

Lose

-50

This is the Boughey second string but he has the better time figure and given the rider booked, also fancied to run well. Billy is on the first string and that one is only 12/1.

17:35 5:35 Royal Ascot

Arabian Force

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

The going and distance look just right and Tom gets on board for the big day. Stable form is tip-top and only luck in running needed to make the frame.

Trinity College

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 4.50 on 19/06 at 14:210.15 deduction for Jackknife@6.00 withdrawn at 17:39R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 3.50 x (1-0.15) = 3.98

@3.97

Win

148

Has run well in higher grade and when stamina is required, the Ballydoyle runners all seem to have the extra helping. The ground may be an unknown but the weight and class measures suggest a big run.

17:00 5:00 Royal Ascot

Mr Chaplin

Daily Racing

25 EW

@51.00

Lose

-50

It would be good to see Rossa get a royal winner and both he and the trainer could use a break. Everything went wrong at Goodwood and with a clearer passage today, he can go close at a very large price.

Teroomm

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@11.00

Lose

-50

The stable will be buoyed by yesterday's big win and the trainer, not given to bouts of enthusiasm, tokk time to mention that this one is very strongly fancied for this lottery event. Won latest three, likes the ground and the erstwhile champ is a top judge of pace on the turf.

16:20 4:20 Royal Ascot

Sweet William

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

Another Gosden second string (yesterday's did a nice turn at 25/1) and not without a chance should Trawlerman not run his race. Third here last year and can go one better, if not two.

Trawlerman

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.25

Win

112

No Kyprios to contend with this year unfortunately but, given the form of the yard and top rated on both time and weight rates, this looks his time to shine.

15:40 3:40 Royal Ascot

Catalina Delcarpio

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-50

A bit short in the market but with Gosdens and Ballydoyle fielding three each, I suspect none of the six are worldies. Paddy Twomey has already had a winner this week and this one comes out best on weight and class rates.

Lady Vivian

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Lose

-50

There may be a slight concern over the form of the yard but the trainer owuld not run her if not entirely happy. Just the one Wathnan runner here so Doyle had no need to deliberate! She may be no Bluestocking but she has a similar profile and market prominence suggests she won't be out of place in this grade.

15:05 3:05 Royal Ascot

Merchant

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.00

Win

200

Another impossible handicap with improvers in abundance. The fav, but at 4/1 a backable one, has a good chance to put Haggas/Marquand on the scoresheet. The stable has peaked at the right time and he looks sure to run well.

Sing Us A Song

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

Doyle has a chance in the jockey race this week and although he was on the wrong one in the big race yesterday, he is a sound judge and an excellent rider and tactician. This son of Camelot out of a Galileo mare has already shown guts and determination typical of the family and the trainer will probably be sweating up more than Los Angeles did yesterday.

14:30 2:30 Royal Ascot

First Legion

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

Another Mehmas colt and has already won over 6f and that will be a plus over this 5f. It is very open betting outside the fav and his 2nd in the National Stakes (Listed) shows some class.

Wise Approach

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@15.00

Lose

-50

It is 10/1 bar one so the fav looks rock solid according to the market and I assume a pile of liabilities re the Ballydoyle 2yo's this week. Some good prospects for a value EW play although my bets are almost always win bets below 25/1. Wise Approach is the sole CD winner and Dickensian has given that form a boost with his 2nd in yesterday's Windsor Castle. He can turn around the York form with First Legion now dropping back to 5f.

18 June 2025

18:45 6:45 Lingfield

Poet

Daily Racing

50 WINNBR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@5.50

Void

A bad race, which is the best place to put your horse if it is to win. Top on the clock for an in-form yard and ridden by an excellent 7 pound claimer.

18:10 6:10 Royal Ascot

Old Is Gold

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Lose

-50

It looks like a potential good day for the Wathnan team with several live chances - here is another one and also from another stable which has been burning brightly since the start of the season.

Rogue Legend

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-50

Another live chance for Paddy Twomey to get on the scoresheet, albeit in another 2yo minefield of a race. Easy winner of her latest two and comes here with the yard in blinding form.

17:35 5:35 Royal Ascot

Rainbows Edge

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

Big chance of a Royal winner and no better trainer to guide the filly to success than this one (now two!). Has been second in a Listed race and is one of the classier runners.

Snellen

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 26.00 used instead of 17.00 takenBOG

@26.00

Win

100

She won the Chesham here over 7f as a 2yo and she managed a couple of more modest wins last year. She ran well enough on seasonal debut in Bahrain so today's heat should not inconvenience her.

17:20 5:20 Hamilton

Native Honey

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@8.00

Lose

-50

Had a 6f warm up three days ago and now steps up to the correct trip for the wily old, Group One Sprint-winning trainer who lets his horses do the talking, which is just as well, as no-one south of the border can understand a word he says!

17:00 5:00 Royal Ascot

Silawi

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@29.00

Lose

-50

This must be one of the toughest puzzles of the week and not really a betting race. The Wathnan team continues on the rise and this would not be a big shock. He won the prep race well enough and that is a positive, also ground to suit.

Wahdan

Daily Racing

25 EW

@81.00

Lose

-50

Another shot in the dark - more of a black hole perhaps - but Joseph had a nightmare day yesterday with all his horses running well, several places but no winner. This one has some class and may well go close despite the huge price.

16:20 4:20 Royal Ascot

Anmaat

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.00

Push

Very reliable and seems to have retained his enthusiasm for racing. One of the few to beat the fav (who has since taken revenge) and the Curragh race in May could be key to this one.

Los Angeles

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@3.25

Lose

-50

A multiple G1 winner, classic winner, third in the Arc - his only blot was here behind Anmaat in the Champion stakes on very soft ground at this track. The price of 9/4 seems very fair.

16:00 4:00 Hamilton

Iris Dancer

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 3.50 used instead of 3.00 takenBOG

@3.50

Win

125

Tristan's horses have hit a good vein of form and this mare is the stable star with several wins at this track including here last week.

15:40 3:40 Royal Ascot

Cinderellas Dream

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.62

Lose

-50

She is a consistent filly and looks a most worthy fav. Sure to be at home on the ground and the track. The drop back in trip will probably be good too so, although a filly, possibly one of the better favs of the week.

Crimson Advocate

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@26.00

Win

781

The rag of the field this morning but with the success of Field Of Gold yesterday, the stable will be hopeful of more success. Now they have discovered she is a miler, there may be much bigger runs to come and the step up from Listed class is not likely to halt progress.

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15:05 3:05 Royal Ascot

Carmers

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@7.00

Win

300

The stable has been red hot lately and this unbeaten colt looks very much on an upward curve. Plenty of doubts about the other principals so big run on the cards.

Pinhole

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

Finished behind the Derby winner at Chester but that was a good effort and this track will suit much better. Another live chance for Colin Keane to impress his new employer.

14:30 2:30 Royal Ascot

Secret Hideaway

Daily Racing

25 EW

@26.00

Lose

-50

Big hope for another small yard. One of the proven, classier entries, she won a £40k listed race at York and would be near fav if trained in one of the big yards. Hampered at the start that day and had to come from behind. She will probably stay further (her sire was a 1m classic winner in Ireland) so a more prominent display today would not necessarily be a negative.

1 member found this comment useful

Staya

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@17.00

Lose

-50

The trainer reckons this is his best chance of a winner at the meeting. Always a lottery with so many lightly raced animals and fillies at that. The fav will be short based on the Coventry result yesterday but 2yo's can improve at all kinds of rates and there are numerous alternatives at much bigger prices.

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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

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david37

david37's Tips History

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