david37

Profit is the aim and the first principles applied to all my selections are time, class, weight, trainer and jockey ratings. Everyone has their own systems and methods regarding betting. My own approach, which has evolved over many years, means I won't take a price below 2/1 under any circumstances. The reason is simple. Most of my methods involve a minimum strike rate of 30% overall. Horses below 2/1, even the winners, will only erode the profit over time. Sometimes I will tip/back a favourite - if it is 3/1 or 7/2 say, but as time goes on it becomes clear: there are many, many more bad favourites than good ones. Those wily bookies will often make a horse favourite and create the illusion that it has been heavily backed. Have fun and take care.

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david37's Tips History

30 July 2025

20:20 8:20 Galway

Feud

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@9.50

Lose

-50

One of four C&D winners and there has been some support from the early market. Well to the fore on time lines and has a wide draw but he is usually held up from the start.

Last Ammo

Daily Racing

25 EW

@19.00

Lose

-50

Another C&D winner, and this one is top on the clock and has a low draw. Has the benefit of a good claimer who has ridden him before and will know him well enough to elicit a big run after a promising prep race.

20:13 8:13 Leicester

Spectacular Style

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.25

Lose

-50

The stable has been in great handicapping form lately and this one can go one better after a couple of good seconds in the last couple of runs.

20:00 8:00 Sandown

Post Rider

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-50

Only two 4yo runners, but they may hold the key. Preference for Oliver Cole's filly as she seems more tractable than some of the highly strung rivals.

19:50 7:50 Galway

Iron Fist

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@9.00

Lose

-50

The stable has taken a while to hit top gear but seems to be back in form. Has the best of the time figures and can make all from a good draw.

19:38 7:38 Leicester

Suhub

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

The fav won nicely at Salisbury but may not have beaten much. The selection is better than those to have run and the trainer has gone back into a Novice as she was all at sea in her first handicap.

19:15 7:15 Galway

Mont St Michel

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-50

Top on all measures, and Aiden may have missed out with Henri, but this one will be just as special, especially for the rider.

Nakassama

Daily Racing

25 EW

@23.00

Win

Top on the Clock and has a good draw, so may be able to get to the front and dominate proceedings. Stable has had a good summer and one of the better amateur riders engaged.

18:40 6:40 Galway

Amirite

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@29.00

Lose

-50

The big race of the week and a lot of live chances. Was 9th in this last year and has gone up in the weights. Won his prep race despite some moderate jumping.

Chemical Energy

Daily Racing

25 EW

@51.00

Lose

-50

Another to run in the race last year and finished a very good fifth. The young rider gets another chance to shine and no pressure on a 50/1 chance.

18:05 6:05 Galway

Miss Fourie

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@8.50

Lose

-50

Just the one prep run and she looks to have been laid out for this. She has gone up in the weights, but the 20/1 this morning soon disappeared and she is clearly very strongly fancied.

17:55 5:55 Leicester

Snow Boots

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@67.00

Lose

-50

Another promising young rider and he is under the right tutelage to progress to much bigger things in due course. This rag has a few figures which suggest he can come good at some stage, hopefully today.

17:45 5:45 Sandown

Great Blasket

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.33

Win

166

A great 7 days for the stable and this young rider. Top on the clock and well in at the weights, this looks another good opportunity.

17:35 5:35 Galway

Ahead Of The Posse

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@19.00

Lose

-50

It was only a claiming race he won latest and raised two points. The genius trainer will have had a plan, and this could be it. The promising claiming rider retains the ride, and that extra 7 points puts him well ahead on time figures.

17:10 5:10 Redcar

Angel Of The Bay

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@7.50

Lose

-50

Still a maiden but not without hope in a poor race for amateur riders. With bottom weight he may well be able to race more prominently than usual.

17:05 5:05 Galway

Zanndabad

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-50

He was well fancied for the Northumberland Plate on the AW but disappointed. This is a massive drop in class as well as a change of code but the trainer is never to be underestimated.

16:55 4:55 Goodwood

Native Warrior

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

Goodwood has always been a top weight's track, and the booking of Soumillon obviously catches the eye. Well drawn, and the going will suit.

16:35 4:35 Redcar

Crocus Time

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@9.00

Lose

-50

She was only just held in a photo at Thirsk and went off at 80/1 that day. Better draw today and she should be able to get her head in front despite the small rise in the weights.

16:00 4:00 Redcar

Lovely Spirit

Daily Racing

50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@10.00

Void

Tried an AW class 3 latest and that was an abortive mission. She will probably be better on the turf anyway so now, back down in class, she can do much better.

15:45 3:45 Goodwood

Kayhana

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@13.00

Lose

-50

She had a bad draw at Ascot, and her form in Ireland would suggest that this track will suit her fine. Top on the clock and another poor draw, but it is not insurmountable.

15:20 3:20 Redcar

Bearwith

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@19.00

Lose

-50

The oldest in the field and the track, trip and ground would all suggest that a good run should be on the cards and the small yard is having another good year.

15:05 3:05 Goodwood

Henri Matisse

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@9.00

Lose

-50

After the trauma of the £2k Guineas, I would not be rushing to back the fav even if he was odds-against. He may not be entirely at home on the track or the ground. Henri was well held by FOG at Ascot but this is a lot different and he can make a race of it at least.

29 July 2025

20:20 8:20 Galway

Hutton Glen

Daily Racing

25 EW

@34.00

Lose

-50

A long time off the track and superior speed figures - a combination which pays a good dividend over the long term. Obviously the win frequency is low but patience is a virtue in racing.

Lexington Dash

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@26.00

Lose

-50

Not an ideal draw but would have a good chance at the weights based upon his best form. Rightfully a rag based on recent runs but now off 70 having won off 97.

20:00 8:00 Ffos Las

Royal Jet

Daily Racing

50 WINNBAThis tip was used on Horse Racing 4Fold Acca.

@6.50

Lose

-50

One of the worst races, but hopefully one of the better bets of the day. Hector landed the first nap of the month yesterday. It has been a character-building month, and hopefully, he can get this one over the line from a below-winning mark.

19:50 7:50 Galway

Apache Outlaw

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@9.00

Lose

-50

He has been running in some hot races and this drop in class may be just what the doctor ordered. Has a good draw today and can make it count.

17:47 5:47 Beverley

Sunny Orange

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@15.00

Lose

-50

A C&D winner which is always a big plus here and he is the most recent runner. This track will suit better than Catterick and the going will suit. Can go well now only three points higher.

17:30 5:30 Goodwood

Woodhay Wonder

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@7.50

Lose

-50

Down the course the last twice at Ascot and not beaten so far in the latter. Trip and ground fine, top on time figures, and now back on a winnable mark.

17:10 5:10 Beverley

Two Shoes

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@19.00

Lose

-50

She won on debut at Carlisle and can run well at this similar track. The high draw is usually fatal but in a small field she may just get away with it.

17:05 5:05 Galway

Timeless Treaty

Daily Racing

50 WINAThis tip was used on Horse Racing 4Fold Acca.

@17.00

Lose

-50

The favorite is by a Derby winner, and so is this one. Three of this field are by a Derby winner, so there's every chance that at least one of them will prove top class. It is early days for all of them, but 16/1 looks like a very big price for an unbeaten gelding with comparable form to all the others.

16:55 4:55 Goodwood

Mahras Love

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

Tom had a nightmare ride earlier and he can get some compensation here. The trip should be fine and the treble can be landed albeit another step up in class.

16:00 4:00 Beverley

Hanney Girl

Daily Racing

50 WINAThis tip was used on Horse Racing 4Fold Acca.

@3.25

Win

112

The festival may be over but the yard will still be wound up and this one looks likely to continue the good work. Best at the weights and going to suit.

15:45 3:45 Goodwood

Adrestia

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-50

She is a progressive 3yo and hails from a top stable, which is in very good form. She is highly strung and usually has to miss the start and hope for the gaps to appear. The high draw should help.

14:30 2:30 Goodwood

Jonquil

Daily Racing

50 WINNAPAThis tip was used on Horse Racing 4Fold Acca.

@5.50

Lose

-50

Audience is the only G1 winner in the race and should go well. Jonquil's best effort was in the French Guineas where he split Henri Matisse and Camille Pissarro and was only beaten by a head. With the stable maintaining its very high level of form and the rider seemingly one step ahead of his demons, this would be a great result for everyone.

28 July 2025

21:00 9:00 Southwell

Coulsea

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@67.00

Lose

-50

It is noteworthy that Hector has been engaged for an apparent no-hoper in the nightcap. No one rides this course better, and the trainer is always to be respected, so it's worth a go at such a big price.

20:40 8:40 Windsor

Midsummer Music

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@8.00

Lose

-50

The yard seems to be coming into form and after a disappointing fav earlier, the rider will be keen to get on the scoreboard.

20:30 8:30 Southwell

Sydney Seabreeze

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@9.50

Lose

-50

Finally reunited with Havlin may be the key to success. Well stuffed at Lingfield the last two times, but this track is sure to suit better, and there has been a quiet trickle of support throughout the day.

20:20 8:20 Galway

Coutach

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-50

A bumper without a Willie Mullins runner. Elliott has a couple of live chances and Harry Swan rides the seemingly more likely contender.

20:10 8:10 Windsor

Good Shot

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.50

Lose

-50

She just missed on turf/handicap debut and will be all the better for that run. This looks a weak race and the form of the yard alone brings her into calculations today.

20:00 8:00 Southwell

Bint Havana Gold

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@12.00

Lose

-50

The horse is an honest one and should go well for the novice rider. The trainer has been in excellent form for most of this season and has an excellent record at this track.

19:50 7:50 Galway

Miss Nifty

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@19.00

Lose

-50

A 66/1 shocker at Naas last month and then didn't get the run of the race at Leopardstown. Up eleven points for the win, but she can go well again and top on timelines.

19:35 7:35 Windsor

Dragonfly In Amber

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@9.50

Win

425

The horse has done little to capture the imagination but now, on handicap debut with top rider booked, could justify some quiet support gained this morning.

19:25 7:25 Southwell

Think Climate

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@41.00

Lose

-50

The rag of the field and nearly two years off the track. No pressure on the inexperienced rider, but the horse made all quite easily here on his last visit.

19:15 7:15 Galway

Gangsta Man

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@26.00

Lose

-50

He did not get the run of the race at the Curragh and was not given a hard race. From a good draw tonight, Whispering Wes will be able to get a good early position, and the horse has some tenacity - a trait which most winners here this week will need.

19:05 7:05 Windsor

Chief Mankato

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@4.00

Lose

-50

Should be on a treble as Ed was a little exuberant last time he ran here. Redeemed at Chepstow and, all being well, should make it a double tonight. Top on the clock and the yard could do with a winner after a quiet couple of weeks.

18:52 6:52 Southwell

Tiempo Alegre

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@6.50

Win

275

His latest win was at this track and ridden by Hector. Now over a furlong further and four points lower, the scene is set for a repeat.

18:40 6:40 Galway

The Shunter

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@67.00

Lose

-50

He does not run much these days but was a 10yo winner of the Cesarewich and is only one point higher now. Huge price but he could well outrun those big odds.

18:30 6:30 Windsor

Rose Cotton

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-50

Hot fav to beat but Tom Clover is not the type of trainer to fear just one - and he has been proved right on more than one occasion.

27 July 2025

15:37 3:37 Uttoxeter

Saint Bibiana

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

She may be attempting the impossible with the fav looking very promising and well treated. She has been in the form of her life though and Olive has won on her before.

15:07 3:07 Uttoxeter

Village Master

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@7.00

Lose

-50

Promising young chaser and has the benefit of one of the best riders around. The stable has been in good form, and another big run is on the cards.

14:07 2:07 Uttoxeter

Bluebella

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@5.50

Lose

-50

She has run well off higher marks but finds winning tough. Headgear and a new stable seems to have rejuvenated her to some degree and she likes this track.

13:55 1:55 Pontefract

Chairmanfourtimes

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.75

Win

137

He is top on official ratings and has been placed in a Class 2. Now dropping back to the minimum trip which should help on this stiff track and the wide draw can be overcome.

Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.

david37

david37's Tips History

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