david37

Profit is the aim and the first principles applied to all my selections are time, class, weight, trainer and jockey ratings. Everyone has their own systems and methods regarding betting. My own approach, which has evolved over many years, means I won't take a price below 2/1 under any circumstances. The reason is simple. Most of my methods involve a minimum strike rate of 30% overall. Horses below 2/1, even the winners, will only erode the profit over time. Sometimes I will tip/back a favourite - if it is 3/1 or 7/2 say, but as time goes on it becomes clear: there are many, many more bad favourites than good ones. Those wily bookies will often make a horse favourite and create the illusion that it has been heavily backed. Have fun and take care.

Estimated Prizes
this month

£5

Estimated Prize money
this month

david37's Tips History

08 November 2025

15:25 3:25 Wolverhampton

Zighy

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.00

Win

250

Four times placed under Billy The Kid and now the latest rising star takes over in the saddle. Best on time and weight rates.

15:20 3:20 Gowran Park

Dschingis Dragon

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@8.50

Lose

-50

Her stablemate is the first string but she is the young improver and the youngest in the field. Sole C&D winner and can shake up the favourite.

13:52 1:52 Kelso

Sir Carnegie

Daily Racing

50 WINNBNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 3.75 used instead of 3.20 takenBOG

@3.75

Win

137

It usually pays to stick with the top weights in novice races, especially the handicap variety. The ground is unproven but the long trip from Wales will hopefully not be a vain one.

07 November 2025

14:00 2:00 Fontwell

Flintara

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

She is on a better mark over hurdles, a winning mark in fact and the trainer is very adept at placing his horses to best effect. Sole C&D winner in the race.

13:15 1:15 Exeter

Dramatic Encore

Daily Racing

50 WINNBR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@3.25

Void

The small but upwardly mobile yard has been in blinding form and this one, despite the long absence, is sure to be fit and well ridden.

12:25 12:25 Hexham

Belle Le Grand

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@4.00

Lose

-50

She makes the long trip north and has a clear advantage on time figures. Her jumping has not been very good at times so the rider will need to be on the ball. Never out of the first two over hurdles so a clear round should do the trick.

02 November 2025

00:25 00:25 Del Mar

Cinderellas Dream

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

Charlie Appleby has his horses in peak form and has two live chances in this race.The trainer has made no secret that this filly is the apple of his eye. Just failed in this race last year and she can put the record straight today.

Diamond Rain

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.00

Win

Another live chance for Appleby and a big day for the promising young rider. She just failed to catch She Feels Pretty latest and can turn that form around with a clear passage.

01 November 2025

23:45 23:45 Del Mar

Full Serrano

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@5.00

Lose

-50

Baffert trrains the short priced favourite in a race which has hitherto eluded him. Preference for last year's winner of the race and he will have been carefully prepared for the repeat.

White Abarrio

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Void

Difficult to ignore a previous Classic and Pegasus winner. His preparation has been a steadily progressive one and the rider seems to have ice in his veins on the biggest stage.

23:05 23:05 Del Mar

Notable Speech

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.00

Win

100

It is a tight price, but he is a classic winner on turf and has an exceptional burst of acceleration as part of his armoury. This track should suit and he has a good draw to get any position he wants from the start.

The Lion In Winter

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.00

Lose

One of the unluckiest horses in training. The owners/trainer have always believed in him and perhaps, with a bit of good luck for a change, he can put some disappointments behind him. He had a bad bout of ringworm which ruined the first half of his classic year, but it was a good run in France and he can reverse form with Sahlan.

22:25 22:25 Del Mar

Fierceness

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

Last year's 1-2-3 are all back for more. Preference is for last year's runner-up who shows the right spirit and warmed up with an impressive display in the Pacific Classic here.

Journalism

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@7.50

Lose

-50

He was a strong 2/5 fav to beat Fierceness in the Pacific Classic and connections will be hopeful of a better effort today which, naturally, will have been the main target.

21:41 21:41 Del Mar

Amiloc

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Lose

-50

The Irish Leger run was probably too far and this trip looks much more likely to suit. The trainer is not given to waste diesel, much less kerosene, so a big run likely for the emerging star rider who has already tasted of Breeders' Cup success.

Rebels Romance

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

He has nothing to prove and has won this twice among his £12m prize money. Still as good as ever and has a much better draw than last year.

21:01 21:01 Del Mar

Gin Gin

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

Much improved figure gained when making all latest and a prominent showing here looks on the cards. She displayed good battling qualities at Keeneland and that track looks a good place to warm up for this tight track.

Seismic Beauty

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.88

Lose

-50

A short price but hard to oppose and she probably only needs to get to the front in the first quarter to seal the fate of all her challengers.

20:21 20:21 Del Mar

Bentornato

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.00

Win

150

Surprised everyone, including connections, when second in this last year. Won a Listed event to warm up for this and posted an improved figure in the process.

Imagination

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 5.50 on 01/11 at 18:30 Best Odds Guaranteed SP 7.5 used instead of 5.50 taken BOG

@8.50

Win

Last year's winner (Straight No Chaser) will have been prepared for a repeat but, on the face of it at least, will need a lot of improvement from his runs this year and may be hard pushed to get the better of Imagination.

19:41 19:41 Del Mar

Ag Bullet

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.50

Lose

-50

Form at the track and in this race last year. Has continued the upward curve and looks like a turf winner for the home team.

Khaadem

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Win

Old friends reunited. Both may be in the twilight of their careers, but both seem as good as ever. A Stewards Cup winner and Jubilee winner (G1) in his time and warmed up for this with an impressive win at Keeneland.

19:00 19:00 Del Mar

Richi

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

Was the least fancied of the Baffert trio but has seemingly attracted some support. Very consistent and rarely out of the frame.

Splendora

Daily Racing

25 EW

@4.50

Win

109

Baffert has the first three in the market and in Grade 1 races, you rarely need to look beyond the first few in the betting. This one is a multiple winner at the track.

00:25 00:25 Del Mar

Gstaad

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.25

Win

Unfortunately Ryan Moore is injured and confidence would be higher had he been on board. A poor draw never seems to handicap that supreme rider. Hopefully the super-sub can get the job done.

North Coast

Daily Racing

25 EW

@21.00

Win

He has had the pause that refreshes and will need to do better. DBM will surely enjoy the chance on the big stage and won't be under any pressure other than that of his own making.

31 October 2025

23:45 23:45 Del Mar

Brant

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.88

Lose

-50

Close on ratings and the front two look top drawer. Price dictates the selection and he may start shorter yet. The winner will be winter favourite for the Kentucky Derby.

Litmus Test

Daily Racing

25 EW

@34.00

Lose

-50

It has become a small field and may become somewhat tactical. That is when the strange results start to appear and Litmus Test looks one of the more likely rags.

23:05 23:05 Del Mar

Pacific Mission

Daily Racing

25 EW

@34.00

Win

140

One of the rags, but given the year that Andrew Balding has had in 2025 to date, it may be folly to query the presence of this filly. The erstwhile Irish Champ is on board for his new retainer, and there will be no pressure on him in this race.

Queen Of Hawaii

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@9.50

Lose

-50

Always better to stick with the European horses in matters of the turf. The trainer is already established on the world stage and this filly is bred to be a worldie, by Kingman out of a Galileo mare.

22:25 22:25 Del Mar

Bottle Of Rouge

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.00

Lose

-50

Stablemate of the favorite and has a much better draw. The likely danger to her stablemate and has beaten her once already.

Explora

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.00

Lose

-50

The trainer is one of the all time greats and his attention to detail is akin to that of Aiden O'Brien. He has the front two in the market and it suggests that the Favourite is expected to turn the form around with her stablemate.

21:45 21:45 Del Mar

Brussels

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@9.00

Lose

-50

Much the best of the draw from those prominent in the market. A low draw is a huge plus here and a good start vital to capitalise on stalls position.

Obliteration

Daily Racing

25 EW

@21.00

Win

One of the better drawn of the home team and has form on both dirt and turf. Even on turf, the US riders should have superior experience of the track, which may help them overcome their shortcomings with their turf horses.

19:30 7:30 Dundalk

Giuseppe Cassioli

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@15.00

Lose

-50

Top weight and top on the clock. Needs everything to go right as the handicapper does seem to have his measure. Another live chance for the excellent Nicola Burns.

19:15 7:15 Southwell

Whitcombe Rockstar

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@19.00

Lose

-50

Last year he was a Rockstar when he won 6 out of 7 races. It's always difficult after you have been raised over 2 stones in the ratings. Now the assessor has relented a little, and he will be a live chance for the resurgent Josie Gordon.

18:30 6:30 Dundalk

Collective Power

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-50

He looks to be a spring and autumn type and his figures this year have been very consistent. A winner over track and trip and useful claimer engaged.

18:15 6:15 Southwell

Ready Freddie Go

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@9.00

Lose

-50

Good Point looks a worthy fav but the high draw may not be ideal. The selection has the recent figures to beat all of these and the draw may not be relevant, given a good start.

18:00 6:00 Dundalk

Lismacbryan

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@23.00

Lose

-50

One of the more consistent types in a poor race and her speed figures on the sand would put her in the mix on a good day.

17:45 5:45 Southwell

Never Just A Dream

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@19.00

Lose

-50

This is only his third run of the season, and he has been shown little compassion by the assessor. Now back in a handicap off 96, he will be spot on after his pipe-opener.

16:45 4:45 Southwell

Lady Milton

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.00

Win

150

She won latest on handicap debut and should be able to continue the upward curve, now racing off a 4-point higher mark.

16:10 4:10 Southwell

Fleur De Mer

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@SP

Lose

-50

She has dropped down the weights, and staying looks her long suit. So hopefully, the longer trip may enhance her prospects.

15:57 3:57 Newmarket

Off Spin

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@SP

Lose

-50

Dropped 12 points and now off 70. Should be able to make the long trip to Newmarket a worthwhile journey.

30 October 2025

20:30 8:30 Southwell

Magna

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@13.00

Lose

-50

She has been ridden various ways and tends to be a bit keen. Drawn 1 tonight and top on the clock so it may be a chance to make all and round off a good day for the trainer.

20:15 8:15 Chelmsford City

Time Tested

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Win

175

The front two in the market both know how to win and this is a live chance for the Bell/Crouch double. Already a winner here and could still be well treated.

20:00 8:00 Southwell

Jimmy Henry

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@26.00

Lose

-50

Should have won before now, so he maybe has an undiagnosed issue. This trip should be ideal, and he certainly has the figures to win. He has faded tamely at the business end of many of his races, so that needs to be overcome.

19:45 7:45 Chelmsford City

Cardinal Point

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.50

Win

A bit short for my betting purposes but has the clear advantage on time lines and still has scope for improvement. Another chance for Hector to shine and the trainer has a good hit rate here.

19:30 7:30 Southwell

Shimmering Sands

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

Three most recent runs have been improving ones and now has the best of the weight rates. Best run was here last year over the same trip. Now 11 points lower which should be a winning mark.

19:15 7:15 Chelmsford City

Juno Star

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-50

She did it nicely at Southwell last week, and that was an apprentice race, so no penalty tonight. The only 3yo in the field and just a good start needed.

19:00 7:00 Southwell

Gilthoniel

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@13.00

Lose

-50

She is the rag, and the trip is definitely an unknown. But this is her handicap debut, and there are certainly no world-beaters in opposition today.

18:45 6:45 Chelmsford City

Poetic Jack

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@SP

Lose

-50

The Rag of the field but is top on the clock and has dropped to a mark which is below the latest winning effort.

18:30 6:30 Southwell

Nunc Est Bibendum

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@SP

Lose

-50

Not made much impression since coming over from Ireland and now drops down into the worst grade available. Has figures to get involved and has been much more fancied in the market today.

18:15 6:15 Chelmsford City

Gaiety Musical

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@SP

Lose

-50

Close rated with Aramis Grey and looks the percentage shot in what looks like a very tricky race. It is obviously made more difficult for the riders after the sudden demise of a cherished weighing room colleague.

18:00 6:00 Southwell

One Night Thunder

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@SP

Lose

-50

Only around 25% of races tend to be truly run, so weight and class rates tend to shape the market. It is very tricky to determine beforehand whether a race will go to the class aspect or the time factor. All is clear after the race, of course, but sadly we have to decide before (or for the very brave, during) the action. The selection here is reliant on a decent pace, in which case his superior time figures can come into play.

17:30 5:30 Southwell

Lightning Touch

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@SP

Lose

-50

Latest three runs over 12f, so the drop back to 11f may help. This track may also suit better than Newcastle, and time figures suggest a big run today.

17:15 5:15 Chelmsford City

Miss Ayala

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

Made all here two back, but next time at Wolves she got eyeballed over half a mile out and, as is often the case, both horses soon faded out of contention. Hector gets on Woody Y Fernandez for the first time and he looks the most likely danger.

17:00 5:00 Southwell

Cool Molly

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@17.00

Lose

-50

Another 2yo from a yard likely to produce a much better animal on second run. Of those to have run, apart from the favourite, all are dropping back in trip. The selection is also dropping in class.

16:45 4:45 Chelmsford City

Paranjape

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@15.00

Lose

-50

The favorite looks worthy but short in the market. Worth a chance on the Woods Runner, which was 80/1 on debut but a lot more fancied today.

16:30 4:30 Southwell

Big Shot Veto

Daily Racing

25 EW

@SP

Lose

-50

The fav is very short in a dark field and the second favourite, Big Shot Veto has time and weight rates to compare. Stable and rider both in good recent form.

Phantom Shadow

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@51.00

Lose

-50

He was completely clueless on debut but the stable has historically been able to turn a 2yo around in a big way between first and second run. No encouragement in the early market but sure to do better today.

16:25 4:25 Bath

Rajeteriat

Daily Racing

25 EW

@34.00

Win

140

The ground is a bit of an unknown but comes from one of the few stables in form lately and the rider has had a good few weeks having rediscovered some of the form that made her a hot property in the first place.

Sub Thirteen

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@SP

Lose

-50

The stable and rider are on for a treble and it looks very much on the cards with only a four point increase for the recent win.

15:38 3:38 Newcastle

Half Shot

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-50

None of the stables are in blinding form but the Jardine yard has been going reasonably well. The erstwhile champ is booked and the horse is back below winning mark.

15:30 3:30 Thurles

Carried With Love

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.33

Lose

-50

The yard's jumpers have hit form and this one looks like a backable favourite with top weight and top rate in those terms.

14:30 2:30 Thurles

The Striker Dylan

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@7.00

Lose

-50

A recent winner, and he looks the percentage shot with competitive ratings in terms of time, going, and distance. Recent winning form is in short supply here.

14:17 2:17 Stratford

Next Twist

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@SP

Lose

-50

Close on ratings with Quaviste, so it may come down to the riders. Whilst Skelton is much improved, he has to be second fav when head to head with the Champ.

14:08 2:08 Newcastle

Gemini Man

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@SP

Lose

-50

The quicker ground will suit and Danny gets back on board today after winning on him at Hexham. Top weight and top rate and can resume the winning thread for the in-form yard.

Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.

david37

david37's Tips History

Earn + 1000 crowns by telling us how we can improve!