davemurphy2357269

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davemurphy2357269's Tips History

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12 May 2026
19:45 Aberdeen v St Mirren

Aberdeen

50 WIN

@+120

Lose

-50

Stephen Robinson has turned things around at Aberdeen, having won 3 of their last 4. Those 3 games were all at home, and they won them without conceding a goal. Craig McLeish has tried to play his own style of more open football at St. Mirren, and it just isn't working; they have lost their last 5 games. Aberdeen don't have anything to play for here, but the form of these two sides suggests only one outcome. I think Robinson gets a victory over his old side.
19:45 Dundee Utd v Livingston

Dundee Utd

50 WIN

@-133

Lose

-50

Following Marvin Bartley's resignation, Livingston went down 3-0 to Dundee with midfielder Scott Arfield taking charge. I think their neighbours will do a similar job on an effectively managerless Livingston here. United have lost their last two games but have won their last four at Tannadice. Neither side has anything to play for here, but Jim Goodwin will be looking to finish the season on a positive note and should have enough to take care of bottom-side Livingston.
11 May 2026
20:00 Tottenham v Leeds

Tottenham

50 WIN

@-111

Lose

-50

Spurs were excellent against Villa last weekend, and there are clear signs that De Zerbi has found something that's working. The players spoke glowingly of him after full time, so it's clear he has the dressing room on side in the way his predecessor didn't. This Spurs side have more than enough to stay up and beat a Leeds side who have already assured survival. Leeds are not as good on the road as they are at Elland Road, and their season is now effectively over after a cup semi-final defeat to Chelsea. Spurs have a lot more on the line here, and I think they will take the momentum from last week's victory and performance and make it two on the bounce.
10 May 2026
20:00 Barcelona v Real Madrid

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@-303

Lose

-50

El Clásico is normally a high-scoring affair, with 3 or more goals in 8 of the last 10. The last game between these sides finished 3-2 in Barcelona's favor, and I wouldn't be surprised if this goes a similar way. Barcelona have played a very high line all season, one which I expect Mbappé and Vinícius Jr. will take advantage of at some point. However, I expect Barcelona will have enough to beat a Real Madrid dressing room that is clearly in disarray.
09 May 2026
17:30 Man City v Brentford

Man City

50 WIN

@-277

Win

18

It's win or bust for City in this one in terms of the title race. Brentford still have European football to play for, but I always back City at home in the tail end of a title race. Prior to the draw against Everton on Monday night, they had won six on the spin, which is typical form for them at this stage of the season. Brentford have already lost twice to City this season, and I expect the Sky Blues to get back on track here.
15:00 Brighton v Wolverhampton

Brighton

50 WIN

@-333

Win

15

Brighton are still in the hunt for European football and should have enough to take care of a relegated Wolves side. Wolves did manage a point against Sunderland last weekend, but the early red card was a big factor in that one. Their resurgence under Rob Edwards has long petered out, and last weekend's draw aside, they had lost 4 of 5 in the league. Brighton faltered away to Newcastle last weekend, but prior to that they had won 4 of 5, and I think they'll get back on track here against a Wolves side with nothing to play for.
15:00 Dundee v Livingston

Dundee

50 WIN

@-124

Win

40

Livingston manager Marvin Bartley resigned during the week after the club's relegation was confirmed. Despite being unable to avoid relegation, Livvy showed improvement under Bartley. With player-manager Scott Arfield taking charge for this one, it looks like they are just easing through until the end of the season. Dundee can assure survival with a win, and I think 1.8 is a good price against a managerless Livingston with nothing to play for.
06 May 2026
20:00 Bayern Munich v PSG

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@-499

Lose

-50

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@-400

Win

12

We go again. Naturally the odds on this have been slashed, but I'm just as confident it comes through again, as I don't think either side will change their approach. They both drew 3-3 and 2-2 at the weekend, which is now BTTS in 5 of Bayern's last 6 games. PSG have gotten some clean sheets in Ligue 1 recently, but I think the chances of them keeping Bayern's blistering attack out on their own patch is effectively zero. All four fullbacks looked vulnerable defensively in the first leg, given how much they push forward, leaving huge amounts of space. The two best attacking sides in the CL for a place in the final, and I'm expecting another goal fest.
04 May 2026
17:30 Hearts v Rangers

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@-161

Win

31

Rangers have been scoring and conceding plenty of goals lately. There have been 36 goals in their last 8 games, which is an average of 4.5 per game. BTTS has also landed in their last 4. Realistically, Rangers need to win this game to stand any chance of winning the title, so I think they will come out on the front foot. Hearts games at home tend to be tighter, but they have seen BTTS land in each of their last 3. The last meeting between these sides saw Rangers walk away with a 4-2 victory. Both teams' recent form points towards a high-scoring game, and I don't see either side keeping a clean sheet.
15:00 Chelsea v Nottm Forest

Chelsea

50 WIN

@-133

Lose

-50

We've seen Crystal Palace and Aston Villa make changes and put in poor performances ahead of their European ties this week. I think we should expect the same from Forest in this game. Vítor Pereira heavily implied he would make changes for this game in his interview after the Villa game next week. With the second leg only three days away and with Forest in a good position to avoid relegation in the league, I'm expecting a second-string Forest side in this game. Chelsea aren't exactly in good form, but having sacked their manager and secured their place in the FA Cup final, I think they will get a lift. They still have European football to play for, and I think they will have enough to beat a Forest side with one eye on Thursday night.
03 May 2026
15:30 Man Utd v Liverpool

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@-200

Win

25

I was at Old Trafford on Monday for the game against Brentford and was struck by both the blistering pace of United's attack and their defensive vulnerabilities. Senne Lammens was incredible that night, and in truth United were lucky to keep Brentford down to one. United have seen BTTS in 5/6 of their last games. United have not failed to score in any game Michael Carrick has taken charge of this season. Liverpool have won their last three in the PL, and although I don't think they'll win this one, I think they will have enough to get on the scoresheet. Another bet I really like for this game is United double chance and BTTS @2.05
12:00 Hibernian v Celtic

Celtic

50 WIN

@-124

Win

40

I don't think Hibs players or their manager will lie down for Celtic in this game, but there's no getting away from the fact that a significant number of Hibs fans will want their side to lose in order to stop rivals Hearts' bid to win a league title. That will create an odd atmosphere in the stadium. Hibs do not come into this tie in particularly good form, having won just 1 in 6 since beating Celtic 2-1 at Parkhead. They will also be without their first-choice keeper and Felix Passlack, who were sent off against Hearts on Sunday. Celtic are finding results and momentum at the right time, having won their last four on the bounce, and have the players and manager with experience and know-how for this stage of the season. Key players such as Alistair Johnston and Arne Engels have returned from injury, and crucially Daizen Maeda is finding form at the right time. He can win games on his own for Celtic when he's at his best. I think Celtic will get the win here and ramp up the pressure on title rivals Hearts and Rangers, who face off on Monday.
02 May 2026
17:30 Arsenal v Fulham

Arsenal

50 WIN

@-208

Win

24

This is a game in this title run that Arsenal simply have to win. The slip-up has happened, now they have City back into it and it's on them to wrestle their title back. I think the fact they are no longer the hunted will suit them. Arsenal have an opportunity to open up a six-point gap to City before City play, with a win here, and I think they'll have enough to get the job done.
15:00 Falkirk v Motherwell

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@-136

Lose

-50

Falkirk continue to play expansive football under John McGlynn this season and have seen BTTS land in each of their last seven league games. Motherwell are not keeping the clean sheets they were earlier in the season, having seen BTTS in five of their last six. These sides met in the league just under a month ago at Fir Park, with Falkirk walking away with a 3-2 victory. Neither of these sides have a whole lot to play for this time around and can play with some freedom, so I expect this game to open up with goals at either end.
01 May 2026
20:00 Leeds v Burnley

Leeds

50 WIN

@-249

Win

20

Leeds can effectively guarantee survival with a win here and should have enough to shake off their cup semi loss to get the job done. They have been strong at home all season and face a relegated Burnley side who have lost five of their last six. I'm not expecting a new-manager bounce from Burnley here, who have likely turned their focus to preparing for life in the Championship next season and have nothing to play for.
28 April 2026
20:00 PSG v Bayern Munich

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@-227

Win

22

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@-249

Win

20

The two best attacking sides in the CL this season face off in this semi-final, so it's hard to see anything but a high-scoring encounter here. Both teams have shown vulnerability defensively, so I don't see a clean sheet. Bayern have seen BTTS in 3/4 of their last games, with two 4-3s and a 4-2, showing that they are comfortable with high-scoring games given the strength of their attack. PSG have tightened up defensively a little recently, but I don't see them keeping out a front three of Kane, Ollié and Diaz. BTTS landed when these sides met earlier in the competition, and ultimately the attacking quality of both sides should lead to a repeat of this.
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26 April 2026
15:00 Rangers v Motherwell

Rangers

50 WIN

@-161

Lose

-50

25 April 2026
17:30 Arsenal v Newcastle

Arsenal

50 WIN

@-227

Win

22

17:30 Celtic v Falkirk

Celtic

50 WIN

@-277

Win

18

15:00 Wolverhampton v Tottenham

Tottenham

50 WIN

@-136

Win

37

22 April 2026
20:00 Burnley v Man City

Man City

50 WIN

@-555

Win

9

The odds aren't particularly rewarding for this one, but I can't see anything but a City win here. City have hit top form and can go top on GD with a win. Burnley have lost 5 of their last 6 games and have virtually nothing to play for here, given they are all but relegated. The title race is neck and neck now and could easily be decided by one slip-up. I don't see that happening to Man City here.
21 April 2026
20:00 Brighton v Chelsea

Brighton

50 WIN

@+150

Win

75

Chelsea are in terrible form, having lost their last four PL games without scoring a goal. The feeling around the club is not good at the moment, with it becoming increasingly apparent that their club strategy isn't working, fan protests, and unconvincing statements of confidence in Liam Rosenior. Brighton are over their mid-season slump and, prior to their last-gasp equaliser against Spurs, had three straight wins in the league. Given the contrasting form of the two sides, I'm backing Brighton here.
19 April 2026
16:30 Man City v Arsenal

Man City

50 WIN

@-120

Win

41

These two sides are trending in opposite directions. City are showing the form they usually do at this stage of the season, and Arsenal are showing all the signs of feeling the pressure of getting this title over the line. I think they will go into this game not to lose, but their defense is not as solid now as it was earlier in the season. I think City will find a way through.
14:00 Celtic v St Mirren

Under 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@+154

Lose

-50

These sides met in the league last weekend, with Celtic coming away with a 1-0 win??"a result they were lucky to get. They looked toothless in attack, as they have done for much of this season. Celtic striker Tomáš ?van?ara is struggling in front of goal, having just found the net once for the Hoops since he made his loan move in January. Iheanacho looks more of a threat in front of goal but is unlikely to start due to lack of match fitness. St Mirren controlled much of the game at Parkhead, particularly in the second half, without really threatening Celtic's goal. The fact that this is a cup semi may add a cagey element, so I think another low-scoring affair is likely. Under 3.5 at 1.57 is the more conservative bet and good value at this price. Either way, I think a goal fest is unlikely here.
14:00 Nottm Forest v Burnley

Nottm Forest

50 WIN

@-200

Win

25

Burnley's relegation fate looks sealed, and with four defeats and two draws from their last six, they look like a side that's down and out. I always fancy teams with something to play for against those who don't at this stage of the season, and I think Forest will have enough here. Forest put a decent Porto side out of Europe on Thursday, which was surprisingly their first home win of 2026. I think they will make it two on the bounce here.
18 April 2026
15:00 Leeds v Wolverhampton

Leeds

50 WIN

@-161

Win

31

Having won at Old Trafford on Monday, Leeds will come into this game full of confidence, knowing a win here will go a long way to ensuring their survival. Their strong home record is the main reason they are likely to stay up. Wolves have been resurgent under Rob Edwards, but a 4-0 defeat against West Ham last Friday suggests they may be running out of steam. Leeds ultimately have more to play for here, and I think they'll get the job done.
12:30 Dunfermline v Falkirk

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@-124

Lose

-50

Falkirk are playing very expansive football this season and BTTS has landed in 6/6 of their last games, most recently going down 6-3 to Rangers. Dunfermline are in good form and have only failed to score once in their last six and put three past Aberdeen in the quarter-final of this competition. Neil Lennon has done an excellent job at Dunfermline and is no stranger to this stage of the Scottish Cup. I think they will give this a right go but can't see them keeping Falkirk out at the other end.
15 April 2026
20:00 Bayern Munich v Real Madrid

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@-249

Win

20

Despite their attacking prowess, this Bayern side looks a little vulnerable defensively. With Madrid needing to win this game, I think they will get on the scoresheet here. Bayern's quality in attack was evident in the first leg, and in truth Madrid are lucky to be still in this. I can't see them keeping out Bayern on their own patch. BTTS has landed in all 6 of Madrid's last games and 4/6 of Bayern's.
14 April 2026
20:00 Atletico Madrid v Barcelona

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@-303

Win

17

Another tie where one team has to go for it, which should open the game up. This selection didn't land in the first leg, but the red card changed the dynamic of the game and Barca were very unlucky not to get on the scoresheet. Both sides play attacking football and have shown frailties in defense this season. Prior to the first leg of this tie, they've met three times this season and this selection landed in each of those games. With the tie poised as it is, I think that trend will continue here.
20:00 Liverpool v PSG

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@-227

Lose

-50

I fancy Liverpool to make a game of this with the Anfield crowd behind them. However, I can't see them keeping out PSG's attack in their current form. PSG's defence has been far from watertight this season, so I think Liverpool will at least get on the scoresheet. They have no option but to go for it in this game, a dynamic which often leads to high-scoring games. However, this will leave them exposed and I think the quality in PSG's attack will capitalise at some stage.
13 April 2026
20:00 Man Utd v Leeds

Man Utd

50 WIN

@-175

Lose

-50

This is a fixture United tend to take care of, they are unbeaten in their last 10 against Leeds winning 6 of those encounters. Leeds are are a much stronger outfit at home than away with only one away win all season against bottom side Wolves. United have been strong at home under Carrick and I think they will continue that form here.
12 April 2026
16:30 Chelsea v Man City

Man City

50 WIN

@+114

Win

57

Chelsea are going through a bit of a rough patch, having suffered back-to-back defeats in the league and being taken apart over two legs by PSG in the Champions League, before beating struggling League One side Port Vale in the FA Cup. Enzo Fernández remains banned over comments surrounding his future, and with players openly criticizing the club's strategy, it would seem all is not well at Chelsea. Man City always seem to hit form at this stage of the season and looked imperious against Liverpool last weekend, with Haaland looking back to his best. All things considered, I think City look good value at 2.15.
11 April 2026
15:00 Burnley v Brighton

Brighton

50 WIN

@-124

Win

40

Burnley have no wins and four losses in their last six games. Despite some spirited performances against Brentford and Chelsea, they now look resigned to playing in the Championship next year, sitting nine points behind West Ham. I think the feeling that their fate is sealed will start to seep into the squad. Brighton, however, have shown excellent form recently, winning four of their last five games, their only defeat coming at the hands of league leaders Arsenal. They sit just three points behind Brentford in seventh, so still have it all to play for in terms of securing European football for next season. Having seemingly overcome their mid-season slump, I fancy Brighton to pick up all three points here.
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15:00 Celtic v St Mirren

Celtic

50 WIN

@-303

Win

17

The Green Brigade make a long-awaited return to Parkhead this weekend, having been banned for five months and 32 matches. Their presence in the ground makes a huge difference to the atmosphere and should give a boost to the home side. The split fixtures were also announced this weekend, which look favourable for Celtic. As a result, confidence is growing around Parkhead this week that they can still go on to retain their title despite a hugely disappointing season. Protests have been set aside for the remainder of the season, with the path to the title now clear. I'm expecting a fully focused Celtic side, backed by full home support once again. St Mirren have shown some spirit under interim manager Craig McLeish, but I expect a rejuvenated Celtic to have too much here.
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15:00 Kilmarnock v Dundee

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@-149

Win

34

Killie are playing much more expansive football under Neil McCann. Although BTTS hasn't landed in any of their last three, it landed in the five games previous to that. They face Dundee this weekend, who have had BTTS in 6/7 of their recent matches. With Killie at home and Dundee showing good form, I fancy both teams to get on the scoresheet here.
08 April 2026
20:00 Barcelona v Atletico Madrid

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@-200

Lose

-50

Barca and Athleti are two attacking sides that often produce high-scoring games. You only have to look at their last scorelines in this competition, producing 7-2 and 3-2 scorelines respectively. BTTS has landed in 5/6 of Barca's last games in all comps and 4 of Athleti's last 6. The other two were 1-0 victories in the league. I don't fancy their chances of keeping Barca out on their own patch. BTTS landed when these two met a few days ago in La Liga, and given the open nature of CL games this year, I'm confident both sides get on the scoresheet here. Over 2.5 is a good bet for this game too, but for higher odds I'm comfortable going with BTTS.
20:00 PSG v Liverpool

PSG

50 WIN

@-136

Win

37

I was expecting this to come in at 1.4??"1.5. 1.73 seems like good value bet. Liverpool aren't in great shape at the moment, with just one win in five and coming off the back of a thrashing at City in the FA Cup at the weekend. PSG are a better side than City, IMO, and come into this tie with four straight wins. They dismantled Chelsea in the last round, a team that has performed at a similar level to Liverpool in the PL this season. PSG look like one of the strongest attacking sides in the CL and are in great goalscoring form, having notched 3+ goals in each of their last four games in all competitions. Liverpool at Anfield in the CL are a different proposition, but I think they will get turned over here.

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