Geoffery86

I have been following horses for over fifteen years now, I mainly use statistics to find my horses.

1

Estimated Prizes
this month

£5

Estimated Prize money
this month

Geoffery86's Tips History

All tips
All sports
17 October 2025
20:30 8:30 Newcastle

Mercurius Power

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@8.00

Lose

-50

Competitive affair, a few of these have good claims, none less than Second Fiddle. However, at the prices, I'm going for Mercurius Power. C&D going and class winner, he was 3rd here just over 2 weeks ago at this trip to Second Fiddle. That was a little over two lengths. Hopefully, he can swap positions today.
18:30 6:30 Newcastle

Look Back Smiling

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.00

Lose

-50

C&D, Class and Going winner. I've also backed Tempus in this one, and I won't personally be going E/W. I think it's between the two.

Tempus

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@7.00

Lose

-50

C&D, going and class wins to his name. No form to write home about recently, but he's been in class 4, 3, 2s. Class 5 today. The last time he was in a class 5, he won.
17:05 5:05 Redcar

Salaria

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.62

Lose

-50

Another short one, again the most suited horse, trainer, and jockey in the race. She ran about a month ago, so she would have had a good freshen up for this. She won that day, so hopefully, she can repeat that.
17:00 5:00 Fakenham

Gone In Sixty

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

C&D, Going and Class winner which is extremely useful around this track. He ran 3 weeks ago where he finished second, hopefully one better today.
14:57 2:57 Uttoxeter

Another Lord

Daily Racing

50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@5.50

Void

0

C&D going and class winner. He pulled up yesterday, and by the looks of things, nothing serious happened. I backed him yesterday, so I'm curious again to see what he can do.
14:40 2:40 Fakenham

Back In The Bay

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.38

Lose

-50

C&D, going and class winner. Also the most suited horse, trainer, and jockey in the race. Hopefully, she will show it today.
13:10 1:10 Redcar

Night Mission

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@1.62

Lose

-50

Obvious claims in the market. Most suited horse, trainer, and jockey in the race. Hopefully, a no-stress canter round... Class 5 today so he should take all the beating.
16 October 2025
20:15 8:15 Chelmsford City

Masqool

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

C&D, going and class wins to his name. Not the worst form on offer considering the grade he runs in. Back to the distance he last won at and 9 lbs lower today. Should go close.
17:45 5:45 Chelmsford City

The Thames Boatman

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@9.00

Lose

-50

C&D, going and class wins to his name. His form is progressive, so today could be his day. Top jockey booking and a nice price to boot. His record here is 2142, so seemingly he likes it here, or at least is competitive here.
17:35 5:35 Thurles

Get It Girl

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

Obvious claims when it comes to connections. The Mullins pair have a good record in these and usually they're odds on. Statistically, the jockey and trainer are most suited to this race, and at 7/2, this actually offers value compared to their usual entries.
16:27 4:27 Thurles

Run For Oscar

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.25

Lose

-50

We all know how good Hewick is. However, statistically, Run For Oscar is the most suited horse, along with the jockey and trainer. With that in mind, our selection offers more value than the odds on Hewick.
16:15 4:15 Carlisle

Hello Judge

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 4.50 used instead of 3.75 takenBOG

@4.50

Win

175

Again, C&D, going and class wins to his name. He's in really good form recently, having won a Class 2 here, then coming second in a Class 3. Class 4 today, so as a bare minimum, I'd expect him to be competitive.
15:50 3:50 Ffos Las

Gavin

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

C&D, going and class wins to his name. Upped in class today, so I'm a little tentative about the price. 5/1 would be more attractive. He's not won since May. I've a feeling he's performing well at home, so that would explain the class increase and the current price (3/1).
15:15 3:15 Ffos Las

At The Oche

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.38

Win

69

The Horse, Trainer, and Jockey are most suited to this race. The plus side to having Sam T-D on board is you know that if the horse is in contention in the home straight, you've got one of the strongest jockeys in the finish around.
15:07 3:07 Carlisle

Your Own Story

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@4.50

Lose

-50

C&D, class, and going wins to his name. His form could be a little misleading. His last 4 races were high-quality races in which he did have one good run. However, he's back down to class 3 today where admittedly he does have a case of seconditis, but I'm hoping today is his day.
14:12 2:12 Thurles

Qualimita

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

Sam Ewing is a quality jockey. He is sometimes in the shadow of Jack Kennedy, but he is top class. The horse trainer and jockey are most suited to this race, so I'm expecting her to be thereabouts at the end.
13:30 1:30 Ffos Las

Another Lord

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@1.57

Lose

-50

Another with not much imagination. The horse, trainer, and jockey are the most suited to this race, so again I'm expecting a professional performance.
13:00 1:00 Ffos Las

Fairlawn Skipper

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@1.62

Lose

-50

Obvious claims in the betting. I'd suggest the number one horse is the main danger. However, the horse, the jockey, and the trainer are the most suited to this race. So with that in mind, I'm expecting a professional performance.
15 October 2025
20:10 8:10 Kempton

Blue Train

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.10

Lose

-50

C&D, going and class wins to his name. Winner LTO in this class beating Jack Sparrowe, who ran well last night. He's had a couple of goes in class 5 recently, so class 6 should see him competitive.
18:10 6:10 Kempton

Military Cross

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@1.44

Lose

-50

Obvious claims according to the market. The Horse, Trainer, and Jockey are most suited for this race. This gelding has been running in higher company recently, Classes 4 & 3, finishing 2nd both times. He should come on for those runs, and down to Class 5 today, I can see why he's so short.
17:05 5:05 Punchestown

Takiwatanga

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-50

Most suited jockey and trainer in the race. He came 3rd on debut and should come on plenty for that. Same distance today should be competitive.
16:58 4:58 Worcester

Orange Diamond

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@4.00

Lose

-50

C&D, going and class wins to his name. He's on for a four-timer, which would usually put me off as all good things must come to an end. However, he has 13 races in his career so far, and the last three have all been here, which are all his wins. All at this distance and all hurdle races. Should be competitive.
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16:05 4:05 Punchestown

Western Fold

Daily Racing

50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@2.50

Void

0

On for a 5-timer, which again I would usually ignore had it not been for the fact he's not weighted out of this. He's 11-8 today, but ignoring the win LTO, he's won off 11-10 and 11-12, so I'm willing to go small on him and enjoy the race.
14:57 2:57 Worcester

Superstylin

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.88

Lose

-50

C&D, going and class wins to his name. His form is pretty good recently: 3, 2, 4, 1, all in this class. Winner here LTO at this trip, so connections must be hoping for a repeat today.
14:22 2:22 Worcester

Grillon De Monty

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@4.50

Lose

-50

This horse has all the usual C&D, going, and class wins to his name. He was a winner here LTO at this distance. His previous visit here was a win too. Should be competitive.
14 October 2025
20:30 8:30 Newcastle

Second Fiddle

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 1.83 used instead of 1.67 takenBOG

@1.83

Win

41

Obvious claims in the market and the most suited horse in the race. She's on for a 4-timer and 6 lbs lower than LTO, so I'm hoping she makes this routine.
20:15 8:15 Dundalk

Voice Of Reason

Daily Racing

50 EWNB

@11.00

Lose

-100

This horse doesn't jump straight off the page at first glance. However, he is the most suited to this race along with the trainer and jockey. He's running off his lowest ever weight as far as I can see, and over this C&D LTO he came 3rd off 3 lbs higher. He came third that day (25 days ago) by 2 1/4 lengths. At the price and 4 places, it may be worth going each way.
18:00 6:00 Newcastle

Capitalization

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.63

Lose

-50

Another horse that statistically is the most suited, along with the trainer and jockey for this race. He's not got the best form, 353 to date, but he's learning. I'm willing to give him another go today, having only been beaten by 2 lengths LTO.
17:35 5:35 Dundalk

Valiant Force

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 2.38 on 14/10 at 09:420.10 deduction for Fandom@8.00 withdrawn at 10:23R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 1.38 x (1-0.10) = 2.24Best Odds Guaranteed SP 2.88 used instead of 2.24 BOG

@2.88

Win

93

This horse has been knocking at the door recently and dropping in the weights as a result. W Lordan is booked today, and he's operating at a 20% strike rate these last two weeks. If anyone can get this colt to win, it's him.
16:50 4:50 Newcastle

Antrim

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.00

Win

150

Statistically, the most suited horse, trainer, and jockey for this race. This horse hasn't quite found his level yet. Connections think highly of him, having him start life in a class 4 (5th), then straight into a class 2 (last). His latest run was in a class 5 and he came 3rd of six. None of that shouts ready winner. I'm on the side of "well, at some point the penny will drop." The last two times he's raced keenly and the races were far too long to get away with that. If anyone can settle him, it will be James Doyle.
15:51 3:51 Market Rasen

Sure Touch

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@5.50

Win

225

Market Rasen, in my experience, is a hard place to win at. So this selection having C&D, Going, and Class wins to his name is a good place to start. It's all about the kick from the last turn. If you can get your horse ready at the apex to give it all, you should be thereabouts at the end. S Bowen is good at that, but his ride hasn't won here. Our selection has been in pretty good company recently, and I'm guessing that's the excuse for the form. Back to class 3 today, so I'm expecting him to be competitive.
14:51 2:51 Market Rasen

Indemnity

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.63

Win

81

Another most suited horse for this race and a quality jockey booking to boot. Does anyone else feel for Harry Cobden yet? Today could be his day.
14:21 2:21 Market Rasen

Stumps Or Slips

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.63

Lose

-50

Statistically, the most suited horse, trainer, and jockey in the race. Class 4 again today, having been in Class 2 LTO, so I'm happy to ignore that 6th effort. Prior to that, he completed a 4-timer, 3 of which were at this distance. Should go close.
13 October 2025
15:52 3:52 Musselburgh

Bellarchi

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@5.00

Win

200

I respect Jannas Journey in this one, but preference for Bellarchi. She's a C&D, Going, and Class winner. Her last win was here at this distance in August. Her next trip was to York in a Class 2, so she's thought of highly by connections to at least try her at that level. Hopeful of a good run.
15:22 3:22 Musselburgh

Trojan Sun

Daily Racing

50 WINNBNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 2.80 used instead of 2.63 takenBOG

@2.80

Win

90

Like my NAP. C&D, going class wins to his name. It's been a little while since his last win (July); however, that win was here at this distance. Should go close if he's ready.
14:30 2:30 Yarmouth

Calafiori

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.00

Lose

-50

Pretty reliable horse. He tends to be in the frame. Billy Booked again today. Statistically the most suited Horse, Trainer and jockey in the race. He only ran last week so he should be fit for this.
12 October 2025
17:12 5:12 Cork

Minella Emperor

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@7.50

Win

325

Statistically, the most suited horse, trainer, and jockey in the race. His form isn't the worst in his 4 runs to date. One win and a third in those 4. He's back at the distance he last won at, so I'm hoping that's his specialist trip. Good price too.
16:27 4:27 Chepstow

Washington

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@3.13

Win

106

C&D, going and class wins to his name. He's been running in good company recently, Class 2 LTO and two Class 1s prior to that, in which he did win one. Back to Class 3 today. A little high in the weights, but I'm hoping he's competitive.
16:12 4:12 Goodwood

Poseidons Warrior

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@1.50

Win

25

Obvious claims at the prices. Top connections. Statistically, the most suited horse, trainer, and jockey in this race. Hopefully, a nice win today.
11 October 2025
20:20 8:20 Wolverhampton

River Wharfe

Daily Racing

50 WINNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 3.75 used instead of 3.00 takenBOG

@3.75

Win

137

C&D, going and class wins to this gelding's name. He was a winner LTO, which was in mid-August, so he's had a bit of a freshen up for this latest run. His form is kind of all over the place, so I'm hoping I've found him on a going day.
16:50 4:50 Newmarket

Celandine

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.25

Lose

-50

She hasn't won in a while (22/08/2024), but Class 1s don't come for free. She is a C&D, Class, and Going winner, so I'm willing to take a chance. It would be nice if the odds drifted a bit too.
16:15 4:15 Newmarket

Pacifica Pier

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-50

This gelding started life in a Class 2 in Sandown and duly won by half a length. The excitement was short-lived, however, with his two subsequent runs being 3rd and 7th respectively in Class 4 and 3. Class 3 today and at a price I'm willing to take.
15:45 3:45 Hexham

King Roly

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.20

Lose

-50

This gelding has hit a bit of form in the last 3 races, 121. He's also carrying 7 lbs less than last time out. If he performs today, he could step up in class again. (Started life in class 5s, Class 3 today.)
15:00 3:00 Newmarket

Distant Storm

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.00

Lose

-50

C&D, going and class winner, all of which was LTO. Interesting start to his career. Class 3 on debut, just beating Constitution River. The next twice were Group 1s, winning the second one impressively. Should go close.
14:25 2:25 Newmarket

Al Zanati

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

Tentative selection this one, but I'm hopeful there is as much improvement in him as the connections think there is! He ran his debut in early August, winning by basically a neck in a Class 4. Class 1 today...
14:00 2:00 Naas

Cape Cod

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.88

Win

94

Obvious chance according to the market. This colt hasn't won yet in three attempts, but the last twice he has been competitive, coming 3rd then 2nd LTO. 5 lbs lower than LTO, so should be there at the line.
13:35 1:35 Chepstow

Ammes

Daily Racing

50 WINNBNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@1.80

Win

40

Obvious claims according to the market. Course, distance, going, and class wins to his name. He's up 5 lbs for that LTO win, but that win was by 5 lengths. Should be hard to beat here.
10 October 2025
16:45 4:45 Newmarket

Victory Queen

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@11.00

Lose

-50

Statistically, the most suited horse, trainer, and jockey in the race. At this price, I feel it is always worth a go on a horse with such stats. Buick back on today is a plus.
16:17 4:17 Chepstow

Coco Mademoiselle

Daily Racing

50 WINNAPNOTETip made at odds of 5.00 on 10/10 at 11:320.35 deduction for Welcom To Cartries@2.75 withdrawn at 15:210.20 deduction for Double Powerful @5.000 withdrawn at 15:59R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 4.00 x (1-0.55) = 2.80

@2.80

Win

90

Course, distance, going, and class wins to her name. I tipped her LTO at short odds, and she only just got her nose in front. She's off the same weight today in the same class. She's definitely good enough. It's whether she fancies it today.
15:23 3:23 Downpatrick

Someones Wish

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@7.50

Win

325

Another horse trainer-jockey combo which is most suited to this race. The form is all over the place, and he hasn't run in a hurdle race since November last year, where he came 8th of 23. That's not that bad really, all things considered. I'd suggest he's competitive today.
15:18 3:18 York

Thaluna

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

45

Obvious Claims according to the market. This selection is only one of three horses that have had their debut. Usually, they come on for that. In our case, she came second in a Class 2! Class 3 today and a bit of experience under her belt. Should make a good account of herself.
14:25 2:25 Newmarket

Cosmic Year

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.40

Lose

-50

Lots of positives for this colt. Started life with a hat-trick, then a second. LTO didn't get a clear run, so that was forgivable in my opinion. I like the jockey. I don't think he will make the same mistake as last time.

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