underdogaret

just a casual tipster that prioritizes dwells into value and probability.

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underdogaret's Tips History

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12 August 2025
02:38 LA Dodgers @ LA Angels

LA Dodgers

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.56

Lose

-50

I see LA Dodgers winning this game against LA Angels. LA Dodgers are the favorites here, and I like the odds.
01:30 Elena Rybakina vs Elise Mertens

Elena Rybakina

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.44

Win

22

When you compare the two, Elena Rybakina, for me, is a better player than Elise Mertens. As such, I am backing Elena Rybakina to win here.
00:40 DET Tigers @ CHI White Sox

DET Tigers

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.74

Win

37

While the Detroit Tigers are priced very efficiently for me, I still feel they will be able to edge this game despite me seeing very little value in terms of the Detroit Tigers being priced. Usually, this fixture is the one to skip given how tightly it is priced, but I am backing the Detroit Tigers as I feel they should be winning this game.
Subtotal9
11 August 2025
19:45 Amiens v Reims

Amiens

50 WIN

@4.20

Lose

-50

Reims has a very poor end to the season with wins in the last 6 games, while Amiens won 50% of their games. At the odds of 4.2 and the home advantage, I couldn't resist putting some money on the home team.
18:45 Estoril v Estrela Amadora

Estoril

50 WIN

@1.95

Lose

-50

18:00 Elfsborg v IFK Varnamo

Elfsborg

50 WIN

@1.44

Lose

-50

18:00 GAIS v IFK Goteborg

GAIS

50 WIN

@2.05

Lose

-50

18:00 Puszcza Niepolomice v Wieczysta Krakow

Wieczysta Krakow

50 WIN

@2.40

Win

70

18:00 UD Oliveirense v SC Farense

UD Oliveirense

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

17:30 Frances Tiafoe vs Ugo Humbert

Frances Tiafoe

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.67

Win

34

I expect Frances Tiafoe to win this game against Ugo Humbert. I also like the odds that have been provided, and I see value in this bet.
17:00 FC Botosani v FC Arges Pitesti

FC Arges Pitesti

50 WIN

@3.40

Lose

-50

17:00 HJK Helsinki v FC Ilves

HJK Helsinki

50 WIN

@2.50

Win

75

17:00 Septemvri Sofia v Beroe

Septemvri Sofia

50 WIN

@2.80

Lose

-50

16:00 Alex Michelsen vs Holger Rune

Alex Michelsen

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.38

Lose

-50

Alex Michelsen has been priced very well for punters here, and I see good value in backing Alex Michelsen. Higher probability of winning than the odds suggest.
11:00 Cerezo Osaka v Albirex Niigata

Cerezo Osaka

50 WIN

@1.62

Win

31

10:00 Hanshin Tigers @ Hiroshima Carp

Hanshin Tigers

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.66

Void

0

Hanshin Tigers are priced pretty decent here. There is slight value to be had here. As such, I will back Hanshin Tigers here against Hiroshima Carp.
10:00 Yokohama Bay Stars @ Yakult Swallows

Yokohama Bay Stars

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.71

Lose

-50

At this moment, Yokohama Bay Stars look like the better team compared to Yakult Swallows. At these odds, backing Yokohama Bay Stars makes sense.
09:00 Orix Buffaloes @ Lotte Marines

Orix Buffaloes

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

This is decent odds to back Orix Buffaloes at Lotte Marines. Orix Buffaloes are the slight favorites here, and given the odds, backing them makes sense.
09:00 Rakuten Eagles @ Seibu Lions

Rakuten Eagles

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-50

I feel Rakuten Eagles can win this game against Seibu Lions even though the bookies have considered Seibu Lions to be the slight favorites. I like the odds here.
06:00 Chunichi Dragons @ Yomiuri Giants

Yomiuri Giants

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.78

Lose

-50

In this game between Chunichi Dragons and Yomiuri Giants, I think the home team Yomiuri Giants are the slight favorites. I also like the odds given here.
06:00 Nippon Ham Fighters @ Softbank Hawks

Softbank Hawks

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.61

Win

31

Softbank Hawks look the better team here compared to Nippon Ham Fighters. So I back the Softbank Hawks to win this game.
Subtotal-263
10 August 2025
21:10 BOS Red Sox @ SD Padres

BOS Red Sox

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.25

Lose

-50

There isn't much to separate the two teams, and as such, the odds of 2.25 for Boston Red Sox against San Diego Padres look like value.
21:05 WAS Nationals @ SF Giants

SF Giants

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.62

Lose

-50

I am here backing SF Giants to win this game vs. WAS Nationals. The odds have value, and hence I will back SF Giants against WAS Nationals.
21:00 WAS Mystics @ DAL Wings

WAS Mystics

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.40

Win

70

The odds given for Team 2 are pretty decent, and I see value in backing Team 2 at these odds vs Team 1. As such, I am putting my money on Team 2.
19:10 CLE Guardians @ CHI White Sox

CLE Guardians

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.77

Lose

-50

As per my estimate, the probability of the Cleveland Guardians winning against the Chicago White Sox is higher than the odds suggest. So, I back the Cleveland Guardians.
19:10 NY Mets @ MIL Brewers

MIL Brewers

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.83

Win

41

I will back Milwaukee Brewers here against New York Mets. I expect Milwaukee Brewers to win this game against New York Mets. Also, decent value.
19:00 Ujpest v Paksi

Ujpest

50 WIN

@1.90

Lose

-50

My expected probability of Ujpest winning against Paksi is higher than that suggested by the odds. As such, I see value in backing Ujpest vs Paksi.
18:35 CIN Reds @ PIT Pirates

CIN Reds

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

The probability of the Cincinnati Reds winning against the Pittsburgh Pirates is higher than what the odds suggest, as per my calculations. As such, I back the Cincinnati Reds to win.
18:35 HOU Astros @ NY Yankees

HOU Astros

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.75

Win

88

I see value in this bet. HOU Astros for 2.75 is a bet I couldn't reject. The probability of HOU Astros winning against NY Yankees is higher than what the odds suggest for me.
18:35 The Athletics @ BAL Orioles

The Athletics

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.15

Win

57

There is value to be had here backing the team on the road. I expect the Athletics to win this game against the BAL Orioles.
18:30 Znicz Pruszkow v Polonia Warsaw

Polonia Warsaw

50 WIN

@2.20

Win

60

My expected probability of Polonia Warsaw winning this game against Znicz Pruszkow is higher than what the odds suggest. As such, I see value in backing Polonia Warsaw.
18:15 Antwerp v OH Leuven

Antwerp

50 WIN

@1.85

Win

43

18:15 Sandefjord v Viking FK

Viking FK

50 WIN

@2.30

Win

65

I like the value here in backing Viking FK vs Sandefjord. I feel Viking FK have a good chance compared to the odds of winning here, and as such, I back Viking FK to win.
18:05 KC Royals @ MIN Twins

KC Royals

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.95

Lose

-50

KC Royals have what it takes to beat MIN Twins. As such, I back the KC Royals to win this game.
17:00 Brondby v Vejle

Brondby

50 WIN

@1.62

Win

31

There seems to be good value in backing Brondby vs Vejle. Brondby are the better team and are playing at home.
17:00 Caykur Rizespor v Goztepe

Caykur Rizespor

50 WIN

@2.30

Lose

-50

I believe the home team is the better team on paper compared to the away team. Though there is some risk, I like the value and hence backing Caykur Rizespor.
16:45 Kisvarda FC v Puskas Academy

Puskas Academy

50 WIN

@1.75

Lose

-50

Puskas Academy are a better team compared to Kisvarda FC. The bookies have given Puskas Academy better value given they are the away team. But despite being away from home, Puskas Academy should win.
16:45 Zalaegerszegi TE v Gyor Eto FC

Zalaegerszegi TE

50 WIN

@2.15

Lose

-50

Zalaegerszegi is playing at home and also looks like the stronger team. So, I am backing the home team, Zalaegerszegi, to win.
16:30 Borussia Dortmund v Juventus

Borussia Dortmund

50 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-50

Borussia Dortmund, in comparision, seems like a better team, and as such, I believe that Borussia Dortmund can win this game.
16:30 Sunderland v Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

50 WIN

@2.05

Win

52

For this game, I will back Rayo Vallecano as they seem like the better team and seem to be a good value for their odds.
16:30 VPS Vaasa v SJK

SJK

50 WIN

@2.45

Win

73

I expect Team 2 to win over Team 1. I also like the value the odds provide, and at that value, I will stake some of my bank on Team 2.
16:00 Dayana Yastremska vs Viktoriya Tomova

Viktoriya Tomova

Win Match

50 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-50

I really like the odds provided for Viktoriya Tomova here. For this price, I can't help but back Viktoriya Tomova against Dayana Yastremska.
16:00 Francisco Comesana vs Luciano Darderi

Francisco Comesana

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.75

Void

0

The value provided at the odds of 1.75 is pretty decent. As such, I will back Francisco Comesana to win against Luciano Darderi.
16:00 Jasmine Paolini vs Maria Sakkari

Maria Sakkari

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.95

Lose

-50

I expect Sakkari to win this match. The match will definitely be tightly contested, but I expect Maria to win this game.
16:00 Veronika Kudermetova vs Belinda Bencic

Belinda Bencic

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.73

Lose

-50

Bencic should have shorter odds than what she has been provided. As such, I see value in backing Bencic at these odds.
15:30 Lugano v Basel

Basel

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

15:00 Chelsea v AC Milan

Chelsea

50 WIN

@1.83

Win

41

My pick is Chelsea as Chelsea seem to be better than AC Milan. So, my money is on Chelsea to win this game.
12:35 Zhejiang v Beijing Guoan

Beijing Guoan

50 WIN

@2.15

Win

57

Beijing Guoan looks like the stronger side here, and as such, I am backing the away team, Beijing Guoan, to win.
12:30 Hertha Berlin v Karlsruher SC

Karlsruher SC

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

Hertha started the campaign with a loss against Schalke. Karlsruher won their first encounter. Karlsruher ended the last campaign pretty solid with a 67% win rate in the last 5 games. I see decent value in backing Karlsruher, despite them being the underdog and away from home.
12:30 Holstein Kiel v Arminia Bielefeld

Arminia Bielefeld

70 WIN

@2.90

Win

133

Historically, Holstein Kiel has found it tough against Arminia Bielefeld, losing 6 out of their last 10 meetings. As such I believe there is value in backing Arminia Bielefeld.
12:00 Tianjin Jinmen Tigers v Qingdao West Coast

Qingdao West Coast

50 WIN

@2.90

Lose

-50

11:00 FC Tokyo v Kashima Antlers

FC Tokyo

50 WIN

@2.45

Lose

-50

Out of the two teams, FC Tokyo and Kashima Antlers, I feel FC Tokyo is the better side at the moment. As such, I back FC Tokyo to win vs Kashima Antlers.
11:00 Machida Zelvia v Vissel Kobe

Machida Zelvia

50 WIN

@2.70

Win

85

Subtotal142

Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

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