JohnnyLenny
1
Estimated Prizes
this month
£5
Estimated Prize money
this month
JohnnyLenny's Tips History
15 June 2025
20:00 PSG v Atletico Madrid
PSG
50 WIN
@1.95
Win
47
PSG conquered the Champions League in extremely impressive fashion. I am not thinking this will be as easy, but their style of play was so effective, and it would be great to see them win this tournament as well.
16:15 4:15 Hamilton
Cabelleroso
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Lose
-50
Cabelleroso has not got a lot of miles on the clock compared to some in this and has the hood back on today. I would forget the last run, and it has gone down 2 lbs for that. Winning as a 2-year-old at Chelmsford with the first-time hood is the main reason why I give the Hugo Palmer runner a solid each way here.
15:35 3:35 Gowran Park
May Night
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@8.00
Lose
-50
May Night seems like an odd choice on face value, but on closer examination, just looking at the runs with cheekpieces: 11357, which includes a win 69 in May last year. Today, running off 54 with them reattached, I will take as significant.
11:00 Elena Gabriela Ruse vs Elise Mertens
Elise Mertens
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.50
Win
25
Elise Mertens should have Ruse's number in this one. I have her closer to 1.3 in this, and I will use her in multiples today. Ruse won't get many chances in this and will need to convert a lot more often to stand a chance here. Mertens should take this in straight sets.
Subtotal-28
14 June 2025
19:50 7:50 Leicester
Trojan Truth
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.00
Win
200
Trojan Truth over 12f with blinkers is very effective and I think this is a great chance to go in again. Winning by 3 lengths when running here June last year backs claims today.
19:40 7:40 Uttoxeter
Anyharminasking
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@3.00
Lose
-50
Anyharminasking looks good in this race over fences. A decent class hurdler has some characteristics I like in a chaser. A sharp two miles round here with a horse that travels well will hopefully deliver in this one.
11:00 Felix Auger Aliassime vs Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.57
Win
28
Taylor Fritz is in front on all metrics for me. Whilst I dont think he can beat the winner of the other semi he will not get a better chance to get through to take his chance. I think the odds are fairly generous as I would have Fritz around 1.3 not 1.57
Subtotal178
13 June 2025
22:25 New Zealand vs Argentina
New Zealand
Win Match 2-way
50 WIN
@1.73
Lose
-50
New Zealand are better than a 1.73 chance here and i expect to win with the minimum of fuss. Considering some of the other markets but will start with this one for now.
21:40 Germany vs Singapore
Germany
Most 180s
50 WIN
@1.80
Lose
-50
Germany can gets a clear win over Singapore claiming this market while doing it. I have Germany about 90% here for the win so taking this one 4x1 should be enough.
20:40 Belgium vs Philippines
Belgium
Most 180s
50 WIN
@1.73
Lose
-50
Belgium are the clear choice in this so 1.73 in the market feels big. This is the only market with any fair odds available as the other markets are too low are require a lot more confidence in the participants.
16:35 4:35 Chester
Super Hit
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.00
Lose
-50
Super Hit has only had three runs on the grass with a win and a close third at Thirsk. This would make 6.00 look generous and having ditched the hood and the cheekpieces previouly used then there is room for improvement. This is going to go very close today.
14:40 2:40 Sandown
Andaleep
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 10.00 on 13/06 at 07:500.10 deduction for Mustazeed@7.50 withdrawn at 10:17R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 9.00 x (1-0.10) = 9.10
@9.10
Win
15
Andaleep has Jim Crowley in the saddle today so a better effort should be on the cards. Another one that wouldnt mind some of the forcast rain to arrive. The five time course winner could be in the mix today.
13:30 1:30 Sandown
Good Earth
Daily Racing
25 EW
@7.50
Lose
-50
Good Earth has been highly tried but has shown a liking to this track when tried so I would not be shocked if it can get in the frame again. Some of the rain arriving would assist as well the low draw seems beneficial.
11:30 Marton Fucsovics vs Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.40
Win
20
Taylor Fritz should be able to handle this without too much fuss. Not going to mess with the straight sets market. The number 2 seed would be expected to make the final in this tournament and the draw has worked out in his favour.
10:00 Nuno Borges vs Ugo Humbert
Ugo Humbert
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.44
Win
22
Ugo Humbert is the rightful favourite here. He has been efficient so far and has handled break point situations really well. There are certain things that could get better and Borges heavy serves will test Humbert but I think he will get through.
Subtotal-193
12 June 2025
18:20 6:20 Leopardstown
Comanche Brave
Daily Racing
50 WINNAPR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@2.88
Void
0
Comanche Brave was able to manage a respectable effort in the Irish 2000 Guineas after taking a bump at the 2f mark. If we get the same horse that ran Henri Matisse to half a length over the track, there are not many here that can match. If we avoid any rain, Ryan Moore should steer this to victory.
16:33 4:33 Nottingham
Deep Water Bay
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@1.83
Lose
-50
Deep Water Bay was able to win last time despite nearly veering out of the contest. Only a small penalty for the win and raised in distance to offset some. Luke Morris steering again today, looking for an easier time. This one should make all again.
15:50 3:50 Newbury
Majaz
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@12.00
Lose
-50
Majaz could easily have come on a lot from the debut run. Very much a typical Shadwell Estate runner that will eventually find their level before striking. I think this one could grab a spot in the frame. Consecrated has the only non-maiden form, and that was only 4th at York when favorite.
15:15 3:15 Newbury
Boubyan
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.75
Lose
-50
Boubyan was unlucky at Windsor and off the same mark cannot be missed. After all of the trouble in running last time, a big field like this could be a concern, but I think lessons have been learned. So, Hollie Doyle to steer things home today.
14:40 2:40 Newbury
Time To Turn
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@1.62
Lose
-50
Time To Turn is short at 1.62, but given Appleby has a lot of runners that improve for the debut run, a 40% win rate from 144 runners. The Buick combo also has a high strike rate with him, 35% from 160 runners. Lion Of Alba is one to watch for the future, as I think this one will come into its own over at least 7f.
10:00 Alex Michelsen vs Justin Engel
Alex Michelsen to win 2 - 0
Set Betting
50 WIN
@1.48
Lose
-50
Alex Michelsen defeated Gael Monfils in the last round, and I don't think Justin Engel will be able to slow him down much in this one. Michelsen will likely go for a quick win here before moving into the final 8.
10:00 Daniel Evans vs Ugo Humbert
Ugo Humbert
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.40
Win
20
Ugo Humbert should be able to beat Daniel Evans today. I am not convinced this one will be easy, but the odds are slightly better than what I was expecting for the straight win. The French number 2 seed is one of the multiples today.
Subtotal-230
11 June 2025
20:00 8:00 Hamilton
Parisiac
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@2.00
Lose
-50
Parisiac is battle tested over the track and is still on a good handicap mark to win again. Short favourite rightfully so.
16:50 4:50 Limerick
War Correspondent
Daily Racing
25 EW
@7.50
Lose
-50
War Correspondent is back on the flat after a hurdles campaign, which was able to snag a win, which is more than most of these have been capable of. Playing safe here, I think the jockey booking means business today, so winning would be the bonus but should be in the frame.
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15:30 3:30 Lingfield
Saxon Land
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.25
Lose
-50
Saxon Land comes here after a change of stable, and the new start looks like connections have found a weak race to see what this is capable of. They have already pulled this off previously, so I am optimistic.
15:15 3:15 Yarmouth
Heart Of Eternity
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.25
Lose
-50
Heart Of Eternity is worth taking a chance against the favourite here. Chinkara has had three runs with only some appeal and Appleby has a very good record on this track so I think this one is the better option.
14:30 2:30 Lingfield
Colinski
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 7.50 used instead of 4.00 takenBOG
@7.50
Win
325
Colinski is likely to show considerably more now in this low-grade handicap. Hector Crouch is booked today after going off at 80 in both of the latest starts and being always behind as well. Hoping for a good start here.
Subtotal125
10 June 2025
10:00 Denis Shapovalov vs Arthur Rinderknech
Denis Shapovalov
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.50
Lose
-50
Denis Shapovalov is a confident choice, and straight sets is very tempting. I have him on top in pretty much all areas, so I am just going straight win today.
Subtotal-50
09 June 2025
17:03 5:03 Brighton
Kranjcar
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@3.50
Lose
-50
Kranjcar can close out Brighton by winning the last today. This one is battle-tested around here in the conditions. Other than rain arriving, I think this one has the goods down on the coast today.
14:40 2:40 Southwell
Karavomylos
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.50
Lose
-50
Karavomylos looks like it needed the run after a long layoff last time. Making the debut over fences for the Bowens today, I can see this having the race run to suit, giving time to get into a rhythm and run these down from 2 out.
11:30 Viktoriya Tomova vs Elise Mertens
Elise Mertens to win 2 - 0
Set Betting
50 WIN
@1.61
Win
31
Elise Mertens should get off the mark in this one with a straight sets win. While 1.61 is a bit low, the number 3 seed is the better of these. She should go far in this tournament.
10:00 Arianne Hartono vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Elisabetta Cocciaretto to win 2 - 0
Set Betting
50 WIN
@1.55
Win
28
Elisabetta Cocciaretto is an easy choice for a straight sets win here. Starting against Hartono, which is one of the easier draws she could have got. She may not go too far if getting through this round, but won't get a better chance.
Subtotal-41
08 June 2025
13:30 1:30 Punchestown
Spanish Harlem
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 1.53 used instead of 1.44 takenBOG
@1.53
Win
26
Spanish Harlem has been given a much easier race here in a novice chase. This is a bit short at 1.44 now, but I don't see another outcome in this race. I will be interested to see how Sean Cleary Farrell gets on here to see if we are likely to see a lot more of him for Willie Mullins.
Subtotal26
07 June 2025
17:55 5:55 Worcester
Dollymount
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.50
Lose
-50
Dollymount has moved to Owen's stable, which has had some success with its newcomers before, and this looks like another one in that model. Sean Bowen is booked, who is about as good as you could go for, so they definitely mean business today.
17:20 5:20 Punchestown
Davy Crockett
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@2.20
Win
60
Davy Crockett isn't an original choice, and it's not one that I would consider giving the 'Bet of the Day' tag. But I get the feeling Willie Mullins was looking for a race like this to set this newcomer to work. The field is not too big here, so chances of an unlucky narrative to the race seem unlikely. C'mon Davy.
17:05 5:05 Navan
St Faz
Daily Racing
25 EW
@7.00
Lose
-50
St Faz gets back on the level after winning a chase at Tipperary last time out. This one is at the right end of the weights, and Seamie Heffernan is a great booking for this staying contest. Definitely in the frame, but I think this will be very close to the win in my view.
17:00 Maya Joint vs Sara Bejlek
Maya Joint
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.60
Lose
-50
No. 1 seed Maya Joint should be able to defeat Sara Bejlek and reach the final without too many issues here. The Australian leads on all metrics, and 1.6 is generous, so I won't mess with the straight sets odds here. One for the accas today.
16:30 4:30 Navan
Treasure Rose
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.50
Lose
-50
Treasure Rose should build on an encouraging debut when slowly away at Gowran Park. Murtagh has a good record when it comes to races like this between 8f and 12f. Market confidence would underline this one but I am going to trust it.
15:55 3:55 Navan
Queen Of Thunder
Daily Racing
25 EW
@8.00
Lose
-50
Queen Of Thunder is a clear second best to Red Letter in this one. Still lightly raced and hasn't really run a bad one so far, even in the 1000 Guineas last year when, after a slow start, ran on to mid-division despite being over 100 to 1 on the day. Should be a lock for a place and will take advantage of any mistakes from the favourite.
15:45 3:45 Worcester
Son Of Tyran
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.75
Lose
-50
Son Of Tyran runs for the Skelton team, who seem to be very effective in National Hunt flat races, and one main challenger is Nana Noodleman. Worcester has been a good hunting ground before, and I will trust this one today.
15:30 3:30 Epsom Downs
Delacroix
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.50
Lose
-50
Delacroix for me is an easy choice here. Aidan O'Brien and Ryan Moore executed two tactical masterclasses yesterday to take down the two big races. Delacroix travels really well and seems to have some decent acceleration in the locker, so I am going to trust Mr. O'Brien that this is his best for this race.
14:30 2:30 Musselburgh
Alaskan Light
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@1.91
Win
45
Alaskan Light goes down in grade here and has an excellent chance to get off the mark. The distance grade and draw are all in favour here and will sit on the pace before looking to pounce late and take this. Filly Foden would be the only serious challenger.
14:25 2:25 Worcester
Ile De Jersey
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 2.63 used instead of 2.50 takenBOG
@2.63
Win
81
Ile De Jersey back over fences today seems well weighted to go in again for Nick Henderson. James Bowen is steering today and Worcester is a track he has a good record on to endorse this one.
Subtotal-164
06 June 2025
16:00 4:00 Epsom Downs
Desert Flower
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@2.62
Lose
-50
Desert Flower has a great chance to add another classic to the unbeaten run. I do not think this horse would be running if the distance could be an issue, which is essentially what you're betting here. Aidan usually brings his best to the party, but Desert Flower is a special one.
12:30 Greet Minnen vs Tereza Martincova
Greet Minnen
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.45
Win
22
Greet Minnen seems an easy choice here, and I think she should be shorter than 1.45. I was looking at the other markets as straight sets is a high possibility, but I will take the easy option. 5th seed Minnen should have this comfortably.
12:30 Sijia Wei vs Kimberly Birrell
Kimberly Birrell to win 2 - 0
Set Betting
50 WIN
@1.80
Win
40
Kimberly Birrell is too short to back straight, and this match gives the 2 seed a chance to get this done quickly and move on to the next one. There is a gap between these two in world rankings, and 1.8 is a reasonable price to sweep.
Subtotal12
05 June 2025
16:20 4:20 Leopardstown
Minerva
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@1.67
Lose
-50
Minerva will have high expectations given the huge price tag. O'Brien won a similar race with a newcomer yesterday, but Moore will hope this one can get the job done a little bit more comfortably.
14:50 2:50 Lingfield
Dutch Finale
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 4.50 used instead of 3.00 takenBOG
@4.50
Win
175
Dutch Finale is worth another go after last time, where the blindfold caused a seriously slow start, losing any chance. That aside, this would be a start in a handicap for connections which have over 35% win rates with horses around the 2x1 mark.
Subtotal125
04 June 2025
17:50 5:50 Curragh
Stella Alpina
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.88
Lose
-50
Stella Alpina looks like a safe choice here. If able to overcome the draw, I expect this to win. There are a lot of first-time-out runners, so with a quick start, this should be able to get across far enough to settle at the front end.
16:45 4:45 Curragh
Amadeus Mozart
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 1.91 used instead of 1.73 takenBOG
@1.91
Win
45
Amadeus Mozart is the choice in a race which is usually O'Brien's go-to for winners. He has two in this, but Ryan Moore has chosen this one, and so far the market has as well. 1.73 is about as low as I would go on this due to the number of first-time-out runners.
16:30 Dominika Salkova vs Anca Todoni
Anca Todoni
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.53
Win
26
Anca Todoni should win this in straight sets but I am not taking any chances. The 4th seed should be considered one of the favourites for this title and it will be a missed chance if falling here.
15:00 Angela Fita Boluda vs Jil Teichmann
Jil Teichmann to win 2 - 0
Set Betting
50 WIN
@1.73
Lose
-50
Teichmann is likely to win this in straight sets against the qualifier Boluda. The Spaniard Boluda's odds don't seem to be showing signs of confidence for an upset, so I will go with this at 1.73.
14:30 Anna Bondar vs Tessah Andrianjafitrimo
Anna Bondar to win 2 - 0
Set Betting
50 WIN
@1.45
Win
22
Anna Bondar will try and dispatch this quickly, and I see a straight sets win against Frances Tessah Andrianjafitrimo. I think the 1.45 is short, but this is one of those 95% confident situations, so I will be shocked if it's anything else.
13:00 Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Bublik
Jannik Sinner to win 3 - 0
Set Betting
50 WIN
@1.44
Win
22
Jannik Sinner has been coasting through all of his games in straight sets, and I don't see this being any different. The Italian will get this done quickly and will keep the world number 1 fresh for the next round.
12:30 Lucrezia Stefanini vs Valentina Ryser
Lucrezia Stefanini
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.62
Win
31
Stefanini looks like she is a good deal stronger than the qualifier Valentina Ryser. The Italian could get this done in straight sets, but 1.62 is fine, and I think this will get done with a bit in hand.
10:30 Diane Parry vs Lauren Davis
Diane Parry
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.40
Win
20
Diane Parry should really win this against American Lauren Davis. Straight sets should be the outcome here, but there could be some resistance. I will overlook that and stay with the easy choice.
10:00 Madison Keys vs Coco Gauff
Coco Gauff
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.50
Win
25
Coco Gauff is marching on towards another potential Grand Slam final, and I think this could easily be a straightforward win. I am considering straight sets, but it's okay at 1.5 for this market.
Subtotal91
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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
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