mattnewman

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mattnewman's Tips History

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30 April 2025
19:25 7:25 Brighton

Bear To Dream

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 11.00 on 29/04 at 21:010.10 deduction for Lilkian@10.00 withdrawn at 14:29R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 10.00 x (1-0.10) = 10.00Best Odds Guaranteed SP 13.00 used instead of 10.00 BOG

@13.00

Win

35

A wide draw is not ideal for him but perhaps that can be offset by the return to this distance. He finished off his race strongly over 6f here last time out and all three of his turf wins have come at this track, including one over this distance. Is on a very workable mark on the pick of his efforts.
1 member found this comment useful
14:57 2:57 Pontefract

Arecibo

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

Wears a visor for the first time since August 2020 here at a track where he has run respectably in all three of his prior visits. Is well into the veteran stage now but has bits of form over the last year that suggests this is still a workable mark.
13:40 1:40 Ascot

Docklands

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-50

Runner-up in the Queen Anne last season before a trip to Australia and the Far East. Back in listed company and returning to this straight mile should help, with this level the easiest that he has run at in the past 11 months.
1 member found this comment useful
29 April 2025
19:30 7:30 Wolverhampton

Tapis Rouge

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-50

A typically interesting type stepping up markedly in trip on handicap debut for this yard. He only ran well in one of his three runs for a mark, but that was enough to think that if he can produce that level again, an opening mark of 62 would see him thrown in.
16:40 4:40 Brighton

Hawkesbury Legend

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.88

Win

94

Did better on his handicap debut than he had in three runs for a mark. He is a half-sibling to a couple of smart types, including a Group 2 winner, so no surprise if he improves for both his first run on the turf and for the general experience.
16:05 4:05 Brighton

Santorini Star

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.00

Win

100

Progressive last season but shaped as if there was much more to come. Yard has only sent nine runners to Brighton in the last five seasons and has won with five of them.
15:30 3:30 Brighton

Assured

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

Best run for a mark was the only time that she ran on turf at Goodwood so she has experience with a switchback track. That will be a big help for her here, representing a yard that has a solid record at this track. She travelled really well that day and is interesting here on her handicap debut.
1 member found this comment useful
14:20 2:20 Brighton

Shaw Park

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.25

Lose

-50

All three of his turf wins have come over this C&D. Sent off as favourite over a mile here last time out, the extra furlong just saw his stamina fade. On a workable mark on the best of his form, he also has a 5lb claimer to help with his burden.
14:08 2:08 Nottingham

Zaman Daar

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.50

Lose

-50

Well backed on his return to turf at Brighton, a close-up 4th despite not being able to get a clear run at a key time. Clearly well enough treated from the same mark to get his head in front if things drop kinder for him this time from 3 lb below his sole winning mark.
1 member found this comment useful
28 April 2025
19:30 7:30 Windsor

Paragon

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@4.50

Lose

-8

Showed only limited ability last season in three starts for a mark but he is bred to be much better than this opening mark of 59. The horses that finished around him in those runs suggest that this mark is more than workable. He has been gelded ahead of his handicap debut and it's interesting that powerful connections have persisted with him.
17:20 5:20 Lingfield

Hoornblower

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.50

Lose

-50

Fresh has been the time to catch him so far in his career, winning a Class 5 over C&D on his opening start last season. He is 4lb higher here but he won that by more than three lengths so there is plenty of wiggle room in this rating.
1 member found this comment useful
15:15 3:15 Lingfield

Youthful King

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.00

Lose

-50

A winner the only prior time that he ran in a Class 4 over C&D back in September. He is only a couple of pounds higher here and won with more than that in hand. Shaped well enough in a couple of Class 2 events in the spring and will appreciate the drop in class.
27 April 2025
17:45 5:45 Southwell

Handcuffed

Daily Racing

25 EW

@10.00

Lose

-50

Three of her five starts last season came in Group 3 company, not beaten far in a hugely competitive York handicap on her only start in this company. This is her AW debut, but it is also the softest race that she has run in since making a winning debut. That suggests that fresh should be no concern for her.
16:00 4:00 Wetherby

Profit Refused

Daily Racing

25 EW

@4.50

Win

105

Starts out for Ollie Sangster off a workable mark on the best of her Irish form. That came in stronger handicaps than this one at Cork and Curragh. Jamie Spencer has a solid record for the yard so he is an interesting jockey booking.
14:30 2:30 Wetherby

Coma Cluster

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.88

Lose

-50

Runner-up on her first start of 2025 which was also her handicap debut. She looked like the longer trip here would be a help and she is only a couple of pounds higher. Is a half-sister to the 2024 Queen Alexandra winner at Royal Ascot so there is plenty of stamina in her pedigree.
26 April 2025
16:10 4:10 Sandown

Resplendent Grey

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@9.00

Win

240

Did well to finish as close as he did in the National Hunt Chase. Headgear added now in a bid to get him to travel a little sweeter through the heart of the contest. The winner of that went and won the Irish National on Monday, so that has been a good franking of the form.
15:50 3:50 Haydock

Asinara

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.50

Win

2

Showed solid form last season in similar handicaps. She should have a race in her off this mark, and low tends to be the place that you want to be on this sprint track.
25 April 2025
18:47 6:47 Fontwell

Ferret Jeeter

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 15.00 on 24/04 at 19:240.10 deduction for Twp Stori@8.50 withdrawn at 09:51R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 14.00 x (1-0.10) = 13.60

@15.00

Void

0

Has been off for a long time, but fitness is rarely a concern for this stable. Kept plugging away on his sole run at this track. Not running so well the last two times that he was seen when he went without a tongue strap that is returning here. Looks the type for a test of stamina.
18:17 6:17 Fontwell

Kingston Gent

Daily Racing

25 EW

@10.00

Win

20

Bits of Form in novices for a mark and heavy ground was probably not ideal for his handicap debut. Won a point on good ground, so these underfoot conditions should suit him better, and he is not badly treated from this mark on his Wincanton run.
14:40 2:40 Perth

President Scottie

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.50

Lose

-50

Well supported over fences a couple of times this season, but he has run into one on each occasion. He has chased home some solid yardsticks, and this track should suit his strong-travelling style.
14:05 2:05 Perth

Amateur

Daily Racing

25 EW

@29.00

Lose

-50

Saves his best form for Ffos Las these days, but he has some solid placed efforts going this way around. Below the last couple of winning marks he has had, and it is coming to his time of year. A much better performer in the spring.
24 April 2025
20:10 8:10 Bangor on Dee

Yhprums Law

Daily Racing

25 EW

@23.00

Lose

-50

Two solid efforts in the autumn on soft ground. Not so good at Chepstow over Christmas, but that is not everyone's track. And then again here on by far the quickest ground that he has run on. Back on soft and down a couple of pounds, could be a different proposition now.
19:40 7:40 Bangor on Dee

Chesh

Daily Racing

25 EW

@10.00

Lose

-50

Three runs in a little over five weeks for a mark in November and December. Put away since. Handicap debut here, up in trip and fitted with a tongue strap. Yard appears to be hitting some form, winning with two of their last three runners.
17:36 5:36 Perth

We Still Believe

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

Twice runner-up in similar races last season from 2 lb higher. Has been ticking over well enough on the flat of late, and the return of the visor could well be a plus to him, something he has not worn since February 2024.
17:05 5:05 Perth

Champagne Chic

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

Very disappointing at Fontwell when last in action, so perhaps he is better judged on his run at Wincanton the time before when going right-handed. Handicap debut here for a yard who very rarely have runners at Perth, but they have an excellent record here.
14:15 2:15 Beverley

Minnesota Lad

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

A winner and a close-up third on his two prior visits to this track. He ran well on his debut for this yard but not as well the other times, but those all took his AW record to 0/6. He should do better now on turf and perhaps back at this track.
23 April 2025
19:00 7:00 Taunton

Albert Park

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

Yet to get his head in front, but he has run well from higher marks in similar contests. Two and a half miles has not suited him the last twice, so the return to the minimum trip is going to be a plus for him.
17:40 5:40 Gowran Park

Mataariki

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@4.50

Win

105

Won first time up last season at this track on deep ground. Subsequent form suggests that this opening mark of 84 is very much on the low side.
15:38 3:38 Ludlow

Tommys Charm

Daily Racing

50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@3.25

Void

0

Progressing nicely, making a fair step forward on his second start over fences. The better ground looked to help him and it is even better here and there should be more to come.
14:00 2:00 Catterick

Birkenhead

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 19.00 used instead of 15.00 takenBOG

@19.00

Win

540

Enjoys his racing at this track, three wins and three places in seven visits, his only run out of the frame coming on heavy. Has not been at his best in three AW starts so far this year but the return here could spark a revival.
22 April 2025
15:20 3:20 Epsom Downs

Dashinwhitesargent

Daily Racing

25 EW

@10.00

Lose

-50

Runner-up when first time up last season, winning over 10f at this track later on in the year. Potential at this trip this season, gelded since last seen. Good ground is fine and clearly enjoys this track so no surprise if he is right in the mix.
21 April 2025
16:55 4:55 Plumpton

Inferno Sacree

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 9.00 on 21/04 at 06:520.25 deduction for Hes A Latchico@4.00 withdrawn at 08:03R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 8.00 x (1-0.25) = 7.00Best Odds Guaranteed SP 7.50 used instead of 7.00 BOG

@7.50

Win

7

Slipping back towards a tempting mark again. Has won here on multiple occasions in the past and gets blinkers back on for the first time since last June, six runs without them. All of his wins have come sporting this headgear so the return after a break could be the spark that he needs.
15:45 3:45 Plumpton

Excelero

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Lose

-50

Latest win at Exeter reads well with the second not disgraced in the Imperial Cup and the third a close second in an Aintree handicap. The extra two furlongs will help on this tighter track. The ground suits, and a prominent style is regularly the way to be around here.
14:35 2:35 Plumpton

Fringill Dike

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

Arguably a touch high in the weights in such a competitive contest, but he ran better in the Grand Annual than the final position suggests. Wide throughout, but still front rank turning in before a stopping mistake two out. It is his trainer's first ever runner at Plumpton.
18 April 2025
17:30 5:30 Chelmsford City

Say What You See

Daily Racing

25 EW

@36.00

Lose

-50

Bolted up on handicap debut, though didn't back that up on turf next time. The yard does okay when they send runners down from Yorkshire, so this is an interesting choice of track for his next assignment.
16:07 4:07 Newcastle

Hooking

Daily Racing

25 EW

@21.00

Lose

-50

Third in this race last year from the same mark. Is a 9-year-old now, so is giving up plenty to younger legs, but he has been plotted back via an identical route as he took last year and might just outrun his price.
15:50 3:50 Lingfield

Blufferonthebus

Daily Racing

25 EW

@23.00

Lose

-50

Produced her best effort on the AW last time out, having previously been far superior on turf. Beaten three lengths by Party Bear that day and is now seven pounds better off but nearly 10 times the price. Yard is in form and very rarely sends one to Lingfield. This is their sole runner of the day there.
14:40 2:40 Lingfield

Longlai

Daily Racing

25 EW

@26.00

Lose

-50

Loads of pace on here which is going to suit a closer. Things have not fallen right for him at Chelmsford in recent starts but he has caught the eye when not able to get the breaks. Is just a pound above his last winning mark so should be in the mix.
14:05 2:05 Lingfield

Hitched

Daily Racing

25 EW

@23.00

Win

660

On a workable mark on the best of his form and has three course wins in the past. The most recent of those was from just a pound different to this, as well as over this distance.
13:40 1:40 Chelmsford City

Angle Land

Daily Racing

25 EW

@23.00

Lose

-50

Inconsistent Type, who blew the start when last in action at this track, though it was her best run in a little while, is very well treated on the best of her form. This can be run to suit with a number of pace angles in here again.
16 April 2025
18:15 6:15 Ffos Las

The Dream Goes On

Daily Racing

50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@3.75

Void

0

An impressive winner on chase debut at Plumpton where she shaped as if the stiffer track at the trip is going to be a big plus. Escapes a penalty as that was a conditional jockey's race so it's no surprise to see her out again before her mark gets adjusted.
16:32 4:32 Beverley

Nibras Gold

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 5.50 used instead of 5.00 takenBOG

@5.50

Win

140

Three and a half years since he last ran on the flat but he resumes on a workable mark on the best of that form and also on his placed form over fences from last summer. Has a solid record fresh and his stable does very well with new recruits.
15:15 3:15 Cheltenham

Planned Paradise

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Lose

-50

Strong stayer was not helped by a dawdle of a pace over 3m6f at Exeter last time out. Enjoyed this track when third here in December, shaping as if this mark is a winnable one for him when a race is run to suit. His yard does not use Sam Twiston-Davies often but he has a winner, a pair of seconds and a third in five rides for them.
14:40 2:40 Cheltenham

OMoore Park

Daily Racing

25 EW

@4.50

Lose

-8

Third to Caldwell Potter in a handicap at The Festival, that form did no harm by the winner following up in a Grade 1 at Aintree. The Festival was only this boy's fourth run over fences, and the majority of his opponents are much more exposed types.
13:50 1:50 Newmarket

Defence Minister

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@7.50

Void

0

Scored first time up last year, finishing off his first season of racing when sent off at just 7/1 in the Group 1 Middle Park. Soft ground that day did not look to suit him so the rain on Tuesday is not ideal but the conditions are not anything like as bad. Starts off from 94 in a handicap which could be a tempting opening mark if connections think that he is a genuine Group 1 type.
15 April 2025
16:25 4:25 Southwell

My Gift To You

Daily Racing

25 EW

@4.50

Lose

-50

Probably a better chaser than a hurdler, but he has a smart record when fresh and plenty of winning form here. This quicker surface than he ran on last time he was here will be a big help.
15:35 3:35 Newmarket

Celestial Orbit

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 10.00 used instead of 9.00 takenBOG

@10.00

Win

20

Looks the type to do better as a 3-year-old. Her dam was much improved in her second season of racing. Progressed nicely last season and has shown her form on top of the ground, which gives her a big plus compared to a few of these who showed their best on a softer ground.
13:50 1:50 Newmarket

Woodhay Wonder

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 9.50 used instead of 7.50 takenBOG

@9.50

Win

17

A perfect 3/3 on the Rowley Mile, those include a first-time-up win last season. She also has a win in two starts on the July course, so Newmarket clearly suits her. Was a beaten favorite in a Listed race when having her final start of 2023, so the return to handicap company should be a help to kick off another campaign.
14 April 2025
17:35 5:35 Pontefract

Reigning Profit

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 5.50 used instead of 4.60 takenBOG

@5.50

Lose

-3

2/2 over this C&D, including this race in 2023 with his other win here in early May. So this looks like a good time of year to catch him. Those came off 68 and 73, running from 70 here, so he is well enough treated if he can find his form back on turf.
15:48 3:48 Hexham

Return Fire

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Lose

-50

Enjoys his racing at this track, winning three times here. Two of those three (and a win at Newcastle) have come from higher marks than this so he is handily treated for all that he has to shake off a disappointing return here in March, though he might have needed the race after three months off.
15:35 3:35 Pontefract

Calumet

Daily Racing

25 EW

@4.33

Lose

-50

Generally progressive last season, his peak efforts coming on good to firm ground. Might have needed the run on his return to action over 11f a couple of weeks back when finding trouble in running. A stiff track at 10f on decent ground should be perfect for him.

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