mattnewman

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mattnewman's Tips History

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14 September 2025
16:40 4:40 Doncaster

The X O

Daily Racing

25 EW

@34.00

Lose

-50

Form this year has a disappointing look to it for this yard, but he ran well enough in the Stewards' Cup, given the opposition. Then he was too keen early on when they went a slow gallop at Newcastle, hampered late on before being eased off. Best run last year came at this track in the autumn on soft ground, so conditions are fine if the drop to five furlongs suits.
1 member found this comment useful
15:15 3:15 Curragh

Art Power

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Lose

-50

Should sharpen up for a delayed seasonal debut at this track in August, when only beaten two lengths. He has shown some of his career best form when racing here in the past, and while five furlongs is probably on the short side for him these days, slower ground will help.
14:30 2:30 Doncaster

El Matador

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

Down the field on his handicap debut at Glorious Goodwood, but he didn't get a clear run on that occasion after struggling to get in from a wide draw. Soft ground form on debut last October would suggest that 91 is workable, so is worth another chance.
14:00 2:00 Bath

Stormy Lady

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

Did better when stepped up to this trip for the first time at Chelmsford on her most recent start. She shaped there as if this track with a climb to the line would help her stamina, and her pedigree suggests that soft ground is worth a go.
13:55 1:55 Doncaster

High Point

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 19.00 on 13/09 at 19:570.00 deduction for Jodhpur Blue@51.00 withdrawn at 08:530.10 deduction for Obito @8.500 withdrawn at 11:21R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 18.00 x (1-0.1) = 17.20Best Odds Guaranteed SP 29.00 used instead of 17.20 BOG

@29.00

Win

115

Starts out for Ross Burden here after becoming disappointing for Kevin Philippart De Foy. Has three wins in his career from marks of 76, 77 and 79. He is off 76 here, so he is well treated on the best of his form. All of those came in the month of October, so it is coming to his time of year, and he sports cheekpieces for the first time since his most recent win.
1 member found this comment useful
13 September 2025
18:52 6:52 Musselburgh

Vince Le Prince

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.50

Lose

-50

Very well treated on the pick of his form this season, five pounds lower than when beaten a short head over C&D in July. Has not got close to that level since, but the vast majority of his best form has come on a sharper track than Carlisle, where he has raced the last twice, so those can be excused.
17:35 5:35 Chester

Grey Fable

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Lose

-50

C&D form of 2112, the latter win from just two pounds lower than this. He ran his best race in a fair while at Down Royal last week, which could have set him up perfectly for a return visit to this track.
16:55 4:55 Leopardstown

Expanded

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

Well below the par of his two-year-old campaign when he was down the field in the English and Irish Guineas in the spring. Clear career-best came when runner-up in the Dewhurst last year, on the only time that he has encountered soft ground, which he gets again here.
16:40 4:40 Bath

Firenze Rosa

Daily Racing

25 EW

@29.00

Lose

-50

A long way below par in both starts this season, but they both came on quicker ground than is suitable for her. She is four pounds lower than when beaten half a length at Windsor last October.
14:25 2:25 Doncaster

Diablo Rojo

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

Smart runner-up effort in the Commonwealth Trial at Ascot in April, failing to beat a rival home in the Royal Ascot contest itself. The visor that he sported for the first time that day is quickly done away with. Interesting on his handicap debut off a mark of 103, given he ran recent Group 1 winner Big Mojo to half a length off level weights in that April contest.
1 member found this comment useful
12 September 2025
15:40 3:40 Doncaster

Perfect Your Craft

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

Looks like a bit of cut in the ground is important to her, winning over a shorter trip at this track last time out. There is a strong chance that there is more to come from her, given that she has had just three career starts. It could be that the step up to this trip for the first time can help to unlock that.
14:35 2:35 Sandown

Good Earth

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 10.00 on 11/09 at 19:500.10 deduction for Rebel Path@8.50 withdrawn at 06:170.00 deduction for Blazes Boylan @23.000 withdrawn at 06:350.00 deduction for Distant Rumble @15.000 withdrawn at 08:25R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 9.00 x (1-0.1) = 9.10

@9.10

Win

15

Dual track winner in the past, he appreciates a stiff five furlongs. A bit of cut in the ground is fine for him, and he is now 10 pounds below his last winning mark, which was a C&D victory in August 2024. He slips into Class 5 company for the first time since June 2022 (a race he won) and might appreciate this slightly easier company.
11 September 2025
18:05 6:05 Uttoxeter

Gale Mahler

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.50

Lose

-50

Enjoys her racing here, two wins and a second on three visits to the track. Her last win came from just a pound lower than this, then runner-up from five pounds higher. Thought of enough to be sent off just 5/1 in a Grade 3 at the Galway Festival, this is a much softer assignment than that.
17:15 5:15 Doncaster

Fox Journey

Daily Racing

25 EW

@19.00

Lose

-50

Tricky customer, but he is very well treated these days, and he has Warren Fentiman taking another five pounds off. Copes fine with a little bit of cut in the ground; this is his trip, and he is five pounds below his last winning handicap mark.
17:10 5:10 Clonmel

Truth Be Told

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@7.50

Void

0

Not one of the stars of the stable, but it is interesting that connections are persevering with him. He showed a little more in a visor last time out, and the return to this trip looks a help from a falling mark if the headgear works as well a second time.
09 September 2025
18:55 6:55 Ffos Las

Maxident

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Win

203

Wouldn't want the ground to dry out over this distance, but he ran a corker over C&D last time out when runner-up on soft ground. He has moved stable since and is clearly on a workable mark.
17:15 5:15 Carlisle

Edgewater Drive

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Lose

-50

Winner of two of his three starts at this track, he is just two pounds above his last winning mark. Below par in both starts this season but he did run better in the second of those after a hood didn't work first time up. Has to be of interest back here as long as the ground has enough cut in it.
16:55 4:55 Leicester

Brielle

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-50

Wasn't given a particularly good ride on her handicap debut, that coming in a Class 2 at York. Drops into a Class 4 here from a pound lower and looks worth giving another chance to confirm the impression she made when winning a novice at Hamilton.
16:25 4:25 Leicester

Harb

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@5.00

Void

0

Made a winning debut for Tristan Davidson at Ayr in August, his best effort in nine months. He is only three pounds higher, which looks more than fair given the second, third, and fourth have all won since.
08 September 2025
20:10 8:10 Newcastle

Ganesha

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.00

Lose

-50

Both wins on the AW have come over this C&D, the most recent of those in March. He was 2lb higher on that occasion, winning in a Class 5, 0-72. He drops into a Class 6, 0-65 for this assignment on his first start in three months, having gone well fresh in the past.
16:10 4:10 Perth

Top Flight Century

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Win

10

C&D winner back in early July from just 2lb lower than this, following that up with a solid second when returned to this track over a shorter trip. Below par in a couple of races since, but this has the potential to suit him much better.
15:02 3:02 Windsor

Angelica K

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.50

Lose

-50

Running well enough in Class 5 races from April to July. Drops into a Class 6, 0-55 here which is a big help for her and she has Tom Marquand booked who has a 20% strike rate for this yard.
14:22 2:22 Lingfield

Bomba Del Mundo

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

07 September 2025
16:45 4:12 Fontwell

Trapista

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

It all depends on what side she got out of the stable on in the morning but she is more than capable of running riot from this sort of mark if she is in the mood. Powerful connections persevere with her.
16:15 3:42 Fontwell

Goodwin

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.50

Win

125

Poor at Cartmel when returning from a break but took a small step in the right direction in a much more competitive race at Market Rasen. This is by a long way the easiest contest for him so far in 2025, and cheekpieces could be the help that he needs.
16:00 4:00 York

Gunship

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.00

Lose

-50

Looked like making a big challenge in a Royal Ascot handicap before his stamina gave way close to home. The drop back in distance here will be a big plus, and it is interesting that connections add some headgear for the first time.
15:12 3:12 Fontwell

Lough Owel

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 8.00 used instead of 4.50 takenBOG

@8.00

Win

18

Is a bit of an underperformer so far in the UK, but he showed more last time out when finishing second to one who has won again since. The odds-on favorite is 0/5 when he has been rated north of 80 in the past.
14:42 2:42 Fontwell

Kings Reign

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 7.50 on 06/09 at 19:490.55 deduction for De Temps En Temps@1.80 withdrawn at 09:010.00 deduction for Dyadoras Destiny @126.000 withdrawn at 14:47R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 6.50 x (1-0.55) = 3.93

@3.92

Win

87

The favourite has some form in Ireland, but I'm unconvinced that he is far enough clear of these to be such a price. King's Reign is a smart type on the flat and could well be the type who takes to hurdles for a yard that does very well at this track.
14:12 2:12 Fontwell

Locked Down Lad

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 11.00 used instead of 5.00 takenBOG

@11.00

Win

25

Much improved for the switch to handicaps last time out, running into one who has gone in again since. He is up 4lb but the form boost suggests that is more than fair and he is one of the least exposed in this contest.
06 September 2025
16:25 4:25 Ascot

Rohaan

Daily Racing

25 EW

@19.00

Lose

-50

Hard to know exactly what he is capable of these days but he was not beaten all that far at Southwell last time out. This track and cut in the ground have always been his favoured conditions and he is now 21lb below his last winning mark.
15:00 3:00 Haydock

Caballo De Mar

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Lose

-50

Seriously progressive this year, including a win at this track. This handicap is always strongly run so his extra stamina for longer trips will be a plus. His conqueror last time in a Royal Ascot handicap was sent off at single-figure odds in a Group 1 last time, so he might still have a little more to come from this sort of mark.
1 member found this comment useful
14:40 2:40 Ascot

Telemark

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

All three of his career wins have come over this trip with the word soft in the going description. He is just a pound above his last winning mark which came last September, with one of his other two wins coming in October so this is clearly a good time of year for him.
1 member found this comment useful
05 September 2025
18:24 6:24 Down Royal

Empress Alma

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Lose

-50

Strong stayer has not managed to get competitive this summer, but she has been far from disgraced. The handicapper has been slow to relent, but she is now back on her last winning mark and was a scorer the only time that she has run here.
17:54 5:54 Down Royal

Sovereign Thought

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 17.00 used instead of 15.00 takenBOG

@17.00

Win

480

Has a little more talent than he has been able to show so far. Wasn't beaten far considering that he reared and lost his race at the start on his handicap debut. If his yard can find a way to keep him calm, there is better to come.
17:00 5:00 Worcester

Bagheera Ginge

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

Not the most straightforward type, but looked to be well suited to the return to this far for the first time in two years over C&D last time out when a close second. A mistake at the last perhaps cost him that day, but still well enough treated even up a couple of pounds.
16:32 4:32 Kilbeggan

Zillow

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@5.00

Win

120

Pitched into a Listed race on his handicap debut, which may have been too deep for him. He was only 11 lengths behind Kopek Des Bordes in a maiden on Boxing Day, and anything like that level of form again could make a mark of 117 look on the light side.
15:15 3:15 Haydock

Corolla Point

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.50

Win

135

Godolphin cast-off was sent off as the favorite on his handicap debut at Ascot in May, but the stiff six furlongs saw him struggle. Won over 5f on soft ground on his racecourse debut, beating one who has since won a handicap off 93. Interesting on debut for his new and canny yard.
04 September 2025
18:00 6:00 Sedgefield

Earth King

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.50

Lose

-50

Generally progressive type who clearly has plenty of stamina, which will help over this far. His stable only sends him to this track, a yard with a 39% strike rate with all of their runners here in the past.
17:28 5:28 Sedgefield

Reel Rosie

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Lose

-50

Sole jump win came at this track over hurdles last November. She makes her chase debut here, and it could be a clue that she does it back at this course. Her yard does well with runners here, and she is very well treated on her flat form if she is able to transfer it to this sphere.
16:37 4:37 Haydock

Flying Finn

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Lose

-50

Last win came at this track from a couple of pounds higher last September on soft ground. She ran respectably at Curragh first time up this year, but not as good at Epsom since, though not every horse likes that sort of track. Interesting back on this track after the rain.
15:45 3:40 Lingfield

Sourdough

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 6.50 on 03/09 at 19:530.10 deduction for Aiming High@10.00 withdrawn at 10:25R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 5.50 x (1-0.10) = 5.95

@5.95

Lose

-1

Has been well supported in both handicap starts so far without being able to cash in. Has been gelded since the most recent of those and is dropped into a softer-looking race here. Hollie Doyle has a solid enough record for the yard, who have had a winner and four places from their last six runners.
03 September 2025
19:15 7:15 Hamilton

Arkenstaar

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 5.50 on 02/09 at 19:160.10 deduction for Shahnaz@10.00 withdrawn at 09:03R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 4.50 x (1-0.10) = 5.05

@5.05

Win

121

Very strong record at the track. Although he has only finished 4th in each of his two starts here so far this season, they have been his two best runs of the campaign. They came on quicker ground, so this surface is going to suit him better, dropping into a Class 6.
17:45 5:45 Hamilton

Perseus Way

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Win

480

Placed in three graded hurdles as a juvenile, he has not been close to that level over obstacles nor on the flat for this yard. He is very well treated as a result and showed a hair more at Pontefract last time out. The recent rain is a plus, and he should still be capable of running at this level.
14:20 2:20 Bath

Most Marvellous

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

Has gradually got the hang of things in three novice races, starting in a weak handicap and slightly up in trip. The move to turf could be a plus for her, and she is bred to be handier than her opening rating of just 55.
02 September 2025
20:30 8:30 Southwell

Coedana

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Win

175

Chased home some smart types in three runs for a mark, running to a similar level in each of those. Starts out in a Class 5 for her first handicap run and looks to have been found a very winnable starting point on the form that she has in the book.
18:30 6:30 Southwell

Queensmaite

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.50

Lose

-50

Promising debut over C&D, a run that makes her opening handicap mark of 63 look workable. Below par twice on turf since over longer trips, shaping as if the return to the minimum distance is what she is looking for.
16:43 4:43 Goodwood

Premier

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.00

Lose

-50

Ground has come right for him, winning on soft ground at Bath from the same mark as this last October. Yet to run on a track anything like this one, but the booking of William Buick is interesting.
16:30 4:30 Gowran Park

Rising Sky

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 9.00 used instead of 8.00 takenBOG

@9.00

Win

15

This is comfortably the easiest of the handicap contests that she has run in, 4th in the first pair before not suited by the drop in distance in the most recent pair. 2lb lower than when beaten just two lengths at Leopardstown in June, she'd be a huge player if she could repeat that level of form.
14:58 2:58 Goodwood

Speed Of Maajid

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Lose

-50

Career-best when encountering heavy ground at Glorious Goodwood, a close 4th that day over this C&D. That was a 0-95, able to compete in a 0-80 here from the same mark, with the recent rain in his favour.
01 September 2025
16:45 4:45 Roscommon

Selective Power

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 12.00 on 31/08 at 19:180.30 deduction for Shelbourne Flyer@3.25 withdrawn at 08:490.00 deduction for Super Over @15.000 withdrawn at 08:590.00 deduction for Arthur Rose @21.000 withdrawn at 11:030.10 deduction for Alto Sax @9.000 withdrawn at 13:01R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 11.00 x (1-0.4) = 7.60

@7.60

Win

198

Coming to this time of year, five of his six best runs are in September, October, or November. He is back on his last winning mark in a much weaker contest than he has been seen in so far in 2025. The cheekpieces that he has worn for the majority of his decent form are back on after being missing for his last two starts.
16:37 4:37 Carlisle

Kings Merchant

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 26.00 used instead of 15.00 takenBOG

@26.00

Win

100

Yet to run over this far, but has looked well worth a try, keeping on at the end of shorter races for this new yard. He drops into a Class 5 handicap for the first time since June 2024 when winning from a pound higher than he is here.
16:20 4:20 Brighton

Shalfa

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 15.00 on 31/08 at 19:210.00 deduction for Versatile@26.00 withdrawn at 08:230.15 deduction for Night Bear @6.000 withdrawn at 13:490.10 deduction for Destinado @7.000 withdrawn at 15:23R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 14.00 x (1-0.25) = 11.50

@11.50

Win

328

Comes back to this track for the first time since June 2024, when she won from a mark 3lb higher than this. She has three wins in four runs at the track, so it is of interest that she is back here in a far easier assignment than a Class 5 at Newbury last time out.

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