mattnewman

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Estimated Prize money
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mattnewman's Tips History

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09 February 2025
15:55 3:55 Chepstow

Babatunde

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Lose

-50

Tanked through the race on his handicap debut at Taunton. Didn't find much when he was asked for an effort but that might just have been that the trip stretched him at that stage of his career. Same mark here and down in trip might help.
15:33 3:33 Exeter

Hititi

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Win

55

Back over hurdles could be a good move after he has been inconsistent over the bigger obstacles for a while. Has run at this track five times in the past, winning once, being placed three times and finishing fourth in the other. Is 2lb lower than when beaten half a length in this race last year.
14:50 2:50 Chepstow

Donnacha

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 4.00 on 08/02 at 19:320.15 deduction for Largy Poet@5.50 withdrawn at 10:09R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 3.00 x (1-0.15) = 3.55

@3.55

Win

79

A winner here over hurdles despite the ground probably not being as deep as he likes. Got back on soft ground last time out and is only 4lb higher here which should be within his capabilities.
08 February 2025
15:55 3:55 Newcastle

Northern Ruler

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.00

Lose

-50

Bolted up in a C&D novice last month but then struggled in a deeper handicap than this one over a shorter trip just nine days later. Return to this trip will help as will the ease in grade. Gets cheekpieces for the first time which could also be handy.
15:35 3:35 Newbury

Navajo Indy

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@8.50

Win

12

Beat a smart type in the Gerry Feilden over C&D earlier on in the season. Did well to get as close as he did at Windsor last time when right out the back until late on. The return to a stiffer track at this trip is a big help and he is 5lb better off the Secret Squirrel for a three-length beating.
13:30 1:30 Warwick

Sao Carlos

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 5.50 on 07/02 at 19:270.10 deduction for Maxcel@9.50 withdrawn at 09:43R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 4.50 x (1-0.10) = 5.05

@5.05

Lose

-5

Won on soft ground last January in a race that has worked out well. That effort also suggests that a mark of 112 is within reach. Has been given a wind op since his disappointing first run of the season when fading late at Uttoxeter.
07 February 2025
15:15 3:15 Bangor on Dee

Feel The Pinch

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

Loves this track, winning here four times in nine visits. He also has a pair of runner-up efforts as well as a 4th, a fall and an unseat. The two incompletions, he probably would've placed to add to an outstanding record. Represents a canny yard and is 10lb below his last two winning marks.
14:50 2:50 Kempton

Storm Dennis

Daily Racing

25 EW

@51.00

Lose

-50

Career best run came when winning over this C&D in February 2022 from a mark 11lb higher than this. Beaten less than 10l by Grey Dawning in a Boxing Day handicap that same year. A longer trip and taking a wide path saw him comfortably beaten on his return to action from 22 months off. That was a deeper race and should have blown the cobwebs away.
06 February 2025
18:30 6:30 Southwell

First Dynasty

Daily Racing

25 EW

@29.00

Lose

-50

Has run poorly on both starts since joining this yard but is back over the same course and distance as his last win which came from this same mark. Yard has only had two winners on the all-weather, one of those ridden by Grace McEntee who is in the plate here. Might just take a step back in the right direction.
15:10 3:05 Ffos Las

Hermes Du Gouet

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Lose

-50

Relishes deep ground and this is the first time that he has run on heavy since finishing a length second at Fontwell from an 11lb higher mark last March. His yard is in great form at present and he is very well treated if the return to this surface can revive.
13:00 1:00 Doncaster

Deep Strato

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.50

Void

0

Ran with promise on his handicap debut at Carlisle when getting outpaced and running on over two and a half miles. Shaped as if worth a try over this trip on that occasion. The winner has gone in again since and is now rated 15 lb higher, which suggests it was a tough enough task for a Class 5.
12:40 12:40 Huntingdon

Tramuntana

Daily Racing

25 EW

@4.50

Win

105

Smart type in bumpers but is yet to get close to that level in three runs over hurdles for a mark. Begins handicapping at a lowly level and up in trip, so no surprise if a stronger showing is forthcoming.
05 February 2025
15:45 3:45 Ludlow

Georges Saint

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Lose

-50

Won second time up last season, so he should be able to step forward for his return to action at Chepstow over Christmas. Was 3/4 of a length behind Dibble Decker when they met in January 2024 and is now 4lb better off for that defeat.
14:45 2:45 Ludlow

Simple Getaway

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@5.00

Lose

-5

Point winner went well for a long way at Exeter on his first run of the season before looking in need of it. He was 23l behind the winner that day (who is now rated 15lb higher) and looks a progressive type. This gelding is 4lb lower here and this slightly easier track could help.
04 February 2025
15:45 3:45 Market Rasen

Tanganyika

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 8.50 used instead of 3.75 takenBOG

@8.50

Win

375

Disappointing when sent off as an odds-on favorite in a better race than this at Windsor last time out. Stopped quickly that day but is capable of better, for all that perhaps deeper ground would help him.
13:55 1:55 Taunton

Campaign Trail

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.00

Lose

-50

A bit below par on his second hurdles start after making a winning debut. Progressive on the flat and should be capable of improving more over hurdles now that he goes handicapping in this sphere.
03 February 2025
18:30 6:30 Wolverhampton

Nelson Gay

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.50

Win

12

Solid record here, generally close up over this C&D from higher marks than this. Connections try him with an added tongue tie which could help him sustain his challenge enough. A long time since he last won but is thrown in on his old form.
15:50 3:50 Southwell

Whatsupwithyou

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 21.00 used instead of 10.00 takenBOG

@21.00

Win

75

Ran well on his first run of the season, not so well the last twice. Down to a Class 4 for the first time since winning at Ludlow in December 2023 and gets blinkers instead of his usual cheekpieces here. Interesting if that can spark him back to life.
15:30 3:30 Carlisle

Kalium

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.25

Lose

-50

Progressive type won with plenty in hand at Fontwell last time out. Makes a long trip north here for a yard with a 38% strike rate with their hurdlers at this track which could be a key pointer to his chance.
15:05 3:05 Punchestown

Jacovec Cavern

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

Has some ability on the flat, sent off right at the head of the market for the Cesarewitch last year. Step up in trip over hurdles might be just the ticket having run well in the Greatwood in November.
02 February 2025
16:34 4:34 Musselburgh

My Noble Lord

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.87

Lose

-50

Found Grade 2 juvenile races too tough for him on his last couple of starts. Starts handicapping here on a mark that looks a bit high on what he has done over hurdles so far but thrown in on his flat form. There is no doubt that there is much better to come from him over hurdles and this looks a suitable starting point in handicaps.
15:50 3:50 Leopardstown

Mclaurey

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 4.50 on 02/02 at 09:130.00 deduction for Grimaud@34.00 withdrawn at 09:150.10 deduction for Jamess Gate @8.000 withdrawn at 09:33R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 3.50 x (1-0.1) = 4.15

@4.15

Win

94

Looks the type to do better now that he has a big handicap field to tow him into a race. He is a chaser in the making over longer trips but there should be a big one in him over hurdles first from a mark of 120.
15:45 3:45 Lingfield

Dashing Harry

Daily Racing

25 EW

@19.00

Win

540

Ran better than last of six suggests in a deeper race than this at Southwell last time out. Lots of front runners in here should help him settle as he can be too keen. That can help his finishing effort in a race that looks set up for a closer.
15:00 3:00 Musselburgh

Bugise Seagull

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 15.00 used instead of 13.00 takenBOG

@15.00

Win

45

A little unlucky last time at Doncaster when stumbling, only beaten two and a half lengths at the line. Right-handed is no issue for him and as he has not got many miles on the clock, there should be plenty more to come from him.
14:25 2:25 Musselburgh

Inis Oirr

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.50

Lose

-50

Winner of this race last year, making it two wins in three runs at the track. Is 5lb higher for that here but he has a 5lb conditional removing that. Gets blinkers on for the first time instead of his usual visor so it will be interesting to see if the new headgear helps him now he returns to a track that he clearly likes.
13:32 1:32 Lingfield

Haaland

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@7.00

Void

0

Back to a mark 2lb above his last winning one but has been competitive from higher than this in the past. Absolutely bolted up when he wore cheekpieces for the first time back in the day, he has sported no headgear in three runs for his canny yard. They try him in a first-time visor now so no surprise if he puts in an improved showing.
01 February 2025
16:40 4:40 Wolverhampton

Metallo

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.00

Push

0

Steadily improving in his three runs back from a long absence. A mile at Kempton two starts back looked a little on the short side but 10f at Newcastle last time out just stretched him. This 9.5f trip on a much sharper track could be a happy middle ground for him.
15:07 3:07 Sandown

Henri The Second

Daily Racing

25 EW

@4.50

Lose

-8

Absolutely hacked up last time out over this C&D. Only put up 8lb for that which could prove to be very fair given how comfortably he won. This ground suits well and he has been given plenty of time to get over those exertions.
14:25 2:25 Leopardstown

Gaoth Chuil

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@12.00

Win

30

Runner-up in this contest last year from 4lb lower. Has shown that this mark is still a workable one in her last couple of runs and has an amateur in the plate who is enjoying a solid season.
14:17 2:17 Musselburgh

Afadil

Daily Racing

25 EW

@4.50

Lose

-8

Has run at this meeting twice before, winning on both occasions. The second of those was in this race last year from a 4lb higher mark than he faces in his repeat bid. Every chance that he has been laid out for this once more.
14:08 2:08 Wetherby

Do Your Job

Daily Racing

25 EW

@41.00

Lose

-50

Formerly smart type is now 9lb below his last winning mark, which came at this track on Boxing Day 2023. Showed a little bit more than the bare result suggests in a stronger race than this at Windsor last time out and might be able to build on that here.
31 January 2025
20:00 8:00 Southwell

The Cookstown Cafu

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Lose

-50

A winner off higher in the past and was beaten less than a length from this mark at Newcastle in November. Interesting if the switch from cheekpieces to a visor is a help.
16:45 4:45 Dundalk

Roaming Eyes

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

Handicapper taking a real chance, dropping her almost a stone since she was seen. Excuses that day and didn't run badly two starts back so is an interesting each way player given the opportunity she has been given.
15:35 3:35 Catterick

Pike Road

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.33

Lose

-50

Shown promise in his runs for a mark, stepping forward with each one of them. Shapes as if he is a real stayer in the making so this slightly longer trip should help and he represents a yard who do well with raiders here.
14:45 2:45 Lingfield

Foxboro

Daily Racing

25 EW

@34.00

Lose

-50

Has won third time up on a couple of occasions in the past, so that makes him of some interest here, as does his current handicap mark, which is tempting on the best of his form. Ran better at Kelso last time when far too much use was made of him. Plenty who like to get on with it for a marathon chase here, so being held up will help.
14:35 2:35 Catterick

We Got Your Back

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.75

Win

137

Drop back to this trip, fitted with a hood, and only deep ground helped at Leicester last time out. If connections have now found the key to him, then a three-pound higher mark should not be enough to stop him.
30 January 2025
16:12 4:12 Southwell

Cliffcake

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

A little bit disappointing on his last couple of visits but is down into what is fundamentally a Class 6 in disguise. This handicap mark is lower than his last six wins so he is the type who warrants another chance.
13:12 1:12 Southwell

Skye Breeze

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

Back down to his last winning mark and ran better over C&D last time out than the bare finishing position suggests. Has won at this track in the past and is clearly on a winnable mark. Relatively unexposed for his age so might yet have a touch more in the tank.
29 January 2025
19:30 7:30 Kempton

Dream Voyage

Daily Racing

25 EW

@10.00

Lose

-50

Solid effort at Lingfield on her return to action from five months off, keeping on well over this trip. The longer home straight and slightly stiffer track are going to work in her favour given her early form was at Newmarket and Salisbury. A mark of 80 looks workable in a Class 4.
16:47 4:47 Dundalk

Heart Of Darkness

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 29.00 used instead of 19.00 takenBOG

@29.00

Win

115

Both handicaps so far have come over six furlongs, plugging on late at this track last time out on her return from four months off. Up to seven furlongs here should suit and should strip fitter for the run.
28 January 2025
19:00 7:00 Wolverhampton

Lovesick

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.50

Lose

-50

Taken a fair step forward with each start, including a C&D win on her second start. An opening mark of 70 looks fair on what the winner of the race that she was third in at Chelmsford last time out has done since.
15:40 3:40 Limerick

The Dancing Tree

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.50

Lose

-50

By far, his best run so far came when winning a heavy ground bumper at this track. He has shown no more than a glimpse of ability in three hurdles runs for a mark but could do better now sent handicapping at this track and returned to deeper ground.
15:30 3:30 Newcastle

Jacks Parrot

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.50

Lose

-50

Progressive last season when sent chasing over three miles. Went without his usual tongue strap on his first try this season, that being quickly put back on last time when continuing his upward curve in a far deeper race than this at Haydock. Some rain would help but back to this level of race could make him hard to beat.
14:15 2:15 Chepstow

Rula Bula

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.50

Lose

-50

Placed in both a Listed bumper and hurdle, she should appreciate the step back up in trip on her handicap debut. A mark of 122 should be well within her capabilities given both the form in the book and how few miles there are on the clock.
27 January 2025
18:00 6:00 Wolverhampton

Galileo Glass

Daily Racing

25 EW

@4.50

Lose

-8

It's been a long time since he has worn a hood, which is a bit of a surprise given that he has a win and a place in it on the two occasions that he has sported it in the past. Shaped as if he would be suited by another go when too keen at Chelmsford last time out, when fading late on.
16:31 4:31 Hereford

Nollyador

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Void

0

Missed 21 months ahead of a solid return at Huntingdon when looking in need of the run late on. Has been given seven weeks to get over that run which seems sensible and this mark is clearly workable enough for him.
16:10 4:10 Punchestown

Person Of Interest

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

Solid effort in his sole point last spring on deep ground. Bits and bobs of promise over hurdles and this is a fair enough mark on his maiden and novice form. Up to three miles and returned to softer ground might just suit.
26 January 2025
15:50 3:50 Fontwell

Gold Clermont

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.00

Lose

-50

Strong stayer who relishes deep ground. She won this race last year from 2lb higher than this so there has to be a strong chance that this is going to be perfect for her again.
14:50 2:50 Fontwell

Sir Rock

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.50

Lose

-50

Far from straightforward, but he won this race last year from the same mark as he is on now, which has to give him claims of going in again. He has had a wind operation since last seen, and perhaps a visor with a little bit of vision might suit better than the cheekpieces and blinkers he has had of late.
25 January 2025
17:35 5:35 Newcastle

Society Man

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.00

Lose

-50

Solid performer in France and made an excellent debut for this yard over this trip at Wolverhampton a touch under three weeks ago. Shaped as if he would appreciate this more galloping track at this trip and is clearly on a decent enough mark to win.
15:15 3:15 Doncaster

Young Buster

Daily Racing

25 EW

@29.00

Lose

-50

The longer trip caught him out at Kelso last time out, but he went well for a long way. He is a pound lower and has a 3lb claimer to help his burden, which would theoretically put him just 2lb above his last winning mark if that is taken into account. The drop back in trip is a plus and he should be in the mix from a prominent position.
12:28 12:28 Fairyhouse

Big Stage

Daily Racing

25 EW

@10.00

Lose

-50

Has kept some decent company so far in beginners' chases, and three miles was too far for him on his handicap debut at Leopardstown last time out. The return to a distance this short might be a touch too far the other way, but he won a hurdle at Downpatrick from the front, and a return to forcing tactics over a shorter trip would help.

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