mattnewman

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mattnewman's Tips History

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26 July 2024
19:15 7:15 York

Rayat

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.00

Lose

-50

Took off when trying sprinting for the first time at Nottingham last time out. That was a relatively weak contest compared to this but he is capable of building on that now that connections have found the key to him.
19:05 7:05 Sandown

Clan Chieftain

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 13.00 on 25/07 at 18:440.10 deduction for Robusto@7.50 withdrawn at 07:550.00 deduction for Teqany @26.000 withdrawn at 09:27R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 12.00 x (1-0.1) = 11.80

@11.80

Win

29

Ran well on his first try at this trip at Salisbury, a track with an uphill finish like this. Two subsequent runs have come over two miles so the return to shorter should help and he gets cheekpieces for the first time.
17:30 5:30 York

Tanmawwy

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.50

Lose

-50

A long time since he got his head in front but he showed more at Haydock last time out. Dropped another 2lb for that which is very fair if he is able to build on that run.
14:45 2:45 Uttoxeter

Kitesurfer

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

Won well when stepped up to 3m2f at Fontwell last time out. Only 5lb higher for that but he won with more in hand. A slightly shorter trip is a slight doubt given how strong he was at the line but this bigger field could make it more of a stamina test.
25 July 2024
19:00 7:00 Yarmouth

Farhh To Shy

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

Won this race last year from a pound higher mark and this could well have been her target again. Is 3/6 at this track with a second and a fourth but has not run here since that win last year.
18:30 6:30 Yarmouth

Bluelight Bay

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

Very tempting mark on the best of his form and now drops into a Class 4 contest. Cheekpieces are back on, they didn't work the first time that he tried them but that was off a 250-day break and he was subsequently gelded so he is worth another chance.
18:05 6:05 Wexford

Stumblin In

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 7.50 on 24/07 at 18:520.10 deduction for Joya Del Mar@8.00 withdrawn at 06:010.20 deduction for Ranger Billy @4.500 withdrawn at 10:330.00 deduction for Second Subaltern @12.000 withdrawn at 10:590.10 deduction for Johnny Cakes @9.000 withdrawn at 11:09R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 6.50 x (1-0.4) = 4.90Best Odds Guaranteed SP 6.00 used instead of 4.90 BOG

@6.00

Push

0

Handicapper has taken no chances with her opening mark but she showed much more at Tramore last time out when stepped up in trip. Travelled nicely at the back of the field that day but was not asked for any efforts until the leaders had flown. Needs to jump better but a longer trip on handicap debut is a big plus.
16:55 4:55 Sandown

Samoon Star

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.38

Lose

-50

Much improved on her handicap debut and is only 3lb higher here. Very well related and should be able to make another step up on that form in this slightly better contest.
16:15 4:15 Doncaster

Empire Of Light

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.00

Push

0

Has done well since stepping up to this trip, winning at Haydock and then going close at Ayr last time out. Is four pounds well in on his new rating for that effort so can cash in.  
14:18 2:18 Worcester

A Definite Getaway

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 10.00 used instead of 8.00 takenBOG

@10.00

Win

270

Has not managed to get his head in front over hurdles although he has run with plenty of consistency. On his pedigree, he should make up into a much better chaser and this is his first time to prove that to be correct.
14:00 2:00 Doncaster

Thapa VC

Daily Racing

25 EW

@10.00

Win

270

Just a pound above his last winning mark which came when cheekpieces went back on. Gets blinkers for the first time on this occasion and with conditions to suit, he is interesting.
24 July 2024
19:50 7:50 Leicester

Inherit

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.88

Lose

-50

Shown plenty of promise in three runs for a mark, making her handicap debut at a low enough level. Dam was a Group 1 winner on fast turf so there should be plenty more to come from her off an opening mark of just 75.
18:55 6:55 Naas

Glencullen

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.00

Lose

-50

Big improver on his stable debut at Fairyhouse a fortnight back. Shaped as if worth another try over this trip that day, doing the best of his work late on. Still lightly raced and might have better to come after his first run since October.
17:50 5:50 Naas

Abiding Star

Daily Racing

25 EW

@26.00

Lose

-50

Showed very little at Curragh over the weekend but ran well over C&D prior to that and gets a tongue strap added for a first time here. The run at this track was in a deeper race than this and she got no luck in running. The bigger field won't make it any easier to get the gaps but the ability is there. 
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16:58 4:58 Wexford

Marronstown

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.00

Lose

-50

Finally put it all together over fences last time out. Twice a point winner, he has put together a few strong efforts now and might be capable of continuing to progress now his confidence is high.
16:50 4:50 Lingfield

Forever Noah

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.00

Lose

-50

A little too keen when last seen but has been gelded since and is fitted with a hood for the first time. Handicap debut here off 63, first two home on his most recent start (he was a 5l 4th) have won off 80 and 73 since and he gave them 3lb.
15:28 3:28 Wexford

Lieutenant Highway

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@26.00

Void

0

Produced RPR's of 128 and 133 over fences last summer which would make this mark look very tempting. His two runs in 2024 have both come over hurdles, better expected now back over fences.
23 July 2024
20:40 8:40 Wolverhampton

Poles Apart

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.50

Lose

-50

Shaped better back on the AW at Kempton last time out when doing some solid late work. Should do better again now that he is stepping up in trip and down 3lb with Oisin Murphy in the saddle.
19:23 7:23 Ballinrobe

Ranger Billy

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@9.50

Win

17

Solid placed efforts from higher marks last summer. Stepped forward on his second run after a break last time out when nibbled at in the market. Of interest again in a similar contest.
16:50 4:50 Musselburgh

Trojan Sun

Daily Racing

25 EW

@4.50

Lose

-50

Took a step forward on his handicap debut over this C&D. Took a while to get going that day so perhaps needs to be ridden a little more forcefully. This is an easier race, however, and he gets stronger handling in the saddle.
16:30 4:30 Lingfield

Maysong

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.50

Lose

-50

Loses the cheekpieces which is a slight concern but he should do better switched back to Polytrack He was placed from 6lb higher on his last run on the surface back in March.
15:30 3:30 Lingfield

Fullforward

Daily Racing

25 EW

@10.00

Win

20

Capable from higher marks earlier in the year, this is the easiest race that he has run in for a long time. Placed over 12f on Polytrack in February, a return to that level of form would make him hard to beat in this contest.
14:00 2:00 Lingfield

Felicity

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 2.25 used instead of 1.91 takenBOG

@2.25

Win

62

A touch surprising that she remains at 6f given that it looked on the sharp side for her at Brighton but she is stepping forward with every run. Makes her handicap debut here and a mark of 67 could be on the light side.
22 July 2024
21:00 9:00 Beverley

Cakewalk

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.50

Lose

-50

Yard has a solid record here , three winners, a second and three thirds from eight runners, They also do well with handicap debutants so she is entitled to improve now in this sphere for the first time.
19:30 7:30 Beverley

Alices Impact

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 7.00 used instead of 5.00 takenBOG

@7.00

Win

180

Sent off favourite on her handicap debut but shaped as if in need of the run. Ran well at Doncaster last time out and shapes as if this stiffer finish is going to be a plus to him at this trip.
19:20 7:20 Windsor

Capotes Dream

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Lose

-50

Enjoys his racing at this track, plenty of strong efforts here in the past. Very well treated on the pick of his efforts and although he has not run well of late the return here should help . 
17:25 5:25 Ayr

Wildfell

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

Solid performer in recent years over this trip and on all surfaces. Not at his best so far in 2024 but drops into a Class 5 and is fitted with blinkers for the first time so might be able to make a step up.
15:20 3:20 Cartmel

Shantou Champagne

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

Interesting on handicap debut , shaping as if she will be better for the longer trip. This was the case for her full-brother who was rated 134 in his pomp so she might be better for kicking off from 89.
21 July 2024
17:37 5:37 Redcar

Gibside

Daily Racing

50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@2.50

Void

0

In good heart this season, going close at Chester last time out. Off the same mark here and this is a lesser contest so strong claims in the same form eight days later.
16:35 4:35 Stratford

Fashionelle

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Win

25

Behind Far Away West last time but is 5lb better off for a 4l beating. She also gets cheekpieces for the first time here which could help elevate the form.
16:10 4:10 Newton Abbot

Baltic Voyage

Daily Racing

25 EW

@4.50

Lose

-50

Smart type on the flat, a winner off 80. Is only off 91 here on hurdles handicap debut (generally 40lb differential) and this slightly softer ground from last time could make a big difference. In good hands to improve now handicapping in these sphere
14:52 2:52 Redcar

Borderline Boss

Daily Racing

25 EW

@4.00

Lose

-50

Has improved with each of his four starts, his best on handicap debut last time out. That was over 6f, keeping on well over that distance so the return to this far is going to be a plus as long as the cheekpieces work as well a second time.
20 July 2024
18:35 6:35 Newmarket

Danielle

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Lose

-50

Wouldn't want the ground to dry out too much but was far from disgraced at Royal Ascot when it turned against her. She is beautifully bred and shown plenty of promise and from this stable, further progression should be expected. 
17:45 5:45 Doncaster

Jojo Rabbit

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.00

Lose

-50

Bolted up over C&D on soft ground nine days ago when always travelling strongly. Up 5lb for that but connections have a 5lb claimer on board removing all of that excess.
16:20 4:20 Newmarket

Equiano Springs

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.00

Lose

-50

Won this race last year from the same mark. Loves running at Newmarket and bounced back to form at Haydock last time out which should be perfect timing ahead of this.
15:05 3:05 Curragh

Believing

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.62

Win

81

Ran well twice at Royal Ascot, perhaps the second run just four days after the first coming a touch quick for her. The level of those Group 1 performances is well above her rivals here so she should be very hard to beat.
15:00 3:00 Newbury

Kind Of Blue

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@15.00

Win

45

Not often that his trainer would tilt at windmills so not a shock that he ran so well when pitched into the Commonwealth at Royal Ascot. Has taken a huge step forward with each start and drops back into Group 3 level here. Very few miles on the clock and would not need to improve much more to get seriously involved.
1 member found this comment useful
14:40 2:40 Market Rasen

Rewired

Daily Racing

25 EW

@26.00

Lose

-50

Fair record fresh and ran well in his most recent race which came from a pound above this at the Grand National meeting when the ground went against him. A right-handed speed track on good ground is perfect for him so his price looks on the large side. 
1 member found this comment useful
14:25 2:25 Newbury

Shagpyle

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Lose

-50

Not lived up to her pedigree yet but she won on her debut over this distance. That was in a small field in a falsly run race so it did not really suit her and she is only a pound higher here.
19 July 2024
20:30 8:30 Down Royal

Waystar

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@13.00

Void

0

Improved for the step up in trip last time out at Roscommon. Up another furlong here is a big plus as long as the ground stays on the good side.
20:25 8:25 Pontefract

Frankelian

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

Third in both handicaps and was not suited to Chester last time out when always flat out. She should appreciate the stiffer track at this trip and is open to better.
18:52 6:52 Down Royal

Apercu

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.25

Lose

-50

Steadily progressive in three runs for a mark on the AW. Went well trying turf for the first time when last seen, up a couple of pounds for that. The step up in trip is going to be a plus for her and there should be improvement to come after just four career starts.
18:35 6:35 Hamilton

Tiriac

Daily Racing

25 EW

@4.33

Lose

-50

Consistent type this season, going on almost all ground. Yard has an excellent record with the few runners they send here and this strong traveller might be suited by this place.
15:40 3:40 Killarney

Dancing On My Own

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.50

Lose

-3

Smart type when fresh and will get a strong pace to chase here courtesy of Flooring Porter. Is a pound below his last winning mark which came first time up last season at Cheltenham.
14:50 2:50 Nottingham

Harrys Halo

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 5.50 used instead of 4.50 takenBOG

@5.50

Lose

-3

Not the most regular winner but the most recent success came off this mark, over this trip and on soft ground so there is plenty to like. He has been in good form this season and might be able to cash in now.
18 July 2024
19:50 7:50 Worcester

Jacobs Acre

Daily Racing

50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@9.50

Void

0

Chased home a subsequent winner who is now rated 115 last time out. Would have been closer but for being squeezed out at the last. Could do better now that he goes handicapping for the first time. 
18:02 6:02 Killarney

Kells Priory

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@26.00

Win

750

Has only run once since a close second at this Festival in 2022 so fitness needs to be taken on trust. Fairly treated on the pick of his form and his stable has an excellent record with their runners at this track.
16:40 4:40 Chepstow

Snooker McCrew

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

Step up in trip should be a plus on pedigree and should handle a bit of cut. Ran on well over 7f in a much deeper race than this at Newbury last time out, 10f here but has run well over a mile and shaped as if this trip will suit.
16:25 4:25 Hamilton

Giselles Izzy

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-50

Loves this track, four of her five career wins coming here. Has gone close from higher here last September and has a 5lb claimer taking off the majority of her 6lb penalty for winning here last week Probably a touch better at 6f than this 5f trip but has won over this distance on G/S ground. 
15:35 3:35 Chepstow

Night Lark

Daily Racing

25 EW

@4.50

Lose

-50

Promising debut on G/S at Newbury before going backwards in two subsequent runs for a mark. Won on her handicap debut and only 2lb higher. Should go on under conditions that suit with this stiffer track looking a plus.
14:40 2:40 Leicester

Patrol

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-50

Half-brother to Fev Rover who handled plenty of cut. He has been gelded since his final start for a mark when looking to need a stiffer test at the trip than he got at Wolverhampton. Has a bit of a knee action so he should be able to handle the ground.
1 member found this comment useful

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