GoalJedi

A brief summary of my tipping philosophy, hmm, on my tipster profile page, it may appear. In the site and the app, strong with the Force, my insights and tips shall be. Passionate, I am, about sharing wisdom with fellow sports lovers, hmm. Deep analysis and statistics, the pillars of my tipping philosophy are. Informed decisions, based on thorough research, I seek to make. I believe in the power of data-driven predictions, hmm. I aim to find value in the betting markets. Happy betting, hmm!

2

Estimated Prizes
this month

£15

Estimated Prize money
this month

GoalJedi's Tips History

All tips
28 July 2025
18:00 Odra Opole v Miedz Legnica

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@1.83

Win

41

Both Odra Opole and Miedz Legnica are coming off opening defeats where their defenses looked fragile. Opole conceded three at home, and Miedz Legnica let in four away but scored three. With both sides desperate for points and likely to push forward, expect an open contest. Miedz's history of high-scoring games and Odra's need to respond in front of home fans make BTTS the standout value option here.
27 July 2025
16:30 Jagiellonia Bialystok v Widzew Lodz

Under 2.50

Total Goals

16:00 Polonia Warsaw v GKS Tychy

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.65

Win

32

Both teams arrive with aggressive intent and shaky defenses. Polonia Warsaw's home matches and GKS Tychy's away fixtures have each cleared 2.5 goals in at least 60% of their recent games. Neither side shows tactical discipline at the back: Polonia averages 1.9 scored and 1.2 conceded at home, while GKS Tychy leaks 1.9 goals per away game. Squad news reveals no key defenders absent, but both sides' recent xGA confirms the openness. With both fighting for upward mobility and playing without clear defensive anchors, expect a lively, attack-driven clash where three or more goals look highly probable.
14:55 2:55 Pontefract

Point Lynas

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.50

Lose

-50

Point Lynas stands out for the Pomfret Stakes, coming off a top Group 2 run and boasting proven course form. Drawn to race on speed and holding his form, he's the solid option in a tricky Listed event.
14:00 Belgian Grand Prix

Max Verstappen - Yes

Podium Finish

50 WIN

@1.57

Lose

-50

Despite recent struggles and the loss of Christian Horner, Verstappen returns to a circuit he's dominated??"three wins since 2021??"and, crucially, Spa's unpredictability and expected rain suit his wet-weather prowess. While McLaren's Norris and Piastri are deserved favorites, their odds are overbought; the value has shifted. Verstappen has nothing to lose, a massive home/fan boost (the Orange Army), and a knack for making chaos work to his advantage??"think bold tire calls, opportunistic overtakes, and exploiting safety car windows. If there's drama, he's the one most likely to capitalize. McLaren's recent edge is real, but their intra-team fight could invite mistakes under pressure. Verstappen's underdog label today brings motivation and, more importantly, odds on a podium finish that are still underpriced given his pedigree at Spa in wet conditions.
13:45 Rakow Czestochowa v Wisla Plock

Over 2.50

Total Goals

13:30 Ruch Chorzow v Gornik Leczna

Ruch Chorzow (AH) -1.00

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@2.02

Push

0

Ruch Chorzow look ready to assert home dominance after rescuing a draw in their opener. Their late goal underlines resilience, not luck, against a mid-table side. Gornik Leczna's 0-3 collapse away at newly promoted Polonia Bytom exposes severe defensive flaws and low confidence on the road. No key Ruch absentees have been reported in the last 24 hours, while Leczna's shaky backline is under real pressure, with no credible squad fixes confirmed. Recent data confirms Ruch's attacking consistency (1.7 avg. goals), and motivation is sky-high in front of home fans. With Leczna's leaky defense and Ruch's superior energy, a home win by more than a goal looks the smartest play if you're hunting for value.
11:00 Urawa Red Diamonds v Avispa Fukuoka

Under 2.50

Total Goals

Urawa Red Diamonds host Avispa Fukuoka in a clash defined by defensive discipline and recent low-scoring trends. Four of their last five head-to-heads have finished under 2.5 goals, with Avispa winning the last two by 1-0 margins. Both teams arrive with solid defensive form. Urawa conceding just once in their last two at home, Avispa unbeaten in six and keeping three clean sheets. Despite Urawa's attacking explosion against Shonan, Avispa's away games rarely open up: only 30% have gone over 2.5, and they average 0.91 goals scored on the road. Recent xG models project high potential, but actual game flow points to a tactical, risk-averse contest where one goal may decide it. Expect a cagey encounter, with both teams favoring containment over chaos.
11:00 Wieczysta Krakow v Pogon Siedlce

Wieczysta Krakow

50 WIN

@1.50

Win

25

Wieczysta Krakow look primed to secure their first 1. Liga win. Both sides drew 1-1 in their openers, but Wieczysta showed strong resolve against a relegated top-tier team, while Pogon Siedlce's away record remains a concern??"just 2 wins in their last 8 on the road, often conceding early. Squad updates show Wieczysta at full strength, buoyed by high-profile signings and strong preseason sentiment. With this as their symbolic home debut, expect high motivation, solid team structure, and a clear edge in attacking options against a Pogon squad still searching for away form. The price remains fair and reflects genuine value given context and current team news.
03:30 Vancouver Whitecaps v Kansas City

Over 2.50

Total Goals

Both Vancouver Whitecaps and Sporting KC come into this with a strong goals trend: 72% of their last H2Hs went over 2.5, and 67%+ of recent matches for both teams see BTTS. Vancouver's last four at home all cleared two goals, and Sporting have scored in nine straight, but concede plenty away. Neither side is rock solid at the back. Whitecaps average 2.2 scored and 1.3 conceded at home, Sporting 1.45 scored and 1.64 conceded away. With both needing points??"Vancouver to stay top, Sporting for playoff hopes??"expect open football. The matchup narrative points to tempo, not caution, and both attacks are in rhythm even as defenses wobble. The safest value, backed by both trend and context, is over 2.5 goals.
01:33 01:33 Del Mar

Nysos

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@1.50

Win

25

Nysos is the class act here. He resumes off a decisive 5 1/2-length win in the Triple Bend and has been training strongly at Del Mar. Bob Baffert has no concerns about the two-turn trip and Flavien Prat stays on. Although untested at 1710m, his speed figures and recent form suggest he can outclass this field.
26 July 2025
22:41 22:41 Saratoga

Sovereignty

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 0.36 on 26/07 at 16:52 Best Odds Guaranteed SP 0.44 used instead of 0.36 taken BOGAThis tip was used on Horse Racing 4Fold Acca.

@1.44

Win

22

Sovereignty brings G1-winning form and is improving with every start. His decisive Belmont victory over this course/distance marks him as the clear class of the field. With tactical speed, a strong finish, and a top barn, he sets the standard and should prove too strong for these.
22:30 Botafogo v Corinthians

Botafogo

50 WIN

@1.62

Lose

-50

Botafogo come into this match unbeaten in 7 league games and haven't lost at home all season, posting 4 clean sheets in their last 5. Their home attack is sharp (2.17 goals/game, xG 2.11), and they allow very few chances (0.67 conceded, 67% clean sheets). Corinthians, meanwhile, look toothless away??"just 1 win in 8, only 0.5 goals scored per game, and blanks in 4 of their last 8 away matches. With Corinthians missing key attackers and their recent performances confirming their lack of threat, expect Botafogo to control proceedings and take all three points.
22:30 Fortaleza v Bragantino

Under 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.67

Lose

-50

Both Fortaleza and Bragantino come into this match struggling for form and goals, with only 3 and 6 goals scored respectively in their last 5 games. Fortaleza's attack has stalled, failing to score in 3 of those 5 matches, while Bragantino's away defense is among the league's best (0.86 goals conceded per away game). Recent meetings between these sides often defy the current trend, but neither team looks equipped to break the deadlock early, especially with Fortaleza's desperation likely making them cagey. Team news confirms key forward absences for Fortaleza (Lucero injured), further limiting their threat. With both sides producing underwhelming xG recently and odds still shading toward goals based on history rather than form, the clear value is on under 2.5 goals in a tense, risk-averse clash.
22:30 Mirassol v Vitoria

Mirassol

50 WIN

@1.78

Lose

-50

Mirassol enters this clash with a red-hot home record, unbeaten in 14 league games at Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, including three straight wins and 8 goals scored in their last five. The hosts average 1.82 xG at home and allow less than a goal per game, even with a few absentees in midfield and defense. Vitória, meanwhile, looks toothless on the road: just one goal scored in their last five away, failing to find the net in four of those, and still missing key attackers through injury and suspension. Despite some recent defensive resilience from Vitória, their lack of threat up front and Mirassol's relentless home tempo point to a deserved, if hard-fought, home win. The matchup narrative leans Mirassol's strong form, high motivation, and tactical edge against a Vitória side simply struggling to create chances away from home.
22:30 Sport Recife v Santos

Under 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.62

Lose

-50

Both SC do Recife and Santos arrive in dismal attacking form, combining for just 1.08 goals per game over their last five. Sport Recife have failed to score in four of their last five, while Santos have blanked in two and only netted more than once against weak opposition. Neither side can afford mistakes: Recife are desperate for points to escape the foot of the table, but have offered nothing going forward; Santos' away games see them averaging just 0.75 goals while conceding equally often. H2H history supports a low-scoring script (under 2.5 in 56% of recent matchups). With both teams likely to prioritize structure over risk, and no sign of attacking breakthrough, expect another tight affair.
22:04 22:04 Saratoga

Classic Q

Daily Racing

Classic Q is the form filly, comes in off a confidence-boosting win at the track, and profiles perfectly for the Lake George setup. She's the one they have to beat.
21:48 21:48 Woodbine

Tiz Her Money

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@7.50

Lose

-50

Tiz Her Money comes in off a strong G3 second when covering more ground than any rival and has repeatedly excelled at Woodbine. She's proven in the wet, handles a mile, and gets a better post here to track the speed and strike late. If she gets a clearer trip, her class and proven finishing kick should tell. Others have promise, but she's the battle-hardened, consistent, and adaptable option.
20:45 Rosario Central v San Martin SJ

Rosario Central

50 WIN

@1.62

Lose

-50

Rosario Central's home fortress is the main narrative here: 80% home win rate, just 0.6 goals conceded per match, and a run of 3 wins in their last 5, all backed by strong defensive numbers (3 clean sheets). San Martín de San Juan, by contrast, are a dismal 0% away for wins, averaging only 0.25 points per game and failing to score in 75% of away matches. No suspensions or major injury shocks are noted; form and confidence lean completely to the hosts. San Martín's travel brings no upside??"they struggle for goals, lack a clear attacking outlet, and their away xG is among the league's lowest. With Rosario Central motivated to cement their top-table status and the visitors bringing nothing on the road, the only logical angle is a confident home win. Anything less would be a major upset.
20:32 20:32 Colonial Downs

Lazlo

Daily Racing

19:45 RAAL La Louviere v Standard Liege

RAAL La Louviere (AH) 0.00

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.95

Lose

-50

La Louvière kick off at home with a real point to prove, backed by an 11-game unbeaten home streak and a lively attack averaging 2 goals a game. Standard Liège limp in with no away wins in six and a chronic lack of punch up front, scoring less than once per match. There's no fresh injury drama or tactical bombshells, just two teams trending in opposite directions. With momentum, motivation, and home turf all with RAAL, backing them draw no bet covers the likely scenarios and lands value in a tight, low-scoring opener.
19:35 19:35 Woodbine

Sinclairity

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

Sinclairity (9) is the upwardly mobile filly here. Lightly raced, unbeaten at Woodbine until last time, and shaping as though this trip will unlock further improvement. Facing mostly exposed, older rivals, she's the logical winner.
19:30 19:30 Colonial Downs

Ak Sar Ben Derby

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.00

Lose

-50

19:15 Lechia Gdansk v Lech Poznan

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.70

Win

35

Both Lechia Gda?sk and Lech Pozna? start the season with open, aggressive play. Lechia's home matches hit 80% over 2.5 goals, and Lech's away data (from last season and Europe) backs a high-tempo, goal-rich pattern. Recent H2H show 75% over 2.5, and both squads lack defensive stability: Lechia concede 1.7 per game at home, Lech 1.4 away. Key attackers (Kapi, Ishak) are fit, no major injuries. Neither side kept a clean sheet in their openers. Tactically, both press for early goals and rarely settle, making Over 2.5 Goals the clear value angle in a match where both need a statement result.
19:13 19:13 Saratoga

Arthurs Ride

Daily Racing

Arthur's Ride is the clear standout: he's fresh, drawn perfectly in barrier 1, and has outstanding stats at Saratoga (2 wins, 2 seconds from 5). The William Mott/Junior Alvarado combo is proven in big-money events. The only slight query is his 38-week layoff, but his 1st-up record (2 wins from 4) is strong. Expect him to control the race from up front and prove too strong late.
19:04 19:04 Woodbine

Thread

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-50

Reliable, fit, proven at the track/trip, strong trainer, and no clear negatives. Weather and race shape should play to her strengths.
19:00 Bohemians 1905 v Slavia Prague

Under 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@2.35

Win

68

Despite Slavia's historic dominance, the early season context plus Bohemians' tight, low-scoring home win and Slavia's leaky 2-2 away opener suggests a chess match rather than a shootout. Bohemians typically keep things cagey at home (1.67 points/game, just 1.5 goals scored, 1.17 conceded last 5), and Slavia, though prolific, often see their away matches slow down early in a new campaign. Recent H2H trends show under 2.5 landing in almost half these encounters. With both sides still calibrating and neither wanting to give away early momentum, expect a disciplined, low-scoring contest.
15:00 3:00 Ascot

Aalto

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@7.00

Lose

-50

Aalto's recent second at Newmarket over 1408m and win at Sandown, combined with a light 56kg weight, make it a standout. William Buick's top jockey skills and Ian Williams' training edge it over Akkadian Thunder and Northern Express, whose forms have dipped.
25 July 2025
19:30 Arka Gdynia v Radomiak Radom

Arka Gdynia

50 WIN

@2.50

Lose

-50

Hosts impressive at home with 2.50 PPG in last four, scoring 2.0/conceding 0.75 per game versus Radomiak's poor 1.20 PPG away form. Superior home xG (1.50 vs 1.18 allowed) meets visiting struggles (1.22 away xG). Radomiak missing key defender Cichocki and playmaker Wolski. Market undervalues promoted side's home fortress advantage.
19:30 Stal Rzeszow v Slask Wroclaw

Slask Wroclaw

50 WIN

@1.87

Lose

-50

Slask arrive in Rzeszow in far sturdier shape. The visitors average 1.30 PPG and 1.75 xG, fueled by 14 shots a night, whereas Stal limp in with five consecutive defeats, posting a feeble 0.4 goals and conceding 2.4. Crucially, Stal have not scored first this term and blank in 70% of fixtures, so Slask's habit of early breakthroughs (60%) should tilt the game state their way. Odds movement over the past day reinforces the market's confidence in the away side, yet the current price still underrates a side with clear superiority in form, firepower, and mentality. Back Slask Wroclaw to take all three points.
17:00 Cracovia Krakow v Termalica BB Nieciecza

Termalica BB Nieciecza

50 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-50

Nieciecza travel to Kraków in sizzling form, taking 13 points from the last 15 while averaging 2.4 goals and conceding under one per outing. Their front line, Fabender, Zapolnik, and Kubica, has already combined for four goals this season, converting 18% of attempts and habitually striking early (90% score-first rate). Cracovia's surface numbers look respectable, yet cracks appear on closer inspection: only one clean sheet in ten, 2.0 goals shipped per home match, and a defense that often sits narrow, leaving space for Nieciecza's quick wide breaks. The hosts' central pairing of Henriksson-Skovgaard has struggled against pace, the very trait Nieciecza exploit in transition. History also leans away: the visitors own a 7-2-3 record in this matchup and a positive 23-16 goal margin. With Cracovia averaging just 1.5 PPG at home versus Nieciecza's 2.4 PPG on the road, the true win probability is far closer to 40% than the 27% hinted by odds. That gap makes backing Nieciecza the standout value play for Friday night.
17:00 Znicz Pruszkow v Stal Mielec

Znicz Pruszkow

50 WIN

@2.25

Lose

-50

Hosts in excellent form with 1.75 PPG at home versus Stal's dismal 0.80 PPG away, conceding 2.60/game on travels. Znicz's superior home metrics (1.72 xG) exploit Stal's defensive fragility (2.13 away xGA, 2+ goals conceded in 80% recent trips). Two key defenders still injured for visitors. Market undervalues home advantage.
14:25 2:25 Ascot

Reciprocated

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.88

Lose

-50

RECIPROCATED stands out in the Flexjet Pat Eddery Stakes with an unbeaten 2/2 record and top handicap rating of 99. Recent dominant Carlisle victory under penalty demonstrates class, while the step up to 1408m suits breeding perfectly. Burke's yard in good form and 2.88 odds offer genuine value against this competitive Listed field. Strong selection with excellent winning prospects.
24 July 2025
23:00 Juventude v Sao Paulo

Juventude (AH) 0.50

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.90

Lose

-50

Home side solid with 1.57 PPG at fortress Caxias do Sul, conceding just 1.0/game. São Paulo winless away (0.57 PPG, 0.86 goals/game) and missing key goalkeeper Rafael plus winger Ferreira. Home advantage worth +1.00 PPG differential. Covers both home win and draw scenarios.
11:10 Ben OConnor vs Guillaume Martin

Ben OConnor

Matchups

50 WIN

@1.33

Win

17

11:10 Tour de France 2025 Stage 18

Thymen Arensman

Win Outright

25 EW

@21.00

Lose

-50

Strong climbing specialist who won Stage 14 at Superbagnères, demonstrating peak form. Consistently flagged as a breakaway contender for this mountain stage. At 21.00 odds, offers excellent each-way value for punters seeking longshot opportunities with solid reasoning.
22 July 2025
16:00 Francesco Passaro vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.95

Win

47

Camilo Ugo Carabelli to beat Francesco Passaro at 1.95 represents solid value with the Argentine holding ranking edge (No. 51 vs 121) and superior clay return stats. Carabelli wins 28.8% of first-serve returns versus Passaro's 26.6%, crucial for break opportunities on slow Umag clay. Despite their previous three-set meeting favoring Passaro, Carabelli's improved form and higher tour-level consistency suggest the rematch swings his way at near even-money odds.
16:00 Jaume Munar vs Marcos Giron

Marcos Giron

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.85

Lose

-50

Giron boasts a 62.5% hard-court win rate in 2023 versus Munar's 55.6%, plus stronger serve stats (5.1 aces per match) and better return game success. The American thrives in US conditions with recent top-5 wins and historically feeds off home crowd energy. Washington's medium-fast DecoTurf suits Giron's first-strike style over Munar's clay-court grinding game.
16:00 Quentin Halys vs Aleksandar Kovacevic

Aleksandar Kovacevic

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.00

Win

50

Aleksandar Kovacevic to beat Quentin Halys at 2.00 represents excellent value based on contrasting form trajectories. Kovacevic arrives with exceptional momentum after reaching Los Cabos final and defeating world No. 10 Rublev in the semifinal, while Halys enters on a four-match losing streak. The American enjoys home advantage in Washington where he previously reached Round of 16, plus career-high ranking confidence. Market hasn't adjusted for recent performance differential, creating clear value opportunity.
15:00 Dino Prizmic vs Elmer Moller

Dino Prizmic

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.67

Win

34

Dino Prizmic to beat Elmer Moller at 1.67 offers excellent value despite ranking disadvantage. The Croatian teenager enjoys massive home support in Umag plus superior clay credentials - saves 64% break points versus Moller's 58%. Moller's 3.2 double faults per match invite pressure, while Prizmic excels in longer rallies that clay surfaces favor. Home court edge and surface specialization outweigh ranking difference.
11:10 Tadej Pogacar vs Jonas Vingegaard

Tadej Pogacar

Matchups

50 WIN

@1.17

Win

9

11:10 Tobias H Johannessen vs Kevin Vauquelin

Tobias H Johannessen

Matchups

50 WIN

@1.33

Lose

-50

10:00 Filip Misolic vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Filip Misolic

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.83

Win

41

Misolic boasts an exceptional 77.8% clay win rate (35-10) versus Etcheverry's struggling 40.9% (9-13) on his preferred surface. The Austrian arrives with career-high ranking momentum after the French Open third round and a recent Challenger title, while Etcheverry enters on a three-match losing streak. Home advantage in Austria plus superior current form outweighs the ranking differential.
21 July 2025
23:00 Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Aleksandar Vukic

Aleksandar Vukic

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.38

Win

69

While Mpetshi Perricard possesses superior weapons, the combination of poor recent form, mental concerns, and slight market inefficiency creates a compelling case for backing Vukic. The Australian's experience and the neutralizing effect of hard courts make this an ideal spot for an upset.
20:50 20:50 Thistledown

Shes Willie Fast

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@SP

Void

0

She's Willie Fast's perfect record at this track and distance (1/2, 500 ROI) and recent 2nd at 1207m make it the value bet. City Signs is strong, but Jabdiel Castillo's trainer edge (26 ROI) can't match the horse's track form. Expect a dominant run.
20:30 Learner Tien vs Emilio Nava

Learner Tien

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.62

Win

31

Tien owns the superior hard-court resume, higher break-conversion rate, and better clutch metrics. Nava's serve can keep sets tight, but his lower return quality means he struggles to apply scoreboard pressure.
18:30 Tatiana Prozorova vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva

Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.73

Lose

-50

Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva to win at 1.73 represents excellent value based on superior recent form and tactical advantages. The Andorran shows stronger serve stats (5.4 aces vs 3.1) and saves more break points than Prozorova. Her left-handed style effectively targets her opponent's weaker backhand, while recent main-draw wins over Top-60 players demonstrate sharp tournament form. Market opened at 1.82 but shortened to 1.73 on smart money backing, yet still offers 9% value edge according to form analysis.
10:00 Mai Hontama vs Alycia Parks

Mai Hontama

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.80

Lose

-50

Strong value backing Hontama despite ranking disadvantage (202 vs 59). Japanese player shows excellent current form with dominant qualifying victories in Prague, including 6-1, 6-0 win with 74% first serve points won. Parks struggling badly with four consecutive losses across surfaces, including 0-6, 3-6 defeat to Bencic at Wimbledon. Hontama leads head-to-head 1-0 and crucially has tournament experience on these specific Prague courts. Form differential heavily favors the in-form qualifier who demonstrates superior momentum and surface adaptation. Market hasn't fully adjusted to Parks' recent struggles.
03:00 SAC Kings @ CHA Hornets

CHA Hornets

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.10

Win

55

Charlotte's youngsters have looked a class above in Vegas, rolling to five straight wins by an average of 16 points thanks to relentless defense and balanced scoring. Sacramento are also unbeaten, yet they've leaned on grinding games into the low 80s and haven't faced an attack as potent as Charlotte's. With the Hornets' top picks healthy and only one rotational piece sidelined, the underdog tag feels misplaced, especially on a neutral floor. Expect Charlotte's superior shot creation to overcome the Kings' stout half-court defense and lift them to the Summer League crown.
00:10 DET Tigers @ TEX Rangers

TEX Rangers

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.60

Lose

-50

Rangers dominated the first two games (2-0, 4-1) vs. the struggling Tigers' offense on a 6-game losing streak. Home field advantage at Globe Life Field is crucial. Despite Skubal's quality, Detroit's offensive woes and the Rangers' momentum make an upset likely.

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