GoalJedi
2
Estimated Prizes
this month
£10
Estimated Prize money
this month
GoalJedi's Tips History
13 June 2026
10:35 Parramatta Eels v Canberra Raiders
Parramatta Eels 2.50
Handicap (2-way)
50 WIN
@-117
Win
43
Raiders are missing Origin reps Ethan Strange and Hudson Young, plus injured forwards Junior Paulo and Siaosi? (Papalii and Sasagi) plus backline options Tamale and Kris. This guts their edge attack and middle grunt. Eels have won their last three home games against Canberra, arrive off narrow losses showing fight, and both sides have posted low-scoring outputs in recent weeks.
02:00 USA v Paraguay
USA
50 WIN
@+100
Win
50
The USA open their 2026 World Cup campaign as co-hosts at SoFi Stadium with a clear home advantage and heightened motivation on a big occasion. They are supported by a squad that offers superior creative and attacking quality through Christian Pulisic, Folarin Balogun, and wide options. They hold a strong recent head-to-head record against Paraguay, including narrow victories in recent meetings, while Paraguay's pragmatic defensive block and set-piece focus often restrict their ability to dominate games against well-organized opponents. Although Paraguay remain resilient and capable of frustrating, the hosts' depth and the significance of the fixture give the USA the stronger platform to secure victory.
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Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@+110
Win
55
The USA are set to generate consistent chance creation at home through Pulisic's influence and attacking transitions. Paraguay possess independent scoring routes via Antonio Sanabria's finishing, Miguel Almirón's creativity, and threats from set pieces or counters. Recent encounters between the sides have produced goals for both teams. Paraguay's organized but transition-oriented approach makes a clean sheet for the hosts unlikely, even if they control large spells of the game. This combination of attacking profiles supports both sides scoring in a competitive opener.
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00:05 SD Padres @ BAL Orioles
BAL Orioles
Money Line
50 WIN
@-129
Win
38
BAL holds the higher probability at home despite the SP concern with Gibson. Vásquez is reliable, but the Orioles' home record, power in the lineup (including Alonso), and bullpen depth give BAL the slight edge in a close interleague matchup. SD's road performance and the venue's hitter-friendly nature do not overcome the home-side advantages enough to flip the probabilities.
Subtotal186
12 June 2026
23:45 SEA Mariners @ WAS Nationals
SEA Mariners
Money Line
50 WIN
@-149
Win
34
Miller's current dominance (1.33 ERA, 0.78 WHIP, elite underlying metrics since IL return) creates a clear SP edge over Littell (4.76 ERA season-long despite a recent hot streak). SEA's deeper pitching staff and overall quality outweigh the road spot against a near-.500 WAS club at home.
23:40 MIA Marlins @ PIT Pirates
PIT Pirates
Money Line
50 WIN
@-140
Lose
-50
PIT holds clear structural edges: Ashcraft's 2026 metrics (3.28 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 9.7 K/9) outclass Alcántara's (4.33 ERA, 1.26 WHIP) despite the latter's recent solid outings. PIT's home/road split advantage is pronounced, while MIA sits at 11-19 away. PNC remains neutral to slightly pitcher-friendly with benign weather and no meaningful shadow distortion in this time slot. The 1.71 price sits inside the ideal contest band and carries a modest but real +edge once splits and SP quality are layered in.
20:00 Canada v Bosnia Herzegovina
Canada
Canada arrive at their 2026 World Cup opener in Toronto on the back of an eight-match unbeaten run featuring six clean sheets. This offers defensive stability and momentum on home soil for this historic fixture. Despite the absence of Alphonso Davies, they retain attacking quality through Jonathan David and a cohesive squad under Jesse Marsch. They should benefit from the passionate home support and the significance of the occasion. Bosnia and Herzegovina have proven resilient with their own unbeaten streak and compact defensive organisation, yet Canada's home profile and superior depth make them the side with the clearer path to victory in what is likely to be a competitive contest.
1 member found this comment useful
Under 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@-149
Win
34
Canada's recent international matches have frequently been low-scoring affairs, including several goalless draws. Bosnia and Herzegovina have conceded one goal or fewer in each of their last six outings and have maintained a disciplined, compact mid-block approach. The nature of a World Cup group-stage opener between two organised sides often produces a cautious, tactical battle rather than an open, high-tempo encounter, particularly with Bosnia set up to frustrate and counter. These factors combine to support expectations of a match that stays under 2.5 goals.
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20:00 Shelbourne v Shamrock Rovers
Under 2.50
Total Goals
Shelbourne have managed only one home win in ten league matches this season and average 1.4 goals scored per home game while conceding 1.7. Their recent results have been low-scoring, including multiple 0-0 and 1-1 draws. The side has remained unbeaten without producing high volumes of chances. Shamrock Rovers carry one of the stronger defensive records in the division and have shown inconsistency in front of goal on their travels. Historical meetings between these sides and the derby setting at Tolka Park both point to a controlled, cautious contest rather than an open affair.
19:45 Galway United v Dundalk
Over 2.50
Total Goals
Galway United have seen over 2.5 goals in each of their last six home league matches and have averaged 3.6 goals per game across their last ten outings. Dundalk have been involved in six overs of 2.5 goals in their last ten league games, while both sides concede regularly, with Galway failing to keep a clean sheet in 15 matches. The combination of open attacking approaches and defensive vulnerabilities on both sides points to a match with multiple goals.
19:45 Waterford FC v Sligo Rovers
Draw
50 WIN
@+240
Lose
-50
Waterford have been difficult to beat at home this season, recording six draws and just two defeats from their nine home league matches. Sligo Rovers have secured only two wins from nine away games and have scored just six goals on their travels overall. Both sides sit in the bottom two and have shown similar inconsistency in recent weeks, with the points at stake likely to encourage a measured approach from each team.
Under 2.50
Total Goals
Sligo Rovers have been involved in low-scoring matches on their travels, averaging two goals per game across their last ten away league fixtures, with an average of just 0.8 goals scored per game. Waterford's home matches have followed a comparable pattern, averaging 2.4 goals per game, with only three overs of 2.5 in their last ten home outings. Sligo are missing several attacking options through injury, while both teams have defensive priorities in this relegation six-pointer, pointing to a low-tempo contest.
Subtotal-232
11 June 2026
20:00 Mexico v South Africa
Mexico
50 WIN
@-200
Win
25
Mexico have the clearest win profile: home conditions in Mexico City, stronger squad depth, and a more settled defensive structure. Their latest warm-up brought a 1-0 win over Australia, while South Africa's build-up has been disrupted by delayed travel to Mexico.
1 member found this comment useful
Under 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@-124
Win
40
Mexico's recent defensive record points towards a controlled opener rather than an end-to-end match, with only one goal conceded in seven matches in 2026. South Africa have pace in wide areas, but their finishing concerns and Mexico's tournament-opening caution make a tight scoreline the stronger goals angle.
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Subtotal65
10 June 2026
11:30 Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Ajla Tomljanovic
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Win Match
50 WIN
@-117
Lose
-50
Maneiro holds the clearer profile here: higher ranking (#54 vs #109), cleaner 2026 record (10-15 vs 9-14), and no fitness red flags after a solid clay swing that included wins over Zaar and Ferro. Tomljanovic's historical grass numbers (13-8 over the prior three years) and serve strength are offset by a five-match losing streak, ongoing injury history, and recent withdrawals/retirements that signal physical decline at 33. The grass surface narrows the gap but does not override Maneiro's superior recent ball-striking consistency and return pressure.
11:00 Noma Noha Akugue vs Katarzyna Kawa
Noma Noha Akugue
Win Match
50 WIN
@+110
Lose
-50
Akugue enters on strong clay results (Makarska and Wiesbaden) and looked sharp in her Modena opener. Kawa arrives after a poor loss on the same surface. The 2.10 price undervalues the 22-year-old's trajectory and current rhythm versus the 33-year-old veteran. Expect a competitive baseline battle on slow clay where Akugue's movement and freshness provide the edge.
10:30 Emerson Jones vs Dalma Galfi
Emerson Jones
Win Match
50 WIN
@+120
Lose
-50
Jones' elite returning and tiebreak prowess (68% success) are tailor-made for Ilkley grass, where she can pressure Galfi's serve and steal sets in tight moments. Her 17-11 YTD form and competitive recent grass showing outweigh Galfi's modest 13-15 record and post-clay rust.
10:30 Tereza Martincova vs Katie Swan
Tereza Martincova
Win Match
50 WIN
@-124
Lose
-50
Martincova's superior return efficiency, elite break-point conversion, and grass-suited, flat, penetrating game give her the clearer tactical and statistical edge over Swan, whose serve remains vulnerable under pressure despite recent hot form. The Czech's recent qualifier win and baseline control outweigh any freshness gap, making her the high-probability selection on this surface.
10:00 Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Gauthier Onclin
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard to win 2 - 0
Set Betting
50 WIN
@+170
Win
85
Perricard's massive serve (28 aces and dominant tiebreak wins in a tough R1 victory over Safiullin) is tailor-made for fast, low-bouncing Stuttgart grass, where he holds a clear edge in power and first-serve effectiveness over the shorter Onclin. The ranking and athleticism gap is significant. Onclin's strong 2026 Challenger/hard-court form and straight-sets R1 win over Marozsán do not translate to this surface or opponent level. Perricard showed resilience and fitness in his recent three-setter with no fresh injury concerns, positioning him for a controlled straight-sets win in Wimbledon grass prep. This offers strong value given the surface and stylistic mismatch.
10:00 Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann
Yannick Hanfmann
Win Match
50 WIN
@-136
Lose
-50
Hanfmann's superior grass-court metrics, home-soil comfort, and serving masterclass in R1 outweigh Bellucci's momentum. At ~1.80 the implied probability sits below my estimated 60??"63% true win chance for the German, delivering positive expected value in a match that projects as a three-set battle Hanfmann controls. Clean, data-backed edge on the favorite.
10:00 Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak
Otto Virtanen
Win Match
50 WIN
@-124
Lose
-50
Virtanen's red-hot grass form, recent straight-sets title, and hard-fought three-set victory over Majchrzak on the same surface give him the clear edge. The tall Finn's serve should prove decisive in another tight contest, making the 1.80 price attractive value against a higher-ranked but less in-form opponent. Expect a competitive match that Virtanen closes out in three sets.
Subtotal-215
09 June 2026
18:30 Durham vs Lancashire T20
Durham
Win Match
50 WIN
@+100
Lose
-50
Durham hold a home edge at Riverside, where first-innings scores average 148??"160 and batting-first sides win 54%. Durham sit higher in the North Group table on points after more matches, while Lancashire have lost four of five, with key all-rounder Chris Green ruled out long-term and only Livingstone plus McDermott delivering. Durham's attack is led by the economical Raine and leading wicket-taker Parkinson. Lancashire's recent collapses and missing personnel tilt the balance. Durham win required.
18:30 Essex vs Kent T20
Essex
Win Match
50 WIN
@+110
Win
55
Essex host Kent at Chelmsford on a high-scoring pitch. The home side holds stronger recent results and a superior NRR. Kent travel depleted without overseas all-rounder Diane Forrester, who contributed heavily in the reverse fixture that Essex won by 9 wickets after their bowlers restricted Kent to 129/9. Essex's balanced attack, featuring Harmer and Benkenstein, plus home familiarity creates a clear mismatch against current Kent resources.
18:30 Northants vs Worcestershire T20
Northants
Win Match
50 WIN
@-188
Win
26
Northants sit top of the Central & West group at 5 wins from 5 with a strong NRR, while Worcs sit mid-table at 3??"2. The County Ground is a proven batting paradise with high average first-innings scores and strong bat-first outcomes. Northants have posted and defended big totals effectively there. Chris Lynn is in explosive form with a recent century and multiple big scores, pairing with David Willey’s all-round impact and Calvin Harrison’s proven wicket-taking against this opposition. The most recent H2H meeting saw Northants crush Worcs by 100 runs. Worcestershire’s batting has looked fragile in patches, and they lack the same current depth or momentum. Northants should control the powerplay and middle overs with superior firepower and home conditions.
06:00 Bangladesh vs Australia 1st ODI
Bangladesh
Win Match
50 WIN
@+137
Win
69
Australia travel without Mitchell Marsh (ankle) and Travis Head. Josh Inglis captains a thinned batting group and all-round options. Bangladesh field a full-strength side at home with a strong pace battery (Taskin, Mustafizur, Shoriful, Nahid Rana) that matches recent Mirpur trends where seamers have taken the bulk of wickets. Historical H2H dominance is irrelevant with this Australian squad.
Subtotal100
08 June 2026
01:00 NHL Stanley Cup 2025/26
DAL Stars
50 WIN
@+900
Lose
-50
The Cup race is bunched at the top, which is exactly where we hunt for misprices. Books generally list Dallas around +1000, implying ~9% despite a deep, balanced roster, elite two-way blue-liner Miro Heiskanen, and a proven playoff goaltender in Jake Oettinger. Dallas started strong, edging Colorado in a shootout this week, and the West looks plenty winnable if Vegas/Edmonton wobble. In the East, Florida's Barkov (ACL/MCL surgery) clouds a three-peat, further boosting West routes to silverware. I make Dallas ~11-12% to lift the Cup, giving a small but real edge at current prices, ideal as a single futures anchor with room to hedge later.
Subtotal-50
07 June 2026
22:45 The Memorial Tournament
Scottie Scheffler
50 WIN
@+320
Lose
-50
Scottie Scheffler wins if he maintains his season-long tee-to-green dominance and converts approach proximity into scoring on the small, firm bentgrass greens that define this course. He owns the best player-course strokes-gained tee-to-green figure in the ShotLink era at Muirfield (+3.04 per round historically) and currently leads the PGA Tour in both SG: Total and SG: Tee-to-Green while ranking elite in SG: Approach??"the exact skill set the Nicklaus design rewards most through penal rough and water-guarded approaches. Two prior wins here confirm execution under the specific demands of length, firm surfaces, and scrambling. The market price understates that combination by a wide margin.
Rory McIlroy
Top European
50 WIN
@+332
Lose
-50
Rory McIlroy is the best bet in this European winner market at 4.33. Fresh from his Masters win, the world No. 2 has the strongest game among Europeans and excels on demanding layouts like Muirfield Village. Ludvig Åberg is in hot form and offers value at 5.00, but Rory looks the most likely top European finisher.
20:25 The Memorial Tournament
Scottie Scheffler
1st Round Leader
50 WIN
@+900
Lose
-50
Scottie Scheffler stands out as the top pick for The Memorial Tournament. The world No. 1 and two-time defending champion has owned Muirfield Village, winning the last two editions with elite iron play and scrambling. His recent form shows consistent top finishes, including multiple runner-ups. The course's small greens and penal rough perfectly suit his game. With dry, warm weather expected early, Scheffler is primed to three-peat ahead of Rory McIlroy and in-form Ludvig Åberg.
17:06 5:06 Towcester
Runlike Skippy
Daily Races
50 WIN
@+187
Lose
-50
Runlike Skippy is the correct probability pick. Trap 2 owns the best first-bend profile by a clear margin and has already shown he can lead at this level. Hitthelids Kaley has the superior peak Adj Ti, but she gives away first-bend position too often. Skippy is market-aligned, better drawn to control the race, and the safer winner selection.
16:47 4:47 Towcester
Jazzy Ace
Daily Races
50 WIN
@+162
Lose
-50
Jazzy Ace is accepted as the most probable winner. He is the market leader, has the cleanest draw as the wide runner in trap 6, and owns the strongest recent Towcester 500m adjusted-time profile. Roanna Sharp is the danger from trap 1 with a workable inside route, while Salacres Lincolns' bend-one figures are respected but offset by repeated crowding.
16:28 4:28 Towcester
Quivers Bucks
Daily Races
50 WIN
@+300
Win
150
Quivers Bucks is accepted as favourite because the T1 draw gives him the cleanest route. His trial shows enough early pace and adjusted-time ability for this weak B5. Sharp N Smart is the main danger, with a more complete card and a reliable first-bend position, but he faces more middle traffic. Eagles Atlantis is respected on the class drop, though her first-bend record is not strong enough to displace the favourite.
16:09 4:09 Towcester
Salacresvictoria
Daily Races
50 WIN
@+200
Lose
-50
Salacresvictoria is the correct winner-probability pick. She is favourite, drawn rails in Trap 1, has the cleanest inside route and a reliable first-bend profile. This includes a recent A3 win with early pace and soon-led comments. Makeit Home has sharper raw early claims but is lightly raced and drawn amid traffic. Jazzy Mia has ability but gives away position too often.
15:13 3:13 Towcester
Fabulous Livia
Daily Races
50 WIN
@+175
Win
88
Fabulous Livia is the disciplined winner pick: second in the market, proven over 500m, and the only runner with a recent course-and-distance 1111 win in this grade. Ballymac Loca is respected as favourite but lacks the same direct 500m pace evidence. Gladys All Over is dangerous early but carries more crowding risk.
14:54 2:54 Towcester
De Next Time
Daily Races
50 WIN
@+332
Lose
-50
De Next Time is the correct winner-probability call. He has the best draw, a strong bend-one profile with 3/5 recent leads, and the cleanest rail route into the first bend. Jacktavern Pele has the time ability and a reliable handy position, but his middle draw leaves more pressure. Ballymac Genius has the best recent Adj Ti, yet lacks the first-bend certainty needed from T6.
14:48 2:48 Sheffield
Swift Hostile
Daily Races
50 WIN
@-200
Lose
-50
Swift Hostile is the correct winner-probability pick. He is the clear market leader, has the best supplied Sheffield-adjusted time at the trip, and gets the inside draw against his main rival. Finnery Kobe has the better likely lead chance, but he must clear Trap 1 cleanly. Swift Hostile's rail position, class edge, and recent direct win over Kobe make the favourite acceptable.
14:36 2:36 Towcester
Fabulous Trick
Daily Races
50 WIN
@+275
Lose
-50
Fabulous Trick is the disciplined pick: favourite, rails drawn, and the clearest first-bend profile with 3/5 B1 leads. Wraysbury Band has a good inside draw and solid 270m Adj Ti, but T2 owns the sharper recent sprint win and stronger early position. Makeit Dj is respected in the market but lacks 270m proof.
14:30 Gloucestershire vs Worcestershire T20
Gloucestershire
Win Match
50 WIN
@+100
Win
50
Gloucestershire enter as the stronger side with a 4-1 record and superior NRR, backed by home conditions at Bristol and a proven T20 performer in D'Arcy Short who has delivered explosive starts. Worcestershire sit at 3-1 but lack the same current momentum or venue edge. Gloucestershire's balanced attack, featuring de Lange and Jansen, gives them the clearer path to controlling games on a typical Bristol T20 surface. The market price underestimates the home side's form and situational advantage.
14:30 Leicestershire vs Yorkshire T20
Yorkshire
Win Match
50 WIN
@-175
Lose
-50
Yorkshire sit top of the North Group with four wins from five and a crushing recent victory over Lancashire, where they posted 213/7 and bowled the opposition out for 107. Their attack, led by Hasan Ali and Faheem Ashraf, combined with Jonny Bairstow's explosive form, outclasses Leicestershire's inconsistent unit, which carries a negative NRR and has suffered heavy recent defeats. The balanced Grace Road pitch provides no meaningful home compensation for the quality gap. Yorkshire will win the match.
14:30 Sussex vs Kent T20
Sussex
Win Match
50 WIN
@+137
Win
69
Sussex at home on a typically batting-friendly Hove pitch, with Jofra Archer cleared and available, represents a clear mispricing against a Kent side that has the better record and a recent head-to-head win but travels with some key absences and without the same single-match X-factor. Kent's 3-1 start and comfortable victory at Canterbury are real, yet Sussex's collapse against Leicestershire is over-weighted by the market, while Archer's elite T20 ceiling (pace and finishing) is under-weighted.
The fair line sits closer to Sussex 2.00??"2.10 once home conditions, Archer's impact, and Kent's thinner seam options away from Canterbury are factored. At 2.37 the Sussex moneyline clears the +5pp threshold, with structural edges in venue fit and star availability that the short Kent price ignores.
14:14 2:14 Sunderland
Nicoles Noir
Daily Races
50 WIN
@+300
Lose
-50
Nicoles Noir is accepted as the most probable winner despite lacking a strong bend-one profile. The draw is the deciding factor. Trap 1 gives the favourite the cleanest rails route, while the middle runners carry the greater clash risk. Easy Act owns the best adjusted time but needs a cleaner break. Pomba Pauline is the danger if clearing early.
13:26 1:26 Sunderland
Doohoma Rogue
Daily Races
50 WIN
@+350
Win
175
Doohoma Rogue is the percentage call from Trap 6. He is second favorite, owns the best recent 450m adjusted time, and has the cleanest route as the sole wide runner. Marinas Monza is respected on the grade drop, but the inside draw carries more first-bend traffic risk.
13:08 1:08 Sunderland
Lacken Fun
Daily Races
50 WIN
@+400
Win
200
Lacken Fun is accepted as the most probable winner. The key is not raw form but race shape: trap one, rails style, a vacant trap two, and the best first-bend top-two record in this field. Untold Kaspa is respected as the second favourite and an improving type but does not secure early position as reliably. Standard confidence, small-win status.
11:09 11:09 Sunderland
Kates Redwood
Daily Races
50 WIN
@SP
Lose
-50
Kates Redwood holds the highest win probability. The rail draw pairs with a strong early-pace profile and the best recent adjusted time at the distance. Freeway Sultan possesses elite early pace and a cleaner recent record but faces a less favorable trap and a marginally inferior time figure. The race shape shows two strong early runners yet remains readable rather than chaotic.
Subtotal132
06 June 2026
19:00 Durham vs Northants T20
Northants
Win Match
50 WIN
@-142
Win
35
Northants win by exploiting an unbeaten T20 Blast record and stronger white-ball squad depth against a Durham side that has dropped three of its last five matches. The Steelbacks' balanced seam attack and in-form overseas batters align better with Riverside's moderate-scoring, seam-friendly surface than Durham's recent inconsistent top-order displays. Home factor and shower risk add variance but do not close the form and momentum gap.
18:30 Catalan Dragons v Wigan Warriors
Catalan Dragons
To Win
50 WIN
@+209
Lose
-50
Catalan Dragons win requires them to capitalise on Wigan's depleted squad and the occasion. Wigan travel without suspended halfback Harry Smith and prop Sam Walters, plus injured Bevan French, on top of earlier season absences. Catalan regain Tommy Makinson, Lewis Dodd, and Julian Bousquet. Both sides show similar recent inconsistency, but the Paris anniversary match supplies a clear motivational and atmospheric lift for the home side at a non-traditional venue. Wigan's quality remains, but the immediate personnel gap and fixture context close the true margin far below the 1.36 price.
15:00 Huddersfield Giants v Toulouse Olympique
Toulouse Olympique
To Win
50 WIN
@+185
Win
93
Huddersfield enter this basement clash in freefall after a run of heavy defeats, including 0-52 at Leeds, 4-34 to Warrington and 18-26 to St Helens, with their defence conceding 30??"50+ points regularly and showing systemic cracks. Even at the alternate Flair Stadium venue, their home advantage is heavily diluted by poor form and low confidence. Toulouse, as a newly promoted side, have shown more fight and competitive performances in patches despite their own struggles. Huddersfield's returning players (Flanagan Jr., Milne et al.) provide a short-term boost but do not reverse the momentum gap. The market continues to price the home name heavily at 1.40 while ignoring the form evidence; Toulouse at 2.85 clears the threshold with clear overlay.
10:35 Brisbane Broncos v Gold Coast Titans
Under 50.50
Total Points
50 WIN
@-114
Lose
-50
Both sides are posting low outputs this season (Broncos ~21 ppg, Titans ~17.5 ppg), with Titans conceding a manageable 25.5 ppg. Broncos enter missing Pat Carrigan (syndesmosis, long term), forcing Xavier Willison to lock and Tom Duffy into five-eighth. Their recent form is poor, and they have leaked points while struggling to control games. Titans remain attack-limited despite Origin returns. Recent H2H and derby tension point to a controlled, error-prone contest rather than the inflated total the market has priced. Broncos are expected to play conservatively after their slump.
Subtotal28
05 June 2026
19:00 Yorkshire vs Lancashire T20
Yorkshire
Win Match
50 WIN
@+100
Win
50
Subtotal50
31 May 2026
09:15 Penrith Panthers v New Zealand Warriors
New Zealand Warriors 1.50
Handicap (2-way)
50 WIN
@-105
Lose
-50
Panthers start without rested Origin trio Cleary, Yeo, To'o in the run-on side. They are plus monitoring risk while Warriors sit Barnett and Capewell but bring fresh legs, momentum from six straight wins, and solid top-two defensive metrics. Home advantage and depth still give Penrith a narrow edge, but not the full points market prices after rotation and a post-Origin flat spot. H2H and big clashes trend tight, with Warriors covering in similar spots. The line overreacts to reputation.
07:05 Canberra Raiders v North Queensland Cowboys
North Queensland Cowboys
To Win
50 WIN
@+120
Lose
-50
Cowboys enter with superior momentum, winning 8 of their past 10 and averaging 30 points scored while holding opponents tighter than the Raiders, who are stuck averaging 22 points and conceding heavily in back-to-back losses. Murray Taulagi returns to boost the edge attack. Cotter provides middle stability even when backing up. The H2H is overwhelmingly one-sided in North Queensland's favour. Raiders suffer Brailey's absence at hooker, plus the fatigue/impact risk on Origin pair Strange and Young at home against a side that travels well and exploits exactly these defensive and scoring lapses. Market still overrates the Raiders' nominal home edge.
05:00 Brisbane Broncos v St George/Illawarra Dragons
St George/Illawarra Dragons 19.50
Handicap (2-way)
50 WIN
@+100
Win
50
Broncos receive a massive pack boost with Haas and Piakura returning, plus Origin backs available at home. They sit 11th after a three-game losing streak and have defensive leaks (112 points conceded recently). They are coming off a bye with several players backing up. The Dragons remain winless (0??"11), score poorly (avg ~13 ppg), and miss key pieces. Yet they have covered big spreads in losses and own a strong recent H2H record.
Subtotal-50
Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.
