GoalJedi
A brief summary of my tipping philosophy, hmm, on my tipster profile page, it may appear. In the site and the app, strong with the Force, my insights and tips shall be. Passionate, I am, about sharing wisdom with fellow sports lovers, hmm. Deep analysis and statistics, the pillars of my tipping philosophy are. Informed decisions, based on thorough research, I seek to make. I believe in the power of data-driven predictions, hmm. I aim to find value in the betting markets. Happy betting, hmm!
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Estimated Prizes
this month
£5
Estimated Prize money
this month
GoalJedi's Tips History
15 October 2025
03:37 PIT Penguins @ ANA Ducks
Over 6.00
Game Totals
50 WIN
@1.95
Win
47
Anaheim's home opener under Joel Quenneville should be played with pace, and the Ducks' top kids are firing. Cutter Gauthier has piled up shots early, while Lukas Dostal is confirmed but still behind a defense that bled chances last game. Pittsburgh arrives cross-country after a 6-1 drubbing, with Kris Letang a game-time decision, and likely turns this into a high-event rebound spot behind a Silovs/Jarry rotation that's already produced a 3-0 shutout and a 6 against.
03:07 CAR Hurricanes @ SJ Sharks
CAR Hurricanes -1.50
Puck Line
50 WIN
@1.95
Win
47
Carolina's forecheck and depth should stress a Sharks blue line that's still settling in and bleeding goals (5.5 GA/G) and PK chances (62.5% kill). With Kochetkov sidelined, the Canes are riding Andersen, but Carolina's territorial edge and special-teams discipline offset any crease concern. San Jose's offense has punch (37.5% PP), yet MoneyPuck pegs the Sharks around 30% to win, consistent with Carolina's 8-2 run in the series and the market sitting near 260. If the Canes score first, San Jose's chase-mode PK becomes a liability.
02:37 MIN Wild @ DAL Stars
DAL Stars -1.50
Puck Line
50 WIN
@2.35
Win
68
Dallas catch Minnesota in a bad scheduling pocket: the Wild emptied the tank Monday, riding three power-play goals and a shootout to beat LA, and now fly to a rested Stars side opening at home. Oettinger has already stolen points in Denver, and Dallas depth at 5-on-5 typically drives play while last year's numbers still flag a mismatch on special teams (DAL PP 22% vs MIN PK 72%). The recent series trend favors the Stars, too (8-0-2 last 10). With Benn still out, Dallas leans on Robertson/Hintz/Johnston, but the real edge is structure and goaltending vs. a fatigued opponent.
02:07 VGS Golden Knights @ CGY Flames
VGS Golden Knights -1.50
Puck Line
50 WIN
@2.50
Win
75
Vegas have the early edge at 5v5 (xGF%/CF% tilt per MoneyPuck), plus a big special-teams mismatch: VGK PP ~30.8% vs. CGY PK ~75%. Dorofeyev's heater continues, Eichel is driving play, and Vegas' top-9 depth with Marner/Hertl should stress Calgary's coverage. Wolf's early form is wobbly (-3.9 GSAx; .865 SV%), while Hill is projected for VGK. Not a B2B and travel favors the road side to press the advantage. With ML a bit short, the value sits on the -1.5.
Subtotal237
12 October 2025
22:59 22:59 Woodbine
Tazman
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.00
Void
0
Back-to-back WO wins (6f, 7f) with tactical speed to stalk and finish; proven at T/D (4:2-0-0). Draw 5 is ideal in an 8-runner sprint; likely pace supplied by Go Kart Mozart/Reload's Rebel plays to his stalk-and-pounce style. Stable/jock 5-for-10 together with this horse.
21:50 21:50 Belmont At The Big A
Nics Style
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@1.80
Void
0
Classy mare drops from G3 company into AOC after racking up four straight stakes wins. She's 3/3 fresh, 2/2 at 7f, and 1/1 over BAQ's 7f, and the Alvarado/Mott combo is a slick 8:7-1-0 on her. Handy draw to stalk the likely pacemaker Stonewall Star (bar 6) then pounce. The Big Calhouna (rail) is the danger if the pace backs off.
21:48 21:48 Woodbine
Speights Will
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@9.00
Lose
-50
21:12 21:12 Keeneland
Future Is Now
Daily Racing
Rock-solid 5.5f specialist who won this race last year and arrives off back-to-back Saratoga stakes wins. Versatile stalking style should get first run behind several speed types (Luna Louska, Cart Girl Sam, Pondering). Proven at Keeneland T/D and retains Irad. Classy, consistent, and map-friendly.
21:00 21:00 Santa Anita
Bits Tiger Magic
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@SP
Lose
-50
20:08 20:08 Keeneland
El Rezeen
Daily Racing
Drops from G2/G1 into an allowance and is proven at 12f; prior Keeneland second and Ortiz/Pletcher reunite. Likely to stalk Presider/Goes The Clown and use his late kick. Class edge + solid track/distance profile.
20:00 Mali v Madagascar
Mali
Mali's defense has been elite across the run-in (4 clean sheets in their last 5; BTTS 0/5), with home xGA trending close to 0.4 and a strong SoT differential. Madagascar arrive needing a result but with notable absences (Warren Caddy and Ehsan Kari suspended), which dents their box presence and set-piece threat. Mali also carry the sharper finishing edge via Kamory Doumbia's form, and they're back at Stade du 26 Mars where they typically control territory. Context supports a tight home win (1-0/2-0 profile) despite Barea's decent away form.
19:49 19:49 Belmont At The Big A
Spiced Up
Daily Racing
Toss the Kentucky Downs G1; this is a class drop back to 6f at BAQ where he bolted up on debut and then won the G3 Mahony. Outside draw lets him stalk the likely pace (Out On Bail/Bucaro), and Mott/Alvarado are 3:2-0-0 with him. Proven 6f class, top recent figure, ideal setup.
19:45 Denmark v Greece
Denmark
Denmark brings superior chance creation at Parken (home xG 2.14 vs 0.84 xGA) and arrives off a 6-0 that confirms form, pressing, and set-piece threat. Greece must chase after the Scotland loss, which suits Danish transitions and wing-back supply. Hojbjerg is banned, but Norgaard or Eriksen cover the role sufficiently. The larger mismatch is Denmark's front rotation and set plays against a Greece that just shipped three. The market has edged toward Denmark, but still leaves room relative to the underlying.
19:45 Lithuania v Poland
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
Lithuania's home profile screams BTTS: they've scored in every home qualifier and 4 of their last 5 games ended with both teams netting. Poland, meanwhile, have conceded in every away qualifier; their away xGA sits high while their attack still generates chances. The combined modeling from recent xG splits (LTU home ~1.07 for/1.57 against; POL away ~1.45 for/1.71 against) points to ~3.1 expected goals, supportive of goals at both ends rather than a sterile Poland shutout.
19:45 Romania v Austria
Austria
Austria are perfect in qualifying (5/5) with a 19-2 goal difference and arrive off a 10-0 tune-up, so form and confidence are elite. Romania lose left-back Nicu?or Bancu and creator Nicolae Stanciu, trimming their set-piece threat and left-side build-up. Even with Xaver Schlager and Patrick Wimmer absent, Rangnick's squad depth (Alaba, Sabitzer, Arnautovi?) is superior and already edged Romania 2-1 in June. With Austria conceding just two in five qualifiers and carrying the stronger chance creation, the away win still rates as the value side against mild home-bias pricing.
19:04 19:04 Keeneland
Implementation
Daily Racing
Back down from a G2 Kentucky Downs turf sprint to a softer AOC on dirt, his best sphere (Smile Sprint winner; strong dirt record). Ideal inside draw (2) to stalk likely pace from Harrodsburg/Sir Wellington and pounce late. Proven at Keeneland (2/4) and Tyler/Saffie is a reliable combo. Risks: KD flop/pace collapse.
17:00 Scotland v Belarus
Scotland & No (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
50 WIN
@1.73
Lose
-50
Clarke's men have the control and set-piece threat to grind this, while Belarus' chance creation has been minimal. With Scotland's attacking options slightly thinned by suspensions, a professional clean-sheet win fits the likely game state.
14:35 2:35 Naas
Madbadanddangerous
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
14:00 San Marino v Cyprus
Cyprus & No (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
50 WIN
@1.73
Win
37
San Marino arrive off a 10-0 battering in Vienna and remain on points with 1 goal scored in six qualifiers. They've drawn a blank in 4 of the last 5 and own the worst attacking profile in UEFA Group H. H2H is stark: Cyprus have won all four recent meetings by an aggregate 15-1, with BTTS landing just once (25%). Underlying data also point to a shutout: San Marino's home xG averages ~0.66 while allowing ~2.11 xGA. Cyprus on the road generate ~1.07 xG and concede ~1.76 xGA, enough threat to find a goal or two without needing a shootout. Cyprus showed life on Thursday, rescuing a 2-2 vs Bosnia with Pittas' 90+6' penalty, a timely confidence boost before Serravalle.
14:00 Zambia v Niger
Draw
50 WIN
@3.25
Lose
-50
Zambia arrive off a 1-0 grind at Tanzania but are still creating little at home, while Niger just beat Congo 3-1 to cement a solid run and second place in the group. xG splits point to a tight game rather than a home surge (Zambia home xG/xGA 1.16/1.72; Niger away 0.66/1.64), and midday heat in Ndola should further suppress tempo. The market continues to rate Zambia strongly, but recent form and chance quality make a stalemate the value side.
Subtotal-340
11 October 2025
22:43 22:43 Laurel Park
Haileysfirstnotion
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.00
Lose
-50
Explosive 4yo with the field's top rating and a rock-solid T/D profile (5:2-2-1). Versatile pace lets him stalk what looks like a lively heat (Twisted Ride/Bold Diversion ensure tempo), and he's repeatedly run fast Laurel 6f figures. Slight class rise but he's in white-hot form off a nose defeat; Capuano/Sanchez a positive.
22:22 22:22 Belmont At The Big A
Spirit Of The Law
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@15.00
Lose
-50
Drawn 2 and likely to land the box seat behind El De Larry/Mo Kreesa. Recent 1-mile winner at Saratoga suggests he's ready for the allowance rise; ground-saving trip is a big plus at the BAQ mile. Maker/Castellano combo ticks the J/T box.
22:16 22:16 Keeneland
Laurelin
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.50
Lose
-50
Undefeated filly who drops slightly in trip after dominating the G2 Saratoga Oaks; tactical speed to stalk from gate 2 behind likely pace (Lush Lips/Destino Doro). Inside draw is a plus at Keeneland 9f; Carmouche/Motion 4-for-4 with her. Progressive profile.
22:12 22:12 Laurel Park
Post Time
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@1.60
Lose
-50
Drops out of the G2 Woodward into this state-bred Classic and lands a sweet mid draw (stall 5) for the Russell team. Track-and-trip profile is rock-solid and his stalk-and-pounce style should be flattered by likely pace from Blue Kingdom/Barbadian Runner. Clear class of the field with proven 9f stamina.
21:53 21:53 Belmont At The Big A
Love Cervere
Daily Racing
G3 6f turf for 3yo fillies with plenty of speed on: Me Governor/Pop Idol/Flat Out Time/Annascaul all press, setting it up for a stalker. Love Cervere (draw 2) owns a perfect BAQ 6f record (2:2-0) and arrives off a strong KD second. Franco for Clement is a plus; she should track the hot pace and finish best.
21:24 21:24 Belmont At The Big A
Tuscan Gold
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.00
Lose
-50
Classy Brown colt who just missed over 9f last time; the cutback to the Aqueduct mile from gate 3 should let him stalk a likely honest pace (V Cruizer/Buttah forward) and pounce late. Proven at track, strong J/T, and tactical speed to hold position.
21:12 21:12 Keeneland
Valentinian
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
Pletcher's progressive 3yo owns the top recent figure here and has been holding strong NYRA allowance form (3rd BAQ 9f; earlier 2nd SAR 9f). Low draw (3) should let Prat park handy and avoid traffic into the first turn. Minor pace concerns if they crawl, but class and tactical speed can offset.
21:00 Spain U20 v Colombia U20
Colombia U20
50 WIN
@4.20
Win
160
Recent KPIs lean Colombia. Over the last five, Colombia are unbeaten (WWDDW) with 2.00 PPG vs Spain's 1.75, and they've been the first scorers in 70% of matches (Spain 50%). Offensively, they generate more: 12.7 shots and 4.5 SOT per game to Spain's 7.5/2.75, with a stronger xG profile (1.57 xG vs 1.40 xGA for Colombia; Spain 1.07 xG / 1.08 xGA). That tilt plus a live threat in Neyser Villarreal (scored a brace vs South Africa) and Canchimbo suits a counter-punch at neutral Talca. Meanwhile, the market still shades Spain as favorites, which boosts the value on a Colombia result.
20:57 20:57 Delaware Park
Dazzling Dame
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.00
Win
150
Classy filly who already owns a mile stakes win (Sorority, Monmouth) and wasn't disgraced in the G3 Pocahontas. Drops back in grade and should track the likely hot pace set by Jumping The Gun from gate 10. Post 8 is fine around the two-turn mile; tactical speed + proven stamina.
20:30 Iraq v Indonesia
Iraq
50 WIN
@1.85
Win
43
Neutral venue or not, the matchup data still tilts toward Iraq. They've beaten Indonesia in their recent H2H run and arrive with the cleaner defensive profile (xGA ~1.17 vs Indonesia ~1.46) while Indonesia's away attacking output has been thin (away xG ~0.71). Iraq is conceding fewer and allowing fewer big chances than Indonesia across the last 10, with Indonesia's heavier scorelines against stronger opposition inflating variance. Squad news nudges this further: Emil Audero is out of the window, while Maarten Paes is fit to return, but Indonesia's main issue in Jeddah was chance conversion. Both goals vs Saudi came from penalties, with coach Patrick Kluivert lamenting the lack of open-play finishing. The setting (King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah) is neutral, but Iraq's prep window is longer (more rest days from their prior match), which modestly aids their structure over 90'. With Ma Ning confirmed as referee and the stakes high, expect a disciplined Iraq to control phases and create the better non-penalty chances. Straight home (neutral) win is the value side.
20:21 20:21 Belmont At The Big A
Sounds Like A Plan
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.50
Win
175
3yo with strong BAQ profile (track 3:2-0-0) drops from summer stakes to an AOC and lands a plum inside draw. Pace looks honest with Saratoga Flash/Leon Blue pressing; Santana can stalk and pounce. Solid recent figures at the trip and weight pull vs elders help.
19:49 19:49 Belmont At The Big A
Aggregation
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.50
Lose
-50
Classy NY-bred who can stalk from gate 4 and pounce. Back to the one-turn mile he loves (9:3-3-0 at 1m), and Manny Franco reunites with Chad Brown (pair 12:4-3-2), which is a strong tick. With Palace Boss/Russian Realm likely to ensure an honest tempo, his mid-pack style gets a perfect tow. Proven at track/distance and retains peak figures for this level.
19:45 Serbia v Albania
No (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@1.62
Win
31
Saturday's clash in Leskovac looks like a cagey, low-event game. Recent form points that way: both teams show low BTTS rates and a strong clean-sheet profile, while chance creation has been modest. Serbia tend to control territory without turning it into a flood of shots, and Albania are compact away from home, breaking only when space opens. The head-to-head record is lean on goals and offers little evidence of a shootout. With both sides prioritizing structure over risk, long spells may pass without clear chances, especially in the first hour. The data leans toward a one-sided scoreline or a narrow home win, but the common thread is limited goal trading. Serbia's front line (Dusan Vlahovic, Aleksandar Mitrovic) can decide it with a moment, yet Albania's shape should keep this tight. Expect discipline, few big chances, and a scoreboard that stays split or silent.
19:04 19:04 Keeneland
Rancho Santa Fe
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.00
Win
100
Cox colt impressed on debut (1m) and now stretches to 8.5f with Geroux back up. Handy draw outside the main speeds (7) to stalk a likely honest tempo set by So Special/Infiltrate. Pedigree (Tapit) screams improvement over a route; stable/jock combo strong here.
18:43 18:43 Belmont At The Big A
Big Everest
Daily Racing
Front-running seven-time mile winner with a stellar Big A profile (T/D 4:1-1-1) and two prior wins in this race. Forgive the 4-runner Red Bank blip; maps to control from the outer with only Horsepower likely to press. Franco/Clement are reliable locally and the set-up suits.
18:15 United Arab Emirates v Oman
United Arab Emirates
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
Expect a controlled, low-to-mid tempo fixture. UAE's recent defensive metrics (lower xGA, better clean-sheet rate) and higher chance creation tilt the balance, even with Oman's tidy away record. Previous meetings have been tight, and the data hints at a slow burner that opens up after the break.
18:08 18:08 Laurel Park
Skys Not Falling
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.00
Void
0
Last year's runner-up returns with a neat setup: likely honest, not hot tempo, and a handy draw to stalk and pounce. Reliable Laurel profile (3-4-1 in 11), recent sharp second at 1710m, and Trombettas' local know-how all appeal. Safer than class-rising rivals stretching or dropping in trip.
17:03 17:03 Laurel Park
Witty
Daily Racing
Classy 6yo with a formidable Laurel record (11:5-4-1) and strong 5f profile (9:3-3-1). Stalking style should play perfectly behind several pacey types; gate 3 keeps him clean and within striking range. Proven in deeper spring stakes and this restricted stakes looks a slight ease. Jaime Rodriguez (2-1-2 from 5 on him) is a plus.
17:00 Hungary v Armenia
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
Hungary's defensive record at home is poor (0% CS; ~2.0 conceded), and Dibusz's absence raises volatility. Armenia's away profile is score-and-leak, with a 100% BTTS away sample and credible threats in Spertsyan/Barseghyan/Ranos, plus the creative bump if Zelarayan features. Even without Varga/Sallai, Hungary's xG base at home and Szoboszlai's set-piece/service should produce enough. Put simply: both sides have more routes to a goal than to a clean sheet.
17:00 Norway v Israel
Norway (AH) -1.75
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.85
Win
43
Norway's underlying edge is large enough to back a multi-goal win. Over the last five qualifiers, they've scored 24 and conceded just 3, driving superior xG (2.1 for, 0.9 against) and volume (18 shots, 8 on target per match). Israel's last five produced 26 total goals but included 11 conceded, with xGA trending high (1.6). First-half control also tilts Norway's way (win 80% 1H vs Israel 10%), a pattern consistent with comfortable margins. Even without Ødegaard (MCL; out of the squad), Haaland assumes the armband and the attack hasn't stuttered??"see 11-1 vs Moldova and a 3-0 over Italy earlier in the campaign. Sports news and market boards over the last day lean toward a Norway margin and a higher goal total, aligning with the data edge rather than contradicting it. Contextually, Ullevaal hosts amid heavy security and reduced capacity??"noise but not noise that should level the footballing gap. Expect Norway's front line to overwhelm Israel's defense and clear the -1.75.
15:00 3:00 Newmarket
Distant Storm
Daily Racing
Dual C&D winner who bolted up by 4L here last time and rates a solid Rowley Mile operator on good ground. Buick/Appleby a proven 2yo combo; mid draw (7) should let him stalk and pounce. Main threats are Gstaad and unbeaten Zavateri, but C&D trust wins out.
15:00 AFC Wimbledon v Port Vale
AFC Wimbledon
Wimbledon's recent league data points to a clear home edge: 4-1-0 across their last five (home PPG ~2.40), with an 8-3 goal split at Plough Lane over that span. Port Vale's away PPG (~1.40) and profile are steadier than flashy, but they've combined three clean sheets with two away blanks in their last five, signaling low-variance, limited attacking upside on the road. Squad context tilts this further: Wimbledon are without top scorer Matty Stevens (hamstring), yet Jackson has viable cover (Browne/Orsi) and structure continuity. For Vale, the goalkeeper swap matters: in-form Joe Gauci is away with Australia, so Marko Marosi is set to start??"an interruption to a settled unit on a tight, low-margin matchup day. Jaheim Headley's injury also nudges their left flank depth. Add in the underlying trend (Wimbledon scoring in four straight league games; Vale with 5 blanks in 11 this season per your feed) and the probability mass clusters around a narrow home result 1-0 or 2-0 type game more often than broad market sentiment implies. Port Vale's away resilience keeps it close, but the home floor and Vale's attacking volatility make Wimbledon to win the value side.
15:00 Burton Albion v Bolton
Under 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@2.10
Lose
-50
Burton's attack is running cold at home (0.4 goals per game; failed to score in 4 of their last 5 home league matches per your feed), and their recent five-game sample totals just 2 goals despite ~1.36 xG per match. Clear finishing underperformance. Bolton bring the stronger underlying metrics (last five ~1.94 xG for / 0.99 xGA), but they still haven't won away this season (0W-3D-2L) and their away profile trends tight rather than wild. Notably, they've conceded over 2.5 away 0% so far, with 1.4 conceded per away match and clean sheets. A pattern that still points to low-ish totals rather than a shootout. The club's own preview even frames this as a cagey task, with Bolton chasing a first road win and mindful of Burton's set-piece/direct threat (often a slow-tempo game state). Historically, this fixture sits near the fence on totals (only 46% Over 2.5), reinforcing an under lean.
15:00 Exeter v Reading
Draw
50 WIN
@3.45
Win
123
Exeter's attack is thinned by international call-ups (Magennis out; Niskanen also away), which dents their goal threat and pushes this toward a tight, low-margin game. Reading arrive steadier than the table suggests and have been competitive on the road, with a recent uptick and solid contributions from Marriott and Wing. Club preview notes also point to a focused, pragmatic approach for this trip. H2H leans Royals (3W-1D-1L last five) but the scoring has often been shared, and Exeter's late 1-0 over Lincoln hints at a back-to-basics, defensive tilt without their leading forward. Those cross-currents make neither side compelling enough to back outright, while the market still ever-so-slightly leans home??"a setup where the stalemate is undervalued. Expect a controlled, attritional 1-1 type.
15:00 Leyton Orient v Doncaster
Under 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@2.25
Lose
-50
Doncaster's away attack has been anaemic (0.6 goals per away game; BTTS away just 20%), while Orient's home profile is measured rather than gung-ho (home xG 1.06; xGA 1.10). Pair that with Doncaster's away xG 1.16 and you get a fixture baseline around 2.2 expected goals, which naturally leans to the unders. Recent head-to-head also skews low: only 2 of the last 8 meetings cleared 2.5, with BTTS in 3/8. Squad news tilts the same way: Orient remain without wide creators (Archibald, Graham, Craig, Obiero), and Rovers are again missing O'Riordan and Clifton, key pieces for ball progression, further damping attacking fluency. Both clubs come off midweek EFL Trophy wins, but neither showed signs of opening the throttle in league play; even neutral previews expect a tight contest rather than a shoot-out. Market consensus still has Orient as a slight favourite (no notable 1X2 drift in the last day), but the pricing focus is on a low-total game, which aligns with the data above.
15:00 Stockport v Blackpool
Stockport
50 WIN
@1.73
Win
37
Stockport bring steady form (unbeaten in four) and a clear attacking edge (shot volume and SOT superiority) into Edgeley Park, while Blackpool arrive on a five-match away losing streak with severe scoring issues. The visitors are also under interim coaches Stephen Dobbie & Steve Banks after Steve Bruce's sacking last weekend??"never ideal preparation for a tough away trip. Blackpool's personnel picture weakens them further: first-choice keeper Bailey Peacock-Farrell is away with Northern Ireland, so Franco Ravizzoli is set to start; striker Niall Ennis is sidelined (calf, multiple weeks). That combination dents Blackpool at both ends. On Stockport's side, midfielder Tyler Onyango is suspended after last week's red, but County have shown they can control games without him, winning 2-1 at Huddersfield even after going down to 10 men. Their home scoring consistency and chance creation (notably through Wootton's form) should be enough to capitalize on Blackpool's instability.
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15:00 Wigan v Wycombe
Wigan
Wigan's home split is the edge: 3-1-1 across their last five at the DW (league), averaging 1.8 scored / 0.8 conceded with ~4.8 shots on target per game. That's a strong platform against a Wycombe side 0-1-4 away in their last five league trips, managing 0.8 scored / 1.6 conceded and ~2.6 shots on target. Recent head-to-head has been tight and low-scoring, but that mostly reflects earlier meetings; Wigan still carry the more reliable home process here despite Wycombe's 0-2 cup win in September. Team news points to Wigan continuity and depth (Lowe upbeat about selection options), while Wycombe remain a work-in-progress under Duff with ongoing rotation to find their best XI. The market is priced roughly pick'em, which understates Wigan's home/away split advantage and creates value on the home win.
14:25 2:25 Newmarket
Hankelow
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.75
Win
137
Classy profile for a 2yo: nose second in a Doncaster CL1 last month after a dominant York novice win. Likely to race handy and from stall 1 can control a small-field mile on good ground. Stamina should stretch, and C Lee/Burke are a solid pairing. Main danger Al Zanati jumps straight from a maiden into G3.
14:00 Latvia v Andorra
Latvia & No (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
Latvia and Andorra meet in Riga with a familiar pattern staring us in the face: tight margins, scarce goals, and a matchup that historically tilts the hosts' way. Across nine H2Hs, Latvia lead 5-4-0 with a 15-1 goal differential, including a 1-0 away win in March. Recent data keep the same tune: Andorra have goals in their last five WCQ outings, BTTS has landed in just 11% of this fixture, and Andorra's away output sits around 0.6 xG against roughly ~2.0 xGA. Latvia aren't free-scoring either, but they control more of the territory and create the better chances.
Add in Latvia's home edge and Andorra's long-running finishing drought, and the clean-sheet route for the hosts is the clearest angle. Expect a low-tempo game state, few big chances, and a scoreboard that barely moves.
14:00 Northampton v Rotherham
Northampton
50 WIN
@2.10
Lose
-50
Northampton's home defensive metrics are elite for this tier (0.2 GA/home, 80% CS) and their game state control has driven BTTS to just 10% across league matches. Rotherham arrive on a five-loss away run, averaging 0.4 away goals and 1.8 conceded, with low shot quality (xGf ~0.87) and a heavy cards profile that often breaks rhythm. Even if Benson makes it, the Millers' wide supply into Etete/Sherif faces a settled back-three and aggressive wing-back tracking. Previews and model reads agree the Under is favoured and the home side are the rightful slight favourites; with Cobblers' recent clean-sheet trend and Rotherham's blunt away attack, the home win is the strongest value angle on the primary market today.
13:50 1:50 Newmarket
Endorsement
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.60
Lose
-50
Progressive Wootton Bassett colt who impressed winning a 9f Tipperary maiden (31 Aug) and shapes like this 10f will suit. Small field should make for a clean tactical race; he can sit handy and use stamina late. Draw 8 fine on the Rowley. Top yard knows this route well; straightforward profile vs. rivals stepping up from AW/7f-1m wins.
13:30 1:30 York
Flying Comet
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.75
Lose
-50
Drops from the G2 Mill Reef (3rd) to Listed; two wins at 6f and handles good ground. Middle draw (7) suits York's straight-six. Tudhope back up for S & E Crisford; form solid in small fields and novices now finds a slightly easier black-type spot.
13:15 1:15 Newmarket
Damysus
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.25
Win
112
Progressive 3yo who resumed with a tidy Listed win at Deauville over 2000m and earlier hit the frame in spring CL1s; this is a logical step back up to G3. Receives WFA from the older pair, has a workable draw (5) in a small, tactical field, and Doyle/Gosden is a proven combo.
Subtotal382
Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.
