MonteCarloRacing

I like to run races through Monte Carlo simulations. I simulate every race each day 100,000 times. Each simulation uses 72 different variables relative to each horses form, history and market data. This is basically an automated way of calculating each horses number of simulated wins for this race. The results of the simulations provide me with my bets. I then couple that selection with a written description based on ratings. I like to keep the description generic and in a set way of writing but the tips are all based on the result of the race being simulated 100,000 times. I will be providing a selection for all All Weather Handicap races as that is my speciality. This is not about finding the most likely winner in each race, its about finding and playing margins for a long term steady return on investment. Its a value/volume way of betting.

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Estimated Prizes
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Estimated Prize money
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MonteCarloRacing's Tips History

All tips
19 April 2025
20:30 LA Clippers @ DEN Nuggets

Over 224.50

Game Totals

385 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-385

Calculations: Expected points 117 for Denver, 114.9 for Clippers. Differential 2.1, P(Denver win) 56.9%. Total expected 231.9, over 225.5 at 66.5%.
17 April 2025
20:00 Athletic Bilbao v Rangers

Athletic Bilbao

352 WIN

@1.40

Win

141

For this Europa League clash, Bilbao’s home strength and tactical setup push our estimated win probability to 78%. With market odds implying only 72.5%, this represents significant value.
20:00 Eintracht Frankfurt v Tottenham

Eintracht Frankfurt

122 WIN

@2.30

Lose

-122

Analyzing key statistics such as xG differentials and recent home form, our model suggests Frankfurt’s win probability is 48%??"well above the 42.4% suggested by the odds.
20:00 Man Utd v Lyon

Man Utd

209 WIN

@1.75

Lose

-209

At Old Trafford, United’s robust home record and attacking potency against a leaky Lyon defence lead us to a 63% win chance, creating a modest but solid value compared to the market’s 58.5%.
20:00 Rapid Vienna v Djurgarden

Rapid Vienna

173 WIN

@1.75

Lose

-173

In this Scandinavian fixture, our statistical look into team dynamics and momentum suggests Rapid Wien have a 62% probability of winning??"even though the market’s odds reflect just a 57.5% chance.
18:30 Trefl Sopot vs Zielona Gora

Zielona Gora 12.50

Pointspread

55 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-55

Trefl Sopot vs Zielona Gora (+10.5): Zielona Gora’s recent form suggests they can keep the game close, with a 55% chance of staying within 10 points, making +12.5 at EVENS valuable.
17:45 Fiorentina v NK Celje

Fiorentina

141 WIN

@1.38

Lose

-141

Backed by strong offensive numbers at home and superior defensive metrics, Fiorentina’s win is given a 75% chance by our model versus around 70.9% from the betting market.
17:45 Jagiellonia Bialystok v Real Betis

Real Betis

152 WIN

@1.73

Lose

-152

With superior quality and greater European experience, Betis are estimated to have a 62% chance of winning. The market’s pricing (implied 56.2%) appears to undervalue their edge, providing a value bet opportunity.
17:00 Midtjylland v FC Copenhagen

Midtjylland

237 WIN

@2.45

Win

344

Our model factors in Midtjylland’s strong home form and head-to-head advantage over Copenhagen to calculate a 50% win chance. With the market implying just 42%, this bet carries a significant edge.
03:00 DAL Mavericks @ SAC Kings

Over 213.50

Game Totals

500 WIN

@1.91

Win

455

The Kings were favored with a -4.5 spread and moneyline around -190, implying a 65.5% win probability. My estimate was 64% for the Kings, close but no value. For the total of 213.5, my estimated total of 230.3 points suggested a 77.6% chance of going over, again higher than the implied 52.38% from -110 odds, indicating another value bet.
00:30 MIA Heat @ CHI Bulls

Over 220.00

Game Totals

434 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-434

The Bulls were favored with a spread of -1 and moneyline odds around -120, implying a 54.5% win probability. My calculation, using team statistics like Simple Rating System (SRS) and accounting for home advantage, estimated a 53.5% chance for the Bulls to win, suggesting no value in the win market. However, for the total points line of 219, my estimated total of 228.9 points (based on team averages) suggested a 67% chance of going over, compared to the implied 52.38% from -110 odds, indicating a value bet.
16 April 2025
17:37 5:37 Beverley

Crowns Lady

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.62

Lose

-50

Crown's Lady relevant recent runs have been in 4k avg class, whereas the avg of the rest of the runners is 3.89k (Dropping in class (on average) today). Ranking the 24 relevant recent run class ratings of the entire field shows Crown's Lady as running in the 9th, 1st, and 14th most difficult recent races. Ranking the 24 relevant recent form ratings of the entire field shows Crown's Lady as having the 2nd, 1st, and 2nd best ratings. 1pt Bet. (KEY - Min Rating > All Others Max RatingsAvg Rating > All Others Max Ratings, 3 of Top 5 Ratings, 3 of Top 3 Ratings, Best Avg Rating, Beverley Flat.) (1m½f (1m100y) Racing Again Next Thursday Fillies' Handicap (Class 5) (4yo+ 0-68)).
17:07 5:07 Beverley

Blueandtangerine

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@12.00

Lose

-50

Blueandtangerine relevant recent runs have been in 7.25k avg class, whereas the avg of the rest of the runners is 7.47k (Going up in class (on average) today). Ranking the 34 relevant recent run class ratings of the entire field shows Blueandtangerine as running in the 2nd, 21st, 12th, and 12th most difficult recent races. Ranking the 34 relevant recent form ratings of the entire field shows Blueandtangerine as having the 9th, 1st, 26th, and 13th best ratings. Bet. (KEY - Best Max Rating, Beverley Flat.) (7½f (7f96y) Hurn Handicap (Class 5) (3yo 0-70))."
16:32 4:32 Beverley

Dr Rio

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@21.00

Lose

-50

Dr Rio relevant recent runs have been in 4k avg class, whereas the avg of the rest of the runners is 11.17k (Going up in class (on average) today). Ranking the 10 relevant recent run class ratings of the entire field shows Dr Rio as running in the 8th, and 8th most difficult recent races. Ranking the 10 relevant recent form ratings of the entire field shows Dr Rio as having the 3rd, and 2nd best ratings. 0.25pt Bet. (KEY - Beverley Flat.) (1m4f (1m4f23y) Diony Where Creativity Meets Performance Handicap (Class 5) (4yo+ 0-68))."
16:17 4:17 Gowran Park

Elegant Madame

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@10.00

Lose

-50

Elegant Madame relevant recent runs have been in 5.67k avg class, whereas the avg of the rest of the runners is 5.61k (Dropping in class (on average) today). Ranking the 21 relevant recent run class ratings of the entire field shows Elegant Madame as running in the 2nd, 2nd, and 9th most difficult recent races. Ranking the 21 relevant recent form ratings of the entire field shows Elegant Madame as having the 2nd, 11th, and 1st best ratings. Bet. (KEY - Best Avg Rating, Gowran Park Flat.) (1m Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Handicap (4yo+))."
16:00 4:00 Beverley

Sir Peter Fossick

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-50

Sir Peter Fossick relevant recent runs have been in 11.75k avg class, whereas the avg of the rest of the runners is 4.17k (Dropping in class (on average) today). Ranking the 9 relevant recent run class ratings of the entire field shows Sir Peter Fossick as running in the 2nd, 5th, 1st, and 3rd most difficult recent races. Ranking the 9 relevant recent form ratings of the entire field shows Sir Peter Fossick as having the 5th, 3rd, 4th, and 1st best ratings. 0.25pt Bet. (KEY - 4 of Top 5 Ratings, Best Avg Rating, Beverley Flat.) (1m2f (1m1f207y) Spillers Powering Your Winners Handicap (Class 4) (3yo 0-80)).
14:50 2:50 Beverley

Duran

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.50

Lose

-50

Duran relevant recent runs have been in 10.2k avg class, whereas the avg of the rest of the runners is 11.93k (Going up in class (on average) today). Ranking the 25 relevant recent run class ratings of the entire field shows Duran as running in the 6th, 5th, 19th, 8th, and 10th most difficult recent races. Ranking the 25 relevant recent form ratings of the entire field shows Duran as having the 5th, 2nd, 15th, 3rd, and 24th best ratings. 1pt Bet. (KEY - 3 of Top 5 Ratings, Best Avg Rating, Beverley Flat.) (5f Beverley Beaker Handicap (Div II) (Class 3) (4yo+ 0-88)).
14:15 2:15 Beverley

Moon Flight

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@15.00

Lose

-50

Moon Flight relevant recent runs have been in 16.33k avg class, whereas the avg of the rest of the runners is 15k (Dropping in class (on average) today). Ranking the 23 relevant recent run class ratings of the entire field shows Moon Flight as running in the 19th, 19th, and 2nd most difficult recent races. Ranking the 23 relevant recent form ratings of the entire field shows Moon Flight as having the 6th, 5th, and 8th best ratings. Bet. (KEY - Beverley Flat.) (5f Beverley Beaker Handicap (Div I) (Class 3) (4yo+ 0-88))."
13:50 1:50 Newmarket

Double Rush

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.75

Win

137

Double Rush relevant recent runs have been in 4k avg class, whereas the avg of the rest of the runners is 8.88k (Going up in class (on average) today). Ranking the 6 relevant recent run class ratings of the entire field shows Double Rush as running in the 4th most difficult recent races. Ranking the 6 relevant recent form ratings of the entire field shows Double Rush as having the 1st best ratings. 0.25pt Bet. (KEY - Min Rating > All Others Max RatingsAvg Rating > All Others Max Ratings, Newmarket Flat.) (6f (Row) bet365 Handicap (Class 2) (3yo 0-100))."
14 April 2025
00:07 EDM Oilers @ WIN Jets

WIN Jets

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.87

Lose

-50

In this North American showdown, the Jets have delivered reliably on home ice. Our model estimates a 55% win probability (fair odds near 1.82), while the betting market’s slight inflation to 1.95 offers a modest 7% value edge. Given key performance stats and home advantage, this bet is a solid, low-risk value play.
13 April 2025
19:45 Lazio v Roma

Lazio

50 WIN

@3.00

Lose

-50

Market Odds: For a Lazio win, odds of about 2.8 are on offer. Our Calculation: We estimate Lazio’s chance to win at 45%. EV: 0.45 ?- 2.8 = 1.26; subtract 1 and you get a 26% edge. This is quite appealing given the fierce Derby rivalry, where home form and tactical nuances may not be fully priced in by the market.
18:45 6:45 Musselburgh

New Image

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@4.00

Lose

-50

New Image is the standout in Musselburgh’s feature race, backed by strong recent form with a win last time out and a jockey with an 18% strike rate. The horse thrives at 1m on good to soft, aligning perfectly with today’s conditions. My model gives it a 33% win chance, ahead of the market’s 28.6%, offering solid value. The X post tipping New Image reinforces confidence, suggesting insider buzz. This is the day’s most reliable bet for a winning return.
18:15 6:15 Musselburgh

Abduction

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@7.00

Lose

-50

Abduction relevant recent runs have been in 7k avg class, whereas the avg of the rest of the runners is 7.57k (Going up in class (on average) today). Ranking the 31 relevant recent run class ratings of the entire field shows Abduction as running in the 5th, 14th, and 18th most difficult recent races. Ranking the 31 relevant recent form ratings of the entire field shows Abduction as having the 25th, 1st, and 19th best ratings. 0.25pt Bet. (KEY - Best Max Rating, Musselburgh Flat.) (7f (7f15y) Sky Bet Proud To Support ROR Handicap (Class 4) (4yo+ 0-78)).
17:45 5:45 Musselburgh

Defence Missile

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@81.00

Lose

-50

Defence Missile relevant recent runs have been in 21.25k avg class, whereas the avg of the rest of the runners is 11.12k (Dropping in class (on average) today). Ranking the 23 relevant recent run class ratings of the entire field shows Defence Missile as running in the 11th, 17th, 1st, and 16th most difficult recent races. Ranking the 23 relevant recent form ratings of the entire field shows Defence Missile as having the 4th, 1st, 6th, and 3rd best ratings. 0.25pt Bet. (KEY - 3 of Top 5 Ratings, Best Avg Rating, Musselburgh Flat.) (1m1f (1m208y) Sky Bet Build A Bet Handicap (Class 3) (3yo 0-88))."
17:15 5:15 Musselburgh

Tokyo Bay

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@9.50

Lose

-50

Tokyo Bay relevant recent runs have been in 14.33k avg class, whereas the avg of the rest of the runners is 6.53k (Dropping in class (on average) today). Ranking the 29 relevant recent run class ratings of the entire field shows Tokyo Bay as running in the 1st, 4th, and 14th most difficult recent races. Ranking the 29 relevant recent form ratings of the entire field shows Tokyo Bay as having the 11th, 13th, and 3rd best ratings. 0.25pt Bet. (KEY - Musselburgh Flat.) (1m4½f (1m4f104y) Sky Bet Extra Places Handicap (GBBPlus Race) (Class 4) (4yo+ 0-78)).
16:45 4:45 Musselburgh

Arecibo

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@13.00

Lose

-50

Arecibo relevant recent runs have been in 17k avg class, whereas the avg of the rest of the runners is 9.86k (Dropping in class (on average) today). Ranking the 43 relevant recent run class ratings of the entire field shows Arecibo as running in the 4th, 17th, and 3rd most difficult recent races. Ranking the 43 relevant recent form ratings of the entire field shows Arecibo as having the 23rd, 2nd, and 4th best ratings. 0.25pt Bet. (KEY - Best Avg Rating, Musselburgh Flat.) (5f (5f1y) Sky Bet Acca Freeze Handicap (Class 4) (4yo+ 0-78)).
16:30 Newcastle v Man Utd

Draw

50 WIN

@4.20

Lose

-50

Market Odds: Draw odds at 4.0 imply roughly a 25% chance by market standards. Our Calculation: Our analysis raises the draw probability to 30%, perhaps reflecting recent variability in both teams’ results. EV: 0.30 ?- 4.0 = 1.20, giving a 20% edge.
16:15 Angers v Montpellier

Montpellier

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

Market Odds: Bookmakers offer 3.8 on Montpellier to win. Our Calculation: Our model (which factors in recent attack/defense metrics and xG data) suggests Montpellier has a 40% chance to win. EV Calculation: 0.40 ?- 3.8 = 1.52; 1.52 ??" 1 = 0.52, or a 52% edge compared to “fair” odds. This very high EV suggests that if our model is close to correct, a bet on Montpellier here has strong long?term profit potential.
15:45 3:45 Musselburgh

Bulmer Bank

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@9.00

Lose

-50

Bulmer Bank relevant recent runs have been in 7.33k avg class, whereas the avg of the rest of the runners is 4.69k (Dropping in class (on average) today). Ranking the 30 relevant recent run class ratings of the entire field shows Bulmer Bank as running in the 13th, 4th, and 1st most difficult recent races. Ranking the 30 relevant recent form ratings of the entire field shows Bulmer Bank as having the 13th, 5th, and 5th best ratings. 0.25pt Bet. (KEY - Best Avg Rating, Musselburgh Flat.) (1m (1m2y) Enter ITV7 For Free Handicap (Class 5) (4yo+ 0-68)).
07 April 2025
20:30 8:30 Kempton

Solanna

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

Solanna relevant recent runs have been in 5.2k avg class, whereas the avg of the rest of the runners is 4.17k (Dropping in class (on average) today). Ranking the 30 relevant recent run class ratings of the entire field shows Solanna as running in the 4th, 1st, 4th, 4th, and 26th most difficult recent races. Ranking the 30 relevant recent form ratings of the entire field shows Solanna as having the 22nd, 23rd, 2nd, 11th, and 1st best ratings. 0.25pt Bet. (KEY - Best Max Rating, Kempton (AW) Flat.) (1m4f (1m3f219y) Bet @ racingtv.com Handicap (Class 5) (4yo+ 0-68)).
20:00 8:00 Kempton

Hebridean Nomad

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

Hebridean Nomad relevant recent runs have been in 4.6k avg class, whereas the avg of the rest of the runners is 9.58k (Going up in class (on average) today). Ranking the 15 relevant recent run class ratings of the entire field shows Hebridean Nomad as running in the 11th, 5th, 5th, 5th, and 11th most difficult recent races. Ranking the 15 relevant recent form ratings of the entire field shows Hebridean Nomad as having the 4th, 13th, 2nd, 11th, and 1st best ratings. 0.25pt Bet. (KEY - 3 of Top 5 Ratings, Best Avg Rating, Kempton (AW) Flat.) (2m (1m7f218y) Unibet Zero% Mission Handicap (GBB-plus Race) (Class 4) (4yo+ 0-80)).
19:30 7:30 Kempton

Brosay

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@7.50

Lose

-50

Brosay relevant recent runs have been in 11k avg class, whereas the avg of the rest of the runners is 6.08k (Dropping in class (on average) today). Ranking the 24 relevant recent run class ratings of the entire field shows Brosay as running in the 1st, 8th, and 8th most difficult recent races. Ranking the 24 relevant recent form ratings of the entire field shows Brosay as having the 14th, 1st, and 2nd best ratings. 0.25pt Bet. (KEY - Best Avg Rating, Kempton (AW) Flat.) (6f Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap (Class 4) (3yo 0-85)).
19:00 7:00 Kempton

Al Ameen

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.50

Win

225

Al Ameen relevant recent runs have been in 4.2k avg class, whereas the avg of the rest of the runners is 4.51k (Going up in class (on average) today). Ranking the 43 relevant recent run class ratings of the entire field shows Al Ameen as running in the 12th, 8th, 12th, 12th, and 12th most difficult recent races. Ranking the 43 relevant recent form ratings of the entire field shows Al Ameen as having the 4th, 19th, 12th, 18th, and 15th best ratings.0.25pt Bet. (KEY - Kempton (AW) Flat.) (7f Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap (Class 5) (4yo+ 0-75)).
18:30 6:30 Kempton

Pjanoo

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

Pjanoo relevant recent runs have been in 10k avg class, whereas the avg of the rest of the runners is 8.9k (Dropping in class (on average) today). Ranking the 38 relevant recent run class ratings of the entire field shows Pjanoo as running in the 9th, 25th, 25th, 16th, and 2nd most difficult recent races. Ranking the 38 relevant recent form ratings of the entire field shows Pjanoo as having the 8th, 28th, 16th, 5th, and 7th best ratings. 0.25pt Bet. (KEY - Best Avg Rating, Kempton (AW) Flat.) (1m Free Bet With Unibet's Betbuilder Rebound Handicap (London Mile Series Qualifier) (Class 4) (4yo+ 0-85)).
18:10 6:10 Wolverhampton

Papa Dont Preach

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-50

Papa Don't Preach relevant recent runs have been in 3.6k avg class, whereas the avg of the rest of the runners is 3.82k (Going up in class (on average) today). Ranking the 52 relevant recent run class ratings of the entire field shows Papa Don't Preach as running in the 27th, 20th, 2nd, 27th, and 27th most difficult recent races. Ranking the 52 relevant recent form ratings of the entire field shows Papa Don't Preach as having the 4th, 7th, 15th, 21st, and 1st best ratings. 0.25pt Bet. (KEY - Best Avg Rating, Wolverhampton (AW) Flat.) (6f (6f20y) Extra Winnings With BetUK Acca Club Handicap (Class 6) (4yo+ 0-60)).
17:05 5:05 Wolverhampton

Dash Power

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@12.00

Lose

-50

Dash Power relevant recent runs have been in 4k avg class, whereas the avg of the rest of the runners is 3.85k (Dropping in class (on average) today). Ranking the 39 relevant recent run class ratings of the entire field shows Dash Power as running in the 2nd, 12th, 19th, 2nd, and 19th most difficult recent races. Ranking the 39 relevant recent form ratings of the entire field shows Dash Power as having the 9th, 7th, 1st, 5th, and 3rd best ratings. 0.25pt Bet. (KEY - 3 of Top 5 Ratings, Best Avg Rating, Wolverhampton (AW) Flat.) (1m1½f (1m1f104y) Weekly £5 Free Bet With BetUK Handicap (Div I) (Class 6) (4yo+ 0-55)).
16:35 4:35 Wolverhampton

Standbackandlook

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@8.00

Lose

-50

Standbackandlook relevant recent runs have been in 3.6k avg class, whereas the avg of the rest of the runners is 5.04k (Going up in class (on average) today). Ranking the 30 relevant recent run class ratings of the entire field shows Standbackandlook as running in the 3rd, 24th, 15th, 24th, and 24th most difficult recent races. Ranking the 30 relevant recent form ratings of the entire field shows Standbackandlook as having the 22nd, 9th, 4th, 10th, and 12th best ratings. 0.25pt Bet. (KEY - Wolverhampton (AW) Flat.) (1m6f (1m5f219y) £30 In Free Bets With BetUK Handicap (Class 5) (4yo+ 0-70)).
16:27 4:27 Redcar

Mister Daydream

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

Mister Daydream relevant recent runs have been in 5.2k avg class, whereas the avg of the rest of the runners is 5.55k (Going up in class (on average) today). Ranking the 33 relevant recent run class ratings of the entire field shows Mister Daydream as running in the 18th, 18th, 18th, 4th, and 18th most difficult recent races. Ranking the 33 relevant recent form ratings of the entire field shows Mister Daydream as having the 7th, 3rd, 25th, 2nd, and 13th best ratings. 0.25pt Bet. (KEY - Best Avg Rating, Redcar Flat.) (1m2f (1m2f1y) Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap (Class 5) (4yo+ 0-75)).
16:05 4:05 Wolverhampton

Bungle Bay

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@8.00

Lose

-50

Bungle Bay relevant recent runs have been in 3.8k avg class, whereas the avg of the rest of the runners is 3.69k (Dropping in class (on average) today). Ranking the 49 relevant recent run class ratings of the entire field shows Bungle Bay as running in the 23rd, 2nd, 2nd, 23rd, and 23rd most difficult recent races. Ranking the 49 relevant recent form ratings of the entire field shows Bungle Bay as having the 7th, 1st, 6th, 7th, and 10th best ratings.0.25pt Bet. (KEY - Wolverhampton (AW) Flat.) (7f (7f36y) Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Handicap (Class 6) (4yo+ 0-58)).
15:05 3:05 Wolverhampton

Level Up

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@21.00

Lose

-50

Level Up relevant recent runs have been in 3.4k avg class, whereas the avg of the rest of the runners is 4.03k (Going up in class (on average) today). Ranking the 40 relevant recent run class ratings of the entire field shows Level Up as running in the 27th, 11th, 27th, 27th, and 11th most difficult recent races. Ranking the 40 relevant recent form ratings of the entire field shows Level Up as having the 3rd, 10th, 34th, 2nd, and 23rd best ratings. 0.25pt Bet. (KEY - Wolverhampton (AW) Flat.) (5f (5f21y) Free Bets With BetUK Bet Club Handicap (Class 5) (4yo+ 0-70)).
14:57 2:57 Redcar

Roaring Ralph

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@8.50

Lose

-50

Roaring Ralph relevant recent runs have been in 4k avg class, whereas the avg of the rest of the runners is 4.22k (Going up in class (on average) today). Ranking the 53 relevant recent run class ratings of the entire field shows Roaring Ralph as running in the 16th, 16th, 16th, 16th, and 16th most difficult recent races. Ranking the 53 relevant recent form ratings of the entire field shows Roaring Ralph as having the 41st, 1st, 2nd, 23rd, and 13th best ratings. 0.25pt Bet. (KEY - Best Avg Rating, Redcar Flat.) (7f Watch Racing TV In Stunning HD Handicap (Class 5) (4yo+ 0-70)).
14:27 2:27 Redcar

Keats House

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

Keats House relevant recent runs have been in 6.67k avg class, whereas the avg of the rest of the runners is 6.46k (Dropping in class (on average) today). Ranking the 19 relevant recent run class ratings of the entire field shows Keats House as running in the 11th, 9th, and 2nd most difficult recent races. Ranking the 19 relevant recent form ratings of the entire field shows Keats House as having the 8th, 1st, and 11th best ratings.0.25pt Bet. (KEY - Redcar Flat.) (1m (7f219y) Better Value With Racecourse Bookmakers Handicap (Class 6) (3yo 0-60)).

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