MonteCarloRacing

I like to run races through Monte Carlo simulations. I simulate every race each day 100,000 times. Each simulation uses 72 different variables relative to each horses form, history and market data. This is basically an automated way of calculating each horses number of simulated wins for this race. The results of the simulations provide me with my bets. I then couple that selection with a written description based on ratings. I like to keep the description generic and in a set way of writing but the tips are all based on the result of the race being simulated 100,000 times. I will be providing a selection for all All Weather Handicap races as that is my speciality. This is not about finding the most likely winner in each race, its about finding and playing margins for a long term steady return on investment. Its a value/volume way of betting.

Estimated Prizes
this month

£0

Estimated Prize money
this month

MonteCarloRacing's Tips History

03 December 2025

20:10 8:10 Kempton

Arcturus Flame

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.25

Lose

-50

Arcturus Flame relevant recent runs have been in 7.4k average class, whereas the average of the rest of the runners is 6.83k (dropping in class on average today). Ranking the 49 relevant recent-run class ratings of the entire field shows Arcturus Flame as running in the 3rd, 23rd, 6th, 16th, and 6th most difficult recent races. Ranking the 49 relevant recent-form ratings of the entire field shows Arcturus Flame as having the 29th, 1st, 19th, 14th, and 8th best ratings.

19:40 7:40 Kempton

Twilight Jet

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@29.00

Lose

-50

Twilight Jet's relevant recent runs have been in 38k average class, whereas the average of the rest of the runners is 16.42k (dropping in class on average today). Ranking the 50 relevant recent-run class ratings of the entire field shows Twilight Jet as running in the 25th, 20th, 11th, 13th, and 1st most difficult recent races. Ranking the 50 relevant recent form ratings of the entire field shows Twilight Jet as having the 30th, 24th, 1st, 27th, and 15th best ratings.

19:10 7:10 Kempton

Enemy

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@7.00

Lose

-50

Enemy relevant recent runs have been in 162k average class, whereas the average of the rest of the runners is 9.7k. (Dropping in class, on average, today.) Ranking the 14 relevant recent-run class ratings of the entire field shows Enemy as running in the 1st and 3rd most difficult recent races. Ranking the 14 relevant recent form ratings of the entire field shows Enemy as having the 8th and 2nd best ratings.

18:10 6:10 Kempton

Gilet

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@8.00

Lose

-50

Gilet relevant recent runs have been in 12.5k average class, whereas the average of the rest of the runners is 10.04k (dropping in class on average today). Ranking the 49 relevant recent run class ratings of the entire field shows Gilet as running in the 23rd, 36th, 3rd, and 13th most difficult recent races. Ranking the 49 relevant recent form ratings of the entire field shows Gilet as having the 37th, 5th, 9th, and 12th best ratings.

17:25 5:25 Dundalk

Hero Of The Hour

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@7.00

Lose

-50

Hero Of The Hour: relevant recent runs have been in 6.6k average class, whereas the average of the rest of the runners is 5.86k (dropping in class on average today). Ranking the 65 relevant recent-run class ratings of the entire field shows Hero Of The Hour as running in the 29th, 29th, 29th, 3rd, and 3rd most difficult recent races. Ranking the 65 relevant recent form ratings of the entire field shows Hero Of The Hour as having the 16th, 10th, 2nd, 46th, and 13th best ratings.

16:55 4:55 Dundalk

Salah Belle

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@7.00

Lose

-50

Salah Belle relevant recent runs have been in 7.6k avg class, whereas the avg of the rest of the runners is 6.42k (Dropping in class (on average) today). Ranking the 57 relevant recent run class ratings of the entire field shows Salah Belle as running in the 16th, 2nd, 16th, 16th, and 2nd most difficult recent races. Ranking the 57 relevant recent form ratings of the entire field shows Salah Belle as having the 5th, 5th, 7th, 20th, and 3rd best ratings. 0.25pt Bet. (KEY - 3 of Top 5 Ratings, Best Avg Rating, Dundalk (AW) Flat.) (7f New Saddle Bar At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (3yo+)).

15:05 3:05 Lingfield

Twilight Madness

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.00

Win

200

Twilight Madness relevant recent runs have been in 6k avg class, whereas the avg of the rest of the runners is 4.66k (Dropping in class (on average) today). Ranking the 48 relevant recent run class ratings of the entire field shows Twilight Madness as running in the 30th, 13th, 8th, 2nd, and 6th most difficult recent races. Ranking the 48 relevant recent form ratings of the entire field shows Twilight Madness as having the 14th, 27th, 12th, 3rd, and 2nd best ratings. I had at a price of 5.8. I am looking for the best value in the race, not always the best horse, and I consider the current odds to be the best value pick. Selection.

14:00 2:00 Lingfield

Music Piece

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@13.00

Lose

-50

Music Piece relevant recent runs have been in 23.6k avg class, whereas the avg of the rest of the runners is 10.15k (Dropping in class (on average) today). Ranking the 38 relevant recent run class ratings of the entire field shows Music Piece as running in the 11th, 3rd, 8th, 2nd, and 3rd most difficult recent races. Ranking the 38 relevant recent form ratings of the entire field shows Music Piece as having the 10th, 2nd, 26th, 1st, and 5th best ratings. I had at a price of 4.77. I am looking for the best value in the race, not always the best horse, and I consider the current odds to be the best value pick. Gold Bet Selection.

13:00 1:00 Lingfield

Arenas Del Tiempo

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@11.00

Lose

-50

Arenas Del Tiempo relevant recent runs have been in 3.5k avg class, whereas the avg of the rest of the runners is 3.38k (Dropping in class (on average) today). Ranking the 30 relevant recent run class ratings of the entire field shows Arenas Del Tiempo as running in the 2nd, 13th, 2nd, and 13th most difficult recent races. Ranking the 30 relevant recent form ratings of the entire field shows Arenas Del Tiempo as having the 19th, 7th, 5th, and 3rd best ratings. I had at a price of 6.91. I am looking for the best value in the race, not always the best horse, and I consider the current odds to be the best value pick. Silver Bet Selection.

28 November 2025

20:00 8:00 Dundalk

Cornelienne

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@4.50

Lose

-50

Cornelienne's relevant recent runs have been in 19.75k average class, whereas the average of the rest of the runners is 8.9k. She is dropping in class (on average) today. Ranking the 35 relevant recent-run class ratings of the entire field shows Cornelienne as running in the 2nd, 23rd, 6th, and 3rd most difficult recent races. Ranking the 35 relevant recent form ratings of the entire field shows Cornelienne as having the 12th, 8th, 3rd, and 2nd best ratings. Bet. (KEY - Dundalk (AW) Flat.) (2m BAR 1 Casino Handicap (3yo+)).

19:30 7:30 Dundalk

Rappell

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.50

Lose

-50

Rappell: relevant recent runs have been in 9k average class, whereas the average of the rest of the runners is 6.74k (dropping in class on average today). Ranking the 70 relevant recent-run class ratings of the entire field shows Rappell as running in the 19th, 19th, 19th, 2nd, and 8th most difficult recent races. Ranking the 70 relevant recent form ratings of the entire field shows Rappell as having the 10th, 3rd, 17th, 20th, and 5th best ratings. 0.25pt bet. (KEY - Dundalk (AW) Flat.) (6f BAR 1 Betting Handicap (3yo+)).

19:00 7:00 Dundalk

Stone Bear

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

Stone Bear's relevant recent runs have been in 29.5k average class, whereas the average of the rest of the runners is 8.71k. (Dropping in class on average today.) Ranking the 45 relevant recent-run class ratings of the entire field shows Stone Bear as running in the 33rd, 1st, 14th, and 3rd most difficult recent races. Ranking the 45 relevant recent form ratings of the entire field shows Stone Bear as having the 10th, 3rd, 6th, and 36th best ratings. Bet. (KEY - Best Avg Rating, Dundalk (AW) Flat.) (6f Floodlit Fridays At Dundalk Stadium Nursery Handicap (2yo 0-60)).

15:45 3:45 Southwell

Gunalt Wavelength

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@7.50

Lose

-50

Gunalt Wavelength relevant recent runs have been in 5.25k avg class, whereas the avg of the rest of the runners is 4.82k (Dropping in class (on average) today). Ranking the 47 relevant recent run class ratings of the entire field shows Gunalt Wavelength as running in the 20th, 7th, 4th, and 20th most difficult recent races. Ranking the 47 relevant recent form ratings of the entire field shows Gunalt Wavelength as having the 12th, 18th, 3rd, and 35th best ratings. Bet. (KEY - Southwell (AW) Flat.) (7f (7f14y) Bet £10 Get £40 With BetMGM Nursery Handicap (Class 6) (2yo 0-65)).

Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.

MonteCarloRacing

MonteCarloRacing's Tips History

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