I like to run races through Monte Carlo simulations. I simulate every race each day 100,000 times. Each simulation uses 72 different variables relative to each horses form, history and market data. This is basically an automated way of calculating each horses number of simulated wins for this race. The results of the simulations provide me with my bets. I then couple that selection with a written description based on ratings. I like to keep the description generic and in a set way of writing but the tips are all based on the result of the race being simulated 100,000 times. I will be providing a selection for all All Weather Handicap races as that is my speciality. This is not about finding the most likely winner in each race, its about finding and playing margins for a long term steady return on investment. Its a value/volume way of betting.
4
Estimated Prizes
this month
£40
Estimated Prize money
this month
Mount Olympus
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@15.00
Lose
-50
Bella Kopella
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.00
Lose
-50
Bint Havana Gold
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 6.50 on 07/02 at 16:560.10 deduction for Thanks Dad@7.00 withdrawn at 09:17R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 5.50 x (1-0.10) = 5.95
@5.95
Win
247
Three Beauz
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.50
Lose
-50
Book Of Life
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 15.00 on 07/02 at 16:550.10 deduction for Cloud Free@8.00 withdrawn at 08:17R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 14.00 x (1-0.10) = 13.60
@13.60
Win
630
Blast The Dream
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 4.00 used instead of 3.75 takenBOG
@4.00
Win
150
Existent
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
Charencey
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@9.00
Lose
-50
Yokohama
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-50
Northern Ruler
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@5.00
Lose
-50
Imola
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.00
Lose
-50
Carey Street
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.50
Lose
-50
Omakase
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@26.00
Win
1250
Elegant Madame
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.50
Lose
-50
Little Keilee
Daily Racing
50 WINNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@7.00
Win
300
The Actor
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@29.00
Lose
-50
Many A Star
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 6.00 used instead of 4.50 takenBOG
@6.00
Win
250
Jabbar
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.25
Lose
-50
Init Together
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 2.88 used instead of 2.75 takenBOG
@2.88
Win
93
Ignition
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.38
Lose
-50
Li Ban
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@8.50
Lose
-50
Mint Man
Daily Racing
50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@3.75
Void
0
Cracking Gold
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.00
Lose
-50
Libra Tiger
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@9.00
Lose
-50
She Went Whoosh
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.50
Lose
-50
Giorgio M
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.50
Lose
-50
Recon Mission
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.50
Lose
-50
Etretat
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.25
Lose
-50
Portoro
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 4.33 used instead of 3.75 takenBOG
@4.33
Win
166
Autumn Angel
Daily Racing
50 WINNAPR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@7.50
Void
0
Flash The Dash
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@5.50
Win
225
Dash Gordon
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.50
Lose
-50
Frankies Dream
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.88
Lose
-50
Al Suil Eile
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@15.00
Lose
-50
Runaround Sioux
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.00
Lose
-50
Alright Sunshine
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.50
Lose
-50
Last Empress
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@9.00
Lose
-50
Wonder Legend
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.50
Lose
-50
Tyger Bay
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.00
Lose
-50
Hiatus
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@17.00
Lose
-50
Shot Of Love
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@9.00
Lose
-50
Monsieur Fantaisie
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.00
Lose
-50
Paddys Day
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 6.00 on 03/02 at 18:170.40 deduction for William Dewhirst@2.38 withdrawn at 09:17R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 5.00 x (1-0.40) = 4.00
@4.00
Win
150
Brian The Snail
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@7.00
Lose
-50
Blackjack
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@10.00
Lose
-50
So Grateful
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@9.00
Lose
-50
Midnight Lion
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.25
Lose
-50
Not Just Yet
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@9.00
Lose
-50
Thismydream
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@12.00
Lose
-50
Harlington
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@11.00
Lose
-50
Daaris
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.00
Lose
-50
Level Up
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.00
Lose
-50
Patrol
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 2.10 on 02/02 at 17:550.25 deduction for Jonny Garlic@3.75 withdrawn at 09:15R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 1.10 x (1-0.25) = 1.83Best Odds Guaranteed SP 2.20 used instead of 1.83 BOG
@2.20
Win
60
Piranha Rama
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@7.50
Lose
-50
Arlecchinos Rex
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.
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