MonteCarloRacing
1
Estimated Prizes
this month
£5
Estimated Prize money
this month
MonteCarloRacing's Tips History
04 June 2026
17:40 5:40 Lingfield
Peregrine Falcon
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+400
Lose
-5
Top RPR (79), unexposed filly still progressing; robust model??"top across every volatility setting. Not a strong conviction bet, each way only.
16:12 4:12 Wetherby
Ciao Capo
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@+175
Win
87
Standout: 7 RP tips + Oddschecker pick. Progressive, well in (RPR 76 off OR 63). Proven over 1m 2f. Highest-confidence bet of the card (46??"79% across ?).
15:51 3:51 Hamilton
Eternal Force
Daily Racing
120 WINNAP
@+137
Lose
-120
Model standout and two-source nap. Haggas (71% SR), strong 3yo form (2-1-1-1), stable flying. Stays clear top-right across the volatility sweep (35??"53%). Card's best bet.
Subtotal-38
28 May 2026
20:20 8:20 Sandown
Suddenly I See
Daily Racing
37 EW
@+1000
Lose
-75
Suddenly I See (E/W, 5.5/10). A 12-runner 0-80 to close ??" competitive, paying 4 places. Suddenly I See has joint-top RPR (89) and Buick; the edge held up. The Joker (also RPR 89, bigger price, best each-way EV in the field) is the back-up. Treat as a wide-open each-way heat.
19:45 7:45 Sandown
Saytarr
Daily Racing
37 EW
@+1100
Lose
-75
Saytarr (E/W, 5.5/10). Improving profile (6-1-1-3), well treated on his mark. Marginal overlay in a tight 0-95. Boyfriend (Hannon, big price, decent TS) is the each-way wildcard. A 7-runner mile handicap with several in-form types ??" moderate stakes.
19:12 7:12 Sandown
Gethin
Daily Racing
37 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 4.33 used instead of 3.75 takenBOG
@+333
Lose
-7
Gethin (E/W, 4.5/10) ??" the cautious one. This is the false-favourite race, and I want to be straight: Ombudsman (RPR 135, 7 lb clear) is the most likely winner, but the stress test confirms he's NOT value at 8/13 ??" negative EV even at full strength, and Gosden himself warned he'll "come on for the run." Four independent sources flag him as vulnerable. So the small value is with Gethin (improving, James Doyle, unanimous "danger" pick). But backing a 9/2 shot to beat a Group 1 horse is low conviction ??" hence the smallest main stake on the card and a 4.5/10 strength. Ombudsman is the win back-up (most likely winner, just no value). Honestly, this is a race to keep light in; if you dislike opposing an odds-on Group 1 winner, skipping the main and just having the small Ombudsman saver is entirely defensible.
18:42 6:42 Sandown
Yazin
Daily Racing
150 WIN
@+332
Lose
-150
Yazin (Win, 7.5/10). Top-rated (RPR 120). Ryan Moore booked, and the robustness sweep keeps the edge intact. The Sporting Life angle that an Appleby second-string could upset stable one Talk Of New York is noted ??" but Yazin (Gosden, the actual top-rated runner) is the bet, with Talk Of New York the each-way cover.
18:20 6:20 Limerick
Getaway Henry
Daily Racing
37 EW
@+1200
Lose
-75
Getaway Henry (E/W, 4/10). Division II of the same 0??"100 lottery, and I only have partial runner data for this race (the fetch cut off). Getaway Henry screened as the each-way overlay (top TS 95), but I've trimmed it hard to 1.5 pt because the model is working off an incomplete field??" that's not a figure I'll stake big on. Evelyn (top RPR 107) is the back-up but failed the pessimism test. Treat this whole race as low confidence.
18:12 6:12 Sandown
Sweet William
Daily Racing
75 EW
@-124
Lose
-60
Sweet William (E/W, 7/10). A genuine three-way Group 3. Sweet William gets the vote over Lazy Griff because the figures (TS 126) and course-and-distance form are proven, whereas Lazy Griff is making his seasonal 4yo debut ??" reliable versus unknown. Furthur (FreeTips' pick, strong TS) is the each-way back-up. All three hold an each-way chance; hence E/W, not win.
17:50 5:50 Limerick
Amburana
Daily Racing
50 EW
@+1400
Lose
-100
Amburana (E/W, 4.5/10). An 18-runner 0??"100 handicap hurdle ??" a genuine lottery. The RP verdict's pick, top TS (93), each-way only. Honest note: the stress test showed no runner here holds a real win edge (Whitewinewednesday, the top RPR, went negative under pressure). This is a scramble, so it's a small each-way play in a 4-places race, nothing more.
17:42 5:42 Sandown
Napa
Daily Racing
150 WIN
@+332
Lose
-150
Napa (Win, 8.5/10). The banker of the entire day's racing. RPR 107 ??" a stone above the field ??" and the edge was the most robust of any bet across all four meetings (53??"72% win across every volatility level). Independent sources (FreeTips) agree. EV-positive even at 2/1. TDN's warning about Adaay Of Scarlett (battle-hardened, Sandown hill) is why Adaay is the each-way saver, but Napa is as close to a standout as the card offers.
17:20 5:20 Ripon
Tees Aggregates
Daily Racing
50 EW
@+400
Lose
-10
Tees Aggregates (E/W, 6.5/10). RP's pick, top RPR (86), and the edge held across the robustness sweep. Canaria Queen (Timeform's pick, in-form, CD) is the danger but is shorter than the model likes. So Dc Cogent (consistent, big TS, EV-positive) is the more sensible back-up.
17:15 5:15 Limerick
La Cote Fleurie
Daily Racing
175 WIN
@+100
Win
175
La Cote Fleurie (Win, 7/10). The standout bet of the card and the one with a genuinely robust edge ??" Henry de Bromhead's mare, RPR 124, value holding 62??"69% across every volatility level. Top stake and the double anchor. Aruntothequeen (Harrington, RPR 119) is the obvious each-way back-up and is itself screened EV-positive.
17:10 5:10 Sandown
Major Neigh Sayer
Daily Racing
50 EW
@+350
Lose
-15
Major Neigh Sayer (E/W, 6/10). Top Topspeed figure (92) and Oisín Murphy booked. The edge is real, but the sensitivity test flagged it as fragile (that "0" last time out), so a contained each-way stake. Killavia (course-and-distance winner, top RPR 91) is the solid each-way back-up.
17:05 5:05 Worcester
Playful Fox
Daily Racing
125 WIN
@+162
Lose
-125
Playful Fox (Win, 6.5/10). Strong consensus (9 tips). Progressive 4yo for Skelton. Top RPR (109), and the longer trip is expected to suit. Most likely winner (45%); the edge is marginal at realistic jumps variance, so it's a confident win bet, not a banker. Scottish Dancer (course winner, big each-way price) is the saver. Same discard note: Greer Hill at 34/1 screened as a massive overlay but its form is "876P-P" ??" pulled up twice ??" so the EV is a figure artefact. Ignored.
17:00 5:00 Yarmouth
King Of Charm
Daily Racing
62 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 5.50 used instead of 4.50 takenBOG
@+450
Lose
-7
King Of Charm (E/W, 6/10). RP's pick is Merapi, but the model says Merapi at 3.25 is no value. It's a serial placer ??" 75222 ??" that may not win. King Of Charm has the field's top RPR (76) and the biggest overlay. I trimmed it from the model's suggested 4 pt because that top rating is based on stale form, so I don't want it as the card's biggest bet. Merapi is kept as each-way back-up given how reliably it places.
16:52 4:52 Fairyhouse
Smithfield
Daily Racing
37 EW
@+350
Lose
-75
Smithfield (E/W, 5.5/10). A 16-runner apprentice handicap (high variance ??" apprentice races are noisy, as I've flagged at every meeting). Smithfield has joint-top RPR (77) and is the marginal overlay. RP preferred the in-form Doctor Grace, but the model says Doctor Grace is too short. Proleek Prince (RPR 77, big price) is the each-way long-shot back-up.
16:45 4:45 Ripon
Something
Daily Racing
50 EW
@+500
Win
312
Something (E/W, 6/10). Tiny 5-runner field, so win-only would be the orthodox call, but standard terms still give 2 places here. Timeform's pick; top RPR (89) and the only clearly EV-positive runner. RP preferred Sir Edward Lear (course form, Owen yard) ??" kept as back-up. Genuinely close between the two.
16:40 4:40 Limerick
Lukers Tipple
Daily Racing
150 WIN
@+162
Lose
-150
Luker's Tipple (Win, 6/10). RPR 123 ??" far the best in a 17-runner maiden ??" for Gavin Cromwell/Keith Donoghue. But the RP verdict itself attached a "health warning" (a reliability/temperament flag ??" 7 wins from 12, but maiden-eligible suggests something quirky), and the stress test showed the edge halves under modest pessimism. So: most likely winner, contain 3pt win stake, not a banker. Game Point (promising debut third) is the each-way saver.
16:30 4:30 Worcester
Charging Thunder
Daily Racing
50 EW
@+187
Lose
-100
Charging Thunder (E/W, 5.5/10). RP nap (7 tips) ??" yet to win a handicap hurdle but well treated given his Flat ability (James Owen/Sean Bowen). Marginal edge over forecast favourite Fidendum (won last, no value at 2/1, kept as win back-up). Note the model flagged Get The Value at 34/1 as a huge overlay ??" I've discarded it: that EV rests entirely on a stale TS figure off "08P7-7" form, and it collapsed to negative under any realistic adjustment. A trap, not a bet.
16:23 4:23 Yarmouth
First Folio
Daily Racing
62 EW
@+400
Lose
-125
First Folio (E/W, 6/10). The most open handicap (ten runners, RPRs 86??"94 bunched). The market favors Another Abbot/Travel Agent, but First Folio has the top RPR (94) and big TS, and screens as the clear overlay ??" edge held across the whole volatility sweep. Genuinely competitive, so each-way with the front of the market (Another Abbot) as backup.
16:17 4:17 Fairyhouse
Thirsty Owl
Daily Racing
75 EW
@+2800
Lose
-150
Thirsty Owl (E/W, 6/10). The best handicap overlay that held up under stress (RPR 77), more robust than the higher-EV Elly Bay, whose edge collapsed under pessimism. RP's pick, Venetian Star, is too short on the figures. Elly Bay kept as a small each-way saver ??" top RPR but no recent win.
16:10 4:10 Ripon
Jet Warrior
Daily Racing
75 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 2.00 used instead of 1.83 takenBOG
@+100
Win
75
Jet Warrior (Win, 6.5/10). RP and Timeform agree. Easy AW winner last week, 5 lb well in under his penalty. Most likely winner by a distance (47%). But at 6/5 the value is essentially gone (EV barely positive). This is the banker/acca-anchor type, so it gets a modest 1.5 pt rather than a big stake. Golden Prosperity is the confirmed non-runner here (9 run, still 3 places).
16:00 4:00 Worcester
Son Of Tyran
Daily Racing
62 EW
@+120
Lose
-125
Son Of Tyran (E/W, 6/10). A 10-runner novice handicap hurdle (Artiste d'Ainay NR, still 3 places). Son Of Tyran (Skelton, won last, top TS 92) is the marginal overlay and most likely winner. Brave Move (Fergal O'Brien, RPR 97) is the each-way saver. Competitive, but Son Of Tyran is the standout.
15:53 3:53 Yarmouth
Hengest
Daily Racing
100 WINNOTETip made at odds of 2.20 on 28/05 at 10:060.10 deduction for Give Me The Night@10.00 withdrawn at 13:25R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 1.20 x (1-0.10) = 2.08Best Odds Guaranteed SP 2.10 used instead of 2.08 BOG
@+110
Win
110
Hengest (Win, 6.5/10). RP's pick; 2-from-2 in handicaps, won at Lingfield last week. Most likely winner (48%), but the price (11/10) leaves it only marginally EV-positive ??" a confident win bet rather than a value play. Harlington (consistent, 5/1) is the each-way saver in a 5-runner race.
15:47 3:47 Fairyhouse
Im Spartacus
Daily Racing
50 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@+550
Win
5
I'm Spartacus (E/W, 5/10). An 18-runner 0-60 ??" the chaos race of the card. I'm Spartacus has the top RPR (66) and screens as the overlay, but I've trimmed the model's suggested 3.5pt to 2pt because this grade is the least reliable on the card. Pure each-way play in a big field paying four places. Happy Henry (consistent placer, BF) is the each-way back-up.
15:40 3:40 Ripon
Financer
Daily Racing
50 EW
@+900
Lose
-100
Financer (E/W, 5/10). The hardest race ??" ten horses with RPRs 99??"105 packed together. Financer screens as the biggest overlay (well treated on old form), but I've trimmed the stake because that profile is unreliable. El Matador (5/2 fav) and Parole d'Oro (RP pick) are short for such an open heat. Garden Oasis (course specialist, big TS) is the back-up. Treat this as the lottery of the card ??" small, each-way.
15:30 3:30 Worcester
So Proud
Daily Racing
62 EW
@+550
Lose
-125
So Proud (E/W, 6/10) ??" the value play. King's Scholar (10 tips, OR 120) is the most likely winner but NOT value at 4/9 ??" classic odds-on trap (negative EV at every volatility). The robust each-way overlay is So Proud (Jonjo Jr, strong TS 98), which held +1.2 EV across the stress test. So I'm opposing the jolly for value while keeping King's Scholar as the win back-up / acca-anchor type. Trimmed from the model's 4 pt because it's still a 6-runner novice and So Proud's form isn't flawless.
15:23 3:23 Yarmouth
Al Hudaiba
Daily Racing
200 WINNAP
@+120
Lose
-200
Al Hudaiba (Win, 8.5/10). The banker of the card and, unusually, value too. Appleby's colt won on debut (RPR 87) and faces four newcomers/lightly raced types. The robustness sweep keeps it well clear even at high volatility, and it's EV-positive even at 5/6. This is the strongest single bet at Yarmouth, hence top stake and the double anchor. (Note the RP verdict itself preferred Al Hudaiba over the Gosden/Baaeed newcomer Shiyam ??" consensus aligned.)
15:17 3:17 Fairyhouse
Baiana
Daily Racing
75 WIN
@+350
Lose
-75
Baiana (Win, 5.5/10). A genuinely awkward 3yo sprint handicap. Baiana (J. P. O'Brien, won last time) is the most likely winner, but the model has it marginally negative at 5/2 ??" a "respect the favourite" bet rather than value. Gonna Be Golden screened as a massive overlay (RPR 88), but that's off a "51-0" line, and the sensitivity test showed the edge evaporates if it's not back to form. So it's strictly a small each-way back-up, not to be trusted with a main stake. (Girl Bear is the confirmed non-runner; 9 run, 3 places.)
15:07 3:07 Ripon
Simbas Pride
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@+225
Win
225
Simba's Pride (win, 7/10). Unanimous: RP nap (9 tips), Timeform, Sam Turner (Betfair) and the RP panel all agree. The model makes it the clear most-likely winner (36%) and EV-positive at 5/2. One caveat the robustness sweep flagged: the edge is real at the current price but thins if the race runs muddling, so it's a confident win bet, not a banker to overload. Great Success (David O'Meara's, big TS upside) is the each-way saver at 16/1 ??" the model's standout price overlay.
14:55 2:55 Worcester
Mt Fugi Park
Daily Racing
62 EW
@SP
Lose
-125
Mt Fugi Park (E/W, 5.5/10). Competitive 6-runner chase. Mt Fugi Park is the model's marginal overlay (top weight, won last). Forecast favourite Sunray Shadow (just won for Skelton) is the most likely winner but no value at 9/4, so it's the win back-up. Note Zacony Rebel screened well too. This is a genuinely open heat; hence moderate stakes.
14:48 2:48 Yarmouth
Fifty Nifty
Daily Racing
50 EW
@+750
Lose
-100
Fifty Nifty (E/W, 6/10). RP's nap is Zubaru, but the model says Zubaru at 15/8 is too short (negative EV) for a 9-runner 0-80 ??" the market has over-bet the in-form horse. Fifty Nifty has the field's top RPR (94), and the edge survived the robustness sweep. One caveat: it's returning from a layoff (form 70654-), and the sensitivity test showed its value evaporates if it's not fit. Hence a contained 2pt, with Zubaru kept as the win back-up since it is the most likely winner.
14:42 2:42 Fairyhouse
Gloriously Glam
Daily Racing
75 WIN
@-109
Lose
-75
Gloriously Glam (Win, 6.5/10). RP's pick, top RPR (77), confirms recent Gowran form. Most likely winner (56%), but at 11/10 there's barely any value. The banker check showed it dips below the value line at realistic volatility. A confident win bet, not an overlay ??" hence modest stake + acca anchor. Mehmar is a wildcard each-way saver (the model flagged it as a price overlay).
14:35 2:35 Ripon
Hood Wink
Daily Racing
50 EW
@+1100
Win
60
Hood Wink (E/W, 5/10). A deliberately contrarian main. The market and RP favour Harswell River at 2/1, but my sensitivity test showed Harswell's price is too short for a weak 0??"55 (EV negative even before stress). Hood Wink is the only runner that's clearly EV-positive both ways. I keep Harswell as a small each-way backup because it is the most likely winner??"just not at that price. Note Timeform's pick here was Wondrous (yard in form). It's a genuine three-way split, so stakes stay modest.
14:12 2:12 Fairyhouse
Lars Soldier
Daily Racing
87 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 3.00 used instead of 2.75 takenBOG
@+200
Lose
-53
Lars Soldier (E/W, 7/10). The standout of the card. RPR 93 ??" comfortably the best in the race ??" and the overlay survived every level of the sensitivity stress test. RP preferred the debutant Citrus Springs (JPOB, Group 2 entry), but an unraced horse beating a proven 93-rated one is the riskier bet. One honest caveat: Lars Soldier is 9/2, not favorite, despite the superior figure. The market may know its form line ("415") flatters, which is why it's E/W and the stake is capped at 3.5 pt rather than the model's full Kelly. Joga Bonito (the in-form market leader) is the win backup.
14:05 2:05 Ripon
Fern Clyde
Daily Racing
62 EW
@+400
Lose
-125
Fern Clyde (E/W, 6/10). The value play of the card. The market makes the newcomer Etonnante favourite, but Fern Clyde is the only filly with competitive form (RPR 78), the highest in the race. Her edge at 7/2 survived every volatility level in the robustness sweep ??" the rare case where the form horse is also the overlay. Etonnante (Burke, fancied debut) is the obvious backup given a successful family.
Subtotal-1590
Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.
