MonteCarloRacing
0
Estimated Prizes
this month
£0
Estimated Prize money
this month
MonteCarloRacing's Tips History
07 February 2026
02:25 02:25 Turfway Park
Kehoe Beach
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@SP
Lose
-50
A top-level stakes winner returning from a brief layoff. This horse possesses exceptional early speed that often leaves rivals struggling to keep pace. Her historical performances and high earnings indicate she is significantly better than her current competition.
Subtotal-50
06 February 2026
22:40 22:40 Oaklawn Park
Strategic Risk
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+500
Lose
-50
Dominant recent form at the track and the absence of the morning-line favorite make this horse the standout contender. Its ability to accelerate in the final stages of long-distance races suggests it is physically peaking at the right time.
21:20 21:20 Aqueduct
Schoolyardsuperman
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+225
Lose
-50
Coming off a dominant victory where it controlled the race from start to finish, this runner is clearly the class of the field. Its impressive speed ratings and ability to maintain a strong gallop make it a formidable opponent at this distance.
20:30 8:30 Newcastle
Raatea
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+1000
Lose
-50
A specialist at this specific venue with a history of strong performances. It returns under its winning jockey after narrowly missing out last time. Given the extremely large field, its experience and proven finishing speed provide a vital competitive edge.
20:00 8:00 Newcastle
Maximising
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+332
Lose
-50
As the sole entry for its trainer on the long trip north, this horse is a low-mileage improver with significant potential. Its recent winning form and the trainer's selective placement strongly indicate it is ready for another peak performance tonight.
19:59 19:59 Oaklawn Park
Counting Stars
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+200
Lose
-50
Unbeaten at this specific venue with two dominant stakes victories totaling ten lengths, this filly clearly thrives on the local surface. Her tactical speed allows her to secure an ideal position early and finish strongly in competitive fields.
19:29 19:29 Oaklawn Park
Cactus Charlie
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+500
Lose
-50
This runner is returning to its most effective distance and race configuration today. It has previously performed exceptionally well against high-caliber opponents and represents one of the most reliable selections on the afternoon schedule.
19:00 7:00 Newcastle
The Caltonian
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+750
Lose
-50
Possessing a distinct affinity for the straight sprint track at this venue, the horse has been strategically dropped in the weights. Its previous winning form over course and distance makes it a strong contender in a very competitive evening field.
18:36 18:36 Tampa Bay Downs
Always A Runner
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@-136
Win
37
A high-value purchase entering its first career start for an elite training operation that specializes in this specific race type. The horse has shown impressive preparation on training surfaces and benefits from a high-percentage jockey??"trainer partnership.
18:30 6:30 Newcastle
Lions House
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+400
Win
200
This horse is considered exceptionally well-handicapped for a runner with several wins already on synthetic surfaces. Its ability to finish races strongly and its current drop in the weights make it a major threat in a high-tempo sprint environment.
18:28 18:28 Oaklawn Park
Gettinby
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+120
Lose
-50
After recording a career-best performance against open competition, this horse now moves into a race restricted to state-bred rivals. The significant advantage in speed ratings and current physical condition make it extremely difficult to defeat in this spot.
17:00 5:00 Newcastle
Goldmoyne
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+162
Lose
-50
Frequently identified as a leading choice by major analysts, this horse enters a favorable race after a series of consistent performances. Significant betting activity suggests a high level of confidence in its ability to outclass the current field under existing conditions.
16:52 4:52 Wolverhampton
Shrimp Shady
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+250
Lose
-50
Although its most recent effort was slightly below expectations, its previous form indicates it is capable of competing at a much higher level. The stable remains in excellent form, and the horse is expected to bounce back to its best on this surface.
16:30 4:30 Newcastle
Maria Da Silva
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 2.75 used instead of 2.50 takenBOG
@+175
Win
87
Representing a powerhouse stable with a high strike rate at this venue, this progressive runner showed a gritty, determined attitude when winning recently. It is expected to handle the step up in distance and remains well-handicapped for its debut in this category.
16:22 4:22 Wolverhampton
Ribble Vibe
Daily Racing
50 WINNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 2.88 used instead of 2.63 takenBOG
@+187
Win
93
This horse is highly suited to the specific track and distance, coming off a career-best performance in a more difficult race. The combination of elite surface experience and a high-confidence jockey booking makes it the premier selection of the day across all venues.
15:52 3:52 Wolverhampton
Luna Beaux
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@SP
Lose
-50
After a dominant victory at this track just ten days ago, the horse returns quickly to capitalize on its current physical peak. Despite carrying a penalty for that win, its recent command of the surface makes it tough for its rivals to overlook.
Subtotal-133
05 February 2026
21:45 21:45 Fair Grounds
Modo
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@SP
Lose
-50
Modo’s score of 8/10 reflects the "Proven vs. Potential" dynamic. He has already proven he can earn triple-digit speed figures at the AOC level (earning a 100 in April 2025). His recent failure in stakes company at Oaklawn is common for horses that prefer the specific layout or dirt composition of Fair Grounds. His return to New Orleans, coupled with the drop from stakes competition, satisfies all requirements for a high-probability win or top-two finish.
20:45 20:45 Fair Grounds
Bron And Brow
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@SP
Lose
-50
Dropping from stakes-level competition into an Allowance Optional Claiming (AOC) race, Bron and Brow brings a career-best figure of 108. This provides a 7-point clearance over the most consistent allowance runners in the field, such as Clear As A Bele (Best E 101).
20:00 8:00 Southwell
King Of York
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+225
Lose
-50
King of York (8/10): The veteran course specialist. Class drop and Tapeta proficiency ensure a high-floor performance. Will be there come the line.
19:15 19:15 Fair Grounds
Lady Orient
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@SP
Lose
-50
She is dropping into a $15,000 claiming event after finishing second in much higher-class company. With an Equibase Speed Figure of 90, she maintains a clear 5??"7 point advantage over the projected speed of her primary rivals.
18:45 18:45 Fair Grounds
Thunderhawk
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@-161
Win
31
Thunderhawk’s ML odds of 9/5 are likely shorter than the actual win probability, which models closer to 65% (approximately 1/2 in fractional odds). The primary reason is the "Double-Drop" mechanism: he is dropping in class and returning to a sprint distance where his Vekoma genetics allow for maximum velocity. In his victory at Churchill Downs, he demonstrated an ability to withstand early pressure while maintaining a high speed figure (98 E-Speed), a trait rarely found in $15,000 claimers.
17:30 5:30 Southwell
Asia Force
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+150
Lose
-50
At Southwell, Asia Force is an 8/10 due to the sheer magnitude of his Topspeed clearance. His 13-point advantage over the experienced field is a rarity in Novice Stakes. The only risk factor is the debut of Shabab Al Ahli, who represents the “unknown class” of Godolphin. However, in a quantitative model based strictly on observed speed, Asia Force is a singular standout.
17:00 5:00 Southwell
Baker Blue
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+225
Lose
-50
A 10-point advantage on the Official Rating scale (OR 87 vs OR 77) is an anomaly in modern UK handicapping, where fields are usually compressed within a 3- to 5-point range. This disparity suggests the handicapper believes Baker Blue is running at a level that is essentially a full class higher than his current entry.
The horse’s sire, Ardad, has a notable record for producing precocious, fast-starting sprinters who thrive on all-weather surfaces. Baker Blue’s second-place finish last out was a career best in terms of speed, and the move back to six furlongs provides him with the extra yardage needed to utilize his superior long-range velocity. With a score of 9/10, he is the highest-conviction selection for the UK session.
16:25 4:25 Southwell
Up The Monk
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+350
Lose
-50
Up The Monk (8/10): The front-runner at Southwell. C&D winner who can back up recent speed figures in easier company.
16:10 4:10 Doncaster
Scavengers Reign
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+100
Lose
-50
A six-year-old mare trained by James Owen recently won a 14-runner maiden hurdle at Wetherby. Her performance was marked by a strong finish, suggesting "more to come" as she enters the handicapping sphere. In mares' handicap hurdles, a horse with a peak Topspeed rating often has a substantial advantage over more exposed rivals.
15:50 3:50 Southwell
Roaring Ralph
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+225
Win
112
Handicap presents a clear quantitative outlier in Roaring Ralph. Trained by Michael Dods, Roaring Ralph possesses a Topspeed rating of 60 and a Racing Post Rating of 70. His nearest rival in the rating hierarchy, Scenario, holds a TS of 54 and an RPR of 69. This six-point lead on speed figures (TS) in a Class 6 handicap is statistically significant. Roaring Ralph is also a course-and-distance winner, and his recent second-place finishes at the track over both 7 furlongs and 1 mile confirm he is currently at the peak of his form.
14:52 2:52 Thurles
Fou De Toi
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@SP
Lose
-50
Fou De Toi enters with a Timeform profile that suggests he is currently performing at a level far below his entries for the upcoming Cheltenham Festival. Fou De Toi holds an entry in the Grade 1 Turners Novices' Hurdle (Baring Bingham), indicating that his current task at Thurles is several tiers removed from his projected ceiling. The horse's previous place finish in a competitive French hurdle further cements his status as a horse clear of the average maiden field in Ireland.
14:10 2:10 Lingfield
Big Ticket
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 2.38 used instead of 2.20 takenBOG
@+137
Win
68
Class drop: Big Ticket regresses from a Class 3 maiden hurdle at Ascot into Class 4 company today. This 'Ascot-to-Lingfield' pivot often filters out top-tier maiden talent, providing a softer landing for a horse that has already shown high-level ability.
Speed clearance: He carries an RPR of 125, providing a 10-point clearance over the next-best experienced runner, Dropematthestation (115). Additionally, his Topspeed figure of 102 is 15 points clear of the field standard.
13:07 1:07 Thurles
Salvator Mundi
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@-699
Win
7
Class drop: This represents a massive regression in competitive depth. Salvator Mundi is a Grade 1 novice hurdle winner who contested a Grade 1 novice chase at Leopardstown last time out. Moving from elite Grade 1 company into a regional beginners' chase provides significant class relief.
Speed clearance: He holds a Racing Post Rating (RPR) of 138, which puts him 10 points clear of his nearest rival, Fishery Lane (128). His Topspeed rating of 131 is even more dominant, standing 27 points clear of the field average.
Subtotal-232
04 February 2026
20:00 8:00 Newcastle
Annalee Lass
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@SP
Lose
-100
Carries an adjusted Timeform speed rating of 119, while her nearest rival (I Can Boogie) is at 112. She is dropping from a conditions race into a 0-50 Classified Stakes event.
Subtotal-100
03 February 2026
19:45 Barnet v Crewe
Barnet
80 WIN
@-142
Lose
-80
Barnet FC enters this fixture maintaining a dominant offensive output at The Hive. Crewe Alexandra continues to struggle with defensive structural gaps caused by the mandatory rotation of two key center-backs due to muscular fatigue.
19:45 Blackburn v Sheff Wed
Blackburn
100 WIN
@-285
Win
35
Sheffield Wednesday sits at the bottom of the table with the league's worst defensive record and a catastrophic goal difference of -39, reflecting a systemic failure in their tactical organization and finishing capability. Blackburn’s superior chance-creation rate and home advantage at Ewood Park make them heavy favorites against an opponent that has failed to secure a point in their last five league matches.
19:45 Hull v Watford
Hull
150 WIN
@+129
Lose
-150
Hull City enters this fixture maintaining an elite offensive efficiency streak after winning their last four league matches. They are specifically exploiting a Watford defense that is currently struggling with mid-season transition fragility and defensive fatigue metrics during a five-match winless period.
19:45 Notts County v Gillingham
Notts County
80 WIN
@-102
Win
78
Notts County leverages a superior offensive transition rate at Meadow Lane against a Gillingham side currently managing a significant defensive form slump, having failed to secure a clean sheet in six consecutive away fixtures during this congested February schedule.
19:45 Sheff Utd v Oxford Utd
Sheff Utd
100 WIN
@-249
Win
40
Sheffield United leverages a documented home-field efficiency against a struggling Oxford United squad currently experiencing a severe mid-season form slump, having only secured three regular-time victories since November across all competitive fixtures, including multiple lower-division cup losses.
17:30 Valentin Royer vs Arthur Fils
Arthur Fils
Win Match
115 WIN
@-136
Win
84
Arthur Fils returns to competition following a significant physical transformation and weight loss to mitigate back-related fatigue, presenting a biomechanical advantage against a struggling Valentin Royer. Royer has dropped six consecutive matches and historically fails to manage lateral defensive transitions on indoor hard courts.
17:00 Tofas vs AEK
Tofas -2.50
Pointspread
100 WIN
@-114
Lose
-100
Tofas Bursa leverages a dominant home-court advantage at the Nilüfer Spor Salonu against an AEK Athens squad struggling with frontcourt defensive rotations following recent injury news and travel fatigue across multiple borders. Tofas leads the group in offensive efficiency and should cover the negative two-point-five spread by exploiting AEK's documented vulnerability to high-tempo perimeter transitions.
15:00 Ugo Humbert vs Botic Van De Zandschulp
Ugo Humbert
Win Match
150 WIN
@-333
Win
45
Ugo Humbert holds a 5??"0 head-to-head advantage against Botic van de Zandschulp and enters this match with superior indoor performance metrics specifically tailored for the Sud de France Arena surface. Van de Zandschulp's recent loss in Melbourne highlighted a vulnerability to left-handed power serving, which Humbert is tactically positioned to exploit through aggressive baseline positioning and wide-angle transition plays.
03:10 PHI 76ers @ LA Clippers
LA Clippers 1.00
Pointspread
115 WIN
@-109
Lose
-115
The L.A. Clippers maintain an elite statistical advantage at the Intuit Dome, posting a 10-1 record against the spread while ranking third in the league in net rating. Philadelphia’s defensive efficiency has regressed to twenty-sixth overall, and the limited mobility of a compromised Joel Embiid will struggle to contain the Clippers' high-efficiency half-court sets.
02:07 DET Red Wings @ COL Avalanche
COL Avalanche -1.50
Puck Line
50 WIN
@+125
Lose
-50
The Detroit Red Wings are currently compromised by a widespread flu outbreak and an anemic offensive output of 1.3 goals per game over their last three contests. Colorado's Nathan MacKinnon remains in peak MVP-caliber form. This creates a severe mismatch against Detroit’s backup goaltending rotation, justifying a puckline execution before the Olympic break hiatus.
00:40 MIN Timberwolves @ MEM Grizzlies
MIN Timberwolves -6.00
Pointspread
150 WIN
@-109
Lose
-150
The Memphis Grizzlies' decision to start multiple G-League call-ups against the league's top-rated defense creates a severe efficiency deficit that Jaren Jackson Jr. cannot overcome alone. Minnesota's double-digit win streak is built on a +5.2 scoring differential that persists even in road games against bottom-tier Western Conference opponents. The extreme depth crisis in the Grizzlies' frontcourt ensures that Gobert and Randle will dictate the rebounding tempo from the tip.
00:10 HOU Rockets @ IND Pacers
HOU Rockets -6.50
Pointspread
100 WIN
@+100
Lose
-100
The tactical mismatch centers on Houston’s league-leading rebounding rate (49.2 RPG) confronting Indiana’s bottom-tier interior defense, which surrenders the second-highest point total to opposing frontcourts. With Alperen ?engün and Amen Thompson exploiting a Pacers unit missing Tyrese Haliburton’s defensive gravity, the Rockets are poised to dominate the transition game and secondary scoring opportunities.
00:07 BUF Sabres @ FLA Panthers
BUF Sabres
Money Line
50 WIN
@+100
Win
50
The Florida Panthers are currently structurally compromised, missing their top two centers and primary defensive pairing, which negates their usual puck-possession dominance. Buffalo enters as the league’s hottest team over the last month, utilizing goalie Alex Lyon’s elite save percentage (.913) to neutralize high-danger chances and exploit Florida’s lack of depth scoring during the pre-Olympic transition.
00:07 OTT Senators @ PIT Penguins
PIT Penguins
Money Line
150 WIN
@+100
Lose
-150
This selection capitalizes on a reverse line move where Pittsburgh’s odds have shortened despite public support for the underdog, signaling significant professional intervention. While the Penguins face blueline injuries, their current offensive form (winning six straight with high goal outputs) outclasses an Ottawa team that has historically struggled with goalie consistency in high-event road environments.
Subtotal-563
02 February 2026
20:10 NO Pelicans @ CHA Hornets
CHA Hornets -7.00
Pointspread
150 WIN
@-109
Push
0
New Orleans faces a critical rebounding disadvantage against an elite Charlotte interior unit, and the absence of Dejounte Murray limits their ability to neutralize the Hornets' league-leading transition offense during high-leverage possessions. Furthermore, the uncharacteristic early-afternoon start time provides a significant circadian-rhythm advantage to the home side.
20:00 Mallorca v Sevilla
Mallorca
100 WIN
@+170
Win
170
Sevilla faces a critical defensive crisis with the suspension of Marcão and Nemanja Gudelj, which leaves them vulnerable to Mallorca's elite striker Vedat Muriqi, who has maintained an exceptional scoring rate this season. Mallorca’s consistent home record against bottom-half opponents provides the necessary statistical leverage to overcome Sevilla's recent marginal improvements.
20:00 Sunderland v Burnley
Sunderland
110 WIN
@-120
Win
91
Burnley's historic winless drought and significant backline injuries create a high-probability tactical mismatch against a home side that has remained unbeaten at the Stadium of Light throughout the entire winter season campaign.
19:00 Roberto Bautista Agut vs Christopher OConnell
Roberto Bautista Agut
Win Match
100 WIN
@-149
Win
67
Disparity in indoor hard-court experience and superior current seasonal momentum provides a clear physical advantage for the veteran against an opponent showing notable regression in defensive baseline return metrics during the current month.
17:00 Kocaelispor v Fenerbahce
Over 2.50
Total Goals
130 WIN
@-105
Lose
-130
This execution targets a profound mismatch in offensive efficiency where the combined expected goals (xG) of over three per match significantly exceed the current market expectations for a low-scoring defensive struggle. The away side's record of eighteen shots per fixture provides the necessary tactical volume to break a home defense that has already conceded nineteen times this season.
15:30 Pedro Martinez vs Adrian Mannarino
Adrian Mannarino
Win Match
120 WIN
@-161
Win
74
The trigger for this selection is a significant disparity in indoor hard-court experience and current seasonal momentum, providing a tactical advantage for the veteran campaigner against an opponent showing regression in defensive return metrics. Market movement aligns with institutional money backing the superior server to control the pace of the match from the opening set.
15:15 Al Riyadh v Al Nassr Riyadh
Al Nassr Riyadh
150 WIN
@-499
Win
30
The Saudi Pro League fixture features Al Riyadh (15th place) against Al Nassr (3rd place) at the Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium. This match is subject to the "Global Liquidity Gate," requiring at least £1,000 in matched volume on the Betfair Exchange for a Tier 1 execution. As of the audit timestamp, matched volume is low, but the "Sharp Proxy" via Pinnacle shows the Al Nassr -1.5 handicap moving aggressively from 1.65 to 1.55.
14:45 2:45 Southwell
Fouroneohfever
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@SP
Lose
-50
The trigger is the horse’s fairly useful flat ability and the anticipation of significant progression on its second hurdles start. It is moving to a lower-grade contest where its physical weight advantage over less-developed five-year-olds becomes a critical factor.
14:35 2:35 Kempton
Ice In The Veins
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@+400
Lose
-100
This execution targets the horse's superior class, speed, par dominance, and the Skelton yard's exceptional record at Kempton. It assumes positive front-running tactics will capitalize on the track's flat configuration and short home straight.
14:12 2:12 Southwell
Tread Carefully
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@+200
Lose
-100
The selection is predicated on the runner's elite Sandown form being a class above this maiden field, with the primary tactical mismatch being its high cruising speed against locally trained horses that have yet to show equivalent speed ratings.
02:40 OKC Thunder @ DEN Nuggets
DEN Nuggets 7.00
Pointspread
100 WIN
@-109
Lose
-100
The divisional rivalry history suggests Denver is tactically suited to limit Oklahoma City's high-pace transition game through disciplined defensive switching and second-unit depth, providing a high-probability cover as a significant home underdog.
02:10 CLE Cavaliers @ POR Trail Blazers
CLE Cavaliers -3.00
Pointspread
100 WIN
@-109
Win
91
Despite the absence of Evan Mobley, Cleveland’s defensive rating remains in the league's top 5. Portland’s ineptitude at home against Eastern Conference contenders (39% ATS) signals a significant spread overlay. The syndicate prioritizes the Cavs' interior rotation to dominate the Blazers' weak defensive rebounding.
02:10 ORL Magic @ SA Spurs
Over 223.00
Game Totals
100 WIN
@-109
Lose
-100
Both Orlando and San Antonio are currently operating with increased offensive pace metrics and diminished interior defensive rotations, suggesting a high-scoring game that will exceed the current market-offered total points line.
01:10 LA Clippers @ PHX Suns
Over 210.00
Game Totals
100 WIN
@-109
Push
0
Both rosters are currently operating with top-decile offensive pace metrics and diminished perimeter defensive assignments, suggesting a high-frequency shooting environment that will likely exceed the conservative total set by early market opening prices.
Subtotal-57
Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.
