MonteCarloRacing

I like to run races through Monte Carlo simulations. I simulate each race 100,000 times. Each simulation uses 72 different variables relative to each horses form and history. This validates if I think the current handicap mark is correct or not. This is basically an automated way of calculating each horses number of simulated wins for this race. The results of the simulation provides me with my own odds. I'll use my own odds to then determine the bets. i.e. VALUE. I then couple that selection with a written description based on ratings. I like to keep things generic and of a set way of writing..

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MonteCarloRacing's Tips History

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20 May 2024
20:00 8:00 Carlisle

Redarna

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.25

Lose

-50

6 runners go to post in a class 4 (4YO plus) race over 7f 173y on Good to Firm ground for a £5496 prize, where REDARNA (CD) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 9160-54. This 10 year old last ran 16 days ago putting up a speed figure of 74 (rest of field last run avg is 64). Has an AVG speed rating of 70 (rest of field avg is 66). Has a MIN speed rating of 66 (rest of field avg is 58). Has a MAX speed rating of 75 (rest of field avg is 72). P Mulrennan in the saddle today. Only 3 horses in this race have an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, one of which is REDARNA. This looks good placement from Mrs Dianne Sayer. 86.67% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
17:30 5:30 Redcar

Believitanducan

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.33

Lose

-50

8 runners go to post in a class 6 (3YO only) race over 1m 5f 218y on Good ground for a £3140 prize, where BELIEVITANDUCAN comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 756-3. This 3 year old last ran 22 days ago putting up a speed figure of 63 (rest of field last run avg is 65). Has an AVG speed rating of 64 (rest of field avg is 57). Has a MIN speed rating of 58 (rest of field avg is 45). Has a MAX speed rating of 78 (rest of field avg is 69). Daniel Muscutt in the saddle today. Only 1 horse in this race has an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, and that is BELIEVITANDUCAN. This looks good placement from Jessica Macey. 87.5% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
17:06 5:06 Windsor

Rakki

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@8.50

Lose

-50

7 runners go to post in a class 5 (3YO only) race over 1m 3f 99y on Good to Firm ground for a £4397 prize, where RAKKI comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 755-4. This 3 year old last ran 19 days ago putting up a speed figure of 74 (rest of field last run avg is 61). Has an AVG speed rating of 65 (rest of field avg is 61). Has a MIN speed rating of 57 (rest of field avg is 53). Has a MAX speed rating of 74 (rest of field avg is 69). Benoit D L Sayette in the saddle today. Only 2 horses in this race have an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, one of which is RAKKI. This looks good placement from A King. 80% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
16:00 4:00 Redcar

Shaladar

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@7.50

Lose

-50

11 runners go to post in a class 4 (4YO plus) race over 7f 219y on Good ground for a £5234 prize, where SHALADAR (FR) (D) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 23626-2. This 5 year old last ran 25 days ago putting up a speed figure of 66 (rest of field last run avg is 69). Has an AVG speed rating of 73 (rest of field avg is 69). Has a MIN speed rating of 66 (rest of field avg is 61). Has a MAX speed rating of 79 (rest of field avg is 76). T Eaves in the saddle today. Only 1 horse in this race has an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, and that is SHALADAR (FR). This looks good placement from K A Ryan. 96.36% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
14:43 2:43 Newton Abbot

Fortunefavorsdbold

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@8.00

Lose

-50

7 runners go to post in a class 4 (5YO plus) race over 3m 1f 170y on Good to Soft ground for a £6416 prize, where FORTUNEFAVORSDBOLD comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 9011P7-. This 6 year old last ran 32 days ago putting up a speed figure of 73 (rest of field last run avg is 70). Has an AVG speed rating of 70 (rest of field avg is 69). Has a MIN speed rating of 64 (rest of field avg is 60). Has a MAX speed rating of 76 (rest of field avg is 81). Nick Scholfield in the saddle today. Only 3 horses in this race have an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, one of which is FORTUNEFAVORSDBOLD. This looks good placement from Christian Williams. 82.86% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
19 May 2024
18:15 6:15 Newmarket

Harry Brown

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.50

Lose

-50

9 runners go to post in a class 3 (4YO plus) race over 5f on Good ground for a £15462 prize, where HARRY BROWN (D) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 808-245. This 4 year old last ran 16 days ago putting up a speed figure of 69 (rest of field last run avg is 74). Has an AVG speed rating of 73 (rest of field avg is 69). Has a MIN speed rating of 69 (rest of field avg is 60). Has a MAX speed rating of 78 (rest of field avg is 78). Hayley Turner in the saddle today. Only 2 horses in this race have an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, one of which is HARRY BROWN. This looks good placement from D M Simcock. 52.94% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
16:45 4:45 Newmarket

Daysofourlives

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

9 runners go to post in a class 3 (4YO plus) race over 1m 2f on Good ground for a £15462 prize, where DAYSOFOURLIVES (D) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 1/6131-3. This 4 year old last ran 33 days ago putting up a speed figure of 80 (rest of field last run avg is 70). Has an AVG speed rating of 73 (rest of field avg is 68). Has a MIN speed rating of 63 (rest of field avg is 60). Has a MAX speed rating of 80 (rest of field avg is 76). L Morris in the saddle today. Only 1 horse in this race has an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, and that is DAYSOFOURLIVES. This looks good placement from M Botti. 82.22% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
16:15 4:15 Newmarket

Island Brave

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@26.00

Lose

-50

9 runners go to post in a class 3 (4YO plus) race over 1m 6f on Good ground for a £15462 prize, where ISLAND BRAVE (D) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 1525/2-0. This 10 year old last ran 43 days ago putting up a speed figure of 73 (rest of field last run avg is 68). Has an AVG speed rating of 76 (rest of field avg is 71). Has a MIN speed rating of 73 (rest of field avg is 65). Has a MAX speed rating of 79 (rest of field avg is 79). Aidan Keeley in the saddle today. Only 3 horses in this race have an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, one of which is ISLAND BRAVE. This looks good placement from H Main. 88.89% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
15:15 3:15 Ripon

Glorious Angel

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.33

Lose

-50

7 runners go to post in a class 3 (3YO plus) race over 6f on Good ground for a £12885 prize, where GLORIOUS ANGEL (D C) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 243148. This 4 year old last ran 7 days ago putting up a speed figure of 70 (rest of field last run avg is 69). Has an AVG speed rating of 76 (rest of field avg is 68). Has a MIN speed rating of 70 (rest of field avg is 59). Has a MAX speed rating of 85 (rest of field avg is 75). S H James in the saddle today. Only 2 horses in this race have an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, one of which is GLORIOUS ANGEL. This looks good placement from Grant Tuer. 97.14% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
14:35 2:35 Stratford

Rubys Reward

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@15.00

Lose

-50

11 runners go to post in a class 5 (4YO plus) race over 3m 2f 83y on Good ground for a £4040 prize, where RUBYS REWARD (D) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 1272P5-. This 8 year old last ran 209 days ago putting up a speed figure of 66 (rest of field last run avg is 76). Has an AVG speed rating of 76 (rest of field avg is 67). Has a MIN speed rating of 65 (rest of field avg is 54). Has a MAX speed rating of 101 (rest of field avg is 81). Jack Tudor in the saddle today. Only 2 horses in this race have an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, one of which is RUBYS REWARD. This looks good placement from Mrs D A Hamer. 90.91% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
13:45 1:45 Ripon

Son Of Sampers

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@9.00

Lose

-50

12 runners go to post in a class 6 (4YO plus) race over 5f on Good ground for a £3664 prize, where SON OF SAMPERS (D) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 799273. This 4 year old last ran 14 days ago putting up a speed figure of 66 (rest of field last run avg is 64). Has an AVG speed rating of 68 (rest of field avg is 62). Has a MIN speed rating of 66 (rest of field avg is 49). Has a MAX speed rating of 71 (rest of field avg is 72). Sam Feilden in the saddle today. Only 2 horses in this race have an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, one of which is SON OF SAMPERS. This looks good placement from D & N Barron. 91.67% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
18 May 2024
19:15 7:15 Doncaster

Banderas

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@5.50

Lose

-50

11 runners go to post in a class 4 (4YO plus) race over 1m 6f 115y on Good ground for a £5566 prize, where BANDERAS comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 5/3218-4. This 4 year old last ran 21 days ago putting up a speed figure of 83 (rest of field last run avg is 68). Has an AVG speed rating of 74 (rest of field avg is 65). Has a MIN speed rating of 62 (rest of field avg is 57). Has a MAX speed rating of 83 (rest of field avg is 72). Daniel Muscutt in the saddle today. Only 1 horse in this race has an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, and that is BANDERAS. This looks good placement from M L W Bell. (1* Strength Selection & 88.33% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
19:03 7:03 Uttoxeter

Jet Of Magic

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@17.00

Lose

-50

10 runners go to post in a class 2 (4YO plus) race over 2m 7f 70y on Good ground for a £9678 prize, where JET OF MAGIC (CD) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 1U30P5-. This 8 year old last ran 144 days ago putting up a speed figure of 76 (rest of field last run avg is 73). Has an AVG speed rating of 79 (rest of field avg is 71). Has a MIN speed rating of 74 (rest of field avg is 55). Has a MAX speed rating of 86 (rest of field avg is 81). Sam Twiston-Davies in the saddle today. Only 3 horses in this race have an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, one of which is JET OF MAGIC. This looks good placement from N A Twiston-Davies. (1* Strength Selection & 90.91% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
18:15 6:15 Bangor on Dee

Shareef Star

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@26.00

Lose

-50

11 runners go to post in a class 5 (5YO plus) race over 2m 1f 77y on Good to Soft ground for a £5281 prize, where SHAREEF STAR (CD) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 1123/P-F. This 9 year old last ran 11 days ago putting up a speed figure of 64 (rest of field last run avg is 47). Has an AVG speed rating of 74 (rest of field avg is 66). Has a MIN speed rating of 64 (rest of field avg is 61). Has a MAX speed rating of 88 (rest of field avg is 73). James Bowen in the saddle today. Only 1 horse in this race has an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, and that is SHAREEF STAR. This looks good placement from P Bowen. (3* Strength Selection & 60% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
18:02 6:02 Thirsk

Indian Sounds

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@17.00

Lose

-50

20 runners go to post in a class 6 (4YO plus) race over 6f on Good to Firm ground for a £3664 prize, where INDIAN SOUNDS (D) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 006-009. This 8 year old last ran 16 days ago putting up a speed figure of 65 (rest of field last run avg is 56). Has an AVG speed rating of 67 (rest of field avg is 60). Has a MIN speed rating of 61 (rest of field avg is 52). Has a MAX speed rating of 75 (rest of field avg is 68). Cam Hardie in the saddle today. Only 3 horses in this race have an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, one of which is INDIAN SOUNDS. This looks good placement from P T Midgley. (1* Strength Selection & 88.57% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
16:15 4:15 Navan

Mythical Times

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@51.00

Lose

-50

16 runners go to post in a class (4YO plus) race over 1m 5f on Good to Yielding ground for a £6000 prize, where MYTHICAL TIMES comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 7200/40-. This 6 year old last ran 365 (26J) days ago putting up a speed figure of 71 (rest of field last run avg is 57). Has an AVG speed rating of 70 (rest of field avg is 61). Has a MIN speed rating of 65 (rest of field avg is 52). Has a MAX speed rating of 75 (rest of field avg is 68). C D Hayes in the saddle today. Only 3 horses in this race have an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, one of which is MYTHICAL TIMES. This looks good placement from P Cluskey. (1* Strength Selection & 78.82% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
16:10 4:10 Newbury

Significantly

Daily Racing

50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@12.00

Void

0

12 runners go to post in a class 2 (4YO plus) race over 6f on Good ground for a £38655 prize, where SIGNIFICANTLY (D) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 6212-86. This 6 year old last ran 14 days ago putting up a speed figure of 77 (rest of field last run avg is 72). Has an AVG speed rating of 79 (rest of field avg is 73). Has a MIN speed rating of 74 (rest of field avg is 64). Has a MAX speed rating of 83 (rest of field avg is 81). Ryan Sexton in the saddle today. Only 3 horses in this race have an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, one of which is SIGNIFICANTLY. This looks good placement from Miss J A Camacho. (1* Strength Selection & 89.23% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
15:15 3:15 Newmarket

Cabinet Of Clowns

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@21.00

Lose

-50

11 runners go to post in a class 3 (4YO plus) race over 1m on Good ground for a £12885 prize, where CABINET OF CLOWNS (D) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 514224-. This 5 year old last ran 208 days ago putting up a speed figure of 76 (rest of field last run avg is 63). Has an AVG speed rating of 74 (rest of field avg is 68). Has a MIN speed rating of 69 (rest of field avg is 60). Has a MAX speed rating of 80 (rest of field avg is 77). Charles Bishop in the saddle today. Only 3 horses in this race have an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, one of which is CABINET OF CLOWNS. This looks good placement from Eve Johnson Houghton. (1* Strength Selection & 78.33% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
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14:40 2:40 Newmarket

Quinault

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@8.00

Lose

-50

15 runners go to post in a class 2 (4YO plus) race over 7f on Good ground for a £51540 prize, where QUINAULT (GER) (D C) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 111310-. This 4 year old last ran 224 days ago putting up a speed figure of 81 (rest of field last run avg is 69). Has an AVG speed rating of 80 (rest of field avg is 72). Has a MIN speed rating of 74 (rest of field avg is 66). Has a MAX speed rating of 87 (rest of field avg is 79). Luke Catton in the saddle today. Only 2 horses in this race have an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, one of which is QUINAULT (GER). This looks good placement from S C Williams. (1* Strength Selection & 87.5% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
14:05 2:05 Newmarket

Serene Seraph

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@7.00

Lose

-50

7 runners go to post in a class 3 (3YO only) race over 7f on Good ground for a £12885 prize, where SERENE SERAPH (D bf) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 3210-. This 3 year old last ran 197 days ago putting up a speed figure of 73 (rest of field last run avg is 69). Has an AVG speed rating of 74 (rest of field avg is 67). Has a MIN speed rating of 66 (rest of field avg is 58). Has a MAX speed rating of 80 (rest of field avg is 76). Alec Voikhansky in the saddle today. Only 1 horse in this race has an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, and that is SERENE SERAPH. This looks good placement from R Hannon. (2* Strength Selection & 88.57% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
17 May 2024
19:50 7:50 Hamilton

Kristal Klear

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

11 runners go to post in a class 6 (4YO plus) race over 1m 68y on Good ground for a £3664 prize, where KRISTAL KLEAR comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 46670-2. This 4 year old last ran 21 days ago putting up a speed figure of 78 (rest of field last run avg is 67). Has an AVG speed rating of 69 (rest of field avg is 61). Has a MIN speed rating of 60 (rest of field avg is 50). Has a MAX speed rating of 78 (rest of field avg is 71). J Fanning in the saddle today. Only 1 horse in this race has an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, and that is KRISTAL KLEAR. This looks good placement from Mrs Stella Barclay. (5* Strength Selection & 91.67% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
19:15 7:15 Hamilton

Get Shirty

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@4.50

Lose

-50

6 runners go to post in a class 3 (4YO plus) race over 1m 4f 15y on Good ground for a £15462 prize, where GET SHIRTY (CD) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 95075-5. This 8 year old last ran 20 days ago putting up a speed figure of 82 (rest of field last run avg is 70). Has an AVG speed rating of 75 (rest of field avg is 69). Has a MIN speed rating of 71 (rest of field avg is 60). Has a MAX speed rating of 82 (rest of field avg is 78). D Nolan in the saddle today. Only 1 horse in this race has an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, and that is GET SHIRTY. This looks good placement from D O'Meara. (3* Strength Selection & 100% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
17:20 5:20 York

Midnight Affair

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@17.00

Lose

-50

20 runners go to post in a class 3 (3YO only) race over 5f on Good ground for a £12885 prize, where MIDNIGHT AFFAIR (D) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 2190-. This 3 year old last ran 217 days ago putting up a speed figure of 71 (rest of field last run avg is 56). Has an AVG speed rating of 73 (rest of field avg is 63). Has a MIN speed rating of 71 (rest of field avg is 54). Has a MAX speed rating of 78 (rest of field avg is 72). D Tudhope in the saddle today. Only 1 horse in this race has an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, and that is MIDNIGHT AFFAIR. This looks good placement from R A Fahey. (5* Strength Selection & 69.52% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
15:45 3:45 York

Al Qareem

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@11.00

Lose

-50

7 runners go to post in a class 1 (4YO plus) race over 1m 5f 188y on Good ground for a £102078 prize, where AL QAREEM (C) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 00112-2. This 5 year old last ran 27 days ago putting up a speed figure of 89 (rest of field last run avg is 82). Has an AVG speed rating of 84 (rest of field avg is 78). Has a MIN speed rating of 81 (rest of field avg is 72). Has a MAX speed rating of 89 (rest of field avg is 85). C Lee in the saddle today. Only 2 horses in this race have an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, one of which is AL QAREEM. This looks good placement from K R Burke. (1* Strength Selection & 82.86% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
16 May 2024
20:22 8:22 Lingfield

Diamond Dreamer

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@4.00

Lose

-50

11 runners go to post in a class 6 (4YO plus) race over 6f on Good to Firm ground for a £3664 prize, where DIAMOND DREAMER (D) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 913-911. This 4 year old last ran 17 days ago putting up a speed figure of 66 (rest of field last run avg is 57). Has an AVG speed rating of 66 (rest of field avg is 61). Has a MIN speed rating of 58 (rest of field avg is 54). Has a MAX speed rating of 71 (rest of field avg is 67). Harry Davies in the saddle today. Only 1 horse in this race has an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, and that is DIAMOND DREAMER. This looks good placement from P R Chamings. (3* Strength Selection & 81.67% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
19:40 7:40 Fontwell

Call Off The Dogs

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 6.50 on 15/05 at 17:440.25 deduction for Lone Soldier@3.50 withdrawn at 06:490.20 deduction for Blaze A Trail @4.500 withdrawn at 12:17R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 5.50 x (1-0.45) = 4.03

@4.03

Win

151

6 runners go to post in a class 5 (5YO plus) race over 2m 1f 165y on Good ground for a £4014 prize, where CALL OFF THE DOGS (C) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 21/PP44-. This 9 year old last ran 22 days ago putting up a speed figure of 73 (rest of field last run avg is 44). Has an AVG speed rating of 79 (rest of field avg is 67). Has a MIN speed rating of 70 (rest of field avg is 59). Has a MAX speed rating of 101 (rest of field avg is 79). Caoilin Quinn in the saddle today. Only 1 horse in this race has an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, and that is CALL OFF THE DOGS. This looks good placement from G & J Moore. (4* Strength Selection & 63.33% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
18:40 6:40 Fontwell

Executive Pool

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@26.00

Lose

-50

12 runners go to post in a class 5 (4YO plus) race over 2m 1f 162y on Good ground for a £4014 prize, where EXECUTIVE POOL comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 8P7U45-. This 5 year old last ran 27 days ago putting up a speed figure of 89 (rest of field last run avg is 67). Has an AVG speed rating of 74 (rest of field avg is 66). Has a MIN speed rating of 62 (rest of field avg is 53). Has a MAX speed rating of 89 (rest of field avg is 80). Caoilin Quinn in the saddle today. Only 2 horses in this race have an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, one of which is EXECUTIVE POOL. This looks good placement from G & J Moore. (1* Strength Selection & 84.62% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
18:10 6:10 Fontwell

Yesnosorry

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@41.00

Lose

-50

10 runners go to post in a class 5 (5YO plus) race over 2m 3f 104y on Good ground for a £4014 prize, where YESNOSORRY comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 6624/PP-. This 7 year old last ran 179 days ago putting up a speed figure of 79 (rest of field last run avg is 55). Has an AVG speed rating of 79 (rest of field avg is 67). Has a MIN speed rating of 78 (rest of field avg is 64). Has a MAX speed rating of 79 (rest of field avg is 71). James Davies in the saddle today. Only 1 horse in this race has an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, and that is YESNOSORRY. This looks good placement from N J Gifford. (1* Strength Selection & 50.91% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
17:40 5:40 Fontwell

Earth King

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 5.50 used instead of 3.50 takenBOG

@5.50

Win

225

5 runners go to post in a class 4 (4YO plus) race over 3m 1f 166y on Good ground for a £4647 prize, where EARTH KING comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of P535PP-. This 8 year old last ran 25 days ago putting up a speed figure of 70 (rest of field last run avg is 68). Has an AVG speed rating of 72 (rest of field avg is 66). Has a MIN speed rating of 65 (rest of field avg is 56). Has a MAX speed rating of 85 (rest of field avg is 79). H Cobden in the saddle today. Only 2 horses in this race have an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, one of which is EARTH KING. This looks good placement from N P Mulholland. (1* Strength Selection & 96% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
17:02 5:02 Salisbury

Aulis

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@8.00

Lose

-50

6 runners go to post in a class 5 (3YO only) race over 1m 4f 5y on Soft ground for a £4580 prize, where AULIS comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 63-73. This 3 year old last ran 15 days ago putting up a speed figure of 75 (rest of field last run avg is 67). Has an AVG speed rating of 68 (rest of field avg is 61). Has a MIN speed rating of 64 (rest of field avg is 54). Has a MAX speed rating of 75 (rest of field avg is 69). Hector Crouch in the saddle today. Only 1 horse in this race has an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, and that is AULIS. This looks good placement from R M Beckett. (3* Strength Selection & 83.33% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
16:50 4:50 Perth

Sword Of Fate

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@7.00

Lose

-50

10 runners go to post in a class 5 (5YO plus) race over 2m 4f 20y on Good to Soft ground for a £4753 prize, where SWORD OF FATE (CD) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 60345-9. This 11 year old last ran 8 days ago putting up a speed figure of 67 (rest of field last run avg is 46). Has an AVG speed rating of 73 (rest of field avg is 64). Has a MIN speed rating of 55 (rest of field avg is 55). Has a MAX speed rating of 100 (rest of field avg is 74). P W Wadge in the saddle today. Only 1 horse in this race has an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, and that is SWORD OF FATE. This looks good placement from L Kerr. (2* Strength Selection & 58.18% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
16:20 4:20 Perth

Voix Du Reve

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@21.00

Lose

-50

13 runners go to post in a class 4 (4YO plus) race over 2m 4f 35y on Good to Soft ground for a £5281 prize, where VOIX DU REVE (FR) (D) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 649P83-. This 12 year old last ran 27 days ago putting up a speed figure of 82 (rest of field last run avg is 64). Has an AVG speed rating of 77 (rest of field avg is 67). Has a MIN speed rating of 67 (rest of field avg is 56). Has a MAX speed rating of 93 (rest of field avg is 79). C O'Farrell in the saddle today. Only 3 horses in this race have an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, one of which is VOIX DU REVE (FR). This looks good placement from I Jardine. (1* Strength Selection & 82.86% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
14:05 2:05 Limerick

Ramiro

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

12 runners go to post in a class (3YO plus) race over 6f 150y on Soft to Heavy ground for a £6900 prize, where RAMIRO (C) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 224-273. This 8 year old last ran 26 days ago putting up a speed figure of 92 (rest of field last run avg is 51). Has an AVG speed rating of 75 (rest of field avg is 60). Has a MIN speed rating of 67 (rest of field avg is 46). Has a MAX speed rating of 92 (rest of field avg is 72). J M Sheridan in the saddle today. Only 1 horse in this race has an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, and that is RAMIRO. This looks good placement from Miss McLoughlin. (6* Strength Selection & 87.69% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
15 May 2024
18:10 6:10 Bath

Hey Big Spender

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@11.00

Lose

-50

11 runners go to post in a class 5 (3YO plus) race over 1m on Good to Soft ground for a £3942 prize, where HEY BIG SPENDER comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 0. This 3 year old last ran 28 days ago putting up a speed figure of 80 (rest of field last run avg is 48). Has an AVG speed rating of 80 (rest of field avg is 58). Has a MIN speed rating of 80 (rest of field avg is 54). Has a MAX speed rating of 80 (rest of field avg is 61). A J Farragher in the saddle today. Only 1 horse in this race has an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, and that is HEY BIG SPENDER. This looks good placement from W J Haggas. (1* Strength Selection & 30% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
17:00 5:00 Bath

Voodoo Ray

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@3.50

Win

125

17 runners go to post in a class 6 (4YO plus) race over 5f 160y on Good to Soft ground for a £2983 prize, where VOODOO RAY (D) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 1435-11. This 5 year old last ran 6 days ago putting up a speed figure of 72 (rest of field last run avg is 58). Has an AVG speed rating of 65 (rest of field avg is 60). Has a MIN speed rating of 52 (rest of field avg is 51). Has a MAX speed rating of 74 (rest of field avg is 68). T P Queally in the saddle today. Only 1 horse in this race has an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, and that is VOODOO RAY. This looks good placement from G & J Moore. (1* Strength Selection & 92.22% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
14:15 2:15 York

Klondike

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

14 runners go to post in a class 2 (4YO plus) race over 1m 3f 188y on Good to Firm ground for a £33501 prize, where KLONDIKE comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 1247-. This 4 year old last ran 270 days ago putting up a speed figure of 76 (rest of field last run avg is 66). Has an AVG speed rating of 78 (rest of field avg is 71). Has a MIN speed rating of 74 (rest of field avg is 64). Has a MAX speed rating of 85 (rest of field avg is 77). Tom Marquand in the saddle today. Only 2 horses in this race have an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, one of which is KLONDIKE. This looks good placement from W J Haggas. (1* Strength Selection & 84% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
14 May 2024
19:50 7:50 Killarney

Caradoc

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@41.00

Lose

-50

12 runners go to post in a class (4YO plus) race over 2m 182y on Good ground for a £9900 prize, where CARADOC comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 804/985-. This 9 year old last ran 236 days ago putting up a speed figure of 70 (rest of field last run avg is 55). Has an AVG speed rating of 70 (rest of field avg is 63). Has a MIN speed rating of 66 (rest of field avg is 56). Has a MAX speed rating of 75 (rest of field avg is 70). L F Roche in the saddle today. Only 1 horse in this race has an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, and that is CARADOC. This looks good placement from E McNamara. (2* Strength Selection & 72.31% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
19:40 7:40 Chepstow

King Of Scotia

Daily Racing

50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@17.00

Void

0

13 runners go to post in a class 5 (4YO plus) race over 6f 16y on Good to Soft ground for a £3716 prize, where KING OF SCOTIA comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 3469-95. This 4 year old last ran 117 days ago putting up a speed figure of 66 (rest of field last run avg is 53). Has an AVG speed rating of 70 (rest of field avg is 64). Has a MIN speed rating of 62 (rest of field avg is 55). Has a MAX speed rating of 80 (rest of field avg is 71). Saffie Osborne in the saddle today. Only 1 horse in this race has an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, and that is KING OF SCOTIA. This looks good placement from J A Osborne. (2* Strength Selection & 85.71% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
19:00 7:00 Ayr

Farhhfromforgotten

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@15.00

Lose

-50

11 runners go to post in a class 6 (4YO plus) race over 1m 2f on Good to Firm ground for a £3664 prize, where FARHHFROMFORGOTTEN comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 7257-56. This 4 year old last ran 12 days ago putting up a speed figure of 75 (rest of field last run avg is 62). Has an AVG speed rating of 65 (rest of field avg is 59). Has a MIN speed rating of 51 (rest of field avg is 51). Has a MAX speed rating of 81 (rest of field avg is 66). Billy Garritty in the saddle today. Only 1 horse in this race has an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, and that is FARHHFROMFORGOTTEN. This looks good placement from L Bailey. (1* Strength Selection & 91.67% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
16:30 4:30 Southwell

Grivetana

Daily Racing

9 runners go to post in a class 4 (4YO plus) race over 1m 7f 182y on Good ground for a £4066 prize, where GRIVETANA (FR) (D bf) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 6480/6F-. This 6 year old last ran 167 days ago putting up a speed figure of 69 (rest of field last run avg is 72). Has an AVG speed rating of 72 (rest of field avg is 68). Has a MIN speed rating of 69 (rest of field avg is 53). Has a MAX speed rating of 82 (rest of field avg is 81). Paul O'Brien in the saddle today. Only 7 horses in this race have an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, one of which is GRIVETANA (FR). GRIVETANA (FR) is also just 1 of 1 horses which has a MIN rating above the average rating of all horses, and above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course. This looks good placement from Harry Derham. (1* Strength Selection & 93.33% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
15:45 3:45 Beverley

Herakles

Daily Racing

10 runners go to post in a class 5 (4YO plus) race over 5f on Good to Firm ground for a £4527 prize, where HERAKLES (D) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 8-16623. This 4 year old last ran 22 days ago putting up a speed figure of 64 (rest of field last run avg is 59). Has an AVG speed rating of 70 (rest of field avg is 65). Has a MIN speed rating of 64 (rest of field avg is 58). Has a MAX speed rating of 74 (rest of field avg is 73). D Nolan in the saddle today. Only 1 horse in this race has an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, and that is HERAKLES. This looks good placement from P T Midgley. (1* Strength Selection & 81.82% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
15:00 3:00 Southwell

James Jet

Daily Racing

13 runners go to post in a class 4 (5YO plus) race over 3m 60y on Good ground for a £4700 prize, where JAMES JET comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 3/11PP7-. This 7 year old last ran 20 days ago putting up a speed figure of 72 (rest of field last run avg is 59). Has an AVG speed rating of 71 (rest of field avg is 65). Has a MIN speed rating of 69 (rest of field avg is 53). Has a MAX speed rating of 73 (rest of field avg is 77). James Bowen in the saddle today. Only 3 horses in this race have an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, one of which is JAMES JET. JAMES JET is also just 1 of 1 horses which has a MIN rating above the average rating of all horses, and above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course. This looks good placement from W Greatrex. (2* Strength Selection & 81.43% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
1 member found this comment useful
14:30 2:30 Southwell

Happy Du Mesnil

Daily Racing

9 runners go to post in a class 5 (5YO plus) race over 2m 4f 88y on Good ground for a £3248 prize, where HAPPY DU MESNIL (FR) (CD) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 64/P34-1. This 7 year old last ran 7 days ago putting up a speed figure of 84 (rest of field last run avg is 35). Has an AVG speed rating of 71 (rest of field avg is 61). Has a MIN speed rating of 64 (rest of field avg is 52). Has a MAX speed rating of 84 (rest of field avg is 71). Henry Brooke in the saddle today. Only 1 horse in this race has an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, and that is HAPPY DU MESNIL (FR). This looks good placement from O Greenall & J Guerriero. (1* Strength Selection & 42.22% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
13 May 2024
20:30 8:30 Wolverhampton

Fayasel

Daily Racing

12 runners go to post in a class 6 (4YO plus) race over 7f 36y on Standard (AW - Tapeta) ground for a £2983 prize, where FAYASEL (CD) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 54174-3. This 4 year old last ran 18 days ago putting up a speed figure of 60 (rest of field last run avg is 61). Has an AVG speed rating of 67 (rest of field avg is 62). Has a MIN speed rating of 60 (rest of field avg is 54). Has a MAX speed rating of 73 (rest of field avg is 69). Callum Shepherd in the saddle today. Only 1 horse in this race has an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, and that is FAYASEL. This looks good placement from M Murphy & M Keady. (3* Strength Selection & 92.31% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
19:55 7:55 Wolverhampton

Jojo Rabbit

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

10 runners go to post in a class 5 (4YO plus) race over 5f 21y on Standard (AW - Tapeta) ground for a £3716 prize, where JOJO RABBIT (CD) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 7531-10. This 6 year old last ran 20 days ago putting up a speed figure of 61 (rest of field last run avg is 54). Has an AVG speed rating of 71 (rest of field avg is 63). Has a MIN speed rating of 61 (rest of field avg is 51). Has a MAX speed rating of 76 (rest of field avg is 72). L Morris in the saddle today. Only 2 horses in this race have an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, one of which is JOJO RABBIT. This looks good placement from Mrs R Carr. (2* Strength Selection & 81.82% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
19:45 7:45 Killarney

Jeremy Pass

Daily Racing

50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@21.00

Void

0

13 runners go to post in a class (5YO plus) race over 2m 7f on Good ground for a £6300 prize, where JEREMY PASS (D) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 3P2/24-P. This 9 year old last ran 8 days ago putting up a speed figure of 81 (rest of field last run avg is 59). Has an AVG speed rating of 73 (rest of field avg is 63). Has a MIN speed rating of 51 (rest of field avg is 55). Has a MAX speed rating of 90 (rest of field avg is 70). Mr P A King in the saddle today. Only 2 horses in this race have an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, one of which is JEREMY PASS. This looks good placement from S Curling. (1* Strength Selection & 62.86% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
1 member found this comment useful
19:05 7:05 Windsor

Lawn Ranger

Daily Racing

50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@11.00

Void

0

10 runners go to post in a class 5 (4YO plus) race over 1m 2f on Good to Firm ground for a £4397 prize, where LAWN RANGER (CD) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 71385-5. This 9 year old last ran 12 days ago putting up a speed figure of 67 (rest of field last run avg is 60). Has an AVG speed rating of 72 (rest of field avg is 65). Has a MIN speed rating of 60 (rest of field avg is 56). Has a MAX speed rating of 86 (rest of field avg is 74). R Havlin in the saddle today. Only 2 horses in this race have an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, one of which is LAWN RANGER. This looks good placement from M J Attwater. (3* Strength Selection & 81.82% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
18:35 6:35 Windsor

Executive Decision

Daily Racing

10 runners go to post in a class 3 (4YO plus) race over 6f 12y on Good to Firm ground for a £9936 prize, where EXECUTIVE DECISION (D) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 511507-. This 4 year old last ran 203 days ago putting up a speed figure of 65 (rest of field last run avg is 70). Has an AVG speed rating of 72 (rest of field avg is 69). Has a MIN speed rating of 65 (rest of field avg is 60). Has a MAX speed rating of 78 (rest of field avg is 77). Saffie Osborne in the saddle today. Only 2 horses in this race have an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, one of which is EXECUTIVE DECISION. This looks good placement from J A Osborne. (1* Strength Selection & 90.91% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
16:47 4:47 Catterick

Quercus

Daily Racing

12 runners go to post in a class 5 (6YO plus) race over 5f 212y on Good ground for a £4187 prize, where QUERCUS (CD) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 921109-. This 7 year old last ran 196 days ago putting up a speed figure of 63 (rest of field last run avg is 62). Has an AVG speed rating of 68 (rest of field avg is 63). Has a MIN speed rating of 63 (rest of field avg is 54). Has a MAX speed rating of 73 (rest of field avg is 71). J Fanning in the saddle today. Only 1 horse in this race has an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, and that is QUERCUS. This looks good placement from Mrs A Duffield. (1* Strength Selection & 92.31% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
16:35 4:35 Hereford

Byzantine Empire

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@15.00

Lose

-50

5 runners go to post in a class 4 (4YO plus) race over 2m 53y on Good ground for a £4066 prize, where BYZANTINE EMPIRE (D) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 26/4675-. This 7 year old last ran 43 days ago putting up a speed figure of 82 (rest of field last run avg is 78). Has an AVG speed rating of 78 (rest of field avg is 67). Has a MIN speed rating of 66 (rest of field avg is 52). Has a MAX speed rating of 97 (rest of field avg is 82). C Brace in the saddle today. Only 2 horses in this race have an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, one of which is BYZANTINE EMPIRE. This looks good placement from J L Flint. (2* Strength Selection & 88% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
15:35 3:35 Hereford

I Am Gonna Be

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@10.00

Lose

-50

11 runners go to post in a class 4 (5YO plus) race over 3m 1f 44y on Good ground for a £4700 prize, where I AM GONNA BE comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 4P/28P5-. This 7 year old last ran 25 days ago putting up a speed figure of 73 (rest of field last run avg is 44). Has an AVG speed rating of 67 (rest of field avg is 64). Has a MIN speed rating of 58 (rest of field avg is 55). Has a MAX speed rating of 73 (rest of field avg is 72). Lily Pinchin in the saddle today. Only 3 horses in this race have an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, one of which is I AM GONNA BE. This looks good placement from C E Longsdon. (1* Strength Selection & 56.67% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
15:17 3:17 Catterick

Lady Bouquet

Daily Racing

10 runners go to post in a class 5 (3YO only) race over 5f on Good ground for a £4187 prize, where LADY BOUQUET (D) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 31262-2. This 3 year old last ran 30 days ago putting up a speed figure of 67 (rest of field last run avg is 61). Has an AVG speed rating of 66 (rest of field avg is 57). Has a MIN speed rating of 62 (rest of field avg is 48). Has a MAX speed rating of 70 (rest of field avg is 66). Connor Beasley in the saddle today. Only 2 horses in this race have an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, one of which is LADY BOUQUET. This looks good placement from P A Kirby. (3* Strength Selection & 85.45% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
15:05 3:05 Hereford

Hall Lane

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

9 runners go to post in a class 4 (5YO plus) race over 2m 4f 194y on Good ground for a £4700 prize, where HALL LANE comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 6P/2452-. This 6 year old last ran 20 days ago putting up a speed figure of 72 (rest of field last run avg is 61). Has an AVG speed rating of 70 (rest of field avg is 67). Has a MIN speed rating of 58 (rest of field avg is 56). Has a MAX speed rating of 77 (rest of field avg is 77). Thomas Bellamy in the saddle today. Only 3 horses in this race have an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, one of which is HALL LANE. This looks good placement from A King. (1* Strength Selection & 82.22% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)

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