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MonteCarloRacing's Tips History
13 March 2026
19:50 7:50 Southwell
Spaceage Love Song
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@SP
Lose
-50
Spaceage Love Song relevant recent runs have been in 4.2k average class, whereas the average of the rest of the runners is 3.89k. Dropping in class (on average) today. Ranking the 30 relevant recent run class ratings of the entire field shows Spaceage Love Song as running in the 17th, 17th, 2nd, 1st, and 7th most difficult recent races. Ranking the 30 relevant recent form ratings of the entire field shows Spaceage Love Song as having the 22nd, 2nd, 5th, 5th, and 19th best ratings. 0.25pt bet. (KEY - 3 of Top 5 Ratings, Southwell (AW) Flat.) (1m6f (1m6f21y) Midnite, Building the Future of Betting Apprentice Handicap (Div I) (Class 6) (4yo+ 0-55)).
19:40 7:40 Wolverhampton
Simply Blue
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@SP
Lose
-50
Simply Blue relevant recent runs have been in 4.4k avg class, whereas the avg of the rest of the runners is 4.24k (Dropping in class (on average) today). Ranking the 30 relevant recent run class ratings of the entire field shows Simply Blue as running in the 16th, 2nd, 2nd, 2nd, and 21st most difficult recent races. Ranking the 30 relevant recent form ratings of the entire field shows Simply Blue as having the 20th, 16th, 4th, 8th, and 1st best ratings. 0.25pt Bet. (KEY - Best Avg Rating, Wolverhampton (AW) Flat.) (7f (7f36y) Daily Profit Boosts At betmgm.co.uk Handicap (Div II) (Class 6) (4yo+ 0-60)).
17:40 5:40 Wolverhampton
Guernsey Angel
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+550
Lose
-50
Wisetanck is never a short-price favorite and I'll be laying. A few of these met not long ago, and you could have thrown a blanket over them. Guernsey Angel gets the better draw today, and they are all of the same mark. The price discrepancy makes this a play.
17:10 5:10 Southwell
Seven Fires
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+250
Win
125
This is quite a close race when you delve into it, but Seven Fires holds the consistency and versatility angles on the clock. It will be near the pace for the entire run and finish off the strongest. Irish Dancer will lead and drop away at the 4f, and the rest don't have the turn-of-foot to outpace Seven Fires.
16:30 4:30 Southwell
Whiskey Kisses
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+250
Lose
-50
I'll actually be laying Skip To Victory as I don't see how at any point it gets to the front. Von Trotter has the beating of it in a fast pace, but Whiskey Kisses and La Belle Forest have better cruising speed. I think these two will be last off the bridle, but Whiskey Kisses is the more adaptable. Whiskey Kisses can live just off the pace of Von Trotter, and Skip To Victory by has the closing figures to take the lead in the final furlong. If La Belle Forest is given an easy lead at all, then expect her to be tough to pass.
16:00 4:00 Cheltenham
Jango Baie
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+550
Lose
-50
Jango Baie offers the standout value play in the Gold Cup. Nicky Henderson's gelding finished strongly when fourth in the King George over 3m, just half a length behind The Jukebox Man and Gaelic Warrior in a blanket finish. The step up to Cheltenham's 3m2f stamina test and testing hill strongly favors him. He won the Arkle here last year with authority, proving his class at the track. He's priced at 4.50 but shaped like the most likely improver for the longer trip. His closing sectionals at Kempton were exceptional, and this stiffer examination plays directly to his strengths.
1 member found this comment useful
14:00 2:00 Cheltenham
Sinnatra
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+600
Lose
-50
Sinnatra is a standout County Hurdle selection for Dan Skelton, who has won four of the last nine renewals. The gelding is unbeaten in five starts over hurdles since joining Skelton from Paul Nicholls, including impressive wins at Sandown and Warwick. Making his handicap debut off what looks a workable mark, he's the exciting, progressive type that thrives in this race. Harry Skelton takes the ride??"he's won this twice for his brother. The County Hurdle strongly favours Skelton and Mullins (nine of the last 10 winners), and Sinnatra looks the best of the British battalion.
13:20 1:20 Cheltenham
Highland Crystal
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+850
Lose
-50
Highland Crystal represents outstanding value in this wide-open Triumph Hurdle. Gordon Elliott's unbeaten filly (3-3 under rules) defeated subsequent Fred Winter winner Saratoga last time, form that received a massive boost on Tuesday. She's progressive, acts on the ground, and has scope for further improvement. Willie Mullins dominates with nine runners, but the market is split. Highland Crystal's course-and-distance form at Cheltenham is proven, and she's beaten Grade 1 performers. Elliott has prepared her perfectly for this, and at 10.00 she offers exceptional each-way value with strong placed prospects.
Subtotal-225
12 March 2026
17:20 5:20 Cheltenham
Waterford Whispers
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+450
Lose
-50
The Kim Muir is one of the most competitive races of the week, but Waterford Whispers has the class and connections to prevail. Trained by Willie Mullins and ridden by his son Patrick, the family link adds an extra dimension. Monte Carlo sims gave him a 17% probability at the top of the market. Jeriko Du Reponet at 4/1 is an equally strong contender, but the Mullins factor and superior form in staying handicap chases tip the balance. Johnny Who is a sentimental pick after his agonising neck defeat in last year's running.
16:40 4:40 Cheltenham
Supremely West
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@+400
Win
200
The Pertemps Final is a qualifier series race, meaning every runner here has earned their place through a series of earlier races. Supremely West arrives at the top of the market with strong claims, having qualified impressively and shown the sort of stamina that this demanding two-mile, seven-furlong test requires. Monte Carlo sims gave him a 16% probability ??" top of a competitive field. C'Est Different at 8/1 offers an each-way alternative, but Supremely West's qualification form gives him a clear edge.
16:00 4:00 Cheltenham
Fact To File
Daily Racing
50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@-136
Void
0
Fact To File is the standout selection of the entire Festival. Last year he put in arguably the performance of the week to power away with this Grade 1 prize, and his Irish Gold Cup win this season confirmed he's as good as ever. Monte Carlo sims gave him a dominant 52% win probability??"the highest for any horse in any race across the four days. The race looks weaker than 2025, and he could win by further this time. Don't be afraid of the short price??"this is the most bankable selection of the meeting and should be the cornerstone of any serious Festival portfolio.
15:20 3:20 Cheltenham
Kabral Du Mathan
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+450
Lose
-50
The Stayers' Hurdle is one of Thursday's feature races, and this year's renewal is fascinating. Teahupoo has been the perennial favourite but has a habit of disappointing, and the ground drying out further militates against him. Kabral Du Mathan is a progressive stayer who has been improving all season under the astute Skelton operation. Monte Carlo sims gave him a 20% win probability versus Teahupoo's 22% ??" but at 7/2 versus Teahupoo's shorter price, Kabral offers clearly superior value. Honesty Policy at 4/1 is the other major contender. This is a race where the old guard could be toppled.
14:40 2:40 Cheltenham
Wodhooh
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 1.83 used instead of 1.73 takenBOG
@-120
Win
41
With Lossiemouth stepping up to the Champion Hurdle, Wodhooh inherits favouritism for the Mares' Hurdle and looks fully deserving of it. The Gordon Elliott-trained mare has been dominant this season and arrives here as a 4/5 shot. Monte Carlo sims gave her a 45% win probability, making her one of the most likely individual winners of the entire Festival. The ground should suit, and the step to Cheltenham holds no fears for a mare of her class. At 4/5 the value isn't enormous, but she's a cornerstone selection.
14:00 2:00 Cheltenham
Jordans Cross
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+800
Lose
-50
Jordans Cross represents an excellent each-way play in a race that has thrown up plenty of surprises in recent renewals. His Doncaster form behind the re-opposing Zurich reads well for this step up in grade, and the de Bromhead??"Blackmore combination is one of the most potent at the Festival. Monte Carlo sims gave him a 12% probability at 8/1 ??" solid value. Meetmebythesea and Regents Stroll are the market leaders at 5/1, but this looks a wide-open race where the form is intertwined. Slade Steel at 6/1 is another contender.
13:20 1:20 Cheltenham
Bambino Fever
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+110
Lose
-50
Bambino Fever is the shortest-priced favorite on Thursday and for good reason. The 2025 Champion Bumper winner has taken well to hurdling, and her only defeat ??" by the re-opposing Old School Outlaw ??" came on her hurdling debut when the yard was out of form. Since then, she's been imperious. Monte Carlo sims gave her a massive 48% win probability. At evens she's not great value, but she's the most likely winner. Old School Outlaw at 9/2 is the obvious each-way alternative, but Bambino Fever's class is a level above. Take the short price and build your accumulators around her.
Subtotal41
11 March 2026
17:20 5:20 Cheltenham
Its Only A Game
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+2000
Lose
-50
It's Only A Game leads the model by a clear margin. He has three bumper runs to assess ??" all producing consistent RPRs of 110??"126 ??" culminating in a fourth-place finish at the Leopardstown Grade 2 in February, behind Broadway Ted and With Nolimit, both of whom also line up here. His TS of 104 at that Grade 2 is the best figure recorded over hurdles-distance bumper form in this field. Martin Brassil sends him over from Ireland for Mr J. L. Gleeson (amateur). Having been beaten only 3½ lengths in top-class company last time, the model rates him the standout despite the open nature of bumpers, where noise is high.
16:40 4:40 Cheltenham
Be Aware
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+600
Lose
-50
Be Aware tops the model with a commanding margin. His last three runs have all produced RPRs of 151??"152 ??" the most consistent high-level figures in this big field ??" with TS readings of 138??"145 confirming he's producing his best racing right now. He was second to No Questions Asked at Windsor in January and second to Lulamba at Sandown, both in Grade 2 company, showing he consistently runs to a high level without winning. OR 147 looks workable given his ceiling, and Harry Skelton retaining the ride is a strong positive. This combination knows each other well and Cheltenham's two-mile chase should suit his profile perfectly.
16:00 4:00 Cheltenham
Majborough
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@-109
Lose
-50
The model is unambiguous ??" Majborough stands completely apart from this field. His TS of 166 and RPR of 179 last time out at Leopardstown are the highest figures recorded by any horse in this race by a considerable margin. He has won five of his last six starts, including that dominant Grade 1 victory at Leopardstown in February, and his RPR ceiling of 183 is exceptional. Mark Walsh takes the ride for Willie Mullins, and this horse has the profile of a genuine Champion Chase banker. The only caveat is that Il Etait Temps ??" the reigning champion ??" fell at Ascot last time, so we're missing his most recent TS data, but even accounting for that his career figures don't match Majborough's current peak.
15:20 3:20 Cheltenham
Final Orders
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+800
Win
400
Final Orders dominates this model emphatically. His TS/RPR figures across his last three cross-country starts at Cheltenham are the best in the field ??" he won the December cross-country here (RPR 149), followed by a solid fifth behind Favori De Champdou in January. Crucially, all three recent runs are over this exact track and trip, giving the model the most relevant data possible. OR 147 leaves him well treated compared to his rating ceiling, and Conor Stone-Walsh (claiming 3 lb) is a familiar partner. Trained by Gavin Cromwell ??" who also saddles Stumptown and Vanillier ??" this is the yard's yard at Cheltenham's cross-country course, and Final Orders holds the best recent form on the figures.
14:40 2:40 Cheltenham
Farren Glory
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+2000
Lose
-50
This is a very tight race at the top of the model, with Farren Glory edging Guard Duty by the narrowest of margins. Farren Glory gets the nod on the strength of his recent form profile ??" RPRs of 144??"148 in his last two starts at Grade 3 level, with consistent TS figures of 127??"129. He ran third in both Naas Grade 3 hurdles this season, each time behind Storm Heart, who is also in this field, confirming he belongs right at the top of this handicap. Jack Kennedy ??" a brilliant Festival jockey ??" is a key booking. Trained by Gordon Elliott, he has the profile of a horse crying out for a big-field handicap at Cheltenham.
14:00 2:00 Cheltenham
Romeo Coolio
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+400
Lose
-50
Romeo Coolio dominates the model ??" posting the highest base score in the field by a clear margin. His TS/RPR profile is simply exceptional: back-to-back Grade 1 wins at Leopardstown in December and February, with RPRs of 157??"161 and a TS of 143??"148. Those are the best figures in the race by some distance. He has won four on the spin over fences, each time looking better than the last. Jack Kennedy ??" Ireland's premier jump jockey ??" has ridden him throughout and retains the ride. Trained by Gordon Elliott in career-best form, Romeo Coolio arrives at Cheltenham as the outstanding novice chaser of the season on the ratings.
13:20 1:20 Cheltenham
Sortudo
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+1400
Lose
-50
This is a dead-heat at the top of the model between Sortudo and No Drama This End ??" a razor-thin margin separates them. The tiebreaker goes to Sortudo on recent trajectory. He won the Naas Grade 1 in November, followed by a close second to I'll Sort That at the same track in January. That form reads extremely well here. His RPRs of 133??"139 across his last three are rock-solid, and a TS of 128 last time shows he's producing his best racing. Mullins-trained with Danny Mullins up, he's a natural Festival horse, and the model sees him as a narrow but genuine favourite in an open, high-quality race.
Subtotal100
10 March 2026
19:15 7:15 Southwell
Sir William
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+600
Lose
-50
Sir William's relevant recent runs have been in 5.6k average class, whereas the average of the rest of the runners is 6.27k (going up in class on average today). Ranking the 27 relevant recent run class ratings of the entire field shows Sir William as running in the 5th, 5th, 4th, 10th, and 16th most difficult recent races. Ranking the 27 relevant recent form ratings of the entire field shows Sir William as having the 5th, 2nd, 7th, 2nd, and 20th best ratings. 0.25pt bet. (KEY - 3 of Top 5 Ratings, Best Avg Rating, Southwell (AW) Flat.) (1m3f (1m3f23y) Midnite: Built For 2026 Not 2006 Handicap (GBBPlus Race) (Class 4) (4yo+ 0-80)).
18:15 6:15 Southwell
Swinging London
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+800
Lose
-50
Swinging London relevant recent runs have been in 4k average class, whereas the average of the rest of the runners is 4.69k (going up in class on average today). Ranking the 28 relevant recent-run class ratings of the entire field shows Swinging London as running in the 10th, 4th, and 16th most difficult recent races. Ranking the 28 relevant recent form ratings of the entire field shows Swinging London as having the 4th, 16th, and 1st best ratings. 0.25pt bet. (KEY - Best Avg Rating, Southwell (AW) Flat.) (1m6f (1m6f21y) Midnite, Building the Future Of Betting Handicap (Class 5) (4yo+ 0-70)).
17:20 5:20 Cheltenham
King Of Answers
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+1200
Lose
-50
King of Answers leads the model on the most consistent recent TS/RPR profile in the field. His last three starts produced TS figures of 119??"129 and RPRs of 133??"143, peaking with a convincing win at Kelso in February. He has placed in four of his last five runs, and Derek Fox ??" who rides him in all his best form ??" retains the ride. Trained by Lucinda Russell and Michael Scudamore, he handles testing conditions well. This marathon 3m6f trip at Cheltenham looks tailor-made for a thorough stayer. Consistent, progressive, and proven ??" the model identifies him as the standout selection in this competitive novice handicap.
17:08 5:08 Southwell
King Of York
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+275
Lose
-50
King Of York relevant recent runs have been in 4.8k average class, whereas the average of the rest of the runners is 5.23k. The field is going up in class on average today. Ranking the 59 relevant recent run class ratings of the entire field shows King Of York as running in the 21st, 5th, 14th, 21st, and 56th most difficult recent races. Ranking the 59 relevant recent form ratings of the entire field shows King Of York as having the 3rd, 5th, 17th, 10th, and 4th best ratings. 0.25pt bet. (KEY - 3 of Top 5 Ratings, Best Avg Rating, Southwell (AW) Flat.) (1m (1m13y) Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap (Class 5) (4yo+ 0-70)).
17:00 5:00 Wolverhampton
Kings Cruiser
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+550
Lose
-50
King's Cruiser's relevant recent runs have been in a 4.67k average class, whereas the average of the rest of the runners is 4.22k (dropping in class on average today). Ranking the eight relevant recent run class ratings of the entire field shows King's Cruiser as running in the 1st, 3rd, and 3rd most difficult recent races. Ranking the eight relevant recent form ratings of the entire field shows King's Cruiser as having the 2nd, 4th, and 1st best ratings. 0.25pt bet. (KEY - 3 of Top 5 Ratings, Best Max Rating, Best Avg Rating, Wolverhampton (AW) Flat.) (2m½f (2m120y) Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap (Class 5) (4yo+ 0-70)).
16:40 4:40 Cheltenham
No Questions Asked
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+1400
Lose
-50
No Questions Asked tops the model convincingly with the most consistent and high-quality TS/RPR profile in the entire 23-runner field. His three most recent starts produced TS figures of 116??"144 and RPRs of 138??"151 ??" outstanding for this grade. He won at Warwick over course-and-distance conditions in January and posted his career best when going close at Ascot and Newbury in Grade 2 company. Trained by Ben Pauling and ridden by Ben Jones ??" a partnership in fine form ??" he goes to Cheltenham progressive, unexposed at this trip, and off a workable OR of 149. The model identifies him as the standout in a wide-open field.
16:00 4:00 Cheltenham
Lossiemouth
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+200
Win
100
Lossiemouth sits at the absolute pinnacle of the ratings model ??" posting three consecutive RPRs of 160 and TS figures of 136??"151 in her last three starts. Those numbers are simply unmatched in this field. She won at Cheltenham and Aintree last season and has been the dominant mare in hurdling all campaign. Her rivalry with Brighterdaysahead has been tight ??" they split the pair over two Leopardstown clashes ??" but Lossiemouth's consistency across every single run sets her apart. Paul Townend, the world's best jump jockey, takes the ride. On the raw numbers, she is the most formidable Champion Hurdle favourite the model has seen this season.
15:20 3:20 Cheltenham
Jagwar
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+400
Lose
-50
Jagwar is the clear model leader with the strongest recent TS/RPR combination in the entire 22-runner field. Back-to-back RPRs of 161 at Cheltenham and TS figures of 115??"153 in his last two starts are exceptional for this grade. Crucially, he won the Ultima's sister race ??" the Pertemps Final ??" at last year's Festival, proving he excels on this track and in this atmosphere. He went agonisingly close at Cheltenham in January, beaten a head. Trained by Greenall & Guerriero and now ridden by the in-form Mark Walsh, he arrives in career-best form and the ratings emphatically point to him as the one to beat.
2 members found this comment useful
14:40 2:40 Cheltenham
Winston Junior
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+650
Lose
-50
Winston Junior tops the ratings model in what is the most open race of the day ??" a 24-runner cavalry charge. His TS of 102 and RPR of 123 at Ascot last time are the strongest recent figures in the field. He followed that with a Grade 2 second at Cheltenham in December, proving he handles the track. Unbeaten in three hurdle starts, he's progressive, well-handicapped off OR 131, and Jack Kennedy ??" a top-class Festival jockey ??" takes over. Trained by the improving Faye Bramley, he represents the best combination of proven form, course experience, and upside in an extremely competitive race.
14:00 2:00 Cheltenham
Lulamba
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+175
Lose
-50
Lulamba is the model's dominant selection and, frankly, the class act in this Arkle field. Her TS and RPR figures are simply on another level. RPRs of 147??"167 and TS readings of 151??"153 in her last two starts are the highest in the race by a clear margin. She has won four on the spin, including Grade 1 and Grade 2 victories, and Nico de Boinville has ridden her to every chase success. Trained by Nicky Henderson at the very top of his powers, she goes to Cheltenham unbeaten over fences and with an OR of 163. The model gives her a commanding advantage on raw ratings.
1 member found this comment useful
13:20 1:20 Cheltenham
Old Park Star
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@+275
Win
137
This is the model's most confident Grade 1 selection of the Festival card. Old Park Star has already won on this course and at this distance, which in itself is worth a significant premium at Cheltenham, where track knowledge is everything. Nicky Henderson has won this race more times than any other trainer alive, and Nico de Boinville is the ideal pilot around the Old Course. His OR of 151 is the highest in the field, and his RPR of 159 is a figure that has rarely been achieved by a novice hurdler at this stage of the season. He demolished his rivals by eighteen lengths in the Grade 2 at Haydock in January and followed up with a twelve-length romp at Cheltenham in December. The case against him is that Mighty Park looked stunning at Fairyhouse, but two runs into unknown territory against a horse who has already mastered this course looks a significant mismatch.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-213
09 March 2026
20:30 8:30 Wolverhampton
Sweet Love
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+300
Lose
-50
Sweet Love leads the model as the most consistent performer in a weak Class 6 3yo field. She has RPRs of 48??"59 across six runs, with TS figures building steadily and peaking at 45 last time out at Wolverhampton. Crucially, she has run over today's track multiple times and handles the surface. Running off OR 59 with Callum Shepherd aboard, she steps up to 1m 4f, which should suit a filly that keeps plugging on. In a race where most rivals have scattered or poor form figures, her relative reliability on the ratings makes her the clear model pick, albeit in an open, low-quality contest.
20:00 8:00 Wolverhampton
Crimson Rambler
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@+110
Win
55
Crimson Rambler is the outstanding standout in this Class 6 field. He won last time out at Southwell and has placed in all four of his most recent starts ??" a remarkable run of consistency for this level. His RPRs of 54??"59 dwarf the rest of the field, and his TS figures are trending upward. Carrying a 6 lb penalty reflects his recent win, but he's still well within the handicap range. Liam Wright's 5 lb claim helps offset the extra weight. In a race where most rivals have little or no meaningful form figures, his proven ability to compete and win at this level makes him a near banker on the ratings.
19:30 7:30 Wolverhampton
Almaty Star
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+400
Lose
-50
Almaty Star leads the model with the most consistent recent TS/RPR figures in the field ??" recording RPRs of 82??"84 across his last five starts, with TS figures peaking at 79 last time out. He's placed in four of his last five outings, including a narrow second at Lingfield and a third at Southwell, both over this 5f trip. He clearly handles all-weather surfaces well, and Jack Mitchell has ridden him to most of those places. Running off OR 79 with the visor aiding focus, he looks to be knocking on the door and overdue a win. Strong value candidate on the ratings.
19:00 7:00 Wolverhampton
Monsieur Kodi
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+500
Lose
-50
Monsieur Kodi leads the ratings model with exceptional consistency across six recent starts ??" RPRs of 75??"81 and TS figures regularly in the 44??"76 range. He won last time out at Lingfield over this exact trip, beating Signcastle City by half a length, and has placed in five of his last six races. Running off OR 77, he's well handicapped and Warren Fentiman's 3 lb claim further aids his cause. The hood helps him switch off. A horse who places relentlessly and just tipped over the line last time, he commands real respect on the figures in what looks a competitive but winnable race.
18:00 6:00 Wolverhampton
Too Hot To Tango
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+700
Lose
-50
Too Hot To Tango is head and shoulders above this field on TS/RPR data. She recorded back-to-back TS figures of 74??"77 ??" extraordinary for this class ??" with RPRs consistently between 65??"82. She was narrowly beaten by Oscar Nominee last time at Wolverhampton, proving she handles this track. That rival is OR 99 here, suggesting she was competitive against superior opposition. Rob Hornby takes over in the saddle. In a novice field full of lightly raced fillies with minimal form, her proven consistency makes her a standout selection with very high confidence.
17:30 5:30 Wolverhampton
Pitney
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+900
Lose
-50
Pitney consistently posts the strongest combined TS/RPR figures in the field. His recent form shows back-to-back RPRs of 64??"71, with a solid TS of 56 last time at Wolverhampton in December. Crucially, he's been placed four times in his last six starts, demonstrating reliability rather than fluke. Running off OR 60, he's competitive at the top of the weights and handles all-weather surfaces well. The visor aids concentration, and apprentice jockey James Glennon (7 lb claim) provides a handy weight advantage. He's the standout on ratings consistency.
Subtotal-195
08 March 2026
17:35 5:35 Carlisle
A Moments Madness
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+110
Lose
-50
Seven tipsters and the model agree: this is the standout selection of the race. A Moments Madness won a handicap chase at Ffos Las last April by nearly four lengths and was beaten less than two lengths when second at Fontwell the time before ??" two performances that dwarf anything the market favourite Hollywood Harmon has managed. His RPR of 120 and TS of 105 are the best combination in the field. He's trained by Fergal O'Brien, who excels in these hunter/amateur rider contests, and amateur Albi Tufnell claims 7 lb. Hollywood Harmon's supporters are betting on potential rather than form ??" A Moments Madness has the figures to back the confidence.
17:12 5:12 Naas
Poetisa
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@-109
Lose
-50
Patrick Mullins takes the ride for his father. This is a mare who has been quietly building a solid profile. She won a Cheltenham bumper last April at 20/1, then made the transition to hurdles and finished second in a Listed mares' novice hurdle at Navan in February ??" beaten eight lengths by a well-regarded rival but doing nothing wrong. Her RPR of 119 is ten lengths clear of anything she faces here, and she has a D flag suggesting she already handles the conditions. Three professional tipsters have sided with her, and the Mullins operation simply doesn't run horses in bumpers without purpose. This looks like a prep run for a bigger target, and she should win going away.
17:00 5:00 Carlisle
Vanilla Dancer
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+500
Lose
-50
Won at Catterick last month at 11/10 favourite and was beaten only a neck at Doncaster before that. This mare is bang in form, and Danny McMenamin sticks with her, having partnered her in both recent efforts. Her TS of 95 is joint-highest in the field alongside Holly Bird. Her RPR of 103 matches Lady Babs, and she has the D flag suggesting she handles this going. With two wins and a second from her last three starts, she's the most consistent performer in the race. In a wide-open handicap like this, consistency counts for everything. The market has her right.
16:48 4:48 Warwick
El Granjero
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+1100
Lose
-50
El Granjero is the pick, and the form lines tell a compelling story. His second at Exeter in January ??" beaten just two lengths at a Grade 3 track ??" produced his best figures yet, and he's been knocking on the door all season without quite getting his head in front. He ran creditably at Aintree in November when fourth. The step up to this marathon trip at Warwick looks tailor-made for a horse who stays strongly and battles. Clive Boultbee-Brooks has him primed, and Richard Patrick knows him inside out. At 7/1 in a wide-open race, this is a horse whose moment has arrived.
16:37 4:37 Naas
Ballygunner Castle
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+137
Lose
-50
Willie Mullins doesn't send a horse to a beginners' chase with a TS of 138 and RPR of 144 without full confidence it will win. Ballygunner Castle ran a series of high-class novice hurdle races last season ??" second in a Grade 3 at Clonmel by half a length, third in a Grade 2 at Fairyhouse ??" before falling on his chasing debut at Punchestown on New Year's Eve when already travelling strongly. That fall tells you nothing, except he jumped adequately enough to be challenging at the last. Danny Mullins takes over from Townend, five tipsters have flagged him, and his figures dwarf this field. Back him and move on.
16:25 4:25 Carlisle
Mt Fugi Park
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+600
Lose
-50
The model's value pick of the Carlisle card. Mt Fuji Park won this exact course and distance back in April last year, jumping fluently to beat his rivals by four lengths at 2/1. Since then his form has been patchy, but the C+D profile is a powerful flag in a three-mile-plus chase, and Richie McLernon ??" who rode him to that course win ??" is back on board. His TS of 114 is the second-highest in the field. His RPR of 126 matches the top-rated, and at 6/1 in a wide-open seven-runner handicap the value is clear. The yard of Jonjo O'Neill has been finding winners, and this trip on this ground is a known quantity.
16:13 4:13 Warwick
Porter In The Park
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+450
Lose
-50
He's running off a mark that massively underestimates his peak ability, and Racing Post's TS of 133 is the highest in this entire field by some margin. Six tipsters have landed on him ??" nobody agrees on much else in this race. Cameron Johnstone-Baker's 10 lb claim shaves more weight off. Emma Lavelle has him D-flagged at Warwick. He's been running consistent thirds without winning, but this flat-bottomed staying track over 3m2f is tailor-made for him to finally convert.
16:02 4:02 Naas
Goraibhmaithagat
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+250
Lose
-50
Two weeks ago on this very track, Goraibhmaithagat won a Listed novice chase by half a length under a confident Mark Walsh ride. The same jockey returns. The same trainer, C. A. Murphy, has left him fresh. Crucially, the going ??" soft to heavy ??" is identical to what he thrived on in February. His TS figure of 139 is the highest recorded by any runner in this field. At just six years old, he remains the most progressive horse in the race. Three professional tipsters have sided with him. The market has him favourite, and the model agrees overwhelmingly. In an open-looking Leinster National, the course specialist must be respected.
15:50 3:50 Carlisle
Celestial Fashion
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+300
Lose
-50
Three wins from her last four chase starts tell you everything you need to know about this mare's wellbeing and attitude. The most recent of those victories came on this exact course and distance three weeks ago, routing the field by eleven lengths at 9/4 favourite. Before that, she won at Wetherby by eighteen lengths. Ian Duncan has found the perfect race for a horse who simply loves jumping and loves Carlisle. Nine professional tipsters have backed her, Callum Bewley has won on her multiple times this season, and the pair have a clear understanding. Short-priced favourites in this form rarely get beaten in four-runner fields.
15:40 3:40 Warwick
Bobbis Beauty
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+332
Lose
-50
Bobbi's Beauty is the model's clear selection ??" and here's why it matters. Her card RPR of 119 and TS of 112 are both the highest in the field, and her official rating of just 99 creates a twenty-point gap between her peak ability and her current mark. She is significantly underrated on figures. She's been running into form: second at Lingfield in February by just half a length, and second at Leicester before that. The D flag shows Warwick course experience. Freddie Keighley's 5 lb claim makes the weight even more attractive. Four tips agree. This is a horse the handicapper hasn't caught up with yet.
15:30 3:30 Naas
Better Times Ahead
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+300
Lose
-50
This is a horse being handed a golden opportunity. Better Times Ahead finished a whisker behind Now Is The Hour in a Grade 3 chase at Gowran in January ??" a performance that would leave him streets ahead of anything he meets here. His RPR of 141 towers over the entire field, and Mark Walsh retains the ride, which speaks volumes. Trainer Robert Tyner is best known for patient placement of horses, and dropping from Grade 3 chasing to a 0-130 handicap hurdle on a course where this gelding has already won looks a carefully laid plan. Course winner, in-form yard, elite jockey ??" this is one of the better bets of the day.
15:20 3:20 Carlisle
Guet Apens
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 2.25 used instead of 2.20 takenBOG
@+125
Win
62
Eight tipsters on a horse making only his second hurdle start tells its own story. Guet Apens ran a thoroughly encouraging race on his British hurdle debut at Musselburgh in February ??" third at 22/1, beaten less than six lengths, recording a TS of 103, which is the best figure in this field. His French flat background includes winning at Chantilly and placing in pattern company, suggesting a horse with a significant engine who simply needed time to adjust to jumping. His RPR of 120 beats everything he faces here, and the fact he's available at 7/2 in a novice hurdle with this profile is a gift. Craig Nichol is a reliable pilot who knows the Carlisle track well.
15:10 3:10 Warwick
Thankyourluckystar
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+1600
Lose
-50
His card figures are the best in the race ??" RPR 124 joint-top and TS 110 is the highest TS in the field, reflecting genuine speed through his races. Jonathan Burke is a high-quality jockey for the Alastair Ralph yard. The D flag means he's been to Warwick. His second at Southwell in February, beaten 6½ lengths, showed he's running well without winning. The PU at Warwick in November is a concern, but that was on soft ground and he's fresher now. If you want to oppose Got A Dream, this is the horse to be on.
15:00 3:00 Naas
King Bob
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+350
Lose
-50
With the race favourite Westandtogether a non-runner, the door swings open for King Bob, who enters with conditions firmly in his favour. A run of placed efforts on his most recent starts showed a horse coming to hand ??" third at Punchestown at Christmas at 3/1 joint-favourite, beaten twelve lengths but keeping on honestly. The first-time hood could sharpen his focus considerably, and at an official mark of just 76 he is significantly the lowest-weighted horse in the field yet carries a card RPR of 100. That gap between mark and ability is the sort of thing that wins handicaps. Trainer P. J. Rothwell is quietly respected.
14:50 2:50 Carlisle
Tommys Oscar
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+200
Win
100
This is the value play of the race. Tommy's Oscar finished second at Musselburgh just five weeks ago, beaten less than three lengths in a Class 2 handicap chase, recording a TS of 130 ??" the highest of any runner in today's field. He's a course winner at Carlisle, has been in consistent form all season, and is now dropped significantly in the handicap from an OR of 148 when at his peak down to just 120, creating a significant gap between his true ability and what the assessor asks him to carry. Danny McMenamin has ridden him all season and knows every inch of the horse.
14:40 2:40 Warwick
Ionian
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+225
Lose
-50
Ionian is the model's selection, and the case is genuinely compelling. His card RPR of 123 is the highest in the race. His TS of 114 is also best in the field. Five tips make him the most-backed horse by any service. The key run is his second at Sandown in January ??" beaten just 1¾ lengths at a graded track, showing he can perform at a high level. Nico de Boinville is retained by Nicky Henderson, the most decorated novice-hurdle trainer in Britain. The BF marker means the yard believes this race suits him optimally. Yes, he flopped at Fakenham as favourite, but this return to a better track looks ideal.
14:30 2:30 Naas
Blake
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+120
Lose
-50
When a horse goes second in a Grade 2 by a head and then fifth in a Grade 1 against the season's outstanding novice hurdlers, you're looking at form that towers over a Grade 3 field. Blake was beaten a whisker by Koktail Brut at Fairyhouse in November, a horse who went on to much better things. His Leopardstown run in February, when finishing fifth, beaten eight and a half lengths in a race dominated by the very best in Ireland, reads better than anything his rivals here have managed. Noel Meade has deliberately swerved the Supreme to take this.
14:20 2:20 Carlisle
Mollys Lad
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@SP
Lose
-50
Eight professional tipsters have landed on Molly's Lad, and it's easy to see why. His RPR of 113 is the best in this small field, and his TS of 99, recorded at Cheltenham on New Year's Day, confirms he travels strongly in a race. Yes, he was only fifth in a Listed hurdle that day, but the winner, Solly's Gold, is a classier animal, and the form reads well in this context. He was placed at Aintree in November and followed up at Cheltenham ??" a horse that consistently shows up at better tracks. Fern O'Brien's 5 lb claim brings his weight to a workable level, and Fergal O'Brien is in tremendous form. Lucy The Wire has the course win, but Molly's Lad simply has the better figures.
14:10 2:10 Warwick
Talakan
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+250
Lose
-50
This one is ominous on the numbers. RPR 128 and TS 110 are both field-best by a clear margin. Eight tips is a remarkable consensus ??" nearly triple the next best ??" and the market clearly agrees. He was beaten by a neck at Ludlow in February, showing he's knocking on the door. French imports with these figures at this price don't come along often.
14:00 2:00 Naas
Doctor Elvis
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+450
Lose
-50
There are days in racing when a horse simply looks too well treated by the market, and Sunday at Naas feels like one of them. Doctor Elvis, trained by Gordon Elliott and now ridden by the brilliant Jack Kennedy, shaped with enormous promise when finishing a close fourth at Punchestown last month ??" giving every impression of a horse crying out for this longer trip. The step up to two miles and three furlongs looks tailor-made. The testing soft ground poses no problems, and with Kennedy in the saddle, this well-bred seven-year-old has every reason to go one better. The market says Colcannon, but the ratings say otherwise.
13:40 1:40 Warwick
So You Know
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+450
Lose
-3
Top RPR 115 in the field. Four tips (joint-most). D-flag. Improving novice. 10 lb claim. He won at Huntingdon on his second hurdle start and has been moving up through the grades steadily. Kim Bailey places his horses well, and Aswat's claim makes the weight very attractive.
Subtotal-741
Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.
