MonteCarloRacing

I like to run races through Monte Carlo simulations. I simulate every race each day 100,000 times. Each simulation uses 72 different variables relative to each horses form, history and market data. This is basically an automated way of calculating each horses number of simulated wins for this race. The results of the simulations provide me with my bets. I then couple that selection with a written description based on ratings. I like to keep the description generic and in a set way of writing but the tips are all based on the result of the race being simulated 100,000 times. I will be providing a selection for all All Weather Handicap races as that is my speciality, and strong bets when they crop up in non All Weather races. Bet Pts given are from 0.25pts up to the max, 4pts. 0.25, 0.3, 0.4, 0.5, 0.75, 1, 2, 3, 4 is the scale being used for Bet Pts.

Estimated Prizes
this month

£0

Estimated Prize money
this month

MonteCarloRacing's Tips

12th December 2024

18:30 6:30 Chelmsford City

Flaine

Daily Racing

50 WIN

2.88

Process Result

Back it

Flaine relevant recent runs have been in 3.6k avg class, whereas the avg of the rest of the runners is 4.46k (Going up in class (on average) today). Ranking the 37 relevant recent run class ratings of the entire field shows Flaine as running in the 22nd, 8th, 22nd, 8th, and 8th most difficult recent races. Ranking the 37 relevant recent form ratings of the entire field shows Flaine as having the 1st, 8th, 6th, 29th, and 13th best ratings. 0.25pt Bet.

19:00 7:00 Chelmsford City

Christian David

Daily Racing

50 WIN

12.00

Process Result

Back it

Christian David relevant recent runs have been in 12.6k avg class, whereas the avg of the rest of the runners is 27.55k (Going up in class (on average) today). Ranking the 45 relevant recent run class ratings of the entire field shows Christian David as running in the 43rd, 37th, 25th, 23rd, and 27th most difficult recent races. Ranking the 45 relevant recent form ratings of the entire field shows Christian David as having the 23rd, 16th, 19th, 3rd, and 23rd best ratings. 0.25pt Bet.

19:30 7:30 Chelmsford City

Dame Sarra

Daily Racing

50 WIN

21.00

Process Result

Back it

Dame Sarra relevant recent runs have been in 3.67k avg class, whereas the avg of the rest of the runners is 4.01k (Going up in class (on average) today). Ranking the 30 relevant recent run class ratings of the entire field shows Dame Sarra as running in the 18th, 18th, and 3rd most difficult recent races. Ranking the 30 relevant recent form ratings of the entire field shows Dame Sarra as having the 9th, 22nd, and 7th best ratings. 0.25pt Bet.

20:00 8:00 Chelmsford City

Aberama Gold

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

3.25

Process Result

Back it

Aberama Gold relevant recent runs have been in 18k avg class, whereas the avg of the rest of the runners is 12.2k (Dropping in class (on average) today). Ranking the 32 relevant recent run class ratings of the entire field shows Aberama Gold as running in the 20th, 6th, 9th, 10th, and 5th most difficult recent races. Ranking the 32 relevant recent form ratings of the entire field shows Aberama Gold as having the 7th, 13th, 1st, 4th, and 22nd best ratings. 1pt Bet.

20:30 8:30 Chelmsford City

Dashing Roger

Daily Racing

50 WIN

9.50

Process Result

Back it

Dashing Roger relevant recent runs have been in 18.2k avg class, whereas the avg of the rest of the runners is 7.97k (Dropping in class (on average) today). Ranking the 41 relevant recent run class ratings of the entire field shows Dashing Roger as running in the 10th, 22nd, 9th, 1st, and 3rd most difficult recent races. Ranking the 41 relevant recent form ratings of the entire field shows Dashing Roger as having the 5th, 2nd, 13th, 26th, and 1st best ratings. 0.25pt Bet.

Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.