XC1975

I enjoy watching all sports but somehow lady luck goes against me! But I keep trying. And from 2025, looking at stats in a whole new way. Coming for you lady luck!

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XC1975's Tips History

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22 October 2025
23:30 Huracan v Central Cordoba SdE

Draw

50 WIN

@3.10

Lose

-50

Huracan's home form in the last 10 games has them with only two wins, while Central Cordoba are sitting 2nd, yet their away travels have them drawing more than anything else.
20:00 Atalanta v Slavia Prague

Atalanta & No (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@2.38

Lose

-50

Slavia Prague has been hit hard with injuries, and their travels to Italy are generally a loss. Expect Atalanta to take advantage of this.

Mario Pasalic

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@2.88

Lose

-50

Pasalic is Atalanta's all time UCL top scorer (8 goals) and scored in their last UCL game. He has a habit of scoring in the 2nd half.
20:00 Sheff Wed v Middlesbrough

Sheff Wed

50 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-50

Last vs top 3, why go for last? Well, the last H2H was won by Wednesday, and though Boro lost their last away match to Portsmouth, Wednesday beat Portsmouth.
21 October 2025
20:00 Arsenal v Atletico Madrid

Julian Alvarez

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@4.20

Lose

-50

Arsenal at home are pretty formidable. An interesting stat is that though they have not won away, they have always scored on their travels.
20:00 Bayer Leverkusen v PSG

Warren Zaire Emery

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

Going for an outside pick as going to hope Leverkusen will have their hands full with Ramos and the wingers, which could create space for Zaire-Emery.
20:00 Newcastle v Benfica

Nicolas Otamendi

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@12.00

Lose

-50

Mourinho is back in England and so is Nicolas. Newcastle has a little weakness in set pieces, and this could be Otamendi's moment to get a goal.
17:45 Barcelona v Olympiacos

Ayoub El Kaabi

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@3.75

Win

138

Going for an outside bet here mainly because El Kaabi will be desperate to get their first UCL while also taking 3.5 shots per game. Barcelona have conceded in 4 of their last 5 games.
17:45 Kairat Almaty v Pafos FC

Dastan Satpaev

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@3.30

Lose

-50

Kairat play well at home, though easily beaten by superior competition. But one who normally steps up domestically is Satpaev, the most in-form player who takes most shots.

Vlad Dragomir

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@6.50

Lose

-50

Dragomir is coming in with confidence, scoring in his last two domestic appearances. In a game where Pafos will need to attack, his late runs into the box could be a good chance.
01:15 Atletico Tucuman v San Lorenzo

Atletico Tucuman

50 WIN

@2.70

Lose

-50

San Lorenzo's last six games have them only winning one, while Atletico Tucuman have four wins during the same number of games.
19 October 2025
22:00 Rosario Central v Platense

Rosario Central (AH) -0.75

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@2.00

Win+Push

25

Rosario Central are currently unbeaten at home while the away side Platense have a bad record on the road where they could get unstuck again against Rosario.
17:30 Levante v Rayo Vallecano

Levante

50 WIN

@2.75

Lose

-50

Rayo Vallecano won their last away game, but Levante are going to use their home advantage and pick up an expected win.
18 October 2025
15:00 Brighton v Newcastle

Yankuba Minteh

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@4.33

Lose

-50

With Gruda injured and Mitoma potentially not 100%, Minteh becomes a focal point of Brighton's attack. Facing his former club is a classic motivator, and with 1.6 shots per game and a high 1.56 xG.
15:00 Burnley v Leeds

Jaidon Anthony

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@4.75

Lose

-50

He is Burnley's undisputed form player. On 4 goals and the team's highest xG (2.27), he is their potent threat. His volume is excellent (1.81 shots per 90).
15:00 Charlton v Sheff Wed

Draw

50 WIN

@3.80

Lose

-50

Sheffield Wednesday may have a leaky defense but have really built good form of late on the road. Meanwhile, Charlton Athletic have done well and are going to give a challenge too.
15:00 Crystal Palace v Bournemouth

Evanilson

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@3.00

Lose

-50

The stats suggest he's unlucky, and now I'm going to help change it, haha. Only 1 goal but strong 1.81 xG. Takes over 2 shots per game and is leading the line.
15:00 Man City v Everton

Jeremy Doku

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

City may rely more on direct, vertical attacks. Currently on 3 assists and a strong 1.04 xG, which suggests he gets into scoring positions.
15:00 Stoke v Wrexham

Stoke

50 WIN

@2.05

Win

52

It's been a while since Wrexham have won at Stoke, so it could be difficult again even after a good run of away games. The home side has a mean defense.
15:00 Sunderland v Wolverhampton

Ladislav Krejci

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@9.50

Lose

-50

A long shot, currently with a goal to his name and is a significant aerial threat on set-pieces. Against a potentially patched up Sunderland defence, he could find space in a corner or free kick.

Wilson Isidor

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@3.60

Lose

-50

The clear attacking focal point, with 3 goals, has a stat of xG (1.50) and is consistently getting himself into dangerous positions.
14:30 Heidenheim v Werder Bremen

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.73

Win

37

Bremen's away games average 4.33 goals, and the H2H meetings average 5.00 goals. Heidenheim's defensive leaks (conceded 13 in 6 games).
12:30 Oxford Utd v Derby

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-50

Derby's away BTTS rate is at 75% while Oxford's home BTTS rate is at 50%. Derby have scored in 7 consecutive away league games while 2 of the last 3 games BTTS has been covered.
12:30 Southampton v Swansea

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@1.85

Lose

-50

Southampton's BTTS rate is at 89% overall, while at home it comes to 75%. Swansea's BTTS rate is 56% overall, while in their last 8 games it comes to 62%.

Southampton (AH) -0.50

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.98

Lose

-50

The head-to-head has Southampton winning the last 3 with an 8-1 aggregate. Despite poor home performance, Swansea is inconsistent in their travels.
17 October 2025
20:00 Middlesbrough v Ipswich

Under 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.73

Lose

-50

Boro's home games average 1.25 total goals (75% under 2.5 rate) while Ipswich away games average 1.67 goals (100% under 2.5 rate).
20:00 Real Oviedo v Espanyol

Espanyol & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@6.50

Lose

-50

Espanyol's solid xG (1.7) against La Liga's worst home defense (2.0 GA, 1.9 xGA) is a mismatch. Though still early in the season, a new manager could make Oviedo get that goal, but Espanyol have made a solid start.
16 October 2025
20:00 Huddersfield v Bolton

No (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@2.25

Lose

-50

Bolton's away scoring woes (3 goals in 6 games) while the home side's defensive record is 4 goals conceded in 6 games. Bolton averages 0.50 goals away while 67% of Huddersfield keeps clean sheets at home.

Huddersfield (AH) 0.00

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.85

Lose

-50

Huddersfield's home win rate is 67%, while Bolton's away win rate is 0%. The home side's performance is 2.17 PPG, versus away struggles of 0.50 PPG.
15 October 2025
23:00 Palmeiras v Bragantino

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@2.10

Win

55

Looking at the stats, Bragantino away BTTS rate is 69% while Palmeiras home BTTS rate is 43% and the combined probability is 56%.

Bragantino (AH) 1.25

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.92

Lose

-50

Strong H2H precedent for close games, while Palmeiras home wins by >2 goals: 6/14 (43%), while Bragantino away losses by >2 goals: 4/13 (31%). In H2H, the last 3 meetings were decided by 1 goal or a draw.
13 October 2025
22:30 Platense v Deportivo Riestra

Deportivo Riestra (AH) 0.25

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.95

Win+Push

24

Dep. Riestra are league leaders facing a cripplingly weakened Platense. The mark on this AH provides a crucial cushion against a draw.
19:30 Cordoba v Cultural Leonesa

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@1.85

Lose

-50

In the three home games this season, BTTS has hit 100%, while Cultural Leonesa's open play in away matches has hit BTTS 75% of the time.
12 October 2025
20:45 Instituto AC Cordoba v Atletico Tucuman

No (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@1.70

Win

35

Instituto's home record of BTTS rates at 17%, while Atletico's away rate of BTTS is 40%. Combining that suggests a low likelihood.
11 October 2025
20:00 Cambuur Leeuwarden v De Graafschap

Cambuur Leeuwarden & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@3.00

Lose

-50

Cambuur's tendency not to keep a clean sheet makes this interesting. They are also in form, winning four of their last five.
20:00 Gimnasia LP v Talleres Cordoba

CA Talleres de Cordoba (AH) -0.25

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@2.00

Win

50

Gimnasia's home woes are telling, while Talleres shows resilience. At the same time, the away side has had the upper hand in the last two.
17:30 Almeria v Real Zaragoza

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@1.85

Win

43

Almeria looks likely to win at home against a team that sits last. But Zaragoza's resilience away makes the win part less certain than both teams scoring, as with some defensive absentees.
17:30 Real Sociedad B v FC Andorra

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@2.05

Win

52

The home side averages 3.25 total goals per game while Andorra averages 2.75 total goals per game, resulting in a high frequency of multi-goal games.

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

Both clubs, respectively, in their home vs. away stats for this mark have landed 75% of their respective matches - three out of four games.
15:15 Mirandes v Leganes

Leganes

Leganes' away form versus Mirandes' home form makes this a probable outcome. Also, with the absences for Mirandes, further tilt the scales a bit more to Leganes.
15:00 AFC Wimbledon v Port Vale

AFC Wimbledon

50 WIN

@2.75

Lose

-50

Port Vale seem to have their opponent's number, but the current form is hard not to back. The home side with that form at home.
15:00 Exeter v Reading

Draw

50 WIN

@3.50

Win

125

Teams' news is mixed for both defenses, and with neither attack quite clicking, this looks like a draw with Reading being stubborn in their games on the road.

Draw & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@4.33

Win

166

Both are in the lower part of the table with much inconsistency. It could end up in a draw with certain important players missing from Exeter.
15:00 Scarborough Athletic v Leamington

Scarborough Athletic (AH) -1.25

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.92

Win

46

Is it that obvious? I mean, the way the home side wins while the away side is not able to keep it so close.
14:00 Latvia v Andorra

Latvia & No (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

Minnow vs Minnow. Andorra has no goals in all their qualifiers, and though Latvia is no powerhouse, they have put in a couple of good games with 3-0 or 4-0 wins.
14:00 Northampton v Rotherham

Northampton

Rotherham has had the upper hand in the head-to-head over the last two games, but quite different circumstances and Northampton is on a good run of games.
10 October 2025
19:45 Iceland v Ukraine

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@1.80

Win

40

Iceland are inspired when playing at home and could nick one, while Ukraine generally generate chances vs. countries similar to Iceland.
19:45 Kosovo v Slovenia

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@1.95

Lose

-50

Kosovo tends to open up more at home, trying to get the goals. That could allow Slovenia to get one, as they have improved of late.
19:45 Sweden v Switzerland

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@1.75

Lose

-50

Two evenly matched sides that trade possession and chances; both carry threat from wide areas and also from their set plays.
09 October 2025
19:45 Czechia v Croatia

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

Tight, competitive game with set-piece threat both ways. Croatia usually create against strong opponents. Czechia, at home, carry enough attacking phases.
19:45 Faroe Islands v Montenegro

Montenegro

50 WIN

@2.15

Lose

-50

Faroe Islands have been improving slowly of late yet with Montenegro's set pieces could be more than enough to pick up an away win.
17:00 Liberia v Namibia

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@2.00

Win

50

Liberia are a little more open at home but have an eye on goal while the visitors, Namibia, do well on the counter with good set plays.
17:00 Mozambique v Guinea

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@2.00

Win

50

Both countries are not goal-shy, and I feel that this could hit as Guinea has a good shot volume. Both have wide play to help.
14:00 Burundi v Kenya

Under 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.57

Win

28

Burundi's identity is a stubborn home defense, while Kenya's away form shows a lack of consistent goal threat. Their last two have been low.

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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

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