Bigplayer257

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Bigplayer257's Tips History

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26 July 2024
19:00 Jordan Thompson vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.83

Lose

-50

I believe davidovich should win this game, although their H2H stands at 1-1, the market is favoring him and I believe the betting market is efficient 

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina to win 2 - 0

Set Betting

98 WIN

@3.00

Lose

-98

Davidovich has won his last 2 games in straight sets, I believe he has what it takes to win today's match in similar fashion 

Under 23.50

Total Games

50 WIN

@1.80

Lose

-50

If Davidovich wins in 2 sets, there's a very high probability that the game will end in under 23.5 because both markets are correlated 

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

1st Set Winner

50 WIN

@1.80

Lose

-50

Davidovich should win the first set obviously if he wins in straight sets, I feel it's a value bet, because the probability is higher than the breakeven percentage 

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina -0.50

Games Won

50 WIN

@1.85

Lose

-50

I believe he should be able to win and cover this handicap, both players are closely ranked but the market is favoring davidovich, there's a reason for that
18:00 Rot Weiss Essen v Bayer Leverkusen

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.25

Open

0

Leverkusen played an unbeaten run in their bundesliga matches, they are in good form and I believe they should put many goals past rot weiss
12:35 Shanghai Port v Nantong Zhiyun

No (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@1.62

Lose

-50

I believe there is value in this because the probability of this bet playing out is higher than 65%, in my opinion it's a value bet

Shanghai Port & No (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@1.62

Lose

-50

Shanghai put 5 past their last opponents, this current opponents will try to sit back, but Shanghai has enough firepower to overpower them 
11:30 Yannick Hanfmann vs Matteo Berrettini

Matteo Berrettini

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.20

Win

10

The breakeven percentage of this is 83%, based on my analysis, I believe it is 84%, giving me a 1% edge in the market  

Matteo Berrettini to win 2 - 0

Set Betting

73 WIN

@1.62

Win

45

Berretini has won his last 8 games in straight sets, I believe he has the capability to keep winning at that rate against hanfman

Under 21.50

Total Games

50 WIN

@2.10

Win

55

If this game ends in straight sets, I doubt if the total number of games will exceed 21.5, I feel berretini will continue his run of 2 sets

Matteo Berrettini

1st Set Winner

50 WIN

@1.30

Win

15

The market isn't crazy, anytime you see bets getting priced Strongly in one direction, there's a reason for it, I believe this has a higher chance of playing out that the breakeven percentage 
01:00 CA Tigre v Central Cordoba SdE

CA Tigre (AH) -0.50

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@2.02

Lose

-50

They are at home and theu win theirats home. H2H 1-0, I feel they have what it takes to bag all the 3 points here

CA Tigre #1-0

50 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-50

I feel 1-0 is the most likely prediction for this bet, that's why I'm taking it, but let's just watch out, it's a value bet in my opinion 
25 July 2024
17:00 FC Iberia 1999 v FK Partizani

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@2.05

Lose

-50

Iberia has conceded 13 goals in their last 5 matches against teams that starts as underdogs, they have a higher chance of playing out both teams to score 
17:00 FC Ilves v FK Austria Vienna

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.70

Win

35

Ilves last 26 games have produced a total of 27 goals, that averages to about 4.5 goals a match, probability is higher than the breakeven percentage 
17:00 FC Milsami v FC Astana

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@2.10

Lose

-50

The odds for both teams to score is way lower than what it should be for this odds shown, milsami scored 4 goals in the first leg of their champions league qualification Opener
17:00 FCB Magpies v FC Copenhagen

FCB Magpies

50 WIN

@56.00

Lose

-50

There's value on this bet, they just knocked out derry city over 2 legs, they won the first leg and drew the second, now they are back at home
17:00 FK Sumqayit v MOL Fehervar FC

Under 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.67

Lose

-50

Sumqayit have not allowed their opponents to score in 4 of their last 5 matches, there is a reason the odds are being priced this way 
17:00 Mlada Boleslav v FK Transinvest

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.50

Lose

-50

Mlada lost their last away match 2-0, but they didn't really look very motivated and besides, there was an early red card, I think they have what it takes to demolish their opponents 
17:00 Noah v Sliema Wanderers

Under 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.90

Lose

-50

Conference league qualifications are not always the easiest to predict, most times it's always tough, I believe the probability of the under 2.5, is higher than 52.5, so this is a value bet 
16:00 KuPS Kuopio v Tromso

Under 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@2.00

Win

50

Conference league qualification matches are always tough, after Kups demolished their last opponent 5-0, they struggled to win against their most recent opponent, winning 1-0 only
01:30 Atletico GO v Bahia

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@2.15

Lose

-50

This game look like a goal fest Atletico are bottom of the league with 28 goals conceded, they are very likely to score, they are at home. I believe over 2.5 is a good bet
01:30 Fluminense v Palmeiras

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@2.25

Lose

-50

Fluminense have conceded 24 goals while palmeiras have scored 27 goals so far, I believe the probability of over 2.5 is more likely than 46.5
24 July 2024
23:30 Godoy Cruz v River Plate

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@2.40

Win

70

River plate have conceded in 6 consecutive away games and godoy Cruz have scored a lot in their H2H matches, this is a value bet
23:30 Huracan v Estudiantes LP

Under 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.36

Win

18

This is a value bet, chances of huracan playimg under 2.5 is higher than 76%, I believe in my opinion that this is a value bet
23:30 Sao Paulo v Botafogo

Under 2.50

Total Goals

104 WIN

@1.44

Lose

-104

Botafogo have won 3 games straight win a binary score of 1-0 Sao Paulo on the other hand played out a 0-0 draw last time the two met
19:00 AEK Athens v Inter Club dEscaldes

Inter Club dEscaldes

50 WIN

@56.00

Lose

-50

Aek Athens are in good form, but the value on this bet is insane, inter won their last game 5-1, although they are underdogs, the probability of them winning is higher than 2%, so this is a value bet
12:45 Balestier Khalsa FC v Tanjong Pagar United

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.11

Win

5

Odds like this for over 2.50 are crazy, we all know the market hasn't gone insane, that's the fair value for this game
12:45 Tampines Rovers FC v Geylang International

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.18

Win

9

Tampines put 5 past their previous opponents starting as underdogs with odds of 3.14, they demolished lion city at home 0-5
23 July 2024
22:45 Gimnasia LP v San Lorenzo

Gimnasia LP

50 WIN

@2.90

Lose

-50

I believe there is good value on gimnasia winning this game, I still believe they have the firepower to outscore San Lorenzo 

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@2.75

Lose

-50

Gimnasia produce so many shots on goal when they are at home, I believe that they have the ability to beat San Lorenzo up to 3-0

No (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@1.67

Win

34

I will not be surprised if this game ends in a 3-0 win for gimnasia, they are very good at home, I believe they can tear their opponents 

Gimnasia LP & No (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@4.20

Lose

-50

This looks like a game that gimnasia can win, but let's just watch out and see what happens, gimnasia have scored in ,9 of their last 10 games 
22:45 Newells v Independiente Rivadavia

Under 2.50

Total Goals

300 WIN

@1.47

Win

141

13 out of 14 of Newell's game have ended in under 2.5, 10 out of 11 of independentie games have ended in under 2.5, probability of this bet is higher than 68%, so this is a value bet
20:00 Buckie Thistle v Dundee Utd

Over 2.50

Total Goals

425 WIN

@1.20

Win

85

Buckie have conceded 9 goals in their last 2 games, stenhousemir beat them 4-0 and Dundee beat stenhousemir 3-0, chances of Dundee beating Buckie by a 3 goals margin is high
19:45 Dundee v Annan Athletic

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.40

Win

20

Dundee have scored a total of 15 goals in their last 5 matches, that's an average of 3 goals per game, they are at home now which is an added advantage, I can see why the market is pricing them as heavy favorites 
19:45 Montrose v Edinburgh City

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.33

Win

17

Edinburgh have conceded 11 goals in their last 2 games and have produced totals of 3 goals in 9 of their last 10 matches,the probability of this playing is higher than 75%, this is a value bet 
19:45 Queens Park v Elgin

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.36

Win

18

Queens park have produced a total of 11 goals in 2 matches, they are priced as heavy favorites for a reason, I believe they have what it takes to score 3 goals  
12:45 Hougang United FC v Albirex Niigata Singapore

Under 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@4.50

Win

175

The odds they are giving for this game is very bad, I don't think the probability of this bet winning is lower than the breakeven percentage of  22.22%, so I'll say that this is a value bet
18 July 2024
12:45 Lion City Sailors FC v Tampines Rovers FC

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@1.25

Lose

-50

It's not very frequently that we find both teams to score at 1.25 odds, I believe this game should have a very high probability of playing out 

Lion City Sailors FC & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@2.50

Lose

-50

Lion city are in very good scoring form, they have the home advantage and I believe they can win this game and both teams should score 

Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

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