PoeticJustice

I look for tips that are not the obvious but not necessarily the long shot. Love to read between the lines. Some days will be very profitable others not. C'est la vie.

3

Estimated Prizes
this month

£15

Estimated Prize money
this month

PoeticJustice's Tips History

All tips
17 March 2025
19:50 The Players Championship

Hideki Matsuyama

25 EW

@26.00

Lose

-50

Matsuyama has been good in this tournament in recent years, tying for 6th last year and finishing 5th in 2023. He is a major winner who looks to be coming right into form after a 22nd place finish last week.

Shane Lowry

25 EW

@34.00

Lose

-50

Lowry is another of my fancies for this tournament. He finished 35th in 2023 and improved to finish 19th last year. He is getting to grips with the course. Last week he finished well to lie 6th overall and looks primed to do well this week.

Shane Lowry

Top European

25 EW

@10.00

Lose

-50

He has to be in the top four European finishers if he plays like he has in recent years and like he did last week at the Arnold Palmer. Enjoying the course.

Brian Harman

Top American

25 EW

@51.00

Lose

-50

This guy knows when to turn it on, and last year in this tournament, he finished tied for second, just one shot off the winning score. He has won a major, so he knows how to compete on these difficult courses set up to challenge the best.
16:30 4:30 Wexford

Junot

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

This is a horse I have been following, and it has threatened to win another race for some time. The fifth-place finish was very decent and resulted in the horse going up a pound in the weights. It has better ground today and may come good again.
16:05 4:05 Southwell

Alexandra Larose

Daily Racing

50 WINNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 2.25 used instead of 1.91 takenBOG

@2.25

Win

62

Was only beaten a head in its first handicap run before winning confidently in its second. Looks to be very much on the up and although seven pounds higher today, the horse doesn't have any opposition of substance so a second win is very much on the cards. Distance and ground look ideal too.
15:02 3:02 Down Royal

Ar Nos Na Gaoithe

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 7.50 used instead of 7.00 takenBOG

@7.50

Win

7

Came good when I tipped it last time and it seemed to improve considerably. Up eight pounds today and over a suitable distance I expect this horse to go close again.
14:27 2:27 Down Royal

Smooth Scotch

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@7.00

Void

0

Although its last run didn't look good initially, it is possible that the soft ground was the main reason for the more than moderate effort. The run before looks excellent as both Air of Excitement (won at the festival) and Ballybow were two of the finishers ahead of it. That form is well above any from the others, and back on better ground should see a win.
14:10 2:10 Wexford

Small Doses

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@4.50

Win

175

Has been heavily backed in and after an eye-catching performance last time (stewards wanted an explanation) when 100/1 at close up behind Ethical Diamond, this horse looks primed to run well if it enjoys the better ground. Both its promising runs have been on soft ground.
13:52 1:52 Down Royal

Hello Jack

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 5.50 on 17/03 at 09:210.10 deduction for Sporting Glance@8.00 withdrawn at 09:290.00 deduction for Young And Foolish @81.000 withdrawn at 10:270.35 deduction for Krak @2.625 withdrawn at 11:090.00 deduction for W B Easy @26.000 withdrawn at 11:270.00 deduction for High Court Cave @21.000 withdrawn at 13:17R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 4.50 x (1-0.45) = 3.48

@3.47

Lose

-13

13:35 1:35 Wexford

Magic Day

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

16 March 2025
16:47 4:47 Chepstow

Ideallko

Daily Racing

After two very good wins connections tried to nick another prize by running within a week of its second win and the horse didn't quite manage it. Should be a bit better today having had almost a month break to get over those exertions. Should put its experience to good use here.
15:57 3:57 Market Rasen

Geordie Night

Daily Racing

15:37 3:37 Chepstow

Greyval

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTETip made at odds of 7.50 on 16/03 at 08:330.10 deduction for Love Of Neymore@8.00 withdrawn at 08:490.25 deduction for Blue Las @3.750 withdrawn at 15:01R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 6.50 x (1-0.35) = 5.23Best Odds Guaranteed SP 6.00 used instead of 5.23 BOG

@6.00

Win

156

A very consistent performer that needs something simple to change to get another win and today that could be the ground conditions which will be better than in recent runs with a bit of give underfoot. Has only its third run since coming back from a break so should be at maximum fitness.
15:22 3:22 Market Rasen

Gms Prince

Daily Racing

14:40 2:40 Curragh

Laugh A Minute

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.00

Win

180

I am quite keen on this horse for a number of reasons. The horse ran poorly at Dundalk last year when following a similar path to this year. Then it ran here at the Curragh over five furlongs, really finishing just behind Stag Night, giving that horse five pounds. Today it gets 11 pounds from Stag Night. Its run at Dundalk this year was more promising, and the horse is over six furlongs today, a distance it won over at Naas last year. The only issue is the draw, which often favors one side over another. Check whether the draw is advantageous before committing.
14:02 2:02 Chepstow

Benignitas

Daily Racing

25 EW

@29.00

Win

115

There was promise in this horse's debut. While we never know whether the horse was primed for its opening run or not, most of this trainer's horses do improve on their second run. I hope this horse can place at big odds, and I am looking to do it in the 'without fav' market.

Jena Doudairies

Daily Racing

10:45 Kolkata Challenge

David Law

25 EW

@23.00

Lose

-50

09:15 LIV Golf Invitational Singapore

Tyrrell Hatton

25 EW

@9.50

Lose

-50

Would have been a top contender in the Players Championship after a stellar performance last year. Has to make do with playing in this tournament and has a few top players to beat. Has to be motivated if we are to see the best of him this week.
15 March 2025
20:00 France v Scotland

France

To Win

50 WIN

@1.10

Win

5

France surely cannot fail to beat the Scots and to beat them well. Only the rain has stopped them from winning a grand slam this year as they dropped scoring pass after scoring pass. The Scots have been very underwhelming this tournament.

France -16.50

Handicap

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

France have got such a wonderful group of attacking talent and against a porous Scottish defence they should confirm the championship in style by scoring plenty of tries.
18:45 6:45 Southwell

Humam

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@2.25

Lose

-50

This horse has been on an upward curve, winning two class 2 races comfortably over 6 and 7 furlongs. It was strong at the finish and was pulling away at the finish. Only five pounds higher.
16:50 4:50 Thurles

Slim Marvel

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@9.00

Void

0

If it was over shorter I would be with Love Like This but that horse has never convinced me when it has run over this distance. That said it is in good form at present. This horse though likes a trip this far and has been dropped a pound for its last run. Hoping the horse puts in another good effort here.
16:45 Wales v England

England

To Win

50 WIN

@1.28

Win

14

England have certainly improved over their last few matches, having more fluency in attack and more steel in defence. Wales still look like extending their losing run despite improving considerably themselves in their last two matches.

England -10.50

Handicap

50 WIN

@2.10

Win

55

I am hoping that the English team is not disrupted too much and it continues to build on the successes of the last few games. That would assure the handicap would be covered. England also needs to up their defense as the Italians got over the try line far too easily.

Over 54.50

Total Points

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

Both teams have leaky defences and that could lead to a high points total particularly as both teams have got their attacking options working well. England need to get a bonus point so will be all out to score a hatful of tries.
16:10 4:10 Uttoxeter

King Of Answers

Daily Racing

15:40 3:40 Thurles

Stumblin In

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Lose

-50

Has run four good races in its last four runs, and those have been over a variety of distances. Not sure whether two miles here is exactly what this horse needs, but the opposition is not really that strong in terms of ability. Although the course is quite a sharp course, it does feature a long, steep uphill finish, which may suit the horse as we know it has plenty of stamina.
15:35 3:35 Uttoxeter

Walk On Quest

Daily Racing

15:20 3:20 Kempton

Authorized Art

Daily Racing

25 EW

@51.00

Lose

-50

I keep looking at this horse and wonder if it retains most of the ability that saw it finish runner-up in the Galway Plate in 2023 off 146 when Willie Mullins trained it. That run was on good ground over 2 miles 7 furlongs, and although the horse was down the field in the same race in 2024, that was off a mark of 153. Today is the first time since it gets the ground and the distance, and with the jockey taking off 7 pounds, the horse runs today off a mark of 139 (a stone less). At 50/1 against horses that lose more often than win, it could be an outsider to consider.
15:05 3:05 Thurles

Clonbury Bridge

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 15.00 used instead of 7.00 takenBOG

@15.00

Win

45

Had no chance to follow up a very good but workmanlike win last time as the dropped scoring horse was brought down very early on in the race. This is its distance, and it has its ground, so it should make a great attempt to win again over a course it ran well at last time.
15:00 3:00 Uttoxeter

Val Dancer

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@11.00

Void

0

14:45 2:45 Kempton

Saint Anapolino

Daily Racing

14:25 2:25 Uttoxeter

Joyeux Machin

Daily Racing

Up For Parol

Daily Racing

25 EW

@26.00

Lose

-50

This is a deep race, and so it should be with £100 grand up for grabs. This horse has run three good races since returning from a break. Those include a win at Ffos Las off six pounds lower than today's mark. The horse then ran well off its new mark last time, and on the better ground today, the horse should be able to finish more strongly.
14:15 Italy v Ireland

Ireland

To Win

50 WIN

@1.06

Win

3

Ireland are in with a chance of winning this competition. Although they were soundly beaten by the French last time, they should be too strong for the Italians, who have been defensively weak this year.

Ireland -20.50

Handicap

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

Ireland will surely manage to beat this Italian team by as many as England managed to (23). Although they are away, they will put a powerful team out to try and secure a championship win.

Over 63.50

Total Points

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

There have been plenty of points scored by both teams in the Italian games. That should certainly continue today as the Irish have a strong team and will score the majority of the points. But as the French proved, they are susceptible in defense.
14:10 2:10 Kempton

Moveit Like Minnie

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

13:50 1:50 Uttoxeter

Jilaijone

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.50

Lose

-50

Put in a great effort last time when fourth over a longer trip of 3 miles. Back to two and a half miles and to the scene of its victory run two runs back, this horse must have a great chance of winning again despite being ten pounds higher in the weights.
14 March 2025
19:20 7:20 Wolverhampton

Knockbrex

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.00

Lose

-50

17:20 5:20 Cheltenham

Wodhooh

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEOdds taken at 6.00Odds taken at 6.00

@6.00

Win

250

Has yet to be beaten and although this is its toughest task to date I can see the horse winning again. Its last race saw it finish ahead of Joyeuse and Take No Chances. Both of those put up really good performances and suggest the chances of this horse winning are very good.
16:40 4:40 Cheltenham

Shearer

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Lose

-50

16:30 4:30 Dundalk

My Girl Sioux

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.00

Win

5

Has been very consistent this year and has finished runner-up in its last two races. A bit unlucky in those runs, but this is the third time this claimer will have ridden the horse, and that confidence and experience should pay dividends today.
16:15 4:15 Fakenham

Casi Crudo

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

16:00 4:00 Cheltenham

Galopin Des Champs

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@1.57

Lose

-50

Has to be the winner if it stands up (many favorites haven't this week). Yesterday, Fact to File gave it the biggest compliment as it has been beaten twice by the horse. So too has Heart Wood been beaten by Galopin.
15:20 3:20 Cheltenham

Wendigo

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

Was a very good second to The New Lion two runs back before a very facile victory at long odds on last time. Is definitely still improving and should be in the mix. Has improved for going further and hoping the extra distance brings about more improvement.
15:02 3:02 Doncaster

Curley Finger

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@6.00

Lose

-50

Put up a sequence of wins last year and so was more than disappointing on its first two runs this year. Last time was much better as the horse finished a close up 4th at 28/1 so was not really expected. This horse loves to front run and should get its own way out in front in this small field. Will be very hard to beat.
14:40 2:40 Cheltenham

Limerick Lace

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Lose

-50

Beat Dinoblue last year at Cheltenham, and although worse off at the weights, it does have the addition of cheekpieces to help it elicit improvement. Hasn't been in as good form this year, and hopefully comes back to form and confirms last year's result here at the festival. We know this course and distance suits.
14:00 2:00 Cheltenham

Our Champ

Daily Racing

25 EW

@41.00

Lose

-50

Has been mixing it with some of the best handicappers and after a very good third in the Coral Hurdle, the horse has finished further down the field in two subsequent races on softer ground. Hopefully the ground will be better than in those runs.
13:20 1:20 Cheltenham

East India Dock

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.00

Lose

-50

This horse is unbeaten because it mixes speed with its super slick jumping. The horse has looked a natural over hurdles, and it seems it has the Henderson horse to beat. Hot Fuss is the only horse that has really franked its form so far this week, but I still believe in the horse. A plus is the horse is not ground dependent.
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