CJMST380

Horses and Football are my main sporting interests. I'm interested in other sports too. Always go steady with any betting, only takes 1 bad day to undo the luck of a few good days , luck plays a big part with any bet, can never be too certain. I'd almost say, especially with horses and greyhounds , no such thing as a favourite, yes 1 will be the favourite at the odds but how many get beat. Can almost say, the selection you decide on is your favourite. I've followed the horses over 20 years, but I'm certainly no expert !!

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30 April 2025
22:25 Race 10 Churchill Downs

Silent Breeze

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.00

Lose

-50

Slowly but surely improving with each run and still has time for some further progress yet. This horse has run to a more consistent level than a few of these opponents, will be running well if at least matching the form of that last run.
21:52 Race 9 Churchill Downs

Bridle A Butterfly

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Win

360

This selection will be needing some improvement to get into the mix, but that is possible. This horse is less exposed than a few of these opponents so may improve more than what the others will do.

Out On Bail

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@7.00

Lose

-50

This horse is the only runner from this barn at today's meeting at Churchill, that can be seen as a positive. First run back from a rest but horses from this trainer are known for running well back from a rest. Drawn well in Stall 1.
21:28 Race 9 Tampa Bay Downs

Authenticate Now

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@9.00

Win

400

Career best effort last time out when finishing a respectable 3rd, in the mix after that. Still very early days for this horse , will likely improve at some point. Could take a step forward today, thereabouts at the finish.

Money Trail

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.50

Win

3

Money Trail has yet to win but has improved with each run, difficult to rule out some further progress as it's still early days for this horse. This race looks easier than the last, can't rule out a good run.
21:20 Race 8 Thistledown

La Artista

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@SP

Lose

-50

Quite an open looking race in my view, the current favourite is possibly a bit too short at the odds. La Artista is having the first run for a new barn , may do better today because this trainer is known for improving new recruits.

Vertisalute

Daily Racing

25 EW

@SP

Lose

-50

The lack of a recent run isn't ideal , has been off the track for 9 months , is the sort to run well fresh though so a good run isn't ruled out. Does have some good form in the book already, will do well if running anywhere near to best form.
21:19 Race 8 Churchill Downs

Game Warden

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@SP

Lose

-50

Horse number 5 is the current favourite, capable of going well but will need to improve again. Game Warden isn't far behind, still has time for improvement this year so a good run is possible. Top jockey booked.

Warrior Johny

Daily Racing

25 EW

@SP

Lose

-50

Better was expected when running below form last time, might be worth another chance though because he's shown enough ability overall to think he's more than capable of a good run. Open to improvement this year.
20:58 Race 8 Tampa Bay Downs

Always Drama

Daily Racing

25 EW

@SP

Lose

-50

Ran well in defeat in what was a better race than this when last seen just over 4 months ago. First run back from a rest today but hasn't been off the track for too long, still worth considering.

Soundtrack

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.00

Win

50

Soundtrack has already been a positive mover in the betting market today, definitely a positive. More experienced than most of these opponents which looks a big advantage. Should be near peak condition now.
20:50 Race 7 Thistledown

I Wanna Win

Daily Racing

25 EW

@SP

Lose

-50

The lack of a recent run is a concern but horses from this trainer are known for running well back from a rest. This selection showed enough last year to think he's a contender , if anything this race is slightly easier than his last.
20:47 Race 7 Churchill Downs

New Rome

Daily Racing

25 EW

@SP

Lose

-50

New Rome might be worth forgiving that last run at Keeneland last time out, could have had more luck that day , earlier form was more encouraging , will go well if matching that earlier form.

Storm Miami

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@SP

Lose

-50

Storm Miami might be worth one more chance , wasn't quite at best form at Turfway Park on that last run but things didn't pan out well. Still has time for improvement this year so may do better. Drawn well, good jockey booked.
20:40 8:40 Southwell

Dreams Adozen

Daily Racing

25 EW

@SP

Lose

-50

Ran well in a better race than this last time out, lost nothing in defeat that day. Now better treated so can't be overlooked again. No problem with this surface.
19:00 Hamburg Towers vs Brose Bamberg

Hamburg Towers

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.22

Lose

-50

Hamburg won the last home match against this opponent 94-90, Hamburg are the team to focus on again today as most likely winners. 4 wins from last 5 for Hamburg, they are the more consistent team. Bramberg lost all 5 previous games, they have dropped out of form right now. I think it's a winnable opportunity for Hamburg.
18:08 6:08 Perry Barr

Drumcrow Andi

Daily Races

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

Not easy to see or predict a clear winner of this one. I'll take a chance with Drumcrow Andy who is capable of good early pace, breaking well , has run well against some decent opponents so if matching that form, can be running well.
17:56 5:56 Newcastle

Patriot Missile

Daily Races

50 WIN

@SP

Lose

-50

Very open looking race, all 6 arrives with a chance. This selection has a better trap position than some higher up in the betting market, in my view. Has shown enough to be worth considering.
17:49 5:49 Hove

Geneva Eagle

Daily Races

50 WIN

@SP

Lose

-50

Yes the current favourite clearly has ability but maybe the odds are too short. Geneva Eagle isn't miles behind, usually fast away so if able to get a good early position, could be thereabouts at the finish.
17:43 5:43 Sunderland

Stackemup Jack

Daily Races

50 WIN

@9.00

Win

400

Stackmeup Jack likely has some more improvement to come , wouldn't be a surprise to see this one take a step forward today form wise. Ideal Trap position
17:37 5:37 Newcastle

Slipalong Block

Daily Races

50 WIN

@SP

Lose

-50

All runners can be given a chance of some sorts. This selection has been running well enough against some good opposition just lately, may do better today because this looks easier
16:30 Start Lublin vs Spojnia Stargard

Start Lublin

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.35

Win

17

Lublin hold the advantage based on previous meetings between these two, 4 wins from last. For today's match, Lublin arrive with slightly better recent form , they have looked a better side at home just lately, Stargard not so good away from home. Lublin to win in my view.
14:57 2:57 Pontefract

Ingleby Archie

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@8.00

Lose

-100

Over this course and distance, this horse has one of the better draws in Stall 1. Ran well in defeat over 6f last time, tried to make all the running which nearly paid off until weakening late on , drop back to 5f probably more suitable. First run at this course but he's run well at similar tracks so that offers some hope he'll be running well on what is his 2nd run back from a rest.
11:45 Tour de Romandie 2025 Stage 1

Alberto Bettiol

Win Outright

25 EW

@51.00

Lose

-50

Jan Christen

Win Outright

50 WIN

@17.00

Lose

-50

10:50 Tour of Turkey 2025 Stage 4

Ivan Ramiro Sosa

Win Outright

50 WIN

@12.00

Lose

-50

Stefan De Bod

Win Outright

25 EW

@41.00

Lose

-50

01:30 ORL Magic @ BOS Celtics

BOS Celtics

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.15

Win

8

This looks like a good opportunity for the Celtics, a winning opportunity. Celtics have been showing signs of something like their best form in some recent games which was against some good teams, today's opponent won't be much tougher so i think it's a winnable match for the Celtics.
01:00 Flamengo vs Caxias Do Sul

Flamengo

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.02

Win

1

It would be a surprise and a shock if Flamengo aren't doing well in this match against this particular opponent who have been much less consistent just lately. Flamengo do have a good home record when meeting teams similar to the one they meet today. Home team win
00:00 Franca vs Pato Basquete

Franca

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.11

Win

5

Based on recent, and overall form , Franca should be too good for this opponent, home team to win. Franca have been much more consistent just lately, Pato would need to find lots of improvement to be winning, most of their recent form and results suggests this is a difficult match for Pato.
29 April 2025
18:00 Falkenbergs FF v Orebro SK

Falkenbergs FF

100 WIN

@1.95

Win

95

Home team are the best win option in my view, they have started this season in better form than the opponent, still have time for improvement. Orebro lost their last league visit here, they haven't really improved since then so i think it's a difficult match for the away team , a good opportunity for the home team.
14:10 Tour de Romandie 2025 Prologue

Matthew Brennan

Win Outright

50 WIN

@11.00

Lose

-50

If bringing his best form today, Matthew Brennan is capable of getting into the mix. His recent form isn't far behind the current favourite for this event, he does already have good form against some of these opponents and if anything, he's shown improvement since those previous meetings.

Samuel Watson

Win Outright

25 EW

@19.00

Win

562

Samuel Watson will need to find a bit of improvement to get himself into contention today but, he's definitely shown enough to be worth considering. This course should suit so it wouldn't be a surprise to see him do well.
09:50 Tour of Turkey 2025 Stage 3

Jon Aberasturi

Win Outright

25 EW

@34.00

Lose

-50

Jon Aberasturi could be doing well at these odds, he's in that group just behind the current favourite , he wouldn't need to find much improvement to be getting into the mix. It's encouraging that he often does well at courses similar to today's particular course.

Matteo Malucelli

Win Outright

50 WIN

@15.00

Lose

-50

Matteo Malucelli isn't miles behind the current favourite based on his best form, he can be doing well today. He's looked good in the previous 2 stages at this Tour of Turkey , he still has time for improvement which he may show in today's Stage 3.
07:00 Cerezo Osaka v Machida Zelvia

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@2.10

Win

55

2 of the 3 previous meetings between these two teams when played at this ground did go over 2.5 , i think today's match will be similar with over 2.5 again because each team should have a few good scoring chances , neither team have looked great defensively over the last few weeks.

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@1.80

Win

40

Neither of these two teams would be the best defensive teams in the league, each team has conceded in their last 2 games , i think each team will have enough good chances to think they both score at least 1 goal each.
07:00 Gamba Osaka v Kyoto Sanga FC

Kyoto Sanga FC

50 WIN

@3.10

Lose

-50

Now might be the time to take a chance with Kyoto Sanga for the win today, they appear to have found some good form now after 4 wins from their last 5 , that's the best form on offer. Gamba have just the 1 win from last 5 games. Small win tip for Kyoto Sanga

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@2.08

Win

54

The last meeting between these two teams ended with under 2.5 goals , that last meeting ended 0-0. Each team has improved since that last meeting so i think today's match will have goals and Kyoto probably do better and score the most goals.

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@1.80

Win

40

I think today's match between these two teams will be different than when they last met at Gamba, a better game because neither of these two teams have looked great defensively just lately so i think each team will have chances in today's match, at least 1 goal each team.

Kyoto Sanga FC & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@6.50

Lose

-50

Anything is possible in this match, not much difference between them so it could be close. I'll say away win and BTTS because Kyoto have been more consistent just lately, good away form asn and they have done well against some good teams.
07:00 Shonan Bellmare v Avispa Fukuoka

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@2.88

Lose

-50

These odds are not bad for over 2.5 goals in this match, it wouldn't surprise me if it happens. The last meeting between these two at this ground did have just 2 goals in total but, each team arrives in better form this time around, especially Avispa who have shown the most improvement since they last met.

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@2.20

Lose

-50

This has the look of a good game between two of the more consistent types of teams in the league. Shonan scored in 3 of their last 5 games , Avispa scored in 5 of last 5 games. Each team appears to have found some consistency now so I'll say BTTS yes.

Avispa Fukuoka & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@7.50

Lose

-50

Anything could happen in this match, not too much difference between these two. I'll take a chance on Avispa win and BTTS because they appear to have found some good form now looking at their last 5 games , more consistent than this opponent. Shonan less consistent form just lately, even at home.
01:00 San Martin vs Argentino Junin

San Martin

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.04

Lose

-50

This looks like a good opportunity for San Martin, a winnable looking chance for them. San Martin are some way ahead of this opponent based on recent form, they'll be doing well if at least matching that good recent form. Argentino Junin don't win too many games against good teams such San Martin.
28 April 2025
18:30 6:30 Windsor

Promethean

Daily Racing

18:10 6:10 Naas

Tai Tam Bay

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@11.00

Lose

-100

Tai Tam Bay is an interesting looking contender , ran well in defeat last time out, slow start didn't help but she still ran well , can do better today if getting a better start. Runs from the same rating as last time so can be competitive again , it's very encouraging that she has good and consistent form at this course , 3 previous runs at Naas where she didn't run badly on each occasion.
17:30 5:30 Windsor

Sea Founder

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 2.63 used instead of 2.25 takenBOGAThis tip was used on Horse Racing 4Fold Acca.

@2.63

Win

81

17:13 5:13 Ayr

Flying Scotsman

Daily Racing

14:00 2:00 Ayr

Ramon Di Loria

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 3.75 on 28/04 at 09:090.15 deduction for King Of The Jungle@5.50 withdrawn at 13:01R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 2.75 x (1-0.15) = 3.34Best Odds Guaranteed SP 4.00 used instead of 3.34 BOGAThis tip was used on Horse Racing 4Fold Acca.

@4.00

Win

150

10:00 Adrien Maire vs Wout Poels

Wout Poels

Matchups

50 WIN

@2.10

Lose

-50

Not too much difference between these two based on their best form so this could be a close matchup event. I'll say Wout Poels for the win as he does have a good record in these matchup events when meeting opponents similar to the one he meets today.
10:00 Casper Van Uden vs Alexander Kristoff

Casper Van Uden

Matchups

50 WIN

@2.00

Win

50

Anything is possible in this matchup event, both arrive with a very similar looking chance. I'll say Casper Van Uden for the win, today's course will suit and he usually shows a bit more pace than what today's matchup opponent does.
10:00 Giovanni Lonardi vs Luca Colnaghi

Luca Colnaghi

Matchups

50 WIN

@2.75

Lose

-50

Luca Colnaghi isn't far behind today's matchup opponent based on best form. Luca has shown good pace in some recent races so if he at least matches that today, and can avoid any accidents, capable of winning this matchup.
10:00 Jon Aberasturi vs Matyas Kopecky

Matyas Kopecky

Matchups

50 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-50

Matyas Kopecky arrives for this after a few consistent performances where he left the impression he's close to a win soon. At this stage of the year, he should have a bit more to offer so it wouldn't be a surprise to see him show some more progress today.
10:00 Jules Hesters vs Steffen De Schuyteneer

Jules Hesters

Matchups

50 WIN

@2.25

Lose

-50

Jules Hesters has a chance in this matchup event, he's looked good in recent events , showed signs of something like his best form , still has time for improvement so may improve enough to be winning this matchup event against Steffen.
10:00 Lander Loockx vs Frank van den Broek

Frank van den Broek

Matchups

50 WIN

@2.20

Lose

-50

Frank van den Broek has a chance in this matchup event, he usually shows good pace in his races , more pace compared to this matchup opponent and it's encouraging that Frank has looked consistent in his recent events.
10:00 Marc Brustenga vs Davide Bomboi

Marc Brustenga

Matchups

50 WIN

@2.20

Lose

-50

Another tricky one to call , two similar opponents meet in this matchup event. Could be close but I'll say Marc to win it as he's got the slightly better record when competing at courses similar to today's particular course.
10:00 Matteo Malucelli vs Tibor Del Grosso

Matteo Malucelli

Matchups

50 WIN

@2.38

Lose

-50

If these two show their best form today, this will be close as there isn't much difference between them. At the better odds I'll say Matteo for the win, he often does well at courses similar to today's course.
10:00 Tour of Turkey 2025 Stage 2

Casper Van Uden

Win Outright

25 EW

@10.00

Lose

-50

Casper Van Uden looked good in his past couple of events where he showed signs of something like his best form, he's one who usually holds his form well so he should be feeling confident leading into Stage 2 today , with a clear and accident free ride , he should be thereabouts at the finish.
02:00 Diriangen v Rancho Santana FC

Diriangen

50 WIN

@1.12

Win

6

This looks like a good opportunity for Diriangen , a winnable looking chance as they are some way ahead of this opponent based on overall form and the home advantage will only help. Rancho don't have a good win record against good teams such as the opponent they meet today. Home team win
00:00 BOS Celtics @ ORL Magic

ORL Magic

Money Line

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

Yes the Celtics hold a 2-1 lead in this series of obviously they already hold the advantage but, they have been a better team at home in recent weeks. Magic have looked good in some recent home games, Magic played very well in that last meeting between these two.

ORL Magic 7.50

Pointspread

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

Magic showed a good attitude when winning that last meeting against this opponent, won by 2 points the last time, maybe Magic have now found some consistency at the right time so it wouldn't be a surprise to see Magic do well in this match, hopefully do enough to at least cover this pointspread.

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