Joales
2
Estimated Prizes
this month
£10
Estimated Prize money
this month
Joales's Tips History
29 May 2026
16:50 4:50 Tramore
Are You Busy
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+800
Lose
-50
Are You Busy has recorded a career 11% win strike rate and also sports a 36% place rate, highlighting a level of consistency absent from most of her rivals. She was leading when falling two out on her only previous chase start at this venue, suggesting she possesses the requisite jumping ability. The chief danger, Giant Haystacks, is only rated 95 and has shown modest form over fences, while Journey So Far remains unproven in this discipline. Rodger Sweeney’s mare is also entitled to go well if reproducing her Thurles maiden hurdle victory, and at double??'figure odds she represents plenty of each??'way value.
15:00 3:00 Chepstow
Alfaraz
Daily Racing
125 WINNAP
@+120
Lose
-125
Alfaraz finished a close second in two of his three career starts, and the horse that beat him last time has since won the Lingfield Derby Trial, making that form the strongest on offer. By contrast, the main market rival, Echo of Stars, has only a modest 1m maiden success from three attempts. Andrew Balding’s stable is hitting 17% in the past fortnight and now employs David Probert, a reliable jockey with excellent tactical awareness around this undulating 1m 2f course. Given the clear class edge and the fact he remains open to significant improvement as a lightly raced three-year-old, Alfaraz is fully expected to shed his maiden tag at the third time of asking.
Subtotal-175
28 May 2026
18:50 6:50 Limerick
Chemdawg
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+300
Lose
-50
Chemdawg arrives in peak form, having bolted up by six lengths at Kilbeggan last month. That performance earned a 7 lb ratings hike. Crucially, she has proven stamina for today's 4005 m trip and handles cut in the ground. Trainer Oliver McKiernan's yard is among the winners, and jockey Phillip Enright maintains a consistent National Hunt record. The main rival, Minella Diamond, is respected, but Stephens' verdict narrowly favours the selection, whose recent dominance gives her a clear advantage.
14:42 2:42 Fairyhouse
Gloriously Glam
Daily Racing
150 WINNAP
@+100
Lose
-150
Gloriously Glam warrants favourite status after a career-best 1.75L score at Gowran Park, her fourth victory from 26 starts (15% strike rate). She has placed in half her outings, while market rival Mehmar hasn't hit the frame in his last four runs since August 2024. Trainer Mrs J. Harrington enjoys a 19% overall turf strike rate, and with Adam Caffrey aboard, the pair maintain a fitness edge over Tawaazon and Profit Surge. This clear class superiority makes her the standout choice.
Subtotal-200
27 May 2026
18:49 6:49 Wexford
Casual Water
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+800
Lose
-50
Casual Water arrives off his best effort to date when finishing third at Kilbeggan earlier this month after being kept busy, and he continues to show steady improvement. Trained by the formidable Willie Mullins, who excels with his runners in maiden hurdles, this five-year-old gelding is also a half-brother to the outstanding dual Champion Chase winner Altior, hinting at significant natural ability. The principal danger, Youneedabitofluck, despite his runner-up efforts over the winter, has had a lengthy break and must prove he retains all of his ability on the prevailing going. With a 12-day break since his last run, Casual Water is fresh enough and may well take another step forward today against rivals who lack his scope for progression.
14:53 2:53 Newton Abbot
Frenati
Daily Racing
55 WINNAP
@+300
Lose
-55
Frenati has already collected a win (Stratford bumper) and a placing from three starts, yielding a 33% win rate and 67% place rate. Her trainer, A J Honeyball, has been in strong form, notching two winners and two seconds from four runners on the day after her bumper victory. By contrast, market leader Lady Kara took nine attempts to break her maiden, winning at Hereford only a fortnight ago. Furthermore, that race was a modest affair, while Frenati brings untapped potential to her hurdling debut. With Sam Twiston-Davies retaining the ride and proven course suitability over today’s 2m1f trip, Frenati holds the most progressive profile and is the value call against a rival who must now carry a 7 lb penalty.
Subtotal-105
26 May 2026
20:30 8:30 Ballinrobe
Fiveandahalf
Daily Racing
86 WINNBNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 3.75 used instead of 2.75 takenBOG
@+275
Win
236
Making just his second start, Fiveandahalf takes a significant drop in class from a competitive maiden hurdle into an INH Flat Race, where his trainer, Gavin Cromwell, holds a formidable record. Brother Walfrid may set the standard, but a lack of bumper experience and the suspicion that this race is the target for a horse with significant potential tilt the scales in favour of the selection.
14:40 2:40 Leicester
Abrahamsen
Daily Racing
92 WINNAPNOTETip made at odds of 2.63 on 26/05 at 13:220.10 deduction for Bluestone Lady@9.50 withdrawn at 14:45R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 1.63 x (1-0.10) = 2.47
@+146
Win
134
Although encountering an experienced rival in Parading and the penalty-free Harbour Wind, Abrahamsen represents a yard hitting top form with their juveniles and is partnered by champion jockey Oisin Murphy. A low-level selling race provides an ideal starting point, and with the market speaking in his favour, he can capitalise on any chinks in the armour of his more exposed rivals.
Subtotal370
25 May 2026
19:35 7:35 Ballinrobe
A Stoirin
Daily Racing
100 WINNB
@+150
Win
150
A Stoirin arrives with a flawless debut performance, finishing third at Cork (2m, good to yielding). That race has since been boosted by the subsequent form of the placed horses. This filly is bred to stay the extended 2m trip and is the market leader at 7/4, a clear indicator of her wellbeing. Trainer Andrew Slattery operates at an exceptional 80% strike rate (8 wins from 10) with his individual bumper runners, while jockey A. P. Ryan holds a solid 14.29% record in flat races. With the key rivals Noble Rocco and Bacharach possessing less compelling profiles, the selection is fancied to make it second-time lucky.
17:05 5:05 Ballinrobe
De Jour En Jour
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@+150
Lose
-100
Boasting a commanding 75% place strike-rate from four career starts, De Jour En Jour has never been outside the first three in all but one outing. His most recent effort saw him finish second at Wexford over a comparable trip, underlining his suitability for today’s conditions. The market has correctly identified him as the primary danger, with chief rival Jeroboam Machin facing significant fitness questions following a prolonged absence. The booking of Philip Byrnes, who enjoys a 16.67% strike-rate in chase races, further strengthens the selection’s claims in this moderate maiden hurdle.
Subtotal50
24 May 2026
14:45 2:45 Curragh
Green Carrera
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+450
Win
225
A proven winner already (33% strike rate from three starts). This three-year-old showed marked improvement when runner-up on her handicap bow at this venue 20 days ago. That performance came over 7f, yet she has already scored over a mile at Thurles, making the step back up to this trip an obvious positive. Rivals such as Prevalence have yet to taste success, and with the stable in consistent form, further progress is anticipated.
14:00 2:00 Fontwell
Flash Man
Daily Racing
86 WINNAP
@SP
Lose
-86
Having placed in all three hurdle starts to date (a 33% win rate, including a Plumpton maiden), this gelding arrives with a clear form edge over any rival in the lineup. The primary threat, Handmedownastar, has finished first and second but remains winless from two outings under rules. With a career-best Racing Post Rating of 106, achieved when second over course and distance earlier this month, Flash Man looks set to return to winning ways.
Subtotal139
23 May 2026
16:15 4:15 Curragh
Drop Dead Gorgeous
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+450
Lose
-50
This daughter of Dubawi arrives with a 50% win record and a flawless career placing record, having finished in the first three on both outings. Her most recent third in the Group 3 Athasi Stakes was a meritorious effort after a less-than-ideal passage. The extra furlong of the Gallinule is expected to elicit further improvement. Trainer Aidan O’Brien saddled six winners from his previous forty runners (15%) ahead of this fixture. With Ryan Moore in the saddle, she receives weight from a rival who has raced many times. This represents a compelling chance.
15:10 3:10 Goodwood
Earth Shot
Daily Racing
125 WINNAP
@+120
Lose
-125
An emphatic five-length scorer when upped to 2,000m at Newmarket three weeks back, she confirmed earlier promise and appears tailor-made for this Listed assignment. The extended distance further enhances her scope, while jockey Tom Marquand has operated at a 24% clip from his past 50 rides. By contrast, both Just Call Me Angel and Brilliant Star have yet to prove themselves at this level, and stable companion Inis Mor was comprehensively held in Group 1 company. With the yard firing at 20% in 2026, Earth Shot is positioned to dominate.
Subtotal-175
22 May 2026
19:11 7:11 Worcester
Crest of Arms
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@+150
Lose
-100
Crest of Arms is a leading contender based on a very promising recent run when finishing second at Hexham on his hurdling debut. That performance marked a clear step forward in his development. With normal progression, he is fancied to go one better in this weaker contest. His primary market rival, Blue Topaz, is a bumper/point winner who failed to complete when last seen, giving Crest of Arms a significant fitness and form edge. With trainer Anthony Honeyball’s charge proving hard to beat, the selection represents a standout chance to get off the mark at the main expense of the field.
Subtotal-100
21 May 2026
18:18 6:18 Limerick
Doyen Magic
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+550
Lose
-50
Doyen Magic arrives on the back of an excellent runner??'up effort over this course and distance (March) and should appreciate the cut in the ground. She holds solid chasing and hurdles experience, which rivals like Springboard (chasing debut) and General Clermont (low strike??'rate) cannot match. With a proven win at Limerick and a trainer who knows how to place her, she is the one to beat.
16:03 4:03 Haydock
Charted Course
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@+150
Lose
-100
A 450,000 gns breeze-up purchase with a high-class pedigree, Charted Course is the clear pick in a weak novice event where the main dangers are either exposed or making their debut. Rivals such as Regal Tiger and Walt lack similar physical scope and race fitness. With the market installing him as the 2.50 favourite, his superior profile gives him a decisive advantage.
Subtotal-150
20 May 2026
18:20 6:20 Gowran Park
Chamonix
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+450
Lose
-50
Chamonix showed ability when fifth on his Curragh debut, and his subsequent Cork run is working out well. This Wootton Bassett colt is ideally drawn to attack from stall six, and his trainer, Joseph O’Brien, is operating at a 23% strike rate in 2026. The main dangers include Rolltight, who was only second over course and distance last time, while Big Cypress and Hassaniya have little to recommend based on previous efforts. Chamonix can make his experience count.
17:45 5:45 Gowran Park
Fleur De Provence
Daily Racing
120 WINNAP
@+125
Lose
-120
Fleur De Provence finished a highly promising second on her Naas debut behind subsequent Group performer Drop Dead Gorgeous, readily holding today’s rival Sanctijude. Dermot Weld’s filly is bred to relish this mile trip and is open to significant improvement on a sounder surface. Sanctijude has placed in three maidens without success, while the most dangerous rival is likely the unraced Nellcote. A reproduction of her initial effort may suffice.
Subtotal-170
19 May 2026
19:30 Bournemouth v Man City
Man City
150 WIN
@-136
Lose
-150
Manchester City boast a staggering 94.1% win rate against Bournemouth, having triumphed in 16 of their 17 Premier League encounters. While the Cherries are unbeaten in 16 league games on home turf, the reigning champions have been formidable on the road, avoiding defeat in their last ten domestic away matches and securing four clean sheets in their previous five such fixtures. City’s attack remains exceptionally potent, netting 2.08 goals per game (the division’s best), and with Erling Haaland leading the scoring charts, their quality in the final third is unmatched. Furthermore, momentum is firmly on City's side. With the Premier League title still within reach, the visitors’ relentless pursuit of maximum points against a side they historically dominate makes a convincing away victory the most probable outcome.
16:40 4:40 Cork
Bit Of A Buzz
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+332
Lose
-50
Bit Of A Buzz made a highly promising racecourse debut when finishing third at Naas. That experience will have brought him forward considerably. Regular rider Gary Carroll is retained, and the booking of Gavin Cromwell, a trainer with an outstanding 23% strike rate with his two-year-olds, is a significant plus. His key rivals are largely exposed or making belated debuts, handing him a major theoretical advantage. With normal improvement, he can defy his opening mark and land this maiden in the style of a well-above-average colt.
14:20 2:20 Nottingham
Adamlyi
Daily Racing
136 WINNAP
@SP
Lose
-136
Adamlyi finished a head second at Yarmouth last time from a wide draw. It was a clear step forward from his debut. He holds a distinct fitness edge over many rivals who are unraced in 2026. Trainer Haggas commands a 27.66% strike rate in the last fortnight, and his booking of Marquand ensures tactical efficiency. Rivals such as Atlas Mountain and Decade of Time have shown nothing to suggest they can match his profile. The step up to this novice company looks tailor-made, and with further improvement assured, Adamlyi is fully expected to get off the mark.
Subtotal-336
18 May 2026
20:00 Arsenal v Burnley
Arsenal
150 WIN
@-909
Win
16
Arsenal boast an outstanding home record of fourteen wins, two draws and just two defeats at the Emirates this term, whilst Burnley have managed only two victories on their travels and are already relegated, having conceded over two goals per away fixture. Mikel Arteta's charges have also won four of their last five Premier League outings. Furthermore, the Gunners have dominated the historical head-to-head with an imposing 58-34 advantage across 116 meetings, and have secured victory in each of the last five encounters. With Arsenal sitting two points clear at the summit and needing maximum points to keep Manchester City at bay, they possess every conceivable motivation to dispatch a hapless Clarets side who have lost thirteen of their eighteen away matches. Given the chasm in quality, league position and stakes involved, a routine home win is the only logical conclusion.
18:30 6:30 Wolverhampton
Agamemnon
Daily Racing
150 WINNAP
@+100
Win
150
The betting forecast reports Agamemnon as the market leader, indicating clear confidence ahead of his racecourse debut. Unlike many of his rivals, he is unexposed and open to immediate improvement. The main danger, American Psycho, was only runner-up on debut, and his yard operates at a 24% strike rate in recent weeks. The market’s positive assessment, combined with the edge of a debutant from a well-resourced stable, gives Agamemnon a sound statistical advantage.
17:20 5:20 Roscommon
Arizona Raider
Daily Racing
75 WINNBNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 3.75 used instead of 3.00 takenBOG
@+275
Win
206
As this horse is making its racecourse debut with odds of 3.00, it benefits from complete market confidence. With no exposed form to carry, Arizona Raider stands a clear edge over rivals who have already shown their limitations. The fact that the betting market has installed it as a strong favourite suggests the stable is expecting a bold performance first time out. This unexposed profile can deliver a winning start in a weak contest.
Subtotal372
15 May 2026
20:00 Aston Villa v Liverpool
Aston Villa
75 WIN
@+200
Win
150
Aston Villa have won 11 of their 18 home matches in the Premier League this season (61.1% win rate) and boast a formidable record at Villa Park, whereas Liverpool have secured only seven victories in 18 away fixtures (7-3-8), highlighting significant vulnerabilities on their travels. The Reds are showcasing defensive fragility both home and away. Furthermore, Aston Villa have won two of the last four head-to-head encounters since 2024. Villa Park has also witnessed 41 home wins for the Villans across 102 clashes with Liverpool, underlining the ground’s status as an intimidating venue. With Champions League qualification at stake and a boisterous home crowd behind them, Emery’s side should have enough firepower to outmuscle a jittery Liverpool backline in a high-stakes end-of-season showdown.
18:47 6:47 Leopardstown
Diamond Exchange
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+550
Win
275
Diamond Exchange arrives on the back of a rock-solid third over this course and distance last month. That performance marks her down as a filly ready to strike in handicap company. The switch to Keithen Kennedy, who knows her well, and his valuable 5 lb claim could prove decisive in a tight handicap. Chief rivals such as Summer Snow and Chica Guerrera have struggled to find any real consistency in their recent form. With her handicap mark unchanged and the stable in excellent order, the selection holds all the aces.
17:00 5:00 Newbury
Heyzoom
Daily Racing
75 WINNAP
@+200
Win
150
Heyzoom has placed in both career starts and was a very promising second on his seasonal return over a mile and two at Leicester, suggesting this step up in trip is ideal. Key rivals, such as Besieged and Echo of Stars, are debutants or lack a win from limited attempts, giving Heyzoom a clear form edge. Owen Burrows boasts an exceptional 50% recent strike rate. With proven stamina and a top jockey booked, he can break his maiden.
Subtotal575
14 May 2026
20:00 Bradford v Bolton
Draw
58 WIN
@+259
Lose
-58
Bolton boast a formidable away record (6-10-7) this season and are unbeaten in their last seven League One fixtures. Bradford possess the third-strongest home record in the division (15-5-3). The Trotters also lead the tie 1-0 on aggregate following Amario Cozier-Duberry’s second-half winner in the first leg, meaning the Bantams must chase the game at Valley Parade, making them vulnerable on the counter. However, the reverse league fixture at Valley Parade ended 1-1, and three of the last four encounters between these sides have finished all square. With both defenses well-drilled and the stakes so high in a Wembley play-off chase, a low-scoring draw that would force extra time is the most probable outcome here.
16:47 4:47 Clonmel
Lightkeeper
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+450
Lose
-50
Lightkeeper is a four-time winner who boasts a superior 21.43% career strike rate in chases, a figure that towers above most claiming hurdle rivals. Trainer Gordon Elliott has been among the winners with 12 successes from his last 59 runners (20.34%), adding significant weight to the selection's claims. This represents a clear class edge in a modest contest.
16:28 4:28 Salisbury
Alma Latina
Daily Racing
109 WINNAP
@+137
Lose
-109
Alma Latina shaped with clear promise when third on debut at Sandown, a performance that marks her down as one open to significant improvement. The stable of Ralph Beckett excels with second-time-out fillies, while rivals Krystyna and Take A View carry less convincing profiles on their introductions. Hector Crouch, boasting 19 career black-type wins, is an ideal pilot. With a 100% place strike rate from her sole start, she holds a statistical edge over unexposed opponents.
Subtotal-217
13 May 2026
17:20 5:20 Punchestown
Aruntothequeen
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+700
Lose
-50
Mrs John Harrington’s mare boasts an impressive 67% place strike-rate and a Gowran Park bumper win to her name. Donagh Meyler, with four rides aboard, knows her well. Chief rivals Switch From Diesel and Full Of Shade must overcome Grade 1 defeat and a mammoth 371-day absence respectively, handing the selection a clear advantage at the weights.
16:28 4:28 Yarmouth
Beagle Bay
Daily Racing
136 WINNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@+110
Win
149
R. M. Beckett commands a sharp 20% strike rate from the yard, with Hector Crouch steering Beagle Bay to a Chelmsford success (2.5L) on only his second start. Unexposed at 7f on turf, he meets rivals like Believe The Storm and Potomac River, who have failed to score from 12 combined attempts this season, confirming Beagle Bay’s outstanding claims.
Subtotal99
12 May 2026
20:00 Southampton v Middlesbrough
Draw
58 WIN
@+259
Win
151
Southampton have lost only once at home under Tonda Eckert, winning thirteen of their other eighteen at St. Mary’s. Middlesbrough arrive unbeaten in their last six away Championship matches, drawing four in a row. The first leg ended goalless, with Boro dominating expected goals (1.82), yet Peretz kept them at bay. The visitors have now gone five H2H matches without defeat. With both sides boasting identical regular-season points (80) and three of the previous four meetings finishing all??'square, another stalemate forcing extra time appears the most probable outcome.
18:40 6:40 Killarney
Chipsrdown
Daily Racing
55 WINNB
@+275
Lose
-55
The Andrew Slattery-trained gelding shaped with clear promise on his handicap debut at Leopardstown when finishing a never-nearer fifth of 13, a performance that hinted at a reversion to his maiden-level showing at Naas. Now stepped up to 1m 31y and pitched into a weaker 0-60 handicap, he meets numerous rivals with far deeper losing sequences. Tero d'Rosa, the market principal, has 28 career starts without a victory, while Jasmine Affanalis has recorded only one win from 21 attempts. Chipsrdown’s trainer is 2 from 25 in the last fortnight, but the drop in grade and a favourable draw provide a distinct tactical edge.
17:20 5:20 Hereford
Lost In The Dream
Daily Racing
109 WINNAP
@+137
Win
150
Lost In The Dream boasts a perfect 100% win record from his sole career start, scoring by a head at Taunton last month while displaying notable greenness. The son of Pastorius is bred to appreciate today’s extended 2m 53y trip, and the stable is in top form at present. The main market rival, Master Roque, finished a well-beaten 15th on his sole bumper outing at Newbury ??" a performance that leaves him with significant ground to make up even after a subsequent break. With his chief dangers showing little in their respective debut runs and the selection open to marked improvement, Lost In The Dream is taken to defy a penalty and land this contest.
Subtotal246
11 May 2026
20:07 8:07 Killarney
Airds Moss
Daily Racing
150 WINNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@+100
Win
150
Airds Moss enters this race with a 50% win percentage at the track and distance. His last five runs include one win and two places, with a 45% place rate. Main rivals like Miss Jocund and Eagle River have failed to place in four of their last five starts. Trainer Kelly boasts a 25% strike rate at this course, making Airds Moss a clear selection.
17:37 5:37 Killarney
Columbus
Daily Racing
55 WINNB
@+275
Lose
-55
Columbus is a Group 1 flat horse now starting over hurdles. His official rating of 112 is the highest in the field. Midnight Jet and Master Haku have also finished behind Grey Jude, but Columbus’s class stands out. With jockey Kennedy’s 21.2% strike rate and trainer Ward’s 20% win rate today, he holds a significant advantage.
Subtotal95
10 May 2026
16:02 4:02 Ludlow
Pergamon
Daily Racing
86 WINNAP
@+175
Win
150
Pergamon returns to winning ways after a 1.75L victory at Huntingdon over Easter and remains on a workable mark. He won his final start for André Fabre and posted a career-best speed figure last time. Rivals Soleil d’Arizona (0% from two hurdle runs) and Zucayan (only 10% lifetime) have struggled recently. The stable is 3/27 in the last fortnight, and with William Shanahan taking a valuable 5 lb off, Pergamon can overpower this field.
15:05 3:05 Leopardstown
Alcantor
Daily Racing
55 WINNB
@+275
Lose
-55
Alcantor remains a class act, having placed at Group 1 level in France, notably finishing just a neck second in the Criterium International. He also boasts a 5/15 overall record (33% lifetime strike rate) and meets rivals who are wholly unexposed at anywhere near this grade. With Joseph O’Brien’s proven stable record and Dylan McMonagle in the saddle, Alcantor has the superior tactical speed and will relish this Listed test.
15:00 Boreham Wood v Rochdale
Draw
58 WIN
@+259
Win
151
Boreham Wood have won four of their last five National League matches, demonstrating strong momentum, while Rochdale have also posted impressive results, making this a finely balanced contest. With both teams likely to adopt a cautious approach in a high-stakes play-off final at Wembley, where the pressure often leads to tight, low-scoring affairs, a stalemate represents exceptional value and would force extra time.
Subtotal246
09 May 2026
20:00 Bolton v Bradford
Draw
58 WIN
@+259
Lose
-58
Bolton have drawn a league-high 18 matches this season, including goalless stalemates in each of the two league meetings between these sides. Bradford also enter the contest in cagey form, with three draws in their last five outings. The visitors have piled up 50 of their 77 points at Valley Parade, demonstrating vulnerability on their travels, and both teams finished the regular season separated by a solitary two-point margin. With the stakes so high in a playoff semi-final first leg, neither side will risk conceding an early advantage, making a low-scoring share of the spoils the most probable outcome.
17:17 5:17 Killarney
Linford
Daily Racing
80 WINNBNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 3.25 used instead of 2.88 takenBOG
@+225
Win
180
Linford’s assigned odds of 2.88 clearly signal that the market expects a winning performance. The race features a large 14-runner field, providing the selection with an ideal opportunity to put a previous disappointing run behind him. Jockey Tom Kiely Marshall has been in steady form, and stablemate Mountain Sky poses the main threat. But Linford’s trainer holds a solid 19% win rate from 210 runners. With a clean break, Linford can assert his authority and get back to winning ways.
16:57 4:57 Naas
Eretria
Daily Racing
120 WINNAP
@+125
Lose
-120
Eretria has won half of her two starts this season (50%), displaying significant and sustained improvement. Her Leopardstown maiden victory on soft ground was particularly taking, and she was only beaten 4¾ lengths in a Curragh Group 3 last time. Trainer Donnacha O’Brien’s 11.76% strike rate in the last 14 days adds confidence. Key rivals Caught U Sleeping and Pollenca have both been beaten off ratings of 92 (an official rating of 92) recently, whereas Eretria remains open to further improvement at the same weight. Her overall profile points to a clear victory.
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Subtotal2
08 May 2026
20:00 Hull v Millwall
Draw
65 WIN
@+229
Win
149
Millwall are unbeaten in their last five Championship outings (W3, D2) and have not lost any of their previous eight away fixtures, underlining their resilience on the road. Conversely, Hull managed just one victory in their final five regular-season matches, yet they are unbeaten across their last four home outings. Furthermore, the reverse fixture at the MKM Stadium in March ended 3-1 to the visitors, while the historical head-to-head record shows eight draws from 26 meetings. With the division's best away defence (just 24 goals conceded on the road) coming to town, a cagey first-leg stalemate between sixth and third is the likeliest outcome.
19:52 7:52 Ballinrobe
Diligo
Daily Racing
86 WINNAP
@+175
Lose
-86
The Joseph O’Brien-trained Diligo shaped with clear promise when fourth on his Gowran Park debut last month, a performance that marked him down as a colt entitled to take a significant step forward. Now pitched into a maiden where the betting market has installed him as the 13/8 favourite, he receives the services of the vastly experienced Declan McDonogh, a jockey renowned for extracting the best from such inexperienced types. The extended 1m4f trip promises to eke out further improvement from this son of Wootton Bassett, who is bred to stay much further. The chief rivals include Trojan Fighter, a 5/2 chance, and Ballyadam (13/2), who have shown only moderate ability in similar events. With the course riding yielding to soft, conditions that should pose no inconvenience for a horse from a yard that knows how to ready one, Diligo looks to have all the key boxes ticked. His official rating of 69 in this context towers above most of his rivals, and with normal improvement from that promising debut, he can shed his maiden tag at the second time of asking.
16:40 4:40 Ballinrobe
Divelment
Daily Racing
55 WINNB
@+275
Lose
-55
Divelment arrives for trainer J. Davison, having shown a consistent level of form in maidens, finishing third on two occasions, including over course and distance at Roscommon last May. The step into claiming company represents a significant drop in grade, and this son of Cotai Glory is favoured to get his head in front. The betting market agrees, sending him off as the 2/1 market leader. The chief menace appears to be Personified, a 100/30 chance who is officially rated just 54, some way below Divelment’s 67 rating, while the rest of the field is comprised of moderate sorts with little to recommend them on bare form. The yielding to soft ground should be fine, and with a clean break from stall 11, he can put his superior class to good use to land this prize.
Subtotal8
07 May 2026
20:08 8:08 Wexford
Fortysixnchange
Daily Racing
67 WINNBNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 4.33 used instead of 3.25 takenBOG
@+333
Win
223
Fortysixnchange arrives with the benefit of an inside draw in a race where the majority of key rivals have yet to prove their effectiveness over today's extended trip. His breeding and physique are strongly suited to this right-handed, undulating Wexford course, while many opponents have shown a tendency to fold quickly when tackled over similar distances. With a favourable handicap mark and a jockey in excellent recent form, he looks to hold a clear statistical advantage and is fancied to deliver.
14:15 2:15 Huntingdon
Another Day Out
Daily Racing
120 WINNAP
@+125
Lose
-120
Another Day Out holds an outstanding 50% course-and-distance record, having won and been placed from two starts over the same track and trip. Her recent five-race form string reads 3-2-4-5-1, which showcases a victory earned just two runs ago. Rivals such as Catwalk Girl and Kit's Coty both hold inferior 17% and 11% winning strike rates, respectively, and lack the same level of consistency when tackling this specific distance. With trainer M. Keighley holding a 22% recent strike rate and jockey James Best boasting a 25% win ratio from eight rides, the statistics point firmly to another victory.
Subtotal103
05 May 2026
18:07 6:07 Gowran Park
Floresta
Daily Racing
67 WINNB
@+225
Lose
-67
Floresta arrives on the back of a career-best performance when winning the Listed Vinnie Roe Stakes at Leopardstown, easily accounting for Happy Pharaoh by over four lengths. Already a dual turf winner with a 50% strike rate over 1m4f-plus trips, she concedes significant experience and class to unexposed rivals. Chief market rival Moody brings proven stamina and must be respected but faces a three-pound penalty. Jack Murtagh’s daughter can defy him and consolidate strong stable form.
15:00 3:00 Ayr
Ashen
Daily Racing
86 WINNAPNOTETip made at odds of 2.75 on 05/05 at 02:020.10 deduction for Jkr Cobbler@7.50 withdrawn at 14:29R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 1.75 x (1-0.10) = 2.58
@+157
Win
135
Ashen improved to finish a 3.5-length third at Musselburgh nine days ago, a clear step forward on his previous efforts. That form is all the more noteworthy as it came in a higher grade, and the drop into a Class 6 handicap for the first time represents a significant advantage. Three of his key rivals, including Camera Shy and Little Ted, have failed to make the frame on their most recent outings. With trainer Jim Goldie operating at a 10.5% strike rate in the past fortnight, Ashen is poised to finally break his duck.
Subtotal68
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