IVHorseRacing

Making a plausible case for frequently improbable runners.

2

Estimated Prizes
this month

£20

Estimated Prize money
this month

IVHorseRacing's Tips History

All tips
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26 April 2024
15:35 3:35 Sandown

Prince Rasam

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@51.00

Lose

-50

There's a bunch of well bred colts here but Prince Rasam is by previous Derby (2018) winner Masar. On race course debut at Chelmsford he turned over, by a convincing 2 lengths, 1/5 odds on favourite Deira Mile who subsequently ran in 4th place, 2.75 lengths behind Ancient Wisdom in the Group 1 futurity at Doncaster. Michael Bell hits the post a lot with his runners and it's not a yard you would readily associate with group race success but for me Prince Rasam looks the most interesting runner in the race.
25 April 2024
19:00 7:00 Chelmsford City

Rose Fandango

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@11.00

Lose

-50

Has previously been competitive off this rating and won last time out at this trip and grade at Wolverhampton. Hollie Doyle a notable jockey booking for the inform yard who do well at the track.
18:45 6:45 Huntingdon

Lucky Lover Boy

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@13.00

Win

35

down to a very workable rating for an inform yard who go well with their handicap hurdlers at this track. race conditions to suit and should come on for the run having made seasonal reappearance last time out.
23 April 2024
14:10 2:10 Epsom Downs

Looking For Lynda

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@9.00

Win

15

Last time out was seasonal reappearance on testing ground and Looking For Lynda doesn't go well off a break so should come on for the run. Race conditions to suit with better ground here and potentially well drawn. Yard are in good form and his rating is back down to a workable mark.
22 April 2024
19:00 7:00 Kempton

Amelias Dance

Daily Racing

25 EW

@19.00

Lose

-50

Goes well at Kempton - 3 races for 3 places including a decent 2nd place back in February - beaten 0.5 lengths but 10 lengths clear of 3rd place! Yard are in good form, go well at the track and with the jockey who is a useful 3lb claimer meaning the rating of 118 should be workable here.
16:25 3:55 Pontefract

My Honey B

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@34.00

Lose

-50

With better horses drawn wide there's the opportunity for My Honey B to run well here at a bigger price. Yard do well with their handicappers at Pontefract and with them coming off a break. Has traditionally struggled above class 6 level but is back to her last winning mark and this is her distance.
15:22 2:52 Pontefract

Bolster

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@8.00

Win

210

Yard in decent form, do well in handicaps at this level and go well at Pontefract. Good record with newcomers from other yards too. Bolster won at 10 furlongs before and showed good promise before losing his way. Well drawn and should handle the conditions.
21 April 2024
18:45 6:45 Musselburgh

Marine Wave

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@9.00

Lose

-50

4 year old Harry Angel filly getting her campaign off to a start here. Ran well in decent Listed and Group company races as a 3 year old without really troubling the scoreboards. Closed out 3 year old campaign with a decent run in a class 3spring handicap on soft ground but will appreciate the better ground here. Yard are in good form and go well in handicaps at Musselburgh.
20 April 2024
15:35 3:35 Ayr

Macdermott

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 19.00 used instead of 12.00 takenBOG

@19.00

Win

540

Younger than your typical Scottish National winner but otherwise fits the profile and won a decent event last time out at Fairyhouse. Well bred for a yard in form.
15:15 3:15 Newbury

Racingbreaks Ryder

Daily Racing

25 EW

@29.00

Lose

-50

lost his way last season after a few decent wins and performances at 7 to 8 furlongs on ground from good to soft. Frequently keen in his races he's now been gelded over the winter. Now rated 91 his peak pre-gelded rating was 97 so there is potentially scope for quick improvement here. notable jockey booking.
14:40 2:40 Newbury

Son

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@8.00

Lose

-50

Esquire looks too big a price on seasonal debut as a 3 year old but as a 2 year old Son ran well in Group and Listed company. Comes here with the yard in decent form, well bred and well drawn. Richard Hannon does well in this race too.
19 April 2024
17:45 5:45 Bath

Electric Storm

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 12.00 used instead of 9.50 takenBOG

@12.00

Win

30

Yard has a good record at this course, with last time out winners, runners coming in fresh from a break and with this jockey. Electric Storm is a Night of Thunder filly who won twice at Kempton as a 3 year old. The latest of the wins over 6 furlongs was more convincing than the 7 furlong win. This is a deeper race over 5 furlongs but on breeding should be capable both in this grade and at this trip.
15:45 3:45 Newbury

Beamish

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@12.00

Lose

-50

Has some decent back class in listed and group 3 middle distance races. Been off the track a while so there's a risk but has conditions to suit dropping into handicap company and stepping up to a marathon flat distance for the first time. notable jockey booking.
14:50 2:50 Ayr

Numitor

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Lose

-50

Is generally competitive in this grade of race with these conditions. Won the veterans handicap chase last time out at Haydock so comes here in good form and has placed at this distance from higher ratings. Should at least be competitive.
18 April 2024
13:50 1:50 Newmarket

Chief Mankato

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 34.00 used instead of 21.00 takenBOG

@34.00

Win

140

Charlie Hills' runners have been going ok without troubling the score board too much but well bred Chief Mankato's reappearance after winter gelding is an interesting, over priced, runner here who should find conditions favourable.
17 April 2024
15:35 3:35 Newmarket

True Cyan

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

Roger Varian has a good record in this race. 1 win from 4 attempts with another 2 places. Charlie Appleby's runner looks capable but at odds on represents no value for a bet. Aidan O'brien's Matrika is also a No Nay Never runner who won over 6 last timeout but Varian's True Cyan beat the Gosden's Strutting last time out comfortably enough. Strutting still holds an Oaks entry and Roger Varian generally does well with second starters after a break and last time out winners.
15:00 3:00 Newmarket

Astro King

Daily Racing

25 EWNBNOTETip made at odds of 12.00 on 16/04 at 23:320.20 deduction for Royal Rhyme@5.00 withdrawn at 09:01R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 11.00 x (1-0.20) = 9.80

@9.80

Win

19

won the Cambridgeshire last year before going abroad to try a couple of group 2s where he gave a good account without really troubling the score board. Has continued to prove effective in good quality handicaps since joining the Kublers from Sir Michael Stoute. A lot of the runners here have the back class if they can find it and it wouldn't be a surprise to see Ottoman Fleet double up on last year's win but at the prices Astro King looks a decent bet for a yard in good form.
13:50 1:50 Newmarket

Wobwobwob

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@23.00

Lose

-50

6 year old, 6 furlong, useful class 2 handicapper. Made seasonal reappearance last time out at Doncaster. Should strip fitter for that run and will appreciate the better ground here with race conditions generally favourable. Goes well at Newmarket with a useful claimer on board. Yard in pretty good form.
16 April 2024
14:55 2:55 Newmarket

Aerion Power

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@10.00

Lose

-50

Has never been far away when racing in decent handicaps at this distance. Comes here having been gelded and off a chunky break and has won fresh before. Is relatively lightly raced for a 6 year old and should at least be competitive this afternoon.
13:50 1:50 Newmarket

Isle Of Lismore

Daily Racing

25 EWNBNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 17.00 used instead of 15.00 takenBOG

@17.00

Win

55

Yard are in form and Isle of Lismore is on a workable rating for this race. Has conditions to suit and is reasonably well drawn. A return to the turf and the return of Hayley in the saddle both positives.
15 April 2024
16:03 4:00 Kelso

Eloi Du Puy

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@7.50

Lose

-50

Was all out when winning here last time out but the yard have a good record with last time out winners, a good record in handicap hurdles at Kelso and are in generally good form. This is a jump up in grade but largely has conditions to suit.
14 April 2024
15:15 3:15 Plumpton

Royal Pretender

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@13.00

Lose

-50

the Alan King yard is coming into a bit of form and he does well at Plumpton with his handicap hurdlers. Royal Pretender is a largely good ground runner capable in this grade and around this distance. Has a had a couple of near misses but down to a rating of 120 gives him a better chance than odds of 12/1 suggest.
13 April 2024
17:00 5:00 Aintree

Libberty Hunter

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 34.00 used instead of 17.00 takenBOG

@34.00

Win

140

Cheltenham's Grand Annual isn't as good a form line for this race as the Arkle and Found a Fifty was 2nd to Gaelic Warrior there so is understandably top of the market here. However, Libberty Hunter ran in a good 2nd in the Grand Annual and the 3rd place runner from that race ran a good 3rd place in the Red Rum here 2 days ago. Obviously has a bit to find on ratings but at the prices has the most each way appeal.
1 member found this comment useful
16:00 4:00 Aintree

I Am Maximus

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@8.00

Win

210

not an overly sexy bet but is proven at this level, goes in the conditions, won last time out and won the 2023 Irish Grand National. yard, as ever, in good form and this is the first string. fits age, weight and rating profile.
15:05 3:05 Aintree

Buddy One

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@13.00

Win

35

A decent 4th place in the Stayers Hurdle at Cheltenham last time out coupled with finishing 2nd in the shorter WilliamHill Handicap Hurdle at the Aintree meeting last year are both good form indicators. Likes the conditions, can handle the grade and should be competitive.
11 April 2024
16:40 4:40 Aintree

Homme Public

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@17.00

Lose

-50

Runner in form and has run well in this kind of grade before in Novice events. Yard also going well and do well at this track.
07 April 2024
15:57 3:57 Carlisle

Elleon

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@7.00

Win

5

A 3 mile chase on heavy ground with a stiff finish at Carlisle. Lightly weighted, last time out winning runner for Sam England goes back up in distance and is pretty much at the bottom of the handicap here with a jockey change to a useful 3lb claimer almost wiping out the 5lb rise from that 5 length, soft ground, Haydock victory just 8 days ago.
15:48 3:43 Bath

Blind Beggar

Daily Racing

25 EWNBNOTETip made at odds of 15.00 on 07/04 at 10:250.10 deduction for Democracy Dilemma@9.00 withdrawn at 15:51R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 14.00 x (1-0.10) = 13.60

@13.60

Win

378

Already been found in the market but Mick Appleby's well drawn, front running, soft ground horse is on a very manageable mark for this race. Dropping back in trip after running well and weakening in the final furlong over 6 last time out.
14:55 2:55 Leopardstown

Wendla

Daily Racing

25 EW

@19.00

Lose

-50

in the last 15 years no unrated horse has taken this and those with ratings only one rated less than 93 has won it. Wendla, now rated 93, won a heavy ground maiden last time out over a mile and proven stamina in the conditions over longer should suit at Leopardstown. well drawn, yard in decent form and have won this race before.
06 April 2024
14:40 2:40 Kempton

Cannon Rock

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@13.00

Lose

-50

Well drawn, last time (seasonal debut) out a comfortable winner for a yard in form. Should come on for that run too. Has won at 10 furlongs and at 12 furlongs. Up in grade for handicap debut and cheekpieces re-applied.
14:05 2:05 Kempton

Mystic Pearl

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@8.00

Lose

-50

Group 2 races over 9 furlongs were too hot for Mystic Pearl in Meydan but last year won a nice listed race over a mile at Sandown and placed in a Group 3 over a mile in France. First time cheekpieces a big plus, yard in really good form and perform well at Kempton.
04 April 2024
17:05 5:05 Warwick

Laskalin

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@10.00

Void

0

On testing ground over 3 miles and getting 20lbs (including rider's claim) from the Skeltons' Ballygrifinccottage atthe top of the market makes plenty of appeal. Cheekpieces ditched after the last outing when finishing second over 28 furlongs but made a few jumping errors. Has struggled going much beyond 3 miles and has often ran out of juice so this shorter trip should suit better.
02 April 2024
15:15 3:15 Pontefract

Looking For Lynda

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@17.00

Lose

-50

Form is closely linked to Haslam's Wen Moon who is slightly better drawn here. Their last meeting: 13th October last year, 5 furlongs on soft ground at York saw Wen Moon beat Looking for Lynda by 8.75 lengths - however Karl Burke's runner made a mess of the start and is now getting a 9lb swing at the weights (12lbs when considering Wen Moon was ridden by a 3lb claimer in that race). It should certainly be closer this time and at the odds is a better value each way bet for a yard in form that go well here.
01 April 2024
17:00 5:00 Fairyhouse

Wellhavewan

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@11.00

Win

25

Last time out was a 16 length 2nd to subsequent Kim Muir 4th - Where It All Began who probably has the pick of the Cheltenham (Kim Muir) form here. A 9lb swing in his favour now though plus the addition of a useful 5lb claimer makes him look competitively weighted and handicapped.
16:05 4:05 Kempton

Shalaa Asker

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@17.00

Win

55

A rating of 80 is workable for Shalaa Asker - a horse who has won 25% of his AW starts and placed in an additional 25%. Goes well off a break. Attempting Kempton for the first time and has Hollie Doyle back on board for the first time since a decent effort behind Equilateral at in a good handicapp at York in August last year. Brazen Idol also looks interesting if putting the Doncaster issues behind him.
29 March 2024
17:10 5:10 Chelmsford City

Prometeo

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@17.00

Lose

-50

a bunch of inform yards competing here. While Keady Town and Mr Swivel both look interesting they are way too short for a bet in this race. Marco Botti runs 3 and does well with runners first time out after gelding. Prometeo has made 4 starts - 2 on turf and 2 on AW. has placed at this distance in a grade higher. Is well drawn and looks a decent each way option against the shorties at the head of the market.
16:40 4:40 Newcastle

Kingdom Come

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@9.00

Win

15

Has had a pretty good start to the year with 2 places and a win in class 2 AW handicaps. Last time out at Wolverhampton 20 days ago he made a mess of the start, got carried right in the final furlong and still ran out the winner. Has now had 6 races on AW surfaces and hasn't been out of the placings. A competitive race but horse and yard in decent form, well drawn and trainer does well at the track too!
16:10 4:10 Newcastle

Star Harbour

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 41.00 used instead of 34.00 takenBOG

@41.00

Win

175

Has won a couple of decent turf handicaps at this distance and last time he met current market favourite Elegant Man was over 11 furlongs at Dundalk. Star Harbour was put away by Elegant Man that day by 5.75 lengths but not only was Star Harbour not wearing his usual headgear back then there is now also a 12lb swing at the weights in favour of Star Harbour to consider. finished 2nd last time out at Dundalk getting chinned close to home so drop back in trip could be favourable for a potentially well handicapped runner.
28 March 2024
20:00 8:00 Southwell

Mountain Warrior

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@8.00

Win

10

Not much class 4 form here. Carr's Digital has it but change of yard and off a break are negatives. Similarly Murphy/Keady's runner Temple Bruer likely needs the run after a chunky lay off. The Bethel yard is in decent form and partnership with Callum Rodriguez is a good one. Last time out over 7 furlongs Mountain Warrior was edgy during the race and got hampered but actually won a decent looking contest here in this grade and at this distance in race previous.
27 March 2024
15:00 3:00 Wincanton

Great Snow

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@13.00

Lose

-50

Gayle Legacy has obvious claims dropping in grade after a decent run in a 3 mile Novice Listed Hurdle last time out but Great Snow has conditions to suit for a trainer who does well in this type of race in this grade and has his yard in good form. Has won one out of eight hurdle races but placed in five more and on last winning mark.
26 March 2024
18:45 6:45 Southwell

Waiting All Night

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@9.00

Win

15

Has ran well in defeat on the turf at this distance and in better races than this. 2 runs on the AW have yielded a win at 5 furlongs and beating at 8 furlongs. Was rated 100 as a 2 year old. Got 4.75 lengths in a decent class 3, 7 furlong race at Newmarket to finish out his 3 year old season. Drop in grade, back on the AW, Hollie Doyle in the saddle, well drawn, yard in very good form and potentially well handicapped.
1 member found this comment useful
25 March 2024
17:30 5:30 Newcastle

Bearwith

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@15.00

Win

45

Has (comfortably) won off a break here previously - May 2023. It was the first of 3 wins at this distance for him last season. Rated 5 lbs higher than his previous C&D win but this should be a tougher, if open looking race with not a lot of confirmed form in the grade or at the distance. While not especially well handicapped could be well handicapped against today's field - he's getting 7lbs from the only other last time out winner - Asgard's Captain.
1 member found this comment useful
24 March 2024
15:10 3:10 Naas

Sluice

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@13.00

Win

35

Last outing as a 2 year old and Sluice finished 2 lengths behind Military in a 7 furlong, Group 3 at Leopardstown. Was 3 lbs lighter than Military and today is carrying 15lbs less. Well drawn, yard in form and weighted for competitiveness.
23 March 2024
15:35 3:35 Doncaster

Thunder Ball

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@13.00

Lose

-50

Conditions to suit and last time out winner in a similar race at Goodwood for The Coles - looks decent form too. Likes to get forward and yard in form. Balmoral winner The Gatekeeper also looks worthy of respect here.
14:25 2:25 Doncaster

Arthurs Realm

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@12.00

Win

30

This looks pretty open. In a race normally favouring 4 and 5 year olds there doesn't look a standout bet so inform Ed Dunlop with his 6 year old Camelot gelding makes a lot of appeal. Last time Arthur's Realm raced at Doncaster over a mile on soft ground in this grade was September '22. He went down a length and a half from a rating of 91 so today's mark of 82 makes him an interesting player.
1 member found this comment useful

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