GbHorseTips

A bet on seasonal reappearance at Pontefract. He was well backed on that occasion to be made 7/2 favorite off the field but was beaten four lengths back in 7th. Then sent off 9/2 second favorite at Hamilton, he was again beaten four lengths before going off 5/2 second favorite again last time out over the same course and distance. But he did at least show more there to only be beaten two and a half lengths, with the winner and second from that race both winning since. Now, 40 miles southwest of the course he's a five-time winner at, he comes to Ayr with previous form figures of 659 at the track. That doesn’t bode well, but he does drop into a Class 6 for the first time in two years with form figures in the class of 4321. The yard obviously thinks he should be running better as he’s been going off short prices, and on this drop in class, I’d make him a bet at anything 4/1+.

Going with the bigger priced of the two Jardine runners and hoping the money for the other one has been misplaced. A selection when second over course and distance off 2 lb higher in April. Two lesser shows (well, one lesser show and one absolute no-show) have followed. There's still no arguing this former winner off 73, 75, 76, and 82 (twice) is undoubtedly well treated off this career low mark of 57 when it all drops right for him. It hasn’t the last twice; it nearly did three runs ago. He gets another chance at anything 13/2+ for me here.

Sent off 4/1 favorite last time out, he was a no-show from a wide draw. But under Cian Horgan, who’s 1-37 for the yard and now has form figures of 97770 on the horse, maybe that was foreboded before the off. Mark Winn returns for the ride as he did for Young Fire's penultimate run when second over course and distance two months ago. Glasses Up won that race and subsequently followed up with another track and trip victory, except next time in a Class 4 rather than the Class 6 he was in initially. That gives a nice level of depth to the form, but he was nearly three lengths in front of our selection, so it’s the third-place runner from that race that really interests me here. Penelope’s Sister was nearly two lengths behind Young Fire on that occasion but has since won the middle of her three races, going up a decent 8lb for that win. That leaves both horses carrying 9’9” here, a 12lb swing in our favor.

A bit of a punt because you couldn’t back this one on either of his last two runs but he gets a switch from 7lb claimer Lauren Young to Paul Mulrennan and that’s the basis of my bet. Mulrennans record on the horse when taking over the ride from a claimer reads 54712242121656 so I’d expect the horse to show much better today and he was a winner over course and distance this time last year off a mark of 66. He’s undoubtedly well treated off 53 if they are trying today.