Scroggie
Looking for bets where the odds seem to underestimate the chance of winning.
1
Estimated Prizes
this month
£5
Estimated Prize money
this month
Scroggie's Tips History
15 September 2025
20:00 8:00 Kempton
Campaign Trail
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@5.00
Lose
-50
The likely favourite may have just won on tapeta, but is zero from nine on today's polytrack. That's worth taking on. Campaign Trail is a distance winner who has won on a variety of going and although he has little evidence on all-weather so far, he seems adaptable.
14:20 2:20 Thirsk
Beaune
Daily Racing
50 EWNBNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 7.00 used instead of 5.50 takenBOG
@7.00
Win
10
Beaune is a maiden but has shown improved form to come in second place on the last two runs. Proven on a soft surface, so today's going will suit.
Subtotal-40
14 September 2025
17:43 5:43 Musselburgh
Sanditon
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
Returns to the track only 5 days after showing much improved form when running second at Bath. That form should be good enough here.
16:33 4:33 Musselburgh
Im Next
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@6.50
Win
275
Has won on heavy, so the rain at Musselburgh should not be an inconvenience. Has the pace to get across towards the favored rail and drops in class.
15:43 3:43 Bath
Cindy Lou Who
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@4.00
Win
90
Has won over 6 furlongs on soft so today's conditions should be ideal for this progressive three year old who can move up in grade.
Subtotal315
13 September 2025
19:22 7:22 Musselburgh
Sanbona
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.00
Win
200
With the main opponent drawn in stall one and some way from the favoured rail, Sanbona can take advantage and race prominently towards the favoured rail. Given he sometimes races over 6 furlongs it seems unlikely he will be stopping towards the finish.
18:45 6:45 Bath
Blue Point Express
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
Recent Chepstow soft ground winner, Blue Point Express, can shrug off the three-pound rise and the extra furlong. She could make hay under these autumnal conditions and progress to the end of the season as three-year-old fillies often do.
18:22 6:22 Musselburgh
Paper Doll
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@5.50
Lose
-50
Paper Doll thrived when upped to this extended distance of two miles and two furlongs at this course on this going. In theory the two pound turnaround in the weights with the second place, Simple Star, should make it close. However, Paper Doll can be ridden with the full knowledge that she stays the distance today and that should benefit her. She may also settle better and pull less today.
18:05 6:05 Leopardstown
Zanndabad
Daily Racing
50 EW
@17.00
Lose
-100
Labeled an 'eyecatcher' when finishing well into fourth place at York last time out, and with good performances on soft in the form book, Zanndabad looks very interesting at this each-way price.
17:30 Cove Rangers v Inverness CT
Inverness CT
50 WIN
@1.53
Win
26
Inverness look a class above this division, although they haven't always converted their superiority into goals. Someone is going to get hit when their strikers hit form, and it could be Cove.
17:30 West Ham v Tottenham
Draw
50 WIN
@3.60
Lose
-50
Two sides who have both let go of good managers. Neither seems likely to have a great season, and I expect both to go downhill. A draw perhaps, and the relegation mix for both of them.
16:10 4:10 Musselburgh
On The Bubble
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@4.50
Lose
-50
Recent course and distance second place on similar going makes On The Bubble appeal. Now with a seven-pound claimer in the saddle, providing the necessary extra edge.
15:00 Bournemouth v Brighton
Bournemouth
50 WIN
@2.40
Win
70
This is the battle of the two South Coast over-achievers. Bournemouth can perhaps defy gravity the longest and continue towards the top of the Premier League for a little while yet.
15:00 Everton v Aston Villa
Everton
50 WIN
@2.40
Lose
-50
Everton could be about to have their best year for some time with a combination of new stadium and old manager. No one better than David Moyes to manage some success at Everton.
15:00 Falkirk v St Mirren
St Mirren
50 WIN
@3.20
Win
110
St Mirren are a force to be reckoned with and can see off a Falkirk team that may yet struggle to establish itself in the Premier League.
15:00 Peterhead v Hamilton
Peterhead
50 WIN
@2.75
Lose
-50
Hamilton continue in financial woes, and Peterhead have adapted well to life in this division. Home advantage may swing it their way. Hamilton's young side are not best placed to recover if going behind.
15:00 Rangers v Hearts
Hearts
50 WIN
@4.20
Win
160
Rangers' problems show little sign of abating, even if their slow square passing tactics did change against Celtic. Hearts can worry them out of this with an early goal.
Subtotal166
12 September 2025
19:45 Partick v Airdrieonians
Partick
50 WIN
@1.62
Win
31
Seems likely business as usual will prevail here with Partick anxious to stay in contention at the top and Airdrie yet to strike away from home. This one goes with form.
19:30 7:30 Ballinrobe
Blue Waters
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.50
Lose
-50
This filly takes on the colts and geldings and can repeat her victory in a fillies and mares race, as the second in that event has already won to frank the form.
17:30 5:25 Sandown
Beach Point
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@6.00
Lose
-50
A course and distance winner on today's soft going in a class 4 event which makes Beach Point very much the percentage call in this class 4 event.
17:30 5:30 Ballinrobe
Tequila Talkin
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@8.00
Lose
-50
Could be anything after a very easy win last time out at Wexford and appeals at the price. First time in a handicap and clearly in form, and may benefit from extra yardage.
17:00 4:50 Sandown
Jakarta
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@26.00
Lose
-50
A distance winner on soft ground so today's conditions should be ideal and she is going to be largely ignored in the market due to not running since last October. Of course, a three year old may have improved significantly since then.
Subtotal-169
11 September 2025
20:00 8:00 Newcastle
Monsieur Bondy
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@3.25
Win
112
The likely favourite is Spitsbergen but it has had 3 chances and been found lacking. Distance winner, Monsieur Bondy, should have no problem with the change of surface, having won on good to firm. He is taken to improve again and get home under a penalty.
17:10 5:10 Clonmel
Iron Fist
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 4.00 on 11/09 at 15:460.15 deduction for Truth Be Told@6.50 withdrawn at 16:35R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 3.00 x (1-0.15) = 3.55
@3.55
Win
127
Hopefully Iron Fist will attempt to make all as in his maiden win, two runs back. Breaking from stall 6 there is every chance he can get over to the rail, and the give in the ground should suit.
16:43 4:43 Doncaster
Boiling Over
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@10.00
Lose
-50
Headed and got back up over 7 furlongs last time out. Suspect today's one mile will suit. Short head second previously when running on good to soft, so suited by going. Probably over priced in the market as his win last time out was in a field of only three.
16:25 4:25 Epsom Downs
Tronido
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.00
Win
250
An "unchallenged" soft ground winner up the Sandown hill over a mile. Today's extra half furlong should hold no issues and neither should the rain that has been tumbling at Epsom.
Subtotal439
09 September 2025
18:45 6:45 Carlisle
Lunanova
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@3.25
Lose
-50
Rapidly Improving and out under a penalty after a comfortable four-length win at Brighton. No reason to assume the track at Carlisle will be a problem for this Brighton specialist.
18:35 6:35 Galway
Romzina
Daily Racing
50 EW
@8.00
Lose
-100
In the mix at this level more than once so represents an each way bet with just a little improvement required to win this.
18:05 6:05 Galway
Goldrush Kid
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.00
Lose
-50
Likes soft going and will race prominently from a similar handicap mark to when second last time out so should remain competitive. Has winning form over further so should run on when challenged.
16:25 4:25 Leicester
Tanjen
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@4.50
Lose
-50
Taken to follow up an all-weather win under a penalty. Has improved since a second place at Ayr suggested turf is no inconvenience.
Subtotal-250
08 September 2025
19:10 7:10 Newcastle
Starshot
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@12.00
Lose
-50
This field is weak enough for Starshot to double up on a recent course and distance win from a handy high draw.
18:04 6:04 Windsor
Whenthedealinsdone
Daily Racing
50 EWNB
@17.00
Lose
-100
Has winning form on good to soft turf in his backstory, so shouldn't be dismissed as an all-weather horse having a primer for the season ahead. A six-month layoff is a concern, but he has run well without winning when back from a break in the past. That hat trick of all-weather wins cannot be considered a negative, and the odds are certainly interesting as an each-way bet.
17:34 5:34 Windsor
Ran Amok
Daily Racing
50 EWNAP
@7.00
Lose
-100
Ran Amok won by a short head last time out. The horse he beat has won twice since including from a seven pound higher mark. That win can be upgraded and gives Ran Amok a good chance here at an each way price.
Subtotal-250
07 September 2025
17:50 5:30 York
Earthwatch
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.00
Lose
-50
Earthwatch was such an easy winner last time out that he may shrug off a substantial rise in the handicap on similar going and over the same distance.
17:00 5:00 York
Zapphire
Daily Racing
50 EW
@17.00
Win
110
Zapphire has hit form with a win at Windsor and gone up only 2 pounds in the ratings for that, so must remain competitive and is available at an each-way price.
16:30 4:30 York
Lethal Levi
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@4.50
Lose
-50
The Haggas horse will be short because the stable is in such good form. Therefore the value could lie with Lethal Levi who will probably attempt to make all and could take some catching.
16:00 4:00 York
Danger Bay
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@3.00
Lose
-50
Lightly raced and progressive, Danger Bay can advance to take this York race, although it won't do his handicap weight in the Cambridgeshire any good if he does.
Subtotal-40
06 September 2025
19:42 7:42 Wolverhampton
Golden Garden
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.50
Win
75
Keeping on over 12 furlongs when beaten into third by a nose and a short head in a blanket finish last time out. This three-year-old is upped in trip and that should suit.
19:12 7:12 Wolverhampton
Pretty Spirited
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.00
Lose
-50
Has improved recently to win the last two outings and can shrug off a four pound rise in the handicap mark while in such good form.
18:42 6:42 Wolverhampton
Travel Agent
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.00
Lose
-50
Thrived on first all-weather run when held up and victorious over 6 furlongs. Hope for different tactics today over 5 furlongs. Has been keen in the past, so should be more prominent and stay up with the pace over 5 furlongs.
16:35 4:35 Thirsk
Diligently
Daily Racing
50 EW
@21.00
Win
150
Diligently returned to form with a short head win at Windsor and remains on a competitive mark. Won a valuable race in a big field at York last season and can mix it at this level.
16:00 4:00 Thirsk
Orchid
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@9.50
Lose
-50
Lightly raced Orchid should have further improvement to come and should be suited by moving up to 7 furlongs, with a small question mark perhaps raised by moving to turf from all-weather.
15:00 3:00 Haydock
Paddy The Squire
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@8.50
Lose
-50
Paddy The Squire goes for the hat trick after three strong finishes over 12 furlongs, which suggest this extra two furlongs may bring out improvement.
14:40 2:40 Ascot
Darkness
Daily Racing
50 EWNAP
@23.00
Lose
-100
Darkness won "going away" last time out on good to firm but has previously won on soft ground and could figure here at an interesting each way price.
Subtotal-75
04 September 2025
14:05 2:00 Haydock
Spartan Times
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@3.50
Lose
-50
A five-pound penalty for a win of over 5 lengths seems unlikely to be enough to stop this recent Ripon winner from following up under the same amateur jockey. It even brings previous winning form on good to soft to the table, so some rain won't get in the way.
Subtotal-50
02 September 2025
20:15 8:15 Wolverhampton
Moonlit Cloud
Daily Racing
50 EW
@12.00
Lose
-100
Mostly runs over 10 furlongs but could come good over this 12 furlongs as ran on into third place last time out over 10 furlongs and has previously been second on turf over 11.5 furlongs. Likely to be held up and could be seen finishing to advantage if the pace isn't too strong. Wide draw is not an inconvenience over this trip at Wolverhampton.
17:25 5:25 Chepstow
Call Time
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.75
Win
87
Ran a close second under similar conditions at Ffos Las just a week ago and runs from the same handicap mark whereas the chief opponent lacks the soft ground credentials and carries a penalty.
16:55 4:55 Chepstow
Step Along
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@2.88
Lose
-50
Has been knocking on the door and there are soft ground victories on both sides of the pedigree so conditions today may make the difference.
16:43 4:43 Goodwood
Bownder
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@8.00
Lose
-50
The sire Belardo had winning form on soft ground, and the selection kept on over this distance into second place last time out, so may not be as inconvenienced by conditions as other runners.
14:58 2:58 Goodwood
Speed Of Maajid
Daily Racing
50 EW
@8.00
Lose
-100
Has already shown an ability to cope with heavy ground with a close up fourth place over course and distance. Runs from the same handicap mark today and should be very competitive in what may be a lesser quality field.
Subtotal-213
Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.
