Scroggie
Looking for bets where the odds seem to underestimate the chance of winning.
1
Estimated Prizes
this month
£5
Estimated Prize money
this month
Scroggie's Tips History
09 November 2025
16:00 4:00 Ffos Las
Telegram Dam
Daily Racing
50 EWNAP
@SP
Lose
-100
The selection brings German flat form to the event and will have no stamina worries, having stayed up to 2 miles on the flat. Interesting newcomer at a price.
15:00 Aberdeen v Motherwell
Motherwell
50 WIN
@3.10
Lose
-50
Why wouldn't Motherwell's flowing possession football style come out on top against an Aberdeen side that continues to underperform? Motherwell could have been favorites here, so their odds look valuable.
15:00 Dundee v Rangers
Dundee
50 WIN
@7.50
Lose
-50
Rangers remain in crisis, and a Dundee side at home on a good day would be exactly what they don't need. Given the unpredictable form of Rangers, the Dundee odds look like value.
14:00 Aston Villa v Bournemouth
Draw
50 WIN
@3.50
Lose
-50
Aston Villa are not free scorers at home so far this season, and a Bournemouth team that has been competitive in away games can match them here.
14:00 Brentford v Newcastle
Brentford
50 WIN
@2.90
Win
95
Newcastle are yet to win away from home this season and have scored only 2 goals in 5 away fixtures. That points to Brentford, who should be favorites yet aren't. Value.
14:00 Nottm Forest v Leeds
Nottm Forest
50 WIN
@2.30
Win
65
Nottingham Forest have perked up recently and could drag Leeds down into their struggle at the bottom. Leeds have conceded 12 goals in five away games and scored only three. Forest are the percentage call.
Subtotal-90
08 November 2025
17:30 Sunderland v Arsenal
Sunderland
50 WIN
@8.50
Lose
-50
Sunderland are in the form to cause a major hazard to Arsenal and only need a small turn of fortune to stay involved until the end of this match. Value odds.
15:00 Dunfermline v St Johnstone
St Johnstone
50 WIN
@2.00
Lose
-50
St Johnstone seem likely to pull clear in this division and can open the difference at the top after Partick only scrambled a late draw last night.
15:00 Everton v Fulham
Everton
50 WIN
@2.30
Win
65
Everton, now under top management (what were West Ham thinking), can continue their progress with a home win against a Fulham side who bring a similar long-term mid-table profile, but don't have the same current upside.
15:00 Hamilton v Peterhead
Peterhead
50 WIN
@4.20
Lose
-50
Hamilton have done well with few supporters following them to their current home and financial worries to the fore. I suspect they will tumble down the table soon, and Peterhead are more than capable of starting that decline for them.
15:00 Inverness CT v Cove Rangers
Inverness CT
50 WIN
@1.36
Win
18
Inverness are in charge in this division despite starting on minus five points. They will win regularly with the only issue being that they rarely score as many as their superiority suggests, so opponents remain live for a draw towards the end of games. On the other hand, someone will get a pasting if they turn the class difference into goals.
15:00 Ross County v Ayr
Ross County
50 WIN
@2.35
Lose
-50
It's a crisis at Ross County if they don't start winning games like this at home. They are better than their league position and can gain in confidence if they score first here.
13:17 1:17 Kelso
Dare To Shout
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@6.00
Lose
-50
A couple of good runs from this stable's representatives this week, so take this last time out winner to follow up while the stable's runners are in such fine fettle.
12:30 Blackburn v Derby
Derby
50 WIN
@4.00
Win
150
An evenly balanced look to this, and although the draw is logical, the odds for Derby probably are the best value in this close match.
12:30 Hull v Portsmouth
Hull
50 WIN
@2.10
Win
55
Hull's home form is well ahead of Portsmouth's away form, so anything from evens up looks like value. Portsmouth are not frequent scorers and at best may scramble a draw.
12:30 Millwall v Preston
Preston
50 WIN
@3.60
Lose
-50
Low scoring teams, so why not take the odds for Preston when Millwall have been far from fluent at home and have problems hitting the net.
12:30 Tottenham v Man Utd
Man Utd
50 WIN
@2.60
Lose
-50
A choice between a team that has stuck by its manager and is now progressing, and a team that lost patience and abandoned a promising manager too soon after under-resourcing him. So, if there's any justice, it will be United to make further progress.
Subtotal-62
04 November 2025
15:10 3:10 Lingfield
Laurentia
Daily Racing
50 EWNAP
@10.00
Lose
-100
Went into the notebook last time out. At rear until approaching the straight, this mare was then impeded twice by traffic and got going too late. Then finished faster than any, to come through the crowd and finish fifth. Hopefully she won't be held up to get the trip to the same extent over today's two furlongs shorter. This mile is generally the distance that she runs over, and on the evidence of the last run, she is fit and well.
Subtotal-100
03 November 2025
20:00 Sunderland v Everton
Sunderland
50 WIN
@2.75
Lose
-50
Both these teams seem likely to show a strong home preference. So the selection is Sunderland, even though I suspect they are currently flying rather high in the division and are likely to slip backwards over the season.
19:30 Tamworth v Leyton Orient
Leyton Orient
50 WIN
@1.70
Win
35
Tamworth's home form in the National league is insufficient to suggest they can cope with the much higher rated Leyton Orient. No surprise here.
19:15 7:15 Southwell
Eupator
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.00
Lose
-50
Second over this distance after several months off following a gelding operation. Can be expected to improve for that placed run.
18:45 6:45 Southwell
Mae Amor
Daily Racing
50 EW
@11.00
Lose
-100
This three-year-old filly may well be improving and can follow up a distance win at Southwell. Hopefully, she will be ridden closer to the pace, with Wolverhampton's short straight often making it difficult for strong finishers to get up.
16:00 4:00 Kempton
Dandy G Boy
Daily Racing
50 EWNB
@6.00
Lose
-100
A course and distance winner less than 3 weeks ago, so in good form and only 3 pounds up in the handicap. Attractive at the price, especially each way in an 8 runner field.
13:00 1:00 Kempton
Jazz Scene
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@3.00
Lose
-50
Jazz Scene comes with a useful inside draw and only a few pounds higher than when winning last two outings at Southwell. He often runs prominently so is likely to take advantage of stall one and enter the straight with a clear run ahead. As the Kempton rail cutaway on the inside assists, no traffic problems are anticipated.
Subtotal-315
02 November 2025
14:00 West Ham v Newcastle
West Ham
50 WIN
@5.50
Win
225
Newcastle are not prolific scorers, especially not away from home. So, West Ham should stay in this and can scramble a first win at home at attractive odds.
Subtotal225
01 November 2025
15:00 Cove Rangers v Peterhead
Peterhead
50 WIN
@2.62
Win
81
Local Aberdeenshire derby and I suspect the visitor from the north, only just beaten by Inverness last week, are favourites. Especially when Cove's continued financial problems are likely to affect the numbers and/or quality of their subs bench.
15:00 Falkirk v Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
50 WIN
@3.75
Lose
-50
Falkirk came unstuck against a revitalized Celtic, and that may affect the confidence of the newly promoted team, who I suspect may be heading down the table after a promising start.
15:00 Inverness CT v Montrose
Inverness CT
50 WIN
@1.40
Win
20
Inverness are a class above in this division, and while there can always be a hiccup given they don't score prolifically, it does feel a little like buying money at 2/5.
15:00 Livingston v Hibernian
Hibernian
50 WIN
@1.95
Lose
-50
Expecting Hibs to resume their promising form here and dispose of lowly Livingston, who can be stuffy and difficult to break down on a good day. Hibs to win this nearly derby match.
Subtotal1
18 October 2025
17:30 Fulham v Arsenal
Fulham
50 WIN
@8.00
Lose
-50
Home advantage is a powerful thing, and these odds look generous. A derby match, so perhaps less predictable. Arsenal are the team under pressure to stay near the top of the division.
17:30 Peterhead v Queen of South
Peterhead
50 WIN
@2.25
Win
62
Peterhead are fully competitive in this league, and Queen of the South offer no special form. Home win most likely.
15:00 Cove Rangers v Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir
50 WIN
@2.20
Win
60
Stenhousemuir are a difficult side to beat as Inverness discovered when losing to them at home. Cove have financial issues and can be opposed. They may not even put together a full subs bench.
15:00 Inverness CT v Kelty Hearts
Inverness CT
50 WIN
@1.15
Lose
-50
This should be a formality for an Inverness side that look better than this division and have already caught up a 5 point deduction to be in contention at the top.
15:00 Man City v Everton
Everton
50 WIN
@8.00
Lose
-50
Everton, under fine management this year, are going to be difficult to beat. Should they hang in, a second half goal might be enough.
15:00 Montrose v Hamilton
Montrose
50 WIN
@2.62
Lose
-50
Full marks to Hamilton for hanging in so long, but their severe financial problems may prevent them from maintaining this early form. Oppose them - they will probably slip down the table.
15:00 Motherwell v Falkirk
Motherwell
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
Motherwell have been playing some good football this season and should have enough guns to beat newly promoted Falkirk even if the latter have made a fairly good start to this division.
15:00 Rangers v Dundee Utd
Dundee Utd
50 WIN
@7.50
Lose
-50
There are no grounds to assume that a managerless and rudderless Rangers team should be short-priced here. The value is in Dundee United's price.
15:00 St Mirren v Aberdeen
St Mirren
50 WIN
@2.45
Lose
-50
Some signs of Aberdeen improvement cannot be taken seriously yet. St Mirren are having a good season and should see them off.
Subtotal-228
14 October 2025
16:44 4:44 Leicester
It Just Takes Time
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@15.00
Lose
-50
Well enough drawn in stall 6 to get across towards what looks like the favoured low number side today. Won last time out and won this race last year. Seems likely to make a go of it.
Subtotal-50
12 October 2025
17:22 5:22 Goodwood
Just Keep Flying
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@3.25
Lose
-50
Course and distance winner, Just Keep Flying, hasn't kept any secrets from the handicapper with that debut win but can probably improve and still be a step ahead.
15:52 3:52 Chepstow
Mount Tempest
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.50
Lose
-50
Good winner over this distance at Worcester last time out. With a top jockey engaged, must have every chance of a repeat against challengers, many of whom are back from a summer break and may not be yet at their fittest.
15:02 3:02 Goodwood
Swift Winds
Daily Racing
50 EWNAP
@15.00
Lose
-100
The experienced Swift Winds takes a drop in class to try for another 7 furlong victory. Has also gone down only a neck here at Goodwood over a mile so no questions over the course or over stamina.
Subtotal-200
Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.
