Scroggie

Looking for bets where the odds seem to underestimate the chance of winning.

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Scroggie's Tips History

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All sports
18 July 2025
18:35 6:35 Hamilton

Northern Ticker

Daily Racing

50 EWNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 23.00 used instead of 15.00 takenBOG

@23.00

Win

170

Preference for middle draws over the six at Hamilton recently and Northern Ticker just fits. May have been laid out for this, with one run this season for which he must improve. Could be the proverbial handicap blot if improving on two year old form which included a listed third. Good to soft looks ideal with any extra rain as a bonus. Mulrennan is his usual jockey and couldn't be improved on. The Dods stable has moved into form with half a dozen winners in the last fortnight. All good.
16:31 4:31 Nottingham

Lilac Wine

Daily Racing

50 EW

@9.50

Lose

-100

First time in a handicap and with a pedigree that suggests good to soft or even more rain would suit. Going up in distance should also suit as her mare has a 20-furlong listed soft ground win in Germany, beating a Mark Prescott horse by a short head in her back catalogue.
15:25 3:25 Nottingham

Impulse Buy

Daily Racing

50 EWNB

@81.00

Lose

-100

Labelled an "eye-catcher" on the first of his three runs, Impulse Buy is running in his first handicap. Hampered early and making no show last time out, which is good for the odds today. This is a very average class five event just waiting for an improver to come out of the pack.
12 July 2025
15:10 3:10 York

Qitaal

Daily Racing

100 WINNAP

@23.00

Lose

-100

Several of the fancied runners here are drawn in double figures but the winner is much more likely to come from a single figure draw. The Johnson stable has moved into good form and the addition of a visor may give Qitaal the help required to win this from stall 2. Joanna Mason is an excellent jockey booking.
11 July 2025
19:40 7:40 Chepstow

Alices Impact

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

Proven over quirky courses such as Brighton and undulating Chepstow. In good form and middle draw offers options. May lead or be prominent and make her own draw after a furlong.
18:55 6:55 Chester

Miami Matrix

Daily Racing

50 WINNBNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@4.50

Win

175

Ready Winner over course and distance last time out. Drops in grade but carries a lot more weight as a result, despite only being raised 5 pounds in the handicap ratings. Handy mid draw works well over this trip at Chester. Lightly raced and probably capable of coping with the handicapper's reassessment.
17:07 5:07 York

Protest Rally

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@7.00

Lose

-100

I favor lower numbers on good to firm over 5 furlongs at York. Protest Rally, whom I saw win at Musselburgh earlier this season, breaks well and can pick it up on the inside rail towards the conclusion.
15:45 3:45 Ascot

Ghaiyya

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@7.50

Lose

-50

Fast improving Ghaiyya will probably put his stamina to good use and attempt to make all here before moving to even further than this 12 furlongs. The Johnson stable is in good form.
08 July 2025
20:42 8:42 Brighton

Tea Sea

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@4.33

Lose

-50

Tea Set's recent second place over course and distance looks good in the context of this race. He faces a lot fewer opponents today and is the value against two at shorter odds that do not stand out.
20:30 8:30 Uttoxeter

Turpin Gold

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@6.00

Lose

-100

The likely favourite is 10 pounds up in the handicap and can be taken on with Turpin Gold who has good recent form and is difficult to keep out of the frame.
06 July 2025
16:55 4:55 Market Rasen

Top Of The Bay

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@4.50

Lose

-50

"Kept on well" is a fairly typical comment about the selection's finishing over two and a half miles, so we can be optimistic that today's three miles is well worth a try. Course winner last time out and suited by today's going.
16:40 4:40 Ayr

Daring Leader

Daily Racing

50 EW

@5.50

Lose

-100

Maiden, but getting closer recently. Billy Loughnane is an excellent jockey booking. Mid draw fine over this trip. Opponents look modest. Today could be the day.
16:20 4:20 Market Rasen

Pull Again Green

Daily Racing

50 WINNAPNOTETip made at odds of 5.50 on 06/07 at 13:260.10 deduction for Half Shot@9.00 withdrawn at 15:15R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 4.50 x (1-0.10) = 5.05

@5.05

Win

202

Pull Again Green revived to win at Worcester last time out and remains on a useful handicap mark. Generally been running over three miles recently but has won over two and a half before. With YCCS Portocervo likely to take a lead and get on with it, we can be hopeful that the selection's stamina will come in useful up the home straight.
16:05 4:05 Ayr

Starliner

Daily Racing

50 EW

@19.00

Lose

-100

Has rarely run on soft ground, but has won on it as a two year old. Two runs back was a comfortable winner over Hamilton's stiff nine furlongs so should manage ten furlongs at Ayr. Excellent young jockey engaged and the stable had a winner last Monday. Wide draw not significant over this trip. Interesting at the price.
02 July 2025
17:13 5:13 Thirsk

Kats Bob

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@9.00

Lose

-100

Kats Bob made all at York and quickly moved from a mid-stall to the inside, beating home draws one and two, who were placed. So he successfully made his own favoured draw there, but today, drawn wide, he may find the standside rail easy to reach and could lead all the way along that rail in a repeat from just three pounds higher in the handicap ratings.

Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

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