Scroggie
Looking for bets where the odds seem to underestimate the chance of winning.
0
Estimated Prizes
this month
£0
Estimated Prize money
this month
Scroggie's Tips History
01 November 2025
15:00 Cove Rangers v Peterhead
Peterhead
50 WIN
@2.62
Win
81
Local Aberdeenshire derby and I suspect the visitor from the north, only just beaten by Inverness last week, are favourites. Especially when Cove's continued financial problems are likely to affect the numbers and/or quality of their subs bench.
15:00 Falkirk v Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
50 WIN
@3.75
Lose
-50
Falkirk came unstuck against a revitalized Celtic, and that may affect the confidence of the newly promoted team, who I suspect may be heading down the table after a promising start.
15:00 Inverness CT v Montrose
Inverness CT
50 WIN
@1.40
Win
20
Inverness are a class above in this division, and while there can always be a hiccup given they don't score prolifically, it does feel a little like buying money at 2/5.
15:00 Livingston v Hibernian
Hibernian
50 WIN
@1.95
Lose
-50
Expecting Hibs to resume their promising form here and dispose of lowly Livingston, who can be stuffy and difficult to break down on a good day. Hibs to win this nearly derby match.
Subtotal1
18 October 2025
17:30 Fulham v Arsenal
Fulham
50 WIN
@8.00
Lose
-50
Home advantage is a powerful thing, and these odds look generous. A derby match, so perhaps less predictable. Arsenal are the team under pressure to stay near the top of the division.
17:30 Peterhead v Queen of South
Peterhead
50 WIN
@2.25
Win
62
Peterhead are fully competitive in this league, and Queen of the South offer no special form. Home win most likely.
15:00 Cove Rangers v Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir
50 WIN
@2.20
Win
60
Stenhousemuir are a difficult side to beat as Inverness discovered when losing to them at home. Cove have financial issues and can be opposed. They may not even put together a full subs bench.
15:00 Inverness CT v Kelty Hearts
Inverness CT
50 WIN
@1.15
Lose
-50
This should be a formality for an Inverness side that look better than this division and have already caught up a 5 point deduction to be in contention at the top.
15:00 Man City v Everton
Everton
50 WIN
@8.00
Lose
-50
Everton, under fine management this year, are going to be difficult to beat. Should they hang in, a second half goal might be enough.
15:00 Montrose v Hamilton
Montrose
50 WIN
@2.62
Lose
-50
Full marks to Hamilton for hanging in so long, but their severe financial problems may prevent them from maintaining this early form. Oppose them - they will probably slip down the table.
15:00 Motherwell v Falkirk
Motherwell
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
Motherwell have been playing some good football this season and should have enough guns to beat newly promoted Falkirk even if the latter have made a fairly good start to this division.
15:00 Rangers v Dundee Utd
Dundee Utd
50 WIN
@7.50
Lose
-50
There are no grounds to assume that a managerless and rudderless Rangers team should be short-priced here. The value is in Dundee United's price.
15:00 St Mirren v Aberdeen
St Mirren
50 WIN
@2.45
Lose
-50
Some signs of Aberdeen improvement cannot be taken seriously yet. St Mirren are having a good season and should see them off.
Subtotal-228
14 October 2025
16:44 4:44 Leicester
It Just Takes Time
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@15.00
Lose
-50
Well enough drawn in stall 6 to get across towards what looks like the favoured low number side today. Won last time out and won this race last year. Seems likely to make a go of it.
Subtotal-50
12 October 2025
17:22 5:22 Goodwood
Just Keep Flying
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@3.25
Lose
-50
Course and distance winner, Just Keep Flying, hasn't kept any secrets from the handicapper with that debut win but can probably improve and still be a step ahead.
15:52 3:52 Chepstow
Mount Tempest
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.50
Lose
-50
Good winner over this distance at Worcester last time out. With a top jockey engaged, must have every chance of a repeat against challengers, many of whom are back from a summer break and may not be yet at their fittest.
15:02 3:02 Goodwood
Swift Winds
Daily Racing
50 EWNAP
@15.00
Lose
-100
The experienced Swift Winds takes a drop in class to try for another 7 furlong victory. Has also gone down only a neck here at Goodwood over a mile so no questions over the course or over stamina.
Subtotal-200
11 October 2025
17:05 5:05 York
Spioradalta
Daily Racing
50 EWNB
@8.00
Lose
-100
Not too keen on the draw, but Spioradalta can't stop winning. Although up 3 more pounds, he must surely be in with a strong chance over a distance and on going that suit. The last win was at Hamilton, so he will be underestimated and that will be reflected in the price. He'd be favorite if that win had been in the south.
16:50 4:50 Newmarket
Media Darling
Daily Racing
50 EWNAP
@81.00
Lose
-100
Too keen last time out and passed in the final hundred yards, but if controlled and less green this filly has the pace to be prominent here and should have plenty of improvement to come after only three runs. Each way, as the plan is probably to obtain black type for stud value by making the frame, with anything more as a bonus.
15:15 3:15 York
Gweedore
Daily Racing
50 EW
@34.00
Lose
-100
Still close to his best at 8 years old and running well on the last 3 outings, it would be no surprise if draw one assists at York over 6 furlongs. With a rail to run against, Gweedore, generally prominent, may hang on towards the end.
15:00 Grimsby v Colchester
Grimsby
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
Colchester regularly flirt with demotion from this league. I would oppose them as sooner or later they seem likely to drop into trouble, as usual.
15:00 Morton v Partick
Partick
50 WIN
@2.10
Lose
-50
Morton have stubbornly claimed draws, but given their financial issues, their ability to hang on will be running out of fortune soon. Partick to win this local derby.
15:00 St Johnstone v Ross County
Ross County
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
Despite the wide gap in points, Ross County have begun to show some form and will be marching up the table soon. St Johnstone, strolling away at the top so far, could be surprised here.
Subtotal-450
09 October 2025
20:00 8:00 Newcastle
Above
Daily Racing
50 EWNAP
@6.50
Lose
-100
Drops back down to a grade 5 at a lower mark than when winning over the course and distance in March and is probably now primed for a winter campaign on the all weather. The number one draw is of little consequence in this small field and Above tends to be prominent so may be front rank and make his own draw.
19:45 Scotland v Greece
Scotland
50 WIN
@3.00
Win
100
Results in competitive matches have been reasonable for Scotland recently. If set up to compensate for a lack of pace in central defence, they can keep a clean sheet here and get home with one goal in what may be a cagey affair.
Subtotal0
04 October 2025
15:00 Hamilton v Inverness CT
Inverness CT
50 WIN
@2.10
Lose
-50
Inverness can prove they are walk away winners of this division by beating second place Hamilton away from home. It looks like Inverness have assembled a side too talented for the rest of this league.
14:11 2:11 Redcar
Solar Bentley
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@4.33
Lose
-50
Can back up a recent Pontefract soft ground win over slightly further. Has already won over today's distance of ten furlongs.
Subtotal-100
29 September 2025
20:00 Everton v West Ham
Everton
50 WIN
@1.73
Lose
-50
David Moyes as manager, a great boon for Everton and a great loss for West Ham. I expect him to make no mistake here and hammer that point home to his former employers as Everton's progression resumes.
Subtotal-50
28 September 2025
16:22 4:22 Curragh
Ascending
Daily Racing
50 EWNBNOTETip made at odds of 7.50 on 28/09 at 11:030.10 deduction for Light As Air@9.00 withdrawn at 11:09R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 6.50 x (1-0.10) = 6.85Best Odds Guaranteed SP 9.00 used instead of 6.85 BOG
@9.00
Win
30
Ascending brings top staying form from York and Ascot to this stamina sapping handicap and has previous winning form on soft ground. He's won this season over 12 furlongs on good ground so also possesses a touch of speed that is unusual for a strong stayer. Looks like the percentage call.
15:12 3:12 Curragh
Queen Of Mougins
Daily Racing
50 EWNAP
@19.00
Lose
-100
Queen of Mougins has excellent soft ground form, and although a course and distance winner on good going she has also run well over seven furlongs in testing conditions. I expect she will be running on at the finish as some of these sprinters hit the wall. Curious also that last year's winner and probable favourite, My Mate Alfie, generally finds good going to run on, and despite a win on yielding ground he is untried on soft or worse.
Subtotal-70
Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.
