Scroggie
Looking for bets where the odds seem to underestimate the chance of winning.
1
Estimated Prizes
this month
£5
Estimated Prize money
this month
Scroggie's Tips History
18 December 2025
14:22 2:22 Southwell
Ten Carat Harry
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.00
Win
50
Just does enough, and with wins last twice by a neck has not attracted too much attention from the handicapper. Can go in yet again for what will be a four-timer and makes five wins from last six.
Subtotal50
17 December 2025
20:00 Dundee Utd v Celtic
Dundee Utd
50 WIN
@6.50
Win
275
Celtic have only four wins from seven away fixtures, scoring and conceding about one per game. Given the problems caused by a recent management change and the probable low scoring in this event, they have to be taken on at these odds. The draw, perhaps nil-nil, is also attractive.
19:10 7:10 Kempton
Calaxy
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@12.00
Lose
-50
Calaxy has tumbled down the handicap ratings in a poor season. Now in form, Billy Loughnane is engaged. Perhaps better is expected from a useful mark.
18:40 6:40 Kempton
Angel Hunter
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.00
Lose
-50
Back to a mile will help after snatching a dead heat on the line with a strong finish over 7 furlongs last time out. The chief opponent, Uniting, is moving up in grade now, going for a hat trick.
18:10 6:10 Kempton
Dubai Honour
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@3.12
Lose
-50
Dubai Honour can finish ahead of Shader again, given that there is no weight turnaround for that recent victory. More trouble could be Ancient Wisdom, with a stable and jockey in form.
Subtotal125
16 December 2025
15:30 3:30 Wincanton
Phoenix Risen
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@8.00
Lose
-50
Started the season with a fine third in a big field at Exeter and should be primed now for a big run in this race, which he won in 2024 and which, presumably, is the target.
15:20 3:20 Catterick
Clay Pigeons
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@1.73
Win
36
Winning Irish Bumper form from Cork looks the best on offer here. So Clay Pigeons is taken to defy the winner's penalty.
Subtotal-14
15 December 2025
20:00 Man Utd v Bournemouth
Man Utd
50 WIN
@1.83
Lose
-50
While Bournemouth can stay tight away from home, conceding few goals, they may struggle to keep out a reviving United side. The two teams are heading in opposite directions in the table at present.
20:00 Sheff Wed v Derby
Derby
50 WIN
@2.15
Win
57
Wednesday are adrift at the bottom with one win in nineteen and are just the place Derby needs to visit to get back into the groove after a run of weak results.
19:45 Rangers v Hibernian
Hibernian
50 WIN
@4.20
Lose
-50
This is the season to take on the Old Firm. And while Rangers have shown improvement, it hasn't been convincing yet. The longer Hibs hang in here, the more nervous home fans and players become.
15:20 3:20 Naas
Springs Steen
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@3.00
Lose
-50
Brings the best form to the table here and is a worthy favourite, labelled an “eye-catcher” in the form book for his close-up third place on debut.
15:19 3:19 Monmore
Winterfield Boom
Daily Races
50 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-50
Has been finishing strongly over four bends recently and could even get a good start here, surrounded by missed breaks and slow starters like himself.
14:50 2:50 Naas
Titanium
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@SP
Lose
-50
May improve for his third at Musselburgh where he came up against two reasonable opponents for the top Russell and Richards stables. That form may be better than it looks.
Subtotal-193
14 December 2025
20:07 8:07 Kinsley
Norden Girl
Daily Races
50 WIN
@4.50
Lose
-50
Looks like a match to the first bend between the selection in Trap 4 and the dog in Trap 1. Hopefully that will relegate the others to some traffic issues, with both dogs to pass.
15:00 Aberdeen v Kilmarnock
Draw
50 WIN
@3.70
Lose
-50
Aberdeen are not free-scoring at home, and Kilmarnock run a tight ship when away and have proved difficult to beat. That points to a low-scoring game where a draw is very possible.
14:00 Sunderland v Newcastle
Sunderland
50 WIN
@3.50
Win
125
The odds do not reflect Sunderland's effective start to a season in the top flight. That makes them the value bet against a Newcastle side that score few when away from home.
14:00 West Ham v Aston Villa
Aston Villa
50 WIN
@2.15
Win
57
Signs of improvement at West Ham are sporadic. Meanwhile, Aston Villa go from strength to strength and are worthy favourites here.
12:30 12:30 Southwell
Seasmoke
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@SP
Lose
-50
Two recent winners in contention here, and the selection is the younger one??"probably with more scope. Usually held up, it may be the one that he will have to close down in the straight.
12:20 12:20 Navan
Spinola Bay
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@7.50
Win
325
Getting some support in the market after a long layoff. The selection from the strong Elliott stable could make a winning return.
Subtotal357
13 December 2025
15:00 Alloa v Queen of South
Alloa
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
I watched Queen of the South look toothless away to Inverness quite recently. With Alloa going well in this league, they seem the likely winners.
15:00 Coventry v Bristol City
Coventry
50 WIN
@1.65
Win
32
Coventry are expected to stop wobbling and resume normal progress to the Championship title. Not expecting many lost points at home from here on.
15:00 Inverness CT v Hamilton
Inverness CT
50 WIN
@1.65
Win
32
Inverness, having avoided a cup banana skin in midweek, can resume normal service against a Hamilton team currently flirting with bankruptcy.
14:32 2:32 Lingfield
Paso Doble
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@5.00
Lose
-50
Has reasonable recent form up to Class Two level, and this is a Class Four. Should be very competitive here, and the odds reflect the additional half mile, which may or may not suit.
13:57 1:57 Lingfield
Kankin
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@6.50
Lose
-50
Down 5 pounds from his last hurdle mark and probably well handicapped now. A distance winner, and the predicted good to soft ground should not impede him. Further rain would not be welcome.
12:55 12:55 Doncaster
Rumoursareflying
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@SP
Lose
-50
The selection has won 2 of his last 3 outings and seems in fine fettle. He is a specialist two-miler, while some in the field may be better over further.
12:47 12:47 Lingfield
Cinquenta
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@SP
Lose
-50
This race looks like a match between the top two in the betting. The selection comes from an in-form stable, and that swings it.
12:30 Salford City v Colchester
Salford City
50 WIN
@2.30
Win
65
What are Colchester doing in mid-table? Surely they are regularly flirting with demotion out of Division Two. Salford can help them back down.
12:30 Stoke v Swansea
Swansea
50 WIN
@4.50
Lose
-50
At this price, Swansea are worth a shot in what is quite a tight division. Stoke are no world-beaters and can come unstuck at home.
Subtotal-171
10 December 2025
20:00 Hull v Wrexham
Wrexham
50 WIN
@2.90
Lose
-50
I watched Hull's last match and was unconvinced that they were going to make much progress. That makes Wrexham, who are tight away from home and likely to be in the match to the end, a good bet at these odds.
19:45 Derby v Millwall
Millwall
50 WIN
@2.80
Lose
-50
Recent form points to Millwall, who have a reasonable away record. Derby, in contrast, are less than convincing at home.
19:45 Ipswich v Stoke
Stoke
50 WIN
@5.75
Lose
-50
Ipswich have won only 5 from 10 home games. Stoke have a good away record and generally score. Favoured outcomes at the available odds are the draw and the away win. Perhaps back the away win and bail out if they score first. Take the money and run. Otherwise you're in for the long haul. Good luck with that.
Subtotal-150
09 December 2025
20:00 QPR v Birmingham
QPR
50 WIN
@2.88
Win
94
Birmingham are low scorers away from home and therefore can be taken by a QPR side who are at the value price.
19:45 Blackburn v Oxford Utd
Oxford Utd
50 WIN
@4.60
Lose
-50
Blackburn's dismal home record gives a chance to an Oxford team who do score away from home and have, to date, gained more points away than their hosts have at home.
19:45 Charlton v Middlesbrough
Draw
50 WIN
@3.30
Lose
-50
Charlton's stuffy home record does not involve giving away goals or scoring them to any great extent. Expect a dull draw here.
19:45 Preston v Coventry
Preston
50 WIN
@4.00
Lose
-50
Coventry have won 6 out of 10 fixtures away from home, and Preston, pressing for promotion, are exactly the sort of side that could give them problems.
19:45 Watford v Sheff Wed
Sheff Wed
50 WIN
@6.00
Lose
-50
Watford are conceding about a goal a game on average at home, so that could open the door for a surprise here. Wednesday continue to look competitive in this division and are in desperate need of points.
Subtotal-106
06 December 2025
15:00 Alloa v Peterhead
Peterhead
50 WIN
@3.80
Lose
-50
Peterhead are no pushovers in this division, which produces a lot of tight matches and unpredictable results. These are value odds for the away win.
15:00 Queen of South v Cove Rangers
Cove Rangers
50 WIN
@3.45
Lose
-50
Difficult to set aside how bad Queen of the South were in a recent drubbing at Inverness. Despite showing improvement since, they are not a unit to trust. Cove can surprise them.
15:00 Stenhousemuir v Hamilton
Draw
50 WIN
@3.30
Win
115
This could be a dull draw, and a point being dropped would assist the other clubs in the promotion battle.
12:30 Aston Villa v Arsenal
Aston Villa
50 WIN
@4.50
Win
175
Aston Villa are on a fine run of form and can stall Arsenal's relentless progress to the title. The odds are good value.
12:30 Colchester v Gillingham
Gillingham
50 WIN
@3.70
Lose
-50
Gillingham venture over the Thames to Essex with no fear, given their sturdy away form. Colchester find themselves in mid-table and should soon be having nosebleeds and returning to their home base in the lower reaches of this division. Three wins on the trot would be so unlike Colchester, and I take normal service to be resumed rather than a fourth win.
Subtotal140
05 December 2025
16:45 4:45 Newcastle
Midnight Lion
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-50
Has been out over a number of trips, as can be trainer Jim Goldie's style. But the last two wins have been over 7 furlongs, which is today's trip. Rising in the handicap and not best drawn, but top man Paul Mulrennan is engaged, so he must have every chance of yet another Newcastle win??"his eighth.
16:22 4:22 Kinsley
Swift Loch
Daily Races
50 WIN
@7.00
Lose
-50
The selection generally starts well, and with two slower starters on his inner, he must have a fair chance of dominating on the inside.
15:15 3:15 Newcastle
Antrim
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@2.25
Win
62
Lightly raced three-year-old Antrim won "comfortably" over the course and distance last time out and should have the further improvement to overcome a rise in the handicap.
14:55 2:55 Sandown
Hidden History
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.50
Lose
-50
Should remain very competitive after a rise of only 2 pounds in the handicap and has some excellent recent form. Young enough to continue improving.
12:23 12:23 Sedgefield
Marhaba Prince
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@1.44
Lose
-50
The market vibe for this horse is strong, so he's probably expected to show some of the gallops form that led to him going off at 1/2 last time out. Curiously strong in the market, given that two of his opponents will be no pushovers.
Subtotal-138
03 December 2025
20:15 Leeds v Chelsea
Leeds
50 WIN
@4.20
Win
160
Leeds' home form gives them some hope against a Chelsea side who showed well with 10 men against Arsenal, but this is a new day.
20:15 Liverpool v Sunderland
Sunderland
50 WIN
@8.50
Lose
-50
Believe the league table. The odds are based on history. Sunderland are to be respected, and these odds don't respect them.
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19:45 Celtic v Dundee
Dundee
50 WIN
@21.00
Lose
-50
Absurd price for a side that, on a good day, would be competitive. If they keep Celtic at bay for the first half, all options are on the table.
19:45 Dundee Utd v Rangers
Dundee Utd
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
Rangers continue to be less than convincing and are easy to oppose at the odds. It would help if Dundee United returned to their capable best, though.
19:45 Hearts v Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
50 WIN
@11.00
Lose
-50
Astonishing price for Kilmarnock as Hearts threaten to falter in recent matches and return to the peloton. This has the potential to be the night Hearts face that reality.
19:30 Brighton v Aston Villa
Aston Villa
50 WIN
@3.50
Win
125
Aston Villa are likely to stay in touch at Brighton and might just steal it. They are the value bet.
19:30 Burnley v Crystal Palace
Burnley
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
Burnley are already in a battle for survival in the Premier League and will be well motivated to take the full three points here. This is exactly the sort of game they need to win at home if they are to stay the course.
19:30 Wolverhampton v Nottm Forest
Wolverhampton
50 WIN
@3.25
Lose
-50
Nottingham Forest's recent revival has stuttered a bit, and Wolves will fancy their chances here. The Premier future of Wolves depends on winning this sort of fixture at home.
19:10 7:10 Kempton
Sheradann
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@8.50
Lose
-50
Drawn widest, but likes to race prominently, so should put his best grey foot forward and move inside soon after the break. His best runs have come on the all-weather, and he can follow up a recent course-and-distance win in this class, now only 3 pounds higher.
18:10 6:10 Kempton
Clouds Hill
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@7.50
Lose
-50
Hasn't hidden anything from the handicapper with three strong performances in maiden/novice company. However, he is still learning after three runs, and more improvement is probable from this well-bred three-year-old colt. He may yet prove to be much better than this Class Four company.
14:36 2:36 Sunderland
Billy Blue Shoes
Daily Races
50 WIN
@6.00
Lose
-50
Has the start to take the rails away from Trap One at the first bend. Several speedy types are wider, and if Trap 3 sees off Traps 4 and 5 to the first bend, it could be the main challenger. Another positive scenario would be congestion among Traps 3, 4, and 5, leaving the selection in Trap 2 to stride clear.
14:30 2:30 Lingfield
Society Man
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@7.50
Lose
-50
Recent return to form and remains on a good mark after only a 2-pound rise in the handicap. Distance winner, all-weather winner, winner last time out. These several positives are encouraging.
Subtotal-215
Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.
