Scroggie

Looking for bets where the odds seem to underestimate the chance of winning.

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Scroggie's Tips History

All tips
All sports
13 June 2025
17:20 5:20 York

Perry Mason

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@21.00

Lose

-50

I wouldn't look beyond draw ten here as my stats suggest winners from above this draw are rare over this distance and conditions at York. That narrows things down and moves the percentage into our favour. Perry Mason (stall 9) has Paul Mulrennan engaged for his first run in a handicap and may improve beyond the allocated mark. Shimmering Sands (stall 8) would be my danger.
11 June 2025
21:00 9:00 Hamilton

Cisco Disco

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@29.00

Lose

-50

On a useful handicap mark and may have been brought forward by the season opener. The price reflects inconsistency but on the plus side, a multiple winner.
10 June 2025
20:50 8:50 Fontwell

Coup De Gold

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@7.00

Lose

-50

Coup De Gold finished fast at Ffos Las on similar going and may enjoy the slightly extended trip today. He's a long way below what he was rated at best some years back and sooner or later should take advantage of it.
19:10 7:10 Catterick

Invincible Ruby

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@34.00

Lose

-50

First time in a handicap with two reasonable runs over today's distance followed by a qualifying run over shorter where little was revealed. Suspect this may be the day to catch Invincible Ruby who comes from the astute Iain jardine stable, with promising young Mohammed Tabti in the saddle.
16:30 4:30 Salisbury

Patsy Snugfit

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@12.00

Lose

-50

High draws have quite a good record over this distance at Salisbury. Both Patsy Snugfit and Schemaya have made all on recent outings so there may be a rush to the front from these outside draws. Patsy Snugfit has a recent course and distance victory and is up rather less in the weights for that win. Schemaya may be better over further so the percentage call is Patsy.
07 June 2025
13:55 1:55 Musselburgh

Chiefman

Daily Racing

50 EWNB

@41.00

Lose

-100

Chiefman has tumbled down the weights and, having had one prep run this season, just might be ready to strike for astute trainer Mike Smith.
13:20 1:20 Musselburgh

King Of The Jungle

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@6.00

Lose

-50

Woohoo is up in the weights, loses an apprentice's allowance, and hasn't got a good draw. King of the Jungle has a better draw and a seven pound claimer in the saddle, representing quite a turnaround from his less than 3 length defeat at Woohoo's hand.
06 June 2025
15:15 3:15 Epsom Downs

Son Of Man

Daily Racing

50 EWNB

@26.00

Lose

-100

Nothing wrong with a wide draw over this distance at Epsom. Son of Man has been very much in form on the all weather, but has showed well on turf in his back catalogue and could spring a surprise here.
15:00 3:00 Thirsk

Emerald Army

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@5.50

Lose

-50

The likely favorite here hasn't won over 6 furlongs, and that leaves an opening to oppose him with Emerald Army, a course and distance winner, who should be finishing strongly as the favorite begins to falter.
05 June 2025
16:43 4:43 Hamilton

Sir Garfield

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.75

Win

137

The one slot isn't as useful as it once was, but Sir Garfield will probably be prominent and leave the stands-side rail where few seem to now want to be at Hamilton. It's difficult to ignore an in-form horse at 3/1 when others in the field bring more question marks.
16:12 4:12 Hamilton

Epidavros

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.50

Lose

-50

Course and distance winner with a handy low draw which comes with benefits over this course and distance. Any showers would help to maintain the good to soft in places part of the going description, so a drying wind is as big a danger as the opposition.
16:00 4:00 Uttoxeter

Salley Gardens

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@2.50

Lose

-50

Course and Distance winner last month, Salley Gardens, may just follow up under similar conditions to defy a 5 pound rise in the handicap. It's the obvious answer and anything over evens will be a value price.
14:12 2:12 Hamilton

Impalaka

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@8.50

Lose

-50

The two most backed horses here will probably be the pair that have journeyed up from Berkshire hoping to find easier pickings in Scotland. Think they can be taken on with a well bred newcomer, the Kodiac filly, Impalaka, who should offer a value price. The grand sire, Monsieur Bond, ticks boxes for going on the soft side of good and there is a bit of rain around at present so the surface may have some give.
02 June 2025
16:35 4:35 Market Rasen

Buxted Reel

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@6.50

Lose

-50

Beaten a total of 98 lengths in 3 qualifying races, so the handicapper can hardly have been hard on this flat winner who should have more to offer over hurdles, first time in a handicap hurdle.
14:15 2:15 Market Rasen

Iron Heart

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@SP

Lose

-50

Winner last time out, and that form looks the best here. Runs from a similar mark and must have a favorite's chance of following up.
01 June 2025
17:30 5:30 Nottingham

Phone Tag

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@11.00

Lose

-50

Three last-time-out winners are drawn wide here. Phone Tag is one of them and is just 2 pounds up in the handicap for a Pontefract win. He can be ridden prominently and stays more than this mile, so I expect him to start well and get over to the inside.
16:45 4:45 Chelmsford City

Road To Wembley

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 8.00 used instead of 6.00 takenBOG

@8.00

Win

350

Road To Wembley has led before and will probably take advantage of an inside draw. Also drawn low is free-going Trouville, so the selection may also settle behind his lead. Either way, he seems likely to be prominent and save ground on the fence around this tight track.
16:05 4:05 Fakenham

Piecederesistance

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@8.50

Lose

-50

The selection is slipping down the handicap to an interesting mark. He tends to travel well but find less than expected in a finish. Has been second at Fakenham, and this squarish tight track is possibly his best chance of keeping on at the finish. Brian Hughes provides plenty of talent in the saddle.
15:45 3:45 Chelmsford City

Musical Touch

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@5.00

Lose

-50

Middle draws are okay here over this trip and the selection has recent winning form on the all weather and will enjoy returning to 6f after getting caught over 7f on turf at York last time out.
18 May 2025
16:33 4:33 Naas

Treasure Isle

Daily Racing

50 EW

@17.00

Lose

-100

There has been some morning market support for the O'Brien second string and that probably indicates progress over the winter. He has good ground form whereas the first string may be better on softer, so a chance at a big price.
16:25 4:25 Stratford

Annie Nail

Daily Racing

100 WINNAP

@3.25

Lose

-100

Annie Nail won recently over a similar trip on this going and with nothing of note in the recent form of the opposition is the obvious choice. The presence of class dropper Irish Lullaby on chase debut should help the odds for the selection.
15:10 3:10 Ripon

Cosmos Raj

Daily Racing

100 WINNB

@3.50

Lose

-100

Should be able to tuck in at rear from his high draw and in a small field may find few traffic problems when coming with a run in the straight. Recent Hamilton winner, so in form, and a course and distance winner as well.
14:32 2:32 Naas

Dance Night Andday

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-100

Going and distance are ideal. Promising season opener, getting within 2 lengths after being denied a clear run. Has won at this listed level before, and over this course and distance.
14:00 2:00 Naas

Independent Expert

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@3.25

Win

225

Not a lot went right in running last time out for the selection, and that fourth place is worth more and should enhance the odds today. Previously finished in the top quarter of a big field Irish Lincoln.

Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

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