389664

Casual gambler who is interested in horse betting.

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389664's Tips History

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23 March 2025
16:13 4:13 Exeter

Art Decco

Daily Racing

100 WINNAPR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@5.00

Void

0

The current favourite, Yes Day, has an OR higher by 5lb, is tackling a new trip, goes down in class, and last time out faced a second-placed horse with a 5lb claimer. This time, he's facing two mud larks who both relished last time out in a class 3, and they only go up a combined three pounds between the two horses. They are Neo King and Art Deco. My marginal vote goes the way of Art Deco, who really showed true grit, digging deep and keeping on headstrong to win. He went up 2lb for that win, and we cannot discount that he's at an all-time high. Musical Slave was approximately 30 lengths behind Art Deco when they met at Fontwell in November 2024, and Planned Paradise seems to be handicapped out of this.
1 member found this comment useful
22 March 2025
15:15 3:15 Newbury

Jasmine Bliss

Daily Racing

50 EW

@6.00

Lose

-100

This looks a hot listed Novice hurdle with Slog Geal being the main contender. Jasmine Bliss however, has put out some top efforts this year most recently winning by 11 lengths in a class 4 novice hurdle.
14:40 2:40 Newbury

Saint Segal

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-100

Saint Segal is getting smashed in. 6/1 this Friday evening and now coming into 7/2 at 21:00. Opened the season poorly but has progressed nicely, going on to win at Newbury off a mark of 129 by 11 lengths in a class 3, before going back in the weights and going close again for 2nd place by 2 lengths at Musselburgh. He has since returned to Newbury in the Greatwood (Grade 3) going a respectable 5 length 3rd.
1 member found this comment useful
14:05 2:05 Newbury

Alexei

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@9.00

Lose

-100

Skipped cleared by 25 lengths in November 2024 and then followed that up by cantering 8 lengths clear. Both were in a class 4 at Taunton. Had a 3-month layoff and returned to action in a listed novice hurdle. Should go well now back in class 3 company. Looks like he's on the drift, and a bigger price may be available on the day.
1 member found this comment useful
13:35 1:35 Bangor on Dee

Thunder Rock

Daily Racing

100 WINNB

@5.00

Lose

-100

Has a lot of talent as has been shown by running in Grade 2 contests. I would expect him to bounce back now down to this Class Two company. Lewis Saunders takes the ride claiming 7lb, which is sure to help.
21 March 2025
20:00 8:00 Southwell

Leon Trotsky

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@2.50

Lose

-100

My last selection of the evening, and a short-priced one. He's been a difficult one to follow, but finally got off the ground when winning over course and distance on the 14th of February. Goes up 4 lb for that success, which could cause some issues. However, that win last time out was the first time he's tried this distance, and he clearly relished it, winning over a length. He cut through the pack from midfield 2 and a half furlongs out and then forged clear in the center of the track from 1 and a half furlongs.
19:30 7:30 Southwell

Federal Envoy

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-100

This is a straightforward selection for me. He is now 3/4 over C&D. Today's contest will be slightly tougher, but with his headstrong attitude and again on these conditions, he could easily maintain his great record.
18:30 6:30 Southwell

Al Suil Eile

Daily Racing

50 EW

@7.00

Lose

-100

Al Suil Eile has shown again that Southwell is a course for him. He has won 7 times there now, and that's 7 out of his total 8 runs. He has run at Southwell 30 times and has won off a mark of 62 in a class. Today he goes off 60, which is well within his ability. Place claims at least with 8 runners going to post at 6/1.
18:00 6:00 Southwell

Beautiful Dawn

Daily Racing

50 EW

@13.00

Lose

-100

It looks like most horses in this race have a question to answer. King Of York doesn't seem to stay 8f on the AW. What has changed today? First Greyed has won 4 from 31 with a record of 1 from 2 on the AW. Runs under a penalty and is effectively 4lb higher than his last freak win at 66/1 over this trip at Wolves. My vote goes the way of Beautiful Dawn. She's been knocking on the door lately and is running near her mark that she was second by a length at on 07 February 2025. Won twice in 11 runs and both came from Dundalk at 7 and 7 furlongs. Presents fair value at 12/1 in a field of 8 runners where others have questions to answer.
17:25 5:25 Southwell

Michael Scofield

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@2.38

Win

137

One of only two in the running to win this race. Won class 4 just 20 days ago and is sure to follow that up on only his second running.
16:02 4:02 Newbury

Kikijo

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.33

Lose

-50

Kikijo has won on his sole start in France and then followed up on the third time of asking in the UK. Goes up 4 lb for that 4-length victory.
15:50 3:50 Musselburgh

All The Glory

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@3.25

Lose

-100

All The Glory is a progressive mare who came a 2-length second on the 01 February and goes today off the same mark.
15:30 3:30 Newbury

Welcom To Cartries

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@3.25

Lose

-100

Has shown some promise in some really respectable Grade 1 and then 6 length 4th in a Grade 2. This is much easier and should travel nicely in this easier contest on good to soft ground.
15:20 3:20 Musselburgh

Belfrina

Daily Racing

250 WINNAP

@2.62

Lose

-250

Belfrina should be everyone's nap today. Won nicely at Doncaster when controlling the race and leaving 17 lengths between 1st and 3rd. That contest was a class 1 listed juvenile hurdle. Today's contest is a class 2 handicap and should be straightforward.
14:30 2:30 Newbury

Idefix De Ciergues

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.00

Lose

-50

I can see the appeal in the favorite (Leave of Absence), a clear-cut horse who has great potential. But I'm turned off by the fact he was beaten over 2m 2f in a class 3 and smashed by 24 lengths in a respectable effort in a grade 2. My selection, however, represents some value. Currently available at 6/1 and ran respectably over 3m soft in January to come 2nd to Strackan, who's not franked that form yet. Needs to prove himself after pulling up in a grade 3 on February 1st when he didn't travel. Marginal bet e/w value.
13:55 1:55 Newbury

Queensbury Boy

Daily Racing

100 WINNBNOTETip made at odds of 1.83 on 20/03 at 21:510.10 deduction for Ski Lodge@10.00 withdrawn at 13:13R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 0.83 x (1-0.10) = 1.75

@1.75

Win

74

Queensbury Boy won by 8 lengths when seen on the 01 March after nearly a year layoff. That was a class 3 contest. Today's contest is also a class 3 and should progress nicely up an effective 1lb.
20 March 2025
17:45 5:45 Chepstow

Hurricane Pat

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@2.00

Win

100

Hurricane Pat is a great shout here. Looks in great form showing 2213 with the most recent third by going down by six lengths. Today's contest is a weak class 5 and should be a walk in the park.
17:15 5:15 Chepstow

Keppel Queen

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-100

Came second on the soft in February by just one length, up 3 lb for that which is not unreasonable and is about time she got her nose ahead.
16:30 4:30 Ludlow

Jazz King

Daily Racing

50 EW

@8.50

Lose

-100

Jazz King has shown good promise this season with a record of 2120. This drying ground should suit him better and I expect to see this gelding go well at a decent price.
16:20 4:20 Sedgefield

The Paddy Pie

Daily Racing

100 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 7.50 used instead of 6.00 takenBOG

@7.50

Win

780

Has won two on the bounce, and for his last win, he's only gone up two pounds for his 1-length win at Newcastle. Has won twice here. Latest was over C&D.
15:45 3:45 Sedgefield

Musique De Fee

Daily Racing

100 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 6.00 used instead of 3.50 takenBOG

@6.00

Win

500

Musique De Fee was 7/4 earlier today and is now as big as 5/2. Likely to drift a little more. Goes up 11 pounds for the last 13-length win. Might not be enough to stop this mare.
15:20 3:20 Ludlow

Marche Daligre

Daily Racing

100 WINNB

@1.80

Lose

-100

Marche d'Aligre runs off the same mark from when he came 4 out of 5 from the class two juvenile hurdle at Haydock. Back in December, he came 2nd by 8 lengths in a grade 2, and this class 4 is a serious step back in grade. Should handle the ground, provided it doesn't dry out further.
15:10 3:10 Sedgefield

Siberian Star

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@2.50

Lose

-100

Siberian Star should go off favorite for this weak handicap. Looks to go well on good, and the drying ground should be a positive. Ran clear with Northern Poet by 14 lengths when losing one length in a class 3 at Doncaster.
14:55 2:55 Chepstow

Puddlesinthepark

Daily Racing

50 EW

@5.50

Lose

-5

Another that offers decent value. Has come on yards this season, progressing steadily before unseating at Ffos Las when going well. Drops one pound which should help after he came 2nd on the soft by 16 lengths.
14:45 2:45 Ludlow

Ascending Lark

Daily Racing

100 WINNAP

@1.67

Win

67

Ascending Lark has shown great ability and covers all types of ground. Has won four on the trot and looks clear favourite for this one.

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