vzcv5t
Look for the Ew value in a race. Big Everton/Celtic fan, best racehorses seen, immortal Mill Reef on the Flat and mighty Arkle NH. Best racehorse seen live the great Reference Point who never got the credit he deserved (only flooped in Arc because of ill fitting shoe that caused a foot problem) as he was around the same time as the great Dancing Brave.
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Estimated Prizes
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vzcv5t's Tips History
23 January 2025
20:30 8:30 Southwell
Young Endless
Daily Racing
25 EW
@11.00
Lose
-50
Forget Lto run as they were hampered 3f from home here over 1.4 miles. This C/D winner going to be more @ home back over this extended 2 miles, retains a decent mark of 58 here, good jockey retains ride and shrewd trainer who is in form, 26 percent with a impressive Lsp of 97.38 on their 4yo plus here last 5 seasons, making current 9/1 the Ew value in the race.
16:13 4:13 Huntingdon
Astra Luna
Daily Racing
25 EW
@34.00
Lose
-50
Very nice pedigree and is related to flat winners attached to the A. Balding yard. Made a encouraging debut when making some good headway from the rear 2f out, before weakening final furlong, to come 7/11 beaten 7 lengths in a class 4 NHF race over 2 miles @ Ludlow. Entitled to come on for that run/experience, drops to a class 5 here, good jockey up and very shrewd flat trainer does not run that many in the NH sphere, making current 33/1 decent Ew value here.
15:40 3:40 Huntingdon
Anti Bridgie
Daily Racing
25 EW
@26.00
Lose
-50
Has P/U last twice, but has been given a mini break and they have won/run well after breaks in the past, so that could spark a revival off dropping mark of 106. No issues on ground, grade of race, good conditional back up claiming 3lb and shrewd training duo have a very impressive 47 percent strike rate with a Lsp of 21.93 on their chasers here last 5 seasons, making current 25/1 worth Ew consideration in the race.
15:15 3:15 Wetherby
Atreides
Daily Racing
25 EW
@9.00
Lose
-50
Been running well of late in this grade, including Lto when B/F @ Bangor over extended 2.3 miles. Goes off same mark here, good jockey retains ride and very shrewd trainer who is in top form @ present, best here with his hurdlers last 5 seasons, making current 8/1 solid Ew value in the race.
14:30 2:30 Huntingdon
Springtime Promise
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@21.00
Lose
-50
Clearly did not take to fences and interesting back over hurdles as they were a easy winner of a Grade 2 last season over 2.4 miles @ Sandown. That was off a mark of 118 and although they go here off 130, this is a class 2 handicap so still not badly treated in the race. Is a course winner, has a stamina packed pedigree so step up to this 3.1 miles should be a plus, good jockey retains ride and very good trainer who is tops here numerically last 5 seasons, 27 percent with his hurdlers in same period, making current 20/1 very good Ew value in the race.
14:21 2:21 Newcastle
Blackcurrent
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
This C/D winner tends to go well here and return to 6f is going to be a big plus. Nicely treated here off a mark of 46, interesting visor on first time here, good draw, compentent apprentice booked taking off valuable 7lb and in hands of a very shrewd trainer who is best here with his 4yo plus last 5 seasons, making current 16/1 decent Ew value in the race.
13:46 1:46 Newcastle
Martins Brig
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Win
35
This C/D winner tends to run well here @ Newcastle as they showed again Lto, when only weakening close to home when coming 5/11 beaten 3.25 lengths in a similar class stakes race. Is down 1lb here so very nicely treated @ this level, good apprentice up taking off 5lb and very shrewd trainer best here with his 4yo plus last 5 seasons, making current 12/1 solid Ew value in the race.
12:12 12:12 Huntingdon
Walden
Daily Racing
25 EWNBNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 13.00 used instead of 12.00 takenBOG
@13.00
Win
35
Much improved effort over hurdles Lto in a class 3 after moderate debut run in a class 4. Is back in class 4 level here, under used jockey retains ride and very shrewd trainer 17 percent with his hurdlers here last 5 seasons, making current 14/1 solid Ew value in the race.
Subtotal-230
22 January 2025
16:08 4:08 Catterick
Connect The Dots
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 12.00 used instead of 9.00 takenBOG
@12.00
Win
330
Related to winners, including stables Brother Pat. Top jockey up and very good trainer is the only one in this race with winners in this sphere of racing @ 21 percent, making current 8/1 very good Ew value in the race.
15:38 3:38 Catterick
Sea Legend
Daily Racing
25 EW
@9.50
Lose
-50
Fair middle distance performer on the flat and has not been disgraced in either of their 2 non handicap runs to date. Starts off in handicap company here off resonable mark of 100 and very good jockey/trainer combination makes current 8.50 solid Ew value in the race.
14:38 2:38 Catterick
Evenwood Sonofagun
Daily Racing
25 EW
@21.00
Lose
-50
Yet to win over hurdles but has run some good races in defeat, including last twice @ Musselburgh over 3 miles. Drop to this extended 2.3 miles should suit, going fine, well treated off 94 here and good jockey/trainer combination makes current 20/1 decent Ew value in the race.
13:25 1:25 Lingfield
Recon Mission
Daily Racing
25 EWNBNOTETip made at odds of 10.00 on 22/01 at 09:170.20 deduction for Rosenpur@4.50 withdrawn at 10:03R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 9.00 x (1-0.20) = 8.20
@8.20
Win
11
This C/D winner ended last season with some very good Aw runs @ various tracks and is still nicely treated here off a mark of 64. Good apprentice who is riding some nice winners for this stable up claiming 3lb and in hands of one of the shrewdest trainers in the business, making current 8.50 solid Ew value here.
Subtotal241
21 January 2025
19:15 7:15 Newcastle
Ahamoment
Daily Racing
25 EW
@8.50
Lose
-50
Won a division of this race last year off a 3lb higher mark and has run well here on last 3 runs including @ this class 5 level. Intersting jockey booking for this very shrewd stable makes current 7.50 very good Ew value here.
17:45 5:45 Newcastle
Volenti
Daily Racing
25 EW
@12.00
Win
30
Won 3 in this class over C/D last season and has a overall record of 38 percent @ the track so clearly likes it here. Finished off last season with a good effort @ class 5 level here over 7f and is down 1lb today back into class 6 company. Good jockey retains ride, very good draw and very shrewd dual trainer who is 40 percent last 14 days, 17 percent with a Lsp of 14.35 on his 4yo plus here last 5 seasons, making current 11/1 strong Ew value in the race.
17:15 5:15 Newcastle
Tathmeen
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Win
480
Does not sometimes help their cause with slow starts and does need a fast run race to be seen @ their best, but this C/D winner does go well here if everything drops right and is now 3lb lower than last win at the track. Good jockey/trainer combination makes current 16/1 worth Ew consideration here.
16:13 4:13 Ayr
Flamin Court
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Lose
-50
Very good Irish trainer who does well in this sphere of racing, 23 percent here last 5 seasons and added bonus of good Irish jockey taking the ride, making current 12/1 the Ew play here.
16:03 4:03 Newcastle
Young Fire
Daily Racing
25 EW
@19.00
Lose
-50
Is getting on now, but this C,D winner still retains ability @ this level and has dropped to a very attractive mark of 69 here. Good Irish apprentice takes the ride here claiming 5lb and excellent trainer 16 percent with a Lsp of 20.02 on his 4yo plus here last 5 seasons, making current 18/1 decent Ew value in the race.
15:47 3:47 Down Royal
Shajak
Daily Racing
25 EW
@11.00
Lose
-50
Although not the greatest of jumpers, it went to pieces Lto @ Leopardstown for some reason and i think that run can be safely ignored. Did put up a fair effort over C/D 4 runs back off 119, so not that badly treated here off 120. Good conditional back up claiming 5lb and very good trainer is tops here numerically by same way last 5 seasons, making current 10/1 solid Ew value in the race.
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15:40 3:40 Ayr
Bel Amigo
Daily Racing
25 EW
@21.00
Lose
-50
Easy winner of a French chase and was not entirely disgraced on UK hurdles debut, when coming 3/5 beaten 33 lengths in a similar class novice hurdle over extended 2.2 miles @ Kelso, after only weakening @ last. Entitled to come on for that run, down 2lb in this open handicap, step back up to this extended 2.4 miles will suit and good jockey/trainer combination, makes current 20/1 decent Ew value in the race.
15:25 3:25 Leicester
The Grey Man
Daily Racing
25 EW
@34.00
Win
990
No show Lto, but previous 4 Hurdle/NHF race runs were not devoid of promise and goes into first time handicap here off lowly mark of 101. Good jockey retains ride and shrewd trainer is 1/1 with her hurdlers here last 5 seasons, making current 33/1 decent Ew value in the race.
14:42 2:42 Down Royal
Someones Wish
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@11.00
Lose
-50
No show Lto, but previous form including over today's C/D should put them in the picture here off current mark of 116. Very good trainer is tops here both numerically/percentage wise last 5 seasons, making current 10/1 solid Ew value in the race.
12:40 12:40 Down Royal
Kir
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@19.00
Lose
-50
Stable have a good record in this race and selection raced promintently on hurdles debut before weakening 2 from home, when coming 9/16 beaten 32 lengths in a better value maiden hurdle than this one. Entitled to come on for that run/experience and top jockey/trainer combination makes current 18/1 very good Ew value here.
Subtotal1150
20 January 2025
20:30 8:30 Wolverhampton
Wakai Umi
Daily Racing
25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@29.00
Void
0
Blew the start here on Saturday, interesting quick turn out off same mark of 55. Is a C/D winner, good apprentice retains ride taking off 7lb and shrewd trainer is best here with his 4yo plus last 5 seasons, making current 28/1 decent Ew value in the race.
20:00 8:00 Wolverhampton
Jester Queen
Daily Racing
25 EW
@8.00
Lose
-50
Definte signs of promise in 2/3 of their non handicap runs as a 2yo. Goes into first time handicap here off reasonable mark of 55, headgear on first time today, good apprentice retains ride and very shrewd trainer who is in top form @ present 11 percent with a Lsp of 15.25 on his 3yo's here last 5 seasons, making current 7/1 the Ew value in the race.
18:30 6:30 Wolverhampton
Fazen
Daily Racing
25 EW
@51.00
Lose
-50
Did not run that badly when dropped back to 7f here on 2nd run Lto in a similar class novice. However, should be better suited to this extended 1.1 miles, good apprentice back up and shrewd trainer best here with his 4yo plus last 5 seasons, making current 40/1 worth Ew consideration in the race.
18:00 6:00 Wolverhampton
Beauzon
Daily Racing
25 EW
@12.00
Lose
-50
This C/D winner with the exception of Lto, has a very good record round here. Goes off same mark here, plum draw, good jockey back up who was last to win on them 5 runs back here @ Wolverhampton and in hands of a very good dual trainer, making current 11/1 solid Ew value in the race.
17:00 5:00 Wolverhampton
Berkshire Phantom
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Lose
-50
This C/D winner has a 43 percent strike rate @ this course and showed their liking for it again Lto when noted going very easily 2f out, but then denied a clear run when coming 6/11 beaten 4.5 lengths in a similar class handicap over an extended mile. Is 2lb lower here, good apprentice up claiming 3lb and shrewd trainer 40 percent with their 4yo plus here last 5 seasons, making current 12/1 very good Ew value in the race.
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15:50 3:50 Warwick
Bennys King
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Win
35
Well into veteran stage now and has P/U last twice, but they were open handicaps and selection won a class 3 Hunter Chase on penultimate start last season, then followed that up with a very good 2nd in a class 2 Hunter Chase @ Aintree Festival. They go in this class 6 off a 10lb lower mark, good amateur who retains ride from Lto run claims 5lb and in hands of a top trainer, making current 12/1 decent Ew value here.
15:40 3:40 Kempton
Courageous Gold
Daily Racing
25 EW
@19.00
Lose
-50
Was a B/F on sole 3yo last season, but was very green in running that day, so entitled to come on for that run/experience. Under used apprentice up claiming 3lb and very good trainer is in top form @ present, making current 18/1 solid Ew value here.
14:40 2:40 Warwick
Larkfield Lusive
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@17.00
Lose
-50
Has been running a little bit better@ this level than recent form figures would indicate and has dropped to a very attractive mark of 80 here. Good jockey up and very shrewd trainer 29 percent with their hurdlers here last 5 seasons, making current 16/1 very good Ew value in the race.
12:05 12:05 Warwick
Crown Of India
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@17.00
Lose
-50
Was a fair middle distance maiden for E Walker on the flat and looks the type who could make a decent hurdler. Good jockey up and shrewd trainer likes to target one for this race, making current 14/1 solid Ew value against the hot favourite in the race.
Subtotal-315
19 January 2025
16:10 4:10 Windsor
Idaho Sun
Daily Racing
25 EW
@8.50
Win
225
Beat today's favourite Supreme Malinas when taking a class 5 NHF race over 2.1 miles on heavy ground @ Newton Abbot and that horse has gone on to win a listed race. We are entitled to come on for that run/experience, good jockey retains ride and very good trainer who does well in this sphere of racing has come into very good form, making current 7.50 solid Ew value here.
15:55 3:55 Fakenham
Champagne Fortune
Daily Racing
25 EW
@11.00
Void
0
Put up 2/4 decent efforts in Irish PTP'S and dam was a decent chaser. Good amateur up claiming 5lb and in hands of a very good upcoming trainer, making current 10/1 the Ew play in the race.
15:10 3:10 Thurles
San Aer
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@8.50
Win
12
Good effort Lto, when coming 4/19 beaten 7.75 lengths in a similar level novice handicap hurdle over 2 miles @ Leopardstown. Goes off same mark here, good conditional retains ride taking off 3lb and very shrewd trainer has a decent record in this race, making current 7.50 very good Ew value here.
14:45 2:45 Fakenham
Addosh
Daily Racing
25 EW
@11.00
Lose
-50
Very good upcoming stable run 3 here, but i prefer selections profile. They have been running well on flat of late and put up solid effort over hurdles @ this level 4 runs back. Is 3lb lower here and under used jockey who was on board that day back up, making current 10/1 solid Ew value in the race.
14:30 2:30 Windsor
Dans Le Vent
Daily Racing
25 EW
@12.00
Lose
-50
Good run Lto, when keeping on very well to come 3/8 beaten a length in a similar class handicap hurdle over extended 2.7 miles @ Chepstow. Re-production of that effort off only 2lb higher mark should put them in the mix here, good conditional retains ride taking off 3lb and shrewd trainer is coming a fair way here, making current 11/1 the Ew play in the race.
14:15 2:15 Fakenham
Educator
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
Fair middle distance/staying handicapper on the flat and both their hurdle runs to date were not devoid of promise. Under used jockey up and in hands of former top class trainer, making current 18/1 decent Ew value here.
13:55 1:55 Windsor
Unexpected Party
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 17.00 on 19/01 at 09:110.10 deduction for Martator@9.00 withdrawn at 09:47R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 16.00 x (1-0.10) = 15.40Best Odds Guaranteed SP 23.00 used instead of 15.40 BOG
@23.00
Win
85
Out of their depth against Jonbon in a Grade 2 Lto, but did win the Grade 3 Grand Annual @ Cheltenham last season off 138, so should have a say here in this class 2 handicap off 145. Harry Skelton does prefer stables other runner, but able replacement back up and in hands of a very good trainer, making current 16/1 solid Ew value here.
13:40 1:40 Fakenham
Kankin
Daily Racing
25 EW
@8.00
Lose
-50
No show last 2 runs, but did win in same class over today's C/D in May 24 and is back down to that winning mark here. Drying ground coming in their favour, good jockey up and shrewd trainer 40 percent with his hurdlers here last 5 seasons, making current 7/1 very good Ew value in the race.
13:20 1:20 Windsor
Devon Dude
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@17.00
Lose
-50
Not so good Lto, but hurdles debut was a good one and they did win their only NHF race last season. Worth another chance here and very good jockey/trainer combination, makes current 14/1 solid Ew value here.
Subtotal72
18 January 2025
16:20 4:20 Taunton
Churchman
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Lose
-50
Was mostly consistent @ this level last season without winning and has dropped to a very attractive mark of 86 here on seasonal return. Good conditional retains ride taking off 3lb and in hands of a shrewd trainer, making current 14/1 decent Ew value here.
14:50 2:50 Ascot
Aston Martini
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPNOTETip made at odds of 11.00 on 18/01 at 09:220.10 deduction for Josh The Boss@9.00 withdrawn at 14:17R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 10.00 x (1-0.10) = 10.00Best Odds Guaranteed SP 12.00 used instead of 10.00 BOG
@12.00
Win
30
Top stable do run 2 more faniced ones here, but selection has the form to go well. They were not suited by drop back to extended 2 miles Lto, when staying on very well to come 10/13 beaten 14.5 lengths in a Grade 3 hurdle. This extended 2.3 miles more to their liking, dropping in class here, up coming conditional up claiming 3lb and master trainer tops here numerically last 5 seasons, making current 10/1 very good Ew value in the race.
14:30 2:30 Haydock
Richmond Lake
Daily Racing
25 EW
@11.00
Win
25
Has to prove they will stay this 3.2 miles, but has a very large stamina dosage so could acutally improve for this distance. Although stepping up in class today, they did have 12st on their back Lto, when coming 2/5 beaten 6.5 lengths in a class 2 chase over 2.4 miles @ Aintree. Only got 10st 4lb here, is a course winner, top jockey retains ride and very good trainer has done well here last 5 seasons, making current 10/1 solid Ew value in the race.
13:25 1:25 Lingfield
Charmaine
Daily Racing
25 EW
@9.00
Lose
-50
Stable double handed here, but selection looked to be a improving 3yo filly last season and could make a better 4yo. Nicely treated off 79 here, good apprentice retains ride taking off 3lb and very good trainer 20 percent with his 4yo plus last 5 seasons, making current 8/1 very good Ew value here.
13:20 1:20 Haydock
Nordic Tiger
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
Won twice in this class last season and solid comeback run when coming 4/8 beaten 11 lengths in a class 3 handicap over extened 2.3 miles @ Doncaster. Retains that mark of 122, has won on soft going, good amateur up claiming valuable 7lb and very shrewd trainer is 3/6 with his hurdlers here last 5 seasons, making current 16/1 decent Ew value in the race.
13:10 1:10 Navan
Espanito Bello
Daily Racing
25 EW
@21.00
Lose
-50
Better known as a Naas specialist, but stayed on very well from a rear position over today's C/D Lto, when coming 5/19 beaten 12.5 lengths in a listed chase. Reverts to hurdles here off a very attractive mark of 135, good jockey retains ride and very shrewd trainer who is in form, has done very well here last 5 seasons, making current 20/1 solid Ew value in the race.
12:55 12:55 Taunton
Aeroplane Blonde
Daily Racing
25 EW
@29.00
Lose
-50
Definite signs of promise in both NHF races and shrewd trainer is 19 percent with his hurdlers here last 5 seasons, making current 28/1 worth Ew consideration in the race.
12:45 12:45 Haydock
Coniston George
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@8.50
Lose
-50
Has been running very well of late including @ this class 3 level and retains Lto mark of 118. Has their going here and very good jockey/trainer combination, makes current 7.50 very good Ew value here.
Subtotal-245
16 January 2025
20:00 8:00 Chelmsford City
Cephalus
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@8.50
Win
21
May be better over slightly further, but is a course winner and if they can get a decent run affair here, then should be a player off dropping mark of 77 @ this leve. Very good jockey/trainer combination makes current 7.50 very good Ew value top 2.
16:15 4:15 Wincanton
Neon Madonna
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
Nicely bred and Dam was a NHF race winner who was decent over hurdles/fences. Good jockey up and very shrewd trainer is known to do well in this sphere of racing, making current 16/1 decent Ew value in the race.
16:05 4:05 Ludlow
Tyger Lily
Daily Racing
25 EW
@11.00
Void
0
Was very green on debut run, so did well to come 5/8 beaten 11.5 lengths in a similar class NHF race over extended 2 miles @ Newbury. Entitled to come on for that run/experience, very under used jockey retains ride and in hands of a shrewd trainer, making current 10/1 solid Ew value in the race.
15:45 3:45 Wincanton
Credo
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@13.00
Lose
-50
Stayed on well Lto, when coming 4/9 beaten 14.5 lengths in a class 2 over extended 3.1 miles @ Haydock. This C/D winner drops to a class 3 here off 2lb lower mark, blinkers on first time today, good jockey back up and very good trainer best here with his chasers last 5 seasons, making current 12/1 solid Ew value in the race.
Subtotal-79
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