Crofty11

I do mainly one a day and look for double figured horses and do them EW. This has been going quite well over the last 6 months or so. I try to find races where short priced fav’s look vulnerable.

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Crofty11's Tips History

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01 May 2025
15:15 3:15 Yarmouth

Pelean

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@11.00

Lose

-100

This is a race dominated by the favorite, who has run well. This is by the trainer going very well, and if he has come on for his initial run, he could go close.
30 April 2025
14:50 2:50 Ascot

Candy

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@29.00

Lose

-50

Up in the weights and up in class, but this one was improving at a rate of knots last year. Will it continue? If it does, then we can see a good run.
29 April 2025
16:40 4:40 Brighton

My Candy Girl

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@23.00

Lose

-50

First run for a new trainer, and hopefully that will spark some improvement. It was a disappointing start last year, and a long break and new trainer might spark a better performance.
28 April 2025
15:30 3:30 Ayr

Ayr Poet

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@51.00

Lose

-100

Best runs of the year often come on the first run, and he needs to be at his best to show today. Well down the weights and with a 7lb claimer up, he can show up.
27 April 2025
16:00 4:00 Wetherby

D Flawless

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@34.00

Lose

-50

New yard and a decent break. This one went well in the early part of her career, winning and being second, before poorer efforts later. Hopefully, the new yard can revitalize her and she can go well.
26 April 2025
16:10 4:10 Sandown

Goshen

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@21.00

Lose

-50

This is another trip for Goshen. He has had three tries, and they have all been decent runs. He is up against it at the weights, but the race could be run to suit.
25 April 2025
15:52 3:52 Perth

Dinons

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@21.00

Lose

-50

This one usually runs at a higher level than this and is top weight here. Off 130, he must have a chance if going at his best. He has been 1st and 2nd in the last two starts that he finished.
24 April 2025
17:05 5:05 Perth

Vocal Duke

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@51.00

Lose

-100

This one can run a big race and get amongst the front horses at a big price. Goes best when fresh, and this is his lightest weight ever. Each way chances.
23 April 2025
16:10 4:10 Ludlow

Amberelli

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@21.00

Lose

-50

This one has had three runs over hurdles, and each time ran as though further was needed. Straight to 2 miles 5.5 for the first race in handicaps, and for luck, a 7lb claimer up. Will run well, I think.
22 April 2025
14:30 2:30 Kelso

Keady Town

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@51.00

Lose

-100

This one was rated in the 70's on the flat, running quite well. Hasn't been seen since a very poor run, so has had a year off and WS could surprise.
21 April 2025
16:07 4:07 Chepstow

See The Green

Daily Racing

50 EWNAPNOTETip made at odds of 21.00 on 21/04 at 12:430.20 deduction for El Curamach@5.00 withdrawn at 13:510.10 deduction for Come On Nia @7.000 withdrawn at 16:09R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 20.00 x (1-0.3) = 15.00Best Odds Guaranteed SP 23.00 used instead of 15.00 BOG

@23.00

Win

170

This one showed quite well last time over the jumps, finishing 6th, beaten after a mistake. Perhaps things happened a little fast for him. Upped in trip, he can do better EW.
20 April 2025
16:51 4:51 Bath

Camino De Santiago

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@13.00

Lose

-50

The trainer has one here today and one over the jumps. This one is a late foal and normally I would swerve, as at this time of the year early foals seem the most likely. But I quite like this one on the breding and will give it a shout.
19 April 2025
13:59 1:59 Newton Abbot

Field Of Aces

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@41.00

Lose

-50

Jane Williams runs two here today, and I am going EW on the 40/1 second string. It has had one run when it ran green and finished last. Interesting now, straight to hurdles and upped in trip, can do better. C Deustch up helps a lot.
18 April 2025
16:20 4:20 Lingfield

Further Measure

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@31.00

Lose

-50

This one has won four in a row before a 3rd of 8 last time out. The trainer puts up a 7lb claimer today, and the horse could surprise again at a very big price.
17 April 2025
14:45 2:45 Cheltenham

Mermaids Cave

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@17.00

Lose

-50

This one could be on the upward curve. It has won 5 times since joining the new trainer and seems to run extremely well on GS going. It has won on Good. This is another step up, but if he is improving, he can go close.
16 April 2025
15:15 3:15 Cheltenham

Fortescue

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@34.00

Lose

-50

Fortescue ran well on his first appearance of the season but has gradually been running poorly. As a result, he has come down the weights from 135 to 122. He competes in a much less valuable race today and could go well.
15 April 2025
15:00 3:00 Newmarket

First Conquest

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@7.50

Lose

-50

This is a trappy contest between the first four in the betting. The trainer is in great form, and the horse has won two from three at this track, Meydan, for the last three races and has been going well. He could have improved a lot over there.
14 April 2025
15:18 3:18 Hexham

Popa Rich

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@15.00

Lose

-50

Jessica Bell runs three here today, and I think Popa has the best chance of the three. Probably destined for second at best. Nevertheless, he has run well so far, and last time, although 3rd of 3, it was a decent run. EW chances.
13 April 2025
14:18 2:18 Stratford

Grillon De Monty

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@19.00

Lose

-50

This one has had three runs for the new stable. The first two pulled up, but last time out ran well before weakening in the run-in. He could do better today down in grade.
12 April 2025
15:35 3:35 Ayr

Walking On Air

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@41.00

Lose

-100

This one has run well in the last two starts. Fell at the last when challenging, then 7th in the Kim Muir. Has changed stables, and if that has helped, he can go well at big odds.
11 April 2025
13:40 1:40 Fontwell

Ledders

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@17.00

Lose

-100

2nd to the favorite is the bet, and I am hoping that Ledders will manage that today. He won at Lingfield, then had 2 years off, and last time out he ran a little better than his return. He could do better again.
10 April 2025
16:20 4:20 Hereford

Jackie Can

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@12.00

Lose

-100

This one showed improved form last time out, finishing 3rd of 7 over this distance. This was the best run since she finished 2nd on debut over the flat. Should have an EW shout.
09 April 2025
16:25 4:25 Taunton

Hardy Du Seuil

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@4.50

Lose

-50

Hardy is the best horse in the race, rated a full 10 lb higher than the other two. It's always a bit of a lottery when there are only three runners, but I will take Hardy to win.
08 April 2025
15:32 3:32 Pontefract

Manila Scouse

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@17.00

Lose

-50

The Tariern isn't in the best of form, but it's worth a chance on Manilla. Second on first start of the season in both previous seasons has a chance of going well.
07 April 2025
13:45 1:45 Kelso

Top Flight Century

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@41.00

Lose

-100

B Hughes rides this one today. It has no real form, and it's the first time over hurdles. This is a new trainer, who has very few horses, but I think we will give it an EW in a weak race.
06 April 2025
15:20 3:20 Plumpton

Bohemian Breeze

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@13.00

Lose

-50

Seems to have as good a chance as any of the newcomers. 3 wins on the flat and the stable, whilst not firing that well, can still get a winner.
05 April 2025
17:35 5:35 Aintree

Quaviste

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@13.00

Lose

-50

Only the second run for this one, and it needs to step up to make a show of things. The trainer wouldn't put it in without it having a shout.
17:00 5:00 Aintree

Special Cadeau

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@21.00

Lose

-50

A small field and this inexperienced horse can go well, improving from its last run. A win over fences at 66/1. The trainer obviously thinks the bigger obstacles help.
16:00 4:00 Aintree

Hyland

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@23.00

Lose

-50

Nicky Henderson runs this one. It has a very good strike record, winning and placing over 70% of its runs. A step up here, but gets in off a light weight and can go well.
15:05 3:05 Aintree

Monmiral

Daily Racing

25 EW

@41.00

Lose

-50

This one needs to step up to get involved, and it could well do. Running consistently at a lower grade, that trainer wouldn't put it in today without it having a chance EW.
14:30 2:30 Aintree

Erne River

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 26.00 used instead of 19.00 takenBOG

@26.00

Win

100

This one has been 4th on its last three outings and needs to improve. But its last run was a step up, and it could be better today. EW chances.
13:55 1:55 Aintree

Kappa Jy Pyke

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@9.00

Lose

-50

This is an easier task than his visit here last time when he was sent off at 100/1. Still a difficult task, but the trainer is in grand form and it's worth a try.
13:20 1:20 Aintree

Building Bridges

Daily Racing

25 EW

@41.00

Lose

-50

This is a big day for the very small trainer, and it must be more than a day out for him and the team. Perhaps we will see a good run and perhaps a place.
04 April 2025
17:15 5:15 Aintree

Washington

Daily Racing

50 EW

@23.00

Lose

-100

The trainer runs two in this race, and both seem to have an outside chance. I will go with this one as the 3lb claimer can help. He ran in a very good race at Newbury last time and will find this easier.
16:50 4:50 Bath

Outrace

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@13.00

Lose

-100

This one has a 7lb claimer up and can go well now. It is being tried in first-time blinkers. Three runs since return and should be fit and ready.
16:40 4:40 Aintree

Moon Rocket

Daily Racing

50 EW

@15.00

Lose

-100

Plenty of promise and improvement likely within this race, and that includes my selection Mon Rocket. He has been second in his last two races, and with cheekpieces on today, he can improve a little and be competitive.
16:05 4:05 Aintree

Marble Sands

Daily Racing

50 EW

@19.00

Lose

-100

The trainers are in good form at the moment, and Marbe is a tough, genuine competitor. The jockey today has a very good record on the horse, and I think it's significant that he is back on board today. He can go well at a decent price.
14:55 2:55 Aintree

Jet To Vegas

Daily Racing

50 EW

@15.00

Lose

-100

This one has been improving at a rate of knots and won well last time out, building on a previous win. It seems to be improving, and with the top three in the betting all running at Cheltenham, I hope that one falters and we can see this one go well.
14:20 2:20 Aintree

Be Aware

Daily Racing

50 EW

@10.00

Lose

-100

Has been running in better races than this, finishing in the frame for two of them. Last time out, didn't seem to last home at Cheltenham. This easier track and shorter distance gives him a chance.
13:45 1:45 Aintree

Stellar Story

Daily Racing

50 EWNAPR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@11.00

Void

0

This one is in the top three ratings and has performed very well at Cheltenham over the last two years. It feels that he prefers the ground softer than today, but nevertheless, he can go well without winning.
03 April 2025
17:15 5:15 Aintree

Bettys Daisy

Daily Racing

50 EW

@17.00

Lose

-100

This one is from a yard that knows what's required to win this race. The horse has a win under its belt from its first run. She won easily that day, but it's worth noting it was only in a class 5. Nevertheless, we should see a good run.
16:40 4:40 Aintree

Gunsight Ridge

Daily Racing

50 EW

@29.00

Win

230

Olly Murphy is in great form, and his only runner today is this one. At 10, we won't see any improvement, but the stable is in great form, and the horse will be at its best for this tricky task EW.
16:05 4:05 Aintree

Famous Clermont

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@8.00

Lose

-50

This is a very nice horse and has a very good record both in the PTP field and under rules. An easy winner of this two years ago, he is worth another shot today.
15:30 3:30 Aintree

Wodhooh

Daily Racing

50 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 9.50 used instead of 8.50 takenBOG

@9.50

Win

56

This one is unbeaten since going over jumps, and this looks to be a very big ask. Nonetheless, at 5, there is more to come, and with Constitution blotting his copybook, perhaps we can see this one be in contention.
14:55 2:55 Aintree

Gaelic Warrior

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 8.50 on 03/04 at 11:040.20 deduction for Spillanes Tower@4.50 withdrawn at 14:35R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 7.50 x (1-0.20) = 7.00

@7.00

Win

300

This seems to be a big ask for Gaeleic, who hasn't quite run to this level so far. But his best run to date was over 3 miles, and returned to that trip for the first time, he might go very well.
14:20 2:20 Aintree

Gibbs Island

Daily Racing

50 EW

@31.00

Lose

-100

A bit less hurly-burly than the Triumph, and this could suit Gibbs, who had won well prior to that PU. I expect a decent run, and perhaps he can get a place.
13:45 1:45 Aintree

The Kalooki Kid

Daily Racing

50 EW

@29.00

Lose

-100

Stepping up in class here , and it's unknown how he will cope. But he has won his last two really well, and the distance is no problem. He could run well.
02 April 2025
16:15 4:15 Ludlow

Sawpit Sienna

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@10.00

Lose

-50

This one looks well handicapped and has been running okay. The trainer puts up a 7lb claimer today on this, his only runner. The trainer has had three runners in the last two weeks, and all three have run well. I can see a decent run from this one today.
01 April 2025
15:55 3:55 Kempton

Flegmatik

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@4.00

Lose

-50

This horse has won 3 times over fences here and only been out of the frame once or twice in running here. Personally, if this was my horse, he would have been running here for most of his career because this is where he goes really well. It's a small race today, and he will have every chance.
30 March 2025
15:40 3:40 Doncaster

La Rochette

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@67.00

Lose

-100

French import and is only 4 years old. Won twice as a 3-year-old and comes here for the first run in the UK. Could be anything, and it's worth a small EW at a very big price.

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