Billy121only
2
Estimated Prizes
this month
£55
Estimated Prize money
this month
Billy121only's Tips History
05 October 2024
16:30 4:30 Redcar
Leadenhall
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@9.00
Lose
-50
Tim Easterby covets this prize each year and LEADENHALL could be the pick of his pair this time around. True to say the 4-y-o has been a little disappointing since joining the yard; failing to win in 7-starts and not dropping far in the handicap either. A couple of efforts at York were decent though and he is certainly capable of winning something like this. Soft ground is a bit of an unknown; some of his siblings won on such but some did not. Cheek pieces are removed after one try (seemed to carry his head a little high) and whilst not solid, may be worth chancing. Mick Easterby's runner Catton Lady is definitely worth a mention as she looks over priced and should appreciate a return to this distance.
15:35 3:35 Ascot
Popmaster
Daily Racing
65 WIN
@13.00
Lose
-65
POPMASTER has already been well supported and it is easy enough to see why. On this day last year, Ed Walker's charge came here as a handicapper and was a centimetre away from winning at the line. A year on and the ground is softer, which is no bother and the horse is 2 lb lower. A campaign away from handicaps has not borne fruit this season but all will be forgotten if he wins this from what looks to be an excellent draw. The stable comments are positive.
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Star Of Orion
Daily Racing
25 EW
@41.00
Lose
-50
STAR OF ORION is the classic case of a victim of his own consistency. Across his last ten starts, he has run above 100 in eight of them and still above this mark on his other two. On the maths alone, that would put him in the frame today if he repeats even the worst of those recent efforts. The trip is perfect, track and ground fine and the real (potential) positive is the addition of a tongue tie. Has to be considered for a place at least for a yard that I like.
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14:45 2:45 Redcar
Dandys Angel
Daily Racing
55 WINNB
@9.00
Win
440
DANDY'S ANGEL does not fit my usual bet profile as, after 71-races and two recent wins, I see the same as everyone else. However, the mare's price surprises me and on that ticket I make her my selection. She has run into form this time of year previously and is capable of an extended sequence. John Wainwright's charge appeared in top order when easily winning over what might have been a furlong too far at Hamilton less than a week ago and this looks another good opportunity, given the soft ground.
13:30 1:30 Newmarket
Noisy Jazz
Daily Racing
60 WINNAP
@7.50
Lose
-60
NOISY JAZZ has a notable pedigree and defied inexperience to romp away with her maiden here back in the summer. Didn't manage what was a huge ask less than 3-weeks later; upped 4f and elevated to Listed company. That that can be forgiven but I would have worried if it had taken too much out. Her third in a novice at Windsor has eased those fears and I always like a 3-y-o going into a handicap against some much more exposed rivals.
Subtotal215
04 October 2024
18:00 6:00 Newcastle
Light Speed
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@13.00
Lose
-50
The Tutty yard does oh so well with the 'second-hand' horses they get and this 4-y-o looks to have more to offer. After a bright spell last winter for Andrew Balding, LIGHT SPEED rather lost his form. Quiet on his first two runs for his new yard as well, the magic 7-week break then did the trick when he nipped round Chester over a trip that should have been too short. To my eye, both subequent runs were better than they read on paper and with more luck in running, together with the fact that he seems to prefer the AW anyway, and we have a bet. Great Max and Gincident are others at prices to consider.
16:30 4:30 Ascot
Commanche Falls
Daily Racing
55 WIN
@8.00
Lose
-55
COMMANCHE FALLS is a bit of a legend in his own lifetime and I can't immediately think of another horse that has won 4 -handicaps off marks of 113 or greater. I also note that 'kept on' appears in an unusually high proportion of his formlines. This could be a nice win after a barren season so far as the handicapper has eased him a little. Certainly doesn't need soft ground but does handle it and the 7-y-o gets the vote in what does a very open race.
14:12 2:12 Ascot
Jackson Street
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@13.00
Lose
-50
JACKSON STREET has proven better on the AW thus far and it is well documented that Ascot can suit such horses. Still a maiden and with his second yard, the selection has nonetheless been on the premises at the finish plenty of times and this could be another. Inconsistent for sure so a bad run at Chelmsford last time need not be the overriding consideration and I like the fact the horse has excess stamina at this trip. Crazy Luck and Willy Campbell are others to consider.
Subtotal-155
03 October 2024
16:20 4:20 Salisbury
High Point
Daily Racing
55 WINNAP
@21.00
Win
1100
HIGH POINT possibly needs further and is well entered up; trips ranging from this 10f to 14f. Key to my interest is that the 3-y-o ran much his best race when encountering proper soft ground this month last season. Gelded afterwards and presumably had some issues, as he only returned to the track last month. Although yet to beat a rival in his two recent efforts, the selection was short in the market last time and the cheek pieces are a notable addition. Eve Johnson Houghton has a really good return to BFSP and this could be another over-priced winner for the yard.
15:50 3:50 Salisbury
Under The Twilight
Daily Racing
55 WIN
@11.00
Lose
-55
Last year's winner UNDER THE TWILIGHT will hopefully find the ground in her favour and doubtless she has been prepared for a big effort. Michael Blake's mare has a perfect record here at Salisbury; winning three times here in 2023 on varying going descriptions. Her mark today is higher but she defied the same at Windsor in April and could have a little improvement to come. Bourgeoisie is less obvious and could also be worth an interest on the pick of her novice form for Richard Hannon.
Subtotal1045
02 October 2024
20:00 Bristol City v Sheff Wed
Sheff Wed
50 WIN
@3.30
Lose
-50
19:45 Preston v Watford
Watford
50 WIN
@2.80
Lose
-50
19:45 Sheff Utd v Swansea
Sheff Utd
80 WIN
@1.80
Win
64
19:45 Stoke v Portsmouth
Stoke
66 WIN
@1.83
Win
55
Subtotal19
01 October 2024
20:00 West Brom v Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
60 WIN
@2.90
Win
114
19:45 Birmingham v Huddersfield
Birmingham
148 WIN
@1.75
Win
111
19:45 Burnley v Plymouth
Burnley
108 WIN
@1.44
Win
48
19:45 Cardiff v Millwall
Cardiff
50 WIN
@3.20
Win
110
19:45 Coventry v Blackburn
Blackburn
52 WIN
@3.75
Lose
-52
19:45 Luton v Oxford Utd
Draw
50 WIN
@4.00
Win
150
19:45 Norwich v Leeds
Leeds
95 WIN
@2.00
Lose
-95
19:45 QPR v Hull
Hull
56 WIN
@2.88
Win
105
19:45 Sunderland v Derby
Sunderland
110 WIN
@1.70
Win
77
Subtotal568
30 September 2024
20:30 8:30 Wolverhampton
Bungle Bay
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@13.00
Lose
-50
Subtotal-50
28 September 2024
15:40 3:40 Newmarket
Look Back Smiling
Daily Racing
60 WIN
@23.00
Lose
-60
Subtotal-60
25 September 2024
19:30 7:30 Kempton
Follow Your Heart
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@51.00
Lose
-50
FOLLOW YOUR HEART is a stellar price but there is cause for hope at least. The point being is that this 6-y-o really finds his feet at this time of year and this is certainly not the summer weather it was last time we saw him. Not that the selection has been running badly and his stable are in decent form.
Wallop
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
WALLOP could go well in the first-time blinkers. Although Richard Hannon's colt was a 3-y-o when he won his novice, that was effectively his first season and he went missing for exactly a year afterwards. Looked to be on an unrealistic mark but has dropped nearly a stone and likely to find his level soon.
Subtotal-100
22 September 2024
14:50 2:50 Plumpton
Almost Gotaway
Daily Racing
70 WINNAP
@9.50
Lose
-70
Subtotal-70
21 September 2024
15:35 3:35 Ayr
Dare To Hope
Daily Racing
60 WIN
@41.00
Lose
-60
Subtotal-60
20 September 2024
16:15 4:15 Ayr
Dicko The Legend
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@26.00
Lose
-50
Alan Bailey has won this and son Liam could get lucky with his runner, DICKO THE LEGEND. Winning a 21-runner handicap anywhere is always a good pointer to races like this and I can forgive two lesser efforts after his York success in high summer. As a 4-y-o with less than a dozen races on turf, the selection is hardly exposed and I like the first use of a 7lb claimer.
Subtotal-50
17 September 2024
20:30 8:30 Newcastle
Carvalhal
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@31.00
Lose
-50
CARVALHAL has one stand-out effort and that is a concern. It is early days for the 3-y-o though and his chance this evening may be better than his odds suggest. This is a lesser stamina test than his last couple of outings and in this relatively small field, his from the front tactics could just serve him well. Connections will be keen to get a win in the book for the filly Tambourine Dream and she rates the danger.
Subtotal-50
15 September 2024
16:20 4:20 Bath
My Delilah
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@19.00
Lose
-50
MY DELILAH has long since stopped looking progressive but she has form here and is on a mark which underestimates her ability. The main reason for optimism today is the addition of headgear for the first time under the care of Adrian Wintle. Her rider makes a claim (3lb) and that has proven useful in past runnings of this race. Probably has a good draw and worth a chance at a decent price.
16:15 4:15 Doncaster
Baldomero
Daily Racing
35 EWNOTETip made at odds of 21.00 on 15/09 at 08:230.10 deduction for Rhythm Master@10.00 withdrawn at 10:170.10 deduction for Orazio @8.500 withdrawn at 16:03R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 20.00 x (1-0.2) = 17.00
@17.00
Win
672
BALDOMERO is a poor win proposition for sure so let's look further. A notably low win % is offset by an unnaturally high place record. On that simple fact, a place bet could be justified and there is an enhancment. If we divide the calendar year into three sections; Jan - Apr sees a 47% place rate, May- Aug 35% and Sep - Dec 79%. That is enough of a case, especially with 4-places on offer in some quarters.
Spangled Mac
Daily Racing
60 WIN
@12.00
Lose
-60
14:05 2:05 Doncaster
Badri
Daily Racing
60 WINNAP
@8.50
Lose
-60
BADRI has to have a fine chance here, despite many of the contenders bringing credible claims. Although not in the first flush of youth, less than a year ago as a 6-y-o, the selection was running to 109, a full stone and a half above today's mark. Held his form well enough since joining this yard and what strikes me today is that in Class 3 handicaps over 5f, Badri's record is '111'. Conditions therefore look ideal. Stablemate Good Earth could also make the frame.
Subtotal502
14 September 2024
14:25 2:25 Doncaster
Aberama Gold
Daily Racing
60 WIN
@15.00
Lose
-60
Silky Wilkie
Daily Racing
35 EW
@34.00
Lose
-70
Subtotal-130
08 September 2024
16:50 4:50 Fontwell
Miss Ireland
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@34.00
Win
1650
Subtotal1650
03 September 2024
16:40 4:40 Goodwood
Beamish
Daily Racing
70 WIN
@7.50
Lose
-70
Subtotal-70
02 September 2024
16:00 Brandon Nakashima vs Alexander Zverev
Alexander Zverev
Win Match
130 WIN
@1.30
Win
39
Subtotal39
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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.
