Tips History

Billy121only's Tips History

14 September 2025

15:00 3:00 Doncaster

Akkadian Thunder

Daily Racing

30 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@13.00

Win

AKKADIAN THUNDER has not been hitting the line running since a stellar effort at Royal Ascot in June. It may be this slightly shorter trip will help in that respect and clearly the 5-y-o has it in him to win handicaps like this. In good hands with David O'Meara and I am hopeful of a revival this afternoon.

12:00 Southampton v Portsmouth

Southampton

80 WIN

@1.65

Lose

-80

13 September 2025

15:00 Coventry v Norwich

Coventry

100 WIN

@1.65

Lose

-100

15:00 Sheff Wed v Bristol City

Draw

50 WIN

@3.30

Lose

-50

15:00 Stoke v Birmingham

Birmingham

52 WIN

@2.25

Lose

-52

15:00 Swansea v Hull

Draw

60 WIN

@3.50

Win

150

15:00 Watford v Blackburn

Blackburn

60 WIN

@2.65

Win

15:00 West Brom v Derby

West Brom

100 WIN

@1.86

Lose

-100

15:00 Wrexham v QPR

QPR

51 WIN

@4.33

Win

170

14:15 Luke Littler vs Simon Whitlock

Luke Littler

Win Match 2-way

240 WIN

@1.05

Win

13:45 Gerwyn Price vs Danny Lauby

Gerwyn Price

Win Match 2-way

200 WIN

@1.10

Win

13:15 1:15 Doncaster

Principality

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@29.00

Lose

-50

PRINCIPALITY much prefers to be out of the stall not in, but unfortunately, that doesn't lead him to fly the gate; rather the opposite. That presents a big risk and has to be understood. On the plus side, should Harry Eustace's 3-y-o make a decent break, then he could well have more to offer. Although it is a risky formline to cling to, it was only two starts ago when the selection passed them all to take a valuable Goodwood handicap in the mud. This is a different track but it can also lend itself to finishers. Enough to like at a huge price.

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13:15 Cor Dekker vs Raymond van Barneveld

Raymond van Barneveld

Win Match 2-way

91 WIN

@1.62

Win

12:45 Jonny Tata vs Ross Smith

Ross Smith

Win Match 2-way

140 WIN

@1.25

Win

12:30 Charlton v Millwall

Draw

50 WIN

@3.30

Win

115

12:30 Oxford Utd v Leicester

Leicester

66 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-66

12:30 Preston v Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

60 WIN

@2.40

Lose

-60

12:15 Cameron Menzies vs Peter Wright

Cameron Menzies

Win Match 2-way

84 WIN

@1.67

Win

11:45 Chris Dobey vs Luke Woodhouse

Luke Woodhouse

Win Match 2-way

56 WIN

@2.38

Lose

-56

12 September 2025

20:00 Ipswich v Sheff Utd

Ipswich

90 WIN

@1.70

Win

16:15 4:15 Sandown

Lexington Belle

Daily Racing

55 WINNAP

@23.00

Lose

-55

LEXINGTON BELLE may be the complete outsider and that is part of the appeal. One of the main sellimg points, aside from her odds, is the fact that she is an autumn filly. Her two modest runs this season don't trouble me therefore. Not especially well treated and has yet to win in Class 3 company, so there are things to question. What tips the balance for me is the softer ground conditions, which suit the filly well.

11 September 2025

21:00 9:00 Newcastle

Miss Yorkshire

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@23.00

Lose

-50

Patontheback

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

20:30 8:30 Newcastle

Portsoken

Daily Racing

55 WIN

@10.00

Lose

-55

PORTSOKEN certainly needs to improve now handicapping, but that has to be possible. What really takes my eye is that this filly was doing all her best work at the finish over 7f on her second start. Her two runs since came over 6f, and that is probably significant. The Quinn yard has not been in blistering form but has a good strike rate on the AW. However, here at Newcastle, it is actually dreadful (3%), so now I am wondering...

13:15 1:15 Doncaster

Gwen John

Daily Racing

60 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-60

Rogue Temptation

Daily Racing

30 EWNOTETip made at odds of 9.00 on 10/09 at 20:500.10 deduction for Isle of Fernandez@10.00 withdrawn at 06:13R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 8.00 x (1-0.10) = 8.20Best Odds Guaranteed SP 10.00 used instead of 8.20 BOG

@10.00

Win

07 September 2025

20:00 European Tour 11

Gerwyn Price

50 WIN

@9.00

Lose

-50

Jonny Clayton

25 EW

@19.00

Lose

-50

17:15 4:42 Fontwell

Mirror Of Illusion

Daily Racing

66 WIN

@4.33

Lose

-66

16:15 3:42 Fontwell

Sun Joy

Daily Racing

60 WINNAP

@5.50

Lose

-60

Plenty of NH trainers are yet to really get started at this time of year and so SUN JOY gets the vote, based in part at least on Ben Pauling being right in form. The selection is not prolific and has been chasing, so his profile is not great. Against that, he is on a lenient mark on his best form. It isn't often talked about but an all-out win in January looked to bottom the horse. It has to be a hope not a prediction that the 212-day break has helped in that regard.

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15:30 Jermaine Wattimena vs Ryan Searle

Ryan Searle

Win Match 2-way

66 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-66

15:00 3:00 York

Rousing Encore

Daily Racing

55 WINNB

@17.00

Lose

-55

ROUSING ENCORE has failed to justify his market position the last twice. That said, this horse is not an easy ride; tending to pull and needing to be held up off the pace. If things drop right, then Ruth Carr's 5-y-o is on a fine mark. Winning form here at York, has won at both 5f and 6f (something I look for in these 5 1/2f handicaps), and the addition of first time cheek pieces is very interesting. Hopefully his high draw will prove no hindrance.

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15:00 Michael van Gerwen vs Josh Rock

Josh Rock

Win Match 2-way

84 WIN

@1.67

Win

14:30 Gerwyn Price vs Jonny Clayton

Gerwyn Price

Win Match 2-way

84 WIN

@1.67

Win

14:00 Luke Littler vs Gian van Veen

Gian van Veen

Win Match 2-way

50 WIN

@3.50

Win

125

13:30 James Wade vs Ross Smith

James Wade

Win Match 2-way

66 WIN

@1.91

Win

13:00 Stephen Bunting vs Peter Wright

Peter Wright

Win Match 2-way

52 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-52

12:30 Rob Cross vs Wessel Nijman

Rob Cross

Most 180s

52 WIN

@2.50

Lose

-52

12:00 Luke Humphries vs Martin Schindler

Luke Humphries

Win Match 2-way

100 WIN

@1.50

Win

06 September 2025

15:00 Bolton v AFC Wimbledon

Bolton

84 WIN

@1.67

Win

15:00 Huddersfield v Peterborough

Huddersfield

100 WIN

@1.50

Win

14:40 2:40 Ascot

Telemark

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@13.00

Lose

-50

Sometimes in these large field, high quality handicaps, the benefits of a claiming jockey are overstated. This one bucks that trend though, with six of the last ten winners enjoying weight removal. Warren Fentiman takes 5 lb off TELEMARK and this 4-y-o looks to have good claims. Although it is fair to point out that progression has stalled; this month last year saw the selection winning on soft ground and that, hopefully, is the key. Yet to encounter anything like that this season and off a slowly falling mark, appeals. Arkadian Thunder and Afentiko look to be dangers.

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14:25 2:25 Haydock

Way Of Stars

Daily Racing

55 WINNAP

@11.00

Lose

-55

This staying handicap has tended to go to one proven over the trip, with the notable exception of the two recent William Haggas winners. His entry, Valiancy, does not have the same profile, and so I am siding with WAY OF STARS. Jockey bookings suggest this gelding is the second string from Andrew Balding's pair, and that is a concern. Despite this, the selection comes here nice and fresh and could be on a very fair mark. After romping home in his maiden at Goodwood, he finished behind Pole Star here and is now better off at the weights. He may need to find a couple of pounds for the win, which he might. I wouldn't put outsider Love Talk up as a bet, but she has a better chance of running into a place than her odds imply.

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02 September 2025

17:18 5:18 Goodwood

Far Above Dream

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 7.50 on 01/09 at 20:560.15 deduction for Think Of A Name@6.50 withdrawn at 07:21R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 6.50 x (1-0.15) = 6.52Best Odds Guaranteed SP 7.00 used instead of 6.53 BOG

@7.00

Win

180

FAR ABOVE DREAM is handicapped to go close here, for the prolific yard of James Owen. Lightly-raced, it may well be that this downhill 6f suits well, after defeats over 5f and 7f the last twice. Soft ground poses a question but for my money, the 3-y-o gelding is likely to handle it. Cheek pieces are removed after one try.

Kiss And Run

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@9.00

Lose

-50

KISS AND RUN failed to show her form last time, but it can pay to forgive a filly the odd lesser effort. Prior to that, the locally trained selection had finished second of seventeen in a much hotter race at Newbury. Given she appreciates cut in the ground, has plenty of form here at Goodwood, and is on a very fair mark, her odds look generous enough to make her a bet.

17:10 5:10 Wolverhampton

Gilt Edge

Daily Racing

40 EW

@9.50

Lose

-80

16:43 4:43 Goodwood

Chambers

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

CHAMBERS has not had many chances and is interesting on that score at least. Both of his siblings won four races, and his three qualifying runs were certainly not without promise. He has changed hands and joined a capable yard, which is another angle of uncertainty yet promise. Market indications will probably be useful; I am happy to take a chance at the early price.

Thundering Breeze

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@19.00

Lose

-50

THUNDERING BREEZE has not been progressive for the Moores thus far and has a lot to prove. Against that, the 4-year-old is on a suitable mark and the soft ground could well suit him (only raced on good or faster turf and Polytrack). The step up in trip is another notable angle, and given his shrewd connections, this horse is another where either the early price will prove a steal, or he may drift right out and finish behind. I am taking the positive approach.

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15:33 3:33 Goodwood

Goodwood Mogul

Daily Racing

60 WINNAP

@2.25

Lose

-60

GOODWOOD MOGUL will have plenty of support wearing the red and yellow silks and looks a strong favourite. Notably progressive, this already gelded son of Mobaasher is well related and stands out on form shown. Additionally, this step up from a mile to 10 furlongs really ought to suit, and there is enough in the book to suggest he will handle the soft conditions.

14:58 2:58 Goodwood

Faustus

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@12.00

Lose

-50

Shades of Pettochside, strutting his stuff on the soft ground for connections of FAUSTUS, here at Goodwood and elsewhere. It is a shame not to see John at the races nowadays but his daughter Rachel Cook will be there to saddle Faustus no doubt. Goodwood has not seen the 7-y-o hit the frame in 5-races but he has run to a mark here on soft ground (and similarly on faster ground), that indicates he can triumph when things fall right.

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Marching Mac

Daily Racing

25 EW

@21.00

Win

MARCHING MAC looks a huge price to my eye, in a race that would be up for grabs if the favourite disappoints or doesn't run. The selection has won 4 of his last 13 and, importantly, seems to relish soft ground. On the ratings, the 4-y-o may need to run to a mark of 84 to win and just three starts ago, he ran to 86, when fourth in the Epsom Dash. Positive trainer comments enhance my view and don't forget, 3-places are assured on the exchange, regardless of any non-runners.

1 member found this comment useful

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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

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Billy121only's Tips History

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