Billy121only

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Billy121only's Tips History

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20 April 2024
15:15 3:15 Newbury

Bill Silvers

Daily Racing

30 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 23.00 used instead of 21.00 takenBOG

@23.00

Win

102

BILL SILVERS is another drawn high and has a similar profile to my other selection. Quite well fancied ahead his debut at Doncaster early season as a 3-y-o, he ran well before taking a similar race at the same track a month later. Both of those were over 7f and he was stepped up to 10f for his final two efforts, a listed race at Goodwood where he ran to form before improving further to place back at Doncaster. Yet to race on anything other than soft or heavy so that is a question but the stable comments are indicative of a good run and dropping back to a mile in a race like this is no bad thing. Has been gelded.
1 member found this comment useful

Terwada

Daily Racing

55 WIN

@15.00

Lose

-55

TERWADA is well tipped-up yet appears quite weak in the market, trading at 25/1 on the exchange as I write. Nonetheless, 4-y-o's have an excellent record in this and Ed Walker's charge looks just the type to be focused on. Unraced as a juvenile, he made great strides last year, winning a novice by 9-lengths and finding notable improvement a month later to win a handicap; followed by a fair run in a valuable York handicap. May have been over the top in the Cambridgeshire and has been gelded ahead of this season. All his form is on fast ground but the drying day may see good groundprevail by post time. The handicapper has been fair and the yard are in good form. Whether stall 21 will be influential one way or another, I don't know.
1 member found this comment useful
13 April 2024
16:00 4:00 Aintree

Noble Yeats

Daily Racing

30 EW

@26.00

Lose

-60

NOBLE YEATS has always had an interesting Itinerary and trainer Emmett Mullins is to be credited for that. Should his 9-y-o regain his crown today, accolades will break new ground. As with my other selection, Panda Boy, I really like the fact that Noble Yeats has been given a hurdling preparation. That does not mean he has had it easy and to finish a head either side of the now retired Paisley Park takes guts. This horse seems to have been around forever but is still relatively young and I fancy he will once again come alive ahead of this challenge. Regrettably perhaps, the bigger Irish yards are throwing loads of runners at this that appear to have slim hope and so with ‘only’ 33-rivals, surely this warrior can finish in the first six at least.
2 members found this comment useful

Panda Boy

Daily Racing

55 WINNAP

@12.00

Lose

-55

PANDA BOY stands out for me and with the requisite good fortune, the 8-y-o looks set for a huge run. Trainer Martin Brassil looks to have given his 8-y-o the ideal preparation to my thinking. After a slog in the Irish National last spring, this horse has contested a 2-mile chase, a 3-mile chase over Christmas (2/27) and then a 3-mile hurdle. For me, that is intelligent and I am not keen to lump on horses that have been slogging all winter and then been to Cheltenham. The horse has fine credentials regardless. After winning on his bumper debut 3-years ago at 33/1, the horse did not spend too long over hurdles and chasing hasn't seen him turn prolific. That said, he clearly has big days in him over staying trips and, well, I just feel this is the best bet among the 34.
2 members found this comment useful
13:20 1:20 Aintree

Fine Margin

Daily Racing

55 WINNB

@15.00

Lose

-55

FINE MARGIN looks really interesting here for Willie Mullins. Related to a decent sort, the 7-y-o started life with a small yard that have not had a winner in the last 5-years. Predictably showed much improved form on his first run for his new yard when second at Haydock last November. Ran badly at the Dublin racing festival but went off at 6/1 that day and that can be labelled too bad to be true. Returning here off a perfect 10-week break and so is really fresh and surely is on a very good mark, if he brings his form.

Red Risk

Daily Racing

35 EW

@34.00

Lose

-70

RED RISK is not well handicapped, as his trainer states, and that may prevent him winning. However, with extended places on offer, he makes some each-way appeal. Really capable on his day, the 9-y-o won't mind the improving ground and a few things will help. Freddie Gingell's claim is one and the addition of first time cheek pieces is always something which can improve a horse. I also like the fact that he missed Cheltenham and so is another fresh contender. From those that do come here from the festival, Black Bamboo makes the most appeal and is certainly worth including.
12 April 2024
17:15 5:15 Aintree

Party Vibes

Daily Racing

55 WIN

@17.00

Lose

-55

PARTY VIBES has been notably progressive going hurdling after two points and Henry Daly's mare is fancied to go well again today. Two comfortable wins in mares' novices saw her go into a large-field handicap at Newbury as one of the most fancied contenders. Still bang there when bought down at the last and as along as that has not left a mark confidence-wise, she should run a big race from the front under Alice Stevens. Irish raider Your Honor may be badly handicapped but still warrants a mention at a triple-figure price on the exchange.

Ted Hastings

Daily Racing

30 EW

@21.00

Lose

-60

TED HASTINGS represents the top Irish stable of Godon Elliott and could be over-priced. Regularly mixes flat and hurdles efforts and also mixes good and bad efforts, in roughly equal measure. On Boxing Day at this very track, he ran a good second and if he can back that up, the 8-y-o surely has prospects. Jockey Danny Gilligan has plenty of experience and that counts for plenty in these races.
16:05 4:05 Aintree

Fantastic Lady

Daily Racing

35 EW

@26.00

Win

140

FANTASTIC LADY ran a pretty fantastic race a year ago and may just do so again. Whilst I am still nervous of Henderson horses at this time, this mare comes here nice and fresh, as she did a year ago. A little higher in the weights which shouldn't stop her in isolation and although her run at the end of last year was poor, it was too bad to be true and she is better than that.
1 member found this comment useful

The Edgar Wallace

Daily Racing

55 WIN

@29.00

Lose

-55

THE EDGAR WALLACE has done nothing wrong since a wind operation over the summer and looks to be a chaser with plenty more to offer. This will be quite the change from the small fields he has been contesting and like always, the horse will need to take to these fences mentally and physically. Trainer Kim Bailey schools them well and in terms of value, I think this one tick the box. Stamina would be a small question but against that, the lightly-raced 9-y-o's style of racing should suit and hopefully he can stay out of trouble.
2 members found this comment useful
14:20 2:20 Aintree

Springwell Bay

Daily Racing

55 WINNAP

@23.00

Lose

-55

SPRINGWELL BAY did not honour his right to contest the Pertemps Final at Cheltenham last month and so comes here nice and fresh. After just three handicap runs, all over further, I believe the selection has scope to improve a while yet. Jonjo O'Neil is masterful at preparing one for a big handicap and whilst this trip will be sharp enough, I can definitely see this 7-y-o staying on nicely and finishing in the frame.
11 April 2024
16:40 4:40 Aintree

Triple Trade

Daily Racing

60 WINNAP

@34.00

Lose

-60

Colin Tizzard took this race 11-years ago with an exposed sort and for my money, TRIPLE TRADE has prospects for the same team this year. Not an immediate success, the now 8-y-o has won 4 of his last 8 and typically, he races close enough and pounces late. That tactic is likely to work as well as any here with a strong pace assured and his excess stamina will do no harm (winner at 2m4f). Soft ground is a slight question overall but he has a successs on heavy and so at the price, he looks a credible outsider at least.
14:20 2:20 Aintree

Intellotto

Daily Racing

30 EW

@21.00

Lose

-60

INTELLOTTO has been making hay in lesser company and to be truthful, did not shine when upped to Grade 1 company, seeing Kargese 9-lengths ahead at the Leopardstown line in February. Comes here relatively fresh though and in a race where a few could underwhelm, I see him outrunning his odds. Thought to want better ground although his last two wins were on heavy so should handle conditions.

Nurburgring

Daily Racing

60 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@9.50

Void

0

Ahead of the Supreme Novices at Cheltenham, there was good money around for Nurburgring, yet he was ridden so cold there was chance to down a pint of Guinness between the leader turning into the straight and this one. It is hard to imagine his jockey that day does not look back with some regret, unless the horse was genuinely flat-out that day. If he was, then he won't have the pace to win this but with a change of jockey, I am thinking he will be somewhere near the leaders early. Has surely to get closer to his old rival Kargese at least. I have to watch Nicky Henderson's runner, given there is still little evidence of a resurgence and I am not convinced Kalif Du Berlais is as good as he might be.
13:45 1:45 Aintree

Il Etait Temps

Daily Racing

55 WIN

@4.00

Win

165

From a punting perspective, this whole meeting suffers from the uncertainy around how Cheltenham horses will perform after festival efforts. For me, Grey Dawning had the hardest race in the novice chase and I cannot see any logic in Ginny's Destiny being four times the price for revenge at the current prices. Perhaps IL ETAIT TEMPS had an easier final couple of furlongs than either when taking a distant third in the Arkle. Willie Mullins famously has a modest record at this meeting (from relatively few runners) but he sends this 6-y-o over and I think this extra distance will suit him well. Ginny's Destiny looks the danger.
01 April 2024
15:00 Birmingham v Preston

Preston

90 WIN

@3.10

Lose

-90

15:00 Coventry v Cardiff

Coventry

150 WIN

@1.53

Lose

-150

15:00 Middlesbrough v Sheff Wed

Middlesbrough

110 WIN

@1.80

Win

88

15:00 Plymouth v Bristol City

Bristol City

80 WIN

@2.70

Win

136

15:00 Stoke v Huddersfield

Stoke

80 WIN

@2.10

Lose

-80

15:00 Sunderland v Blackburn

Blackburn

75 WIN

@3.60

Win

195

15:00 Swansea v QPR

Draw

70 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-70

15:00 West Brom v Watford

West Brom

110 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-110

12:30 Leicester v Norwich

Leicester

200 WIN

@1.65

Win

130

31 March 2024
15:05 3:05 Plumpton

Sea Invasion

Daily Racing

60 WINNAP

@5.50

Win

270

SEA INVASION looks to have an excellent chance of providing Chris Gordon with the winner of the race named after him. This horse was a big fancy for one of the leading handicap hurdles a few weeks back but was withdrawn on ground worries. This will instead be the 6-y-o's handicap debut; he is up in trip and surely has loads of improvement to offer now switched to this kind of company. The ground at Plumpton has held up well in the weather and should suit perfectly.
1 member found this comment useful
30 March 2024
14:25 2:25 Meydan

Nakatomi

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@7.00

Lose

-50

Sibelius

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.00

Lose

-50

13:50 1:50 Meydan

Forever Young

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.00

Win

50

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