flitty

Try to go for the value bets, going and distance and whether its time for that horse to win. Also like betting on lower league football where form is more permanent

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flitty's Tips History

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11 October 2024
16:10 4:10 Newmarket

Highland Bling

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@34.00

Lose

-50

Ran a really good second but then flopped at his next run, which was over two furlongs further. He has always performed better at this distance. Looks favourably rated today and has an each-way chance with Marquand booked for this Irish raider.
10 October 2024
16:00 4:00 Ayr

Abruzzo Mia

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@13.00

Lose

-50

Has now dropped in grade here, and his welter burden is reduced by a 7 lb claimer. He has won over this distance, and this is not the best race, but he could go close at a big price.
09 October 2024
16:17 4:17 Nottingham

Native Souvenir

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@15.00

Lose

-50

Will relish today's conditions on handicap debut after winning over the distance at Ffos Las on heavy going. Nicely rated for this debut and will no doubt be staying on at the death and must have EW possibilities here today in a very average race.
08 October 2024
15:23 3:23 Leicester

Spirit Of Breeze

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 41.00 used instead of 26.00 takenBOG

@41.00

Win

175

Returned from a long break to run a fair race last time and is now on the same mark as his last win, which was here over course and distance. The going today should suit. His jockey in the race he won gets the ride today and has an each-way chance.
07 October 2024
20:00 Bradford v Newport County

Bradford

50 WIN

@1.44

Win

22

Bradford have scored four fewer goals this year than Newport, but Newport have conceded 17 goals this season, opposed to Bradford's total of ten. Bradford are a better home side than Newport are an away side. Newport are not a great side on their travels, and I can see Bradford, with home advantage, being too good here tonight.

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@1.73

Win

37

Newport are a good scoring side and have scored 15 this season, as opposed to Bradford's ten. However, Newport have conceded 17 goals already. Bradford, with their good home form, should score tonight. But with Newport's good scoring record, I feel both teams will score (BTTS) tonight.
16:35 4:35 Yarmouth

Hakuna Babe

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@12.00

Win

30

Ran well at Haydock after being dropped three pounds and remains on that mark. Was a little unlucky at Haydock as he got boxed in as he made his move and stayed on late. Going and distance are fine, so each-way possibilities.
06 October 2024
16:45 4:45 Uttoxeter

Prime Pretender

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@17.00

Lose

-50

Been a decent point-to-point horse and returned to fences last time, running a decent race to finish fifth. Will like this trip and has form on good going. Dropped a pound for that run and has an EW chance.
16:40 4:40 Longchamp

Kinross

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-50

Consistent and honest sort, this one showed he still has it with a good win in a decent Doncaster race last time out. This going is fine for him, and he is flexible at the distance he runs over.
16:30 Brighton v Tottenham

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@1.38

Win

19

Both these sides have recorded some good scoring in their games, with Spurs having a better goal difference of plus 7 as opposed to Brighton's plus 2. Brighton are a good side at home, but Spurs do concede at times. Brighton have let in 8 goals already this season, and I see an open game with both teams scoring (BTTS).
16:05 4:05 Longchamp

Sparkling Plenty

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

Looked a decent sort on his first two runs and really should have run better last time out, but was given too much to do from a poor position. He must be able to show his best form here.
15:20 3:20 Longchamp

Los Angeles

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@6.00

Lose

-50

Won both the Irish Derby and the Voltigeur at York, as well as placed in the English Derby. This is his ideal trip, and last time out, he was run over a shorter distance, which may have prepped him for this and should make him a big player in this race.

Shin Emperor

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Lose

-50

Has already beaten Los Angeles last time out which no doubt got him ready for for this . Been a big winner in Japan and travels well and should be there at the death
14:05 2:05 Longchamp

Believing

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-50

Been running well all season and won at the Curragh and Haydock. He has shown in those runs his ability to stay over the sprint distances, and this softer going today may help his cause.

Washington Heights

Daily Racing

25 EW

@19.00

Lose

-50

Ran well to win a decent race at Newmarket and looks a big price for what he has achieved. His form over sprint distances is fine and he could go close.
14:00 Aston Villa v Man Utd

Aston Villa

50 WIN

@2.20

Lose

-50

Villa are in good form and a well-organized side who set up well and have the ability to score goals. Their GD is plus 3 with a struggling Utd minus 3 GD. Villa have won 3, drawn 1, and lost 1 of their last five games, and Utd have won 1, drawn 1, and lost 3 of their last five games. Utd do need to get back on track, but Villa's fluent football today could see them home in this game today, especially with their home advantage.
14:00 Chelsea v Nottm Forest

Chelsea

50 WIN

@1.50

Lose

-50

Chelsea are in great form and lie 4th in the league with a GD of plus 8 and have scored 15 goals already this season. Forest lie 10th and have had some good results of late and have a GD of only plus 1. They have won 2, drawn 2, and lost one game, as opposed to Chelsea who have won 4 and drawn 1 of their games. Chelsea should be too strong here today.
13:30 1:30 Longchamp

Field Of Gold

Daily Racing

25 EW

@4.50

Lose

-50

Disappointed on debut, but then ran well for a win in his next race to win that maiden with a good turn of foot. He must have a good chance here today.

Henri Matisse

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.00

Lose

-50

Looked a good sort on his first two runs, but then ran a race where he didn't show his best form. However, he seems the best of the bunch here today and should go close.
12:55 12:55 Longchamp

Zarigana

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@1.80

Lose

-50

Looks a useful sort and ran well to win here over course and distance last time, following up his win on debut. He does look a promising sort and could go close.
05 October 2024
15:35 3:35 Ascot

Popmaster

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@13.00

Lose

-50

Excels in big field handicaps and is a distance winner in soft going. Ran okay last time in a group race after missing the break and dropped a pound for that run. Has always been a consistent type and should be a decent EW shot.
15:00 Accrington Stanley v Morecambe

Morecambe (AH) 0.25

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@2.02

Lose

-50

Accrington are still trying to find consistency and lie at the bottom of the league, with Morecambe one place above them. Morecambe have been on a good run, drawing four of their last five games and only conceded late against a useful Bradford side last week. Their goal difference is minus 5, with Accrington having a goal difference of minus 9, conceding a total of 18 goals already, while Morecambe has only conceded 12. I feel Morecambe's improved form should see them getting a result today here.
15:00 Barrow v Cheltenham

Barrow

50 WIN

@1.67

Win

34

Barrow have climbed into a place in the top 6 and face a Cheltenham side who are below Barrow. Cheltenham do not seem to travel well, but Barrow have made their home ground a bit of a fortress lately. With Barrow's much better defensive record, I can see Barrow winning here today.
15:00 Brentford v Wolverhampton

Brentford

50 WIN

@2.10

Win

55

brentford are a much better home side than away and still have only won 1 and drawn 1 of their last five games with a gd of minus 2. However Wolves have a gd of minus 10 having lost 4 and drawn 1 of their last five games and seem to struggle away and brentfords home form should see them win today.
15:00 Colchester v Carlisle

Colchester

50 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-50

Colchester have been improving of late and face a Carlisle side who are shipping goals and already have a GD of minus 9, with Colchester only at minus 2 goals. Colchester got a good point at Port Vale last week and should be good enough here with their recent improvement.
15:00 Leicester v Bournemouth

Leicester (AH) 0.25

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@2.05

Win

52

Leicester are not in great form, having drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last five games, and have a GD of minus 4 and conceded already 12 goals. Their opponents today have won 2 and drawn 1 of their last five games and have a GD of minus 1. Bournemouth were good the other night against Southampton, and they may well have been in trouble if Southampton had taken chances late on. Leicester at home may play to this handicap.
15:00 Milton Keynes Dons v Tranmere

Milton Keynes Dons

50 WIN

@1.70

Lose

-50

MK Dons have been scoring frequently of late, having won 2 and drawn 2 of their last five games. MK Dons have a GD of plus 1, while Tranmere has a GD of minus 4 and has only scored 4 goals all season. I feel MK Dons' better goal-scoring ability and the 12 goals they have scored this season should see their attack winning the day today.
15:00 Peterborough Sports v Rushall Olympic

Peterborough Sports

50 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-50

Peterborough Sports have had a decent run of late, having won three and drawn two games. Rushall have lost three and won two of their last five games. However, Rushall do not play well away, having conceded nine and scored only two in their away games, and may struggle again today here.
15:00 Plymouth v Blackburn

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@1.60

Win

30

Plymouth have been improving lately and do seem to play better at home. They have a GD of minus 4 and played well at Burnley last week despite losing. In their last five games, they have won 2 and lost 3. Blackburn have a GD of plus 5 and have scored six more goals than Plymouth. So, I feel they should score today, but with Plymouth's better home form, they should get a goal as well.
15:00 Sheff Utd v Luton

Sheff Utd

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

Sheffield United are in form and second in the league, having won 4 and drawn 1 of their last five games. However, Luton seem to be finding it hard to get going, having won 2, drawn 1, and lost 2 of their last five games, but have a goal difference of minus 5 as opposed to plus 7 of Sheffield United. With home advantage, Sheffield United should win this game today.
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15:00 Watford v Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

50 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-50

Watford the other night were easily beaten by Preston and looked a poor side against a physical opponent. I feel Middlesbrough have picked up of late and should have enough in the locker to win here today.
12:30 Crystal Palace v Liverpool

Liverpool

50 WIN

@1.50

Win

25

Liverpool are in top form at present and have shown this with four wins this season and a GD of plus 10, which also shows their excellent defense. Palace are struggling this season, have yet to win, and have a GD of minus 4. Liverpool should be too good here today for Palace.
12:30 Fleetwood Town v Bromley

Fleetwood Town

50 WIN

@1.80

Lose

-50

Fleetwood will no doubt be high on confidence after their win at Walsall, and they will no doubt be getting forward again. Bromley have started to drop a bit after a good start, but I see Fleetwood being good enough here today.
12:30 Norwich v Hull

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@1.62

Lose

-50

Two sides who are playing well, especially Hull who are excellent going forward with the ball and scoring goals. Both sides have scored 12 goals already this season, and Norwich are a far better side at home. I can see BTTS here today.
04 October 2024
20:00 Sunderland v Leeds

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@1.87

Win

44

Both these sides are in the race for promotion, and both are scoring goals. Although Sunderland has a better defense, I can see Leeds, with their talented strike force, being able to score here tonight. Both have decent goal difference records, and BTTS is my forecast.

Sunderland (AH) 0.00

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@2.11

Push

0

Sunderland do make Roker Park a fortress in their games, and this game tonight should have a fantastic atmosphere. Having a marginally better scoring record, Sunderland may be able to win tonight on this handicap with a good home record and a two-goal better goal difference.
18:00 Landskrona v Skovde AIK

Landskrona (AH) -1.50

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@2.00

Win

50

Landskrona lie just out of the top three, but a win tonight will help them no end. Their GD is plus 10, as opposed to their opponents who lie at the bottom of the league with a GD of minus 20. Landskrona looks the better side and, with home advantage, should win here today.
14:20 2:20 Hexham

Ange Endormi

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@9.50

Win

17

Now down to last winning mark and should be back to fitness after three runs after a season off. Going and distance are fine and must have an each-way chance today.
03 October 2024
20:00 Chelsea v Gent

Chelsea

50 WIN

@1.20

Win

10

Chelsea are in top form at present and scoring goals regularly in their games with an opponent who seems not as good as Chelsea. Chelsea's better players should see them home tonight, considering their recent results in the Premier League.
20:00 FC Porto v Man Utd

FC Porto (AH) -0.25

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@2.06

Lose+Push

-25

Porto are playing well in the Portugal league and lie second with a GD of plus 13 with an excellent defence and scoring record. Utd lie mid table in the premier league and have not won in their last three games and Porto could well play to this handicap tonight.
20:00 Fiorentina v The New Saints

Fiorentina (AH) -2.75

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.82

Lose

-50

TNS will no doubt defend deep tonight, considering the difference in their league standings for their competitions: Fiorentina in Serie A and TNS in the Welsh League. Fiorentina should just be too good for them here tonight in this game.
15:50 3:50 Salisbury

Under The Twilight

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@10.00

Lose

-50

Won this race in the past and also won at Windsor and will relish this soft going and distance is fine as well. His rating is the same as at Windsor but won this race last season as well and should run well.
15:05 3:05 Southwell

Calvic

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@12.00

Lose

-50

Won over this distance at Worcester last season so this track which is a similar fast type should suit , going ok and flopped last time but there were excuses and has some ability and in a poor race is Ew shot
02 October 2024
20:00 Aston Villa v Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

50 WIN

@1.73

Lose

-50

Bayern must be favourites here tonight with their goalscoring ability and villa have shown a leaky defence in their premier league games having already conceded 9 goals in that competition. In the bundesliga bayern are top and they have only conceded four but scored17 goals and I feel their scoring ability should see them victorious here tonight.
20:00 Dinamo Zagreb v Monaco

Monaco

50 WIN

@1.67

Lose

-50

Monaco have started well with a victory over Barcelona in their first game. In the french league they are second in the league and have a GD of plus nine having conceded only three goals. Dinamo had a terrible start shipping a hat full of goals in their first game and in their domestic league lie third but have conceded nine goals in their league and I just feel Monaco may just be too good tonight
19:45 Preston v Watford

Watford (AH) 0.00

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@2.07

Lose

-50

Watford are a team who can score goals and they face an out of sort Preston side tonight and Watford have a far better goal difference than Preston and also Preston had a heavy defeat at Millwall Saturday and I see Watford getting a result tonight
16:10 4:10 Sligo

Space Tourist

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@1.44

Lose

-50

Small field here and this Mullins entry looks a good sort.Won his last chase over a similar distance to this on similar going and proved to be strong on the run in and looks like a weak field here today
01 October 2024
20:00 Barcelona v Young Boys

Barcelona

50 WIN

@1.07

Win

4

Barcelona have only lost one game this season in la liga and we're well beaten last time out but may well have had an eye on this game tonight. They will be hoping to get back on track after that defeat and have already scored 25 goals in the la liga this season Young boys lie in the bottom half of the swiss league and already had a poor result beaten by an Aston Villa side who dominated the game at young boys ground and Barcelona should be too good here tonight
20:00 Borussia Dortmund v Celtic

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@1.60

Win

30

Celtic have been scoring goals for fun in their Scottish premier league and had a handsome win at weekend. They face a Dortmund side who have been scoring goals of late in their games and showed last season in Europe their scoring ability and I see btts tonight.
20:00 Reading v Burton Albion

Reading

50 WIN

@1.70

Win

35

Reading are playing much better home than away and with their GD of minus 2 this is better than Burton, who are in the relegation area, whose GD is minus 5. Reading had a good win at weekend and may well be good enough here on their home form to win this game against a struggling burton
20:00 Slovan Bratislava v Man City

Man City

50 WIN

@1.06

Win

3

Bratislava have been riding high in their domestic league and top the table but came unstuck at Celtic in the last phase of games and tonight face a Manchester city team who drew their last European game against a fair Milan side and their form should see them through here tonight 
19:45 Birmingham v Huddersfield

Birmingham

50 WIN

@1.67

Win

34

Birmingham look a good side at the top of the league and had a good result last time. They have scored goals in their games with a total of 16 as opposed to a total of 12 for Huddersfield, who have also only won one league game this season. Birmingham will be too strong tonight I feel in this game
19:45 Blackpool v Lincoln City

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

Blackpool have scored 16 goals already this season and Lincoln 12 . They are high up in goals scored but Blackpool have conceded 13 already and Lincoln only six. I feel that both sides will get forward tonight and I see btts .
19:45 Morecambe v Bradford

Morecambe (AH) 0.25

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@2.02

Win+Push

25

Morecambe have slowly started to improve of late and they were unlucky in some refereeing calls on Saturday against a fair notts county side. Before that they impressed at Fleetwood coming back to win after going behind. Their tight ground suits their play and they could well tonight play to a generous handicap as Bradford city are not in the form they started in and Morecambe should have a chance here tonight
14:40 2:40 Bath

City Cyclone

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@34.00

Win

140

Now down to lowest rating for a while and showed his ability at Windsor last time with a decent run. Upped in trip here today and has shown ability over a stiff seven in heavy going at ffos lass and this much speedier track could suit.

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