NafVertone

Try to be as selective as possible.

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NafVertone's Tips History

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06 April 2025
15:25 3:25 Cork

King Cuan

Daily Racing

150 WINNAP

@3.75

Lose

-150

Not seen for 539 days but won three on the bounce as a 2yo when last seen. Two of those wins he had horses in behind that he could be a great deal better than a mark of 96 and could potentially be a Group horse. As long as he retains his ability and is ready to roll on return he looks the one they all have to beat here.
14:35 2:35 Fairyhouse

Joystick

Daily Racing

50 EW

@8.50

Lose

-100

While there is no doubt that Wingmen is the one to beat here as he is the best horse on official ratings, I think Joystick offers a bit of each-way value in this. While he ran no race at the DRF, he bounced back with a solid effort last time out over this trip behind the useful Jacobs Ladder. His win at Navan over Grade 1 scorer at Aintree, Honesty Policy, over two miles reads really well now. On that form alone, he looks the each-way value in this.
14:00 2:00 Fairyhouse

St Cuthberts Cave

Daily Racing

100 WINNB

@2.75

Lose

-100

This contest looks to be between the three at the head of the market. While all three have similar hard-to-win-with profiles, I think St Cuthberts Cave has found a good opportunity to get his head in front. He has gone really close on his last two starts, and he has not had many opportunities to run on a sound surface. I think he should be more effective on better ground. His third last run has a solid look to it now, considering Honesty Policy won a Grade 1 contest at Aintree yesterday.
04 April 2025
16:05 4:05 Aintree

Excello

Daily Racing

50 EW

@9.00

Lose

-100

Probably the best backed horse in the race and has had the sort of campaign that would suggest he has been targeted at this. His first four runs this season have been over hurdles which he has not been running great. In turn this has allowed his mark to drop by 12lbs over fences too. His last run over fences at Sandown was his best run of the season where he jumped superbly and was only beaten 3/4 of a length in the end. That run came over 3 miles and I do think the drop back in trip is a positive. While he is only a 6yo the yard did win this race in 2013 & 2014 with two 6yos which were both French breds like Excello, so age should not be a factor here.
2 members found this comment useful
15:30 3:30 Aintree

El Fabiolo

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@3.25

Lose

-100

Three times Jonbon and El Fabiolo have met each other now, and while the score lies 2-1 to Jonbon, there is very little between the two. In fact, El Fabiolo is currently rated a pound higher on official ratings. Jonbon arrives here on the back of a really tough race in the Queen Mother, where a horrible blunder left him on the back foot, and he did well to finish second in the end. The fact that Simon Munior and Issac Soude also run Matata here will mean that Jonbon won't get all his own way up front, and I think this could set things up perfectly for El Fabiolo, and he is the pick here.
2 members found this comment useful
14:55 2:55 Aintree

Tripoli Flyer

Daily Racing

100 WINNB

@3.50

Lose

-100

Romeo Coolio has been so easy to back in the betting, and I think he could be worth taking on here as he did have a very hard race at Cheltenham. Tripoli Flyer was a late enough withdrawal from the Supreme Novice Hurdle at Cheltenham, and that may very well be a blessing in disguise as I think he has much sounder claims here. That Dovecote win was really impressive and brings him very close to the ability the FAV has shown. As long as he jumps well, he should be going close here for a stable in red-hot form at present.
2 members found this comment useful
14:20 2:20 Aintree

Wreckless Eric

Daily Racing

100 EWNAP

@10.00

Lose

-200

This is a wide-open competitive contest, as can be seen from the betting. One that I like at an each-way price in this is Wreckless Eric, who really caught the eye with a solid run to finish second in the Imperial Cup. A race he may have won in another stride. He kind of got caught behind horses at a crucial time, and if getting a clear run like the winner did, I do think he would have won. Now he does step up to 2M 4F for the first time, but the way he finished off his race in the Imperial Cup would suggest it should pose no issues, and he may even improve for it. There is also bags of stamina on the dam's side of his pedigree too. The fact he bypassed Cheltenham is also a big positive.
2 members found this comment useful
03 April 2025
17:15 5:15 Aintree

Seo Linn

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@2.88

Win

187

She skipped Cheltenham to come here to take on her own. She looked classy in winning on her last run. Should be going close in what looks like a competitive affair.
16:40 4:40 Aintree

Petit Tonnerre

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@9.00

Lose

-100

Best run this season came over course and distance behind Imperial Saint and the form of that run would suggest this mark looks lenient. Looks to hold sound each way claims here.
16:05 4:05 Aintree

Lifetime Ambition

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-100

Cannot get away from Lifetime Ambition here. Was a top class performer in open company and has been over these Aintree fences before. By far the classiest horse in the race and will prove hard to beat with a clear round.
15:30 3:30 Aintree

Lossiemouth

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@2.38

Win

138

This looks a straight match between the two market principles, and while Constitution Hill has beaten Lossiemouth, I think there is every chance she can get her revenge here over this longer trip. Constitution Hill took an extremely heavy fall at Cheltenham, and it's possible this may have left a mark psychologically.
14:55 2:55 Aintree

Spillanes Tower

Daily Racing

100 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@4.00

Void

0

While Spillane Tower came up well short in the King George this season that rock solid John Durkan form is hard to get away from. I think this race has possibly been the target all season and he looks the one they all have to beat here.
14:20 2:20 Aintree

Murcia

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@6.00

Win

300

Murcia looks a rock-solid each way bet here. She was beaten 8 lengths by the favorite in the Fred Winter at Cheltenham but had to give that rival 6 lbs, which was never going to be easy. She gets the mares' allowance here and is in receipt of 13 lbs, which could very well see a reversal in placings.
13:45 1:45 Aintree

Impaire Et Passe

Daily Racing

100 WINNBNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 3.25 used instead of 2.88 takenBOG

@3.25

Win

225

I think this race looks like a straight match between the two market leaders, and the fact that Impaire Et Passe bypassed Cheltenham to come here instead speaks volumes. He won at this festival last year, beating Bob Olinger over hurdles, and this three-time Grade 1 winner can add another Grade 1 success to his CV here.
01 April 2025
14:02 2:02 Lingfield

One More Dream

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@SP

Lose

-100

Turned out again quickly after only running 4 days ago, where he ran well in first-time blinkers. Only one pound above last winning mark and has won off 12 lbs higher and is 15 lbs below his peak mark. Can make presence felt here.
30 March 2025
15:40 3:40 Doncaster

Woven

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@10.00

Lose

-100

The each-way value in this race has to lie with Woven, who has finished second in this contest twice on similar marks. He has a fine course record too, which reads 231320, and has a solid record fresh too.
15:20 3:20 Ascot

Kotmask

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@2.62

Lose

-100

Tough to get away from Kotmask here, who has run some really sound races at this venue this season. This race looks a touch easier than most he has encountered this season. Should take all the beating here.
29 March 2025
15:00 3:00 Doncaster

Witch Hunter

Daily Racing

50 EW

@5.50

Lose

-100

Fit from two spins on the all-weather where he went close in a Listed contest last time out. He is a really consistent performer and rarely runs a bad race. There looks like plenty of pace to aim at with Port Lynas in the lineup, and he can pounce late here.
14:40 2:40 Kempton

Teumessias Fox

Daily Racing

50 EW

@5.50

Win

270

Has looked a much more solid performer on the all-weather than he has on turf, winning 3 of his 8 all-weather races. He was third in another two, 5th in two more, and not beaten far. His only bad AW run came last time out, and that was a very hot race. His record at Kempton reads 311, and he has been competitive off this sort of mark. Looks to hold sound e/w claims here if ready to rock on return. Has gone well fresh in the past.
14:25 2:25 Doncaster

Spycatcher

Daily Racing

100 WINNB

@5.00

Win

400

Spycatcher is a horse with a touch of class about him, having gone close to winning a Group 1 in France in 2023. He has an excellent record fresh, which reads 11313 after a break of 100 days or more. The two times he was beaten, he was only beaten a head and 3/4 of a length too. Looks the one to beat here.
13:55 1:55 Stratford

Dambuster

Daily Racing

50 EWNOTETip made at odds of 7.00 on 29/03 at 10:550.55 deduction for Kientzheim@1.73 withdrawn at 12:59R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 6.00 x (1-0.55) = 3.70Best Odds Guaranteed SP 5.00 used instead of 3.70 BOG

@5.00

Lose

-10

Makes his hurdle debut here but was the best of these on the flat. As long as he jumps adequately on hurdle debut, he should be capable of making his presence felt here.
13:50 1:50 Doncaster

Pressures On

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@6.50

Lose

-100

Fit from a spin on all-weather and probably the best-backed horse in this, having more than halved in price. Should be going close here.
27 March 2025
16:32 4:32 Warwick

Snipe

Daily Racing

200 WINNAP

@3.25

Lose

-200

With the trainers' championship still up for grabs, Dan Skelton will be looking to land as many decent pots as possible to deny Willie Mullins. Snipe, who has been running consistently in much better contests than this of late, looks to give him sound claims of adding to the tally for Dan Skelton here.
14:27 2:27 Warwick

Ebony Warrior

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@1.91

Win

91

This looks a straight match between the two at the head of the market but I do think Ebony Warrior brings the slightly stronger form to the table and looks the one they all have to beat here.

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