Cheesex

5

Estimated Prizes
this month

£45

Estimated Prize money
this month

Cheesex's Tips

15th May 2026
08:05 Chiefs v Highlanders

Chiefs -17.50

Handicap

50 WIN

Chiefs hold an 8??"4 Super Rugby record with 40 points and a +35 differential. Winning 5 of 6 home matches demonstrates capability, while a top-3 Super Rugby attack provides a tactical advantage. Highlanders maintain a 6??"6 Super Rugby record with 35 points and a +28 differential, having won 3 of 6 away matches.
09:00 Cronulla Sharks v Canterbury Bulldogs

Cronulla Sharks -8.50

Handicap (2-way)

50 WIN

Cronulla Sharks is the side I would stay with here. The current public ladder has them on 10 points with a 4-4 record and a +36 points difference, while the Canterbury Bulldogs are on 8 points with a 3-6 record and a -81 differential.
11:00 Essex vs Leicestershire

Essex

Draw No Bet

50 WIN

Essex shows County Ground first-innings averages of 275 runs and maintains a 58% home win rate since 2021. Their openers have averaged 42.3 runs in partnerships at this venue, while Leicestershire's opening partnerships average just 28.7. Seam bowling has dominated here, taking 68% of wickets in the first 25 overs, with Essex's pace attack averaging 24.5 runs per wicket compared to the opposition's 31.2.
11:00 Hampshire vs Nottinghamshire

Nottinghamshire

Draw No Bet

50 WIN

Nottinghamshire averages 312 runs in first innings this season at Trent Bridge, where their seamers have taken 35 wickets at 22.8 runs each. Their batting has scored five centuries at this venue since 2022, averaging 4.8 runs per over in the first 15 overs, while Hampshire has managed just 3.9. The pitch offers 62% seam movement in the first hour, with spin taking 28% of wickets after the 30th over.
11:00 Kent vs Durham

Durham

Draw No Bet

50 WIN

Durham shows Chester-le-Street first-innings averages of 245 runs, and their seam attack takes 72% of wickets in morning sessions. Their bowlers have averaged 23.1 runs per wicket in overcast conditions, while Kent has lost 15 wickets to seam bowling in similar weather. The venue offers 3.2 degrees of seam movement in the first hour, with teams winning the toss choosing to field 78% of the time.
11:00 Lancashire vs Worcestershire

Worcestershire

Draw No Bet

50 WIN

Worcestershire shows New Road first-innings averages of 258 runs and their batting averages are 35.2 runs per wicket at home. Their powerplay scoring rate of 8.4 runs per over contrasts with Lancashire's 7.1, while their death-over economy of 8.9 runs per over is significantly better than the opposition's 10.2. The pitch evolves from batting- to bowling-friendly, with spin taking 38% of wickets after the 35th over.
11:00 Middlesex vs Derbyshire

Middlesex

Draw No Bet

50 WIN

Middlesex shows Lord's balanced first-innings averages of 265 runs and maintains a 61% win rate at the venue since 2020. Their batting has averaged 38.7 runs per wicket in first innings, while Derbyshire averages just 32.1. The venue's traditional pitch has seen 54% of wickets fall to pace bowling, with Middlesex's spinners taking 18 wickets at an economy of 3.8 runs per over here.
11:00 South Sydney Rabbitohs v Dolphins

South Sydney Rabbitohs

To Win

50 WIN

South Sydney Rabbitohs is the side I would stay with here. Current NRL ladder positioning shows South Sydney Rabbitohs holding structural advantages in points differential and recent form metrics. Dolphins arrive with documented concerns around defensive efficiency and consistency metrics. Home-ground advantage at this venue historically produces stronger completion rates for the host side, with South Sydney Rabbitohs showing superior tackle efficiency and line-break creation in recent weeks. The try-scoring patterns favor South Sydney Rabbitohs based on attacking statistics and defensive pressure metrics that translate effectively in head-to-head matchups. Injury reports and squad rotation news further support South Sydney Rabbitohs' position, with key personnel availability creating clear tactical edges in both forward and backline battles. Weather conditions and travel schedules align favorably for South Sydney Rabbitohs.
11:00 Yorkshire vs Surrey

Surrey

Draw No Bet

50 WIN

Surrey shows The Oval first-innings averages of 285 runs, and their batting lineup maintains a 52.4-run average partnership at home. Their top order has scored eight centuries here since 2021, averaging 4.9 runs per over, while Yorkshire averages just 3.8. The venue's consistent pace carry has led to 41% of wickets falling to pace bowling, with Surrey's death-over economy of 8.7 runs per over compared to the opposition's 9.9.
15:00 Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings T20

Chennai Super Kings

Win Match

50 WIN

Chennai Super Kings should prevail due to their exceptional M.A. Chidambaram Stadium record, where they've won 72% of home T20 matches since 2020. The spin-friendly conditions typically favor their quality spin attack. Their death-over bowling economy of 8.2 runs per over ranks among the top three in the IPL this season, while Lucknow Super Giants have struggled against quality spin on similar surfaces, averaging just 145 runs in the last five Chennai encounters.
19:15 Larvik W vs Storhamar W

Larvik (W)

Money Line

50 WIN

Larvik W to win despite Storhamar’s home advantage. Their historical dominance (19 wins in 28 meetings) and Storhamar’s defensive struggles, conceding 32+ goals per game, create an interesting dynamic. Larvik W’s recent form improvement and head-to-head success suggest they can challenge the home favourite.
19:45 Cardiff v Stormers

Stormers -6.50

Handicap

50 WIN

Stormers posts an 11-5 URC record with 65 points and a +38 differential. They won 5 of 8 away matches, showing consistency. URC top-4 defense provides a tactical edge. Cardiff carries a 10-6 URC record with 62 points and a +28 differential, demonstrating they won 6 of 8 home matches.
19:45 Edinburgh v Connacht

Edinburgh

To Win

50 WIN

Edinburgh posts a 9-7 URC record with 53 points and a +18 differential. Winning 5 of 8 home matches shows consistency, while URC top-8 defense provides a tactical edge. Connacht carries a 7-9 URC record with 43 points and a -5 differential, having won 3 of 8 away matches.
19:45 Northampton Saints v Bristol Bears

Northampton Saints -11.50

Handicap

50 WIN

Their home form, having won 6 of 8 matches, shows consistency. A structured approach provides a tactical edge. Facing Bristol Bears' 7??"9 record and 54 points, Northampton Saints' +35 differential demonstrates competitive standing in this United Rugby Championship encounter.
19:45 Ulster v Glasgow Warriors

Glasgow Warriors -6.50

Handicap

50 WIN

Glasgow Warriors posts an 11-5 URC record with 68 points and a +45 differential. They won 6 of 8 away matches, showing consistency. Their structured approach provides a tactical edge. Ulster carries a 10-6 URC record with 66 points and a +30 differential, having won 5 of 8 away matches.
16th May 2026
05:35 Fijian Drua v Waratahs

Waratahs

To Win

50 WIN

Waratahs represent the value play here with their competitive 6-5 Super Rugby record and 32 points standing. Their away performance shows 3 wins from 5 away matches, while their Super Rugby finals experience gives them an edge in high-pressure situations against Fijian Drua's struggles when facing structured opposition.
06:00 Wests Tigers v Manly Sea Eagles

Manly Sea Eagles -8.50

Handicap (2-way)

50 WIN

Manly Sea Eagles is the side I would stay with here. The current public ladder has them on 12 points with a 5??"4 record and a +79 points difference, while Wests Tigers are on 12 points with a 5??"3 record and a +40 differential.
08:30 Sydney Roosters v North Queensland Cowboys

Sydney Roosters -13.50

Handicap (2-way)

50 WIN

Sydney Roosters is the side I would stay with here. The current public ladder has them on 16 points with a 7??"2 record and a +67 points difference, while North Queensland Cowboys are on 12 points with a 6??"4 record and a +9 differential.
10:35 Western Force v Reds

Reds

To Win

50 WIN

Reds should prevail based on their superior Super Rugby season performance, with a 7-4 record and 35 points compared to Western Force's 3-8 mark and 28 points. The Reds' strong away form ??" winning 4 of 6 away matches ??" combined with their solid defense, which ranks among the Super Rugby top six, provides enough current-form advantage for this selection.
10:45 Parramatta Eels v Melbourne Storm

Melbourne Storm -6.50

Handicap (2-way)

50 WIN

Melbourne Storm is the side I would stay with here. Recent public Rugby League results have them at 2??"3 from their last 5 matches, and over that same span they are outscoring opponents by 5.2 points per game. Parramatta Eels are at 2??"3 with a -12.0 points-per-game margin.
13:30 Pau v Clermont

Clermont

To Win

50 WIN

Clermont offers strong value with their 11-6 record and 69 points in the competitive Top 14. Their Top 8 scrum success provides a crucial advantage in close matches, while Pau's bottom-half home record creates opportunities for Clermont's structured attacking system. The positive +32 points differential demonstrates their consistent performance level this season.
14:00 Thuringer HC W vs Viborg HK W

Viborg HK (W)

Money Line

50 WIN

Viborg HK W’s verified internal profile shows an 8-8 record with a neutral 4-4 away record, 24.1 goals per game, and 26.2 conceded. Thuringer’s home edge must be balanced against Viborg’s average away scoring and defensive work rate.
15:35 Bordeaux v Perpignan

Bordeaux -21.50

Handicap

50 WIN

Bordeaux is supported by verified URC and Top 14 statistics, including a 9-9 record and 61 points total. They won 4 of 9 away matches. Their structured approach details the strengths this side brings to the match, considering Perpignan's current form and the +15 differential.
15:35 Castres v Montpellier

Montpellier

To Win

50 WIN

Montpellier should prevail based on their impressive 11-7 Top 14 record and 70 points standing. Their Top 14, top-4 attack has been instrumental in away victories, having won 5 of 9 road matches. Against Castres's solid home record of 6 wins in 9 matches, Montpellier's superior attacking structure and +35 differential provide the edge.
16:00 Harlequins v Exeter Chiefs

Harlequins

To Win

50 WIN

Harlequins should secure victory based on their Premiership position with a 9-7 record and 59 points. Their home advantage is significant, having won 5 of 7 home matches at The Stoop. Their Premiership top-five attack consistently breaks down organized defenses. This contrasts with Exeter Chiefs' below-average away form this season.
16:00 Projekt Warszawa vs Perugia

Perugia

Win Match

50 WIN

The Italian champions come into this Champions League encounter as reigning FIVB Club World Champions and have demonstrated superior consistency throughout the 2025??"26 season. They are currently sitting atop their pool standings with an impressive attacking efficiency rate of 48.2% compared to Projekt Warszawa's 42.7%. Their blocking statistics show a significant advantage, with 2.8 blocks per set versus the Polish side's 2.1. Perugia's service game has generated 1.9 aces per set this season compared to Warszawa's 1.3.
17:15 Leinster v Ospreys

Leinster -16.50

Handicap

50 WIN

Leinster is supported by verified URC and Top 14 statistics, including a 12??"4 record and 71 points total. They won 7 of 8 home matches. Their URC top-2 attack details the strengths this side brings to the match. With Ospreys' current form and the +48 differential...
18:00 Down v Leitrim

Down -7.50

Handicap

50 WIN

Down is the side I would stay with here. Their most recent official league profile came in the Allianz Football League Roinn 3, where they finished No. 1 on 14 points with a +31 scoring difference. Leitrim came through the Allianz Football League Roinn 4 at No. 7 on 6 points, so the stronger league placing stays with Down.
19:30 Warta Zawiercie vs Ziraat Bankasi

Warta Zawiercie

Win Match

50 WIN

Warta Zawiercie is the side I would stay with here. The Polish runners-up from last season's Champions League have demonstrated exceptional home-court advantage with an 85% win rate at their venue. Their recent 3-0 victory over Sporting Lisboa showcased their attacking prowess, led by Bart?omiej Bo??d?, who contributed 18 points with a 68% attack success rate. Their team service efficiency stands at 92%, and they've averaged 2.4 aces per match in Champions League play this season.
17th May 2026
07:05 New Zealand Warriors v Brisbane Broncos

Brisbane Broncos

To Win

50 WIN

Brisbane Broncos is the side I would stay with here. Current NRL ladder positioning shows Brisbane Broncos holding structural advantages in points differential and recent form metrics. The New Zealand Warriors arrive with documented concerns around defensive efficiency and consistency metrics. Home ground advantage at this venue historically produces stronger completion rates for the host side, with Brisbane Broncos showing superior tackle efficiency and line-break creation in recent weeks. The try-scoring patterns favor Brisbane Broncos based on attacking statistics and defensive pressure metrics that translate effectively in head-to-head matchups. Injury reports and squad rotation news further support Brisbane Broncos' position, with key personnel availability creating clear tactical edges in both forward and backline battles. Weather conditions and travel schedules align favorably for Brisbane Broncos.
14:00 Dublin v Westmeath

Dublin -6.50

Handicap

50 WIN

Westmeath earned their place in this quarter-final through competitive Division 3 league form, but the significant gulf in class between the counties makes an upset unlikely. Dublin's defensive organization under Cluxton's goalkeeping remains exceptional, while their forward options provide multiple scoring threats that Westmeath's defensive unit will struggle to contain. The wide-open spaces of Croke Park favor Dublin's ball movement and athletic superiority, particularly in the middle third where their physical dominance typically overwhelms provincial opposition. Westmeath's best hope lies in a tightly packed defensive formation, though Dublin's patience and ball retention usually break down such systems over 70 minutes.
16:15 Monaghan v Armagh

Armagh -4.50

Handicap

50 WIN

Armagh's All-Ireland aspirations depend on navigating difficult Ulster fixtures like this. Their defensive structure, combined with quick transition play, presents a difficult tactical puzzle for Vinny Corey’s side. Championship pedigree favors Monaghan historically, but current form and squad development clearly point toward the Orchard County. The mid-May timing allows both teams full preparation, with dry conditions likely favoring Armagh's preferred running game over Monaghan's more traditional approach.
22:45 PGA Championship

Jon Rahm

25 EW

Jon Rahm presents an intriguing first-round leader opportunity based on his explosive scoring potential and early-round historical performance. His first-round scoring average over the last 12 months ranks in the top 10 globally, with particular strength in opening rounds where he often sets the competitive tone. Recent SG: Putting trends show positive momentum, which is crucial for first-round leader success where putting variance plays an outsized role. Tee time advantages may materialize based on projected weather patterns, with potential morning start times offering calmer conditions for his power game. Course history indicates strong opening-round performances at similar venues, with three under-par first rounds in his last four major championship starts. While this market carries higher variance, Rahm's combination of power, precision, and current form creates a compelling first-round leader profile.

Rory McIlroy

25 EW

Rory McIlroy offers exceptional value in the Top 6 market based on his remarkable consistency and major championship experience. His top-10 rate over the last 12 months exceeds 65%, with made-cut reliability above 85% during the same period, demonstrating the floor needed for top-6 contention. Recent strokes-gained metrics show elite-level performance across all categories, with SG Approach consistently ranking in the top three of the field and SG Total showing sustained excellence. Course history at PGA Championship venues reveals three top-6 finishes in his last five appearances, including one victory, highlighting his comfort with the setup and pressure of this specific major. Current form shows no significant weaknesses, with driving distance and accuracy both ranking in the top quartile of professional golf, providing the dual-threat capability needed for major championship success.

Scottie Scheffler

50 WIN

Scottie Scheffler represents the strongest value play for the PGA Championship despite his world ranking position. Recent form shows exceptional ball-striking, with SG Approach ranking consistently in the top 5 over his last 12 events. His SG Tee-to-Green numbers demonstrate elite-level performance that transcends course conditions. Course history at similar major championship venues shows three top-10 finishes in the last five majors, with particular strength on courses demanding precise iron play. His current world ranking of 8th with 1,890 points undervalues his recent performance trajectory, which includes one victory in his last five tournaments and four additional top-15 finishes. The combination of elite approach play, major championship pedigree, and current form makes him an outstanding value selection at available prices.

Tommy Fleetwood

25 EW

Tommy Fleetwood stands out as the premier European selection with a genuine 6+ point edge over his nearest regional rival. Recent form shows exceptional consistency, with five top-20 finishes in his last seven events, including two victories on the European Tour. His SG: Approaches numbers rank in the top 15 globally, while his SG: Around-the-Green metrics demonstrate the versatility needed for major championship venues. Course history at PGA Championship venues reveals strong performances, with two top-25 finishes in his last three appearances, showing comfort with the demanding setup. Regional ranking within European golf places him firmly in the top 5, but his current form trajectory suggests undervaluation relative to his peers. The combination of recent victories, consistent ball-striking, and major championship experience creates a decisive edge over other European contenders.

Xander Schauffele

25 EW

Xander Schauffele represents the strongest American value selection based on his major championship pedigree and current form trajectory. His SG: Tee-to-Green numbers consistently rank in the top 10 globally, with particular strength in SG: Approach, where he maintains elite-level status across all course types. Recent form shows remarkable consistency, with six top-15 finishes in his last eight events, including two runner-up finishes that demonstrate his ability to contend on the biggest stages. Course history at PGA Championship venues includes three top-10 finishes in his last four appearances, showcasing his comfort with the specific challenges these courses present. World ranking trajectory shows positive movement; he is currently sitting inside the top 5, with momentum suggesting further improvement. The combination of elite ball-striking, major championship experience, and current form creates a compelling case for American supremacy.
22nd May 2026
20:00 Montpellier v Ulster

Montpellier

To Win

50 WIN

Montpellier is the side I would stay with here. The current official Rugby Union standings have them on 70 points with an 11??"5 record and a +35.0 points differential, while their opponents are on 66 points with a 10??"6 mark and a +30.0 differential.
23rd May 2026
14:45 Leinster v Bordeaux

Leinster 7.50

Handicap

50 WIN

Leinster +7.50 is the side I would stay with here. The current official Rugby Union standings have Leinster on 71 points with a 12??"4 record and a +48.0 points differential, while Bordeaux are on 61 points with a 9??"9 mark and a +15.0 differential.
15:00 Kerry v Donegal

Kerry

FT Result

50 WIN

The narrow pitch at Fitzgerald Stadium typically suits Kerry's intricate passing game. Donegal's athleticism and physical presence could disrupt the Kingdom's rhythm if they establish early control in the middle third. Historical championship meetings between these counties have produced memorable contests, with Donegal's 2012 All-Ireland final victory serving as a reminder that Kerry dominance is never guaranteed against well-organized northern opposition. Mid-May conditions in Kerry usually provide perfect football weather, favoring the open, expansive style that Kerry prefers and that Donegal typically attempts to restrict through disciplined defensive positioning.
17:30 Cork v Meath

Meath

FT Result

50 WIN

Cork's championship record has been inconsistent despite their significant playing population and underage success. Their failure to translate talent into senior championship achievement remains a persistent frustration for Rebel supporters. Páirc Uí Chaoimh's modern facilities provide an impressive venue, though Cork's home advantage has not always translated into decisive championship benefits against well-organized opposition. The mid-May evening throw-in provides optimal conditions for both teams' preferred running games. Meath's physical development and tactical flexibility under O'Rourke could potentially match Cork's traditional advantages in skill and forward talent.
19:30 Galway v Kildare

Galway -6.50

Handicap

50 WIN

Galway's defensive improvements under Joyce's management have transformed them from an attack-minded side into a more balanced unit capable of controlling games through possession and disciplined positioning. The evening throw-in at Pearse Stadium provides optimal conditions for Galway's preferred running game, with their athletic middle third capable of overwhelming Kildare's efforts to establish competitive possession. Historical championship encounters have generally favored Galway, particularly in Connacht fixtures where their understanding of local conditions and championship expectations provides intangible advantages beyond pure talent differentials.
24th May 2026
14:00 Roscommon v Tyrone

Tyrone

FT Result

50 WIN

Tyrone's All-Ireland winning pedigree from 2021 and their consistent Ulster Championship competitiveness under Feargal Logan and Brian Dooher make them dangerous opposition despite potential transitional challenges. The wide open spaces of Dr. Hyde Park typically suit Roscommon's running game, but Tyrone's defensive structure and counter-attacking capability through players like Darragh Canney could exploit any defensive lapses from the home side. Historical championship meetings between these counties have been competitive, with Tyrone's superior physical preparation and tactical flexibility generally proving decisive in high-stakes fixtures. Mid-May conditions in Roscommon should provide excellent playing surfaces, allowing both teams to execute their preferred styles, though Tyrone's greater championship experience in tight contests may prove decisive if the game remains competitive through the final quarter.
31st May 2026
00:00 James Bond

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

Win Contest

50 WIN

15:00 Dublin v Louth

Dublin

FT Result

50 WIN

Dublin's forward rotation and defensive depth provide multiple tactical options, while their experience of championship pressure at Croke Park creates psychological advantages that compound their physical and technical superiority. Louth's best prospects lie in a disciplined defensive structure and efficient counter-attacking, though Dublin's patient build-up play and superior ball retention typically break down such approaches over the full championship distance. The late-May timing allows both teams substantial preparation, with Dublin's established championship routines and squad depth providing advantages in tactical flexibility and physical conditioning. Historical championship encounters between these counties have been one-sided, with Dublin's professionalism and resources overwhelming Louth's spirited but limited championship ambitions.
15:00 Monaghan v Mayo

Mayo

FT Result

50 WIN

Monaghan's veteran core faces significant physical and tactical challenges against Mayo's high-tempo approach, particularly in the middle third where turnover battles could determine the contest's outcome. The championship stakes favor Mayo's experience in high-pressure fixtures. Monaghan's home advantage and defensive discipline under Vinny Corey could create a competitive contest if they execute their game plan effectively. Historical championship meetings between these counties have been tight affairs, with Mayo's superior athleticism and greater championship experience typically proving decisive in the final quarter when physical and mental fatigue affect execution. Late-May conditions at Clones should provide excellent playing surfaces, allowing both teams to execute their preferred styles, though Mayo's running game and defensive intensity usually prove too much for Monaghan's aging squad over the full championship distance.
3rd January 2027
17:00 PDC World Championship 2027

Michael van Gerwen

50 WIN

Michael van Gerwen is the outright pick because major darts titles still tend to reward players who can live comfortably with expectation and keep producing under the brightest lights. When the tournament goes deep and the pressure sharpens, he remains one of the names most capable of owning that stage.

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