21:25 Churchill Downs Tips

Harrodsburg has won six races from 6f to 7f. Fourth over 6f on his latest outing last month. Course distance and surface should suit and could well be able to win this race.

Billal is a classy sort with three wins over this trip. Freshened after a break and back with top trainer William Mott. Proven speed, ideal distance, and Gaffalione booked. I expect a sharp, confident return.

Lofty Adjudicator enters this $141,000 allowance optional claiming race over 6 furlongs on dirt with a 22% win rate and 39% place rate. He’s drawn in gate 6 and has shown solid speed figures in recent starts. At age 8, he brings experience and durability. Against a field including Harrodsburg and Alder, his pace profile and stamina make him a strong late challenger.