20:26 Churchill Downs Tips

Shez the Law has been the favorite in 8 of her 13 outings. She last won at this sort of price and hasn't been so consistent, but she's worth keeping on the right side of at a good price.

Mila Candy enters this $127,000 allowance race over 5 furlongs on turf with a 91 rating and a recent second-place finish. She’s drawn in gate 4 and will be ridden by Luis Saez. Her form line of 2-1-5-5-0-2 shows she’s competitive in sprint conditions. Her tactical speed and turf experience make her a top contender against rivals like She'z The Law and Lost and Found.

Party Pauline has a win and a place effort sandwiched between two last-placed finishes. It could be that the horse is inconsistent or that the two races he finished were just at too high a level for him. But obviously well thought of.