7:30 Southwell Tips

A nice early play for me tomorrow at Southwell, coming in the form of SEE BLUE at 9/4. Penny Time is weighed down by a deluge of negatives; most notably Mehmas’s 9% SR (A/E 0.35) with fancied runners foaled in May and 12% SR (A/E 0.5) with fancied runners in C1-3 races, however Salgados could prove the fly in the ointment. Menzies will do well to overcome H Eustace’s 0/30 record with novices over middle distances plus Seattle Chief and the remainder (bar-Kokushoku) carry poor FlatStats rating and are unlikely to offer much value. This looks like the jolly could win by default as well as on merit, and the top + blue FS rated son of Blue Point can make it 2/2 after his break. The colt was fairly unimpressive on debut at Kempton in September but did show a decent attitude to run on for a short-headed success. R Hughes is a master on the AW and the yard have shown solid form over the past fortnight (36% SR, A/E 1.46) so you’d fully expect their charge to have filled his frame over the winter. Hughes’s 40% SR (A/E 1.92) over C&D is another reason for optimism.

Penny Time won first time up for Hugo Palmer on 6th March but was disqualified by the stewards on an objection from the Clerk of Scales because the jockey, Joe Levy, weighed in 1.5 lbs lighter than when he weighed out before the race. On Saturday the horse is on a retrieval mission and James Doyle has been booked by Hugo Palmer to ride the horse. James comes to Southwell for this one ride. This looks a major bet and our nap of the day. I noted this horse down as a strong next-time winner.

He finished a respectable 5th on debut before improving markedly last time out when winning by over 3 lengths over today's trip. He is closely related to AW and Grade 2 winner Eternal Hope. He is a half-brother to all-weather winner Words Out, and his dam, Voice of Truth, was also an AW winner.