2:45 Newton Abbot Tips

The model I run suggests No Guarantee can win this one. Thsi result has been driven by No Guarantee having the second highest RPR of the larger 13 runner field but an official ranking which puts No guarantee rock bottom. subsequently goes out carrying the lowest weight and is a signifincat gap back to the higher weight runners. Form figures look reasinable too wit continuous improvement of 79-342. More needed but heading in right direction. Model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.

Stinginhisstep won twice in his last 3 starts. Should be able to take all the beating, despite 9lb rise. Charlie My Boy is feared most.

I've just about convinced myself that Hill Station is worthy of a punt here. The hurdling stats look comparatively good, and there's a consistency there this last year that augurs well.

This mare's yard showed their well-being with a winner yesterday. She can improve for her outing for this yard a month ago.

CHARLIEMY BOY has won three hurdle races from 2m 2f to 2m 5f. Fourth in a hurdle race over 2m 3f at Stratford on his latest outing last month. Dropped in trip to 2m 2f should suit. Seems well treated and could well be able to win this race.

This one mixes hurdling and flat racing, doing quite well over both. He won over this trip two back at Stratford and could follow up off 3lb higher, but he was poor on the flat last time. His form suggests that he could be a good E/W bet at 16/1.

Another chance awaits after a winless streak since clinching back to back novice events here in 2023. The 9-year-old showed a notable improvement last time, finishing 4th over this C&D while donning a first time tongue strap. Returning in the same headgear, he looks a promising each-way chance at 11/1, provided the recent wind operation has the desired results.

Another cast-off that this trainer has taken on and was a close-up 3rd over a slightly shorter trip last time out at this track. This horse looks well-handicapped as he was once rated 117, runs off 95 today, and should go well.