5:15 Newcastle Tips

3-year-old filly sired by Invincible Spirit has yet to win a race but does seem to like it here at Newcastle. Breeding suggests she would, and her jockey also rides the course well. She is being dropped back to 5 furlongs today and may be better for it. Her handicap mark has been coming down nicely, and I feel her chance to trouble the judge is close. Hopefully today.

Sanbona looks a value pick in this 5f Class 6. He's drawn high in stall 7, where the course guide flags an advantage. Drops back to his optimum 5f and is already proven on AW. Jason Hart keeps the ride for the Dods yard, and the gelding's impressive September win shows he's got the gears at this level despite a slightly higher mark today.

Although he was beaten four and a half lengths, his course and distance form last time out was his best for the yard. He slips into a Class 6 for the first time, down another four pounds. He is now 15 pounds below his last winning mark, which came in a first-time visor. This is just the second time that he has worn it since, which might help him.

Causin A Commotion won twice for Kevin Ryan at Wolverhampton in 5f and 6f handicaps off 51 and 53. After losing form, he was transferred to Noel Wilson at Leyburn. Causin A Commotion has been his only runner in November, coming off a 114-day break here at Newcastle over 6f. After going close up a furlong out, he faded to 10th of 14 in the final furlong. He has now dropped to a basement mark of 47 and drops in distance to 5f, which is worth trying. Three-pound claiming Alex Jary takes the ride.