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Newcastle v Swansea Tips

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Newcastle v Swansea Intro

Newcastle v Swansea football tips may be split, with Newcastle poor at home and Swansea labouring overall.

Rafa Benitez side are by no means safe, but two away wins on the trot and a draw at home to fellow promoted side Brighton have eased some of the pressure on the Geordies. Newcastle are now in 13th with a record of W6 D4 L12.

Swansea disposed of yet another manager when Paul Clement was given his marching orders away from the Liberty Stadium. In his place came the abrasive Carlos Carvalhal, the ex-manager of Sheffield Wednesday.

He started well with his team snatching a late win at Watford, before losing 2-0 at home to Tottenham in monsoon type conditions. The Swans are holding up the table in 20th, with a miracle and lots of new players needed if they are to avoid relegation.

Key Match Questions

Will Rafa have any new bodies to choose from?

After three weeks of working with the players will the new Swans manager have made a difference?

Can Newcastle score at home after not scoring in 4 of the last 5 at St James Park?

Newcastle v Swansea Match Preview

Newcastle have the same record this season home and away, they have won W3 D2 L6. Most teams expect to pick up the majority of EPL points at their home grounds, only Watford buck that trend by winning more points away from home.

This stat indicates that work is needed for Newcastle to break teams down at St James Park. The last time Newcastle won a home game was the 21st October, when they luckily beat Crystal Palace by 1 goal to nil.

Swansea to many football tipsters are always worth taking on. After yet another change of manager the Welsh side are fighting a rear-guard action to win enough points to finish 17th. The bookmakers have them odds on to lose that fight.

Scoring goals has been a problem all season, with opposition teams only having to pick the ball out of the net on 13 occasions against the Swans. The sale of Llorente to Tottenham may have been the straw that broke the camel’s back, as strikers Bony, Abraham and Ayew have only scored 9 goals between them.

Newcastle are 10/11 to win the game, the draw is 11/5 and Swansea 7/2. The 10/11 initially looks value against a side that have conceded in their last 8 league games on the road.

New Swansea boss Carlos Carvalhal is regarded as less cautious than his predecessor Paul Clement therefore the Swans could be even more vulnerable. Where he could make a difference is in attack, if he gets his midfield to support the strikers more they could be dangerous, as they were in their victory against Watford last time out.

The Swansea blogger has tipped his team plus 0.5 based on their record against Newcastle, with the team from the Liberty Stadium having won on 3 of their last 4 visits to St James Park.  

A draw with BTTS could pay dividends for footy tipsters on OLBG, 1 -1 is around 8/1. Newcastle Striker Dwight Gayle always seems to get chances in home games, with him furthest forward he is favourite to be FGS at 9/2. Under 2.5 goals could be added to your accas with both sides poor in front of goal, this is priced at 8/13.

Newcastle v Swansea Injury News

For Newcastle Lascelles and Lejeune face fitness tests. Jamaal Lascelles will be a blow if unavailable as he gives the home side much needed security at the back.

Sanches and Rangel will be missing for Swansea. Sung -Yeung and Britton are 50/50.

Newcastle v Swansea Key Match Stats

Newcastle W2 Draws 2 Swansea W6.

Newcastle are 18th in the home table with only 9 goals scored.

Swansea are 14th in the away table with only 7 goals scored.

Newcastle average 0.82 goals at home (Third worst)

Newcastle have failed to score in over half their home matches.

Newcastle at home have had less possession (43%), than Swansea away. (46%)

Swansea average 0.64 goals away from home (Fourth worst)

Swansea have won on three of last the four trips to St. James' Park.

Swansea have had the fewest shots of any side.

Lukas Fabianski has made more saves than any other keeper.

Recommend bets

SELECTIONS BEST ODDSFREE BET
18+, begambleaware.org, T&Cs Apply
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Total Goals

Under 2.5

£16.20 £20
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Draw

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Draw #1-1

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Asian Hcap

Swansea +0.75

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Returns at a stake of £10

5 Match Form

Newcastle

WWDLW

Swansea

DLWLD

Head To Head

10/09/17
Swansea
0 - 1
Newcastle
16/04/16
Newcastle
3 - 0
Swansea
15/08/15
Swansea
2 - 0
Newcastle
25/04/15
Newcastle
2 - 3
Swansea
04/10/14
Swansea
2 - 2
Newcastle

Newcastle v Swansea Team Formations

Newcastle with a home win a must will probably go 4-4-2.

Swansea under Carvalhal have played 2 up top in his opening games, the choice will be whether he goes 5-3-2- or 4-4-2.

Newcastle

4-4-2

4-4-2

Swansea

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