Wigan v Luton Tips

With Gary back at Wigan, I feel they will get a new-manager bounce. He had a successful spell the first time around. Playing at home, I feel they can get three points against a Luton side that have lost five away games in a row.

A first look at 9th placed Luton’s away record this season, W4 D2 L9, gives the impression an away win tonight may not be the best bet to go for, but, looking at their results against teams below 15th, W7 D4 L0, suggest otherwise considering they are playing a 22nd placed Wigan side who have a record of W0 D4 L10 from their games against the top 10 teams, of which 8 of the 12 games ended without then having scored a goal. So with Wigan also being on a run of 6 losses in their last 7 games, W0 D1 L6 F5 A14, I will have to be on Luton to improve their chances of a top 6 finish with an away win today at odds that look too big at 2.50

This tight League One clash is statistically balanced. With closely matched xG values (1.34 vs. 1.24) and low goal averages (2.26), neither side has a decisive edge, making a stalemate the most probable outcome.

22nd v 9th: just one goal was scored in the reverse fixture, with Wigan 1-1-4 from 6 at home in League One recently and a goals aggregate of 3-7. Under 2.5 goals were scored in 5 of those 6 matches. Luton are 0-1-5 from 6 away, with a goals aggregate of 4-10, and under 2.5 goals were scored in 4 of those 6 games.

Wigan's last 4 games against Luton were 3 wins and one loss. In all 4 games, over 2 goals were scored easily each time. Luton away scored more than 5 goals in their last 4 games, but today they are not favorites against Wigan.

Neither team has much in the way of goals in them, and Wigan's recent league form has been poor, with no win in eight. Luton have struggled to score away from home too, netting just once in their last four away games.

Both teams average scoring and conceding over a goal per game, so BTTS seems likely. Wigan have GD stats of 31:42 from 30 games. Luton's GD stats are 41:38.

Wigan lost their last five matches in all competitions. They failed to score in three of those defeats. Luton won and kept clean sheets in their past two league meetings against Wigan.

Wigan’s desperation for points and Luton’s inconsistent defense on the road make both teams scoring in an evenly matched draw a strong possibility.

Luton are not a bad side, but their away form is their Achilles' heel as they continue to struggle on their travels. Wigan are just a poor side in general at the minute, with four defeats and a draw in their last five matches.