Momverse Football Tips
+164 profit on Football in the last week
- Annual Profit
- -883
- Annual Strike Rate
- 33 %
- 30 Days Profit
- -219
- 7 Days Profit
- 164
12 Months Profit Trend
Dec 24 - Dec 25
- Highest ProfitOct 25
- 60.1
- Lowest ProfitNov 25
- -103.7
Daily Profit
Last 23 Days
- Highest ProfitDec 20
- 20.8
- Lowest ProfitDec 13
- -14.1
Momverse’s Tips
Today Tips
Experts are OLBG tipsters with high strike rates, current month or 6 month profitability for a particular sport.
Value Rating is based on comparing the odds of a selection to the theoretical probability of winning based on the percentage of tips for it.
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WIN @
I choose Bolton Wanderers to win. The home fortress factor is undeniable; they have the league's best home defensive record and are facing a Rotherham side in freefall (L-L-L) with a leaky defense (7 conceded in three games). The 1.41 odds reflect this disparity accurately.
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WIN @
Stevenage Draw No Bet (DNB). The value here is immense. Stevenage are the superior team in superior form. Wimbledon haven't won a league game in nearly two months. Getting the draw as a push safety net at ~1.85??'1.90 is an institutional-grade play.
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WIN @ / 2.50 hcap
I choose Over 2.5 goals. Doncaster's last three games: 1-5, 3-4, 0-2. Their defense is broken. Blackpool will score 2+, and Molyneux (Doncaster) is always capable of a consolation goal.
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WIN @
Blackpool to win. The momentum shift is undeniable. Blackpool have found defensive solidity (2 clean sheets in the last 4), while Doncaster are hemorrhaging goals. At 2.28, the price implies a closer contest than current form suggests.
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WIN @
Plymouth, because momentum is the most powerful variable in the Christmas period. Under Tom Cleverley, they have won three consecutive games, culminating in a 5-1 thrashing of Doncaster. Reading's 3-2 win over Luton was vital, but their away record (1 win in 9 trips) is fragile. At 2.45, the home win offers value, though the 'Draw No Bet' is the sharper institutional play given Reading's scoring threat.
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WIN @
Despite being winless in four under Jack Wilshere, their home record at Kenilworth Road (4-3-3) is superior to Wycombe's dismal away form (1 win in 10). Luton has dominated this H2H historically (winning 4 of the last 5). The 'Boxing Day' factor and crowd pressure should edge a desperate home side to a narrow victory, but the 2.35 price reflects the genuine risk of their defensive frailty.
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WIN @
Stockport's home form (1 point from the last 9 available at home) makes them unbackable at 2.19 against the second-best team in the league. Lincoln's confidence is sky-high after beating Cardiff, and their counter-attacking style suits this away fixture perfectly.
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WIN @ / 2.50 hcap
This fixture historically delivers goals (recent H2H: 2-2, 1-2, 1-1), and both defenses are flawed. Orient has the second-worst defensive record in the league (34 conceded). Peterborough's recent wins have been tighter, but against Orient's leaky backline they should revert to their high-scoring baseline.
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WIN @
Peterborough because momentum has swung violently in their favour under Luke Williams. Three consecutive wins ??' including tough games against Reading and Port Vale ??' suggest the 'new manager bounce' is real. Leyton Orient has lost seven of their 10 away matches this season, conceding 2.3 goals per game on the road. The price of 2.15 implies a toss-up, but the form book suggests a clear home advantage.
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WIN @
Burton's price (2.35) is too short for a team with the 3rd-worst home record and a defensive injury crisis. Northampton are stable, in form, and have won 3 of the last 5 H2Hs. The draw is a serious runner, making the double chance the smart play.
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WIN @
Huddersfield Town to win. The gulf in class and confidence is too wide. Huddersfield's attack (1.67 goals/game) is elite for this level, while Vale averages just 0.65 goals/game. The price of 1.75 is generous for a home favorite versus the league's bottom side.
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WIN @
Bradford, because Graham Alexander has turned Valley Parade into a fortress (7-2-1 record). Wigan's away form is defined by paralysis ??' they draw often (6 draws) but lack the cutting edge to win (only 1 away victory). Bradford's slight stumble against Orient last week creates a better price (2.00) for a team that is statistically the third-best in the division hosting a bottom-half side.
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WIN @
Barnsley because their home metrics are playoff-standard despite their mid-table position. Averaging 2.25 goals per game at Oakwell creates a high floor. Mansfield sit 21st, deep in the relegation mire, and have lost 5 of their last 7 away matches. The injury absence of key Mansfield veterans (Aikins, Bowery) tips the balance decisively to the hosts.
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WIN @
I choose Cardiff because the disparity in home vs. away form is immense. Cardiff has won five consecutive home league games, scoring three or more goals in four of them. Exeter possesses the worst away record in League One (six points from ten games). Despite Cardiff's recent slip-up at Lincoln, their dominance in the Welsh capital makes them the rightful heavy favourite.
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WIN @
They are the league leaders playing a 19th-placed side at a venue where they are unbeaten. While Swansea have improved recently (beating Wrexham), the gap in attacking quality (53 goals vs 24) is too vast to ignore. Coventry will want to bounce back immediately after the frustrating draw at Southampton.
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WIN @ / 2.50 hcap
I choose Over 2.5 Goals. This is a specific play on WBA's missing defenders. They will likely score (Bristol City concede away), but keeping a clean sheet without Bielik and Gilchrist is unlikely against an in-form Emil Riis. A 2-1 scoreline is highly probable.
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WIN @ / 2.50 hcap
I choose Over 2.5 Goals. This is the strongest signal. QPR's last two away games ended 3-1 losses. They score (Burrell/Kone are flying) but cannot defend on the road. Portsmouth at home will push, leaving gaps. 2-1 either way or 2-2 is the script.
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WIN @ / 2.50 hcap
I choose Under 2.5 goals. Stoke have failed to score in their last three defeats. Preston have managed just two clean sheets away but rarely concede more than one. The H2H trend (five of the last six Under 2.5) is extremely strong. Expect a 0-0 or 1-1 grind.
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WIN @ / 2.50 hcap
I choose Over 2.5 Goals. The history between these managers (Parkinson vs Wilder) and the clubs suggests open, end-to-end football. Wrexham's last five home games have seen BTTS land four times. Sheffield United conceded three vs Leicester recently.
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WIN @
I choose Hull City to win. This is a 'Form vs. Crisis' mismatch. Wednesday have 9 points from 21 games and are missing key defenders. Hull are chasing automatic promotion and have won 4 of their last 5. The odds of ~2.03 on an away win are exceptional value given the hosts' inability to defend.
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WIN @
I choose Southampton to win. Oxford are in the relegation zone (22nd) and just fired their manager. Southampton, despite being 11th, possess Premier League??'level attacking quality in Armstrong and Azaz. The Saints' superior xG generation (2.46 away) should overpower a disorganized Oxford defense.
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WIN @
This is a contrarian play. QPR's away form (conceding 3 goals per game recently) is too poor to trust at short odds (~2.40). Portsmouth are fighting for their lives, and their recent home form (beat Blackburn, drew with Derby away) suggests they can get a result against a fragile traveling defence.
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WIN @
History repeats itself. Despite Leicester's underwhelming season (13th), they own this fixture at the King Power (8 straight wins). Watford's loss of midfield steel (Kayembe), combined with Leicester's need to react after the QPR drubbing, sets up a home victory.
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WIN @
Despite the defensive injuries, The Hawthorns is a fortress this season. Bristol City's away metrics (losses to Coventry and Portsmouth recently) don't inspire confidence in them winning outright. WBA usually find a way at home.
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WIN @
I choose Draw. Stoke are desperate to stop the rot, while Preston are experts at not losing (unbeaten in 6). Mark Robins will prioritize defensive stability to avoid a Boxing Day revolt from the fans. Preston's structured 3-5-2 is built to absorb pressure and earn a point.
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WIN @
I choose Norwich City to win. The 'Clement Effect' is real ??' back-to-back home wins vs. Southampton and QPR prove they can dominate at Carrow Road. Charlton's away form is dismal (winless in 5), and they lack the firepower to punish Norwich's sometimes shaky defence.
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WIN @
I choose Middlesbrough to win. Despite the recent hiccup against Bristol, Boro are 2nd in the league for a reason. Their home form (7-2-1) is formidable compared to Blackburn's overall struggles (20th). However, the value is thin at 1.74.
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WIN @
I choose Draw. Wrexham refuse to lose big games at home. Sheffield United have just enough quality (Hamer/O'Hare) to avoid defeat but likely lack the grit to win cleanly in this hostile environment. A 2-2 thriller is the narrative fit.
Profits calculated to a 10 point stake.
Value Rating is based on comparing the odds of a selection to the theoretical probability of winning based on the percentage of tips for it.