Capereira Football Tips
- Annual Profit
- -1060
- Annual Strike Rate
- 38 %
- 30 Days Profit
- -314
- 7 Days Profit
- -97
12 Months Profit Trend
Nov 24 - Nov 25
- Highest ProfitDec 24
- 11.6
- Lowest ProfitNov 25
- -30.8
Daily Profit
Last 23 Days
- Highest ProfitNov 09
- 3.4
- Lowest ProfitNov 29
- -9.7
capereira’s Tips
Tomorrow Tips
Experts are OLBG tipsters with high strike rates, current month or 6 month profitability for a particular sport.
Value Rating is based on comparing the odds of a selection to the theoretical probability of winning based on the percentage of tips for it.
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WIN @
Gorica’s matches average around 2.86 goals, with 1.36 scored and 1.50 conceded, and BTTS hits about 71% of the time. Dinamo average 2.00 goals scored and 0.93 conceded, for 2.93 total. Dinamo’s superior attack and H2H record; a 2??'1 away success sits near the center of the expected goal distribution.
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WIN @ / 2.50 hcap
Season averages show 2.71 goals per Gorica game (3.13 at home) and 2.0 per Dinamo match. Recent 10-game samples are 3.10 and 1.70 respectively, producing an overall expectation just around or above 2.5 goals.
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WIN @
BTTS hits in 71% of Gorica matches and 57% of Dinamo’s, with model probabilities for Yes around 60% vs. 40% for No. Gorica average 1.36 goals scored and have improved offensively, while Dinamo concede 1.12 xGA (0.93 actual) but face an away fixture where Gorica’s home xG is 1.49.
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WIN @
Model probabilities give Samsunspor about a 53??'55% chance of victory, versus 22??'25% for Alanyaspor. This is driven by Samsunspor’s 4th-place standing, 1.5 goals scored, and only 0.9 conceded on average.
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WIN @
Recent matches for Samsunspor average only 1.3 goals total (1.6 at home), while Alanyaspor away games average 1.33. Both have strong clean-sheet numbers, with four shutouts in 13 matches. A 1??'0 home win falls squarely in the highest combined probability band for low-scoring outcomes.
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WIN @ / 2.50 hcap
Season-long, Samsunspor matches average 2.38 total goals but just 1.86 at home. Their last 10 overall have averaged 1.3 with only 0.4 at home, indicating a marked shift toward tight, low-scoring games. Alanyaspor’s season average is 2.15 goals, 2.43 away, but recent 10-match figures are 2.3 (2.33 away). Combined current form points to around 2.0??'2.3 expected goals, which aligns more closely with an under-2.5 script than a high-scoring one.
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WIN @
While Alanyaspor have scored in 14 of their last 15 away games, Samsunspor’s recent home trend shows very low totals (0.4 goals on average across the last 10) and a solid defensive xGA around 1.0.
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WIN @
Head-to-head derbies often finish level or by a single goal. With both teams scoring in 11 of 13 league games and conceding fewer than one per match, a 1??'1 or 2??'2 result sits centrally in the joint probability distribution rather than a clear win for either side.
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WIN @
One major model explicitly highlights 1??'1 as its correct-score pick, aligning with both teams’ scoring probabilities that peak at exactly one goal (34% each), and with a 77% chance that each side scores at least once.
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WIN @
KickOff’s scoring probabilities show a 77% chance that each team scores at least one, with both attacks and defenses statistically strong but not invulnerable. Fenerbahçe and Galatasaray have each scored in 11 of 13 league outings, and conceded in 8 and 7 respectively.
Profits calculated to a 10 point stake.
Value Rating is based on comparing the odds of a selection to the theoretical probability of winning based on the percentage of tips for it.