Tadley Football Tips

Follow

WIN @

Cardiff are officially relegated and just couldn't get the wins they needed to stay up. They did become rather draw specialists though, drawing 5 of their last 7. Norwich are ending the season meekly with no wins in their last 6. I like the look of the draw in this one.

WIN @ / 2.50 hcap

Despite some recent games going over, these two have been good under sides this season. In fact, they are the best two under sides in the league. Only 14 of Burnley's 45 games went over and just 13 of Millwall's. Both have something on the outcome of this but are also relying on other results, so I don't see either being overly adventurous to start with.

WIN @

A draw may well be enough for Luton. It would mean Hull would have to win at Portsmouth, and Derby and Preston would have to get something out of their game. No doubt they will be kept up to date during the game, and if results are going their way, they will settle for the draw. West Brom don't concede many at home, so I see a low-scoring draw.

WIN @

Leeds need the win to claim the title, so they will be fully motivated. However, 1-4 looks a very short price. Plymouth have put up a terrific fight trying to stave off relegation by winning 3 of their last 4, including a win over promotion-chasing Coventry. They are not mathematically relegated yet but need a 14-goal swing with Luton to stay up. Although that's highly unlikely, I see them giving it their all and will want to claim the scalp of Leeds. The way they have been playing, they simply look too long.

WIN @

Bristol City are in 5th, but I think they will need a win to secure a playoff place. Millwall and Blackburn are both in good form and will leapfrog Bristol City if Bristol City don't win. Also, either of Coventry and Middlesbrough, who play each other, can leapfrog City. Therefore, winning this looks imperative. Preston have struggled on the road all season with just 16 points. They also appear on the beach with 4 straight defeats, so I like the hosts' chances.

WIN @

Oxford Utd have generally struggled on the road with just two wins all season. Swansea did lose to Millwall last time, but Millwall are in good form. Prior to that, they had won 5 straight. In front of their home fans, I see them ending the season with a win.

WIN @

Watford have lost 4 straight, but they were hard games and they lost them all by just one goal. Wednesday are just one point above Watford, so there looks little between these two. With nothing on the game, I think both will settle for the draw.

WIN @

Sunderland are safely in the play-offs and can't be shifted from their 4th place win or lose. This is reflected in their results with 4 straight defeats. They have much bigger games after this, so I see this being low on their priorities. QPR are hugely erratic and hard to predict. On a good day, they are capable of winning this against a Sunderland side that may not be at their best.

WIN @

Hull need the win to avoid relegation, but getting it is another matter. They have had some good performances, such as the 3-0 win at Sheffield United, but they have had too many lackluster performances to be backed as favorites. Portsmouth are strong at home, winning 11 of their last 16. Despite nothing being on this, they have a passionate crowd behind them, willing them on for the win.

WIN @

Sheff Utd are safely in 3rd place, so there is little on this game for them. With big play-off games to come, this is hardly a priority. Blackburn need the win to make the play-offs and are showing the form to do so. They have won 4 on the trot, beating some tricky sides.

WIN @

After two straight defeats, Stoke aren't yet safe from relegation. However, to be relegated, four teams need results to leapfrog them, so they could be forgiven for feeling safe. Derby are slightly worse off, but a win would guarantee them safety. They look in the form to get it with two straight wins.

WIN @ / 0.25 hcap

Taking short odds on a side that has one point from their last 5 doesn't tempt me. Bolton's playoff dreams have gone, and I think they just want the season over. Stevenage are an erratic side, and you never know what you'll get from them. Although Bolton are the better side, their form is poor, making them ripe for an upset against a side that can compete on their day.

WIN @ / 0.25 hcap

Wycombe have played fellow play-off candidates in their last two games, and it didn't end well. They lost 1-0 to Leyton Orient and 4-0 at home to Charlton. They play another side in the play-offs in Stockport. Stockport are in fine form with 6 wins and a draw from their last 7. I think the hosts struggle again against a promotion-fighting side.

WIN @

With Blackpool missing out on the play-offs and Bristol Rovers' relegation confirmed, there is nothing on the line in this game. Games like that can be tricky, but given Rovers' poor away form (the worst in the league), I expect a superior Blackpool side to do enough at home.

WIN @ / 2.50 hcap

Wigan's last 9 games have all gone under, and I think this goes the same way. Only 14 of their games have gone over this season, the lowest total in the league. Northampton's 4-1 beating of bottom side Shrewsbury ended a run of 5 straight unders at home. So under looks the bet.

WIN @

To make the play-offs, Leyton Orient simply have to match Reading's result. With Reading having a very winnable home game against Barnsley, I think Orient need to win this. They have the perfect opponent in Huddersfield, who look on the proverbial beach after losing 5 straight.

WIN @

Barnsley's season has fizzled out, and I think they just want the season over. That seemed to be the case last time when losing at home to already relegated bottom side Shrewsbury. Reading need to better Leyton Orient's result to make the play-offs. They will be giving it their all and really ought to see off Barnsley.