NachoTips
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NachoTips's Tips History
10 October 2024
21:00 Bolivia v Colombia
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
100 WIN
@2.10
Lose
-100
Bolivia won 2 out of 2 under the current manager, scoring 6 goals in doing so. They have been more offensive-minded with 3 on top, benefiting from the 4100m altitude in today's home game. The first goalkeeper and best center-back are out. Colombia has been undefeated within 90 minutes since February 2022, scoring in 13 of the last 14 games. They have lots of quality on top.
19:45 Austria v Kazakhstan
Austria
100 WIN
@1.17
Win
17
Kazakhstan got off to a good start under their new manager (0-0 draw vs Norway), but they don't travel well, and Austria will be too good for them here.
19:45 England v Greece
England
100 WIN
@1.30
Open
0
England made a positive start under Carsley, and despite winning 2/2, the Greeks have faced lower quality opposition. I'd expect England to dominate this game.
19:45 Gibraltar v San Marino
Under 2.50
Total Goals
100 WIN
@1.40
Win
40
Both teams generally struggle for goals, so I can't see this having more than 2. Gibraltar scored 3 in 8 home games. San Marino scored 3 in 20 away games.
17:00 Moldova v Andorra
Moldova
100 WIN
@1.40
Win
40
Moldova are impressing under the current manager. They have secured points in 17/28 games. Including in last 11/15. All of their offensive starters are fit and ready to go. Andorra on the other hand are poor when playing away from their artificial pitch. Just 4 wins since the turn of the milennium. Their 3 starting defenders are out injured.
17:00 United Arab Emirates v North Korea
United Arab Emirates
100 WIN
@1.57
Lose
-100
North Korea has won just 3 out of 10 games since returning from the break. UAE has a stronger team, and Korea has mostly inexperienced players.
13:40 1:40 Ayr
Up The Jazz
Daily Racing
62 EWNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 9.00 used instead of 8.50 takenBOG
@9.00
Win
37
Drops down in class after a recent placement in a tougher race, so a great shout for the places here. Well-handicapped and trip to suit.
Subtotal-66
08 October 2024
19:00 Carlisle v Wigan
Wigan
100 WIN
@2.25
Win
125
I think Wigan are slightly overpriced here at 2.25. Carlisle lost to Forest U21 last time out in the competition, and their form has been below average all season. Wigan seem to take this competition seriously enough and should win tonight.
19:00 Milton Keynes Dons v Arsenal U21
Milton Keynes Dons
250 WIN
@1.62
Lose
-250
Possibly my best bet of the day. Arsenal is in horrendous form, losing their last two and conceding eight goals in the process. They lost an NLD 5-2 three days ago. MK Dons' big pitch will be too much for them to handle, and they rarely lose at home. It should be a home win.
19:00 Morecambe v Nottm Forest U21
Morecambe
100 WIN
@2.30
Win
130
I'm going to take a chance on Morecambe to win here. Forest U21 are in bad form, losing 3 out of 4 games, and despite beating Carlisle in the last round of the EFL Trophy, they were quite lucky to do so, scoring a 94th-minute winner. I'm going to back the home side here.
17:00 5:00 Leicester
Ey Up Its Jazz
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@13.00
Win
35
Ey Up Its Jazz has had a long layoff (since May) but has conditions to suit (soft ground) and has a great record on the track. If ready to go here, it's worth a shout for the places.
Subtotal40
07 October 2024
21:15 Rob Cross vs Luke Littler
Luke Littler
Win Match 2-way
100 WIN
@1.50
Lose
-100
Littler has a very impressive record over Rob Cross, winning 7 out of 8 games between the two players. He comes into this tournament in good form, and Rob Cross does not.
20:45 Luke Humphries vs Stephen Bunting
Over 2.50
Total Sets
100 WIN
@2.10
Win
110
Humphries beat Bunting in a tight encounter 4 days ago, 8-7, and they generally have very close games. I'm thinking this ends 2-1 to Humphries, so over 2.5 sets.
Subtotal10
23 September 2024
19:00 FC Utrecht Reserves v Cambuur Leeuwarden
Under 2.50
Total Goals
250 WIN
@2.38
Lose
-250
U2.5 goals seems massively overpriced here if you consider Cambuur's style of play this season, coupled with the fact they've scored 1 goal so far. Jong Utrecht aren't much good themselves, so I can see a low scoring game which is possibly decided by one goal here.
Subtotal-250
22 September 2024
16:30 Man City v Arsenal
Under 2.50
Total Goals
100 WIN
@1.80
Lose
-100
Neither team will be in a hurry to go all out attack here. City are typically very patient anyway, and Arsenal definitely look stronger away from home. Both teams had tough european games and I can see a cagey affair here.
14:00 Brighton v Nottm Forest
Under 2.50
Total Goals
100 WIN
@1.95
Lose
-100
Brighon drew 0-0 at home to Ipswich last match, and Forest have been strong defensively so far this season. I can see this being a close match-up with maybe 1 goal deciding the game.
Subtotal-200
21 September 2024
22:45 Daniel Dubois v Anthony Joshua
Anthony Joshua KO TKO or Disqualification
Outcome 5-Way
250 WIN
@1.44
Lose
-250
Anthony Joshua has been on the comeback trail the last year or so, and Dubois will be his toughest test so far. I can't see the fight going the distance, so I think he will KO Dubois within 10 rounds. I think he's ready for this fight, and possibly will go onto bigger things after it. He seems focused.
17:30 Crystal Palace v Man Utd
Man Utd
100 WIN
@2.45
Lose
-100
Man United have definitely come into form since that horrific 3-0 loss at home to Liverpool. Palace haven't settled so far this season, losing at home to West Ham and fighting back to get a point against Leicester. I can see Man U taking all 3 points here.
15:35 3:35 Ayr
Korker
Daily Racing
125 EWNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 41.00 used instead of 21.00 takenBOG
@41.00
Win
875
Running well of late, and most recently 3rd at York. This is a wide open race and can see Korker taking up one of the places in the 3.35 at Ayr.
15:00 Aston Villa v Wolverhampton
Wolverhampton (AH) 1.00
Asian Hcap
100 WIN
@1.95
Lose
-100
Going to take a chance on Wolves _1 AH vs Villa. I think Wolves have been unlucky not to pick up a few good results so far this season, the only game I can remember them being far too open was against Chelsea. Villa played their first CL match and it will be interesting to see how they recover. They haven't been the strongest so far in the PL, just scraping past Everton in their last match (3-2)
15:00 Leicester v Everton
Leicester
250 WIN
@2.50
Lose
-250
Going for a home win here for several reasons. Firstly, Everton have been very poor this season only beating Doncaster Rovers. Losing at home to Southampton last time out was an awful result, with Sean Dyche under pressure. On top of this, Sean Dyche described his injury and illness crisis in his squad as the worst he's seen since he's become a manager. No Calvert Lewin, Jack Harrison, Branthwaite, Gueye, Garner, Tarkowski, Patterson, Coleman etc. I think this is Leicester's game to lose here.
15:00 Liverpool v Bournemouth
Over 2.50
Total Goals
100 WIN
@1.38
Win
38
Liverpool play a very attacking game so far this season under Slot, scoring plenty of goals apart from a freak loss to Forest at home. Bournemouth look wide open away from home and this game could be anything. I'm thinking over 2.5 goals is the play with Liverpool winning 2/3-1.
15:00 Southampton v Ipswich
Ipswich (AH) 0.25
Asian Hcap
100 WIN
@1.90
Win+Push
45
Southampton haven't been too impressive so far this season, and I think Ipswich are a good value bet here. They've shown good form in their last 2 games and I can see them going to Southampton and getting a positive result.
15:00 Tottenham v Brentford
Brentford (AH) 1.00
Asian Hcap
100 WIN
@1.98
Lose
-100
Brentford +1 AH looks a good shout here. Tottenham were lucky to get past Coventry in the Cup (scored 2 late goals) and I think Brentford have shown their a good team so far this season.
Subtotal158
20 September 2024
19:00 ADO Den Haag v Telstar
Over 2.50
Total Goals
100 WIN
@1.48
Lose
-100
Both teams very attacking and have plenty of shots each match, can't see past over 2.5 goals here. Going to be a good match up.
19:00 Helmond Sport v FC Volendam
Helmond Sport
100 WIN
@1.62
Lose
-100
Helmond the better side out the two and Oss struggled the past few games, scoring goals and losing. Can't see past a home win here.
19:00 VVV v PSV Reserves
VVV
100 WIN
@1.95
Lose
-100
Jong PSV play Fulham U21 in 4 days in the PL International Cup so I'm expecting them to not take a full squad to Venlo and manage the minutes of some of their best players due to a busy scheduele. Venlo consistent at home, can see a home win here.
Subtotal-300
13 September 2024
19:00 Cambuur Leeuwarden v Ajax Reserves
Under 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@2.88
Win
94
4/4 Cambuur's games this season have gone unders, and they haven't scored in their last 3. Their only home game finished 1-0 and I expect another low scoring affair here, they play a very negative style of football and I don't think either team will get many opportunities.
19:00 FC Emmen v Roda JC
FC Emmen
50 WIN
@1.90
Lose
-50
Roda been the worst team in the division so far this season, despite being favourites at the start of the season to win the Eerste. Going to go with Emmen to inflict more misery on them here.
15:35 3:35 Doncaster
Coltrane
Daily Racing
50 EWNAP
@8.00
Lose
-100
Won this race in 2022, conditions to suit and back at the desired trip for the horse. Think Coltrane could be the challenger to Sweet William today at Doncaster.
Subtotal-56
10 September 2024
20:00 8:00 Newcastle
Bicep
Daily Racing
50 EWNAP
@9.50
Lose
-100
Good run last time out (2nd at Lingfield) Rated only 65 now, was rated 76 a yr ago. Won at Newcastle before, and jockey knows the horse well. Chance for the places.
Subtotal-100
08 September 2024
16:00 4:00 York
Korker
Daily Racing
50 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@13.00
Win
70
Unexposed at 6f and went close last time out in a handicap at the same track and suited the increase in trip. Interesting to see how he does in this hot race, definitely one for the places.
14:00 Luxembourg v Belarus
Under 2.50
Total Goals
100 WIN
@1.50
Win
50
Luxembourg had an XG of 0.20 vs Northern Ireland and Belarus had an XG of 0.42 vs Bulgaria. Safe to say I don't see many goals in this one, with both teams lacking attacking intent. Home side have scored once in five matches, and away side have failed to score in last six matches also.
13:30 Telstar v Maastricht
Maastricht (AH) 0.75
Asian Hcap
100 WIN
@2.02
Lose
-100
I'm happy to take a chance on Maastricht +0.75 today against Telstar. Telstar are yet to win at home this season, drawing 0-0 with Jong AZ and losing 0-3 to Eindhoven (2 poor results If I may say so) Maastricht have had a good start to the season, losing only 1 game to Cambuur (Should've ended a draw by all accounts) I think Telstar are too short here, 1.65 just seems ridiculous for such an even match-up.
Subtotal20
07 September 2024
16:20 4:20 Kempton
Intervention
Daily Racing
50 EWNAP
@12.00
Win
60
All weather horse, mark has been dropping significantly and now ready to pounce, good record at Kempton. Tough race but one for the places.
15:00 Doncaster v Gillingham
Doncaster
75 WIN
@1.95
Win
71
Doncaster are playing well at the moment, and I can see them taking all 3 points against Gillingham today. They beat Huddersfield 2-1 in the EFL Trophy mid-week which was a positive result, and they're very strong at home. Good value bet.
15:00 Marine v Darlington
Darlington
100 WIN
@2.75
Lose
-100
An away win looks the most likely outcome here, Marine are struggling in the National League at the moment, losing 2-0 in their last outing and having a man sent off which means their already thin squad becomes thinner with this match-up against Darlington today. The away side are on a 4 game unbeaten run and playing well, can see them taking all 3 points here.
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15:00 Wrexham v Shrewsbury
Wrexham
100 WIN
@1.44
Win
44
Can't see past a home win here. Wrexham are flying, winning 3 and drawing 1 in league one and have only conceded 2 goals in those 4 matches. Shrewsbury have lost 3/4 league one matches so far this season, losing to nil both times on the road.
02:30 Peru v Colombia
Colombia
50 WIN
@1.80
Lose
-50
Colombia justify favouritism here, losing unluckily to Argentina in the Copa America final in Extra Time. Peru were knocked out in the group stage, and sit bottom of the South America qualification table. It's a new journey for Peru installing a new manager in charge, and it's going to take time for him to get his ideas across. Colombia in red hot form, and I expect them to continue this today.
Subtotal25
06 September 2024
21:00 9:00 Kempton
Gherkin
Daily Racing
62 EWNAP
@29.00
Lose
-125
Consistent record at Kempton, finishing outside the places just twice in nine runs here. On a workable mark, and jockey Hollie Doyle takes the ride and last time she rode Gherkin at Brighton, she won. I think this horse is a good each way shout.
1 member found this comment useful
20:00 Jannik Sinner vs Jack Draper
Jack Draper
Win Match
50 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-50
I'm willing to take a chance on Draper today. He's yet to drop a set in the tournament, and won his only H2H with Sinner (although 3 years ago, and on grass) This is going to be a much tougher assigment, but who would back against him at the moment? Come on Jack!
19:45 Slovenia v Austria
Austria
100 WIN
@1.95
Lose
-100
Austria were extremely unlucky to go out at the Quarter Final stage of the Euros to Turkey, and impressed during the tournament overall. Ralf Ragnick has got them playing really impressive football, and I'd expect them to beat Slovenia here who themselves were underwhelming during the Euros.
19:00 De Graafschap v FC Eindhoven
FC Eindhoven
50 WIN
@4.50
Lose
-50
I'm going to take a chance on Eindhoven to win here at almost 4/1. De Graafschaap had a win at Roda last time out but they are comfortably the worst team in the Eerste so far, so I'm not focusing on that too much. They drew at home with Jong Utrecht when they were 1.57 to win, and were losing 3-2 to FC Volendam and only scored in the 91st and 94th minutes after Volendam were down to 10. Eindhoven have had a decent start to the Erste, winning their first two games, and drawing away at Vitesse. They lost at home to Jong Ajax 0-3, which does concern me, but I'd suggest that was an anomaly and in the Erste anyone can beat anyone (look at Oss' start to the season) I'd rather back Eindhoven at the odds than De Graafschaap at under evens.
1 member found this comment useful
15:45 3:45 Haydock
Billy No Mates
Daily Racing
50 EW
@6.50
Lose
-100
Course specialist, won 3/6 at Haydock and this race in 2020. Expecting another bold bid off a good mark. Rhys Elliot takes off 7lb. Each way shout
15:00 Kazakhstan v Norway
Erling Haaland
First Goalscorer
100 WIN
@3.00
Lose
-100
Erling Haaland is on fire at the moment, and he's the most likely first goalscorer against Kazakhstan tonight. The home team have been very poor since their 5-0 loss to Greece in the Euro qualification play-off match, and now have a new coach, which is going to take time for him to get his ideas across to the side. I imagine Norway capitalise on this, with Erling Haaland netting another hat-rick today?
1 member found this comment useful
13:25 1:25 Haydock
Croeso Cymraeg
Daily Racing
50 EW
@6.50
Win
5
This veteran is worth a bet today, and is a shout for a place. He reguarly finishes in the places, and this race isn't very deep. Fav may take it but I expect Croeso Cymraeg to finish in the top 3.
Subtotal-520
05 September 2024
21:00 Bolivia v Venezuela
Venezuela
100 WIN
@4.00
Lose
-100
I'm going to take a chance on Venezuela today. Bolivia is only favourites due to the altitude, and they've had a terrible qualifying campaign thus far.
19:45 San Marino v Liechtenstein
Under 2.50
Total Goals
200 WIN
@1.36
Win
72
There's a distinct lack of quality in both sides attacking play, with the last 5 H2H's ending in under 2.5 goals. I'm not expecting many goals here at all.
Subtotal-28
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