stubay

Enjoy the data / stats side of racing and trying to work out when trainers and owners have set up their charges for a tilt at a win. However, hate it when I get the timing wrong, or when us punters get put away. It happens too often! Was quite successful on here but got disillusioned with racing's lack of integrity / pretence it is something it is not; so took a break. Just getting back into it now (slowly). Might need to take a few weeks off while I try to fight the legal system.

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stubay's Tips History

22 April 2024

14:30 2:30 Hexham

Treshnish

Daily Racing

100 EW

@21.00

Lose

-200

Old timer. Rarely wins. Hasn't won since 2022. Yard near useless. HOWEVER..... lightly weighted; Heavy ground suits and runs best races over CD. 30% chance he will be top 4. Back to 4 places.

19 April 2024

13:20 1:20 Ayr

Doyen Du Bar

Daily Racing

147 EWNAP

@13.00

Lose

-295

Unexposed, twice comfortable winner, returning to hurdles. Highly likley to be a cut above what has already been on show. Will we get to see it today? Difficult to say as yard is small and not a prolific one. Course is okay and jockey booking remains positive. I expect it to be better than current rating, and trying in a race where several might be over the top. As such, we go EW strongly!

11 April 2024

17:15 5:15 Aintree

Nala The Lioness

Daily Racing

25 EW

@41.00

Lose

-50

With Sir MArk Prescott's out, we home in an another flat trainer who has to be taken seriously in these events. High place strike rate. We go EW.

Park Princess

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@34.00

Lose

-50

HAving already backed one I expect to place at least, we cover with a drk trainer and owner combination. Park Princess can be dangerous here.

16:55 4:55 Limerick

Getaway Master

Daily Racing

150 WINNAP

@3.75

Lose

-150

Looked to bo confidently ridden lto and smacked of a run where the yard fully anticiipated the win. Money recovery exercise today. It will win this.

14:55 2:55 Aintree

Ahoy Senor

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Win

SLow start to the season, clearly undercooked as he worked towards his targets for the year. YArd does well at this meeting, and in general, it pays to side with the yards who target Aintree over Cheltenham.

Corbetts Cross

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

JP, Emmett Mullins and MArk Walsh are a combination that performs well at this meeting. Corbetts Cross represents decent value here. We will be backing two however.

14:20 2:20 Aintree

Intellotto

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@21.00

Lose

-50

Aintree is a funny meeting where it is common for fancied animals / ex-Cheltenham contestants to be over the top. We chance INTELLOTTO from the O'Brien yard. Unexposed and although the batting is not favourable at this stage, us a highly likley type to spring a surprise result.

10 April 2024

17:10 5:10 Market Rasen

Berkshire Lad

Daily Racing

50 EWNB

@9.00

Lose

-100

Very strong win percentage for the Oliver Signy Racing Club generally, and especially when Gav Sheehan rides (38% wins). Likely plotted this one up (waiting for better ground). Strong, stats based bet.

16:35 4:35 Market Rasen

Job

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@12.00

Lose

-50

Owner and trainer teamed up with a progressive NHF winner, Ballygless. This one is a similar type and is unexposed. I fully expect it to win with Harry Bannister booked.

15:30 3:30 Market Rasen

Seraphic

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@41.00

Lose

-50

This horse is a winner waiting to happen. It will be planned. It will be backed when it is trying to win. Connections (led by yard) specialise in such matters. Betting, this far says this run will be a jog around. We meat cover however, the money may yet come....

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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

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