Kupoa10

5

Estimated Prizes
this month

£25

Estimated Prize money
this month

22 February 2026
04:00 Sean Strickland v Anthony Hernandez

Sean Strickland

Win Fight

50 WIN

@+240

Win

120

03:00 Mario Barrios v Ryan Garcia

Ryan Garcia

Win Fight

50 WIN

@-200

Win

25

Garcia has the faster hands and more one-punch explosiveness, and is the more settled champion. Over 12 rounds, I trust Garcia's experience, body work, and consistency to bank more rounds. In general, Ryan Garcia has a higher ceiling.
01:50 New Zealand PGA Championship

Tyler Hodge

50 WIN

@+8000

Lose

-50

I’ll side with defending champion Tyler Hodge to lift the New Zealand PGA again. He broke through for his biggest career win at this event in 2025, shooting -16 and holding off a strong chasing pack. That shows he can handle the pressure on home soil.
01:40 Jacobe Smith v Josiah Harrell

Jacobe Smith

Win Fight

50 WIN

@-277

Win

18

Amazing matchup, but I lean Jacobe Smith. Both guys are 11-0, but Smith already has big UFC reps with a Contender Series finish followed by two dominant wins. He’s shown nasty power combined with his high-level wrestling pedigree. Harrell’s comeback story after brain surgery is incredible, and he’s an all-action finisher, but he is stepping in on late notice for his long-delayed UFC debut. In a fight where both are used to bullying people, I trust Smith’s combination of size, wrestling, and Octagon experience just a bit more.
01:10 Zach Reese v Michel Pereira

Michel Pereira

Win Fight

50 WIN

@-149

Win

34

Michel Pereira is wildly entertaining and very dangerous early, but he’s also had inconsistent performances and some recent skid patches that raise questions about his direction at middleweight. Reese is a taller, rangier finisher with serious power, and at home in Texas he should be highly motivated to make a statement against a name opponent. I don't think he can survive the early chaos. I slightly favor the Brazilian fighter.
00:40 Chidi Njokuani v Carlos Leal

Chidi Njokuani

Win Fight

50 WIN

@+110

Lose

-50

00:10 Ode Osbourne v Alibi Idris

Alibi Idris

Win Fight

50 WIN

@-136

Win

37

00:10 Phil Rowe v Jean Paul Lebosnoyani

Phil Rowe

Win Fight

50 WIN

@+170

Lose

-50

00:10 Punahele Soriano v Ramiz Brahimaj

Ramiz Brahimaj

Win Fight

50 WIN

@-120

Lose

-50

Here I slightly favor Brahimaj. Soriano hits extremely hard and is always live for a first-round knockout, but his pace often drops after the opening storm and his defensive grappling has been exploitable. Brahimaj is a serious submission threat with a very aggressive wrestling and clinch game. If he can survive that early power, the fight starts to tilt heavily in his favor. I like his chances to drag this into grappling exchanges and find a choke or dominant control.
00:00 Bektemir Melikuziev v Sena Agbeko

Bektemir Melikuziev

Win Fight

50 WIN

@-1250

Win

4

Here I strongly favor Bektemir Melikuziev. “Bek Bully” is a 16??"1 super-middleweight with heavy hands and vicious body punching. His only loss (to Rosado) he has since avenged, and he’s been matched here in a showcase-type fight on the Barrios??"Garcia undercard. Agbeko is a brave, experienced spoiler who’s gone rounds with good names, but he’s also been stopped and doesn’t have the same one-shot power or technical polish. Over 10 rounds at T-Mobile, Melikuziev’s pressure, sharper combinations, and especially his body work should gradually break Agbeko down.
21 February 2026
23:40 Alden Coria v Luis Gurule

Alden Coria

Win Fight

50 WIN

@-277

Win

18

This looks like a fun prospect fight, and I slightly favor Coria. Stylistically, he’s more of a wrestling-first, control-heavy fighter who can bank rounds with takedowns and top control. Gurule is a dangerous puncher with decent volume, but that often leaves openings for level changes and reactive shots. In a three-rounder, I think Coria’s ability to dictate where the fight happens and lock up minutes on the mat makes the difference.
22:40 Jordan Leavitt v Yadier DelValle

Jordan Leavitt

Win Fight

50 WIN

@+325

Win

162

22:10 Juliana Miller v Carli Judice

Carli Judice

Win Fight

50 WIN

@-714

Win

7

I’ll go with Carli Judice in the women’s flyweight opener. Miller has dangerous submissions and a relentless ground-and-pound style when she gets on top, but she’s also been hit a lot on the feet and struggles when she can’t secure early takedowns. Judice is the cleaner striker with higher volume and better footwork, and most breakdowns see this as a classic striker vs. grappler matchup where the striker has a slight edge over three rounds. If Carli keeps it standing and manages distance, I think her output and cleaner boxing win a decision.
19:00 David Allen v Karim Berredjem

David Allen

Win Fight

50 WIN

@-5000

Win

1

I like Dave Allen in this one. He’s the far more proven heavyweight, coming off a tough points loss to big puncher Arslanbek Makhmudov but also a huge KO win over Johnny Fisher in 2025 that showed he still carries serious power and resilience at this level. Berredjem is a French journeyman with a very mixed record (around 12??"10, few KOs) who’s lost three of his last five and is stepping up in class on a big DAZN card in Nottingham. If Allen is in reasonable shape and disciplined, his experience, power, and higher ceiling should be enough to walk Berredjem down and either force a late stoppage or win clearly on the cards.
18:00 Valencia vs Real Madrid

Real Madrid

Money Line

50 WIN

@-136

Win

37

I favour Real Madrid. They come in with the deepest roster in Europe, a dominant ACB record, and a size advantage inside with Tavares and Poirier that Valencia usually struggle to match over 40 minutes. Valencia can absolutely be dangerous if they control tempo and get hot from three with guys like Jones and Inglis, but they’ve tended to suffer when dragged into Madrid’s physical half-court game and pounded on the glass. In a neutral-court Cup setting, I still expect Madrid’s depth, rebounding, and higher offensive ceiling to show, probably pulling away in the second half.
08:35 Western Force v Blues

Blues

To Win

50 WIN

@-303

Win

17

I favour the Blues here. The Force were blown away 56??"24 by the Brumbies in Round 1, fading badly in the heat and showing issues in defence and discipline that won’t be fixed overnight. The Blues, by contrast, are recent Super Rugby champions (2024) and bring a huge, athletic pack plus a backline that can punish any missed tackle or soft exit. They’ll be very motivated in this showcase game at Joondalup. If the Force can’t dominate the collisions and slow the Blues’ ball, the visitors’ physicality and accuracy should translate into a comfortable win.
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06:05 Highlanders v Chiefs

Chiefs

To Win

50 WIN

@-303

Win

17

This is close, but I slightly lean to the Chiefs. The Highlanders are buzzing after their 25??"23 upset of the Crusaders in Round 1, which showed big improvement in composure and defence under Jamie Joseph. The Chiefs, though, come in fresh from a bye with one of the most balanced squads in the competition, a powerful pack, and game-breaking backs like their All Blacks??"laden backline. Under the roof in Dunedin, the game should be fast. In that kind of high-tempo shootout, the Chiefs’ greater attacking depth gives them a tiny edge, even away from home.
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20 February 2026
21:30 Mike De Decker vs Marvin Kraft

Mike De Decker

Win Match 2-way

50 WIN

@-303

Win

17

De Decker is the rightful favourite here. He’s been climbing the rankings with solid ProTour performances and regular EuroTour qualifications, and his scoring power has noticeably improved over the last couple of years. Kraft has done very well just to qualify and will treat this as a free swing, but he’s stepping up against a player who is now used to this stage level. Over a race to six legs, De Decker’s higher floor and greater experience should carry him over the line.
20:00 Biarritz v Vannes

Vannes

To Win

50 WIN

@-188

Win

26

Here I clearly lean RC Vannes. They’re top of the table with 16 wins from 20 and a huge positive points difference, and they’ve just kept Carcassonne scoreless in their last outing, underlining how solid their defence is. Biarritz are hovering just above the relegation scrap with a negative points difference and have been inconsistent, especially against the league’s best sides. Even away at Aguiléra, Vannes’ structured attack and strong defence make them deserved favourites.
20:00 Dirk van Duijvenbode vs Adam Gawlas

Dirk van Duijvenbode

Win Match 2-way

50 WIN

@-175

Lose

-50

I lean toward Dirk van Duijvenbode. When healthy and focused, he’s an absolute scoring machine, capable of reeling off legs in 12??"15 darts and suffocating opponents under relentless 140s. Gawlas is talented and still developing, but his results at this level have been inconsistent, and he can be vulnerable if dragged into a pacey game. Provided Dirk keeps his composure and doesn’t let missed doubles spiral, his raw firepower gives him the edge.
19:30 Krzysztof Ratajski vs Mickey Mansell

Krzysztof Ratajski

Win Match 2-way

50 WIN

@-188

Win

26

Ratajski is the natural pick, especially on Polish soil. He’s been the standard-bearer for Polish darts for years, a former top-16 player with multiple EuroTour deep runs, and the crowd will give him a huge lift. Mansell is gritty and can drag matches into a scrappy doubling contest, but his scoring ceiling is lower and he rarely dominates on the treble like Ratajski can. If Krzysztof handles the pressure of playing at home, his superior class should show over six legs.
19:00 Damon Heta vs Connor Scutt

Damon Heta

Win Match 2-way

50 WIN

@-136

Lose

-50

I favour Damon Heta fairly clearly. He’s one of the most solid all-round players on the circuit right now, combining strong 180 numbers with good finishing and a calm stage presence. He’s been a regular in EuroTour final sessions. Scutt is a live underdog who’s steadily improving and can post good floor averages, but he’s not yet as battle-hardened in these EuroTour environments. If Heta plays anywhere near his typical level, he should control the scoring phases and win by a couple of legs.
18:30 Aurillac v Soyaux Angouleme

Aurillac

To Win

50 WIN

@-400

Win

12

I’ll go with Aurillac at home. Soyaux-Angoulême are a bit higher in the table, but both sides sit in that crowded middle cluster, and Aurillac’s home form at Jean-Alric is usually what keeps them safe every season. Soyaux have the worst points difference among the mid-table sides and can leak tries when put under sustained pressure. In a tight, relegation-zone??"style battle, I trust Aurillac’s energy and forward pack at home to nick it.
18:30 Dax v Provence

Provence

To Win

50 WIN

@-124

Lose

-50

This one is trickier, but I still lean Provence Rugby. They’re firmly in the playoff spots with 14 wins and a big positive points difference, while Dax are lower down despite an interesting stat line (more or less mid-table on points but with a small positive scoring differential). Dax at Maurice Boyau are always stubborn and have just beaten Aurillac, so they can definitely push this close. Over 80 minutes, though, Provence’s deeper squad and more powerful attack give them a slight edge, even away.
18:00 Agen v Valence Romans

Valence Romans 8.50

Handicap

50 WIN

@-109

Lose

-50

I slightly favour Valence Romans even away from home. They’re up in the top four with 14 wins from 20 and a positive points difference, while Agen sit in mid-table with 9 wins and a much thinner margin on the scoreboard. Valence have been very efficient in tight matches and have already shown they can win on the road against comparable opposition. If they handle the physical battle up front at Armandie, their more consistent attack should just edge it.
18:00 Sebastian Korda vs Casper Ruud

Casper Ruud

Win Match

50 WIN

@-109

Lose

-50

This one is tight, but I slightly lean towards Casper Ruud. The head-to-head is basically even, and both have had decent recent results, but Ruud has put together more consistent seasons overall, with deeper runs at big events and a very reliable baseline level. Korda’s flatter, more aggressive game is dangerous on a court like Delray’s and he’s already shown strong form this week, so he absolutely has upset potential if he serves well and red-lines off the ground. Over the course of a best-of-three, though, Ruud’s discipline, physicality, and higher average level point-to-point give him a small edge, especially if this turns into a longer, more physical match.
18:00 Wessel Nijman vs Thomas Lovely

Wessel Nijman

Win Match 2-way

50 WIN

@-499

Win

10

I like Wessel Nijman in this one. He’s been in excellent form on the ProTour, already winning a Players Championship this season and showing he can average around the ton regularly. Lovely had a big moment with his recent upset win over Peter Wright and is clearly improving, but he’s still a step behind Nijman in terms of consistency and big-match experience. If Wessel finds his usual scoring gear, his heavier scoring and growing confidence should get the job done.
17:15 5:15 Dundalk

Eclat

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+187

Lose

-50

This looks a nice opportunity for Eclat. She ran a very solid race on debut over this same course and distance, finishing third in a decent fillies’ maiden and shaping as though she’d improve plenty for the experience. Her pedigree (by Kingman for Juddmonte) and the booking of Colin Keane point to upside, whereas market leader Astronomically keeps finding one too good and is becoming a bit expensive to follow despite her series of seconds here. With natural progression from that debut run, Eclat has a good chance to step forward and get off the mark.
16:13 4:10 Dundalk

Go Out

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+120

Lose

-50

In this 7f maiden I slightly prefer Go Out. He’s the top-rated horse in the field and comes back into maiden company after two good second places in competitive handicaps over this track, showing he handles the surface and can finish off strongly. His recent runs suggest he doesn’t need to improve much, if at all, to win a race of this nature. Je Suis Célèbre and Land of the Giants are live dangers, but Go Out’s consistent Dundalk form and return to this easier level swing it his way.
15:43 3:40 Dundalk

Sir Les Patterson

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 2.38 used instead of 2.00 takenBOG

@+137

Win

68

I like Sir Les Patterson here. He’s a high-class sprinter for this grade, coming in off a dominant course-and-distance win in November and another strong 6f effort here before that, so we know he’s very effective on this Polytrack and at this trip. The handicapper has nudged him up, but his recent ratings suggest he’s still well capable of defying the rise in this smaller field. Main dangers for me are Little Queenie and Apache Outlaw, but Sir Les Patterson’s proven C&D class and recent form make him the one to beat.
15:30 Dave Chisnall vs Darryl Pilgrim

Dave Chisnall

Win Match 2-way

50 WIN

@-124

Lose

-50

Chisnall is one of the best European Tour players of the last decade and has multiple ET titles, so he starts as a heavy favourite. His scoring power??"especially the barrage of 180s??"can simply blow qualifiers away if his doubles are even average. Pilgrim is no mug and has earned his way here, but he’ll almost certainly need his very top level and a poor day from Chizzy to nick this. Over a short format, the upset is possible, but the most likely scenario is Chisnall dominating the scoring and winning comfortably.
15:00 Elina Svitolina vs Coco Gauff

Coco Gauff

Win Match

50 WIN

@-136

Lose

-50

I slightly favour Coco Gauff. She’s been rolling this week, crushing Eala in the quarters and generally serving very well while dictating with her forehand whenever she gets a short ball. Svitolina’s counterpunching, court coverage, and experience in big matches always make her a tough out, but she’s been playing longer, more physical matches and is more reliant on drawing errors rather than hitting through Gauff. Over two or three sets in these medium-fast conditions, Gauff’s superior serve plus more explosive baseline power give her a few more ways to win.
15:00 Jermaine Wattimena vs Miroslaw Grudziecki

Jermaine Wattimena

Win Match 2-way

50 WIN

@-999

Win

5

Wattimena should be a sizeable favorite. He’s a long-time ProTour regular with a fast, high-tempo style, lots of European Tour mileage, and a strong record against qualifiers. Grudziecki, as a Polish qualifier, will feed off the home crowd and can absolutely hit a purple patch, but he doesn’t yet have the same depth of experience in these races to six. If Jermaine keeps the pressure on with his rapid 60s and 140s, the difference in level should show.
14:30 Andrew Gilding vs Jeffrey De Graaf

Andrew Gilding

Win Match 2-way

50 WIN

@-136

Win

37

Gilding has the edge thanks to his higher peak and recent major pedigree. He’s a former European champion and still posts very solid ProTour numbers, with that methodical, heavy-scoring style that suits best-of-11 legs. De Graaf has plenty of experience and can absolutely produce 100+ legs, but his results at this level have been more inconsistent. Over six winning legs, I trust Gilding’s temperament and mid-to-high-90 average more often than not.
13:30 Luke Woodhouse vs Carl Sneyd

Luke Woodhouse

Win Match 2-way

50 WIN

@-303

Win

17

Woodhouse is the clear favourite on paper. He’s had multiple good runs on the EuroTour and ProTour and has tightened up both his scoring and his doubles over the last couple of seasons. Sneyd comes in from the Tour Card qualifier and is still relatively untested on big PDC stages, which can show up in the first couple of legs. If Woodhouse starts well and doesn’t let the crowd swing it, his higher average level should carry him.
13:00 Jessica Pegula vs Amanda Anisimova

Jessica Pegula

Win Match

50 WIN

@-153

Win

32

This feels tight, but I lean Jessica Pegula. Anisimova has been excellent, taking out defending champion Mirra Andreeva with aggressive first-strike tennis. At her best, she can absolutely hit Pegula off the court in patches. Pegula, though, is one of the most solid hard-court players on tour, returning extremely well and making very few unforced errors, which tends to expose any dips in Anisimova’s shot selection or consistency. In a pressure semi-final, I trust Pegula’s steadier baseline level and better decision-making on big points just a bit more, even if she has to ride out some hot streaks from Anisimova.
08:35 Waratahs v Fijian Drua

Waratahs

To Win

50 WIN

@-588

Win

9

I clearly favour the Waratahs. They just smashed the Reds 36??"12 in Round 1, showing a very sharp attack and strong second-half fitness, and they sit top of the early table because of that performance. The Drua are always dangerous with broken-field running and can strike from anywhere, but historically they’ve been less effective away from Fiji and can concede a lot of penalties and metres when put under set-piece pressure. With form, confidence, and home advantage on their side, the Tahs look more likely to control this over 80 minutes.
06:05 Hurricanes v Moana Pasifika

Hurricanes

To Win

50 WIN

@-1999

Win

3

I lean towards the Hurricanes at home. They’re fresh after a bye and have a backline stacked with pace and creativity, which usually thrives on the fast track in Wellington. Moana Pasifika come in with confidence after an opening-round win and bring plenty of physicality, but they’ve generally struggled to sustain 80-minute performances away from home in past seasons. Over time, the Canes’ superior depth and kicking game should tilt territory and possession enough for a home win.
01:00 Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodar

Taylor Fritz

Win Match

50 WIN

@-333

Win

15

I favour Taylor Fritz here. He’s the top seed in Delray and a two-time defending champion at this tournament, with a big serve and heavy first-strike tennis that works perfectly on these quick outdoor U.S. hard courts. Jódar comes in on a high after earning his first ATP main-draw win and has been excellent lately against Americans, but this is a big step up in class against a Top-10 player who knows this event inside out. Unless Fritz has a real off day on serve, his firepower and experience in these conditions should carry him in straight sets, though Jódar has enough confidence to keep parts of the match close.
19 February 2026
20:45 Jonny Clayton vs Gerwyn Price

Gerwyn Price

Win Match 2-way

50 WIN

@-161

Lose

-50

I lean toward Gerwyn Price in the all??'Welsh clash. He’s just won Night 2 in Antwerp, beating Van Veen, Clayton and then Van Gerwen in the final, and is also coming off a ProTour run that included a 117 average in a 6??"0 win over Van Gerwen ??" serious form. Their recent head-to-head has been very lopsided in Price’s favour, with ten straight wins over Clayton, including another tight 6??"5 in last week’s semi-final. Clayton is playing well enough to push this close again, but right now Price looks that bit stronger in the big moments.
20:00 Real Madrid vs Unicaja Malaga

Real Madrid

Money Line

50 WIN

@-303

Win

17

I slightly favor Real Madrid. They come in as Liga Endesa leaders with the deepest roster in Spain, and their size inside (Tavares, Poirier), plus versatile wings like Deck and Hezonja, tend to cause Unicaja real problems over 40 minutes. Unicaja are the reigning Copa champions and extremely dangerous in a one-off, but they arrive with some minor injury doubts and the pressure of repeating last year’s miracle run. Madrid’s recent form and experience in do-or-die games give them more ways to win. In a neutral-court setting like the Roig Arena, I’d expect Unicaja to compete hard for three quarters, but Madrid’s depth and rebounding edge to tilt it late.
19:45 Luke Humphries vs Josh Rock

Luke Humphries

Win Match 2-way

50 WIN

@-188

Win

26

Here I clearly lean towards Luke Humphries. Even though he sits outside the top four after two nights, he actually has the highest three-dart average in the league so far (just over 101), which suggests the underlying level is still very strong. Rock is 0??"2 in his first Premier League campaign and comes off a rough 6??"2 loss to Van Gerwen in Antwerp, averaging under 80 and later apologizing to fans while mentioning grip issues. If Humphries keeps up his current scoring power and tidies the doubles, his experience and form should be too much over best-of-11 legs.
19:15 Stephen Bunting vs Gian van Veen

Gian van Veen

Win Match 2-way

50 WIN

@-227

Win

22

I slightly favor Gian van Veen. He’s already made a big mark this season with a run to the Night 1 final in Newcastle, showing he can produce high scoring and handle the Premier League stage. Bunting, by contrast, has lost both his opening quarter-finals and hasn’t really found his scoring rhythm under this format. Over a race to six legs, van Veen’s heavier scoring phase and recent confidence edge make him the more likely winner.
15:52 3:52 Thurles

Rusty Harkness

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+110

Lose

-50

In the maiden hurdle, Rusty Harkness looks the one to beat. He took a big step forward when a staying-on third in a competitive Leopardstown maiden hurdle over 2m 5f, suggesting this longer 2m 7f trip will play to his strengths. A first-time hood may help him settle and finish off his race even better. Coming from the Henry de Bromhead yard, he’s open to more improvement than most in this line-up, with Haveanothertry and Barnahash Mason looking the main dangers rather than standouts.
15:18 3:17 Thurles

Open Secret

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+350

Lose

-50

Here I slightly prefer Open Secret over the favourite. He was an emphatic winner of a Naas novice hurdle on heavy ground and then backed that up with a very respectable fourth in a strong 2½m Grade 2 at Cheltenham, which is arguably the best piece of recent form in this small field. The step back into a four-runner Grade 3 should let his cruising speed and stamina really count, and getting 6 lb from Timeless Treaty could be decisive in a tactical race.
14:08 2:07 Thurles

Karia Des Blaises

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 4.00 used instead of 2.62 takenBOG

@+300

Win

150

I’ll side with Karia Des Blaises to win this mares’ novice chase. She’s been running consistently well in good company, including a solid sequence of placed efforts in graded chases, and was travelling strongly when falling late on her reappearance at Limerick, which suggests there’s more to come if she jumps round cleanly. The 2m5f trip on soft-to-heavy ground looks ideal given her proven stamina, and the Willie Mullins/Paul Townend combination has an excellent record with this type at Thurles.
12:00 Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Andrey Rublev

Andrey Rublev

Win Match

50 WIN

@-136

Win

37

I’ll go with Andrey Rublev, but it’s a genuine coin flip. The head-to-head is very close, with Tsitsipas historically holding a small edge. Rublev has been especially good in Doha, winning the title here in the past and generally thriving in these medium-fast hard-court conditions. Tsitsipas has shown flashes of his peak recently but has also had patches of inconsistency and lapses on return, which are dangerous against Rublev’s heavy first serve and relentless forehand. If Rublev keeps his unforced errors under control and maintains his usual baseline intensity, his comfort in Doha and slightly better current momentum tilt this toward him in two tight sets or a three-set battle.
18 February 2026
20:00 Gran Canaria vs Bilbao

Gran Canaria

Money Line

50 WIN

@-181

Lose

-50

This one is much closer than the table suggests, but I slightly lean Gran Canaria. They are solid at home, yet they’ve been quite up-and-down lately, mixing good EuroCup wins with some heavy league losses in Las Palmas. Gran Canaria’s guard line is in a good rhythm, and they’ve been closing tight games well away from home, which matters in a likely two-possession match. If they can keep Bilbao off the offensive glass and control tempo in the half-court, they will have a small edge.
15:15 3:15 Punchestown

Hows Hannah

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 1.50 used instead of 1.40 takenBOG

@-200

Win

25

Here I prefer How's Hannah. She bolted up in a bumper here last month on soft to heavy ground, winning by a wide margin and proving she relishes a strong gallop and deep ground. Before that she'd already shown plenty in points, and the Willie Mullins team are clearly thinking she's above average for this type of mares' race. Even with a winners' penalty, her proven class and course form give her the edge over Torpille Dagrostis, who looks the main danger after a good second over hurdles.
14:10 2:10 Punchestown

Newbrook Diamond

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+332

Lose

-50

I’ll side with Newbrook Diamond in a good maiden. He’s already put together a series of solid placed efforts in strong Naas and Punchestown maidens, and he has a point-to-point win over chief rival Court Compliance, which suggests he has the raw ability to finish the job today. Heavy/soft ground and this sort of trip look ideal given his staying style and previous runs. If he reproduces his best Naas form and jumps fluently, he can reverse recent blips and finally get his head in front
14:00 Fabian Marozsan vs Andrey Rublev

Andrey Rublev

Win Match

50 WIN

@-161

Win

31

I favour Rublev, but with some respect for the upset risk. Marozsán has already shown he can trouble elite players with his easy power and disguised drop shots, and in short bursts he can absolutely take a set if Rublev’s forehand timing deserts him. Over a full best-of-three, indoors-like hard court, though, Rublev’s heavier serve, brutal inside-out forehand, and higher baseline tempo usually wear opponents down. If he keeps his unforced errors reasonable and stays patient against Marozsán’s variety, his weight of shot and experience in big matches should be enough.
13:40 1:40 Punchestown

Straight John

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@-303

Win

16

I think Straight John is the one to beat here. He was a strong second over course and distance on heavy ground last time, pulling well clear of the rest and showing he handles testing conditions really well. Gordon Elliott keeps him at the same track and trip, and with Jack Kennedy back on, he looks set to improve again. The market also respects him, and his point/maiden-hurdle profile screams “ready to win a race like this.”
12:00 Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas

Daniil Medvedev

Win Match

50 WIN

@-277

Lose

-50

I lean clearly toward Medvedev. Head-to-head, he’s dominated this rivalry on hard courts. His flat backhand, deep return position, and ability to absorb pace have repeatedly exposed Tsitsipas’s backhand and shot selection under pressure. Doha’s conditions suit Medvedev’s counter-punching and long, physical rallies more than they help Stefanos, whose best tennis tends to come when he’s dictating with the forehand on quicker courts or clay. Unless Medvedev has an off day on serve or mentally switches off, his superior consistency and tactical matchup edge should carry him over three sets.

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