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Estimated Prizes
this month

£10

Estimated Prize money
this month

25 January 2026
23:45 The American Express

Scottie Scheffler

50 WIN

@+275

Win

138

Scheffler is scheduled to make his 2026 PGA TOUR debut here, and that “fresh, elite baseline” often wins at PGA West when the scoring gets low. With big names like Justin Rose and Matt Fitzpatrick also in the field, it won’t be easy. But if Scottie’s ball-striking is anywhere near normal, he’s the most likely champion by Sunday.

Robert MacIntyre

Top European

50 WIN

@+500

Lose

-50

MacIntyre is a strong “Top European” angle here because PGA West often turns into a birdie-fest. His lefty ball flight and aggressive approach play can stack chances quickly across the three-course rotation. He’s also proven he can contend on the PGA TOUR in the U.S., so this isn’t the kind of setup that should intimidate him early in the season. If the wind stays light and scoring stays low, I like him to outpace the other Europeans by being a bit more explosive on the par 5s and converting mid-iron looks.

Matt Fitzpatrick

Top GB and Ireland

50 WIN

@+400

Lose

-50

Fitzpatrick is my GB&I lean because his controlled, accurate tee-to-green game fits PGA West scoring conditions, where avoiding mistakes while stacking birdie chances matters more than raw power. He’s also in a strong GB&I group here (Justin Rose, Robert MacIntyre, Seamus Power, etc.), so consistency over four rounds is a big edge. If the weekend stays calm and scores keep dropping, Fitzpatrick’s ability to stay disciplined and convert from good positions gives him a better “top nationality” profile than the more volatile options.
14:00 Kerry v Roscommon

Kerry

FT Result

50 WIN

@-999

Win

5

Kerry at Fitzgerald Stadium is usually the safest call in Division 1 openers. They can win games in multiple ways: kick game, running game, and set-piece scoring. They will miss key defender Gavin White (ankle surgery), which could soften their defensive control a touch. Still, Kerry’s overall depth and home rhythm should be enough to get them over the line.
14:00 Monaghan v Armagh

Monaghan

FT Result

50 WIN

@+187

Lose

-50

This one tilts Monaghan for me because Armagh will be without Rian O’Neill in 2026, and that’s a huge chunk of their high-end scoring. Clones is also a tricky venue where Monaghan’s intensity and game management usually plays up. If Monaghan turn it into a structured, low-error contest, Armagh may struggle to find enough punch.

Monaghan 1.50

Handicap

50 WIN

@-109

Lose

-50

Without O’Neill, Armagh can become a bit more “hard work for scores,” which is exactly the kind of opponent Monaghan can edge away from by small runs. Monaghan’s pressure can force wides and turnovers that turn a one-point game into a three-point game quickly. I like Monaghan to win by 2+ if they start well and keep discipline.
14:00 Offaly v Louth

Louth

FT Result

50 WIN

@-161

Win

31

Louth’s recent trajectory has been upward, and they tend to bring a more modern tempo, which can be decisive against teams still building consistency. Offaly at home will make this abrasive, and if they win enough primary possession, they can keep it uncomfortable. I’ll lean Louth for the slightly higher attacking edge and better ability to score in bursts.

Offaly 1.50

Handicap

50 WIN

@+100

Lose

-50

Home games in Tullamore often come down to energy and momentum swings, and Offaly should at least keep it within touching distance. If Louth don’t put daylight on the board early, this can turn into a one-score grinder where the underdog +1.5 is valuable. I’m backing Offaly to stay within a point even if Louth shade the result.
13:45 Galway v Mayo

Galway

FT Result

50 WIN

@+175

Lose

-50

Pearse Stadium is a major edge in a derby that often swings on emotion and momentum. Galway’s controlled kick game suits that environment. Mayo are starting a new chapter under Andy Moran (appointed in August 2025), so I expect flashes but also some growing pains in decision-making under pressure. Galway at home feels like the steadier Round 1 profile.

Galway 0.50

Handicap

50 WIN

@+110

Lose

-50

If Galway’s press on kick-outs lands early, they can build the kind of small cushion that’s hard to erase in Salthill. Mayo’s new-look setup may take a few weeks to fully click, and that often shows most in defensive tracking and shot selection.
13:30 Cork v Cavan

Cork

FT Result

50 WIN

@-555

Win

9

Cork at Páirc Uí Chaoimh should be able to set the tempo with pace and direct running. This is especially valuable in Round 1 when tackling timing can be off. Cavan are capable of dragging teams into low-scoring, stop-start football, so Cork will need patience and smart shot selection. I’ll take Cork mainly on home momentum and the likelihood they finish stronger.

Cavan 6.50

Handicap

50 WIN

@-124

Win

40

This feels like a “win but not a blowout” spot. Cavan’s style often keeps scorelines compressed, especially if they turn it into a free-taking contest. Cork can absolutely win, but they may not separate cleanly unless they get a goal swing. Cavan +6.5 covers the most plausible script if Cork edge it by a point.
13:15 Dubai Desert Classic

Patrick Reed

Top American

50 WIN

@+139

Win

70

Reed looks like the safest “Top American” angle because the American pool here is small (the main names are Patrick Reed and Dustin Johnson). He’s also got real Dubai upside ??" he was runner-up to McIlroy at Emirates GC in 2023, which matters on a course that rewards patient tee-to-green play and sharp scrambling. His form last week wasn’t explosive (T26 at the Dubai Invitational), but it was solid enough to suggest he’s not miles off.

Rory McIlroy

Top GB and Ireland

50 WIN

@+150

Lose

-50

This is the obvious one: McIlroy has owned this event recently, winning in 2023 and 2024 (part of his four Dubai titles), and that course comfort is a huge edge in a Rolex Series field. He also arrives with momentum after a T3 at last week’s Dubai Invitational, which is exactly the kind of “sharp early-season reps” profile that tends to spike here. Lowry and Fleetwood are legit threats in the same category, but if Rory’s driver is even close to normal, he’s the most likely GB&I player to contend deepest into Sunday.
12:45 Dubai Desert Classic

Rory McIlroy

50 WIN

@+350

Lose

-50

The field is stacked (Hatton, Fleetwood, Dustin Johnson, Shane Lowry, etc.), but Rory’s Dubai comfort level plus winning pedigree here is hard to fade. If it turns into a birdie-fest, I trust him most to go low on the par 5s and close.
11:15 Dubai Desert Classic

Rory McIlroy

1st Round Leader

50 WIN

@+1100

Lose

-50

McIlroy’s course history at Emirates GC is the biggest separator here. He’s a four-time Dubai Desert Classic winner and clearly loves the Majlis test. Tyrrell Hatton is the defending champion and a real threat, but if Rory’s iron play is even close to peak, he’s still the most likely winner in this field.
03:30 Justin Gaethje v Paddy Pimblett

Paddy Pimblett

Win Fight

50 WIN

@-227

Lose

-50

Pimblett’s best path is very clear: turn this into a messy clinch-and-grapple fight where he can chain takedowns, force scrambles, and hunt the back. If he survives the early leg-kick/pressure storm, Gaethje’s moments often come in bursts, while Paddy can keep piling on control time and make every exchange “high-variance.” Pimblett’s submission threat is real if Gaethje ever over-commits in a scramble, and over 25 minutes I like the upset angle of Paddy winning minutes on the mat and stealing rounds.
02:20 Arnold Allen v Jean Silva

Arnold Allen

Win Fight

50 WIN

@+240

Lose

-50

Jean Silva brings chaos??"pressure, power, and a willingness to make every exchange a fight??"but that can also feed into Allen’s strengths if Arnold keeps composed. Allen is typically the cleaner, more efficient striker, and he’s better suited to win minutes with control, counters, and smart clinch/wrestling mixes. If Silva can force wild firefights, he can flip this. But I trust Allen’s structure to bank rounds and avoid the big momentum swing.
02:20 Sean OMalley v Song Yadong

Song Yadong

Win Fight

50 WIN

@+175

Lose

-50

02:20 Waldo Cortes Acosta v Derrick Lewis

Derrick Lewis

Win Fight

50 WIN

@+259

Lose

-50

At heavyweight, Lewis is always live because one clean connection can erase two rounds of work. Waldo’s safest route (point-fighting at range) still requires perfect discipline. If Lewis can force Waldo to trade in the pocket even a few times per round, that’s the danger zone??"uppercuts and the right hand change everything. Cortes-Acosta tends to give looks when he resets after combinations, and Lewis is great at detonating in those brief windows. I’m backing Lewis’ knockout equity to land the defining moment before Waldo can settle into a low-risk rhythm.
02:00 Israil Madrimov v Luis David Salazar

Israil Madrimov

Win Fight

50 WIN

@-3333

Win

1

02:00 Khalil Coe v Jesse Hart

Khalil Coe

Win Fight

50 WIN

@-714

Win

7

24 January 2026
23:01 Alex Perez v Charles Johnson

Charles Johnson

Win Fight

50 WIN

@-188

Lose

-50

23:01 Ateba Gautier v Andrey Pulyaev

Ateba Gautier

Win Fight

50 WIN

@-833

Win

6

On paper, Gautier looks like the higher-upside athlete/finisher profile, while Pulyaev is the steadier kickboxing-style technician who looks for clean shots at range. If Gautier can win the first big exchange and force Pulyaev into reactive defense, this can snowball quickly. I’m backing the younger, more explosive momentum side to get the bigger moments and likely a stoppage or clear decision.
23:01 Josh Hokit v Denzel Freeman

Josh Hokit

Win Fight

50 WIN

@-227

Win

22

23:01 Michael Johnson v Alexander Hernandez

Michael Johnson

Win Fight

50 WIN

@+162

Void

0

Johnson has quietly put together momentum recently, and when he’s sharp, his speed and boxing fundamentals are enough to beat a lot of lightweights. Hernandez can absolutely win if he mixes in wrestling and forces ugly clinch minutes, but that game has to be consistent for three rounds. I’ll take Johnson to land the cleaner combinations and win a decision if he keeps the fight mostly standing.
23:01 Natalia Silva v Rose Namajunas

Rose Namajunas

Win Fight

50 WIN

@+350

Lose

-50

23:01 Nikita Krylov v Modestas Bukauskas

Nikita Krylov

Win Fight

50 WIN

@+129

Win

65

23:01 Ricky Turcios v Cameron Smotherman

Ricky Turcios

Win Fight

50 WIN

@+162

Void

0

23:01 Ty Miller v Adam Fugitt

Ty Miller

Win Fight

50 WIN

@-400

Win

12

23:01 Umar Nurmagomedov v Deiveson Figueiredo

Umar Nurmagomedov

Win Fight

50 WIN

@-1428

Win

4

This is a classic “elite grappling control vs explosive veteran finishing.” Umar’s biggest edge is chain wrestling and top control. If he’s consistently putting Deiveson on his back, he can win rounds without taking huge risks. Figueiredo is dangerous in scrambles and can punish mistakes with power or submissions, but I expect Umar’s pace and positional discipline to neutralize most of that over three rounds.
22:45 Mitsubishi Electric Championship

Steven Alker

50 WIN

@+450

Lose

-50

This event is usually a low-scoring “who stays hot for 54 holes” shootout, and Alker is one of the most reliable points-machines on PGA Tour Champions. He’s already proven he can win here (won in 2024), and he tends to pile up birdies without needing a miracle putting week. Ernie Els is the defending champion, and names like Langer, Jiménez, and Cink make it deep, but Alker’s consistency over three rounds makes him my safest win call.
22:00 Raymond Muratalla v Andy Cruz

Andy Cruz

Win Fight

50 WIN

@-227

Lose

-50

21:00 Kaipo Gallegos v Wilson Akinocho

Kaipo Gallegos

Win Fight

50 WIN

@-1999

Win

3

21:00 Ronny Alvarez v Braulio Matias Ferreira

Ronny Alvarez

Win Fight

50 WIN

@-2500

Win

2

19:45 Zebre Parma v Glasgow Warriors

Glasgow Warriors

To Win

50 WIN

@-400

Win

12

Glasgow are a top-two team right now, while Zebre are down near the bottom. The recent head-to-head is one-way traffic: Glasgow beat Zebre 47??"10 on 3 Jan. Glasgow’s ability to win clean ball and strike off set-piece should create too many chances over 80 minutes. I expect Glasgow to control the game with territory and finish strongly.
18:00 Tyrone v Kildare

Tyrone

FT Result

50 WIN

@-454

Lose

-50

At home in Omagh, Tyrone’s physical pressure and ability to squeeze teams with field position usually show, especially in Round 1. They will be without Peter Harte for 2026, but the overall system should still create enough scoring chances to win. I expect Tyrone to control the middle third and edge the shot count.

Tyrone -5.50

Handicap

50 WIN

@-120

Lose

-50

Even with Harte out, Tyrone’s home intensity tends to turn one-score games into two-score wins via late pressure and forced errors. Kildare can keep it close if they win kick-outs and take their frees, but that’s a hard ask in Healy Park when Tyrone start rolling. I’m backing Tyrone to win by 5+ if they get any kind of early lead.
17:30 Connacht v Leinster

Leinster

To Win

50 WIN

@-333

Win

15

Leinster have dominated this matchup lately (won the last five head-to-heads), and they literally hammered Connacht 52??"17 earlier this month. The one reason it’s not a total “auto-pick” is Leinster’s injury cloud after Europe, which could drag them into a scrappier fight than they’d like. Even so, Leinster’s structure and depth should still win out. Think control first, then late tries.
17:30 Stormers v Sharks

Stormers

To Win

50 WIN

@-454

Lose

-50

This is a brutal matchup for the Sharks on current evidence. The Stormers sit top of the URC, and they’ve won 4 of the last 5 against the Sharks. At home, the Stormers’ tempo and breakdown speed usually force opponents into stretched defense and penalties. Unless the Sharks can dominate collisions and slow the ruck, the Stormers should outscore them in the last 30 minutes.
17:00 Dublin v Donegal

Dublin

FT Result

50 WIN

@+175

Lose

-50

Dublin should come out with a big early-season edge at Croke Park, especially with the “new era” energy under new boss Ger Brennan. Donegal are the higher recent-peak side (2025 All-Ireland finalists), and they beat Dublin in Ballybofey last season, so this is no soft spot. I’m leaning Dublin mainly on home control of momentum and the likelihood they win the key kicking/transition moments late.

Donegal -1.50

Handicap

50 WIN

@-109

Win

46

Even if Dublin nick it, Donegal’s floor is high enough to keep this within a point because their defensive shape and counter pace travel well to big venues. Dublin may still be settling under a new setup, which often means a few loose spells that keep the scoreboard tight.
16:00 Wexford v Antrim

Wexford

FT Result

50 WIN

@-333

Win

15

The recent head-to-head points to Wexford: they beat Antrim 2??"24 to 0??"19 in last year’s Leinster opener at Wexford Park, pulling away decisively with second-half goals. Antrim are also coming off a tough 2025 that ended with them dropping into the Joe McDonagh for 2026, so this opener is a tricky spot away from home. Antrim are also coming off a tough 2025 that ended with them dropping into the Joe McDonagh for 2026, so this opener is a tricky spot away from home.
15:00 Meath v Derry

Derry

FT Result

50 WIN

@-136

Lose

-50

Derry’s athleticism and ability to generate scoring bursts off turnovers make them a tough Division 2 matchup when they get their kick-out game right. Meath being the nominal home team at Croke Park levels out some of the usual home-edge intensity you’d get in Páirc Tailteann. I’ll side with Derry to have the higher ceiling in open play and do more damage in transition.

Meath 0.50

Handicap

50 WIN

@+100

Win

50

This setup screams “tight opener.” Early-league games can be scrappy, and Croke Park often punishes teams who go too direct too soon. If Meath keep their defensive line compact and turn it into a contest of patience and placed-ball restarts, they can absolutely hang around. Meath +0.5 covers the most likely outcome if Derry win without pulling away.
15:00 Scarlets v Ulster

Ulster

To Win

50 WIN

@-333

Lose

-50

Ulster are flying relative to Scarlets in the table (top-four pace vs bottom), and their recent form has been far more convincing. Scarlets at Parc y Scarlets can raise intensity, but Ulster’s balance??"kick pressure, set-piece stability, and multi-phase patience??"should travel well. I like Ulster to win the territory battle and pull away in the second half.
14:30 Carlow v Down

Carlow

FT Result

50 WIN

@-909

Win

5

Carlow look the safer bet at home because their 2025 Joe McDonagh Cup form was much stronger. They were in the mix near the top, while Down struggled badly across the round-robin. If Carlow start well and get their running game going, Down may find it hard to keep pace on the scoreboard.
02:00 Callum Walsh v Carlos Ocampo

Callum Walsh

Win Fight

50 WIN

@-588

Win

9

01:00 Misael Rodriguez Olivas v Austin Deanda

Misael Rodriguez Olivas

Win Fight

50 WIN

@-588

Win

9

23 January 2026
21:00 Troy Nash v Jaycob Ramos

Troy Nash

Win Fight

50 WIN

@-1999

Win

3

19:45 Edinburgh v Bulls

Bulls

To Win

50 WIN

@-161

Win

31

Recent head-to-head leans Bulls (they've won 3 of the last 5 meetings, including the most recent two), and their power game can travel if they get on top at scrum/maul time. Edinburgh have beaten the Bulls at the Hive before, so the home crowd keeps this live. But the Bulls’ ability to turn pressure into points is the separator here. If Bulls win the gainline early, I see them controlling the scoreboard.
19:45 Ospreys v Lions

Lions

To Win

50 WIN

@+139

Push

0

The Lions come in slightly better placed in the URC table, and they’ve generally shown the higher attacking ceiling this season. Ospreys at home can make this a grind (set-piece, breakdown pressure, territory), but if the Lions keep their error count down they should win more “broken-field” moments. I’m backing Lions to edge it by creating the bigger scoring bursts, even if it’s tight late.
19:30 Emiliano Cardenas v Marcus Cortez Harris

Emiliano Cardenas

Win Fight

50 WIN

@-1250

Win

4

19:30 Floyd Diaz v Guillermo Gutierrez

Floyd Diaz

Win Fight

50 WIN

@-1250

Win

4

19:30 Robert Meriwether III v Cesar Correa

Robert Meriwether III

Win Fight

50 WIN

@-1999

Win

3

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