Kupoa10
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Kupoa10's Tips History
10 January 2026
17:30 Leinster v La Rochelle
Leinster
To Win
50 WIN
@1.10
Win
5
Leinster are unbeaten in Pool 3 (9 points, +25), and this is a huge leverage spot with La Rochelle sitting on 5 points trying to stay in touch. Leinster also get a timely boost with Robbie Henshaw fit and available, which matters in the midfield collision game La Rochelle bring. Leinster also get a timely boost with Robbie Henshaw fit and available, which matters in the midfield collision game La Rochelle bring.
17:30 Sale Sharks v Sharks
Sale Sharks
To Win
50 WIN
@1.08
Win
4
This one screams “tight margins.” Sale are on 6 points, Sharks on 5 in Pool 1, so it’s basically a mini play-in for momentum. I lean Sale at home because their kick-chase and defensive line speed can make it miserable for travelling sides if the weather or handling gets messy. If Sale win the aerial battle and force the Sharks to exit under pressure, I see them grinding it out.
16:30 Aras Kargo W vs Nilufer Bld W
Nilufer Bld W
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.80
Lose
-50
This is the most competitive matchup: both are on the same points total, and it feels like a playoff-position swing game. I’ll lean Nilufer to grind it out if they stabilize first contact and avoid giving Aras free transition looks.
16:00 Galatasaray W vs Kuzeyboru W
Galatasaray W
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.07
Win
4
I’ll lean Nilüfer to grind it out if they stabilize first contact and avoid giving Aras free transition looks. The talent depth (e.g., Myriam Sylla, Kaja Grobelna, Alexia Car?u?u, plus veteran setting options) should show across long stretches, especially if Galatasaray win the serve??'receive battle. Kuzeyboru will need a “perfect-efficiency” night and big scoring runs on serve to stay level??"possible in patches, but hard over a full match.
15:15 Clermont v Glasgow Warriors
Glasgow Warriors
To Win
50 WIN
@1.33
Win
17
Glasgow are 2/2 with 10 points and top Pool 1, while Clermont are winless on 0??"hard to ignore. Clermont at home can absolutely lift (Marcel-Michelin is a different animal), but Glasgow’s current identity??"maul efficiency and sharp edge play??"travels well when they’re confident. If Glasgow’s set piece holds up, I think they control enough possession to come out on top.
15:00 Eczacibasi W vs Ilbank W
Eczacibasi W
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.02
Win
1
Eczac?ba?? are chasing the leaders near the top, while ?lbank are down in the relegation fight zone ??" so the expectation is a comfortable home win. ?lbank’s only real path is to serve aggressively and hope to disrupt Eczac?ba??’s rhythm, but sustaining that pressure for three sets is a tall order.
15:00 Metz W vs Gyori Eto W
Gyori Eto (W)
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.72
Win
36
Gyor are still unbeaten (8/8), and they’ve had the best “two-way” profile so far, leading the competition in both attack and defensive efficiency. Metz are strong at home, and this is their chance for revenge after losing the reverse fixture 31??"27. But Gyor’s depth, plus the Sako factor in goal, makes them hard to outlast over 60 minutes. If Gyor keep Metz’s pace under control and force longer possessions, I see them edging another tight one.
15:00 VFL Oldenburg W vs Lokomotiva Zagreb W
VFL Oldenburg (W)
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.85
Lose
-50
Oldenburg’s profile screams “home favourite.” They can play fast, punish turnovers, and they’ve already shown huge scoring output in qualification, including a massive aggregate margin. Lokomotiva have plenty of European know-how (they’ve even won the old Challenge Cup), but away trips to Germany often become a pace and physicality problem. If Oldenburg win the goalkeeper and transition battle, they should create a decisive run in the middle third of the match.
12:00 Goztepe W vs Aydin B Sehir Bld W
Aydin B Sehir Bld W
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.10
Lose
-50
This one is much tighter on paper, but Ayd?n have simply collected more points so far and look a touch more stable week to week. In these lower-table matchups, the deciding factor is often who gifts fewer points in reception/transition, and Ayd?n’s profile suggests the higher floor. If Goztepe can ride home energy and win the serve-receive battle early, it can flip ??" but I’ll lean Aydin to edge it in the key end-of-set moments.
11:00 THY Spor Kulubu W vs Fenerbahce W
Fenerbahce W
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.03
Lose
-50
Fenerbahçe come in as clear contenders near the top of the table, while THY sit mid-pack, so the “baseline level” gap is big before you even get into matchups. THY’s best route is to slow the game down with side-out stability and get their middles involved (e.g., Karmen Aksoy), but that’s hard if Fener’s serve pressure is landing.
08:15 Melbourne Renegades vs Melbourne Stars T20
Melbourne Renegades
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.00
Lose
-50
Renegades have momentum (two wins in a row), and they’ve already nicked a derby against the Stars recently, which matters in these high-variance rivalry games. The Stars are still higher on the ladder, but they’re trying to halt a three-game losing streak. If that early wobble returns, the Renegades can pounce again. I’m leaning Renegades because the current trendline is pointing their way.
06:00 Western Australia W vs South Australia W One Day Match
South Australia W
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.50
Lose
-50
They’ve already beaten SA at the WACA by 52 runs this week. That kind of fresh head-to-head is a big psychological edge in a quick turnaround. SA’s issue was a damaging middle-overs stretch while chasing, and unless they tighten that up, WA’s bowling looks well suited to controlling the innings again. Home conditions plus recent proof of concept push me to WA.
05:00 Brisbane Heat vs Sydney Thunder T20
Brisbane Heat
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.75
Win
38
The Heat have been perfect at home in Queensland this season, and that familiarity usually matters at the Gabba. Thunder’s broader form is rough (only one win in their last eight), even though that lone win was against Brisbane earlier this season, so the Heat should be properly warned. Still, if Brisbane bat even decently, their home edge should swing it.
04:55 Canterbury vs Auckland T20
Auckland
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
Auckland come in with obvious confidence and firepower??"Phillips and Jacobs just showed how quickly they can take a game away. Their squad looks built to pressure attacks from ball one (Chapman/Solia/Phillips/Jacobs), and Johal’s wicket-taking helps them control key overs. Canterbury at Hagley is never easy, but Auckland’s ceiling feels higher right now.
01:10 Canterbury W vs Auckland W T20
Auckland W
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.57
Win
28
Auckland’s squad has more proven T20 batting depth (Down/Green/Halliday), and they tend to match up well when they can keep the run rate ticking through the middle overs. Canterbury needs a near-perfect powerplay with the ball to avoid chasing the game early. If it becomes a “one big partnership” match, I trust Auckland to produce it more.
Subtotal-217
09 January 2026
20:00 Castres v Bath
Bath
To Win
50 WIN
@1.36
Win
18
Pool context is razor-thin, but Bath sit top of Pool 2 and come in with the slightly better early-season European output. Castres at Stade Pierre-Fabre can turn it into a slow, set-piece-and-territory fight. Yet Bath’s ability to score when they get front-foot ball gives them a higher ceiling. If Bath win the kicking/discipline battle and don’t overplay in Castres’ half, I think they edge it late.
20:00 Edinburgh v Gloucester
Edinburgh
To Win
50 WIN
@1.05
Win
3
Gloucester have enough power to punish mistakes, but Edinburgh’s best version is very “stadium-proof”: pressure defense, smart kicking, and taking points when offered. If Edinburgh start well and keep Gloucester out of broken-field transitions, I like the home side to squeeze a narrow win.
19:00 7:00 Wolverhampton
Star Of Mali
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.75
Void
0
Star Of Mali has proven C&D form (including a win at Southwell), and his latest run is better than it looks, as he wasn’t ideally positioned when things started happening. If he gets a smoother passage, he’s the one most likely to finish strongly up the straight. Al Rufaa is dangerous with first-time cheekpieces, while Revolutionise arrives in form after winning last week, so the pace and positioning battle will matter.
17:30 5:30 Wolverhampton
Carbine Harvester
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.50
Void
0
Carbine Harvester has been ultra-reliable on the all-weather, rarely finishing outside the first three in AW handicaps. That consistency is gold in a competitive sprint. He can be forgiven a narrow Kempton near miss and looks well set to get compensation if he gets a clean run at the leaders. Kullazain (recent C&D winner) is the big threat, with Zoulu Chief and Coachello also firmly in the mix.
17:00 5:00 Wolverhampton
Zoulu Warrior
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.25
Void
0
Zoulu Warrior arrives in proper form and is chasing a hat-trick after improving again to win over this C&D 13 days ago. He looks the type who’s thriving on the Tapeta and can still find a bit more off his current mark. Invincible Melody is the main danger after a good Southwell second, but Zoulu Warrior’s momentum makes him the one to beat.
16:35 4:35 Newcastle
Auntie Jo
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@10.00
Lose
-50
Auntie Jo is still a maiden, but she shaped better than the bare result when returning from a break over 6f here last week. The drop back to 5f looks like a positive. If she steps forward fitness-wise, she can travel closer to the pace and finish the race off more sharply. Little Mi Mi is an obvious danger after winning on New Year’s Day and only going up 5 lb, but Auntie Jo offers the bigger “improver” angle.
16:25 4:25 Wolverhampton
Cargin Bhui
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 1.91 on 09/01 at 09:040.10 deduction for Brave Empire@9.00 withdrawn at 10:07R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 0.91 x (1-0.10) = 1.82
@1.91
Void
0
Cargin Bhui has been frustrating, but he looked unlucky not to win over this exact C&D last week after being forced wide and giving up first run. Back in a similar setup, a slightly cleaner trip should be enough to get him over the line. Waistcoat and Amerjeet rate the main threats if they get the race run to suit.
15:30 Durbans Super Giants vs Sunrisers Eastern Cape T20
Sunrisers Eastern Cape
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.90
Void
0
Form and table position heavily favor SEC (perfect start so far), while Durban have struggled to string results together. The matchup history is also lopsided; SEC have dominated this pairing. Quinton de Kock’s current form gives SEC a reliable engine up top. At Kingsmead, if dew makes chasing easier, SEC’s clarity in roles still makes them my pick either way.
14:27 2:27 Newcastle
Onyeisi
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.50
Lose
-50
Onyeisi is Timeform’s selection because he’s improved since stepping up in trip with blinkers??"winning at Chelmsford and then backing it up with another solid run at Wolverhampton. This further step into 1m2f on Tapeta looks like it can bring out even more, and a repeat of that recent form should be enough in a small field. Trust No One is the market favourite, but if Onyeisi gets into a rhythm up the straight, he’s the one I’d want finishing best.
14:15 2:13 Naas
Hartford
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.25
Lose
-50
Hartford gets the vote on debut because he comes from a bumper/jumps family (half-siblings include Handstands and Kilconny Bridge), and the Elliott yard has a strong record in this sphere. In a 2m INH Flat on yielding ground, that blend of pedigree, stamina, and “ready-to-go” yard intent is a big deal. Quiryn looks a credible danger on breeding, but Hartford feels the most likely to be professional first time.
14:05 2:02 Exeter
Wicked Thoughts
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.50
Lose
-50
This is a fascinating novice handicap chase. Timeform sides with Wicked Thoughts after he impressed with his jumping when winning on his chase debut at Taunton. With Harry Cobden riding for Paul Nicholls, you’d expect another efficient, pressure-building round of jumping??"exactly what’s needed on a testing Exeter track. The market likes El Granjero, but if Wicked Thoughts repeats that fencing fluency, he can outclass them late.
14:05 2:05 Meydan
Brotherly Love
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.25
Win
112
Brotherly Love is the betting forecast favourite and, crucially for a 1m dirt maiden, he’s already proven on the surface. He chased home Devon Island in both of his dirt starts. That “knocking on the door” profile often wins these Meydan maidens when the pace is honest and the race becomes a stamina test from the 600m. With another forward run expected, he looks the safest to finally get off the mark.
13:57 1:57 Newcastle
Asia Force
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@SP
Lose
-50
Asia Force is a Frankel colt making his debut in a small four-runner novice. Timeform’s angle is simple: he’s bred to be smart and doesn’t need to be anything special to win if the current standard-setter is already looking exposed. If he’s even reasonably streetwise, the pedigree/upside edge should decide it.
13:30 Sri Lanka vs Pakistan 2nd T20 Match
Pakistan
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.75
Void
0
Pakistan lead 1??"0 after a controlled chase of 129 with 20 balls to spare, and the overall feel is that their batting is handling the conditions more cleanly. Sri Lanka got starts in the first game but didn’t convert them into a defendable total, so the pressure is on their middle order to add substance. If it’s another par-or-below-par pitch, Pakistan’s ability to stay calm in chases makes them the safer side again.
13:00 Noakhali Express vs Rangpur Riders T20
Rangpur Riders
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.30
Lose
-50
Noakhali are winless and stuck at the bottom, while Rangpur have won 4 of 5 and look far more settled in both phases. Rangpur’s batting core (Malan, Mayers, Litton, Mahmudullah) gives them a much higher floor, and Mustafizur adds control and a wicket threat when teams try to accelerate. Unless Noakhali’s Nabi- or Soumya-led top order finally fires and they win the key matchups early, Rangpur’s balance should tell.
11:27 11:27 Central Park
Harlequin Swift
Daily Races
50 WIN
@2.50
Win
75
Harlequin Swift has the formline you want at this grade, and his latest 30.44 last suggests he’s holding his level. Steeple Rd Sarah is the obvious danger (close in the forecast and very consistent), and her 30.11 best says she can absolutely win if she gets first run. Teeple Rd Sarah is the obvious danger (close in the forecast and very consistent), and her 30.11 best says she can absolutely win if she gets first run.
11:09 11:09 Central Park
Olives Patchwork
Daily Races
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
Olives Patchwork is the “safer” play per the analyst verdict, with a solid 16.62 best and a sharp recent run (16.73 last) that puts her right on the line for D2. Silver Medal and Hollyoak Malaki both have faster peak times (16.55/16.57 best), so this is a “positioning + first bend” race.
11:04 11:04 Harlow
Minnies Daria
Daily Races
50 WIN
@2.50
Lose
-50
Fawn Tyre is the main chaser if she pings (Timeform’s #2), while the Salems pair have “unknown ceiling” angles given the lack of recent public times. Munie Memories is the danger on raw recent timing (27.16 last) and consistency, so if Daria misses the kick, this could flip quickly.
10:48 10:48 Harlow
Moss Row Mistral
Daily Races
50 WIN
@3.75
Lose
-50
Over 238m, it’s all about the break. Front-runners are heavily favoured, and Moss Row Mistral has the standout speed figures with a 15.97 best and a strong 16.01 last. Timeform also notes he’s been running well and makes him the marginal pick, which fits the clock edge. Fawn Tyre is the main chaser if she pings, while the Salems pair have “unknown ceiling” angles given the lack of recent public times.
10:32 10:32 Harlow
Skinny Pete
Daily Races
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
Skinny Pete looks the best on the card, but this 415m trip at Harlow strongly rewards quick starters, so he’ll likely need a clean early run to avoid traffic. He has a sharp 27.06 best and solid recent form, while Aurora Slippy is a big danger off a win-streak profile and has the best recent momentum in the field. Kerabellec Nell (26.96 best) is the other clear threat if she hits the first bend in front.
03:25 Wellington vs Otago T20
Wellington
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.67
Lose
-50
The ladder says both sides have been inconsistent, but Wellington at home is a meaningful separator, especially if the Basin offers extra bounce for seamers/all-rounders. Firebirds’ core (Nick Kelly, Jesse Tashkoff, Logan van Beek) gives them multiple ways to build and finish an innings, while Otago’s best path is usually to win the powerplay and hold on. If it’s a typical Basin game (new-ball movement and value for hitting straight), I’d lean Firebirds in a close one??"more likely a “last 3 overs” type finish than a blowout.
Subtotal-342
08 January 2026
23:40 Wellington W vs Otago W T20
Wellington W
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.42
Win
21
Blaze are currently ahead on the table (3 wins from 4) versus Sparks’ 2??"2 record, and they’re at the Basin Reserve where their tempo tends to be higher. On personnel, Wellington look stacked (Amelia Kerr, Ellyse Perry, Georgia Plimmer), while Otago’s batting often leans heavily on Suzie Bates to set the tone. The Sparks can absolutely spike a big score, but over a full 20 overs I give Blaze the edge for all-round balance and matchup coverage.
20:00 Benfica W vs Novara W
Novara W to win 3-0
Set Score
50 WIN
@1.36
Win
18
Novara have the profile of a team that can win in multiple ways (serve pressure, transition, and high-end attackers), and that usually punishes teams stepping up a level in competition. Benfica can hang if they pass well and slow Novara’s middles, but that’s a tough ask for three straight sets. I see Novara pulling away as the match goes on.
19:45 Real Madrid vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
Real Madrid
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.22
Win
11
Real come in with the better overall profile (12??"8 vs. Maccabi’s 8??"12), and they’ve historically had the edge (26??"15 H2H since 2000). Madrid’s depth and defensive rebounding should limit Maccabi’s transition chances, which is usually where Tel Aviv look most dangerous. If Maccabi keep it close, it’s likely through hot perimeter shooting and turning it into a possession-count game, but the baseline favors Real at home.
19:30 Valencia vs Monaco
Valencia
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.83
Lose
-50
This is close: Valencia lead the standings (14??"6) while Monaco are right there (13??"7), and Monaco actually edge the H2H 3??"2 since 2000. I’m leaning Valencia at home because their offense can win games in multiple ways (drive??'kick threes or guards taking over late). They’ve been consistently efficient. Monaco’s path is classic: pressure the ball, force tough late??'clock shots, and let their creators (like Okobo) win clutch possessions.
19:15 Panathinaikos vs Virtus Bologna
Panathinaikos
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.22
Win
11
The H2H leans PAO (6??"2 since 2000), but Virtus did win the most recent meeting 92??"75, so this isn’t a “bad matchup” for them on paper. I like PAO’s guard shot-creation at home to win the decisive stretches, especially if they can speed the game up and punish Virtus’ rotations. Virtus’ best chance is controlling tempo and getting a big scoring night from their perimeter creators, because PAO have shown they can be dragged into grindy games.
19:00 Ach Volley Ljubljana vs Ziraat Bankasi
Ziraat Bankasi
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.22
Win
11
Ziraat look like the side with the higher “ceiling” in serve-and-block, and they bring proven wing firepower and experience that usually travels well in Europe. ACH at home in Ljubljana can make this uncomfortable with veteran leadership and a solid side-out, but they’ll need a big passing night to keep Ziraat out of system. If Ziraat’s serve pressure lands early, they should control the key scoring runs.
19:00 Le Cannet W vs Alba Blaj W
Alba Blaj W
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.85
Lose
-50
This feels like a matchup where Blaj’s ability to stay disciplined in serve-receive and win the “long points” can swing it, even away from home. Volero will have chances if they score early in sets behind aggressive serving, but Blaj have shown they can handle French opposition in Europe and manage pressure moments. I’d lean Blaj to be cleaner in the key rotations and close sets better.
19:00 WWK Volleys Herrsching vs Bigbank Tartu
WWK Volleys Herrsching
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.62
Win
31
Herrsching should have the depth and physical edge, especially if they can dominate at the service line and keep Tartu off their preferred tempo. Bigbank can absolutely grab a set if they receive cleanly and turn it into a side-out battle, but sustaining that away is tough. I see Herrsching winning more transition points and pulling away late.
18:30 Iserlohn Roosters vs Eisbaren Berlin
Eisbaren Berlin
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.60
Lose
-50
Berlin sit well above Iserlohn in the table and still have more top-end scoring (Liam Kirk and Frederik Tiffels driving the attack), even with key absences. If Berlin’s depleted lineup shortens the bench, this can get scrappy late. But I still trust Berlin’s depth to edge it.
18:00 Frolunda HC vs Lulea HF
Frolunda HC
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.47
Lose
-50
Frolunda look like the safer side right now. They’re top of the SHL with a huge +57 goal difference, and they’ve been elite defensively all season. Lulea are down in 10th and more volatile game-to-game. Frolunda already beat them 4??"1 at Scandinavium earlier this season, which matches up with the home-ice edge again tonight.
18:00 Gran Canaria W vs OK Nebo W
Gran Canaria W
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.08
Win
4
Hidramar’s European profile is usually about controlling matches with clean first contact and punishing any short serves/soft swings in transition. Cheseaux will need a very high-risk serving plan to disrupt that, but that can also inflate errors. I expect Hidramar to be the more efficient team across all rotations and to win comfortably.
18:00 Holte IF W vs Crvena Zvezda W
Crvena Zvezda W
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
Crvena Zvezda tend to bring a higher baseline physicality and are comfortable playing fast when the pass is on point. Holte’s route is to serve tough and turn it into a messy match, but that’s hard to maintain for four sets. I’ll back Crvena Zvezda to win the important rallies and take it 3??"1.
18:00 Timra IK vs Rogle BK
Rogle BK
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
Rögle have the stronger overall profile: 3rd in the table with a +23 goal difference and better underlying 5v5 performance than Timrå. Rögle have been slightly sharper across the last five games, and they generate more consistent offense on the season (97 GF vs Timrå’s 77), which usually decides these “close margins” SHL matchups.
17:00 Bekescsaba W vs Mulhouse W
Mulhouse W
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.12
Win
6
Mulhouse’s best edge here is usually physicality at the net and the ability to score in transition when their block funnels balls into the court. Békéscsaba can make it close if they keep errors down and serve to targets, but Mulhouse at home should win more “two-touch” points (block/deflection plays). I see Mulhouse separating in the mid-to-late points of most sets.
17:00 Liberec vs Lausanne UC
Liberec
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.10
Win
5
Liberec at home should be the more reliable team in first contact, and that’s often the separator in Challenge Cup ties. Lausanne can compete if they serve aggressively and convert transition chances, but that style also brings error risk. I expect Liberec to be cleaner over four sets and close the match with a steadier side-out.
17:00 Lvi Praha vs Berlin Volleys
Berlin Volleys
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.28
Win
14
Berlin are usually the more physical team at the net and the more efficient team in first-sideout, which matters a lot away from home. If they stabilize reception, their offense should be too fast and varied for Praha to block cleanly. Praha’s best path is to bomb serves and drag Berlin into long rallies. But Berlin’s depth should tell over three sets.
16:30 PAOK vs Pafiakos Pafos
PAOK
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.17
Win
9
PAOK’s typical path to wins in Europe is serve pressure plus a strong block-defense shape, and that tends to play up at home. Pafiakos can keep it close if they pass well and avoid giving up streaks of “free points,” but that’s hard in Thessaloniki. I’d back PAOK to control the match flow in sets 2??"4.
16:00 BC Dubai vs Fenerbahce
Fenerbahce
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.61
Lose
-50
Dubai already proved they can hurt Fener (they’re 1??"0 H2H after a 93??"69 win in Istanbul), but repeating that kind of shooting game is tough against the deepest roster in the competition. Fener’s defensive physicality and half-court execution usually travel, and Dubai’s margin gets thinner if any key scorers are less than 100%. Still, if Dubai turn it into a pace-and-threes night, the upset route is real.
15:30 Joburg Super Kings vs Paarl Royals T20
Paarl Royals
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.30
Void
0
Paarl have the cleaner recent form line (3 wins from 4, including a 3-game win streak), while JSK have been more up-and-down across five matches. The head-to-head edge also leans to the Royals (4 wins vs. 2 for JSK in SA20 meetings), which matters when styles clash in tight late overs. On a Wanderers pitch that generally favors batting, I trust the Royals’ combo of Miller’s finishing and Baartman/Mujeeb’s wicket-taking more than JSK’s bowling to win key moments.
13:20 1:20 Clonmel
Charlus
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.13
Lose
-50
Charlus is my pick because he’s still relatively low-mileage over hurdles and arrives off a strong second at Punchestown, which looks like the best recent piece of form in this tiny field. On heavy ground, that proven staying/handling factor matters a lot more than raw speed. The progressive Santo Sospir is the obvious threat, but I’ll trust Charlus to be the most reliable finisher in the conditions.
13:10 1:10 Ffos Las
Giantsgrave
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.62
Lose
-50
Giantsgrave gets the nod because Skelton novices often jump forward from run 1 to run 2, and the return to more testing conditions should suit his profile. Off The Jury sets a strong standard (and was unlucky to bump into a high-class one at Ascot), so this is not a gimme. Off The Jury sets a strong standard (and was unlucky to bump into a high-class one at Ascot), so this is not a gimme.
13:00 1:00 Taunton
Calvino
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.75
Win
87
Calvino is the straightforward pick: Timeform’s favourite and the analysts' verdict in a small-field novice hurdle on good ground, which often rewards the most “ready-made” profile. With Paul Nicholls training and Harry Cobden riding, you’re getting a top combo that typically executes well in these conditions. Bright Legend and Kapitein Kool look like the main pace/ability dangers on the market, but I’m backing Calvino’s overall solidity to win.
12:50 12:50 Clonmel
My Life Be Like
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.00
Lose
-50
My Life Be Like appeals most on heavy (soft-to-heavy) because he comes here off a fairly useful 4th in a big-field hunter chase at Down Royal and has proven pointing-winning substance. Timeform also makes him the verdict despite Willie Mullins’ debutant I Walked The Line being the market favourite, which tells you the form book is respected here. If it turns into a stamina/ground test late, I trust My Life Be Like to keep finding more than most.
12:40 12:40 Ffos Las
Bossman Jack
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.20
Win
60
Bossman Jack is the one I want on soft ground because he shaped with plenty of promise on his hurdles debut in a strong Warwick maiden and is expected to take a clear step forward second time out. The main danger is the penalised Starzand, unbeaten in points/under Rules, but I still side with Bossman Jack’s upside.
12:00 Dhaka Capitals vs Sylhet Titans T20
Sylhet Titans
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.83
Win
41
Sylhet come in with the better overall tournament position and momentum (they’ve banked more points than Dhaka so far). They also already edged Dhaka in the earlier head-to-head (won by 6), and their squad depth (Moeen Ali, Miraz, Omarzai, plus Amir at the death) looks more balanced than Dhaka’s reliance on a few batters to go big.
11:21 11:21 Oxford
Mylane Curly
Daily Races
50 WIN
@3.25
Win
112
Mylane Curly is the Timeform verdict, and the clock backs it up: 15.18 best is the standout figure in this D2 sprint. He doesn’t need to lead miles clear??"if he’s prominent into the bend, his pace can do the separating. Savana Sakari (ultra-consistent and 15.41 last) and Jurassic Joker (15.37 last) are the ones most likely to make him earn it.
11:19 11:19 Sheffield
Slippy Daniel
Daily Races
50 WIN
@3.75
Void
0
Slippy Daniel is the Timeform selection, and he’s shown he can win at this level recently (form includes multiple 1s), so the upside is there if he hits the lids. This race has a few inconsistent last runs (notably Timeless Truth and Vinnies Star), so a “clean-trip” runner can steal it even without the very fastest best time. The main dangers are Julies Own (coming off a win with a sharp 30.06 last) and Timeless Truth on peak ability (29.98 best) if he bounces back.
11:03 11:03 Sheffield
Drumdoit Belle
Daily Races
50 WIN
@3.50
Void
0
Drumdoit Belle gets the nod as the Timeform verdict. She also owns the fastest best (16.67) in the field, which is a big edge over 280m. Her recent string of seconds (form 66222-) suggests she’s repeatedly in the right position and just needs a clean break to convert. Biggest threats are Russanda Sox (very close on the clock) and Epic Estimate if they ping and grab the inside first.
10:48 10:48 Oxford
Maggies Dream
Daily Races
50 WIN
@4.00
Lose
-50
Maggie's Dream is the Timeform analyst pick and arrives off a win (formline finishing with a “1”), which is usually the best sign at A1 level. Bertie's Decision (quick best) and Ernie Webb Mate are the dangers if they lead early and control the rail.
10:32 10:32 Oxford
Savana Beth
Daily Races
50 WIN
@2.25
Lose
-50
Savana Beth is the Timeform verdict, and her overall pace profile fits a D3 sprint if she comes away cleanly from Trap 3. The main dangers are Savana Tir Nanog (in form and a comparable best) and Selker Bay Billy, who can punish any early crowding.
Subtotal-63
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