Kupoa10
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Kupoa10's Tips History
13 January 2026
17:00 Budowlani Lodz W vs Benfica W
Budowlani Lodz W
Win Match
50 WIN
@-714
Win
7
Budowlani should be more physical at the net and more consistent in serve??"receive at home, which matters a lot in Champions League group play. Benfica can frustrate with pace and crafty serving patterns, but if ?ód? passes well, they’ll control side-out and block/defense sequences. I like the Polish side to pull away in the mid-sets with stronger terminal hitting.
01:15 HOU Texans @ PIT Steelers
HOU Texans
Money Line
50 WIN
@-156
Win
32
Houston arrive scorching hot on a nine-game win streak, and that kind of momentum usually shows up first in early-down efficiency and pass-rush energy. Pittsburgh’s home primetime aura is real, but the Texans’ season profile suggests they travel well if they get to 20+ points. With the Steelers also managing minor availability issues (e.g., Jaylen Warren illness) and Houston entering as a slight betting favorite, I’ll lean Texans to finally break their road-playoff hoodoo.
Subtotal39
12 January 2026
01:15 LA Chargers @ NE Patriots
NE Patriots
Money Line
50 WIN
@-188
Win
26
New England are 14??"3 for a reason: they’ve been elite on both sides of the ball and are a much tougher out at home. The Pats’ main concern is their O-line health/illness situation, but getting key defenders back in the mix (e.g., Spillane full, Landry trending upward) raises their “stop-rate” ceiling. The Chargers can win if they create chaos with pressure and turn it into a late-field-position game, but I trust New England’s structure to close.
Subtotal26
11 January 2026
21:30 SF 49ers @ PHI Eagles
PHI Eagles
Money Line
50 WIN
@-227
Lose
-50
San Francisco’s injury situation is the headline. Fred Warner is on IR, and both Trent Williams and George Kittle are listed as questionable, which can snowball against an Eagles front in a physical playoff game. Philly getting Lane Johnson back to practice is a huge stabilizer for their offense, especially in pass protection. If the Eagles win the trenches and avoid giveaways, I like them to control tempo and wear down a banged-up 49ers defense.
18:00 BUF Bills @ JAX Jaguars
JAX Jaguars
Money Line
50 WIN
@+100
Lose
-50
Jacksonville’s home edge is real (13??"4 overall, 7??"2 at home), and the analytics lean slightly their way. This is also a sneaky head-to-head “psychology” spot: the Jags have beaten the Bills in both prior AFC Wild Card meetings. Buffalo can absolutely win behind Josh Allen, but with key pieces on the injury report (like Dalton Kincaid questionable), I’ll take Jacksonville to be a bit cleaner on home turf.
17:30 Saracens v Toulouse
Toulouse
To Win
50 WIN
@-555
Lose
-50
Pool 2 is insanely tight (both on 5 points), so this feels like a “win your home game or suffer” spot. Saracens’ route is set-piece accuracy plus defensive suffocation, but Toulouse’s forward pack and phase rhythm can outlast almost anyone if they get quick ball. I’ll take Toulouse in a tight one because their attacking ceiling is higher if the game opens even slightly.
17:00 Corona Brasov W vs Jeanne d'Arc Dijon W
Corona Brasov (W)
Money Line
50 WIN
@-555
Lose
-50
Corona are one of the seeded teams for the group phase, and Romanian home games can be a genuine edge when the crowd gets involved and the tempo turns emotional. Dijon have the higher recent “ceiling” (EHF Finals 2025 participants), so this is a real test. They also came through qualification in a very tight tie, which hints they’re not totally bulletproof away from home. I’ll side with Corona to win a tight, defence-first opener at home.
17:00 Nykobing FH W vs Esztergomi KC W
Nykobing FH (W)
Money Line
50 WIN
@-200
Win
25
Esztergom are the European Cup debutants, but they bring serious, experienced names (e.g., Zita Szucsánszki, Szandra Sz?'ll?'si-Zácsik), so they won’t be overawed. Still, Nykøbing’s recent Champions League exposure gives them a higher “European-game” floor, especially in decision-making and defensive sequencing. I’m leaning Nykøbing at home to be a bit cleaner in the closing possessions of each half.
15:15 Bordeaux v Northampton Saints
Bordeaux
To Win
50 WIN
@-499
Win
10
This is the headline Pool 4 clash: both are 10 points, both unbeaten, so it’s a real measuring stick. Northampton can absolutely score in bursts, but UBB at home tend to generate huge momentum swings off scrum/lineout launch and fast ruck ball. If Bordeaux win the gain-line early and force Saints into exit pressure, I see UBB taking it by a score.
15:00 HSG Blomberg Lippe W vs Chambray Touraine W
HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W)
Money Line
50 WIN
@-333
Lose
-50
Blomberg were an EHF Finals 2025 team, and that recent deep-run experience usually shows in how they manage momentum swings at home. Chambray can absolutely score in bursts, but away in Germany the margins are often about errors and defensive discipline. I’ll take Blomberg’s defensive structure and home energy to grind out the key runs.
15:00 Mosonmagyarovari KC W vs Thuringer HC W
Thuringer HC (W)
Money Line
50 WIN
@-200
Lose
-50
Thüringer are the defending champions, and they’ve looked sharp after the break with three straight away wins in the Bundesliga ??" a great sign for a road opener. Mosonmagyaróvár are experienced at this stage and can make it messy with aggressive defence, but Thüringer’s ability to win “ugly” games travels well. If Thüringer’s backcourt gets clean looks off second phase, I see them edging it.
15:00 Odense Handbold W vs CSM Bucuresti W
Odense Handbold (W)
Money Line
50 WIN
@-454
Lose
-50
Odense are second (13 points) and on a four-game win streak, including a win over CSM earlier in the group (and they just lifted the Danish Cup). CSM are a dangerous “ceiling” team and get a new-coach bounce with Bojana Popovi? taking her first Champions League match in charge, but that transition can also bring volatility. With Odense owning one of the best attacks in the competition, I’ll back them to out-execute CSM in the key late-set moments.
13:00 Borussia Dortmund W vs Team Esbjerg W
Team Esbjerg (W)
Money Line
50 WIN
@-370
Win
14
Esbjerg are fourth with 9 points and already beat Dortmund by seven in the reverse fixture, with Filter in goal and Reistad controlling the scoring load. Dortmund can make it uncomfortable at home, but Esbjerg’s star power and structure travel well, especially if they’re winning the goalkeeper battle again. I see Esbjerg pulling away in the second half.
13:00 CS Rapid Bucuresti W vs Tertnes W
CS Rapid Bucuresti (W)
Money Line
50 WIN
@-666
Lose
-50
Rapid have recent Champions League??"level experience, and at home they’re usually comfortable turning games into a structured 6v6 grind. Tertnes are seeded for the group phase and have real scoring punch. Henriette Espetvedt Eggen has been a high-volume finisher, so this won’t be easy. I’m leaning Rapid because home pressure and their ability to manage tempo should matter in the final 10 minutes.
13:00 Harlequins v Stormers
Stormers
To Win
50 WIN
@+125
Lose
-50
Stormers are co-leaders in Pool 3 with 9 points (+30), while Quins sit on 6??"so Quins need this. Stormers have been the more complete team so far. Stormers are co-leaders in Pool 3 with 9 points (+30), while Quins sit on 6??"so Quins need this. Stormers have been the more complete team so far.
13:00 Podravka Vegeta W vs Brest W
Brest (W)
Money Line
50 WIN
@-625
Win
8
Brest are league leaders with seven wins and one loss and have been one of the best attacks in the competition. Podravka are sixth and will miss Katarina Pandza (52 goals) due to injury. Brest also won the reverse fixture 33??"25 and arrive with a deep roster full of recent World Championship medallists, which matters after a long break.
13:00 Toulon v Munster
Toulon
To Win
50 WIN
@-499
Win
10
Pool 2 is insanely tight (both on 5 points), so this feels like a “win your home game or suffer” spot. Toulon at Stade Mayol can suffocate teams with physicality and territory, and Munster’s path is usually accuracy plus ruthless red-zone efficiency. I’m leaning Toulon because I expect them to win more of the contact and field-position exchanges over 80 minutes.
06:50 B Agnoletto vs B Quick
B Quick
Matchups
50 WIN
@+125
Lose
-50
If it becomes a reduced-group finale after the late climbs, Howson’s experience reading the decisive moves should put him ahead. Agnoletto looks more sprint-skewed on paper, and if the race gets whittled down on the repeated climbs, that can leave him chasing rather than dictating.
06:50 C Harper vs O Bleddyn
C Harper
Matchups
50 WIN
@-149
Lose
-50
Bleddyn is clearly flying right now (he just podiumed the elite TT at these championships), so his engine is not in question. But the road race is built around repeated climbs and a nasty late pinch near the finish, and Harper is explicitly flagged as a genuine road-race factor on this course. If it comes down to who can follow or launch the decisive move on the final Malcolm Street effort, I trust Harper to handle that better than a more TT/engine-oriented rider.
06:50 D Howson vs Zac Marriage
D Howson
Matchups
50 WIN
@-227
Win
22
Howson brings proven WorldTour/ProTeam-level race craft and endurance, which is usually decisive on a circuit that’s attritional lap after lap. Marriage is a talented younger rider on a development setup, but this kind of national champs course often punishes small positioning errors and inefficient efforts. If it becomes a reduced-group finale after the late climbs, Howson’s experience reading the decisive moves should put him ahead.
06:50 J Plowright vs S Welsford
J Plowright
Matchups
50 WIN
@-303
Win
17
Both are sprint-leaning riders on the start list, but this circuit’s repeated climbing and the late punch make it much less of a “pure bunch sprint” than it looks. Welsford is highlighted more as a criterium weapon and a pure fast finisher, which can be exposed if the race turns into repeated selections on Malcolm/William Street. Plowright’s profile shows a bit more all-round resilience alongside his sprint, so I trust him slightly more to still be there when it matters.
06:50 T Saunders vs K Richards
K Richards
Matchups
50 WIN
@+110
Win
55
Richards has a much more rounded profile (TT, hills, and sprint contributions), which tends to translate into simply “lasting longer” on a demanding nationals circuit. Saunders’ available profile signal is thinner and doesn’t scream late-race punch or climbing durability, which is what you need here. Unless Saunders lands the perfect break that stays away, Richards is the safer bet to finish ahead over the full distance.
01:00 GB Packers @ CHI Bears
GB Packers
Money Line
50 WIN
@-109
Lose
-50
Even as the lower seed, Green Bay’s profile suggests they can win this kind of game, and ESPN’s matchup model slightly favors them. If the Packers can survive the Bears’ run game early and force longer third downs, I like their chances to steal it late.
Subtotal-439
10 January 2026
21:30 LA Rams @ CAR Panthers
LA Rams
Money Line
50 WIN
@-588
Win
9
The Rams have been the far better team over the season (12??"5 vs. 8??"9), and they’ll be motivated after Carolina’s Week 13 upset. The Panthers’ path is another turnover-heavy, run-first script like the regular-season win, but that’s hard to repeat against a McVay offense that can adjust quickly.
20:00 Scarlets v Pau
Scarlets
To Win
50 WIN
@-312
Lose
-50
I’ll take Scarlets at Parc y Scarlets because home energy and familiarity tend to decide these nervous games. If they keep errors down and don’t give Pau easy maul penalties, they can edge a low-scoring one.
17:30 Leinster v La Rochelle
Leinster
To Win
50 WIN
@-999
Win
5
Leinster are unbeaten in Pool 3 (9 points, +25), and this is a huge leverage spot with La Rochelle sitting on 5 points trying to stay in touch. Leinster also get a timely boost with Robbie Henshaw fit and available, which matters in the midfield collision game La Rochelle bring. Leinster also get a timely boost with Robbie Henshaw fit and available, which matters in the midfield collision game La Rochelle bring.
17:30 Sale Sharks v Sharks
Sale Sharks
To Win
50 WIN
@-1250
Win
4
This one screams “tight margins.” Sale are on 6 points, Sharks on 5 in Pool 1, so it’s basically a mini play-in for momentum. I lean Sale at home because their kick-chase and defensive line speed can make it miserable for travelling sides if the weather or handling gets messy. If Sale win the aerial battle and force the Sharks to exit under pressure, I see them grinding it out.
17:00 Herning Ikast W vs FTC W
FTC (W)
Money Line
50 WIN
@-111
Win
45
These sides are level on 10 points, and FTC already showed they can win the matchup in the reverse leg (27??"24) with a big goalkeeping performance. Ikast are improving and home court helps, but FTC’s ability to win ugly (like their one-point win over Brest right before the break) gives them the higher “close-game” floor. If FTC keep Ikast off easy transition looks, I like them to steal it late.
17:00 Larvik W vs CS Baia Mare W
Larvik (W)
Money Line
50 WIN
@-249
Lose
-50
Larvik are unbeaten and top of the Norwegian league, and they’ve already played (and won) matches in 2026. Baia Mare are starting their year with a very tough road spot. Larvik also have positive European history vs. Baia Mare (they won all four of their past Champions League meetings), which matters in a new group-phase opener. If Larvik’s defence can force Baia Mare into rushed shots, the home side’s rhythm should take over.
17:00 Viborg HK W vs Zaglebie Lubin W
Viborg HK (W)
Money Line
50 WIN
@-312
Win
16
Viborg’s European pedigree is obvious (multiple-time Champions League winners historically), and that kind of club DNA tends to show in first-round “must be professional” games. Zaglebie are experienced in Europe too, but their ceiling usually depends on winning long defensive stretches ??" and that’s harder away in Denmark. I’ll back Viborg’s home control and cleaner late-set execution to be the separator.
16:30 Aras Kargo W vs Nilufer Bld W
Nilufer Bld W
Win Match
50 WIN
@-124
Lose
-50
This is the most competitive matchup: both are on the same points total, and it feels like a playoff-position swing game. I’ll lean Nilufer to grind it out if they stabilize first contact and avoid giving Aras free transition looks.
16:00 Galatasaray W vs Kuzeyboru W
Galatasaray W
Win Match
50 WIN
@-1428
Win
4
I’ll lean Nilüfer to grind it out if they stabilize first contact and avoid giving Aras free transition looks. The talent depth (e.g., Myriam Sylla, Kaja Grobelna, Alexia Car?u?u, plus veteran setting options) should show across long stretches, especially if Galatasaray win the serve??'receive battle. Kuzeyboru will need a “perfect-efficiency” night and big scoring runs on serve to stay level??"possible in patches, but hard over a full match.
15:15 Clermont v Glasgow Warriors
Glasgow Warriors
To Win
50 WIN
@-303
Win
17
Glasgow are 2/2 with 10 points and top Pool 1, while Clermont are winless on 0??"hard to ignore. Clermont at home can absolutely lift (Marcel-Michelin is a different animal), but Glasgow’s current identity??"maul efficiency and sharp edge play??"travels well when they’re confident. If Glasgow’s set piece holds up, I think they control enough possession to come out on top.
15:00 Eczacibasi W vs Ilbank W
Eczacibasi W
Win Match
50 WIN
@-5000
Win
1
Eczac?ba?? are chasing the leaders near the top, while ?lbank are down in the relegation fight zone ??" so the expectation is a comfortable home win. ?lbank’s only real path is to serve aggressively and hope to disrupt Eczac?ba??’s rhythm, but sustaining that pressure for three sets is a tall order.
15:00 Metz W vs Gyori Eto W
Gyori Eto (W)
Money Line
50 WIN
@-138
Win
36
Gyor are still unbeaten (8/8), and they’ve had the best “two-way” profile so far, leading the competition in both attack and defensive efficiency. Metz are strong at home, and this is their chance for revenge after losing the reverse fixture 31??"27. But Gyor’s depth, plus the Sako factor in goal, makes them hard to outlast over 60 minutes. If Gyor keep Metz’s pace under control and force longer possessions, I see them edging another tight one.
15:00 VFL Oldenburg W vs Lokomotiva Zagreb W
VFL Oldenburg (W)
Money Line
50 WIN
@-117
Lose
-50
Oldenburg’s profile screams “home favourite.” They can play fast, punish turnovers, and they’ve already shown huge scoring output in qualification, including a massive aggregate margin. Lokomotiva have plenty of European know-how (they’ve even won the old Challenge Cup), but away trips to Germany often become a pace and physicality problem. If Oldenburg win the goalkeeper and transition battle, they should create a decisive run in the middle third of the match.
12:00 Goztepe W vs Aydin B Sehir Bld W
Aydin B Sehir Bld W
Win Match
50 WIN
@+110
Lose
-50
This one is much tighter on paper, but Ayd?n have simply collected more points so far and look a touch more stable week to week. In these lower-table matchups, the deciding factor is often who gifts fewer points in reception/transition, and Ayd?n’s profile suggests the higher floor. If Goztepe can ride home energy and win the serve-receive battle early, it can flip ??" but I’ll lean Aydin to edge it in the key end-of-set moments.
11:00 THY Spor Kulubu W vs Fenerbahce W
Fenerbahce W
Win Match
50 WIN
@-3333
Lose
-50
Fenerbahçe come in as clear contenders near the top of the table, while THY sit mid-pack, so the “baseline level” gap is big before you even get into matchups. THY’s best route is to slow the game down with side-out stability and get their middles involved (e.g., Karmen Aksoy), but that’s hard if Fener’s serve pressure is landing.
08:15 Melbourne Renegades vs Melbourne Stars T20
Melbourne Renegades
Win Match
50 WIN
@+100
Lose
-50
Renegades have momentum (two wins in a row), and they’ve already nicked a derby against the Stars recently, which matters in these high-variance rivalry games. The Stars are still higher on the ladder, but they’re trying to halt a three-game losing streak. If that early wobble returns, the Renegades can pounce again. I’m leaning Renegades because the current trendline is pointing their way.
06:00 Western Australia W vs South Australia W One Day Match
South Australia W
Win Match
50 WIN
@-200
Lose
-50
They’ve already beaten SA at the WACA by 52 runs this week. That kind of fresh head-to-head is a big psychological edge in a quick turnaround. SA’s issue was a damaging middle-overs stretch while chasing, and unless they tighten that up, WA’s bowling looks well suited to controlling the innings again. Home conditions plus recent proof of concept push me to WA.
05:00 Brisbane Heat vs Sydney Thunder T20
Brisbane Heat
Win Match
50 WIN
@-133
Win
38
The Heat have been perfect at home in Queensland this season, and that familiarity usually matters at the Gabba. Thunder’s broader form is rough (only one win in their last eight), even though that lone win was against Brisbane earlier this season, so the Heat should be properly warned. Still, if Brisbane bat even decently, their home edge should swing it.
04:55 Canterbury vs Auckland T20
Auckland
Win Match
50 WIN
@-109
Lose
-50
Auckland come in with obvious confidence and firepower??"Phillips and Jacobs just showed how quickly they can take a game away. Their squad looks built to pressure attacks from ball one (Chapman/Solia/Phillips/Jacobs), and Johal’s wicket-taking helps them control key overs. Canterbury at Hagley is never easy, but Auckland’s ceiling feels higher right now.
01:10 Canterbury W vs Auckland W T20
Auckland W
Win Match
50 WIN
@-175
Win
28
Auckland’s squad has more proven T20 batting depth (Down/Green/Halliday), and they tend to match up well when they can keep the run rate ticking through the middle overs. Canterbury needs a near-perfect powerplay with the ball to avoid chasing the game early. If it becomes a “one big partnership” match, I trust Auckland to produce it more.
Subtotal-247
09 January 2026
20:00 Castres v Bath
Bath
To Win
50 WIN
@-277
Win
18
Pool context is razor-thin, but Bath sit top of Pool 2 and come in with the slightly better early-season European output. Castres at Stade Pierre-Fabre can turn it into a slow, set-piece-and-territory fight. Yet Bath’s ability to score when they get front-foot ball gives them a higher ceiling. If Bath win the kicking/discipline battle and don’t overplay in Castres’ half, I think they edge it late.
20:00 Edinburgh v Gloucester
Edinburgh
To Win
50 WIN
@-1999
Win
3
Gloucester have enough power to punish mistakes, but Edinburgh’s best version is very “stadium-proof”: pressure defense, smart kicking, and taking points when offered. If Edinburgh start well and keep Gloucester out of broken-field transitions, I like the home side to squeeze a narrow win.
19:00 7:00 Wolverhampton
Star Of Mali
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+275
Void
0
Star Of Mali has proven C&D form (including a win at Southwell), and his latest run is better than it looks, as he wasn’t ideally positioned when things started happening. If he gets a smoother passage, he’s the one most likely to finish strongly up the straight. Al Rufaa is dangerous with first-time cheekpieces, while Revolutionise arrives in form after winning last week, so the pace and positioning battle will matter.
17:30 5:30 Wolverhampton
Carbine Harvester
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+550
Void
0
Carbine Harvester has been ultra-reliable on the all-weather, rarely finishing outside the first three in AW handicaps. That consistency is gold in a competitive sprint. He can be forgiven a narrow Kempton near miss and looks well set to get compensation if he gets a clean run at the leaders. Kullazain (recent C&D winner) is the big threat, with Zoulu Chief and Coachello also firmly in the mix.
17:00 5:00 Wolverhampton
Zoulu Warrior
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+225
Void
0
Zoulu Warrior arrives in proper form and is chasing a hat-trick after improving again to win over this C&D 13 days ago. He looks the type who’s thriving on the Tapeta and can still find a bit more off his current mark. Invincible Melody is the main danger after a good Southwell second, but Zoulu Warrior’s momentum makes him the one to beat.
16:35 4:35 Newcastle
Auntie Jo
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+900
Lose
-50
Auntie Jo is still a maiden, but she shaped better than the bare result when returning from a break over 6f here last week. The drop back to 5f looks like a positive. If she steps forward fitness-wise, she can travel closer to the pace and finish the race off more sharply. Little Mi Mi is an obvious danger after winning on New Year’s Day and only going up 5 lb, but Auntie Jo offers the bigger “improver” angle.
16:25 4:25 Wolverhampton
Cargin Bhui
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 1.91 on 09/01 at 09:040.10 deduction for Brave Empire@9.00 withdrawn at 10:07R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 0.91 x (1-0.10) = 1.82
@-109
Void
0
Cargin Bhui has been frustrating, but he looked unlucky not to win over this exact C&D last week after being forced wide and giving up first run. Back in a similar setup, a slightly cleaner trip should be enough to get him over the line. Waistcoat and Amerjeet rate the main threats if they get the race run to suit.
15:30 Durbans Super Giants vs Sunrisers Eastern Cape T20
Sunrisers Eastern Cape
Win Match
50 WIN
@-111
Void
0
Form and table position heavily favor SEC (perfect start so far), while Durban have struggled to string results together. The matchup history is also lopsided; SEC have dominated this pairing. Quinton de Kock’s current form gives SEC a reliable engine up top. At Kingsmead, if dew makes chasing easier, SEC’s clarity in roles still makes them my pick either way.
14:27 2:27 Newcastle
Onyeisi
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+350
Lose
-50
Onyeisi is Timeform’s selection because he’s improved since stepping up in trip with blinkers??"winning at Chelmsford and then backing it up with another solid run at Wolverhampton. This further step into 1m2f on Tapeta looks like it can bring out even more, and a repeat of that recent form should be enough in a small field. Trust No One is the market favourite, but if Onyeisi gets into a rhythm up the straight, he’s the one I’d want finishing best.
14:15 2:13 Naas
Hartford
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+225
Lose
-50
Hartford gets the vote on debut because he comes from a bumper/jumps family (half-siblings include Handstands and Kilconny Bridge), and the Elliott yard has a strong record in this sphere. In a 2m INH Flat on yielding ground, that blend of pedigree, stamina, and “ready-to-go” yard intent is a big deal. Quiryn looks a credible danger on breeding, but Hartford feels the most likely to be professional first time.
14:05 2:02 Exeter
Wicked Thoughts
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+650
Lose
-50
This is a fascinating novice handicap chase. Timeform sides with Wicked Thoughts after he impressed with his jumping when winning on his chase debut at Taunton. With Harry Cobden riding for Paul Nicholls, you’d expect another efficient, pressure-building round of jumping??"exactly what’s needed on a testing Exeter track. The market likes El Granjero, but if Wicked Thoughts repeats that fencing fluency, he can outclass them late.
14:05 2:05 Meydan
Brotherly Love
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+225
Win
112
Brotherly Love is the betting forecast favourite and, crucially for a 1m dirt maiden, he’s already proven on the surface. He chased home Devon Island in both of his dirt starts. That “knocking on the door” profile often wins these Meydan maidens when the pace is honest and the race becomes a stamina test from the 600m. With another forward run expected, he looks the safest to finally get off the mark.
13:57 1:57 Newcastle
Asia Force
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@SP
Lose
-50
Asia Force is a Frankel colt making his debut in a small four-runner novice. Timeform’s angle is simple: he’s bred to be smart and doesn’t need to be anything special to win if the current standard-setter is already looking exposed. If he’s even reasonably streetwise, the pedigree/upside edge should decide it.
13:30 Sri Lanka vs Pakistan 2nd T20 Match
Pakistan
Win Match
50 WIN
@-133
Void
0
Pakistan lead 1??"0 after a controlled chase of 129 with 20 balls to spare, and the overall feel is that their batting is handling the conditions more cleanly. Sri Lanka got starts in the first game but didn’t convert them into a defendable total, so the pressure is on their middle order to add substance. If it’s another par-or-below-par pitch, Pakistan’s ability to stay calm in chases makes them the safer side again.
13:00 Noakhali Express vs Rangpur Riders T20
Rangpur Riders
Win Match
50 WIN
@-333
Lose
-50
Noakhali are winless and stuck at the bottom, while Rangpur have won 4 of 5 and look far more settled in both phases. Rangpur’s batting core (Malan, Mayers, Litton, Mahmudullah) gives them a much higher floor, and Mustafizur adds control and a wicket threat when teams try to accelerate. Unless Noakhali’s Nabi- or Soumya-led top order finally fires and they win the key matchups early, Rangpur’s balance should tell.
11:27 11:27 Central Park
Harlequin Swift
Daily Races
50 WIN
@+150
Win
75
Harlequin Swift has the formline you want at this grade, and his latest 30.44 last suggests he’s holding his level. Steeple Rd Sarah is the obvious danger (close in the forecast and very consistent), and her 30.11 best says she can absolutely win if she gets first run. Teeple Rd Sarah is the obvious danger (close in the forecast and very consistent), and her 30.11 best says she can absolutely win if she gets first run.
11:09 11:09 Central Park
Olives Patchwork
Daily Races
50 WIN
@-109
Lose
-50
Olives Patchwork is the “safer” play per the analyst verdict, with a solid 16.62 best and a sharp recent run (16.73 last) that puts her right on the line for D2. Silver Medal and Hollyoak Malaki both have faster peak times (16.55/16.57 best), so this is a “positioning + first bend” race.
11:04 11:04 Harlow
Minnies Daria
Daily Races
50 WIN
@+150
Lose
-50
Fawn Tyre is the main chaser if she pings (Timeform’s #2), while the Salems pair have “unknown ceiling” angles given the lack of recent public times. Munie Memories is the danger on raw recent timing (27.16 last) and consistency, so if Daria misses the kick, this could flip quickly.
10:48 10:48 Harlow
Moss Row Mistral
Daily Races
50 WIN
@+275
Lose
-50
Over 238m, it’s all about the break. Front-runners are heavily favoured, and Moss Row Mistral has the standout speed figures with a 15.97 best and a strong 16.01 last. Timeform also notes he’s been running well and makes him the marginal pick, which fits the clock edge. Fawn Tyre is the main chaser if she pings, while the Salems pair have “unknown ceiling” angles given the lack of recent public times.
10:32 10:32 Harlow
Skinny Pete
Daily Races
50 WIN
@+400
Lose
-50
Skinny Pete looks the best on the card, but this 415m trip at Harlow strongly rewards quick starters, so he’ll likely need a clean early run to avoid traffic. He has a sharp 27.06 best and solid recent form, while Aurora Slippy is a big danger off a win-streak profile and has the best recent momentum in the field. Kerabellec Nell (26.96 best) is the other clear threat if she hits the first bend in front.
03:25 Wellington vs Otago T20
Wellington
Win Match
50 WIN
@-149
Lose
-50
The ladder says both sides have been inconsistent, but Wellington at home is a meaningful separator, especially if the Basin offers extra bounce for seamers/all-rounders. Firebirds’ core (Nick Kelly, Jesse Tashkoff, Logan van Beek) gives them multiple ways to build and finish an innings, while Otago’s best path is usually to win the powerplay and hold on. If it’s a typical Basin game (new-ball movement and value for hitting straight), I’d lean Firebirds in a close one??"more likely a “last 3 overs” type finish than a blowout.
Subtotal-342
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