4:15 Southwell Tips

Speedy horse, is proven on the all weather and lines up with cheek-pieces on - which should be a positive for him. With Alec Voikhansly booked for the in form O'Meara team it should be a close one.

5/14 here, beaten under a length on 21st September after a month layoff. A clearer passage would, I feel, have won. Turned out a month later, I thought it was a good thing, but the betting told its own story. Huge drifter 5/1 out to 18/1, quite simply never put in the race to challenge. Been dropped a further pounds by the handicapper and using Jack takes off a further 3 pounds. Think 6 furlongs is his trip. He's also engaged at Newcastle later in the week. 7/2 is a fair price. I envisaged around 11/4 - 3/1. There's been little money for him when markets opened. Like his last race, the betting will be informative. We'll know if this is 'a going day.'

Extremely competitive contest for a 5-runner race, but the outsider of the party, Until Dawn, looks like potential value. A couple of no-shows either side of a 6-month break, but with excuses (blew the sharp bend at Wolverhampton last time). Shay Farmer takes off a useful 5 lbs here and should strip fitter. Form running over 5f in a straight line on the AW is 112, hood back on. Looks overpriced at long odds compared to rivals.