Uganda v Somalia Tips

If the Uganda selection does not beat the Somalia selection today, it would be a first-class surprise. The Uganda selection is in second place and the Somalia selection is last with only one point won.

Somalia managed a draw against Guinea 3 games ago in which they kept a clean sheet. Uganda are the better team here, but if Somalia can keep it solid at the back like they did against Guinea, it is worth taking a chance on at those odds.

Somalia has yet to record a win in Group G, with only 1 point. With Uganda having won 4-0 over Mozambique, it might likely be overconfident. So, I expect at least Somalia to step up here, for at least a win. I would consider a win, though very risky for Somalia.

Uganda have shown consistent attacking strength, especially against lower-ranked opponents, while Somalia’s defensive struggles often lead to conceding heavily. With Uganda likely to dominate and Somalia still capable of creating chances, this match strongly points toward over 2.5 goals being scored.

Somalia will be hard-pressed to even score, let alone defeat Uganda on their home turf. So I will back NO BTS for this game.

Uganda's defensive platform under Paul Put looks stable: four clean sheets in five, only 0.6 GA recently, and the same core XI expected after dismantling Mozambique 4-0. The return of Omedi adds depth to a frontline already producing through Okello and Mato, while there are no fresh injuries reported. Somalia's attack is the group's weakest: four scoreless outings in their last five and a 0-3 defeat to Guinea right here in Kampala underline limited threat creation. With Uganda still fighting for the playoff route and Somalia eliminated, the intensity gap should be tangible. Market consensus aligns: home win and BTTS: No are strongly favored across books, and win to nil captures that edge better than a short 1x2. With home support at Namboole and mild evening conditions, the clean-sheet win profile fits both form and context.