Fluminense v Mirassol Tips

Fluminense’s xG edge 1.65 vs 1.35 and higher shot count plus dominant home possession make a narrow win likely despite missing Everaldo’s finishing threat.

Fluminense lost 2-0 to Ceará in the previous round, marking their third defeat in their last six league games. Mirassol have secured four wins and one draw in their last five rounds. They also won 2-1 in their first meeting with Fluminense this season, so the visitors come into this match with a psychological advantage over their opponents. Mirassol are three places ahead of Fluminense in the Serie A table, holding a nine-point lead over the home side.

The last 3 games played between them offered over 2 goals easily each time. Today will also be over because both teams have a good attack this season, with more than 29 goals easily scored.

Fluminense, despite their offensive flair, are prone to defensive errors, while Mirassol is a capable counter-attacking side. This combination makes it very likely that both teams will successfully manage to get on the scoresheet.

I'll take the hosts to edge this. Mirassol have won 4 out of the last 5 and have a chance, but at home, I'll take Fluminense.