AdamCox13579 expert Horse Racing Tips
57% strike rate on Horse Racing in the last 6 months
- Annual Profit
- 227
- Annual Strike Rate
- 43 %
- 30 Days Profit
- 50
- 7 Days Profit
- 50
12 Months Profit Trend
Mar 25 - Mar 26
- Highest ProfitMar 25
- 15.9
- Lowest ProfitMar 26
- -
Daily Profit
Last 23 Days
- Highest ProfitMar 10
- 5
- Lowest ProfitMar 09
- -
AdamCox13579’s Tips
Today Tips
7 / 93 Win Tips8%7 experts
15 comments19 / 96 EW Tips20%3 / 22 NAPs14%EW @
Coming into this week I was very keen on Ballyfad, he was very taking on hurdling debut beating Leader D'allier (who has won his only subsequent start easily - albeit at maiden level) and although he got nailed close home by Talk The Talk in a G1 I thought he did everything right and over a more optimal trip he'd take plenty of beating. Obviously that horse disappointing in the Supreme raises a question mark over both Ballyfad and King Rasko Grey but I don't believe that Talk The Talk at his best and the market drift here is an over reaction. At bigger prices I do also like Taurus Bay, he travelled noticably well when second last time out, his previous form was solid and he is very much a horse open to plenty of improvement (albeit I think he's a more of a chaser in the making).
4 / 92 Win Tips4%3 experts
7 comments12 / 79 EW Tips15%1 / 18 NAPs6%EW @
I think I was on Wendigo in the Albert Bartlett 12 months ago and he was far from disgraced, a mistake 2 out when short of room almost certainly costing him a placed finish. He has been a slow burner over fences this season but he would have found 2m4f (twice) and Kempton sharp enough speed tests. His easy win at Ayr last time out, didn't tell us anything we didn't know but it was a nice confidence booster. Annoyingly though Gordon Elliott & connections have opted to take the 3m route with Romeo Coolio who I rate as a real top notcher. He has already won 4 starts over fences, including a pair of G1s over 2m (including victory over Arkle winner Kargese) despite a middle distance trip likely to be his ideal. The extra distance is a question mark but he will be hard to beat, if staying.
1 / 56 Win Tips2%1 expert
1 comment2 / 98 EW Tips2%0 / 16 NAPs0%EW @
A tricky race, where i am far from confident. Having had Storm Heart at some fancy prices prior to being sent off favourite for the Triumph a few years back, it would hurt a little should he oblige this time but i'm unsure how well handicapped he remains after a pair of wins. Buddy One is 50/1 and form figures across various codes reading last of 17 - 6th of 9 - PU & last of 4 doesn't inspire but he has dropped a couple of pounds from his peak and his Cheltenham hurdles record reads: 3rd Martin Pipe at 28/1, 1st Hcp Hurdle at 9/4, 4th Stayers Hurdle at 40/1 & 5th Stayers Hurdle at 50/1 which does offer some hope that he'll produce one of his better runs today.
4 / 80 Win Tips5%2 experts
6 comments8 / 41 EW Tips20%1 / 8 NAPs13%EW @
It's hard to ignore the claims of Stumptown making it 3-3 over this C&D especially given he looked as good as ever when last season and is still only 9. His mark of 162 does ask a question though and as was the case 12 months ago, i'll be pinning my hopes to his stablemate Vanillier. The selection isn't quite the force he once was but he ran a remarkable race to finish 3rd last year after forfitting a lot of ground early on, he is 7lbs better off with his stablemate this time around and he trends into this race in similar form to last year (P691 > 631)
10 / 84 Win Tips12%3 experts
9 comments4 / 45 EW Tips9%0 / 16 NAPs0%EW @
I really haven't warmed to Majborough, a lot of people say if he jumps he wins but for me he was flattered last time out and his previous form doesn't entitle him to be odds on, for all this is perhaps lacking he depth of a usual Champion Chase. Il Etait Temps is a horse I really rate and I don't buy into the he can't handle Cheltenham arguement (He ran perfectly well in a Triumph & Arkle compared to expected performance). L'eau Du Sud on bare form can't win, he was well held by Il Etait Temps at Sandown and Majborough walked through the last and still beat him in last years Arkle but he looked different class when running away with the Shloer and maybe fresh is the time to catch him, it would certainly explain how Jonbon was able to reverse a 15l hammering to finish 2nd (to the selections 3rd) at Sandown. Dan Skelton has certainly raised the point and not raced him since that Sandown defeat.
2 / 55 Win Tips4%1 expert
4 comments5 / 82 EW Tips6%1 / 9 NAPs11%EW @
Quebecois (2nd in the Ultima yesterday) was probably below form when finishing a long way adrift of Personal Ambition over this trip at Newbury last time out but it was still a very impressive bounce back to form for Personal Ambition in first time blinkers who's form had looked to plateaued. This will be a much sterner test for sure dropped back to the minium and taking on a series of horses who look to have been laid out for a big run here but yesterday showed there is no better place over fences than at the front and if he can dominate he will give a run for your money at a big price.
2 / 47 Win Tips4%2 experts
3 comments1 / 63 EW Tips2%0 / 7 NAPs0%EW @
Considering there is always very little form to go off, fancied runners have dominated this race since 2015 with 8 winners at 9/2 or shorter and Willie Mullins has been responsible for 5 of the last 6 (6 of the last 8). So it makes perfect sense that i'm going with a 16/1 trained by not Willie Mullins. It's Only A Game won nicely in November at Punchestown (runner-up an easy winner since) and I think it's worth forgiving his defeat behind Broadway Ted latest as he was given an awful lot to do, gifting them all a head start at flag drop and still a couple lengths adrift turning for home, me made a big move to give into it approaching the final furlong before flattening out, the better ground here should help him sustain that effort and it's perhaps not surprising he is priced shortest of the first four that day, who all reoppose here.
Profits calculated to a 10 point stake.
Value Rating is based on comparing the odds of a selection to the theoretical probability of winning based on the percentage of tips for it.