Catman99 Football Tips

Whilst a close game beckons, Bremen have generally been good at home apart from the anomaly against Freiburg. And Wolfsburg are a bit up and down. Just feel home advantage makes the odds fair.

Elche have a fully fit side and have comfortably been the better team for Shots in Box, and look vastly overpriced. I estimate they've around a 67% chance of winning. Couldn't get the better of a poor Celta Vigo who had a player sent off after 46 mins last away match. I think Sociedad will struggle to score here.

This should be a walk in the park for AC Milan. Against a Parma team who aren't very good at attacking, Milan will be fine without Pulisic. I was surprised by the generous odds and have a massive advantage in my calculations.

In reality, I will be backing under 3.5 goals at 1.40. I still think there's a good chance of under 2.5 goals. Palace's high-scoring games have come against attacking teams, and Brighton will be a lot more defensive. All the other Palace games have been under 2.5. Brighton, whilst they've conceded a few, haven't been conceding many shots in the box. With Palace only having 2 days rest, I feel this will be a dull game.