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72% strike rate on Football in the last year
WIN @
Napoli lead at the top by one point going into their last match, knowing a win will make them champions. Napoli have scored two goals in four of their last five home matches, conceding in three of those. Cagliari have scored in two of the last three away fixtures. This match ended 2-1 last season, and at these odds, it's definitely worth a small bet.
WIN @ / 2.50 hcap
With just a point ahead at the top of Serie A on the final match of the season, Napoli will be going all out for the win here to clinch the title. I'm confident they will do it, but their odds to win are very short. I also tipped them to draw away to Parma at the weekend at 3/1. Instead, I'm going to go for goals. Four of Napoli's last five home matches had three or more goals in them, as did this fixture last season. Two of Cagliari's last three away matches had three-plus goals, one of which they lost 3-1 to Inter. I'm expecting a 2-1 or 3-1 win for Napoli here.
Profits calculated to a 10 point stake.
Value Rating is based on comparing the odds of a selection to the theoretical probability of winning based on the percentage of tips for it.
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