Tgoadby American Football Tips

Burrow is out, but Cincy still has weapons, and divisional games often tighten. If their defense forces turnovers, 3.25 is a fair variance play in a rivalry spot.

London specialists with a strong run game. If Lawrence controls tempo and Etienne breaks loose, 2.35 is a sneaky value angle against a Rams side vulnerable to travel fatigue.

Jets’ defense can dominate if the pass rush hits home. If Fields limits mistakes, 2.10 is a sneaky value play against a Panthers side still rebuilding.

Jefferson and Addison can stretch Philly’s secondary. If Cousins avoids turnovers, 2.20 is a fair overlay in a matchup closer to 55/45 than odds suggest.

Explosive offense with Hill and Waddle always live. If Tua gets rhythm early, 2.25 is a sharp underdog angle against a Browns side reliant on defense.

Saints’ defense can keep them in games. If Carr connects deep and Kamara controls possession, 3.00 is a sneaky value play against a Bears team still unconvincing.

Home underdog with Derrick Henry still capable of dominating. If the Titans establish the run and shorten the game, 3.75 is a fair overlay against a Patriots side prone to inconsistency.

Arrowhead is brutal, but divisional dogs often cover. If the Raiders’ pass rush disrupts Mahomes and Jacobs controls the ground, 6.50 is a variance bomb worth tiny exposure.

Giants showed flashes last week. If their pass rush rattles Denver’s young QB, 3.80 is a variance??'friendly outsider’s price at Mile High.

Colts’ balanced attack with Taylor and Pittman can trouble LA. If Richardson avoids turnovers, 2.05 is a sharp underdog angle in a near coin-flip matchup.

Cardinals have upset pedigree at home. If Murray extends plays and defense bends but doesn’t break, 3.65 is a fair outsider’s price.

Divisional games are unpredictable. If the Cowboys' defense generates turnovers and Prescott finds rhythm, 2.20 is a sneaky value play in a heated NFC East clash.

Falcons’ run game can shorten possessions. If Ridder avoids mistakes and Robinson controls tempo, 2.35 is a fair underdog angle against a 49ers side prone to lapses.

Mayfield has been efficient, and Evans remains a red-zone weapon. If the Bucs' defense slows Detroit's run game, 2.90 is a sharp variance play.

Stroud continues to impress with poise. If the Texans' defense contains Walker, 2.55 is a sneaky value play in a winnable road matchup.