the prophet

Stats don’t lie. Trust your first instinct. Don’t go chasing losses.

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the prophet's Tips History

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18 May 2024
16:10 4:10 Newbury

Rumstar

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@23.00

Lose

-50

The 4yo will be better for his return run on heavy ground last month/ six runs last year and three good efforts in defeat- two Group 3 races and a Group 1/ back in handicap company today and down to a handy looking mark.
15:35 3:35 Newbury

Charyn

Daily Racing

‘Big Rock’ has just joined a new yard and might not be ready, plus the quick ground might not suit/ It sounds like ‘Inspiral’ might need the return run and it's her first run at this track?/ The 4yo ‘Charyn’ could take his form to another level this year/ useful Group 1 form in defeat last year/ 2 wins from 2 this year- including a Group 2 race last time out/ his fitness is a positive and he can progress.
1 member found this comment useful
15:15 3:15 Newmarket

Aalto

Daily Racing

50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@7.50

Void

0

Lightly raced 4yo, ex Irish trained/ back from a 5 month break with a big run two weeks ago- over this 8f C/D/ a close 2nd of 16 in a useful looking contest earning a high RPR rating/ easily having the measure of the rest/ he didn’t have a great track position/ strong jockey booking for this race and hopefully a step forward.
1 member found this comment useful

Signcastle City

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@8.00

Lose

-50

The 4yo has 2 wins from 10 on turf/ two runs this year after coming off an 8 month break/ a nice win two weeks ago- the front two pulling clear/ effectively running off the same mark today with the jockey claiming 3lb/ still room for more improvement.
15:05 3:05 Navan

Harrys Hill

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@9.00

Lose

-50

The 6yo has 6 wins on turf/ respectable run four weeks ago on his second start after a break/ solid previous form in much stronger races than this one/ he’s a previous C/D winner/ strong jockey booking today.
15:00 3:00 Newbury

Kings Gambit

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@5.50

Win

225

Three runs for the 3yo colt/ a win and a very narrow defeat from three starts/ the form is very strong and he has mixed it with some high rated rivals/ he’s coming off an 8 month break and could be much better than his opening handicap mark of 93/ big run could be expected with William Buick booked for the ride.
1 member found this comment useful
14:40 2:40 Newmarket

Gorak

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Win

15

The 5yo ran a nice return run four weeks ago, 4 of 15 in a quality handicap/ the form given a big boost since by the 2nd and 3rd/ he should improve for the run and has a 2lb lower mark/ he looks well treated at the weights going off his form from last summer/ no problem with the quick ground.
1 member found this comment useful
14:35 2:35 Thirsk

Bountiful

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 2.38 used instead of 2.10 takenBOGAThis tip was used on Horse Racing 4Fold Acca.

@2.38

Win

68

The 2yo filly was sent off as the fav on her debut last month/ a close 5th of 13 in a quality Newmarket maiden race/ the 4th and 6th in the race have both won good races since/ the selection should have every chance in this maiden race with the experience under her belt.
14:25 2:25 Newbury

Dawn Charger

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

A consistent 3yo filly/ 3 wins and 3 seconds from 7 starts- the only blip came on fast ground at Royal Ascot/ she was a close runner-up on her last start which was a French Group 2 race last Oct, with the rest quite well beaten that day/ I think she’s been overlooked in this Listed contest on her return.
1 member found this comment useful
14:05 2:05 Newmarket

Serene Seraph

Daily Racing

Four runs for the 3yo filly, form 3210/ excuses on her last start- heavy ground- she was a cosy 3L conditions race winner on her third start/ she’s best judged on her first two starts- on quicker ground and not beaten far- races won by two runners now rated 105 and 110/ the selection is effectively racing off an 86 mark on her return in this class 3 handicap - jockey claiming 3lb - and she could be a class above these rivals.
2 members found this comment useful
13:50 1:50 Newbury

Desert Hero

Daily Racing

The 4yo was progressive last year, finishing off with a 3rd in the Group 1 St. Ledger/ big run on his return three weeks ago- losing by a hd in a decent Group 3 race- the form boosted by the 3rd at Chester last week/ he should improve for the run and the rating makes him a key player in this Group 3.
17 May 2024
16:45 4:45 York

Red Mirage

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Lose

-50

A 7 month break and wind surgery saw the 6yo get back to winning ways three weeks ago- winning a shade cosy/ hopefully he can build on that run/ he’s been rated much higher in the past/ strong jockey booking.
16:15 4:15 York

Under Siege

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.33

Lose

-50

Four nice looking types in this 6 runner novice stakes. The selection was a close 2nd of 17 on his debut- had a poor draw- the winner is being supported for a Group 2 race on Thursday.
15:45 3:45 York

Giavellotto

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 8.50 on 15/05 at 21:060.10 deduction for Hamish@7.00 withdrawn at 18:09R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 7.50 x (1-0.10) = 7.75

@7.75

Win

337

The 5yo has not been beaten far in his two runs this year/ high quality middle-east races/ he was beaten by ‘Tower Of London’ in both those races, who is the short priced fav for this race/ however, the selection is much better off at the weights in this race/ he won this race last year/ Oisin Murphy in the saddle.
1 member found this comment useful
15:15 3:15 York

Bolsena

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@10.00

Lose

-50

The 3yo filly got off the mark four weeks ago in a Newmarket maiden race/ she travelled strong and had her 11 rivals pushing a good way from home/ she didn't need much urging as she sprinted through the line to win by 3L/ excellent breeding suggests she will improve/ Ryan Moore in the saddle/ can be a player in this Listed race.
1 member found this comment useful
14:45 2:45 York

Loyal Touch

Daily Racing

25 EW

@10.00

Lose

-50

The 4yo has started the year in good form/ a win and a very close defeat in two AW runs/ a narrow defeat on tuft last time out- well clear of the 3rd/ given a nice rating for that effort and can run off the same mark in this handicap.
14:30 2:30 Newbury

Gallant Lion

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-50

Progressive 4yo/ 4 wins from 8 on grass/ he ran a big return run four weeks ago- over this 10f C/D/ poor draw and sat last of the 18 runners/ he had to make his move on the far side on the outside of runners- while all the action was up the centre/ a close 3rd with the field strung out was a great result. Should be better for the run, only a lb higher mark/ and looks a nice bet.
1 member found this comment useful
14:23 2:23 Newmarket

One More Dream

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@12.00

Lose

-50

Solid AW form from the 5yo this year- 3 wins and runner-up twice/ his turf handicap mark is a huge 15lb lower than his AW mark/ he is a previous winner on grass/ capable jockey booked who can claim a handy 5lb in this apprentice riders’ ‘hands and heels’ handicap.
14:15 2:15 York

Amestris

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@7.00

Void

0

The 2yo filly was a close 2nd of 13 four weeks ago on her debut/ in a useful looking Newmarket maiden race/ decent RPR rating/ the form has since been given a good boost the 4th and 6th/ top jockey Ryan Moore takes the ride again/ should be a player at this Listed level.
1 member found this comment useful
16 May 2024
15:50 3:50 Perth

Slugger

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Lose

-50

Lightly raced 5yo who ran a nice race four weeks ago/ beaten 3L in a 13 runner handicap- which looked a much stronger contest than this one today/ same mark today/ still learning and can improve.
1 member found this comment useful
15:45 3:45 York

Ancient Wisdom

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.38

Lose

-50

The 3yo colt has 4 wins from 5/ a Group 3 and Group 1 winner last year/ he has easily posted the two highest RPR ratings from these runners/ big player at this Group 2 level.
15:30 3:30 Salisbury

Miss Stormy Night

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.00

Lose

-50

Four runs for the 4yo filly/ she was a close 3rd of 10 on her handicap debut four weeks ago/ awkward start- at the rear- but stayed on strongly in the final furlong/ both the 1st and 2nd from the race have run well since/ same mark today/ strong jockey booking.
15:20 3:20 Perth

Windance

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Lose

-50

Three decent chase runs this year for the 9yo/ unlucky faller at the last on his return when clear/ 4th and 3rd in his last starts which have been good quality races/ every chance today in this company.
15:15 3:15 York

Bluestocking

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@3.50

Win

125

Six runs for the 4yo filly last year form 232422/ three huge RPR ratings of 112+/ two very narrow defeats in Group 1 races/ I feel she’s the standout in this Group 2 contest.
14:50 2:50 Perth

French Highlands

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

Two starts over hurdles for the 5yo mare/ 3rd in both novice races- beaten 7L and 2L/ however, she has been beaten by some nice types/ she has a decent opening handicap mark.
14:45 2:45 York

Symbol Of Light

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@26.00

Lose

-50

Lightly raced 5yo/ win or placed in 6 of 8 AW races at a high leve and posting some high RPR ratings this winter/ unexposed on tuft- two runs- only beaten around a length on his debut which was his only previous run on quickish ground/ on a handy tuft mark going off his AW stats.
14:30 2:30 Salisbury

Circuit Breaker

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

Unexposed 4yo/ 2 wins from 6/ a good 3rd of 13 last month on his return from a 6 month break- in a useful AW class 2 handicap/ it should set him up nicely for his return to tuft/ the form of his final run last year- over this 14f trip- looks very solid.
14:15 2:15 York

Marine Wave

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

Some near misses for the 4yo filly last year- in a couple of Listed races and a useful £52K handicap at this track/ still room to progress/ she’ll be better for her return run 25 days ago/ no problem with the 5f trip on quick ground/ still on a handy mark.
15 May 2024
16:15 4:15 York

Fire Demon

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

Trainer Andrew Balding went to AW route with the 3yo colt this winter/ paying off as he won 3 from 4 this year including a £77K prize on AW Champions Day- a shade cosy in the end/ back on turf for this handicap after a 7 week break/ he was 2nd of 13 last autumn on turf in a £15K maiden race and that form is looking very strong now/ the selection is still on a handy mark.
1 member found this comment useful
15:45 3:45 York

Classical Song

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@7.50

Lose

-50

Three runs for the 3yo filly, form 214/ she’s returning from a 7 month break and hopefully she has wintered well/ 4th in the Group 1 Spring Mile on her final start last year/ the winner of that race went very close in the 1000 Guineas recently/ she looks better value for this Group 3 than the short priced fav who won a Listed contest last time out and is not fully proven yet.
1 member found this comment useful
15:15 3:15 York

Mill Stream

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@9.00

Win

400

Seven of these runners met four weeks ago in a quality Group 3/ the selection was a close 2nd of 14 that day/ he was coming off a 6 month break/ only a 4yo and plenty room for improvement/ William Buick now takes over in the saddle for this Group 2 contest.
1 member found this comment useful
15:00 3:00 Ffos Las

Energy One

Daily Racing

25 EW

@26.00

Lose

-50

The 6yo mare has 1 win from 7 over hurdles/ things not really going to plan last year- saddle slipping- refusing to race- / however, she was a nice 8L handicap winner just over a year ago - just a lb higher mark today - and that form is decent/ She's had a year off the track and hopefully more settled now/ strong jockey booking.
14:45 2:45 York

Great Ambassador

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@19.00

Lose

-50

The 7yo was off the track for 20 months - for whatever reason- before a return run four weeks ago/ he was never going to be given a hard time n the competitive 18 runner handicap/ settled at the rear/ going as well as any 2f out/ hands and heels in the late stages/ he should be given a more positive ride now/ he looks well treated at the weights if he can capture his 5yo form - he is a previous 6f C/D winner -
14:30 2:30 Ffos Las

Manuelito

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.00

Win

180

Decent on the flat/ three starts over hurdles for the 4yo gelding/ form 321/ he was a close 2nd of 13 during March in a novice hurdle and clear of the rest - that form boosted since by the winner/ he was a maiden hurdle winner last month- jumped well and won a shade cosy/ I think the form stands up and he has every chance on his handicap debut.
1 member found this comment useful
14:15 2:15 York

Klondike

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-50

The 4yo colt has 1 win from 4 and is returning from a 7 month break/ trainer William Haggis has been patient with him and will be hoping for good things this year/ his best run was a 2L defeat in a Group 3 beaten by three runners rated 109, 110 and 116/ the selection is running in a handicap today off a 103 rating/ his class should tell.
14 May 2024
21:00 Girona v Villarreal

Girona

50 WIN

@1.70

Lose

-50

Girona will be keen to finish 2nd in the league, they are in 3rd place at the moment, just 1 point behind Barcelona, and after just one home defeat in the league all season, I don’t see them slipping up against Villarreal.
20:30 Real Madrid v CD Alaves

CD Alaves

50 WIN

@15.00

Lose

-50

Alaves are now safe after 3 wins and a draw in their last 4 games, against sides who sit 3rd, 4th and 8th in the table, they will be feeling good and will be up for this match against the champions. With the title won and a Champions League final coming up, there could be plenty of fringe players on the park for Madrid tonight.
20:10 8:10 Chepstow

Ibiza Rocks

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.00

Lose

-50

The 6yo shaped a little better 17 days ago on the AW/ staying on and seeing the race out nicely after coming from off the pace/ on his return just over a year ago he went close in a couple of races while racing off a 28lb higher mark/ good jockey booking for tonight.
20:00 Tottenham v Man City

Draw

50 WIN

@6.50

Lose

-50

A must win for Spurs if they are to get a Champions league place next year, however, they’ve had a good season and will have great home support tonight- they’ll be very dangerous on the counter and won’t be lacking energy. Also, a must win for City as they go for the title, however, strange things happen in football, I feel City might be a little too over cautious in keeping possession and not creating chances. Spurs will get chances… draw
19:40 7:40 Chepstow

King Of Scotia

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@7.50

Void

0

Nothing special in his five AW winter runs - however/ a recent four month break/ a return to slow turf ground/ a very attractive mark now/ gives the 4yo a chance.
19:10 7:10 Chepstow

Wont Stand Down

Daily Racing

25 EW

@10.00

Lose

-50

Just three runs for the 4yo filly/ a respectable 5th in a novice stakes two weeks ago after coming off a 5 month break/ she travelled strong- every chance a furlong out- not a lot room- eased in the last 100 yards/ she was giving weight away to 3yo runners in that contest/ she can build on that run/ she might be underestimated with a low opening handicap mark of 54.
18:40 6:40 Chepstow

Dandy G Boy

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

A few newcomers in this 2yo maiden race/ plenty of early money for the selection when the markets first opened/ nicely bred and cost €45K/ good trainer-jockey/ could be set for a good debut run.
18:30 Osasuna v Mallorca

Mallorca

50 WIN

@2.90

Lose

-50

Midtable Osasuna have nothing to play for, just 4 points from their last 8 league games and they might be just going through the motions. Mallorca got a win at the weekend and another would make them safe from the drop, and they should be giving 100%.
18:10 6:10 Chepstow

Ceilidh

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Lose

-50

The 4yo was consistent last year/ finishing the year with back-to-back wins/ that last win was a cosy 2L+ win in a 14 runner handicap/ the runner-up in that race won 3 of his next 4 starts/ the selection should be set for a big run after a respectable return effort 24 days ago.
17:40 5:40 Chepstow

Mayz

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-50

Two runs this year for the 4yo filly/ beaten just 1/2L two weeks ago- decent RPR rating/ same mark today and she can take another step forward/ she is a previous winner on slow ground.
17:15 5:15 Beverley

Walter Hartright

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@8.00

Lose

-50

Five starts for the 3yo gelding/ his best run was three weeks ago when a 3L 3rd of 7 in a turf handicap/ a first run on quicker ground/ staying on nicely/ the runner-up has run well since and the winner is rated 15lb higher after winning again/ he can take another step forward/ he has a lower mark today/
13 May 2024
20:00 Aston Villa v Liverpool

Aston Villa

50 WIN

@4.33

Lose

-50

Liverpool have only won 9 of 18 away games this season, not great at keeping clean sheets and not at their best in recent weeks. Villa are a top side, 4th in the league for a reason and will be up for this game. Big price for a home win.
19:05 7:05 Windsor

Siempre Arturo

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.50

Lose

-50

Two wins and a narrow defeat from 5 starts/ all on the AW/ the form looks decent and the 4yo should be fine on tuft today/ excuses in a £23K contest last time out and now drops into a class 5 tuft handicap/ good jockey booking.
18:35 6:35 Windsor

Rhythm N Hooves

Daily Racing

The 4yo was a little disappointing in the second half of last year/ he ran a decent race two weeks ago in a good quality AW handicap- not the best track position that day- but a more positive showing/ he won a 26 runner handicap at Royal Ascot last year and is only a lb above that winning mark now.
18:05 6:05 Windsor

Mono River

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.25

Lose

-50

Two starts for the 3yo gelding/ a runner-up 9 days ago to a useful looking Gosden runner/ seeing the race out nicely but got a little too far back to trouble the front running winner/ decent form and can take a step forward in this novice stakes.
17:35 5:35 Windsor

Master Builder

Daily Racing

50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@3.75

Void

0

The 3yo gelding ran a nice race on his debut two weeks ago/ runner-up over this 10f C/D/ beaten by a Gosden runner who has a Group 2 entry at Royal Ascot/ the selection should go well in this novice stakes.
17:00 5:00 Windsor

Pouting

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.33

Lose

-50

The 2yo filly has yet to see a racecourse but she has been sold twice, connections last paid £150K/ this maiden race looks very average and she can make a winning debut if fit and ready.
16:30 4:30 Windsor

Hes Got Game

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.75

Win

87

Four starts for the 3yo gelding/ back from a 7 month break four weeks ago and was a close runner-up/ the 1st and 3rd from that race both won next time out/ similar mark for the selection/ unexposed/ strong jockey booking.
16:17 4:17 Catterick

Night Life

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@12.00

Void

0

The 4yo filly was beaten 4L on her return four weeks ago/ room for improvement/ she posted four RPR ratings of 61-68 last summer- two of those on quick ground/ her racing mark for those races was 63-72/ she’s now running off a handing looking 53 rating.
15:47 3:47 Catterick

Ernest Rutherford

Daily Racing

Two AW return runs last month for the 5yo/ up with the pace and running well for a good way in both races/ they were 0-70 rated handicap races/ he showed decent form on quick tuft ground last year and is on a very attractive mark now/ he’s now running in a low grade 0-56 contest.
15:17 3:17 Catterick

Willolarupi

Daily Racing

Two solid return runs for the 3yo gelding/ runner-up last week over this 5f trip/ showing plenty of speed at the front/ unlucky to be caught in the last 100 yards- but still clear of the rest/ same mark for this handicap today and his 9 rivals make little appeal.
14:47 2:47 Catterick

Greek Giant

Daily Racing

Lightly raced 4yo/ progressive/ back from a 6 month break with two AW runs last month- 1st and a narrow defeat/ posting two high RPR ratings/ solid form on quick ground last year and those two AW runs set him up nicely for his return to grass/ still on a handy looking mark.
14:17 2:17 Catterick

Phoenix Of Dreams

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-50

The 3yo gelding was 4th of 12 on his debut three weeks ago in a useful looking maiden race/ never getting to the winner who gave the form a huge boost last week/ the 2nd and 3rd were useful yardsticks/ and the selection did finish 9L clear of the rest that day/ he should be a player in this novice stakes.
13:47 1:47 Catterick

Patontheback

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Lose

-50

The 6yo is quite consistent/ excuses on soft ground last time out will appreciate this quicker ground/ nicely treated at the weights going off some of his form from last year/ good jockey booking in this apprentice riders’ handicap and he can still claim 3lb.

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