Football Accumulator Advice
Bookmakers & Betting
Systems & Strategies
Football Accumulator Advice
The football accumulator is the most popular type of bet going yet it is also one of the hardest to land. By following some simple rules you can improve your strike rate on football accumulators considerably.
The More You Choose The More You Lose
Put too many selections in the same bet each week and you are going to find it almost impossible. If you place a weekly accumulator with around ten teams each time at average odds of 1000/1 you may have a chance of winning very big from a very small stake but statistically you are only going to have a winning bet every 20 years!
Unless you have a great talent for picking football bets generally you’ll find that picking any acca that adds up to more than 10/1 is very difficult. Even odds of 5/1 is a very respectable return. Generally speaking that is going to mean picking 3 to 5 selections depending on the odds you like to bet at. You don’t need many selections to create great returns.
1/4 x 1/3 x 1/2 x 4/6 x 4/5 = 13/2
The fewer matches you choose to bet on the less you are a hostage to fortune. Bad luck can occur in any match but if you are betting on ten different matches you need ten sets of circumstances to go in your favour plus you need your predictions to be correct. If you only bet on five matches then you are relying on a lot less luck in your acca.
Find that one selection lets you down most weeks? You don’t necessarily have to back all your teams to win all the time. Covering some of the permutations can decrease losses and increase profits.
Covering more of the permutations requires more bets which can dilute your profit but in the right situations it can be the best approach. If you are placing four team accas but find one bet often lets you down then covering trebles as well can cover your bets. It will mean you are placing more bets but your risk goes down significantly.
This sort of bet works best if the combined odds on your trebles are enough to cover your total outlay. Since you are placing 5 bets and 4 of them would lose if you only get a treble you’d need odds of 4/1 on the trebles to cover all your bets. It doesn’t matter too much if it’s slightly less meaning you’d only lose a fraction of your total outlay if one selection lets you down.
That’s not a huge amount of profit if all selections win to sacrifice considering the benefits of not losing your bet far more often. For the next few accas you place, work out how much you would have won or lost covering all the bets with one of your selections losing compared to just covering the accumulator. If you would have won more with this approach try it more often.
What Selections Should You Include?
Possibly the most difficult part of placing your acca is deciding which selections to include in the bet. Most punters will have a shortlist of selections that they will narrow down to their most confident before sticking them all in one bet but do selections need to be put into categories before they are added to accumulators?
One of the most frustrating experiences of betting on accas is seeing a good value selection at nice odds (say 5/4) win only for a shorter priced selection you only added to the bet to boost the odds let you down. They key really is to try to combine selections you think offer similar value into one bet. That’s not to say they’ll all be the same sort of price. A 1/2 shot can offer the same perceived value as a 6/4 shot. It’s worth placing two (or more) separate accas if necessary in order to divide up your bets into groups of similar value selections.
If those selections that offers similar value come in different markets that is fine. In fact looking at more markets and therefore studying more bets should give you more opportunities. Backing a couple of teams to win their matches, total goals in one match and both teams to score in another match is a perfectly good way to put together an accumulator, provided the bets that go into the accumulator offer similar value.
The odds might not vary on individual football matches but when combining a few selections the differences in odds can soon add up. This is where odds comparison comes in. It can be tempting to keep betting with the same bookie, especially if you have money in the account. You could be missing out on a good 10% or 20% winnings on your successful bets though by not betting at best price. Therefore punters should always use odds comparison and should place their accumulators with the bookies that offer the best odds on that bet that week. It can mean the difference between making a long term profit and a long term loss.
At the end of the day your success at accumulators is going to be mostly dictated by your ability to pick value football bets but the above advice can either help you win more or minimise your losses.