2018 Aintree Grand National

The Executioner
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2018 Aintree Grand National

Postby The Executioner » Tue Feb 06, 2018 12:56 pm

105 entries In this year's Randox Health Grand National.
Weights to be revealed February 14th, first scratchings deadline February 27, second scratchings deadline March 20, five-day confirmations April 9, final declarations 10am April 12. Maximum field of 40 plus four reserves.

See link for full list of initial entries.

https://www.racingpost.com/racecards/32 ... -14/692569

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Re: 2018 Aintree Grand National

Postby The Executioner » Tue Feb 06, 2018 7:34 pm

One early bet for me ahead of the weights next week is I Just Know EW @150/1 and FIVE PLACES with bet365. Jumps well - stays well - and is improving , easy win last time out has put him on a mark of 145 which will give him a nice racing weight if he gets there in good health. Looks a massive price to me, personally I'd be around a 40/1 chance to win the race, and yet the place part here will be paying 37.5/1 and you also get an EXTRA PLACE. Trainer Sue Smith knows what it is like to win the big one having taken the National five years ago with Auroras Encore. It's a sporting play but huge value Win - Lose or Draw.

Selection : I Just Know ....... EW @150/1 ( bet365 )


:hope: Be Lucky :hope:

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Re: 2018 Aintree Grand National

Postby jaydubs » Tue Feb 06, 2018 9:52 pm

That's not a bad shout Ex... had a quick look through some of the trends and fits a lot of them... worth a cheeky little speculative bet now

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Re: 2018 Aintree Grand National

Postby jaydubs » Wed Feb 14, 2018 6:31 am

Weights are up..

[url]https://www.randoxhealthgrandnational.co.uk/definitly-red-tops-weights-2018-randox-health-grand-national-aintree-april-14/?utm_source=t.co&utm_medium=referral#1i9BiAxddV2vym84.97 [/url]

I can't remember what the line often is ..im sure the Ex will know but thought it was around 70...to be in eith a chance of a run

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Re: 2018 Aintree Grand National

Postby jaydubs » Wed Feb 14, 2018 6:51 am

Found this on last year's thread so you have an idea how far that list will go

145 is 58th 143 is 70th

40th runner ratings by year

2017 - 143
2016 - 145
2015 - 139
2014 - 138
2013 - 131
2012 - 137
2011 - 138
2010 - 139
2009 - 139
2008 - 137

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Re: 2018 Aintree Grand National

Postby UnderdogsLover » Wed Feb 14, 2018 8:40 am

Yay favourite time of year- weights come out National.
We study our lists to follow.

Not had chance study the first top 40 yet..
One horse certainly being doing is Gas Line Boy.
Around 25/1 mark but looking for slighly bigger.

Did well get round last year- hope be in the first four
this time round.
Postives
1 Got round last year.
2: 12 year olds do win the National :win: - as remembered
Amberleigh House one- got spelling right lol, as you remember
the horses you won on.
Also will have nice low weight, as crept in the top 40 list.

Know till the Festival plenty time sort our lists. :)
Love this time of year..

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Re: 2018 Aintree Grand National

Postby The Executioner » Thu Feb 15, 2018 10:50 pm

Found this on last year's thread so you have an idea how far that list will go

145 is 58th 143 is 70th

40th runner ratings by year

2017 - 143
2016 - 145
2015 - 139
2014 - 138
2013 - 131
2012 - 137
2011 - 138
2010 - 139
2009 - 139
2008 - 137


I did some research on this a few years back over the preceding 20 years or so and the average rating for '' number 40 '' was around the 138 mark .... as you have listed the last few years have seen that rise a bit, most likely down to the increased prizemoney attracting a higher class of animal..... I mentioned this in a recent blog, and for those that like a long range bet then it is essential to concentrate on horses rated mid 140's and above - hence my advice above and in the article...... I do hope you had that cheeky little EW play........ https://www.olbg.com/blogs/post.php?id=413651

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Re: 2018 Aintree Grand National

Postby Pisto1 » Sat Mar 17, 2018 4:44 pm

Looks like STD will be on blaklion with Sean Bowen having his pick from as de mee and warriors tale.these 2 are likely the only ones p Nicholls sends and I fancy WT at a nice price ew

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Re: 2018 Aintree Grand National

Postby The Snail » Sun Mar 18, 2018 10:21 pm

Hi guys! Does anyone know of anywhere (free!!) you can find details of a horse's height? I've always thought that small / medium small horses that just pop over the big obstacles rather than big bold jumpers who waste their energy do better over the grand national fences. Disclaimer : This is unfounded in fact!

Cheers!

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Re: 2018 Aintree Grand National

Postby Shrews » Mon Mar 19, 2018 6:53 pm

I don't think this information is available to the betting public as there is no requirement for trainers to weigh their horses.

Weight will change considerably, so I guess it would still be guesswork i.e the likes of the RP could provide the average winning weight of a horse, but how would you actually know if the horse was anywhere near thatweight on the day?

The article below says most trainers will weigh their horses... but most isn't all.

https://horseweigh.com/about-horse-weigh/reviews/

The site below will show the dosage profile of a horse but again no weight or height

http://www.pedigreequery.com/blaklion

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Re: 2018 Aintree Grand National

Postby The Snail » Mon Mar 19, 2018 7:16 pm

Hi Shrews - thanks for the interesting links, i thought it was probably a stat too far! I guess the easiest way to judge the field on height is to probably do a bit of research on the horse race archive myself or just weight (!) for the day and judge them in the paddock to see which lucky ones will get the burden of my money!

If memory serves Amberleigh House/ Aurore Encore / Red Marauder were all quite small in stature but for every smaller winner there are just as many small losers and big winners so its proably just a quirk for my personal pleasure rather than the next big trend!!!!

Here's to the champion of the smaller horses, whoever the next one may be!

Cheers!

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Re: 2018 Aintree Grand National

Postby Micko70 » Mon Mar 19, 2018 9:38 pm

20 Year Trends blog for both the Boylesports Irish & Randox Health Grand Nationals can be found by clicking HERE

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